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TOM ZHAO Managing Director SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY FOR EV BATTERY

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  • TOM ZHAO Managing Director

    SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    FOR EV BATTERY

  • What are WE facing today ?

    What can BYD do ?

    What can WE do more ?

  • LFP vs NCM

    WE WHAT ARE

    FACING TODAY ?

    LFP & NMC is the mainstream of the market BYD ED Roadmap Rapid Growth of Lithium-ion Battery Cobalt price increased by leaps and bounds

  • 2016 2030

    LFP & NMC is the mainstream of the market

    Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

    NCA 10%

    NMC (111) 15%

    NMC (433) 10%

    NMC (532) 10%

    NMC (622) 30%

    NMC (811) 25%

    LMO NCA LFP NMC (111)

    NMC (433) NMC (532) NMC (622) NMC (811)

    EV

  • 2016 2017-2030

    LFP & NMC is the mainstream of the market

    Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

    Storage

  • Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

    LFP vs NMC

    NMC LFP

    E-density Wh/l

    E-density Wh/l

    E-density Wh/l

    E-density Wh/l

    E-density Wh/kg

    E-density Wh/kg

    E-density Wh/kg

    E-density Wh/kg

    Discharge C-rate

    Discharge C-rate

    Discharge C-rate

    Discharge C-rate

    Cycle life Cycle life Cycle life

    Cycle life

    Cost Cost Cost Cost

    Safety Safety Safety Safety

  • Rapid Growth of Lithium-ion Battery

    Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Note: Assumes 100% of stationary is lithium-ion.

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030

    Annual GWh

    Electric vehicles

    Consumer goods

    Stationary storage

  • Cobalt would meet shortage sometime later

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    300,000

    350,000

    400,000

    450,000

    Cobalt market (metric ton/year) Demand Other

    Demand Storage

    Demand CE

    Demand E-Bus

    Demand EV

    Historic supply

    Future supply

    Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, press releases, Avicenne, USGS, IDTechEX, Wealthdaily

    Note: CE refers to consumer electronics, E-bus refers to electric buses

  • Cobalt Price increased more than 3 times in one year

    Source: cbcie.com Cobalt ≥99.8% Cobalt ≥99.3%

    USD/pound

  • Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Note: NMC chemistry modelled here is NMC (111). NMC battery pack cost is $223/kWh.

    Cobalt is the most fluctuations factor for NMC battery Percentage change in commodity price (%)

    -0.5% -0.3% -0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5%1.1% 1.6%

    -3.0% -1.7%

    -0.8%

    0.8%1.7% 3.3% 6.7% 10.0%

    -1.0% -0.6%-0.3%

    0.3%0.6% 1.1% 2.2% 3.4%

    -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6%

    -150% -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350%

    Lithium

    Cobalt

    Nickel

    Manganese

  • LFP vs NCM

    BYD WHAT CAN

    DO ?

  • BYD Strategy

    Technology

    Upgrading on NMC

    Strong Tech. Backup-LFP

    Repurpose&

    Recycling

  • Technology

    Upgrading on NMC

    Strong Tech.

    Backup-LFP

    Repurpose&

    Recycling

  • Forecast mass of used batteries coming out of electric vehicles

    • Notes: ONLY EV • Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

    Battery Data

    311,000 tonne = 25GWH

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    300,000

    350,000

    2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

    Unit:tonne

  • Battery Repurpose & Recycling

    xEV Battery System

    Module

    Repurpose

    Cell Recycle

    Cell

    Module

    Cell Material Other Uses

  • Baolong, Shenzhen Capacity:15MW/30MWH Area:1800 ㎡ Working Condition:3 cycle/day 0.5C Operating time:1700+cycles SOC range: 10%-100%

    Changsha Plant Capacity: 10MW/22.6MWH

    Area: 2500 ㎡ Working Condition: 2 cycle/day 0.3C

    Under Construction

    Repurpose - Energy Storage (Utility Scale)

  • Capacity: 48V/150Ah, Load: 70A

    Capacity: 48V/600Ah Load: 60A

    Repurpose - Communication Base Station

  • AGV (Automatic Guided Vehicle) Capacity:12V/150Ah ;24V/150Ah

    Repurpose - AGV

  • Battery disassembling automatically Separation of battery components Positive &negative plate drying & deodorization.

    Graphite elution, copper foil recycling. The positive material desorption, aluminum foil recycling

    Graphite removing impurity, cladding, regeneration and activation Lithium iron phosphate regeneration: lithium extraction, precursor preparation NMC elements extraction and regeneration

    Raw Material Recycling

    Battery disassembling take 3 steps

    1.Disassembling

    3.Regeneration

    2. Material Recycling

  • Raw Material Recycling

    Manganese

    Nickel Aluminum

    Copper Lithium

    95%

    95%

    95%

    95%

    85%

    Cobalt Graphite

    95%

    98%

    Raw Material Recycling

    Manganese Nickel Aluminum Copper Lithium

    95%

    95%

    95%

    95%

    85%

    Cobalt Graphite

    95%

    98%

  • Gap in the Future

    cobalt new supply

    Cobalt supply from recycling used batteries

    Notes:

    1.supposed battery Recycling volume equal battery used volume that year

    2. supposed 24 kwh battery contains 10 kg cobalt

    3. supposed 24kwh battery equal 0.29 tonnes

    4. supposed cobalt recycling rate is 95%

  • Technology

    Upgrading on NMC

    Strong Tech.

    Backup-LFP

    Repurpose&

    Recycling

  • Chinese Government Subsidy Policy

    Source: VehicleTrend

    Item 2017 China national subsidy standards

    2018 China national subsidy

    standards Change Remark

    Recharge Mileage

    100≤R

  • One Week Drive without Additional Charge Zero Range Anxiety for 400KM

    80km /day *5 days=400 km is enough for daily driving

    Driving Demand

  • BYD EV Recharge Mileage

  • LFP vs NCM

    WE WHAT CAN

    DO MORE ON LFP?

  • BYD Commercial Vehicle

  • BYD Skyrail

  • BYD Energy Storage

  • THANK YOU

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