tailings storage facilities insights - types, failures, tailings … · 2020. 12. 17. · tailings...
TRANSCRIPT
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Tailings Storage Facilities; From Recent Lows to New Heights
Tailings Storage Facilities Insights - Types, Failures,
and Management Guidelines Update
52nd IMIA Conference
19th to 23rd October 2019
Hotel Savoyen, Vienna, Austria
Richard Stahl
Director International Forensics
Jensen Hughes UK Ltd.
21 October 2019
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
• Tailings and Processing
• Tailings Storage Facilities Overview
• Failure History Dashboard
• Mount Polley, Samarco, Newcrest, Brumandinho (Feijão)
• Upgrading Guidelines or Practices Towards Zero Failure
OVERVIEW
2
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MY BACKGROUND
• B.Ap.Sc. (Civil) UBC: 1987
• Klohn Leonoff Ltd. 1987 to 1990
• U of A (Alberta) M.Sc. (bypassed) Ph.D. Geotechnical: 1990-1991, 1993-1996
• AMEC Inc.: 1993 to 1993
• GWA then Golder Associates (HK): 1996-2001
• London Business School: 2001 to 2003
• Golder Associates Ltd. 2003-2006
• Giffin Koerth then -30- Inc. 2006-2017
• Jensen Hughes UK Ltd. 2017
• P.Eng. (Canada), CEng., FICE (UK)
3
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SUMMARY PROCEDURES IN MINING PRODUCTION
Grinding
Leaching HeatingConcentration
Dewatering
Concentrate EmulsionProduct
4
Ore
Waste Tailings
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TAILINGS DEWATERING RANGE AND CONSISTENCY
Tailings Type Consistency
Water with Sand/Silt/Clay
Sandy Yogurt
Wet Sand
Thin Milk Shake
Moist Sand
De
creasin
g Wate
r Co
nte
nt
Pu
mp
able
No
n-P
um
pab
le
• Likely lowest operating cost• Least efficient water
conservation• Containment dams required• Potential seepage issues• Water management
considerations
Unsaturated
Saturated
Tailings Slurry
Thickened Tailings
Paste Tailings
Wet Filtered Tailings
Dry Filtered Tailings
• Water conservation • Negligible seepage • Progressive reclamation• More stable tailings mass• Minimal containment berms• Simpler water management• High operating costs 5
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AN ILLUSTRATION OF TAILINGS VOLUMES - GOLD
6
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• 1 g/gold/metric tonne of rock (on average)
• 2018, 3,260 metric tonnes of gold = 3.3B metric tonnes of rock mined
• Rock density of 2.6 g/cm3, bulking factor of 1.6, ►2B m3 of tailings
VOLUME OF TAILINGS PRODUCED FOR GOLD IN 2018
7
X 2 or 620 m
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OPEN PIT DISPOSAL
8
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DAMS PLUS TOPOGRAPHIC RELIEF
9
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RING DAMS FOR FLATTER TERRAIN – OILSANDS 2016
10
Mildred Lake Tailings Pond18 km circumference
40 m (avg) to 88 m (max) high
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
THICKENED TAILINGS DISPOSAL
Ref.: Thickened Tailings Disposal at Xstrata Copper Canada, Kidd Metallurgical Site
Shiu Kam, David Yaschyshyn , Michael Patterson and David Scott11
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PASTE TAILINGS – SURFACE & UNDERGROUND
12
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FURTHER DEWATERING THROUGH DRY STACKING
13
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CO-DISPOSAL OF TAILINGS WITH WASTE ROCK
14
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PROGRESSION IN DEWATERING TECHNIQUES
15Ref.:Davies, M.P, & Lupo, J. & Martin, T. & McRoberts, E. & Musse, M. & Ritchie,
D., 2010, Dewatered Tailings Practice – Trends and Observations. In proceedings
of Tailings and Mine Waste ’10, Balkema.
Most filtered facilities ≤ 6,500 tpd
emphasis within arid climates
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
Dewatering Technology
Typical Processing & Transport Cost
($/t)
Typical Dam & Water
Management Cost ($/t)
Typical Total ($/t)
Range of Cost ($/t)
Relative Increase in Typical Total Compared to Conventional
Unthickened(conventional)
$0.20 $1.00 $1.20 $0.50 to $2.50 100%
Thickened $0.30 $1.00 $1.30 $0.50 to $2.50 110%
High density thickened
$0.50 $0.90 $1.50 $0.75 to $2.50 125%
Paste $1.50 $0.50 $2.00 $2.00 to $8.00 170%
Filtered $5.00 $0.20 $5.20 $4.00 to $12.00 430%
RANGE OF PROCESSING & INITIAL STORAGE COST
16
De
creasin
g Wate
r Co
nte
nt
Notes: 1. Costs are site and project specific and are indicative only
2. Cost per tonne typically decrease with increased tonnage due to economies of scale
3. Capital and closure costs not included.
“No universally ideal tailings dewatering technology or facility types…the ideal solution will depend on the
tailings properties, production scale, site characteristics, available technologies and facility types.”
Ref.: Mining Environment Neutral Drainage, October 2017
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
TAILINGS DAMS – FOUR MAIN APPROACHES
Embankment Construction
• Constructed to full height prior to deposition, likely under 1 contract/contractor
• Good permanent water storage suitability
• Any type of tailings
• Good seismic resistance
• Requires natural soil
• Relatively high embankment cost
17Ref: Vick, S.G. (1990). Planning, design, and analysis of tailings
dams. Vancouver, B.C.: BiTech Publishers Ltd., 369 pgs.
WATER
TAILINGS
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TAILINGS DAMS – FOUR MAIN APPROACHES
Downstream Construction
• Constructed progressively using tailings, mine waste, or natural borrow materials
• Good permanent water storage suitability
• Any type of tailings
• Good seismic resistance
• Relatively high embankment cost (compared to centerline & upstream methods) spread over life of facility
18Ref: Vick, S.G. (1990). Planning, design, and analysis of tailings
dams. Vancouver, B.C.: BiTech Publishers Ltd., 369 pgs.
TAILINGS
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
TAILINGS DAMS – FOUR MAIN APPROACHES
Centerline Construction
• Constructed progressively using tailings, mine waste, or natural borrow materials
• Good temporary water storage ability
• Sands or low plasticity silts
• Acceptable seismic resistance
• Raising rate restrictions may apply
• Moderate embankment cost (less than downstream methods) spread over life of facility
19Ref: Vick, S.G. (1990). Planning, design, and analysis of tailings
dams. Vancouver, B.C.: BiTech Publishers Ltd., 369 pgs.
TAILINGS
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
TAILINGS DAMS – FOUR MAIN APPROACHES
Upstream Construction
• Constructed progressively using tailings, mine waste, or natural borrow materials
• Majority of all tailings dams worldwide
• Lowest embankment cost compared to above methods
• Sand requirements of 40% to 60%
• Not suitable for significant water storage
• Poor seismic resistance
• Raising rate restrictions of 15 -30 ft (4.6-9.1m) per year may apply
20Ref: Vick, S.G. (1990). Planning, design, and analysis of tailings
dams. Vancouver, B.C.: BiTech Publishers Ltd., 369 pgs.
TAILINGS
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TAILINGS DAMS’ RELATIVE EMBANKMENT VOLUMES
Upstream Construction
Centerline Construction
Downstream Construction
Area A1
Area A2 = 2A1
Area A3 = 3A1
21Ref: Vick, S.G. (1990). Planning, design, and analysis of tailings
dams. Vancouver, B.C.: BiTech Publishers Ltd., 369 pgs.
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
GROWTH AND EVOLUTION WITH TIME – LL DAM 1988
97C
22
1988:
120 m tall
1,100 m Crest
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GROWTH AND EVOLUTION WITH TIME – LL DAM 2010
97C
23
Circa 2010:
180 m tall
2,500 m Crest
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GROWTH AND EVOLUTION WITH TIME – LL DAM 45 YEARS OLD
AND GROWING
Approx. footprint of 1988 structure
97C
24
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
TAILINGS DAMS ARE/CAN BE COMPLEX STRUCTURES
25
Water
Resources
Tailings
Dam
Versus
Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
ACCIDENTS AND FAILURE EVENTS OVER TIME
26Ref.: Conclusions From Evaluation of Tailings Dam Incidents”, Strachan, C.,
and Van, R., USSD April 2018
≈10/YEAR ≈2/YEAR
3500 tailings operating dams in 2000• 1:1,000 Failure Frequency• 1:100 Event Frequency
By Comparison:For earthfill and rockfill dams in the U.S. constructed after 1960 (H 15 m to 90 m), estimated annual failure frequency is1:10,000 (Martin & Davies 2000)
• Greatest proportion of failures through Overtopping, Spillway, and Erosion
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REPORTED CAUSE OF FAILURE
27Ref.: Conclusions From Evaluation of Tailings Dam Incidents”, Strachan, C.,
and Van, R., USSD April 2018
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
Samarco
Cadia
Brumandinho
Volume of Roman Colosseum
Channel Tunnel Excavation Volume
Volume of Olympic Swimming Pool
Mount Polley
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
1,000,000,000
1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 100,000,000 1,000,000,000
Tail
ings
Re
leas
e V
olu
me
(m)
Tailings Storage Volume (m3)
VOLUME RELEASED VS STORED VOLUME
28Ref.: CIGB-ICOLD Bulletin No. 121 titled “Tailings Dams, Risks of Dangerous
Occurrences – Lessons Learnt from Practical Experiences” 2001, 146 pages.,
http://www.wise-uranium.org/mdaf.html
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
Mount Polley
Samarco
Cadia
Brumandinho
0.1
1
10
100
1000
1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 100,000,000
Tail
ings
Tra
vel (
km)
Tailings Release Volume (m3)
Rio
Par
aop
eba
VOLUME RELEASED VS RUNOUT DISTANCE
29Ref.: CIGB-ICOLD Bulletin No. 121 titled “Tailings Dams, Risks of Dangerous
Occurrences – Lessons Learnt from Practical Experiences” 2001, 146 pages.,
http://www.wise-uranium.org/mdaf.html
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
Ch
ile -
20
0 d
ead
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- - - Mya
nm
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57
-
-
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
250,000,000
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
40,000,000
45,000,000
50,000,000
31-D
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8
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me
Re
leas
ed
(m
3)
Vo
lum
e R
ele
ase
d P
er
Inci
de
nt
(m3
)
Date
Reported Volume Released Per Incident
Cumulative Reported Volume Released
>2,280 Reported Dead or Missing
Ref.: CIGB-ICOLD Bulletin No. 121 titled “Tailings Dams, Risks of Dangerous
Occurrences – Lessons Learnt from Practical Experiences” 2001, 146 pages.,
http://www.wise-uranium.org/mdaf.html
EVENT AND CUMULATIVE VOLUME AND LIVES LOST
30
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31
MOUNT POLLEY 4 AUG 2014
Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
MOUNT POLLEY 4 AUG 2014 - VIDEO
32Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
MOUNT POLLEY - LAYOUT AND CROSS-SECTIONS
33Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
MOUNT POLLEY - IMAGES SUPPORTING FOUNDATION FAILURE
34Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
MOUNT POLLEY - IMAGES SUPPORTING FOUNDATION FAILURE
35Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
MOUNT POLLEY TAILINGS TRAVEL DISTANCE
≈22 km from breach
36
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MOUNT POLLEY EXPERT PANEL FINDINGS
“The design did not take into account
the complexity of the sub-glacial and
pre-glacial geological environment
associated with the Perimeter
Embankment foundation. As a result,
foundation investigations and
associated site characterization failed
to identify a continuous
Glaciolacustrine (GLU) layer in the
vicinity of the breach and to recognize
that it was susceptible to undrained
failure when subject to the stresses
associated with the embankment.”
37Ref.: ITRB Report on Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility Breach, 30 January 2015
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
SAMARCO FUNDÃO TAILINGS DAM FAILURE 5 NOV 2015
38Ref.: Fundao Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the
Failure of the Fundao Dam, 25 August 2016,
https://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/2015/11/08/samarco-1/
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the
Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF – APRIL 2005
39
SANTAREM DAM AND RESERVOIR
GERMANO TSF GERMANO
DAM
SELA DYKE
TULIPA DYKE
FUTUREFUNDÃO TSF
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FUNDÃO TSF DESIGN INTENT
40
SLIMES
SAND TAILINGS
Sand Tailings (70%)40% to 60% fine sand, 40% to 60% Silt,
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF SAND TO SLIMES RATIO
24% 25%
64%
48%
67%63%
58%
65%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
-
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
9,000,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
PER
CEN
TAG
E O
F SA
ND
TA
ILIN
GS
VO
LUM
E O
F SA
ND
OR
SLI
MES
(M
3)
YEAR
Sand Tailings Dyke 1 Reservoir
Slimes Dyke 1 Reservoir, Sand and Slimes Dyke 2 Reservoir
Percentage of Sand in Dyke 1 Reservoir to Total Tailings
DESIGN INTENT 70% SAND, 30% SLIMES
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the Failure of
the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016., Federal Public Service, MJ-Federal Police Regional
Superintendents in the State of Minas Gerais, Technical Scientific Sector (2016). Report No.
994/2016 – SETEC/SR/PF/MG – Federal Forensic Report (Engineering).
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF – SEPT 2011
42
FUNDÃO DAM (DYKE 1)
DYKE 2
FUNDÃO TSF
SANTAREM DAM AND RESERVOIR
GERMANO TSF GERMANO
DAM
SELA DYKE
TULIPA DYKE
SELINHA DYKE
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FUNDÃO TSF – MAY 2013
43
FUNDÃO DAM (DYKE 1)
DYKE 2
FUNDÃO TSF
SANTAREM DAM AND RESERVOIR
GERMANO TSF GERMANO
DAM
SELA DYKE
TULIPA DYKE
SELINHA DYKE
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FUNDÃO TSF – AUG 2014
44
FUNDÃO DAM (DYKE 1)
DYKE 2BURIED
FUNDÃO TSF
SANTAREM DAM AND RESERVOIR
GERMANO TSF GERMANO
DAM
SELA DYKE
TULIPA DYKE
SELINHA DYKE
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF – JULY 2015
45
FUNDÃO DAM (DYKE 1)
FUNDÃO TSF
SANTAREM DAM AND RESERVOIR
GERMANO TSF GERMANO
DAM
SELA DYKE
TULIPA DYKE
SELINHA DYKE
DYKE 2BURIED
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FUNDÃO TSF ELEVATION VIEW OCT 2015
46
Right Abutment
Left Abutment
Initial then Second Setback
Dyke 1 Starter Dyke
Dyke 2 (covered)
Ref.: www.mining.com/why-samarco-tailings-dam-failed/
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF DYKE 1 FAILURE – APRIL 2009
• Failure 4 months following sand tailings
deposition, ± 10 month following slimes
deposition
• Dyke 1A constructed u/s to investigate
• Gross construction defects with respect
to foundation drains
• Foundation drains abandoned
• Replaced with blanket drain at El. 826 m
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the Failure
of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016., Federal Public Service, MJ-Federal Police Regional
Superintendents in the State of Minas Gerais, Technical Scientific Sector (2016). Report
No. 994/2016 – SETEC/SR/PF/MG – Federal Forensic Report (Engineering).
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF DYKE 1A – SLIMES WITHIN DYKE 1 RESERVOIR
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the Failure of
the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016., Federal Public Service, MJ-Federal Police Regional
Superintendents in the State of Minas Gerais, Technical Scientific Sector (2016). Report
No. 994/2016 – SETEC/SR/PF/MG – Federal Forensic Report (Engineering).
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF FAILURE OF DRAINAGE GALLERIES
Secondary Gallery November 2012Primary Gallery July 2010
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the Failure of
the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016., Federal Public Service, MJ-Federal Police Regional
Superintendents in the State of Minas Gerais, Technical Scientific Sector (2016). Report
No. 994/2016 – SETEC/SR/PF/MG – Federal Forensic Report (Engineering).
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF SLIMES MIGRATION
Overflow Channel Operational
Period:
▪ February 2011 – July 2012
(18 Months)
▪ July 2013 – December 2013
(6 Months)
50
Crest of Fundão Dam Oct 2015
Former Dyke 1A
Overflow Channel – Slimes from Dyke 2 to Dyke 1 Reservoir
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the
Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF SLIMES MIGRATION
Designed and constructed alignment up to ~El. 855m
Actual dam alignment at the DOL
Projected designed alignment on El. 900m
Former Dyke 1A
Limits of Blanket Drain
Slimes Retained By Dyke 1A
Slimes From Overflow Channel
January 2012
March 2012
September 2011
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the
Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF SLIMES MIGRATION
Design Water Table
Range of Actual Water Tables Interpreted From Piezometers
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the
Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
53
FUNDÃO TSF FROM RIGHT ABUTMENT NOV 2015
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the
Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF FROM RIGHT ABUTMENT POST FAILURE
54Ref.: www.theguardian.com/world/2018/
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FUNDÃO TSF FROM LEFT ABUTMENT PRE & DURING FAILURE
55
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the
Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF FAILURE ORIGINATING FROM LEFT ABUTMENT -
VIDEO
56
Ref.: Fundão Talings Dam Review Panel Report on the Immediate Causes of the
Failure of the Fundão Dam, 25 August 2016,
Reduction in
Confining Stress on
Loose, Saturated
Contractive
Tailings….Causing
Collapse
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF DOWNSTREAM IMPACT
57Ref.: https://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/2015/11/08/samarco-1/,
https://www.unenvironment.org/news-and-stories/story/dam-or-be-damned-mining-
safety-under-scrutiny
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF DOWNSTREAM IMPACT – SANTAREM DAM
Before After
58
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FUNDÃO TSF BENTO RODRIGUES - 7 KM D/S - VIDEO
00:01:07
00:03:40
00:05:40
00:00:00
?
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
FUNDÃO TSF TAILINGS TRAVEL DISTANCE
60
November 22, 2015
650 KM IN 17 DAYS
• 35 Mm3 of Tailings Evacuated
• 20 Mm3 of Tailings Remained
• 19 Lives Lost
• 600 People Displaced
• Samarco’s Operations Suspended Now
For 3 Years (PD $MM, BI $B)
• 22 Criminal Indictments
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NEWCREST CADIA VALLEY OPERATIONS 9 MAR 2018
• NTSF PRIOR TO FAILURE
• 91 m maximum embankment
height
• 3,900 m crest length
• 9 m crest width
• 450 ha area
• 160 Mm3 tailings stored
• 170 Mm3 tailings capacity
61Ref.: Newcrest Market Release 12 March 2018, 27 March 2018, 3 April 2018
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CADIA NTSF REPORTED EVENTS PRIOR TO FAILURE
8 March 2018:• M2.7 Earthquake occurred
9 March 2018:• Cracking (morning), then
embankment slumped (19:00)
• Tailings deposition stopped
10 March 2018:• Suspension of all mining and
processing operations
• Geotechnical monitoring including radar and cameras established
“Prior to slump”• Relocated residents of 2 houses
• Briefed landholders below tailings dams and requested restricted access
62Ref.: Newcrest Market Release 12 March 2018, 27 March 2018, 3 April 2018
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CADIA NTSF FAILURE DIMENSIONS AND CONTAINMENT
63
Dimensions Reported/Estimated:
• ≈ 270 m wide
• ≈ 60 to 90 m high
• ≈ 100 m u/s
• ≈ 200 m d/s
• ≈ 1.3 Mm3 of soil
• Limited flow liquefaction propagation
• Construction of 2 km of containment
bunds/berms
• Mining resumed 17 days after
slump, processing resumed 22 days
after slump
Ref.: Ref.: Newcrest Market Release 12 March 2018, 27 March 2018, 3 April 2018,
www.mining-journal.com/research/news/1316689/cadia-tailings-dam-failure-to-hit-
guidance
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CADIA NTSF AND STSF JUNE 2016
64
Pond located away from future failure
Location of Failure
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CADIA NTSF PRECURSOR DEFORMATION (DEC 2017 to MAR 2018)
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!!
CADIA NTSF PRECURSOR DEFORMATION (DEC 2017 to MAR 2018)
December
2017
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CADIA NTSF PRECURSOR DEFORMATION (9 MAR 2018)
67Ref.: Independent Technical Review Board Report on NTSF Embankment Failure,
Cadia Valley Operations for Ashurst Australia
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
CADIA NTSF POST FAILURE 9 MAR 2018
68Ref.: Independent Technical Review Board Report on NTSF Embankment Failure,
Cadia Valley Operations for Ashurst Australia
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CADIA NTSF POST FAILURE 9 MAR 2018
69
Progressive upstream construction from starter ring dyke
Ref.: www.mining-journal.com/research/news/1316689/cadia-tailings-
dam-failure-to-hit-guidance
Starter dyke material has displaced and partially raveled
downslope
Tailings initially contained by slumped starter dyke material
Horizontal lips reflect previous upstream
constructed lifts from starter dyke or upstream raises
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
CADIA NTSF CROSS-SECTION
70
1998-2000
Ref.: Independent Technical Review Board Report on NTSF Embankment Failure,
Cadia Valley Operations for Ashurst Australia
2005-2016
2016-Dec 20172000-2005
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CADIA NTSF CROSS-SECTION
71
Dec 2017-Failure
Stage 10 Completed in Area of Collapse by 31 July 2017
Buttress 1 Installed In Area of Collapse 15 Dec 2017 to 5 March
2018 – 4 days before failure
Buttress 2 Not Installed In Area of Collapse Prior to Failure
2007 Initiated Buttress Not Installed
in Area of Collapse
Estimated Toe Excavation in Area of Collapse in January
2018 and Left Open
Ref.: Independent Technical Review Board Report on NTSF Embankment Failure,
Cadia Valley Operations for Ashurst Australia
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
1. Progressive failure in the foundation soils as upstream raises cause outward horizontal movement in the foundation.
2. Foundation movements reduce the lateral support to the tailings while increasing yielding (deformation) in the tailings.
3. When yielding in the tailings progresses to the instability locus or point of collapse, the tailings behavior reverts from a drained to an undrained strength, causing a rapid approximately 2/3rds reduction in their strength.
4. The loss of strength in the loose saturated tailings due to their liquefaction resulted in a further increase in the lateral load to the dam wall, causing accelerated and larger scale movements.
ITRB REPORT ON NTSF FAILURE
72Ref.: Independent Technical Review Board Report on NTSF Embankment Failure,
Cadia Valley Operations for Ashurst Australia
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
BRUMANDINHO - CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1
73
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1
74Ref. TÜV-Süd Periodic Dam Safety Review Technical Report, Ref. SP-RC-117/17,
265 pages
• Initial Starter Dyke 18 m high constructed in 1976
• Ten (10) upstream lifts in various stages, reaching a height of 86 m by 2013
• Stopped receiving tailings in 2016
• Undergoing reclamation at time of failure
• Failure on 25 January 2019
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1
75
Da Silva, W. P., Gomes, R.C., 2013. Tailings Liquefaction Analysis Using Strength Ratios
and SPT/CPT Results. ABMS – Brazilian Association for Soil Mechanics and
Geotechnical Engineering, SPG – Portuguese Geotechnical Society, Vol. 36, No. 1,
January – April 2013, pgs. 37- 53.
• Initial 2013
?
?
??
Interpreted Contractive (Liquefiable) Tailings
Interpreted Dilative (Non-Liquefiable) Tailings
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1 – 25 JAN 2019 - VIDEO
76
12:28:23
12:28:29
12:28:37
12:28:55
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CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1
77
Image © CNES 2019, Distribution AIRBUS DS
High resolution image: 18th January 2019
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
High resolution image: 29th January 2019
CÓRREGO DE FEIJÃO – DAM 1
78
Image © CNES 2019, Distribution AIRBUS DS
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
BRAZIL CUIABÁ METROPOLITAN REGION - 1 OCT 2019
79Ref.:https://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/2019/10/04/nosso-senhora-do-livramento-tailings/
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
BRAZIL CUIABÁ METROPOLITAN REGION - 1 OCT 2019
80Ref. https://www.issoenoticia.com.br/post/barragem-de-mineracao-se-rompe-na-
regiao-metropolitana-de-cuiaba-veja-fotos-e-video
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
RUSSIAN MINING DAM FAILURE - 19 OCT 2019
• “At least 15 people have died and 13 others are missing after a dam collapse at a gold mine in Siberia.”
• The dam, on the Seiba river in the region of Krasnoyarsk, burst after heavy rain on Saturday, flooding cabins where workers lived.
• "The hydro-technical facility was self-constructed and, I believe, all rules I can and cannot think of were violated," Yuri Lapshin, the head of the Krasnoyarsk regional government, was quoted by RIA news agency as saying.
81Ref.:https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-50108413
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
Canadian Dam Association (CDA)▪ CDA Dam Safety Guidelines
Mining Association of Canada (MAC)▪ A Guide to the Management of Tailings Facilities
International Congress on Large Dams (ICOLD)▪ Bulletins Specific to Tailings and TSF: 44A, 45, 74, 97, 98, 101, 103, 104, 106, 121,
139, 159
Australian National Committee on Large Dams (ANCOLD)▪ ANCOLD Guidelines on Tailings Dams
European Commission▪ BAT for Management of Tailings and Waste-Rock in Mining Activities
South African National Standards (SANS)▪ SANS Code of Practice – Mine Residue
US Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) & US Army Corp of Engineers (USACE)
LEADING INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS & GUIDELINES
82
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ICMM COMMISSIONED REPORT (2016) FOUND:
• Best of currently available national and international guidance documents all provide excellent good practice guidance and provide foundation for good practice in company guidance documents.
• Based upon the three recent failures, they concluded that:
…if one were to focus on these and other such case histories through consideration of a greater number of failures and investigation results over the last 20 or so years, and ask the question is there anything missing from existing standards and guidance documentation that if known and applied could have forestalled such events, then the answer might be as follows:
Existing published guidance and standards documentation fully embrace the knowledge required to prevent such failures. The shortcoming lies not in the state of knowledge, but rather in the efficacy with which that knowledge is applied. Therefore, efforts moving forward should focus on improved implementation and verification of controls, rather than restatement of them.
INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON MINING AND METALS (ICMM)
83Ref.: https://www.icmm.com/tailings-report
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ICMM 2016 POSITION STATEMENT
10 Guiding Principals For Preventing Catastrophic TSF Failures, with the following Commitments:
• Accountabilities, responsibilities and associated competencies are defined to support appropriate identification and management of tailings storage facilities risk.
• The financial and human resources needed to supportcontinued tailings storage facility management and governance are maintained throughout a facility’s life cycle.
• Risk management associated with tailings storage facilities, including risk identification, an appropriate control regime and the verification of control performance.
• Risks associated with potential changes are assessed, controlled and communicated to avoid inadvertently compromising facility integrity.
• Processes are in place to recognize and respond to impending failure of facilities and mitigate the potential impacts arising from a potentially catastrophic failure.
• Internal and external review and assurance processes are in place so that controls for facilities risks can be comprehensively assessed and continually improved.
84https://www.icmm.com/tailings-ps, https://mining.ca/our-focus/tailings-management/tailings-guide/
December 2016
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
MINING ASSOCIATION OF CANADA (MAC) TSF GUIDELINES 2017
Third Edition Included New Guiding Principals:
• Risk-Based Approach for managing physical and chemical stability considering:
• Rigorous risk assessment and transparent decision making
• Best Available Technologies (BAT)
• Best Available Processes (BAP)
• Critical Controls for identification, implementation and performance monitoring to manage high-consequence risks
• Engineer of Record (EOR) with the owner having responsibility to identify and retain for design, construction and performance monitoring throughout lifecycle
• Objective independent third-party independent review on behalf of owner of all aspects from planning, design, construction, operation, maintenance
“This new Guide provides an outstanding document to influence the organization and governance protocols needed to ensure safe tailings management from the conceptual stages through to closure.” (Morgenstern 2018)
9 September 2019: Brazil Instituto Brasileiro de Mineração (IBRAM), announced that it will adopt the Towards Sustainable Mining (TSM) initiative, a corporate social responsibility program developed by the Mining Association of Canada (MAC). IBRAM joins six other mining associationsaround the world, including the second in Latin America, in adopting TSM, an increasingly internationally recognized standard for responsible mining.
85Ref.:https://mining.ca/our-focus/tailings-management/tailings-guide/,
https://mining.ca/press-releases/brazil-adopts-canadas-towards-sustainable-mining-
initiative/, https://www.icmm.com/tailings-report
https://mining.ca/press-releases/brazil-adopts-canadas-towards-sustainable-mining-initiative/https://www.icmm.com/tailings-report
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
27 March 2019:
ICMM, UN Environment Programme and Principles for Responsible Investment Agree to Co-convene Mine Tailings Storage Facilities Review
London, UK – The International Council on Mining & Metals (ICMM), the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI), today announced that they will co-convene an independent review that will establish an international standard on tailings storage facilities.
While the standard would become an ICMM company member commitment, the co-convening partners will encourage others to join in advocating for it to be accepted more broadly.
This initiative is in response to the recent tragedy at Brumadinho and will be informed by evidence and lessons from earlier mine tailings dam failures. The aim is to complete this work by the end of the year.
The PRI will be represented by the Church of England Pensions Board and the Council of Ethics of the Swedish National Pension Funds, who are both PRI signatories.
As a next step the co-convenors will jointly appoint an independent chair and a multi-stakeholder advisory panel. There will be a further update once the chair has been appointed.
ICMM, UN AND PRI PENDING GUIDELINES
86https://www.icmm.com/en-gb/news/2019/tailings-review
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“To this end, it is recommended for any specific project that the operator be required to develop, for regulatory approval and subsequent execution, a tailings management system for Performance-Based, Risk-Informed Safe Design Construction Operation and Closure of the proposed tailings storage facility (PBRISD). Many single elements combined in PBRISD have been identified before, but the required integration presented in the following is perceived as necessary to impose more rigorous direction, supported by critical levels of review at various stages of the process.”
• Stage 1 (Conceptual) involving a qualified operator, established independent review board, uncertainty assessment, potential problem analysis (PPA), and multiple account analysis (MAA)
• Stage 2 (Feasibility) involving engineer of record (EOR), designer, design basis memorandum (DBM), risk assessment, quality management, documentation
• Stage 3 (Construction and Operation) involving safe construction and operations dictated by the operation, maintenance and surveillance manual (OMS)
• Stage 4 (Closure) planning considered during all previous stages, with increasing levels of detail with time
“Instead, the underlying principle for the tailings management system advocated here (PBRISD) is accountability. This is achieved by multiple layers of review, recurrent risk assessment, and performance-based validation from construction through closure.”
TOWARDS ZERO FAILURES (Morgenstern 2018)
87Ref.: Morgenstern, 2018, Geotechnical Risk, Regulation and Public Policy,
The Sixth Victor de Mello Lecture, 9th Portuguese –Brazilian Geotechnical Congress
Salvador, Bahia, Brazil, 30 August 2018.
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Advancing the Science of SafetyCopyright © JENSEN HUGHES. All rights reserved.
SOME FINAL COMMENTS
• Major failure rates of 2 events/year unlikely to lessen in short term
• Various innovations in dewatering and storage of tailings reducing risk of collapse and downstream consequences (mobility)
• Lessons are being learned from major failures such as Mount Polley, Samarco, Cadia, and Feijão (technically, operationally and managerially – reduce risks and consequences)
• Available national and international guidance documents provide excellent good practice guidance in design, construction, operation, and closure
• Guidelines being upgraded with support of ICMM, UN, and PRI, which are being informed based upon Performance-Based, Risk-Informed Safe Design Construction Operation and Closure
• “Tailings dams are complex systems that have evolved over the years. They are also unforgiving systems, in terms of the number of things that have to go right. Their reliability is contingent on consistently flawless execution from concept to completion.” (Mount Polley Expert Panel Report)
88
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