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TEAM MEMBERS
K.V.V. Ramesh
Project Manager
Sudheer Kumar Tiwari
Scientist 'SC'
Dr. M. Kavitha
Scientist 'SC'
A. Kamalakar Reddy
Team Leader
N. Narender
Senior Research Analyst
Pavan Vijjapu
Resource Analyst (GIS & Ground Truthing)
P. Sai Bharadwaj
Resource Analyst (GIS & Ground Truthing)
Arun Singha Deb
Resource Analyst (GIS & Ground Truthing)
M. Laxmi Prasad Rao
Resource Analyst (GIS & Ground Truthing)
APSDPS
A. Ramkrishna Nagaraju
Assistant Executive Engineer
B. Shiv Kumar
Young Professional
HIGHLIGHTS
FORTNIGHTLY REPORT OF SEASONAL CONDITION
MONTH OF JUNE 2014
Seasonal condition is categorised as “Normal” in 350 Mandals as on date 30 June 2014
Seasonal condition is categorised as “Watch” in 99 Mandals as on date 30 June 2014
Rainfall 01st June to 30th June
243 Mandals out of 449 (54%) of state received scanty rainfall. 155 Mandals (35%) of the state
received deficit rainfall.
30 Mandals (7%) and 16 (4%) Mandals have received Normal and Excess rainfall, respectively.
5 Mandals (1%) of state received No Rainfall.
No Rain fall (-100%)
Scanty (-60 % to -90%)
Deficient (-59% to -20%)
Normal (-19% to +19%)
Excess (>19%)
Sl.
No District Name
No. of
Mandals
No
Rain
Sca
nty
Deficient
Normal
Excess
1 Adilabad 52 -- 34 17 1 --
2 Nizamabad 36 -- 21 14 1 --
3 Karimnagar 57 -- 22 28 6 1
4 Medak 46 -- 29 15 2 --
5 Hyderabad 1 -- 1 -- -- --
6 Ranga Reddy 37 -- 21 14 2 --
7 Mahabubnagar 64 1 14 23 13 13
8 Nalgonda 59 2 35 17 3 2
9 Warangal 51 -- 29 20 2 --
10 Khammam 46 2 37 7 -- --
State Total 449 5 243 155 30 16
Vegetation Index (NDVI)
Water Index (NDWI) Seasonal Condition
S.No.
Description
Page. No
1 Background and Rationale 1
2 1. Data used, Indicators and Methodology 4
3 Present status up to June 2014 8
3.1 Rainfall and other weather data 8
3.2 Reservoir Water Levels 12
3.3 Crop Sowing Progress 13
3.4 Vegetation Index 15
3.5 Surface Wetness Indicators 19
3.6 Vegetation Condition Index 23
3.7 Drought situation of Mandals 24
Conclusions 29
References 30
List of Tables
Table No. Description Page. No
1 Classification of Agricultural situation 3
2 Data source and indicators 4
3 Rainfall status as on 30th
of June 2014 8
4 Water levels in major reservoirs 12
5 District Wise Crop Sowing Area - Upto The Week Ending 25-06-2014 14
6 Mandals under Mild and Normal categories based on ISMS criteria 26
Figures
Figure 1: Location of Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) 2
Figure 2: River Gauge station 2
Figure 3 : Flow chart of drought assessment methodology 7
Figure 4: Deviation of Rainfall in percent w.r.t. Normal from June 1 to 07 June 2014 9
Figure 5: Deviation of Rainfall in percent w.r.t. Normal from June 08 to 15 June 2014 9
Figure 6: Deviation of Rainfall in percent w.r.t. Normal from June 16 to 22 June 2014 10
Figure 7: Deviation of Rainfall in percent w.r.t. Normal from June 23 to 30 June 2014 10
Figure 8: Deviation of Rainfall in percent w.r.t. Normal from June 01 to 30 June 2014 11
Figure 9: District wise deviation from normal crop sown area as on date 25-06-2014 13
Figure 10: District wise deviation (graph) from normal crop sown area as on date 25-06-2014 14
Figure 11: NDVI- MODIS (250m): Monthly Time Composite for the year 2014 15
Figure 12: NDVI - MODIS (250m), Yearly Agricultural situation from 2014, 2013 and 2010 16
Figure 13: NDVI - MODIS (250m), Fortnightly Agricultural Situation for the year 2014 & 2010 17
Figure 14: NDVI deviation (MODIS - 250m) month of June w.r.t. 2010 18
Figure 15: NDWI-MODIS (250m): Monthly Time Composite for the year 2014 19
Figure 16: NDWI- MODIS (250m), Yearly Agricultural situation from 2014, 2013 and 2010 20
Figure 17: NDVI - MODIS (250m), Fortnightly Agricultural Situation for the year 2014 & 2010 21
Figure 18: NDWI-MODIS (250m) deviation from month of June w.r.t. 2010 22
Figure 19: Vegetation Condition Index, Month of June 2014 23
Figure 20: Mandal wise Drought Assessment based on ISMS Criterion 24
Figure 21 Drought Assessment based on GoAP Criterion of Rainfall deficient 25
Figure 22: Drought Assessment based on GoAP Criterion of Rainfall deficiency and Dry spell 25
Annexure
I District Wise Maps Showing Normal and Watch Mandals 31
II Dissemination of the report 40
1
1. Background and Rationale
Drought is a complex natural hazard. It is defined as any deficiency of water to satisfy the normal
need to agriculture, livestock, industry, or human population. Drought Assessment and monitoring is
essential for the agricultural sector to take appropriate mitigation measures. Drought indices derived
from satellite data play a major role in assessing the health and condition of the crops/vegetation.
National Agricultural Drought Assessment and Monitoring System (NADAMS) project of National
Remote Sensing Centre (NRSC), ISRO established a remote sensing based drought assessment
protocol utilizing the NDVI and NDWI. The Government of India has established Mahalanobis
National Crop Forecast Centre (MNCFC) under Department of Agriculture & Cooperation at New
Delhi for carrying out drought assessment at national level.
The Department of Agriculture & Cooperation, Government of India published a drought manual in
2009 which suggested parameters like Rainfall deficiency, Area under sowing, NDVI, Moisture
Adequacy Index (MAI) and some other indictors to declare drought. The Government of Andhra
Pradesh (GoAP) uses the following criterion for declaration of Drought.
1. Mandatory Condition - Rainfall deficiency of 25% (>1000 mm rainfall area) and 20% (999 to
750 mm rainfall area) and 15% (<750 mm rainfall area)
2. Minimum of two condition to be fulfilled out of following three
a) Reduction in cropped areas of 50% and above under all principal crops.
b) Reduction in yields(50% and above), in case of high input oriented crops ground nut,
Bengal gram, hybrid sunflower yields may 40% reduction or above.
c) Dry spells and its impact on crop damages.
In Telangana, an extensive weather observation network of 839 Automatic Weather Stations (AWS),
41 soil moisture meters, 64 global radiation meters is established. River gauges are also established at
the outlet of each of the 15 sub-basins in Telangana to monitor the outflow and inflow in each sub-
basin. Andhra Pradesh State Development Planning Society (APSDPS) monitor the data and
maintains the networks. Figure 1 and Figure 2 showing the location of AWS and river gauge stations
in Telangana.
2
Figure 1: Location of Automatic Weather Stations (AWS)
Figure 2: River Gauge station
3
Andhra Pradesh State Development Planning Society (APSDPS) and CRIDA have developed
software that assists in monitoring the all three agricultural, meteorological and hydrological drought
situation. Andhra Pradesh State Remote Sensing Applications Centre (APSRAC) has established a
protocol Integrated Seasonal Condition Monitoring System (ISMS). The objectives of the ISMS are
Concurrent monitoring of seasonal conditions using remote sensing, extensive weather
network data and continuous ground truth.
Develop an early warning (monitoring and forecasting) of drought using suite of indicators,
which will help to increase drought preparedness, and identify and implement appropriate
Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) measures.
Early Warning to the Districts/Mandals.
ISMS uses the weather data provided by the above mentioned extensive observation network and
software, weekly progress of crop area sowings, ground water level and its fluctuation, command and
non-command area, water releases data, reservoir levels in addition to the Normalized Difference
Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) based methodology of
MNCFC. This output is verified through ground truth, additionally in context of the state specific
drought declaration criteria. The analysis is to be placed before a Technical Advisory Committee. The
agricultural situation is classified in three to four categories as per the NRSC i.e. Normal, Watch,
Alert for June to August and Normal, Mild, Moderate and Severe for September to October. The
details of the classification of agricultural situation are given in Table.1.
Table. 1. Classification of Agricultural situation
June - August
Normal Agricultural situation is normal
Watch
Progress of Agricultural situation is slow
Ample scope for recovery
No external intervention needed
Alert
Very slow progress of agricultural situation
Need for intervention.
Develop and implement contingency plans to
minimise loss
September -
October
Mild
drought Crops have suffered stress slightly
Moderate
drought
Considerable loss in production.
Take measures to alleviate suffering
Severe
High risk Significant reduction in crop yield
Management measures to provide relief
4
2. Data used, Indicators and Methodology
2.1. Data used
The details of data used under project is discussed in Table-2
Table. 2. Data source and indicators
Data source Product Indicators
MODIS (250/500m) Surface reflectance NDVI & NDWI
AWiFS Surface reflectance NDVI & NDWI
AWS/ DES
Daily rainfall & soil moisture
Crop sown area
Crop cutting experiments
Rainfall deviation
Dry spells
Soil moisture status
% deviation of crop sown
area
Crop Yield
Agriculture
Department Weekly sowing progress
District wise sown areas
deviation from normal
Irrigation Department Reservoir levels/ Water release
data
Command area Mandals
under canal irrigation
2.2 Indicators and Index
2.2.1 Rainfall and other weather data
In Telangana, South-West Monsoon is crucial for agriculture sector. The Meteorological
department (IMD) has announced that the South-West Monsoon reached Kerala and it will
take at least three more days to reach Telangana. All 845 AWS measures weather
parameters viz., rainfall, temperature, wind speed, wind direction and relative humidity in
addition to barometric pressure, soil moisture (41 locations) and global radiation (64
locations). AWS transmit the data every hour to APSDPS data center using GSM
technology. This data is used for computation of meteorological drought situations and the
conditions of the GoAP criteria.
2.2.2 Ground Water Level and Fluctuations
Groundwater has an important role in the environment. It replenishes streams, rivers, and
wetlands and helps to support wildlife habitat. It is used as primary source of drinking
water and also in agricultural and industrial activities.
2.1.1. Reservoir Water Levels
A scheme having Culturable Command Area (CCA) up to 2,000 hectares individually is
classified as minor irrigation scheme. A scheme having CCA more than 2,000 hectares and
up to 10,000 hectares individually is a medium irrigation scheme. A scheme having CCA
more than 10,000 hectares is major irrigation scheme.
5
2.1.2. Water Release - Major and Medium Project
In Telangana, Water is released during Kharif season to major and medium command
areas.
2.1.3. Crop Sowing Progress
Weekly crop sowing progress reports are taken from 'Season and Crop Coverage Report-
Kharif 2014' of Commissionerate of Agriculture, Telangana. The report includes current
status of Weather condition, Water level, Crop sowing and Agricultural Operations.
2.1.4. Crop Cutting Experiments
Crop cutting experiments are conducted at the end of Kharif Season, in order to obtain
fair, precise and accurate estimate of yield of principal crops which include Rice,
Groundnut, Sugarcane, Cotton etc.
2.1.5. Vegetation Index
The crop/vegetation reflects high energy in the near infrared band due its canopy geometry
and health of the standing crops/vegetation and absorbs high in the red band due to its
biomass and photosynthesis. Uses of these contrast characteristics of vegetation in near
infrared and red bands indicate both the health and condition of the crops/vegetation.
Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is widely used for operational drought
assessment because of its simplicity in calculation, easy to interpret and its ability to
partially compensate for the effects of atmosphere, illumination geometry etc.,
(Malingreau 1986, Tucker and Chowdhary 1987, Jhonson, et al., 1993, Kogan 1995).
NDVI is derived by the difference of these measurements and divided by their sum.
NDVI = (NIR-Red / NIR + Red)
The vegetation index is generated from each of the available satellite data irrespective of
the cloud cover present. To minimize the cloud, monthly time composite vegetation index
is generated.
2.1.6. Surface Wetness Indicators
Shortwave Infrared (SWIR) band is sensitive to moisture available in soil as well as in
crop canopy. In the beginning of the cropping season, soil back ground is dominant hence
SWIR is sensitive to soil moisture in the top 1-2 cm. As the crop progresses, SWIR
becomes sensitive to leaf moisture content. SWIR band provides only surface wetness
information. When the crop is grown-up, SWIR response is only from canopy and not
from the underlying soil. NDWI using SWIR can complement NDVI for drought
assessment particularly in the beginning of the cropping season. NDWI is derived as
under;
NDWI = (NIR-SWIR) / (NIR+SWIR)
6
Where, Near Infra Red and SWIR are the reflected energy in these two spectral bands.
Higher values of NDWI signify more surface wetness.
2.1.7. Vegetation Condition Index
Kogan (1995) developed Vegetation Condition Index (VCI) using the range of NDVI as
under,
VCI = (NDVI-NDVI min) / (NDVI max-NDVI min)*100
The current drought assessment expressed as percentage of deviation of NDVI and NDWI
based on 10 year NDVI and NDWI index values. The minimum and maximum value of
NDVI and NDWI, the VCI discriminated between the weather components.
2.3 Methodology
The methodology used by APSRAC to assess and monitor the agricultural conditions and
situation in the state at district and Mandal level uses IRS Resourcesat-2 AWiFS data. The Indian
Remote Sensing satellite (IRS) Resourcesat-2 having AWiFS (Advanced Wide Imaging Field
Sensor) payload collects data in two spectral bands 0.62-0.68µm (red) and 0.77-0.86 µm (near
infrared) with spatial resolution of 56 m and ground swath of 740 Km with a revisit period of 5
days. Along with this MODIS 250/500m satellite data provide spectra, radiometric and spatial
resolutions products for better monitoring of the agriculture. The combination of AWiFS and
MODIS is useful to increase the frequency of images
The different activities carried out through ISMS commence with acquisition of MODIS (250m)
and AWiFS (56m) satellite data. The satellite data being processed and NDVI and NDWI indices
are developed. Based on these indices deviation with respect to normal year (2010), VCI is
calculated and Mandal wise statistics are derived. The agricultural situation is assessed
incorporating Rainfall deviation, Command and non command areas, dry spell, CRIDA software
outputs, Drought prone border line areas, Crop sown area progress and ground truth along with
Satellite derived indices. The flow chart of methodology is shown in Figure 3.
7
Figure 3 : Flow chart of drought assessment methodology
NDVI & NDWI NDVI & NDWI
Satellite Data
MODIS AWiFS
VCI Deviation w.r.t.
Normal year
% Rainfall
Dev. Command and
Non command
areas Dry Spell
Jun
to
Au
g
Sep
to
Oct
Jun
to
Au
g
Sep
to
Oct
Normal
watch
Alert
Normal
Mild
Moderate
Severe
Normal
watch
Alert
Normal
Mild
Moderate
Severe
Composite
Fortnightly Report Ground
Truth
Weekly Sowing
Progress
Reservoir Level
voir level
Water Release
Sampling Plan based
on:
CRIDA software
output
(Meteorological,
Hydrological and
Agricultural)
Command/Non
command area
Drought Prone
border line areas
8
3. Present status up to June 2014
3.1. Rainfall data
The status of rainfall as on 30th June 2014 shown in Table 3. Nearly Fifty four percent (243 out of
449) mandals of the Telangana state received Scanty rainfall (-60% to-90%) and Thirty Five
percent are deficit (-20% to -59%). Only Thirty (7%) and Sixteen (4%) mandals are Normal
(+19% to-19%) and Excess (+19% or more) respectively. Five Mandals (1% out of the total
mandals) from Mahboobnagar (1), Khammam (2), and Nalgonda (2) received no rain during end
of the June 2014.
Table 3 Rainfall status as on 30th
June 2014
Sl.
No District Name
No. of
Mandals
No
Rain
-
100%
Scanty
-60% to -
99%
Deficient
-60% to -
99%
Normal
-19% to -
+19%
Excess
>19%
1 Adilabad 52 -- 34 17 1 --
2 Nizamabad 36 -- 21 14 1 --
3 Karimnagar 57 -- 22 28 6 1
4 Medak 46 -- 29 15 2 --
5 Hyderabad 1 -- 1 -- -- --
6 Ranga Reddy 37 -- 21 14 2 --
7 Mahabubnagar 64 1 14 23 13 13
8 Nalgonda 59 2 35 17 3 2
9 Warangal 51 -- 29 20 2 --
10 Khammam 46 2 37 7 -- --
State Total 449 5 243 155 30 16
9
The % deviation of Actual & Normal rainfall received up to 30th June 2014 shown in Fig. 4, 5 , 6 ,
7 & 8 respectively.
Figure 4: Deviation of Rainfall in percent w.r.t. Normal from June 01 to 07 June 2014
Figure 5: Deviation of Rainfall in percent w.r.t. Normal from June 08 to 15 June 2014
10
Figure 6: Deviation of Rainfall in percent w.r.t. Normal from June 16 to 22 June 2014
Figure 7: Deviation of Rainfall in percent w.r.t. Normal from June 23 to 30 June 2014
11
Figure 8: Deviation of Rainfall in percent w.r.t. Normal from June 01 to 30 June 2014
12
3.2. Reservoir Water Levels
All the major reservoirs is holding 448.87 TMC as on 30-06-2014, and as on date last year the
level had stood at 335.45 TMC. The detail of water levels of all major reservoirs as on 30-06-
2014 are furnished hereunder in Table 4.
SOURCE: IRRIGATION DEPARTMENT, A.P. HYDERABAD
*Reading as on 30.06.2014
PARTICULARS OF MAJOR RESERVOIRS AS ON 30/June/2014
Sl No Reservoir Name Time
FRL Gross
Capacity
THIS YEAR LAST YEAR
As on 30/June/2014 As on 30/June/2013
(feet) (TMC) Level
Gross
Storage Inflow Outflow Level
Gross
Storage
(in feet) (TMC) (Cusecs) (Cusecs) (in feet) (TMC)
Krishna Basin
1 ALMATTI 09:39 1705 129.721 1664.57 19.66 0 0 0 0
2 JURALA 09:44 1045 11.941 1034.45 5.77 250 309 1030.18 4.03
3 KC CANAL 00:00 957.99 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 0
4
KRISHNA
DELTA SYSTEM
09:45 57.05 3.071 55.85 2.78 1003 1003 57.05 3.071
5 NAGARJUNA
SAGAR 09:45 590 312.045 515.6 141.38 0 5740 519.8 148.91
6 NARAYANAPU
R 09:39 1615 37.646 1601.08 20.97 0 53 0 0
7 SRISAILAM 09:44 885 215.807 834.3 54.25 0 201 811.1 34.93
8 TUNGABHADR
A 09:40 1633 100.855 1594.16 13.33 3703 374 1600.78 20.62
9 UJJAINI 09:45 1630 117.24 1604.65 51.34 0 384 1603.32 49.03
Godavari Basin
10
GODAVARI
DELTA
SYSTEM
09:47 45 2.93 43.5 2.6785 8772 9000 42.8 2.5408
11 JAIKWAD 10:54 1522 102.732 1496.25 29.07 0 999 1491.37 21.45
12 KADDAM 09:49 700 7.6 680.575 3.573 46 46 696.05 6.611
13 LOWER
MANAIR DAM 09:49 920 24.074 898.85 9.71 0 169 882.5 3.683
14 NIZAM SAGAR 09:46 1405 17.803 1393.16 5.64 0 149 1379.42 1.21
15 SINGUR 09:46 1717.93 29.91 1704.74 13.65 0 428 1690.4 4.23
16 SRI RAM
SAGAR 09:46 1091 90.313 1067.5 24.45 0 456 1056.6 10.47
Pennar Basin
17 KANDALERU 09:47 278.89 68.03 225.9 15.32 0 579 220.22 12.46
18 SOMASILA 09:47 330 73.898 289.05 19.46 0 2501 270.88 8.01
19
VELIGODU
BALANCING RESERVOIR
09:49 868.5 16.95 831.96 3.35 0 40 833.01 3.58
Other Basins
20 VAMSHADHA
RA 09:48 125 0.612 119.75 0.214 600 50 125 0.612
21 YELERU 09:48 284 24.1 258.99 12.27 69 450 0 0
13
3.3. Crop Sowing Progress
For the week ending 25th
June 2014 the districts of Mahabubnagar, Nalgonda, Khammam,
Rangareddy, Medak are showing negative deviation (< -50%) of crop sown area. Adilabad,
Karimnagar showing negative deviation from - 50% to - 25%. Warangal shows negative
deviation from -25 % to 0%. Nizamabad shows positive deviation from the normal as on date.
The total area sown in the state is 428268 ha as against the normal sown area 949963 ha as on
date. The details are shown in Figure 9 and the deviation graph is shown in Figure10.
Figure 9: District wise deviation from normal crop sown area as on date 25-06-2014
14
DISTRICT WISE CROP SOWING AREA - UPTO THE WEEK ENDING 25-06-2014 (Table 5)
S.No District Name Normal (ha) Actual (ha) Deviation%
1 Rangareddy 40401 2413 -94.03
2 Khammam 63422 11418 -82.00
3 Medak 95725 20299 -78.79
4 Mahabubnagar 247384 62200 -74.86
5 Nalagonda 22827 6042 -73.53
6 Adilabad 221343 125075 -43.49
7 Karimnagar 86995 52282 -39.90
8 Warangal 133905 109724 -18.06
9 Hyderabad 0.00 0.00 0.00
10 Nizamabad 37961 38815 2.25
Total 949963 428268
Figure 10: District wise deviation (graph) from normal crop sown area as on date 25-06-2014
15
3.4. Vegetation Index
The NDVI (Normalized Difference of Vegetation Index) of June 2014 shown in the figures and
also compared with 2010 and 2013. The year 2010 is treated as a normal year. The Mandalwise
NDVI, NDVI situation from the year 2010, 2013 & 2014 , fortnightly agricultural Situation for
the year 2014 & 2010 and deviation of NDVI w.r.t. 2010 are shown in the Figures 11, 12, 13 and
14 respectively. The NDVI deviations with respect to the month of June 2010 indicate that
Medak, Mahabubnagar, Rangareddy, Nizamabad, Karimnagar, and Nalgonda districts are under
stress condition while Warangal and Khammam are showing moderate deviation. As per rainfall
distribution the progress of agricultural situation may improve in further months.
Figure 11: NDVI- MODIS (250m): Monthly Time Composite for the year 2014
16
Figure 12: NDVI - MODIS (250m), Yearly Agricultural situation from 2014, 2013 and 2010
17
Figure 13: NDVI - MODIS (250m), Fortnightly Agricultural Situation for the year 2014 & 2010
18
Figure 14: NDVI deviation (MODIS - 250m) month of June w.r.t. 2010
19
3.5. Surface Wetness Indicators
The map indicates status of moisture availability in soil as well as in crop canopy for June 2014
The year 2010 is treated as a normal year. The Mandal wise NDWI, NDWI situation from the
year 2010, 2013 & 2014 , fortnightly agricultural Situation for the year 2014 & 2010 and
deviation of NDWI w.r.t. 2010 are shown in the Figures 15, 16, 17 and 18 respectively. The
NDWI deviations with respect to the month of June 2010 indicate that Adilabad, Medak,
Mahabubnagar, Rangareddy, Nizamabad, Karimnagar, Warangal, and Nalgonda districts are
under stress condition while Khammam are showing moderate deviation. As per rainfall
distribution the progress of agricultural situation may improve in further months.
Figure 15: NDWI-MODIS (250m): Monthly Time Composite for the year 2014
20
Figure 16: NDWI- MODIS (250m), Yearly Agricultural situation from 2014, 2013 and 2010
21
Figure 17: NDVI - MODIS (250m), Fortnightly Agricultural Situation for the year 2014 & 2010
22
Figure 18: NDWI-MODIS (250m) deviation from month of June w.r.t. 2010
23
3.6. Vegetation Condition Index:
VCI map expressed as percentage of deviation of NDVI and NDWI based on 11 year NDVI and
NDWI index values using an equation is shown in Figure 19. VCI indicates agricultural situation
over last ten years data. Low VCI is observed in parts of Warangal, Rangareddy, Mahabubnagar
Districts. Based on VCI 446 Mandals of state categorised under Normal, 03 Mandals of state
categorised under Watch VCI may vary due to cloud cover and situation may clear in next
month.
Figure 19: Vegetation Condition Index, Month of June 2014
24
3.7. Drought situation of Mandals:
3.7.1. Composite Criteria
The drought situation in the state is assessed using different indicators viz. Vegetation Condition
Index (VCI), Rainfall deviation and dry spells of mandals. Compositing all indicators mandals
were categorised into Normal and Watch. Mandal-wise analysis by the Month of June 2014
indicated “Normal” agricultural situation in 350 Mandals. The agricultural situation is categorized
as “Watch” in 99 Mandals. Adilabad, Karimnagar districts is excluded in the assessment as it is
covered during North-East Monsoon period. The Mandals under Normal and Watch categories
are given in the Table-5 and their spatial distribution is shown in Figure 20.
Figure 20: Mandal wise Drought Assessment based on ISMS Criterion
25
3.7.2. GoAP Criteria
The total 401 Mandals are under watch based on the GoAP criteria of rainfall deficiency and
based on rainfall deficiency & Dry spell 47 Mandals are under watch condition. The
distribution of the Mandals under watch category is shown in Figure 21 and 22 respectively
Figure 22: Drought Assessment based on GoAP Criterion of Rainfall deficiency and Dry spell
Figure 21: Drought Assessment based on GoAP Criterion of Rainfall deficient
26
Table 6 Mandals under Watch and Normal categories based on ISMS criteria
District Name Watch Normal
Adilabad
Total: 0 Total: 52
Adilabad, Asifabad, Bazarhathnoor, Bejjur, Bela, Bellampalle, Bhainsa, Bhimini,
Boath, Chennur, Dahegaon, Dandepalle, Dilawarpur, Gudihathnoor, Ichoda,
Inderavelly, Jainad, Jainoor, Jaipur, Jannaram, Kaddam (Peddur), Kagaznagar,
Kasipet, Kerameri, Khanapur, Kotapalle, Kouthala, Kubeer, Kuntala,
Laxmanchanda, Lokeswaram, Luxettipet, Mamda, Mancherial, Mandamarri,
Mudhole, Narnoor, Nennal, Neradigonda, Nirmal, Rebbana, Sarangapur, Sirpur,
Sirpur (T), Talamadugu, Tamsi, Tandur, Tanoor, Tiryani, Utnoor, Vemanpalle,
Wankdi
Karimnagar
Total: 1
Gambhiraopet
Total: 56
Bejjanki, Bheemadevarpalle, Boinpalle, Chandurthi, Chigurumamidi,
Choppadandi, Dharmapuri, Dharmaram, Eligedu, Elkathurthi, Ellanthakunta,
Gangadhara, Gollapalle, Husnabad, Huzurabad, Ibrahimpatnam, Jagtial,
Jammikunta, Julapalle, Kamalapur, Kamanpur, Karimnagar, Kataram, Kathlapur,
Kodimial, Koheda, Konaraopeta, Koratla, Mahadevpur, Malharrao, Mallapur,
Mallial, Manakondur, Manthani, Medipalle, Metpalle, Mustabad, Mutharam
(Mahadevpur), Mutharam(Manthani), Odela, Peddapalle, Pegadapalle, Raikal,
Ramadugu, Ramagundam, Saidapur, Sarangapur, Shankarapatnam, Sircilla,
Srirampur, Sultanabad, Timmapur(LMD Colony), Veenavanka, Velgatoor,
Vemulawada, Yellareddipet
Khammam
Total: 10
Aswapuram, Aswaraopeta, Burgampahad,
Chinthakani, Dummugudem, Kothagudem,
Kunavaram, Manuguru, Velairpadu,
Venkatapuram
Total: 36 Bayyaram, Bhadrachalam, Bonakal, Chandrugonda, Cherla, Chintur,
Dammapeta, Enkuru, Garla, Gundala, Julurpad, Kallur, Kamepalle, Khammam
(Rural), Khammam (Urban), Konijerla, Kukunoor, Kusumanchi, Madhira,
Mudigonda, Mulkalapalle, Nelakondapalle, Palwancha, Penuballi, Pinapaka,
Sathupalle, Singareni, Tallada, Tekulapalle, Thirumalayapalem,
Vararamachandrapuram, Vemsoor, Wazeed, Wyra, Yellandu, Yerrupalem
27
Mahbubnagar
Total: 28
Addakal, Alampur, Amangal, Amrabad,
Balanagar, Bomraspet, Chinnachintakunta,
Damaragidda, Dhanwada, Doulathabad,
Farooqnagar, Itikyal, Keshampet, Kodair,
Koilkonda, Kondurg, Kothur, Lingal,
Madgul, Manopad, Midjil,
Peddakothapalle, Tadoor, Utkoor,
Vangoor, Veepangandla, Veldanda,
Waddepalle
Total: 36
Achampet, Atmakur, Balmoor, Bhoothpur, Bijinapalle, Devarkadra, Dharur,
Gadwal , Ghanpur , Ghattu, Gopalpeta, Hanwada, Ieej, Jadcherla, Kalwakurthy,
Kodangal, Kollapur, Kosgi, Kothakota, Maddur, Maganoor, Mahbubnagar,
Makthal, Maldakal , Nagarkurnool, Narayanpet, Narva, Nawabpet, Pangal,
Pebbair, Peddamandadi, Talakondapalle, Telkapalle, Thimmajipet,
Uppununthala, Wanaparthy
Medak
Total: 10
Doultabad, Dubbak, Jharasangam, Kalher,
Kondapur, Mirdoddi, Patancheru,
Ramchandrapuram, Sadasivpet, Tupran
Total: 36
Alladurg, Andole, Chegunta, Chinnakodur, Gajwel, Hathnoora, Jagdevpur,
Jinnaram, Kangti, Kohir, Kondapak, Kowdipalle, Kulcharam, Manoor, Medak,
Mulug, Munpalle, Nangnoor, Narayankhed, Narsapur, Nyalkal, Papannapet,
Pulkal, Raikode, Ramayampet, Regode, Sangareddy, Shankarampet (R),
Shankarampet (A), Shivampet, Siddipet, Tekmal, Thoguta, Wargal, Yeldurthy,
Zahirabad
Nalgonda
Total: 22
Anumula, Chandam Pet, Chandur, Chilkur,
Devarakonda, Garidepalle, Huzurnagar,
Kangal, Marriguda, Mattampalle, Mella
Cheruvu, Miryalaguda, Munugode,
Nalgonda, Nampalle, Narayanapur,
Neredcherla, Pedda Adiserla Alle,
Peddavoora, Pochampalle, Valigonda,
Vemulapalle
Total: 37
Alair, Atmakur (M), Atmakur (S), Bhongir, Bibinagar, Bommalaramaram,
Chintha Palle, Chityala, Chivvemla, Choutuppal, Dameracherla, Gundala,
Gundla Palle, Gurrampode, Jajireddi Gudem, Kattangoor, Kethepalle, Kodad,
M.Turkapalle, Mothey, Mothkur, Munagala, Nadigudem, Nakrekal, Narketpalle,
Nidamanur, Nuthankal, Penpahad, Rajapet, Ramannapeta, Sali Gouraram,
Suryapet, Thipparthi, Thirumalgiri, Thripuraram, Thungathurthi, Yadagirigutta
Nizamabad
Total: 2 Bhiknoor, Domakonda
Total: 34
Armur, Balkonda, Banswada, Bheemgal, Bichkunda, Birkoor, Bodhan,
Dharpalle, Dichpalle, Gandhari, Jakranpalle, Jukkal, Kamareddy, Kammarpalle,
Kotgiri, Lingampet, Machareddy, Madnoor, Makloor, Mortad, Nagareddipet,
Nandipet, Navipet, Nizamabad, Nizamsagar, Pitlam, Ranjal, Sadasivanagar,
Sirkonda, Tadwai, Varni, Velpur, Yedpalle, Yellareddy
28
Rangareddy
Total: 24
Bantwaram, Chevella, Doma, Ghatkesar,
Ibrahimpatnam, Kandukur, Keesara,
Kulkacharla, Maheswaram, Malkajgiri,
Manchal, Medchal, Moinabad, Mominpet,
Pargi, Pudur, Qutubullapur, Rajendranagar,
Serilingampally, Shabad, Shamshabad,
Uppal, Vicarabad, Yacharam
Total: 13
Balanagar, Basheerabad, Dharur, Gandeed, Hayathnagar, Marpalle, Nawabpet,
Peddemul, Saroornagar, Shamirpet, Shankarpalle, Tandur, Yelal
Warangal
Total: 1
Bachannapet
Total: 50
Atmakur, Bhupalpalle, Chennaraopet, Cherial, Chityal, Devaruppula,
Dharmasagar, Dornakal, Duggondi, Eturnagaram, Geesugonda, Ghanpur
(Mulug), Ghanpur (Station), Govindaraopet, Gudur, Hanamkonda, Hasanparthy,
Jangaon, Kesamudram, Khanapur, Kodakandla, Kothagudem, Kuravi,
Lingalaghanpur, Maddur, Mahabubabad, Mangapet, Maripeda, Mogullapalle,
Mulug, Nallabelly, Narmetta, Narsampet, Narsimhulapet, Nekkonda, Nellikudur,
Palakurthi, Parkal, Parvathagiri, Raghunathpalle, Raiparthy, Regonda, Sangam,
Shayampet, Tadvai, Thorrur, Venkatapur, Warangal (Fully Urban),
Wardhannapet, Zaffergadh
29
4. Conclusions
Highlights of seasonal conditions at the end of June 2014 are as follows:
Total 243 Mandals received scanty rainfall in State. Scanty rainfall was recorded in Adilabad
(34), Karimnagar (22), Khammam (37), Mahabubnagar (14), Medak (29), Nalgonda (35),
Nizamabad (21), Ranga reddy (13) and Warangal (29).
155 Mandals of state received Deficient rainfall. Deficient rainfall was recorded in Adilabad
(17), Karimnagar (28), Khammam (07), Mahabubnagar (23), Medak (15), Nalgonda (17),
Nizamabad (14), Ranga Reddy (12) and Warangal (20).
30 Mandals received Normal rainfall in State. Normal rainfall was recorded in Adilabad (01),
Karimnagar (06), Mahabubnagar (13), Medak (02), Nalgonda (03), Nizamabad (01), Ranga
Reddy (10) and Warangal (02).
16 Mandals of state received Excess rainfall in State. Excess rainfall was recorded in
Karimnagar (01), Mahabubnagar (13), Nalgonda (02), Ranga Reddy (02).
Total 5 Mandals of state recorded No Rain in the districts of Khammam (02), Mahabubnagar
(01), Nalgonda (02).
As per the criteria of the GoAP, 360 Mandals are normal and 89 Mandals are under watch
category at the end of month.
VCI (NDVI & NDWI), 446 Mandals of state categorised under Normal, 03 Mandals of state
categorised under Watch.
Mandal wise analysis by the end of June indicated “Normal” agricultural situation in 350
Mandals. The agricultural situation is categorized as “Watch” 99 Mandals.
30
References
GoI Drought Manual,
http://drought.unl.edu/portals/0/docs/international/GovtIndiaDroughtManual.pdf
GoTG Drought Criterion, http://www.seri.ap.gov.in/gos/09012013DM_MS1.PDF
Kogan FN, 1995, Droughts of late 1980s in the USA as derived from NOAA polar orbiting satellite
data, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 76: 655-668
Malingreau JP, 1986, Global vegetation dynamics: Satellite observations over Asia, International
Journal of Remote Sensing, 7: 1121-1146
Season And Crop Coverage Report, Kharif - 2014 Department of Agriculture, Telangana
Tucker CJ and Chowdhary BJ, 1987, Satellite remote sensing of drought conditions, Remote
Sensing of Environment, 23: 243-251
31
ANNEXURE I
District Wise Maps Showing Normal and Watch Mandals
32
33
34
35
36
37
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39
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ANNEXURE II
DISSEMINATION OF THE REPORT
1. Chief Ministers office
2. PS to Hon’ble Minister for Revenue
3. PS to Hon’ble Minister for Agriculture
4. PS to Hon’ble Minister for Finance
5. Chief Secretary
6. Principal Secretary Planning
7. Principal Finance Secretary
8. Principal Secretary Agriculture
9. Commissioner Disaster Management
10. Commissioner Agriculture
11. Director DES
12. Director CRIDA
13. Vice Chancellor ANGRAU
14. Director NRSC
15. Director MNCFC
16. To all the District Collectors
17. APSRAC and APSDPS web site (http://apsrac.ap.gov.in/ and http://apsdps.gov.in/ )