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Tailings Storage Facilities; From Recent Lows to New Heights Tailings Storage Facilities Insights - Types, Failures, and Management Guidelines Update 52 nd IMIA Conference 19 th to 23 rd October 2019 Hotel Savoyen, Vienna, Austria Richard Stahl Director International Forensics Jensen Hughes UK Ltd. 21 October 2019

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  • Tailings Storage Facilities; From Recent Lows to New Heights

    Tailings Storage Facilities Insights - Types, Failures,

    and Management Guidelines Update

    52nd IMIA Conference

    19th to 23rd October 2019

    Hotel Savoyen, Vienna, Austria

    Richard Stahl

    Director International Forensics

    Jensen Hughes UK Ltd.

    21 October 2019

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    • Tailings and Processing

    • Tailings Storage Facilities Overview

    • Failure History Dashboard

    • Mount Polley, Samarco, Newcrest, Brumandinho (Feijão)

    • Upgrading Guidelines or Practices Towards Zero Failure

    OVERVIEW

    2

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    MY BACKGROUND

    • B.Ap.Sc. (Civil) UBC: 1987

    • Klohn Leonoff Ltd. 1987 to 1990

    • U of A (Alberta) M.Sc. (bypassed) Ph.D. Geotechnical: 1990-1991, 1993-1996

    • AMEC Inc.: 1993 to 1993

    • GWA then Golder Associates (HK): 1996-2001

    • London Business School: 2001 to 2003

    • Golder Associates Ltd. 2003-2006

    • Giffin Koerth then -30- Inc. 2006-2017

    • Jensen Hughes UK Ltd. 2017

    • P.Eng. (Canada), CEng., FICE (UK)

    3

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    SUMMARY PROCEDURES IN MINING PRODUCTION

    Grinding

    Leaching HeatingConcentration

    Dewatering

    Concentrate EmulsionProduct

    4

    Ore

    Waste Tailings

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    TAILINGS DEWATERING RANGE AND CONSISTENCY

    Tailings Type Consistency

    Water with Sand/Silt/Clay

    Sandy Yogurt

    Wet Sand

    Thin Milk Shake

    Moist Sand

    De

    creasin

    g Wate

    r Co

    nte

    nt

    Pu

    mp

    able

    No

    n-P

    um

    pab

    le

    • Likely lowest operating cost• Least efficient water

    conservation• Containment dams required• Potential seepage issues• Water management

    considerations

    Unsaturated

    Saturated

    Tailings Slurry

    Thickened Tailings

    Paste Tailings

    Wet Filtered Tailings

    Dry Filtered Tailings

    • Water conservation • Negligible seepage • Progressive reclamation• More stable tailings mass• Minimal containment berms• Simpler water management• High operating costs 5

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    AN ILLUSTRATION OF TAILINGS VOLUMES - GOLD

    6

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    • 1 g/gold/metric tonne of rock (on average)

    • 2018, 3,260 metric tonnes of gold = 3.3B metric tonnes of rock mined

    • Rock density of 2.6 g/cm3, bulking factor of 1.6, ►2B m3 of tailings

    VOLUME OF TAILINGS PRODUCED FOR GOLD IN 2018

    7

    X 2 or 620 m

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    OPEN PIT DISPOSAL

    8

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    DAMS PLUS TOPOGRAPHIC RELIEF

    9

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    RING DAMS FOR FLATTER TERRAIN – OILSANDS 2016

    10

    Mildred Lake Tailings Pond18 km circumference

    40 m (avg) to 88 m (max) high

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    THICKENED TAILINGS DISPOSAL

    Ref.: Thickened Tailings Disposal at Xstrata Copper Canada, Kidd Metallurgical Site

    Shiu Kam, David Yaschyshyn , Michael Patterson and David Scott11

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    PASTE TAILINGS – SURFACE & UNDERGROUND

    12

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FURTHER DEWATERING THROUGH DRY STACKING

    13

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    CO-DISPOSAL OF TAILINGS WITH WASTE ROCK

    14

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    PROGRESSION IN DEWATERING TECHNIQUES

    15Ref.:Davies, M.P, & Lupo, J. & Martin, T. & McRoberts, E. & Musse, M. & Ritchie,

    D., 2010, Dewatered Tailings Practice – Trends and Observations. In proceedings

    of Tailings and Mine Waste ’10, Balkema.

    Most filtered facilities ≤ 6,500 tpd

    emphasis within arid climates

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    Dewatering Technology

    Typical Processing & Transport Cost

    ($/t)

    Typical Dam & Water

    Management Cost ($/t)

    Typical Total ($/t)

    Range of Cost ($/t)

    Relative Increase in Typical Total Compared to Conventional

    Unthickened(conventional)

    $0.20 $1.00 $1.20 $0.50 to $2.50 100%

    Thickened $0.30 $1.00 $1.30 $0.50 to $2.50 110%

    High density thickened

    $0.50 $0.90 $1.50 $0.75 to $2.50 125%

    Paste $1.50 $0.50 $2.00 $2.00 to $8.00 170%

    Filtered $5.00 $0.20 $5.20 $4.00 to $12.00 430%

    RANGE OF PROCESSING & INITIAL STORAGE COST

    16

    De

    creasin

    g Wate

    r Co

    nte

    nt

    Notes: 1. Costs are site and project specific and are indicative only

    2. Cost per tonne typically decrease with increased tonnage due to economies of scale

    3. Capital and closure costs not included.

    “No universally ideal tailings dewatering technology or facility types…the ideal solution will depend on the

    tailings properties, production scale, site characteristics, available technologies and facility types.”

    Ref.: Mining Environment Neutral Drainage, October 2017

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    TAILINGS DAMS – FOUR MAIN APPROACHES

    Embankment Construction

    • Constructed to full height prior to deposition, likely under 1 contract/contractor

    • Good permanent water storage suitability

    • Any type of tailings

    • Good seismic resistance

    • Requires natural soil

    • Relatively high embankment cost

    17Ref: Vick, S.G. (1990). Planning, design, and analysis of tailings

    dams. Vancouver, B.C.: BiTech Publishers Ltd., 369 pgs.

    WATER

    TAILINGS

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    TAILINGS DAMS – FOUR MAIN APPROACHES

    Downstream Construction

    • Constructed progressively using tailings, mine waste, or natural borrow materials

    • Good permanent water storage suitability

    • Any type of tailings

    • Good seismic resistance

    • Relatively high embankment cost (compared to centerline & upstream methods) spread over life of facility

    18Ref: Vick, S.G. (1990). Planning, design, and analysis of tailings

    dams. Vancouver, B.C.: BiTech Publishers Ltd., 369 pgs.

    TAILINGS

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    TAILINGS DAMS – FOUR MAIN APPROACHES

    Centerline Construction

    • Constructed progressively using tailings, mine waste, or natural borrow materials

    • Good temporary water storage ability

    • Sands or low plasticity silts

    • Acceptable seismic resistance

    • Raising rate restrictions may apply

    • Moderate embankment cost (less than downstream methods) spread over life of facility

    19Ref: Vick, S.G. (1990). Planning, design, and analysis of tailings

    dams. Vancouver, B.C.: BiTech Publishers Ltd., 369 pgs.

    TAILINGS

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    TAILINGS DAMS – FOUR MAIN APPROACHES

    Upstream Construction

    • Constructed progressively using tailings, mine waste, or natural borrow materials

    • Majority of all tailings dams worldwide

    • Lowest embankment cost compared to above methods

    • Sand requirements of 40% to 60%

    • Not suitable for significant water storage

    • Poor seismic resistance

    • Raising rate restrictions of 15 -30 ft (4.6-9.1m) per year may apply

    20Ref: Vick, S.G. (1990). Planning, design, and analysis of tailings

    dams. Vancouver, B.C.: BiTech Publishers Ltd., 369 pgs.

    TAILINGS

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    TAILINGS DAMS’ RELATIVE EMBANKMENT VOLUMES

    Upstream Construction

    Centerline Construction

    Downstream Construction

    Area A1

    Area A2 = 2A1

    Area A3 = 3A1

    21Ref: Vick, S.G. (1990). Planning, design, and analysis of tailings

    dams. Vancouver, B.C.: BiTech Publishers Ltd., 369 pgs.

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    GROWTH AND EVOLUTION WITH TIME – LL DAM 1988

    97C

    22

    1988:

    120 m tall

    1,100 m Crest

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    GROWTH AND EVOLUTION WITH TIME – LL DAM 2010

    97C

    23

    Circa 2010:

    180 m tall

    2,500 m Crest

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    GROWTH AND EVOLUTION WITH TIME – LL DAM 45 YEARS OLD

    AND GROWING

    Approx. footprint of 1988 structure

    97C

    24

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    TAILINGS DAMS ARE/CAN BE COMPLEX STRUCTURES

    25

    Water

    Resources

    Tailings

    Dam

    Versus

    Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    ACCIDENTS AND FAILURE EVENTS OVER TIME

    26Ref.: Conclusions From Evaluation of Tailings Dam Incidents”, Strachan, C.,

    and Van, R., USSD April 2018

    ≈10/YEAR ≈2/YEAR

    3500 tailings operating dams in 2000• 1:1,000 Failure Frequency• 1:100 Event Frequency

    By Comparison:For earthfill and rockfill dams in the U.S. constructed after 1960 (H 15 m to 90 m), estimated annual failure frequency is1:10,000 (Martin & Davies 2000)

    • Greatest proportion of failures through Overtopping, Spillway, and Erosion

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    REPORTED CAUSE OF FAILURE

    27Ref.: Conclusions From Evaluation of Tailings Dam Incidents”, Strachan, C.,

    and Van, R., USSD April 2018

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    Samarco

    Cadia

    Brumandinho

    Volume of Roman Colosseum

    Channel Tunnel Excavation Volume

    Volume of Olympic Swimming Pool

    Mount Polley

    1,000

    10,000

    100,000

    1,000,000

    10,000,000

    100,000,000

    1,000,000,000

    1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 100,000,000 1,000,000,000

    Tail

    ings

    Re

    leas

    e V

    olu

    me

    (m)

    Tailings Storage Volume (m3)

    VOLUME RELEASED VS STORED VOLUME

    28Ref.: CIGB-ICOLD Bulletin No. 121 titled “Tailings Dams, Risks of Dangerous

    Occurrences – Lessons Learnt from Practical Experiences” 2001, 146 pages.,

    http://www.wise-uranium.org/mdaf.html

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    Mount Polley

    Samarco

    Cadia

    Brumandinho

    0.1

    1

    10

    100

    1000

    1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 100,000,000

    Tail

    ings

    Tra

    vel (

    km)

    Tailings Release Volume (m3)

    Rio

    Par

    aop

    eba

    VOLUME RELEASED VS RUNOUT DISTANCE

    29Ref.: CIGB-ICOLD Bulletin No. 121 titled “Tailings Dams, Risks of Dangerous

    Occurrences – Lessons Learnt from Practical Experiences” 2001, 146 pages.,

    http://www.wise-uranium.org/mdaf.html

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

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    lum

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    d P

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    Inci

    de

    nt

    (m3

    )

    Date

    Reported Volume Released Per Incident

    Cumulative Reported Volume Released

    >2,280 Reported Dead or Missing

    Ref.: CIGB-ICOLD Bulletin No. 121 titled “Tailings Dams, Risks of Dangerous

    Occurrences – Lessons Learnt from Practical Experiences” 2001, 146 pages.,

    http://www.wise-uranium.org/mdaf.html

    EVENT AND CUMULATIVE VOLUME AND LIVES LOST

    30

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    31

    MOUNT POLLEY 4 AUG 2014

    Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    MOUNT POLLEY 4 AUG 2014 - VIDEO

    32Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    MOUNT POLLEY - LAYOUT AND CROSS-SECTIONS

    33Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    MOUNT POLLEY - IMAGES SUPPORTING FOUNDATION FAILURE

    34Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    MOUNT POLLEY - IMAGES SUPPORTING FOUNDATION FAILURE

    35Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    MOUNT POLLEY TAILINGS TRAVEL DISTANCE

    ≈22 km from breach

    36

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    MOUNT POLLEY EXPERT PANEL FINDINGS

    “The design did not take into account

    the complexity of the sub-glacial and

    pre-glacial geological environment

    associated with the Perimeter

    Embankment foundation. As a result,

    foundation investigations and

    associated site characterization failed

    to identify a continuous

    Glaciolacustrine (GLU) layer in the

    vicinity of the breach and to recognize

    that it was susceptible to undrained

    failure when subject to the stresses

    associated with the embankment.”

    37Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    SAMARCO FUNDÃO TAILINGS DAM FAILURE 5 NOV 2015

    38Ref.: Fundao Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the

    Failure of the Fundao Dam, 25 August 2016,

    https://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/2015/11/08/samarco-1/

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the

    Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF – APRIL 2005

    39

    SANTAREM DAM AND RESERVOIR

    GERMANO TSF GERMANO

    DAM

    SELA DYKE

    TULIPA DYKE

    FUTUREFUNDÃO TSF

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF DESIGN INTENT

    40

    SLIMES

    SAND TAILINGS

    Sand Tailings (70%)40% to 60% fine sand, 40% to 60% Silt,

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF SAND TO SLIMES RATIO

    24% 25%

    64%

    48%

    67%63%

    58%

    65%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    -

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    5,000,000

    6,000,000

    7,000,000

    8,000,000

    9,000,000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    PER

    CEN

    TAG

    E O

    F SA

    ND

    TA

    ILIN

    GS

    VO

    LUM

    E O

    F SA

    ND

    OR

    SLI

    MES

    (M

    3)

    YEAR

    Sand Tailings Dyke 1 Reservoir

    Slimes Dyke 1 Reservoir, Sand and Slimes Dyke 2 Reservoir

    Percentage of Sand in Dyke 1 Reservoir to Total Tailings

    DESIGN INTENT 70% SAND, 30% SLIMES

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the Failure of

    the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016., Federal Public Service, MJ-Federal Police Regional

    Superintendents in the State of Minas Gerais, Technical Scientific Sector (2016). Report No.

    994/2016 – SETEC/SR/PF/MG – Federal Forensic Report (Engineering).

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF – SEPT 2011

    42

    FUNDÃO DAM (DYKE 1)

    DYKE 2

    FUNDÃO TSF

    SANTAREM DAM AND RESERVOIR

    GERMANO TSF GERMANO

    DAM

    SELA DYKE

    TULIPA DYKE

    SELINHA DYKE

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF – MAY 2013

    43

    FUNDÃO DAM (DYKE 1)

    DYKE 2

    FUNDÃO TSF

    SANTAREM DAM AND RESERVOIR

    GERMANO TSF GERMANO

    DAM

    SELA DYKE

    TULIPA DYKE

    SELINHA DYKE

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF – AUG 2014

    44

    FUNDÃO DAM (DYKE 1)

    DYKE 2BURIED

    FUNDÃO TSF

    SANTAREM DAM AND RESERVOIR

    GERMANO TSF GERMANO

    DAM

    SELA DYKE

    TULIPA DYKE

    SELINHA DYKE

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF – JULY 2015

    45

    FUNDÃO DAM (DYKE 1)

    FUNDÃO TSF

    SANTAREM DAM AND RESERVOIR

    GERMANO TSF GERMANO

    DAM

    SELA DYKE

    TULIPA DYKE

    SELINHA DYKE

    DYKE 2BURIED

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF ELEVATION VIEW OCT 2015

    46

    Right Abutment

    Left Abutment

    Initial then Second Setback

    Dyke 1 Starter Dyke

    Dyke 2 (covered)

    Ref.: www.mining.com/why-samarco-tailings-dam-failed/

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF DYKE 1 FAILURE – APRIL 2009

    • Failure 4 months following sand tailings

    deposition, ± 10 month following slimes

    deposition

    • Dyke 1A constructed u/s to investigate

    • Gross construction defects with respect

    to foundation drains

    • Foundation drains abandoned

    • Replaced with blanket drain at El. 826 m

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the Failure

    of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016., Federal Public Service, MJ-Federal Police Regional

    Superintendents in the State of Minas Gerais, Technical Scientific Sector (2016). Report

    No. 994/2016 – SETEC/SR/PF/MG – Federal Forensic Report (Engineering).

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF DYKE 1A – SLIMES WITHIN DYKE 1 RESERVOIR

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the Failure of

    the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016., Federal Public Service, MJ-Federal Police Regional

    Superintendents in the State of Minas Gerais, Technical Scientific Sector (2016). Report

    No. 994/2016 – SETEC/SR/PF/MG – Federal Forensic Report (Engineering).

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF FAILURE OF DRAINAGE GALLERIES

    Secondary Gallery November 2012Primary Gallery July 2010

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the Failure of

    the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016., Federal Public Service, MJ-Federal Police Regional

    Superintendents in the State of Minas Gerais, Technical Scientific Sector (2016). Report

    No. 994/2016 – SETEC/SR/PF/MG – Federal Forensic Report (Engineering).

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF SLIMES MIGRATION

    Overflow Channel Operational

    Period:

    ▪ February 2011 – July 2012

    (18 Months)

    ▪ July 2013 – December 2013

    (6 Months)

    50

    Crest of Fundão Dam Oct 2015

    Former Dyke 1A

    Overflow Channel – Slimes from Dyke 2 to Dyke 1 Reservoir

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the

    Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF SLIMES MIGRATION

    Designed and constructed alignment up to ~El. 855m

    Actual dam alignment at the DOL

    Projected designed alignment on El. 900m

    Former Dyke 1A

    Limits of Blanket Drain

    Slimes Retained By Dyke 1A

    Slimes From Overflow Channel

    January 2012

    March 2012

    September 2011

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the

    Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF SLIMES MIGRATION

    Design Water Table

    Range of Actual Water Tables Interpreted From Piezometers

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the

    Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    53

    FUNDÃO TSF FROM RIGHT ABUTMENT NOV 2015

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the

    Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF FROM RIGHT ABUTMENT POST FAILURE

    54Ref.: www.theguardian.com/world/2018/

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    FUNDÃO TSF FROM LEFT ABUTMENT PRE & DURING FAILURE

    55

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the

    Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF FAILURE ORIGINATING FROM LEFT ABUTMENT -

    VIDEO

    56

    Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the

    Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,

    Reduction in

    Confining Stress on

    Loose, Saturated

    Contractive

    Tailings….Causing

    Collapse

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF DOWNSTREAM IMPACT

    57Ref.: https://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/2015/11/08/samarco-1/,

    https://www.unenvironment.org/news-and-stories/story/dam-or-be-damned-mining-

    safety-under-scrutiny

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    FUNDÃO TSF DOWNSTREAM IMPACT – SANTAREM DAM

    Before After

    58

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF BENTO RODRIGUES - 7 KM D/S - VIDEO

    00:01:07

    00:03:40

    00:05:40

    00:00:00

    ?

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    FUNDÃO TSF TAILINGS TRAVEL DISTANCE

    60

    November 22, 2015

    650 KM IN 17 DAYS

    • 35 Mm3 of Tailings Evacuated

    • 20 Mm3 of Tailings Remained

    • 19 Lives Lost

    • 600 People Displaced

    • Samarco’s Operations Suspended Now

    For 3 Years (PD $MM, BI $B)

    • 22 Criminal Indictments

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    NEWCREST CADIA VALLEY OPERATIONS 9 MAR 2018

    • NTSF PRIOR TO FAILURE

    • 91 m maximum embankment

    height

    • 3,900 m crest length

    • 9 m crest width

    • 450 ha area

    • 160 Mm3 tailings stored

    • 170 Mm3 tailings capacity

    61Ref.: Newcrest Market Release 12 March 2018, 27 March 2018, 3 April 2018

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    CADIA NTSF REPORTED EVENTS PRIOR TO FAILURE

    8 March 2018:• M2.7 Earthquake occurred

    9 March 2018:• Cracking (morning), then

    embankment slumped (19:00)

    • Tailings deposition stopped

    10 March 2018:• Suspension of all mining and

    processing operations

    • Geotechnical monitoring including radar and cameras established

    “Prior to slump”• Relocated residents of 2 houses

    • Briefed landholders below tailings dams and requested restricted access

    62Ref.: Newcrest Market Release 12 March 2018, 27 March 2018, 3 April 2018

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    CADIA NTSF FAILURE DIMENSIONS AND CONTAINMENT

    63

    Dimensions Reported/Estimated:

    • ≈ 270 m wide

    • ≈ 60 to 90 m high

    • ≈ 100 m u/s

    • ≈ 200 m d/s

    • ≈ 1.3 Mm3 of soil

    • Limited flow liquefaction propagation

    • Construction of 2 km of containment

    bunds/berms

    • Mining resumed 17 days after

    slump, processing resumed 22 days

    after slump

    Ref.: Ref.: Newcrest Market Release 12 March 2018, 27 March 2018, 3 April 2018,

    www.mining-journal.com/research/news/1316689/cadia-tailings-dam-failure-to-hit-

    guidance

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    CADIA NTSF AND STSF JUNE 2016

    64

    Pond located away from future failure

    Location of Failure

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    CADIA NTSF PRECURSOR DEFORMATION (DEC 2017 to MAR 2018)

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    !!

    CADIA NTSF PRECURSOR DEFORMATION (DEC 2017 to MAR 2018)

    December

    2017

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    CADIA NTSF PRECURSOR DEFORMATION (9 MAR 2018)

    67Ref.: Independent Technical Review Board Report on NTSF Embankment Failure,

    Cadia Valley Operations for Ashurst Australia

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    CADIA NTSF POST FAILURE 9 MAR 2018

    68Ref.: Independent Technical Review Board Report on NTSF Embankment Failure,

    Cadia Valley Operations for Ashurst Australia

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    CADIA NTSF POST FAILURE 9 MAR 2018

    69

    Progressive upstream construction from starter ring dyke

    Ref.: www.mining-journal.com/research/news/1316689/cadia-tailings-

    dam-failure-to-hit-guidance

    Starter dyke material has displaced and partially raveled

    downslope

    Tailings initially contained by slumped starter dyke material

    Horizontal lips reflect previous upstream

    constructed lifts from starter dyke or upstream raises

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    CADIA NTSF CROSS-SECTION

    70

    1998-2000

    Ref.: Independent Technical Review Board Report on NTSF Embankment Failure,

    Cadia Valley Operations for Ashurst Australia

    2005-2016

    2016-Dec 20172000-2005

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    CADIA NTSF CROSS-SECTION

    71

    Dec 2017-Failure

    Stage 10 Completed in Area of Collapse by 31 July 2017

    Buttress 1 Installed In Area of Collapse 15 Dec 2017 to 5 March

    2018 – 4 days before failure

    Buttress 2 Not Installed In Area of Collapse Prior to Failure

    2007 Initiated Buttress Not Installed

    in Area of Collapse

    Estimated Toe Excavation in Area of Collapse in January

    2018 and Left Open

    Ref.: Independent Technical Review Board Report on NTSF Embankment Failure,

    Cadia Valley Operations for Ashurst Australia

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    1. Progressive failure in the foundation soils as upstream raises cause outward horizontal movement in the foundation.

    2. Foundation movements reduce the lateral support to the tailings while increasing yielding (deformation) in the tailings.

    3. When yielding in the tailings progresses to the instability locus or point of collapse, the tailings behavior reverts from a drained to an undrained strength, causing a rapid approximately 2/3rds reduction in their strength.

    4. The loss of strength in the loose saturated tailings due to their liquefaction resulted in a further increase in the lateral load to the dam wall, causing accelerated and larger scale movements.

    ITRB REPORT ON NTSF FAILURE

    72Ref.: Independent Technical Review Board Report on NTSF Embankment Failure,

    Cadia Valley Operations for Ashurst Australia

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    BRUMANDINHO - CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1

    73

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1

    74Ref. TÜV-Süd Periodic Dam Safety Review Technical Report, Ref. SP-RC-117/17,

    265 pages

    • Initial Starter Dyke 18 m high constructed in 1976

    • Ten (10) upstream lifts in various stages, reaching a height of 86 m by 2013

    • Stopped receiving tailings in 2016

    • Undergoing reclamation at time of failure

    • Failure on 25 January 2019

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1

    75

    Da Silva, W. P., Gomes, R.C., 2013. Tailings Liquefaction Analysis Using Strength Ratios

    and SPT/CPT Results. ABMS – Brazilian Association for Soil Mechanics and

    Geotechnical Engineering, SPG – Portuguese Geotechnical Society, Vol. 36, No. 1,

    January – April 2013, pgs. 37- 53.

    • Initial 2013

    ?

    ?

    ??

    Interpreted Contractive (Liquefiable) Tailings

    Interpreted Dilative (Non-Liquefiable) Tailings

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1 – 25 JAN 2019 - VIDEO

    76

    12:28:23

    12:28:29

    12:28:37

    12:28:55

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1

    77

    Image © CNES 2019, Distribution AIRBUS DS

    High resolution image: 18th January 2019

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    High resolution image: 29th January 2019

    CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1

    78

    Image © CNES 2019, Distribution AIRBUS DS

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    BRAZIL CUIABÁ METROPOLITAN REGION - 1 OCT 2019

    79Ref.:https://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/2019/10/04/nosso-senhora-do-livramento-tailings/

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    BRAZIL CUIABÁ METROPOLITAN REGION - 1 OCT 2019

    80Ref. https://www.issoenoticia.com.br/post/barragem-de-mineracao-se-rompe-na-

    regiao-metropolitana-de-cuiaba-veja-fotos-e-video

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    RUSSIAN MINING DAM FAILURE - 19 OCT 2019

    • “At least 15 people have died and 13 others are missing after a dam collapse at a gold mine in Siberia.”

    • The dam, on the Seiba river in the region of Krasnoyarsk, burst after heavy rain on Saturday, flooding cabins where workers lived.

    • "The hydro-technical facility was self-constructed and, I believe, all rules I can and cannot think of were violated," Yuri Lapshin, the head of the Krasnoyarsk regional government, was quoted by RIA news agency as saying.

    81Ref.:https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-50108413

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    Canadian Dam Association (CDA)▪ CDA Dam Safety Guidelines

    Mining Association of Canada (MAC)▪ A Guide to the Management of Tailings Facilities

    International Congress on Large Dams (ICOLD)▪ Bulletins Specific to Tailings and TSF: 44A, 45, 74, 97, 98, 101, 103, 104, 106, 121,

    139, 159

    Australian National Committee on Large Dams (ANCOLD)▪ ANCOLD Guidelines on Tailings Dams

    European Commission▪ BAT for Management of Tailings and Waste-Rock in Mining Activities

    South African National Standards (SANS)▪ SANS Code of Practice – Mine Residue

    US Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) & US Army Corp of Engineers (USACE)

    LEADING INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS & GUIDELINES

    82

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    ICMM COMMISSIONED REPORT (2016) FOUND:

    • Best of currently available national and international guidance documents all provide excellent good practice guidance and provide foundation for good practice in company guidance documents.

    • Based upon the three recent failures, they concluded that:

    …if one were to focus on these and other such case histories through consideration of a greater number of failures and investigation results over the last 20 or so years, and ask the question is there anything missing from existing standards and guidance documentation that if known and applied could have forestalled such events, then the answer might be as follows:

    Existing published guidance and standards documentation fully embrace the knowledge required to prevent such failures. The shortcoming lies not in the state of knowledge, but rather in the efficacy with which that knowledge is applied. Therefore, efforts moving forward should focus on improved implementation and verification of controls, rather than restatement of them.

    INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON MINING AND METALS (ICMM)

    83Ref.: https://www.icmm.com/tailings-report

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    ICMM 2016 POSITION STATEMENT

    10 Guiding Principals For Preventing Catastrophic TSF Failures, with the following Commitments:

    • Accountabilities, responsibilities and associated competencies are defined to support appropriate identification and management of tailings storage facilities risk.

    • The financial and human resources needed to supportcontinued tailings storage facility management and governance are maintained throughout a facility’s life cycle.

    • Risk management associated with tailings storage facilities, including risk identification, an appropriate control regime and the verification of control performance.

    • Risks associated with potential changes are assessed, controlled and communicated to avoid inadvertently compromising facility integrity.

    • Processes are in place to recognize and respond to impending failure of facilities and mitigate the potential impacts arising from a potentially catastrophic failure.

    • Internal and external review and assurance processes are in place so that controls for facilities risks can be comprehensively assessed and continually improved.

    84https://www.icmm.com/tailings-ps, https://mining.ca/our-focus/tailings-management/tailings-guide/

    December 2016

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    MINING ASSOCIATION OF CANADA (MAC) TSF GUIDELINES 2017

    Third Edition Included New Guiding Principals:

    • Risk-Based Approach for managing physical and chemical stability considering:

    • Rigorous risk assessment and transparent decision making

    • Best Available Technologies (BAT)

    • Best Available Processes (BAP)

    • Critical Controls for identification, implementation and performance monitoring to manage high-consequence risks

    • Engineer of Record (EOR) with the owner having responsibility to identify and retain for design, construction and performance monitoring throughout lifecycle

    • Objective independent third-party independent review on behalf of owner of all aspects from planning, design, construction, operation, maintenance

    “This new Guide provides an outstanding document to influence the organization and governance protocols needed to ensure safe tailings management from the conceptual stages through to closure.” (Morgenstern 2018)

    9 September 2019: Brazil Instituto Brasileiro de Mineração (IBRAM), announced that it will adopt the Towards Sustainable Mining (TSM) initiative, a corporate social responsibility program developed by the Mining Association of Canada (MAC). IBRAM joins six other mining associationsaround the world, including the second in Latin America, in adopting TSM, an increasingly internationally recognized standard for responsible mining.

    85Ref.:https://mining.ca/our-focus/tailings-management/tailings-guide/,

    https://mining.ca/press-releases/brazil-adopts-canadas-towards-sustainable-mining-

    initiative/, https://www.icmm.com/tailings-report

    https://mining.ca/press-releases/brazil-adopts-canadas-towards-sustainable-mining-initiative/https://www.icmm.com/tailings-report

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    27 March 2019:

    ICMM, UN Environment Programme and Principles for Responsible Investment Agree to Co-convene Mine Tailings Storage Facilities Review

    London, UK – The International Council on Mining & Metals (ICMM), the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI), today announced that they will co-convene an independent review that will establish an international standard on tailings storage facilities.

    While the standard would become an ICMM company member commitment, the co-convening partners will encourage others to join in advocating for it to be accepted more broadly.

    This initiative is in response to the recent tragedy at Brumadinho and will be informed by evidence and lessons from earlier mine tailings dam failures. The aim is to complete this work by the end of the year.

    The PRI will be represented by the Church of England Pensions Board and the Council of Ethics of the Swedish National Pension Funds, who are both PRI signatories.

    As a next step the co-convenors will jointly appoint an independent chair and a multi-stakeholder advisory panel. There will be a further update once the chair has been appointed.

    ICMM, UN AND PRI PENDING GUIDELINES

    86https://www.icmm.com/en-gb/news/2019/tailings-review

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    “To this end, it is recommended for any specific project that the operator be required to develop, for regulatory approval and subsequent execution, a tailings management system for Performance-Based, Risk-Informed Safe Design Construction Operation and Closure of the proposed tailings storage facility (PBRISD). Many single elements combined in PBRISD have been identified before, but the required integration presented in the following is perceived as necessary to impose more rigorous direction, supported by critical levels of review at various stages of the process.”

    • Stage 1 (Conceptual) involving a qualified operator, established independent review board, uncertainty assessment, potential problem analysis (PPA), and multiple account analysis (MAA)

    • Stage 2 (Feasibility) involving engineer of record (EOR), designer, design basis memorandum (DBM), risk assessment, quality management, documentation

    • Stage 3 (Construction and Operation) involving safe construction and operations dictated by the operation, maintenance and surveillance manual (OMS)

    • Stage 4 (Closure) planning considered during all previous stages, with increasing levels of detail with time

    “Instead, the underlying principle for the tailings management system advocated here (PBRISD) is accountability. This is achieved by multiple layers of review, recurrent risk assessment, and performance-based validation from construction through closure.”

    TOWARDS ZERO FAILURES (Morgenstern 2018)

    87Ref.: Morgenstern, 2018, Geotechnical Risk, Regulation and Public Policy,

    The Sixth Victor de Mello Lecture, 9th Portuguese –Brazilian Geotechnical Congress

    Salvador, Bahia, Brazil, 30 August 2018.

  • Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.

    SOME FINAL COMMENTS

    • Major failure rates of 2 events/year unlikely to lessen in short term

    • Various innovations in dewatering and storage of tailings reducing risk of collapse and downstream consequences (mobility)

    • Lessons are being learned from major failures such as Mount Polley, Samarco, Cadia, and Feijão (technically, operationally and managerially – reduce risks and consequences)

    • Available national and international guidance documents provide excellent good practice guidance in design, construction, operation, and closure

    • Guidelines being upgraded with support of ICMM, UN, and PRI, which are being informed based upon Performance-Based, Risk-Informed Safe Design Construction Operation and Closure

    • “Tailings dams are complex systems that have evolved over the years. They are also unforgiving systems, in terms of the number of things that have to go right. Their reliability is contingent on consistently flawless execution from concept to completion.” (Mount Polley Expert Panel Report)

    88

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    89

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