study proposal after 4 a phase iii intergroup trial on adjuvant therapy in radically operated...
TRANSCRIPT
Study proposal
After 4A Phase III intergroup trial on adjuvant therapy in radically operated endometrial cancer patients (FIGO stage IC-IIIC) with high risk for micro-metastatic disease
NSGO
What we know from randomized studies
• Aalders et al. (1980), GOG-99 (Keys et al. 2003), PORTEC (Creutzberg et al. 2000) ASTEC/EN.5 (Blake et al. 2009) Better loco-regional control but no (or very small) effect on OS.
• GOG-34 (Morrow et al. 1990) Prematurely terminated
• GOG-122 (Randall et al. 2006) CT is better than WAR (more advan-ced disease)
• Maggi et al. 2006 Failed to show superiority
• JGOG-2033 (Susumi et al. 2008) of either CT or RT
• RTOG-9708 (Greven et al. 2006) ChemoRT (CMT) is feasible
• NSGO-EC-9501/EORTC-55991 (Hogberg et al. ASCO 2007) The sequential addition of CT to RT improves PFS
• Kouppala et al 2008 Failed to show superiority of CT+RT vs RT n=150
• PORTEC-3 (ongoing) is CMT better than RT?
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Radical surgeryTAH+BSO (+PLA)
RT+CT
RT
CT+RTOR
Randomization
Primary endpointProgression-free survival (PFS)
Surgical stage I, II, IIIA (positive peritoneal fluid cytology only), or IIIC (positive pelvic lymph nodes only) with high risk for micro-metastatic disease
Patients with serous, clear cell, or anaplastic carcinomas were eligible regardless of other risk factors
≥ 44 Gy XRT ± optional VBT (39%)
CT : intially APLater AP, TcP, TAP, TEcP
n=196
n=186
n=382
May 1996 to January 2007
(VBT 44%)
NSGO EC-9501/EORTC-55991
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
NSGO EC-9501/EORTC-55991
PFS progression-freee survival (PFS)
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
HR 0.63 (95 % CI 0.41 - 0.98) p = 0.04
0.72
0.790.
000.
250.
500.
751.
00
prob
abili
ty o
f sur
viva
l
186 175 158 143 119 82random = 1191 170 149 123 110 84random = 0
Number at risk
0 1 2 3 4 5years
random = 0 random = 1
PFS NSGO-EC-9501/EORTC-5591
NSGO EC-9501/EORTC-55991
PFS progression-freee survival (PFS) serous/clear cell ca
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
HR 0.81 (95 % CI 0.41 - 1.61) p=0.55
0.73
0.71
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
65 62 55 48 43 27random = 176 70 59 47 43 35random = 0
Number at risk
0 1 2 3 4 5analysis time
random = 0 random = 1
PFS serous/cc carcinoma NSGO-EC-9501/EORTC-55991
Radical surgeryTAH+BSO (+PLA)
CT+RT
RTRandomization
Primary endpointProgression-free survival (PFS)and overall survival (OS)
Surgical stage IIB, IIIA-C endometrioid carcinomas(IIIA with only pos per cytol not eligible
45 Gy XRT (+VBTIf st IIB or IIIB)
CT : APX3 q 3 weeks
n=76
n=80
n=156
October 1998 to July 2007
MANGO ILIADE
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
NSGO EC-9501/EORTC-55991/MANGO
Pooled data failure-free survival (FFS) endometrioid carcinoma
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
HR 0.46 (95 % CI 0.28 -0.74) p= 0.001
0.71
0.840.
000.
250.
500.
751.
00
197 176 156 145 114 84random = 1187 159 138 117 93 68random = 0
Number at risk
0 1 2 3 4 5analysis time
random = 0 random = 1
FFS endometrioid carcinomas POOLED DATA
Pooled results failure-free survival (FFS) endometrioid carcinoma
Randomization Observed Expectedevents events
RT n=187 50 37.15RT+CT n=197 29 41.85Total n=384 79 79.00
HR 0.46 (95% CI 0.28-0.74) p=0.001 which translates to an estimated absolute difference in 5-year FFS of 13 % from 71 – 84 %
NSGO EC-9501/EORTC-55991/MANGO
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Pooled data cancer-specific survival (CCS) endometrioid carcinoma
NSGO EC-9501/EORTC-55991/MANGO
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
HR 0.51 (95 % CI 0.29-0.91) p=0.02
0.77
0.870.
000.
250.
500.
751.
00
197 187 164 149 118 87random = 1187 175 153 130 106 75random = 0
Number at risk
0 1 2 3 4 5analysis time
random = 0 random = 1
CSS endometrioid carcinomas POOLED DATA
Pooled results cancer-specific survival (CCS) endometrioid carcinoma
Randomization Observed Expectedevents events
RT n=187 36 27.33RT+CT n=197 21 29.67Total n=384 57 57.00
HR 0.51 (95% CI 0.29-0.91) p=0.02 which translates to an estimated absolute difference in 5-year CSS of 10 % from 77 – 87 %
NSGO EC-9501/EORTC-55991/MANGO
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
NSGO EC-9501/EORTC-55991
Lokoregional progressions 4.1 % in the RT-arm vs. 1,1 % in the RT+CT-arm – additive effects?
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
The combination of RT + CT is better than RT
An additive interaction between RT + CT could explainthe difference in the EORTC/NSGO/MANGO-study
And the lack of difference in the Italian and Japanese studies
Conclusions & questions
• PORTEC-3 • Unless there is something fundamentally wrong with NSGO-9501/EORTC-55991 PORTEC-3 will most probably show that CMT is better than RT
When PORTEC-3 is published CMT will probably become standard treatment
The question about the contribution of RT will remain unanswered
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Proposition
We have a time-frame in which we can resolve the question of the value of addition of
radiotherapy to chemotherapy
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Primary endpointOverall survival (OS)
Radical surgeryTAH+BSO±LA
CTx4
CTx2
RTRandomization
Main inclusion criteriaa. Endometrioid carcinomab. Stage 1C grade 3 c. Stage IIA grade 3 and MI≥50%, IIB d. Stage IIIA-CRadical surgery, LA recommended but optionalMain exclusion criteriaSerous or clear cell carcinomaIIIA with only pos fluid cytology
CT : Paclitaxel 175 mg/m2, carboplatin AUC 5-6 (calculated) q 3 weeks
N=1000
Proposed study
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
After 4
• Informed consent and registration after surgery before CT. All patients are followed
• If there is extensive neurotoxicity the patient will not be randomized but will be treated with RT
• If severely detoriated general condition protocol therapy is stopped
• These patients will then not be drop-outs after randomization
Negative consequence of ”after 4” randomization. The therapy will only evaluated in a subgroup with better general condition who tolerate 4 cycles of CT
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
End-points
Primary:
To compare overall survival (OS) of patients treated with either 2 more courses of CT versus sequential RT after 4 courses of CT
Secondary: 1. Cause-specific survival (CSS) (time to death of endometrial
carcinoma or of treatment complications), progression-free survival (PFS) (time to relapse of endometrial carcinoma or death all causes), failure-free survival (FFS); (time to relapse or death of endometrial carcinoma or of treatment complications, with deaths unrelated to endometrial carcinoma censored)
2. Toxicity
3. Patterns of progression
4. Quality of life evaluated by EORTC QLQ‑30
5. Fraction of registered patients that could be randomized and reasons for non-randomization. Survival for non-randomized patients Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Inclusion criteria
Histologically confirmed endometrial carcinoma with no macroscopic remaining tumor after primary surgery (systematic lymph node exploration optional), with one of the following postoperative FIGO 1988 stage and grade:
FIGO 1988 stage IC grade 3.
FIGO 1988 stage IIA MI≥50 %, IIB.
FIGO 1988 stage IIIA*, IIIB, IIIC all grades.
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
*IIIA only because of positive peritoneal lavage fluid is included if there is also grade 3 and MI≥50 %
Inclusion criteria
According to the new proposed FIGO staging
Stage IB grade 3.
Stage II all grades.
Stage IIIA, IIIB, IIIC1, and IIIC2 all grades
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Exclusion criteria
• Any postoperative residual macroscopic tumor
• Clear cell, serous, squamous carcinoma or small cell carcinoma with neuroendocrine differentiation
• Preoperative irradiation
• Previous or concurrent malignant disease except for curatively treated carcinoma in situ of the cervix or basal cellosquamous carcinoma of the skin
• Active infection or other serious underlying medical condition, which might prevent the patient from receiving treatment or to be followedUncontrolled or potentially active site of pelvic infection (e.g. fistula or abscesses)
• Inadequate bone marrow, liver, or kidney function
• Previous extensive abdominal surgery or other condition that might give a substantial increase in the risk for complications from RT or CT
• Whatever reasons which interferes with an adequate follow-up.• Longer interval than 3 weeks between last CT and
randomization
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Surgical procedure
Hysterectomy with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy and extirpation of macroscopic palpable suspicious lymph nodes must be done.
Pelvic and paraaortic lymph node exploration is recom-mended but is not mandatory. Stratification depending on lymph node exploration
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Chemotherapy
Adjuvant CT should start as soon as possible or within 2 weeks after registration. Registration after the start of CT is not allowed.
Schedule for CT
• Paclitaxel 175 mg/m2 i.v./3 hours.• Carboplatin AUC 5-6 i.v. infusion over 30-60 minutes.
Both drugs are given on the same day and the treatment is to be repeated every 3‑weeks for four cycles to all patients. Patients who are randomized to further CT will receive two more cycles, i.e. 6 in all.
The minimum allowed starting dose of carboplatin is AUC 5.Calculated GFR.
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Radiotherapy
External radiotherapy (preliminary)
The dose, fractionation and radiation technique is a matter of departmental preference, but at least CT-based computer-aided 3-dimensional dose planning and 4‑field technique is recommended. The advised prescribed dose to the target volume should be at least 44 Gy specified according to ICRU or NACP. If other fractionations than 2.0 Gy 5 times per week are used, the dose should be converted to a 2 Gy equivalent dose according to the linear quadratic formula
Brachytherapy
Vaginal brachytherapy should be added for patients with FIGO 1988 stage IIB (proposed new FIGO stage II)
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Statistical issues
We suppose that a 10 % increase in OS from about 65-70 % to 75-80 % would be regarded as convincing evidence to accept the addition of RT
Significance level and power are usually set to 5% and 80%. In this case it is very important not to miss a difference if it exists; thus it is suggested power is set to 90 %
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Statistical issues
About 1000 patients would be needed and 266 events need to be observed
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Suppose a trial propulation with somewhat more advanced cases than in NSGO/EORTC/MANGO-study with 65 % 5 year survival in the control group, recruitment period 3 years, and 3 additional years for observation; power 0.9 and significance level 0.05, two sided test
Survivalexperimental arm N70 % 400275 % 96880 % 414
• With 50 participating departments each depart-ment would have to randomize 7 patients/year for 3 years
• Possible collaborations: ?????....
Statistical issues
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
1. Study group
2. Institution
3. Stage
FIGO 1988 stage I-IIAFIGO 1988 stage IIB, IIIA, IIIC
According to the new proposed FIGO stagingFIGO stage IBFIGO stage II-IIIC2
4. Lymph node exploration
YesNo
Stratification
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
We have to get used to doing big randomized trials also in endometrial cancer
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
These guys are eagerly waiting for results from clinical trials in endometrial cancer!
CONTACT INFORMATION
Thomas HogbergDept Cancer EpidemiologyLund University Hospital
221 85 LundSweden
NSGO DATA CENTERJ.B. Winsløws Vej 9, DK-5000 Odense C, Denmark
Phone: + 45 6550 4346Fax: + 45 6550 4348
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Problem
• This is a disease with generally good prognosis
• OS8 yr PORTEC ~75%• OS5 yr GOG-122 ~50%• OS5 yr Susumo ~90%• OS5 yr Maggi ~70%• NSGO/EORTC-5591 ~80• AZTEC/EN.5 ~85%• PORTEC recorded ~15% mortality rate at 8 years related to intercurrent causes (~10% at 5-years) (which is more than in AZTEC and NSGO ~5%)
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Example
• Suppose we have 30 % 5-year mortality in a risk group of endometrial cancer
• ~20 % would be cancer related and ~10 % unrelated to cancer
• Suppose that we have an adjuvant therapy that prevents 50 % of the cancer related deaths
• The effect on OS will be a change from 70 % to 80 % (10 % absolute difference).
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
• Eligibility: include IBG3+LVSI (as in PORTEC3)?include serous pap./clear cell types?
• Stratification: Center, LA?
• Design: Two-arm trial (RT+CT vs CT)? three-arm (CTRT+CT vs CT+RT vs CT)?
• VBT: To allow or not to allow? Decision before randomization
• Statistics: To be re-evaluated according with trial design, strata at randomization
• POSSIBLE COLLABORATIONS: GEICO, AGO-Austria?, KGOG
NSGO-MITO Proposals - Issues
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009
Baseline within 14 days prior to enrolment
During RT Before each course
(up to –3 days)
Between courses
Day 14±2
End of Therapy
During Follow-upat 3, 6, 12, 18… months up to 5 years
Determination of FIGO stage X -- -- -- -- --
Informed consent X -- -- -- -- --
Performance status WHO X X X -- X X
Height X -- -- -- -- --
Weight X -- X -- -- --
Physical + gynecologic examination
X -- -- -- X X
CTC v2.0 scale toxicity X X X -- X X
Blood counts a X Departmental praxis
X X Xuntil
recovery
--
Calculationb (or measurement) of GFR
X -- X -- -- --
Chemistry c X Departmental praxis
XS-creatinine within 7
days
-- Xuntil
recovery
--
CT chest and abdomen X d -- -- -- -- Yearly
ECG X
EORTC QLQ‑30 X Xe X X
Thomas Hogberg, Lund Univ Hosp Oct 2009