“suos cultores scientia coronat” - syracuse university motto paf 101 module 5, lecture 2
TRANSCRIPT
“Suos Cultores Scientia Coronat”
- Syracuse University motto
PAF 101Module 5, Lecture 2
Class Agenda•Announcements•More on the Prince System
An important note…
DON’T MISS
CLASS FRIDAY
SHOW YOUR THANKSBY GIVING BACK!
Volunteers Needed for Cuse Spot’s Fall Harvest Festival
When: Wednesday, November 18, 2015Time: 5:00 pm – 6:30 pm
Where: Wilson Park Community Center Sign up:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t9rGUTbPjL8xkqq-jvINJumHH77Y65YPR0Pbsu8lIdo/edit#gid=0
Questions/Comments: Contact Arianna Clark at [email protected]
Community Service Reminder• The due date for community service hours is Monday 12/7 in class.
•Use the online form on 101 website.
Local Government Survey•This survey is meant to test your knowledge about the local government in Onondaga County•https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/LRNL376
Social Impact Bonds – Strathmore Speaker Series
•Who: Tim Rudd•Where: Fire barn in Onondaga park in Syracuse•When: 11/19 at 7 PM
http://strathmorespeakers.com/
Competition Points Group Points
D 6
A 5
G 2
H 1
B 0
C 0
E 0
F 0
I 0
Winners
LosersAs of 11/13/15
Prince Analysis Steps
1. Identify Necessary Actions
2. Identify Key Players
3. Estimate Position (-5 to +5)
4. Estimate Power (1 to 5)
5. Estimate Priority (1 to 5)
6. Calculate Probabilities
7. Formulate Prince Strategies
Ex. 9.1
Ex. 9.2
Ex. 9.3
Ex. 9.4
Chapter 10
Step 1: Describing the Policy to be Implemented
•Be sure it is a policy and not a goal• Is it a federal, state or local policy?•Determine if it is a legislative, administrative or financial policy •Cannot be a judicial decision
Step 2: Identify Players
• Government Units in the United States:
3,000 Counties19,000
municipalities+ 43,000 special
districts65,000 total government
units
How To Select Players •Ask players, experts, and stakeholders.•Legislatures: They affect how a bill becomes a law at your geographic area•Aggregation problems with legislative bodies • If not legislative, must be administrative • Interest groups can be important especially for new policies •Watch out for dogs
New York State •Divided into three branches: Executive, Legislative, Judicial•Governor Cuomo is the head of the Executive Branch.•State Agencies, like the Department of Education and Board of Regents are under the Executive Branch
Onondaga County •County government is responsible for implementing and funding legislation enacted by the state and federal government•Different departments help to administrate the different duties of the county•Examples: Medicaid, Van Duyn Home and Hospital
Legislative Branch•New York has a bi-cameral or two house legislature.•Which state is not bi-cameral?•Assembly is a 150 member body •Senate is a 62 member body
Executive Branch•Governor Cuomo appoints the heads of the different state agencies•State agencies help put legislation into effect
Helpful Websites•http://www.assembly.state.ny.us/•http://www.senate.state.ny.us/senatehomepage.nsf/home?openform•http://www.ny.gov/•http://www.ongov.net/•http://www.ongov.net/legislature/
Step 3:Estimating Issue Position•Empirical - quotes•Deductive Principles• Special Interest Players (4 or 5)• Politicians, Legislative Bodies, Government Officials and Some Big Interest Groups are not firm (0-2)•Budget cost predispose toward opposition
Step 4: Estimating Power
•Specific to Issues•Players with Veto Power: 4 or 5• Legislatures• President, Governors, Mayors, etc.
•Non-veto-players: 3, 2, or 1•Sources of Power• Official Position• Money• Numbers (voters)• Expertise
Step 5: Estimating Priority•Single issue player: high on relevant issue•Multiple issue player: low to moderate on most issues•Changes quickly in either direction•Frequency of statements are key
Step 6: Calculating 1. Calculation 1: Issue position X Power X
Priority=Prince Score• When Issue Position is 0, Power X Priority=(Prince Score)
• Prince Scores in parenthesis are neutral scores
2. Calculation 2: Sum of all positive scores plus ½ of neutral scores
3. Calculation 3: Sum of all possible scores ignoring signs and parenthesis
4. Calculation 2/Calculation 3=Probability of Support
Don’t Be Hopelessly Naïve •No matter how much you love your policy proposal, your forecast from the Prince System should be under 50%
•WHY?
Monday’s Speaker
Renee Captor
Graduated from SU in 1980 – Policy Studies Major
Graduated from SU Law School in 1982
Defense Attorney from 1983-2001
Executive Director OCBA Assigned Counsel Program, Inc. 2001-Present
Teaches PAF 431: Criminal Justice