synergies and trade-offs between energy efficiency and ...trade-off between energy intensity (all...
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Synergies and Trade-offs betweenEnergy Efficiency and SustainablityIndicators: The EU-28 Study of Sustainable Energy Use
Jari Kaivo-oja, Jyrki Luukkanen & Jarmo Kaivo-oja
Session 6, Futures of Energy
June 2017, Turku
Finland Futures Research Centre,
Turku School of Economics, University of Turku, Finland
Background analyses
Conventional synergy: Economiccycles are not smoothened
Long-run stabilized synergy: Calculation based on MovingAverage of variables to compensate the impacts of economic cycles and smoothenthe results in order to reveal thetrends
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Final energy consumption in the EU-28 countries (Million TOE, tonnes of oil equivalent), 1990-2014
900,0
1 100,0
1 300,0
1 500,0
1 700,0
1 900,0
2 100,0
2 300,0
2 500,0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Mill
ion
TO
E
Years
Final Energy Consumption in the EU-28 Countries (Million TOE, tonnes of equivalent)
United Kingdom
Sweden
Finland
Slovakia
Slovenia
Romania
Portugal
Poland
Austria
Netherlands
Malta
Hungary
Luxembourg
Lithuania
Latvia
Cyprus
Italy
Croatia
France
Spain
Greece
Ireland
Estonia
Germany (until 1990 former territory of the FRG)
Denmark
Czech Republic
Bulgaria
Belgium
European Union (28 countries)
Final energy consumption per capita (all Fuels, kWh/cap) in the EU-28 Countries, Years 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014, Eurostat.
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Energy Consumption per Capita, the EU-28 Countries, Gross Inland Consumption, ktoe/cap in Years 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014, Eurostat
1995 2000 2005 2010 2013 2014
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Changes in final energy consumption per capita (all Fuels, kWh/cap) in the EU-28 Countries, Years 1995-2000, 2005-2010, 2010-2014, Eurostat
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Changes in Energy Consumption per Capita, the EU-28 Countries, Gross Inland Consumption, ktoe/capin Between Years 1995-2000, 2000-2005, 2005-2010, 2010-2014, Eurostat
In 1995-2000 in 2000-2005 in 2005-2010 in 2010-2014
Total changes in final energy consumption per capita (all Fuels, kWh/cap) in the EU-28 Countries, Years 1995-2014, Eurostat.
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
Total Change in Energy Consumption per Capitain the EU-28 Countries, Gross Inland Consumption, ktoe/cap, Years 1995-2014
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Primary energy intensity (toe/Meuros) in the EU-28 Countries, Years 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014, Eurostat
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Primary Energy Intensity in the EU-28 Countries, toe/Meuros 2010, Years 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014, Eurostat
1995 2000 2005 2010 2013 2014
Changes in primary energy intensity (toe/Meuros) in the EU-28 countries, years 1995-2000, 2005-2010, 2010-2014, Eurostat
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
Changes in Primary Energy Intensity in the EU-28 Countries, toe/Meuros 2010, Between Years 1995-2000, 2000-2005, 2005-2010, 2010-2014, Eurostat
In 1995-2000 in 2000-2005 in 2005-2010 in 2010-2014
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Carbon intensity (kg CO2/toe) in the EU-28 countries, years 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014, Eurostat
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Carbon Intensity in the EU-28 Countries, kg CO2/toe, Years 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014, Eurostat
1995 2000 2005 2010 2013
Total Change in Carbon Intensity in the EU-28 Countries, kg CO2/toe, years 1995-2014
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
Total Change in Carbon Intensity in the EU-28 Countries, kg CO2/toe, years 1995-2014
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Population (First of Jan) in the EU-28 countries in 1995-2015
0
10 000 000
20 000 000
30 000 000
40 000 000
50 000 000
60 000 000
70 000 000
80 000 000
90 000 000
Population (First of Jan) in the EU-28 countries in 1995-2015
1995 2000 2005 2010 2013 2014
Urban population in the EU-28, years, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014 (World Bank 2016 Data)
0
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000
50000000
60000000
70000000
Urban population in the EU-28, years, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014 (World Bank 2016 Data)
1995 2000 2005 2010 2013 2014
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Analysis 1. Synergy analyses and trade-off-analyses
*Energy intensity and Value added*Energy Intensity and Population*Energy intensity and Urban population
Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between energy intensity and value added in the EU-28 countries.
-0,60
-0,50
-0,40
-0,30
-0,20
-0,10
0,00
0,10
0,20
Average Stabilised Synergy Level Analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between Energy Intensity and Value Added in the EU-28 Countries (SynergyStabilised-EI-VA)
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Trade-off analysis between energy intensity and value added in the EU-28 countries. Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014
-500 000,0
0,0
500 000,0
1000 000,0
1500 000,0
2000 000,0
2500 000,0
Val
ue
Ad
ded
, Mill
ion
eu
ros,
cu
rren
t p
rice
s eu
ros
gro
gro
ss
Energy Intensity (toe/Million euros 2010)
Trade-off between Energy Intensity (All Fuels, toe/Meuros 2010) and Value Added (Gross, Million Euros, current prices euros) in theEU-28 countries, (Average of variables in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014)
Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between energy intensity and population in the EU-28 countries.
-1,00
-0,80
-0,60
-0,40
-0,20
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
Average Stabilised Synergy Level Analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between Energy Intensity and Population in the EU-28 Countries (SynergyStabilised-EI-VA)SynergyStabilised-EI-POP
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Trade-off analysis between energy intensity and population in the EU-28 countries. Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014.
0
10 000 000
20 000 000
30 000 000
40 000 000
50 000 000
60 000 000
70 000 000
80 000 000
90 000 000
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Po
pu
lati
on
Energy Intensity, toe/Meuros 2010
Trade-off between Energy Intensity (All Fuels, toe/Meuros 2010) and Population (Number in First day of Jan) in the EU-28 countries, (Average of variables in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014)
Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between energy intensity and urban population in the EU-28 countries.
-1,00
-0,80
-0,60
-0,40
-0,20
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
Average Stabilised Synergy Level Analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between Energy Intensity and Urban Population in the EU-28 Countries (SynergyStabilised-EI-VA) SynergyStabilised-EI-POP(SynergyStabilised-EI-URBPOP)
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Trade-off analysis between energy intensity and urban population in the EU-28 countries. Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014.
0
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000
50000000
60000000
70000000
0,0 100,0 200,0 300,0 400,0 500,0 600,0 700,0
Urb
an p
op
luat
ion
Energy Intensity, All Fuels, toe/Meuros 2010
Trade-off between Energy Intensity (All Fuels, toe/Meuros 2010) and Urban population (Number in First day of Jan) in the EU-28 countries, (Average of variables in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014)
Analysis 2. Synergy analyses and trade-off-analyses
*Energy consumption per cap and Value added*Energy consumption per cap and Population*Energy consumption per cap and Urban population
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Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between average energy consumption per capita and average value added in the EU-28 countries
-0,60
-0,50
-0,40
-0,30
-0,20
-0,10
0,00
0,10
0,20
Average Stabilised Synergy Level Analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between Energy Consumption per Capita and Value Added in the EU-28 Countries (SynergyDynamic-EnerConsumptionPerCap-VA)
Trade-off analysis between energy consumption per capita and value added in the EU-28 countries. Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014
-500 000,0
0,0
500 000,0
1000 000,0
1500 000,0
2000 000,0
2500 000,0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Val
ue
Ad
ded
, Gro
ss, M
illio
n E
uro
s, c
urr
ent
pri
ves
Energy Consumption. Gross Inland Consumption, ktoe/cap
Trade-off between Energy Consumption per Capita (Gross Inland Consumption, ktoe/cap) and Value Added (Gross, Million Euros, current prices euro) in the EU-28 countries, (Average of variables in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014)
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Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between average energy consumption per capita and average population in the EU-28 countries.
-1,00
-0,80
-0,60
-0,40
-0,20
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
Average Stabilised Synergy Level Analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between Energy Consumption per Capita and Population in the EU-28 Countries (SynergyStabilised EnergyConsumption per Cap-Pop)
Trade-off analysis between energy consumption per capita and population in the EU-28 countries. Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014
0
10 000 000
20 000 000
30 000 000
40 000 000
50 000 000
60 000 000
70 000 000
80 000 000
90 000 000
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Po
pu
lati
on
Energy Consumption per Capita, Gross Inland Consumption, ktoe/cap
Trade-off between Energy Consumption per Capita (Gross Inland Consumption, ktoe/cap) and Population (First of Jan) in the EU-28 countries, (Average of variables in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014)
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Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between average energy consumption per capita and average urban population in the EU-28 countries
-1,00
-0,80
-0,60
-0,40
-0,20
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
Average Stabilised Synergy Level Analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between Energy Consumption per Capita and Urban Population in the EU-28 Countries (SynergyStabilised-EnergyConsumptionperCap-UrbPop)
Trade-off analysis between energy consumption per capita and urban population in the EU-28 countries. Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1995-2014
0
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000
50000000
60000000
70000000
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Urb
an p
op
ula
tio
n
Energy Consumption per Capita, Gross Inland Consumption, ktoe/cap
Trade-off between Energy Consumption per Capita (Gross Inland Consumption, ktoe/cap) and Urban population (First of Jan) in the EU-28 countries, (Average of variables in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014)
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Analysis 3. Synergy analyses and trade-off-analyses
*Final electricity consumption per cap and Value added*Final electricity consumption per cap and Population*Final electricity consumption per cap and Urban population
Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between final electricity consumption per capita and average value added in the EU-28 countries
-0,60
-0,50
-0,40
-0,30
-0,20
-0,10
0,00
0,10
0,20
Average Stabilised Synergy Level Analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between Final Electricity Consumption per Capita and Value Added in the EU-28 Countries (SynergyStabilised-Final Electricity Consumption-VA)
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Trade-off analysis between final electricity consumption per capita and value added in the EU-28 countries. Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014
-500 000,0
0,0
500 000,0
1000 000,0
1500 000,0
2000 000,0
2500 000,0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Val
ue
Ad
ded
, Gro
ss, M
illio
n E
uro
s
Final Electricty Consumption per Capita, All Fuels, kWh/cap
Trade-off between Final Electricty Consumption per Capita (All Fuels, kWh/cap) and Value Added (Gross, Million Euros, current prices euro) in the EU-28 countries, (Average of variables in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014)
Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between final electricity consumption per capita and average population in the EU-28 countries
-1,00
-0,80
-0,60
-0,40
-0,20
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
Average Stabilised Synergy Level Analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between Final Electricity Consumption per Capita and Population in the EU-28 Countries (SynergyStabilised-Final Electricity Consumption per Capita-Pop)
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Trade-off analysis between final electricity consumption per capita and population in the EU-28 countries. Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014
0
10 000 000
20 000 000
30 000 000
40 000 000
50 000 000
60 000 000
70 000 000
80 000 000
90 000 000
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Po
pu
lati
on
Final Electricity Consumption per Capita, kWh/cap
Trade-off between Final Elecricity Consumption per Capita (All Fuels, kWh/cap) and Population (First of Jan) in the EU-28 countries, (Average of variables in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014)
Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between final electricity consumption per capita and average urban population in the EU-28 countries
-1,00
-0,80
-0,60
-0,40
-0,20
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
Average Stabilised Synergy Level Analysis in 1985-2014: Synergy analysis between Final Electricity Consumption per Capita and Urban Population in the EU-28 Countries (SynergyStabilised-Final Electricity Consumption per Capita-UrbanPop)
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Trade-off analysis between final electricity consumption per capita and urban population in the EU-28 countries. Average stabilised synergy level analysis in 1985-2014
0
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000
50000000
60000000
70000000
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Urb
an p
op
luat
ion
Final Electricity Consumption per Capita, All fiels, kWh/cap
Trade-off between Final Elecricity Consumption per Capita (All Fuels, kWh/cap) and Urban population (First of Jan) in the EU-28countries, (Average of variables in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013 and 2014)
Synergy analyses 4-6
• There were synergy analyses 4-6 too, but these are not reported in detail in this presentation
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Energy intensity and sustainable societyindicators: SSI framework (21 indicators)
Methodological framework: Synergy between SSI system indicators and energy intensity indicators in the EU-28 region
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Example 1: EU-28 Synergy Analysis between Healthy Life and Energy Intensity.
-0,6
-0,4
-0,2
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
EU-28 Synergy Analysis between Healthy Life and Energy Intensity
Synergy, Dynamic, Healthy Life-Energy Intensity Synergy, stabilised, Healthy Life-Energy Intensity
Example 2: EU-28 Synergy Analysis between Good Governance and Energy Intensity.
-0,8
-0,6
-0,4
-0,2
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
EU-28 Synergy Analysis between Good Governance and Energy Intensity
Synergy, Dynamic, Good Governance-Energy Intensity Synergy, stabilised, Good Governance-Energy Intensity
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Example 3: EU-28 Synergy Analysis between Biodiversity of Forest Area and Energy Intensity.
-0,8
-0,6
-0,4
-0,2
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
EU-28 Synergy Analysis between Biodiversity of Forest Area and Energy Intensity
Synergy, Dynamic, Biodiversity of Forest Area-Energy Intensity Synergy, stabilised, Biodiversity of Forest Area-Energy Intensity
Example 4: EU-28 Synergy Analysis between GDP and Energy Intensity
-1
-0,8
-0,6
-0,4
-0,2
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
EU-28 Synergy Analysis between GDP and Energy Intensity
Synergy, Dynamic, GDP-Energy Intensity Synergy, stabilised, GDP-Energy Intensity
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Example 5: Value Added in the EU-28 countries, Value added, gross, in current prices, million euros
0,0
500 000,0
1000 000,0
1500 000,0
2000 000,0
2500 000,0
3000 000,0
Value Added in the EU-28 countries, Value added, gross, in current prices, million euros
1995 2000 2005 2010 2013 2014
Example 6: EU-28 Synergy Analysis between Employment and Energy Intensity.
-0,8
-0,6
-0,4
-0,2
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
EU-28 Synergy Analysis between Employment and Energy Intensity
Synergy, Dynamic, Employment-Energy Intensity Synergy, stabilised, Employment-Energy Intensity
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Summary section
Summary and conclusions of explorative analyses (Analyses1-5)Synergy analysis Direction of synergy
between variables Trade-off analysis Exceptions among
EU-28 countries
1. Energy Intensity and Value Added
Negative in 26 EU -28 countries
The higher is value -added, the lower is energy intensity.
Luxembourg and Austria.
2. Energy Intensity and Population
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (18 countries). 9 EU -member countries had positive synergies. One country, Portugal had almost zero level synergy.
The lower is population, the higher is energy intensity.
No clear exceptions.
3. Energy intensity and urban population
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (21 countries). One country, Czech Republic had almost zero level synergy.
The lower is urban population, the higher is energy intensity.
No clear exceptions. Seven EU- countries had positive synergies.
4. Energy consumption per capita and value added
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (26 countries).
The higher is value -added, the lower is energy consumption pe r capita.
Luxembourg and Austria.
5. Energy consumption and population
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (17 countries). 11 EU -member countries had positive synergies. Slovakia had almost zero level synergy.
The higher is population, the lower is energy consumption per capita.
No clear exceptions.
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Summary and conclusions of explorative analyses(Analyses 6-10)
1. Energy consumption and urban population
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (21 countries). Seven EU -member countries had positive synergies.
The higher is urban population, the lower is energy consumption per capita.
No clear exceptions.
2. Final electricity consumption per capita and value added
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (26 countries). Two EU -member countries had positive synergies.
The higher is value added, the lower is final electricity consumption per capita
Luxembourg and Austria.
3. Final electricity consumption per capita and population
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (18 countries). In ten EU -member states is was positive.
The higher is population, the lower is final electricity consumption per capita.
No clear exceptions.
4. Final electricity consumption per capita and urban population
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (21 countries). In seven EU-member states is was positive.
The higher is urban population, the lower is final electricity consumption per capita.
No clear exceptions.
5. Primary energy intensity and value added
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (26 countries). In two EU -member states is was positive.
The higher is value added, the lower is primary energy intensity.
Luxembourg and Austria.
Summary and conclusions of explorative analyses(Analyses 11-15)
1. Primary energy intensity and population
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (21 countries). In nine EU -member states is was positive.
The higher is population, the lower is primary energy intensity.
No clear exceptions.
2. Primary energy intensity and urban population
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (21 countries). In nine EU -member states is was positive. In Czech Republic it was almost zero.
The higher is urban population, the lower is primary energy intensity.
No clear exceptions.
3. Carbon intensity and value added
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (22 countries). In four EU -member states is was positive. In Malta and Hungary it was zero.
The higher is value added, the lower is carbon intensity.
Czech Republic, Latvia, Luxembourg and Hungary.
4. Carbon intensity and population
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergies (15 countries). In el even EU-member states is was positive. In Malta it was zero.
The higher is population, the lower is carbon intensity.
Bulgaria and Romania had very positive synergy.
5. Carbon intensity and urban population
Majority of EU -28 countries had negative synergie s (21 countries). In seven EU-member states is was positive. In Malta it was zero.
The higher is urban population, the lower is carbon intensity.
Bulgaria, Estonia and Romania had very positive synergy. Belgium, Poland and Cyprus had very negative synergy.
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Sustainable society indicators and energyintensity: Results of synergy analysesSynergy analysis Direction of synergy
between variables Policy harmosation field
Special comments
1. Energy Intensity and Sufficient Food
Both positive and negative synergies identified
Basic needs Sustainability problems in some EU-member countries
2. Energy Intensity and Sufficient Drink
Both positive and negative synergies identified
Basic needs Sustainability problems in some EU-member countries
3. Energy Intensity and Safe Sanitation
Both positive and negative synergies identified
Basic needs Sustainability problems in some EU-member countries
4. Energy Intensity and Education
Negative synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Health France and Sweden are clearly exceptions (strongest positive synergies in relative terms).
5. Energy Intensity and Healthy Life
Negative synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Health Estonia and F inland are clearly exceptions (strongest positive synergies in relative terms).
Sustainable society indicators and energyintensity: Results of synergy analyses1. Energy Intensity
and Gender Equality
Negative synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Health France and Finland are clearly exceptions (strongest positive synergies in relative terms).
2. Energy Intensity and Income Distribution
Positive synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Personal and social development
France and Slovakia are clearly exceptions (strongest positive synergies in relative terms).
3. Population Growth Both positive and negative synergies identified
Personal and social development
Lithuania and Estonia are clearly exceptions (strongest negative synergies in relative terms). Ireland and Cyprus are clearly exceptions (strongest positive synergies in relative terms.
4. Energy Intensity and Good Governance
Positive synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Personal and social development
Cyprus is clearly an exception (strongest negative synergy in relative terms). Hungary, Malta and the Netherlands are clearly exceptions (stron gest positive synergies in relative terms.
5. Energy Intensity and Biodiversity of Forest Area
Both positive and negative synergies identified
Natural resources
Ireland is clearly an exception (strongest positive synergy in relative terms. Poland is clearly an exception (strongest negative synergy in relative terms.
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Sustainable society indicators and energyintensity: Results of synergy analyses1. Energy Intensity
and Biodiversity, Protected Ares
Positive synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Natural resources
Greece is clearly an exception (strongest positive synergy in relative terms. Portugal is clearly an exception (strongest negative synergy in relative terms.
2. Energy Intensity and Renewable Water
Positive synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Natural resources
Negative synergies were found in Estonia, Finland and Greece.
3. Energy Intensity and Consumption
Both positive and negative synergies identified
Climate and energy
Both Romania and Hungary have highest positive synergies. Strong negative synergies were observed in Cyprus, Lithuania and Poland.
4. Energy Intensity and Energy Use
Positive synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Climate and energy
Ireland, Portugal and Slovakia have highest positive synergies. Strong negative synergy was observed in Finland.
5. Energy Intensity and Energy Savings
Positive synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Climate and energy
Many EU-member states have negative synergies
Sustainable society indicators and energyintensity: Results of synergy analyses1. Energy Intensity
and Greenhouse Gases
Positive synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Climate and energy
Greece, Lithuania and Finland have negative synergies.
2. Energy Intensity and Renewable Energy
Negative synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Climate and energy
Portugal shows very positive synergy. Very strong negative synergies were observed in Lithuania, Luxembourg and Romania.
3. Energy Intensity and Organic Framing
Negative synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Transition Estonia, Greece, Latvia and Finland have positive synergies.
4. Energy Intensity and Genuine Savings
Positive synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Transition Portugal is an exception with almost +0,80 synergy. Strong negative synergies have Germany, Estonia, Lithuania, Sweden and Finland.
5. Energy Intensity and Gross Domestic Product
Negative synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Economy Ireland is an exception with strong positive synergy (over +0,50). Positive syner gies were observed in Spain, Croatia, Italy, Luxembourg and Finland.
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Sustainable society indicators and energyintensity: Results of synergy analyses
1. Energy Intensity and Employment
Negative synergy in narrow majority of EU28-countries
Economy France is an exception. It has -0,50 negative synergy. Austria is also an exception. It has almost +0,50 positive synergy.
2. Energy Intensity and Public Debt
Negative synergy in majority of EU28 -countries
Economy Many EU-member states have positive synergies
Conclusions
• These reported synergy analyses above reveal that in many EU member there are needs to correct incentive schemes of energy policy. The European Union also has knowledge based reasons to pay special attention to the following energy policy issues: (1) Improving energy efficiency in Central and Eastern European member states, (2) improving energy efficiency in the context of fast urbanization in European cities and metropolitan regions and (3) paying a special attention to energy and sustainability policy harmonisation in the EU member states.
• It is very important to critically evaluate the integration of sustainable development policy with energy savings and efficiency solutions. In some EU member countries, there are still some problems, as shown above, in the integration of these policy arenas. The results of this report reveal that the potential synergy differs from country to country and also overt time. The EUFORIE report gives us very detailed information about these differences, but also vital information about similarities. This report reveal also interesting linkages of sustainability policy. In this EUFORIE report we limited our synergy analyses on looking pairwise synergy/trade-off analysis of various key SSI and energy variables, which are relevant for energy saving/energy efficiency policies in the EU-28 region.
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Conclusions
• The synergy method serves us for envisaging the linkages among policy sectors and track the sustainable development in more integrated approach to develop coherent energy and sustainability policies in the EU-28 region. Also transition paths towards better sustainability can be analysed by such synergy analyses.
Thank you for attention!
Dr Jarmo Vehmas, FFRC,TSE, University of Turku
Dr Jyrki Luukkanen, FFRC,TSE, University of Turku
Dr Jari Kaivo-oja, FFRC,TSE, University of Turku