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Technical Review of Stocks CIO Wealth Management Research 29 September 2014 Peter Lee, Chief Technical Analyst [email protected] +1-212-713-8888, ext.01 This report provides technical analysis on stocks that, we believe, are of a wide interest. This list is not a template for the construction of your personal portfolio. You should discuss investment decisions with your Financial Advisor. For more information about this report, see Description and Methodology in the Appendix. We would like to thank Venkat Badri, an employee of Cognizant Group, for his assistance in preparing this research report. Cognizant staff provides research support services to UBS. This report has been prepared by UBS Financial Services Inc. (UBS FS). Analyst certification and required disclosures begin on page 29. UBS does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

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Page 1: Technical Review of Stocks€¦ · Technical Review of Stocks CIO Wealth Management Research 29 September 2014 Peter Lee, Chief Technical Analyst peter.lee@ubs.com +1-212-713-8888,

Technical Review of Stocks CIO Wealth Management Research 29 September 2014

Peter Lee, Chief Technical [email protected]

+1-212-713-8888, ext.01

This report provides technical analysis on stocks that, we believe, are of a wide interest. This list is not a template forthe construction of your personal portfolio. You should discuss investment decisions with your Financial Advisor. For more information about this report, see Description and Methodology in the Appendix. We would like to thank Venkat Badri, an employee of Cognizant Group, for his assistance in preparing this research report. Cognizant staff provides research support services to UBS.

This report has been prepared by UBS Financial Services Inc. (UBS FS). Analyst certification and required disclosuresbegin on page 29. UBS does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result,investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report.Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

Page 2: Technical Review of Stocks€¦ · Technical Review of Stocks CIO Wealth Management Research 29 September 2014 Peter Lee, Chief Technical Analyst peter.lee@ubs.com +1-212-713-8888,

Table of Contents Ticker Name PageAAPL APPLE 4ABBV ABBVIE INC 4ABT ABBOTT LABORATORIES 5ACN ACCENTURE 5ADSK AUTODESK 6AET AETNA INC 6AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC 7AMP AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC 7 APA APACHE 8APC ANADARKO PETROLEUM CORP 8AXP AMERICAN EXPRESS 9BA BOEING 9CE CELANESE CORP 10CL COLGATE-PALMOLIVE CO 10CMCSA COMCAST CORP 11CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS INC 11EMC EMC CORP/MA 12EMR EMERSON ELECTRIC 12ESRX EXPRESS SCRIPTS HOLDING CO 13GE GENERAL ELECTRIC CO 13GOOGL GOOGLE INC 14HAL HALLIBURTON 14INTC INTEL CORP 15IVZ INVESCO 15JPM JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 16KO COCA-COLA CO 16KRFT KRAFT FOODS GROUP INC 17LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORP 17M MACY'S INC 18MDLZ MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC 18MDT MEDTRONIC INC 19MRK MERCK & CO 19MSFT MICROSOFT INC 20NKE NIKE INC 20QCOM QUALCOMM INC 21SBAC SBA COMMUNICATIONS 21SLB SCHLUMBERGER LTD 22SNDK SANDISK CORP 22SO SOUTHERN CO 23TRV TRAVELERS 23TXN TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC 24UNP UNION PACIFIC CORP 24UTX UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORP 25VMW VMWARE INC 25

Technical Review of Stocks

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Changes since last report Additions Name Ticker Deletions Covidien PLC COV

Technical Rating Changes Name Ticker Old New

The last update on these stocks was published on 25 September 2014. Going forward, our previously published rating for deleted stocks should not be relied upon.

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CIO WM Research 29 September 2014 3

Page 4: Technical Review of Stocks€¦ · Technical Review of Stocks CIO Wealth Management Research 29 September 2014 Peter Lee, Chief Technical Analyst peter.lee@ubs.com +1-212-713-8888,

Apple Inc (AAPL)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 96.5-98.5 89.5-90 83-85 100.72-103.74 110-111 116.5

Technical rating Bullish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $97.87

Rationale: AAPL recovered from its 2012-2013 decline of 45.38%, trading marginally above its 2012 highs (100.72). Relative strength has also improved. A convincing surge above the top of a 1-year uptrend channel at 101-104 rendersupside targets to 116.5, intermediate term and then to 145-146, longer term. However, near term a negative side week (9/5/14) and a gap down on 9/16/14 warns of a consolidation phase to key initial support at 96.5-98.5 or the Sep'14 low and the 10-wk ma. Key secondary support remains at 89.5-90 or the 2009 uptrend, and the 30-wk ma.

AbbVie Inc (ABBV)

Jan '13 Mar '13 May '13 Jul '13 Sep '13 Nov '13 Jan '14 Mar '14 May '14 Jul '14 Sep '14

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Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 54-55 51-52 45.51-46.42 60 65-67 76-77

Technical rating Bullish Sector Healthcare

Last Sale Price $58

Rationale: We retain a bullish technical outlook as long as this healthcare name continues to retain its 2013 uptrend channel now rising near 53-54 and 65-66. On a near-term perspective, a downside gap on 7/8/14 at 56.97-57.39 led to a brief near term correction. Also note the recent strong rally has negated a head and shoulders top pattern dating back to last year (Dec ’13). The left shoulders are visible along 54.78-55.32 or the Dec ‘13 and Mar/Apr/early-Jun ‘14 highs. The head is at 58.27 or the Jul ‘14 high, and neckline support is at 45.51-46.42. Key supply is 65-67.

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Abbott Laboratories (ABT)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20142020

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 40-41 37-38 35.80 44-45 47-48 50-51

Technical rating Bullish Sector Health Care

Last Sale Price $42

Rationale: A negative outside week in 6/17/13, weak relative strengths, downside gaps in Jun/Aug 2013 and the viola-tion of a 3-year uptrend channel (34) warned of a medium top. However, the subsequent correction was a false break-down or a bear trap as ABT recovered all of its prior losses. In fact, the recent surge above 40.49-40.56 or the Mar/Jun ‘14 confirms a new record high leading to a test of 44-45 or the top of 1-year uptrend channel and the projected tar-get based on 2012 breakout. Above 45 renders 47-48/50-51. Failure to breakout can lead to test of support at 40-41.

Accenture PLC (ACN)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 76.5-78 75-75.5 67-69 80-80.5 82-82.5 84.5-85.88

Technical rating Neutral Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $78.98

Rationale: A broadening top formation over the past 5-plus years as well as a 2-year ascending triangle is rapidly con-verging. This warns of an impending inflection point. We are also concerned about the continued weak relative strength of this stock against peers and SPX Index suggesting a market underperformer. Key initial support moves up to 76.5-78 or the 2010/2012 uptrend as well the Aug 2014 lows. Violation here coupled with a decline below second-ary support at 75-75.5 confirms a major breakdown. Initial resistance is 80-80.5 or 10-/30-week ma and then 82-82.5.

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Autodesk (ADSK)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 51.5-52.48 48.23-49.61 44.76 58.53-58.68 65-66 72-73

Technical rating Bullish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $54.43

Rationale: Despite the recent sharp correction during Feb-Apr ’14, we maintain an intermediate term bullish stance on ADSK as a breakout of a four year symmetrical triangle pattern last year above the high-30s still renders upside to themid-60s (medium term), 72-73 (intermediate term), and to the low-80s, longer term. The sharp bounce from the mid-40s has encountered key near term resistance along 58.53-58.68 or the Feb/Aug ‘14 highs. Repeated failures to breakout coupled with an overbought condition can lead to a pullback to key initial support in the high-40s to low-50s.

Aetna Inc (AET)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 80-81 75-76 70-72 83.71-85.72 90-91 103-106

Technical rating Bullish Sector Healthcare

Last Sale Price $82.06

Rationale: Clearing above the top of a 4 year uptrend channel in the high-50s in 2013 still renders upside to mid-80s (near term), low-90s (medium) and 103-106 (longer term). The sharp rally over the past year has led to an overbought condition. Recent failure near the top of the 2012 uptrend channel at 85-86 as well as a negative outside month in Jul ‘14 (85.72) has led to a pullback to initial support at 80-81 or the 10-wk ma and late-Aug '14 breakout. The bottom of 2012 channel and Aug '14 low at 75-76 remains secondary support followed by the Apr ‘14 gap up at 70-72.

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Applied Materials Inc (AMAT)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 20.39-2.15 18.97-19.40 18.08-18.27 23.16-24 25.94-26.4 28

Technical rating Bullish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $21.51

Rationale: A convincing move above the top of a potential 2009 head and shoulders top (16.93) has negated a major top and reaffirmed an intermediate term recovery. The 1H 2014 rally was impressive. However, it failed to clear above the top of its 2012 uptrend channel (24) as well as the Aug ‘07 high (22.85) setting into motion a consolidation to initial sup-port at 20.39-21.15 or the Jan '14 uptrend, 30-wk ma and Aug '14 gap up. Secondary support is at 18.97-19.40 or the Nov 2012 uptrend and May ‘14 gap up. Key initial resistance is the Jun/Aug '14 and the 2007 highs.

Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20142020

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 120-122 114-116 100-102 127-129 133-134 133-134

Technical rating Bullish Sector Financials

Last Sale Price $122.94

Rationale: Two multi-year breakouts during Jan ‘13 above 63 confirm the start of a major rally. A large 6-year sym-metrical triangle breakout renders upside targets to 116-117 (near term), 120-122 (intermediate term) and then to133-134 (longer term). In the past year AMP has achieved both of its near term and intermediate term targets. Recent failure to clear above the top of its 2009 uptrend channel (128) coupled with a negative outside week (8/1/14) warn ofa pullback to initial support (120-122) and below this to 114-116 or to the Jun ‘14 breakout, 30-wk ma and trendlines.

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Apache Corp (APA)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 93-95 86-87 83-84 102-105 109-112 117-118.5

Technical rating Bullish Sector Energy

Last Sale Price $93.31

Rationale: The 2011 downtrend breakout at 81 in Aug ‘13 and a positive outside month (Aug '13) signal a recovery. Ahead and shoulders top and a 2008/2011 downtrend suggest further volatility. Nonetheless, the ability to maintain above key support in the mid-90s or the Jun '14 breakout can still extend the recovery to 102-105 (near term), 109-112 (medium) or the 61.8% retracement and the Feb 2012 high and then to 117-118.5 (intermediate) or the 2008 downtrend. However, failure to retain key support in the mid-90s renders downside risks to the low-to-mid 80s.

Anadarko Petroleum Corp (APC)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20143030

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 101-102 95-97.5 85-87.5 106-108 112.5-113.5 122-125

Technical rating Bullish Sector Energy

Last Sale Price $102.28

Rationale: Despite recent weakness in Energy sector this Energy name retains its leadership role within its peer group. Nonetheless, the strong selling during Jul '14 has created a negative outside week. Failure to clear above key resistance at 112.5-113.5 followed by a violation of the 10-wk ma (107.5) and the Jul/Aug lows (104) have led to a key test of the 30-week ma (101.67). A breakdown here will confirm a breakdown and force upon a technical downgrade as thisopens the door for a decline to the mid-90s and possibly to the mid-80s. Key supply is 106-108/112.5-113.5.

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American Express (AXP)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20142020

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 85.5-87 82-84 76.5-78.5 90-91 94-96.24 109-110

Technical rating Bullish Sector Financials

Last Sale Price $86.76

Rationale: Despite the recent volatility in the marketplace this leadership Financial name continues to trend higher onthe backdrop of strong relative strength. A large multi-year breakout above its 2007 high (not shown - 65.89) coupled with a subsequent breakout above the top of its 5 year uptrend channel (67-68) earlier last year render upside targets to 94-96 (near term), 109-110 (medium term) and 120-122 (longer term). The failure to clear above 94-96 and the rolling over of the10- /30-week ma led to a correction back to initial support at 85.5-87 and below this to 82-84.

Boeing (BA)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 124-125 118-120 109.03-110.92 129-131 136-138.39 142-144.37

Technical rating Bullish Sector Industrials

Last Sale Price $127.14

Rationale: A breakout of a multi-year accumulation pattern above 107 early last year still suggests higher prices, over time as a 79-point basing pattern breakout renders a target to the mid-150s, intermediate term and then to the mid-180s, longer term. However, a negative outside week on 1/24/14 accompanied by a negative outside month on Jan '14and a large downside gap (132-136) on 1/28/14 warn of a consolidation. The correction has stabilized near the bottom of its trading range at 118-120 prompting a rally to key resistances at 129-131, 136-138.39 and then 142-144.37.

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Celanese Corp (CE)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 57.5 53-54 50-51 62.5-63 66-67 70-72

Technical rating Bullish Sector Materials

Last Sale Price $60.62

Rationale: We maintain an intermediate-to-longer term favorable technical outlook on this cyclical name based on its large technical base breakouts above the low-50s late last year and above the high-50s this year. The 2011/2012 and 2009 triangle breakouts render upside targets to the low-70s (intermediate term) and then to mid-80s (longer term). However, recent failure at initial resistance at 66-67 coupled with a negative outside week (7/11/14) and 5-month head/shoulders top warn of a pullback to key support at 57.5 or the prior Apr '14 breakout and the 2012 uptrend.

Colgate Palmolive Co (CL)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 63-65 59.75 54.5-55.5 69-70 75-76 80-81

Technical rating Bullish Sector Cons. Staples

Last Sale Price $65.48

Rationale: Although many defensive sectors have lagged the market (SPX) and pro-cyclical sectors, this stock has suc-cessfully maintained its well-defined 2010/2011 uptrend channel. The top of the channel is 75-76 and the bottom of channel is 64-65. A breakout above 70-72 renders upside to the mid-70s and then the low-80s. Positive outside weeks during 5/16/14, 5/30/14 and 6/20/14 suggest investors continue to favor this Consumer Staples name. However, the recent broad market selloff appears to have bounced off of key support near the bottom of its channel at 63-65.

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Comcast Corp. Cl A (CMCSA)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 52.5 49 47.74 57.49 60-61 63-64

Technical rating Bullish Sector Cons. Disc.

Last Sale Price $53.94

Rationale: There remain wide dispersions across the Consumer Discretionary sector. Although CMCSA has completed a 12-year accumulation pattern breakout in 2012/13 above the low-to-mid 30s, it has been erratic this year as the channel breakout above the top of its 2011 uptrend channel (53-54) earlier in the year did not follow through. A nega-tive outside week on 8/1/14 has also put pressure on the stock. Nonetheless, a successful test of key support at thebottom of its channel (52.5) as well as the 30-wk ma (52.5) can lead to another rally to 57.49 and then 61-63.

Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20141212

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 24 23 21.25-22.5 26-26.5 27.72-27.74 29-30

Technical rating Neutral Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $24.54

Rationale: Although we are encouraged by a potential Fan formation as evident by 2 downtrend breakouts in late 2011 and early 2013 its still needs to breakout above the third downtrend near 26-26.5 to confirm a major reversal. Key re-sistance is also evident near 26.49 or the Aug ‘13 reaction high. The 2008/2010 highs at 27.72-27.74 is also formidable supply. The 4 downside gaps and negative outside month during Aug/Nov ’13 suggest strong selling here. We would not be surprised to see a trading range develop between 21.25-22.25 and 26.5-27.75 over the near to intermediate term.

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EMC Corp (EMC)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20141212

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 27.06-27.76 24.5-25.0 23-23.50 30 32 36

Technical rating Bullish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $28.81

Rationale: A large symmetrical triangle breakout at 26-26.5 coupled with a rather large gap up on 7/21/14 reaffirms the start of a sustainable intermediate term recovery. Based on a 10-point technical basing effort this breakout sug-gests upside targets to 30 (near term), 32 (intermediate) and 36 (longer term). A negative outside day on 9/22/14 hints of a consolidation to initial support at 27.06-27.76 or the Jul ’14 weekly gap up. Below this, the Apr ‘14 lows (24.5-25)and the the bottom of the triangle (23-23.5) provide crucial support on major corrections.

Emerson Electric (EMR)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 59-60 54-55 47.10 65.5 67.5-68.5 70-71

Technical rating Bullish Sector Industrials

Last Sale Price $62.41

Rationale: EMR have emerged as a leadership name within the Industrials as evident by a major technical breakoutabove 59-60. This breakout confirms a large symmetrical triangle pattern rendering upside targets to 70-71 (near term), 76-76.50 (medium term), 82-84 (intermediate) and 93-95 (long term). However, an overbought condition has led to a trading range between the low-60s and the low-70s. While the near-term weakness is noted, the ability of this name to maintain the extension of its triangle breakout along 58-60 still support the basis for higher prices, over time.

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Express Scripts Holding Co (ESRX)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 71-72 67.95-69.28 64.5-65 75-76 79-80 88-89

Technical rating Bullish Sector HealthCare

Last Sale Price $71.98

Rationale: The sharp selloff earlier in the year in momentum stocks has also hurt ESRX. However, we retain a favorable technical outlook on this Healthcare name as long as this stock retains its 2011/2012 uptrend near 63-64.25. Nonethe-less, the recent failure of this stock to clear above the top of its 5+ year uptrend channel along the high-70s warns of another consolidation. Although the 20-point basing pattern still renders technical targets to the high-80s a trading range between mid-60s and the high-70s would not surprise us over the intermediate term time horizon.

General Electric Co (GE)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 24.32 22.50-23 21.11-21.5 27.53-28.09 29 33.5-34

Technical rating Bullish Sector Industrials

Last Sale Price $25.55

Rationale: The 2000 downtrend breakout above 26.5 during Nov ‘13 confirm a major trend reversal suggesting a sus-tainable recovery. However, on a near-to-intermediate term basis there is formidable resistance at 28-29 coinciding with the top of the 2009 uptrend channel, Jan '14 negative outside month and the 61.8% retracement from 2007-2009 decline. Failure of this stock to clear above the high-20s has triggered a correction back to the mid-20s or to the crucial 2012 uptrend. The ability to maintain this key support can help to reassert its primary uptrend soon.

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Google Inc (GOOGL)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 567-577 547.5-551 518 595-600 615.04 624

Technical rating Bullish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $585.25

Rationale: An overbought condition developed as GOOGL rallied sharply to record highs (615.04) in Feb ’14. Also, a lower high pattern (i.e., July ’14 high (595.65) is trading below its Feb ’14 high (615.04)) and failure of GOOGL to reas-sert itself above the extension of its 1-year uptrend channel (598) may now lead to a new trading range between low-500s and low-600s. Despite the recent setbacks we are encouraged to see GOOGL maintaining its initial support alongits key 10-week and 30-week moving averages. Initial resistance lies at 595-600 or near the July ’14 highs.

Halliburton (HAL)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 61 +/- 1 57.13 54.57 67-68 70-71 74.33

Technical rating Bullish Sector Energy

Last Sale Price $63.66

Rationale: A breakout above the high-50s confirms a multi-year accumulation pattern. The 31-points basing pattern projects targets to the low-to-mid 70s over the near-to-intermediate term. A longer term target as high as the low-80s is also possible. In addition, the rising 10-/30- week moving averages and favorable relative strength readings againstS&P 500 will likely keep the bulls optimistic. Initial support resides at 61 +/- 1 or the Apr ’14 breakout levels, the May ’14 lows and near the 10-week ma. Secondary support lies at 57.13 or the Apr ’14 lows and near the 30-week

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Intel Corp (INTC)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20141515

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 32.39 29 +/- 0.5 27 +/- 0.5 36.41-36.78 38.59-40 43-43.50

Technical rating Bullish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $34.14

Rationale: The Semiconductor Index (SOX) has confirmed a multi-year breakout above its respective 2004/2006/2007 highs during Feb '14. INTC has finally caught up to its peers with a key breakout above multi-year resistance along 29-29.5 in Jun '14. This breakout confirms the 2005 head/shoulders bottom pattern and renders upside to 36.41-36.78 (2002 highs and 38.2% retracement from 2000-2002 decline) and mid-40s (longer term). Initial support is near 32.39 or the Aug '14 low. Secondary support lies at 28.5-29.5 or near the prior breakout levels or 2005/2012 highs.

Invesco (IVZ)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 36.77-37.32 34 31.73 44-44.50 47 50

Technical rating Bullish Sector Financials

Last Sale Price $39.65

Rationale: We maintain our technical bullish rating on IVZ. The long-term bullish trend starting from 2008/09 lows remains intact. With a move above 32.25 or 2007 highs, IVZ not only recovered all of its losses during subprime crisisby early 2013, but also exhibited a breakout of multi-year accumulation pattern. We believe it could continue to trend higher and challenge its all-time highs near the low-60s, longer-term. Constructive relative charts and rising moving averages also support our positive technical stance. Initial support lies at 36.77-37.32 or the Jun/Jul ’14 reaction lows.

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JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 55 +/- 2 50-51 44-46 67-68 72-72.50 76-77

Technical rating Neutral Sector Financials

Last Sale Price $60.15

Rationale: In Jan '13 a large symmetrical triangle pattern breakout above the mid-40s signals the start of a bull rally. This breakout subsequently led to a rather steep uptrend channel, which soon reversed direction via the violation of the bottom of the 1-year uptrend channel during late-2013. In due course, a negative outside month in Jan '14 coupled with downside gaps on 4/11/14 and 5/5/14 prompted a consolidation. A solid rally (thanks to gap ups during mid-July ’14) from oversold levels keeps the bulls optimistic. JPM needs to clear above 67-68 to reassert its primary uptrend.

Coca Cola Co (KO)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 39.06 36 +/- 1 31.50-32.50 44.47 50-51 54-55

Technical rating Neutral Sector Cons Staples

Last Sale Price $41.78

Rationale: We retain a Neutral outlook on KO based primarily on the violation of a 4-plus year uptrend channel in late-2013. This warns of a maturing bull trend. That said, a positive outside month in Oct ’13 gives the bulls hope for a re-covery. Technically, a convincing move above 44.47 (Jul 1998 all-time highs) is needed to confirm a sustainable recov-ery to the high-40s and possibly to the low-50s, over time. However, the stock’s relative underperformance with re-spect to SPX Index and July ‘14 negative outside month pattern remains worrisome, at least on a near-term basis.

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Kraft Foods Group (KRFT)

Oct '12 Dec '12 Feb '13 Apr '13 Jun '13 Aug '13 Oct '13 Dec '13 Feb '14 Apr '14 Jun '14 Aug '14

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 53.33 50.54 46-47 60-62 67 72

Technical rating Neutral Sector Cons. Staples

Last Sale Price $56.21

Rationale: Although this Consumer Staples name has only been trading since Sep 2012 the prevailing trend from Sep 2012 low remains up. The 7/26/13 negative outside week as well as defensive names out of favour with investors have led to a trading range environment. Nonetheless, a Feb ’14 positive outside month as well as a positive outside week pattern on 3/7/14 pinned hopes on a potential recovery. However, a 7/11/14 negative outside week led to a sharp pullback of the stock. In addition, a gap down on 7/31/14 and a weak relative outlook (vs SPX) keep us neutral on KRFT.

Lam Research Corp (LRCX)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 70 +/- 1 66 +/- 1 60 +/- 2 80-80.50 83.50-84 87

Technical rating Bullish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $74.68

Rationale: We remain bullish on LRCX primarily due to a breakout above a large basing pattern dating back to 2000. A positive outside month on Apr ‘13, an upside gap breakout in Apr/Jul ’13 and favorable relative strengths against SPX and SOX helped the stock complete the 28 point basing pattern (shown above). The said breakout projects longertargets into as high as mid-80s over time. Considering the positive developments we will raise initial support to 70 +/- 1 or near the Sep '14 lows and the 10-week ma. Secondary support lies at 66 +/- 1 or near the Jul ’14 lows.

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Macy’s Inc (M)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20141010

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 54.82 47.3-50 42 +/- 0.25 63.10 67.50 72-72.50

Technical rating Bullish Sector Cons. Disc.

Last Sale Price $58.81

Rationale: A breakout of a multi-year accumulation pattern above the 2007 highs or 46.52 in mid-2013 reaffirms our technical bullish stance. Over the intermediate term, an upside gap on 11/13/13 and a positive outside month patterns in Oct ’13, Feb '14 and Aug '14 should keep investors optimistic. On the other hand, 8/15/14 negative outside week pattern hints of a consolidation. Near-term we see a trading range develop between mid-50s and low-60s (shown above), either side breakthrough could decide future course of action. 54.82 or the May ’14 low is initial support.

Mondelez International Inc (MDLZ)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20141515

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014

Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 32 +/- -.25 30 28-28.5 39.54 44 47-47.50

Technical rating Bullish Sector Cons. Staples

Last Sale Price $34.74

Rationale: A key breakout in Mar ‘13 above an 11-year technical base supports our bullish outlook. Although a pull-back in defensive sectors has also impacted this Food and Beverage company earlier in the year the stock found sup-port near 30-week ma thereby preventing a deeper correction to the bottom of its 2009 uptrend channel. While a negative outside July ’14 month pattern hints us of consolidation, we make a note of improved risk-reward profile of the stock and remain optimistic. Initial support now lies at 32 +/- 0.25 or near the Nov ’13 and Jan/Feb ’14 lows.

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Medtronic Inc. (MDT)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 56 +/- 2 51 +/- 0.5 45-47.5 66.09 70-71 76-77

Technical rating Bullish Sector HealthCare

Last Sale Price $62.75

Rationale: A pending merger/acquisition deal will likely influence the stock price, near term. Nonetheless, we retain a bullish technical outlook based on its favorable uptrend and relative strength. This Healthcare name has confirmed a major breakout above its 2000/2006 highs at 60-62 in Jan/Apr ‘14. The ability of this stock to stay above its previous(2000) all-time highs would reinforce the bullish uptrend. Although a negative outside month in Apr '14 signal a con-solidation between mid-50s and mid-60s, the Aug '14 positive outside month should ease some concerns.

Merck & Co (MRK)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20142525

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 55 +/- 1.5 47.61 44.62 61-62 66-68 71-72

Technical rating Bullish Sector Healthcare

Last Sale Price $59.64

Rationale: In 2013, this Pharmaceutical name has broken out of a major 2000/2007 downtrend (not shown) along the low-40s. This action confirms the start of an intermediate term turnaround. However, it is now trading near the top ofits 2012 uptrend near 60. The relative strength as it relates to the S&P 500 Index continues to lag the market ever since the 2000/207 downtrend. Nonetheless, the Nov ’13 positive outside month pattern, the large Jan ’14 upside gap and the Aug '14 positive outside month pattern will likely keep investors optimistic and engaged.

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Microsoft Inc. (MSFT)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20142020

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 42.21 37-38.50 34-35 48-49.50 54.50-55 58-59

Technical rating Bullish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $46.04

Rationale: MSFT has managed to finally clear above its neckline resistance along 37-38 in 2013. The completion of this large 13-plus year Head and Shoulders bottom pattern suggests 21 points or upside targets to as high as 58-59, longer term. On an intermediate term basis, a break out above the top of its channel near 38-39 can extend the rally to the 76.4% retracement as well as the channel breakout projection around 48-49.50. Key initial support resides at 42.21 or near the Aug '14 lows and 30-wk ma. Secondary support lies at 37-38.5 or the Nov ’13 highs/May ’14 lows.

Nike Inc. Cl B (NKE)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 75 +/- 2 69.85 65-66 82-83 86 90

Technical rating Bullish Sector C. Discretionary

Last Sale Price $79.75

Rationale: We keep our technical bullish stance on NKE due to the strong breakout above 2009 uptrend channel and the positive outside month patterns in Feb '14 and Aug '14. However, the 12/13/13, 3/21/14 and 8/1/14 negative out-side weeks as well the frequent crossover of key moving averages (10-/30- week) hint of an impending battle between the bulls and the bears. Pending the outcome of this battle we can expect this stock to trade within a tight range be-tween low-70s or the Oct ’13/Feb ’14 lows and the low-80s or the Nov/Dec ’13 and Mar/Jul/Sep ’14 highs.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 70 +/- 2 64.50-66 60 80 +/- 2 81.97 88-89

Technical rating Neutral Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $74.81

Rationale: We recommend a neutral technical stance on QCOM. The primary trend starting from 2002 lows remainsbullish. Earlier, the July 2012/2013 positive outside month patterns kept bulls optimistic on the stock. However thestock paints a mixed picture in the near-to-intermediate term. A negative outside week pattern on 4/25/14 and 7/25/14led to a sharp pull back. In addition, a gap down on 7/24/14 triggered the development of a negative outside monthpattern by July ’14. The stock is likely to consolidate between low-70s and low-80s before resumption of primary trend.

SBA Communications (SBAC)

2010 2011 2012 2013 20142020

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 100 +/- 3 91-92 87-87.50 114-115 121-122 127-127.50

Technical rating Bullish Sector Telecom

Last Sale Price $109.28

Rationale: We maintain a technical bullish stance on SBAC as a multi-year breakout above the high-50s in mid-2012 suggests higher prices. This 57-point technical base projects an upside technical target to 114-115, over time. More recently, positive outside week formations during 4/18/14, 5/2/14 and 7/11/14 reaffirm the bulls are in control of this stock. Also the strong relative outperformance of this stock to the S&P 500 index indicates a leadership name. Initial support lies near 100 +/- 3 or prior breakout levels or the Jun/Jul/Aug ’14 lows and near the 30-week ma.

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Schlumberger Ltd (SLB)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 98.34 95 88.50-89.50 112 118.76 124-125

Technical rating Bullish Sector Energy

Last Sale Price $101.01

Rationale: This influential Oil Service name has a tendency to lead major turns in both the Energy sector/WTI CrudeOil. A 2-year ascending triangle pattern breakout (mid-80s) as well as an upside gap on 7/19/13 has led to a breakoutof the top of its 5-year triangle pattern in the low-to-mid 90s. This led to superior performance of stock on both an absolute and relative basis before finding resistance at 118.76 or the Jul '14 highs. While we note the near-term weak-ness, we still remain optimistic on a recovery from the prior breakout levels. 98.34 or the May '14 low is initial support.

SanDisk Corp (SNDK)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 90 +/- 2 84.70 80 +/- 2 100 105.64 108-109

Technical rating Bullish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $96.99

Rationale: Despite of a gap down on 7/17/14 and a negative outside July ’14 month pattern, we maintain our tech-nical bullish stance on SNDK. A convincing move above its previous all-time highs near 84.81 or the 2000 highs keeps us positive. While we note the recent negative developments, we remain optimistic on a recovery. In addition, con-structive relative charts and improved risk-reward profile strengthen our bullish case. However, further profit taking in the sector and broader market weakness in SPX Index can also led to a consolidation over the near-term.

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Southern Co. (SO)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 40 35.5-36.5 31-32 46 +/- 1 48.5-48.75 52.5-53

Technical rating Bearish Sector Utilities

Last Sale Price $43.33

Rationale: We retain a technically bearish view on SO. A breakdown below 2009 uptrend line and the longer-term relative underperformance of the stock to SPX reaffirm our negative outlook. A large negative outside week patterns on 5/2/14, 7/4/14, 8/1/14 and 9/12/14 gives us impression that bears are very much on course. Although the stockcould witness bounce back from oversold levels, we think it will likely struggle as it nears formidable resistance at 46+/- 1 or the 2009 uptrend line. Above this, the prior highs near 48.50-48.75 can act as secondary supply.

Travelers (TRV)

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 86-88.81 80 +/- 2 74-75 96-96.50 104 108-111

Technical rating Bullish Sector Financials

Last Sale Price $93.70

Rationale: A breakout of a multi-year basing pattern above the mid-60s in early 2012 drives our long-term bullish out-look. Despite the near-term weakness, we expect this insurance company can rally into the 100s range over the inter-mediate term. Initial support now lies at 86-88.81 or near the Nov/Dec ’13 and the Jul/Aug '14 lows. Secondary sup-port lies along 80 +/- 2 or the Aug/Sep/Oct ’13 and Jan/Feb/Mar ’14 lows. A break below 80 +/- 2 would warrant a technical rerating of the stock. Initial supply lies at 96-96.50 or near the Jun/Jul ‘14 highs.

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Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 44-46 40-40.50 37-38 49.50-50 55-56 60-61

Technical rating Bullish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $48.14

Rationale: TXN completed a major breakout above 40 or the 2007 highs as well as neckline resistance along a large 2002 head/shoulders bottom pattern (not shown). In addition, the surge above the low-to-mid 30s solidifies a 4 year symmetrical triangle breakout. Also, a 9/19/14 positive outside week pattern as well as improving relative strength against SPX reaffirms the bulls are in control, at least from an intermediate term perspective. We believe the Feb '14 positive outside month should keep bulls optimistic despite an increased in volatility during Apr/May/July ’14.

Union Pacific Corp (UNP)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 93.36-96.76 90 82.59-85 110-112 120-122 127-128

Technical rating Bullish Sector Industrials

Last Sale Price $107.19

Rationale: We maintain a technical bullish outlook on UNP as a convincing surge above the Jul ’13 highs or 82.59keeps investors active in the Transportation name. A positive outside month formation on Aug '14 further reaffirms thebulls are in control. However, considering the near-term broader market volatility and the stock exhibiting negativeoutside month pattern in July ’14, we recommend keeping initial support at 93.36-96.76 or near the May/Aug ’14 lows. Secondary support lies at 90 or the upside gap on 3/4/14. 110-112 or the Sep '14 high is initial supply.

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United Technologies Corp (UTX)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 99.50 95-96 90 +/- 2 112 +/- 2 120 +/- 1 128

Technical rating Neutral Sector Industrials

Last Sale Price $104.49

Rationale: Although the longer-term trend remains bullish, the July ’14 breakdown of 2012 uptrend warns of a deep-er correction. The rolling over of the 10-week and 30-week moving averages also confirms a death cross technical sell signal. Next initial support resides at 99.50 or near the Aug/Sep ’13 lows. The mid-90s offer key secondary support cor-responding to the 2013 breakout. To the upside, initial resistance lies at 112 +/- 2 or the July ’14 breakdown levels from the 2012 uptrend channel or near the Aug/Sep '14 highs and the 10- /30- week moving averages.

VMware Inc (VMW)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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Price 10-Week Moving Average 30-Week Moving Average

Source: FactSet, UBS CIO WMR as of 25 September 2014 Support levels Resistance levels

First Second Third First Second Third 86.88-88.64 80 +/- 2 74-75 100 +/- 3 107.32 112.89

Technical rating Bearish Sector Technology

Last Sale Price $92.73

Rationale: Despite an oversold rally over the past year, we remain concerned about further downside risks hence our bearish outlook. Negative technical developments include the following: a Fan formation breakdown, a complex head and shoulders top breakdown in the low-80s, increased in volatility via downside gaps during Mar ’14 and Apr ‘14, a large downside gap on 4/23/14 and a negative outside month in Apr '14. In addition, recent failure to convincingly clear above the extension of the third fan line near 100-105 may lead to the next selloff.

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Statement of Risk Stock market returns are difficult to forecast because of fluctuations in the economy, investor psychology, geo-political conditions and other important variables.

Appendix Technical Research Rating DefinitionsRating Corresponding

Rating Category

Definition and criteria

Bullish Buy Well-defined, reliable uptrend, an increase in the rate of change (or strong momentum) and confirming technical indicators

NeutralHold Trading range trend, a flat rate of change and confirming technical indicators

Bearish Sell Negative or weakened trend, momentum and confirming technical indicators

N/A Not enough historical data to make an evaluation

Description and Methodology This report provides technical analysis on a dynamic list of stocks that, we believe, are of a wide interest. Please note that technical views are highly variable and will change with market conditions. Accordingly, these ratings are only valid as of the publication date. Because CIO WMR equity sector analysts and WMR technical analysts employ different analytical methodologies, technical recommendations are, at times, contradictory to fundamental recommendations for the same security. For the latest company ratings by WMR sector analysts, please refer to the most recent equity sector research reports, located in the Equity Section on the Online Services Research website. For more background on the content of this report, please see Technical Analysis Research Primer, 18 February 2010.

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Appendix

Term / Abbreviation Description / Definition

% +or- Moving Average (DMA)

The percentage above or below the moving average (see Moving Average) is used to help measure an overbought or oversold condi-tion and is a component of risk management. It is calculated by taking the difference between the group price and its 30-week mov-ing average (see below), and then dividing by the 30-week moving average times 100.

30-Week Moving Average

Also known as the 30-week line or 150-day line), this is one of the most popular and respected moving average indicators (see Mov-ing Average) in technical circles. It is calculated by totaling the latest 30 weekly (usually Friday closing) prices and dividing by 30 to arrive at the average. Each week, the most recent week’s figure is added to the total, and the price level from 30 weeks ago is sub-tracted – hence the term “moving.” Please note that a breakout above or breakdown below this line does not, in and of itself, con-stitute a buy or sell signal.

Adjusted Relative Strength (ARS)

Number gives a 50% weighting to the 1-month relative strength, 30% to the 3-month, and 20% to the 6-month numbers to arrive at a single weighted number.

Base A chart pattern marking a period of accumulation following a downtrend. The larger the base, the greater the upside potential fol-lowing its completion. A base can take many forms.

Beta A measure of volatility of a security as it relates to the market as a whole. Beta is often calculated using regression analysis. A beta is basically the tendency of a security’s returns to respond to swings in the market. A beta of 1 indicates that the security’s price will move with the market. A beta of less than 1 means the security will be less volatile than the market. A beta of greater than 1 implies that the security’s price will be more volatile than the market.

Blow off stage to a major rally

This is often the last stage of a speculative bubble to a major rally. The blow off phase tends to be steep, but short-lived that often affords little opportunity for investors/traders to exit their positions. As price of a security or an asset advanced to an unsustainable level via a parabolic uptrend this give rise to the bursting of the speculative bubble resulting a quick and dramatic decline as inves-tors/traders try to exit the market/security at the same time.

Breakdown A technical term indicating a downside resolution of a chart pattern. Its significance is determined by the same factors governing a breakout.

Breakout A technical term indicating an upside resolution of a chart pattern. Breakouts can take many forms, and their degree of importance is determined by the significance of the chart pattern which preceded it.

Broadening Top For-mation

The Broadening top is a rare technical formation that resembles an inverted triangle pattern. It is formed by price swings that are increasingly widening and expanding volume. The most common of these broadening top patterns are the three ascending peaks and two descending troughs. The combination of wide price swings and increasing volume often convey an increasingly volatile and emo-tional market that's basically out of control. This pattern is often associated with market tops rather than market bottoms. The con-firmation of the Broadening top occurs when the price violates the second of these two troughs.

Channel

A chart pattern comprised of two parallel trend lines, which form a trading band. Channels take the form of uptrend, downtrend and horizontal.

Death Cross The opposite of a golden cross, this is a crossover on the chart resulting from a security’s shorter-term moving average falling below its longer-term moving average. Technicians often see this as a bearish technical sign indicating the market has turned negative on the security.

Downtrend Line

A trend line connecting successively lower peaks for a stock (or market). Its technical significance is determined by the same factors governing an uptrend line.

Fan reversal pattern The fan formation is a technical pattern that is based on the use of multiple trend lines to denote a major trend reversal. The fan pattern gets its name as it basically resembles a “fan”. It should have a minimum of three trend lines (uptrends or downtrends). The break out/break down of the third downtrend/uptrend often completes the fan pattern and signals the start of a major trend reversal. The starting point of these trend lines should come from a significant peak or a significant trough.

Fibonacci Retrace-ment Level

A technical analysis term used to describe potential areas of support (price stops declining) or resistance (price stops rising) on the charts. After a strong rally or decline there is a tendency for a security to retrace a certain portion of its prior move (up or down). Fibonacci retracements use horizontal lines to indicate areas of support or resistance at the key Fibonacci levels before continuing in the original direction. These levels are computed by taking the two extreme points and then dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 100%.

FSR Forecast Stock Return is defined as expected percentage price appreciation plus gross dividend yield over the next 12 months.

Gap

An open space in a chart created when a stock (or market) opens either higher than its highest level attained during the prior session (referred to as a gap up or an upside chart gap) or lower than its lowest level reached during the prior day (called a gap down or a downside chart gap). Some gaps are caused by events and should be ignored: ex-dividend gaps, new share issues, and expiration of futures contracts.

Golden Cross A crossover on the chart that involves a security’s shorter-term moving average (such as the 50-day moving average) crossing above its longer-term moving average (such as the 150-day or 200-day moving average). Technicians often interpret this crossing of two moving averages as a bullish technical sign that suggests the market has turned in favour of the security.

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Term / Abbreviation Description / Definition

Head-and-Shoulders Pattern

This technical formation is one of the best known of the reversal patterns. There are two types of head-and-shoulders patterns that often appear on the charts – H/S top and H/S bottom. Both of these patterns often denote the process of a reversal either from a bullish or bearish trend. Head-and-shoulders formation often is comprised of a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder, and a line drawn across its shoulders defines its neckline. The breaking of the neckline to the upside confirms a head-and-shoulders bottom breakout, which signals the start of a bullish reversal favouring higher prices. The violation of neckline to the downside validates a head-and-shoulders top, reaffirming a bearish reversal of lower prices.

Internal Trend Line A single trend line connecting at least several high and low points for a stock (or market) over time.

Linear Regression Band

A common statistical technique often used by investors/traders to better forecast values by utilizing the least squares fit method to plot a trend line. A linear regression band consists of upper and lower bands. These bands are calculated by computing the number of standard deviations above or below of the regression line.

Moving Average (m.a.)

This is a technical indicator frequently used in technical analysis to show the average value of a security’s price over a set period of time. This tool is designed to smooth out a stock’s (or market’s) shorter-term fluctuations to provide a better picture of an underlying trend. Moving averages generally are used to measure momentum and define areas of possible support and resistance. Moving aver-ages can be helpful as they emphasize the direction of the dominant or prevailing trend and also tend to smooth out price and vol-ume fluctuations, or “noise,” giving the trader or investor a clearer picture of the security in question. Many moving averages exist.

MRA Market Return Assumption is defined as the one-year local market interest rate plus 5% (a proxy for the equity risk premium and not a forecast).

Neckline Sup-port/Resistance

This is a trend line that is drawn across the bottoms or tops of the left shoulder, the head and the right shoulder of a potential head-and-shoulders bottom or top pattern. When prices break through this neckline support level and continue falling after forming the right shoulder, it confirms a head-and-shoulders top formation. Conversely, neckline resistance is a trend line drawn across the tops of the left shoulder, the head and the right shoulder. When prices break above this neckline resistance level and keep on rising, it typically completes the head-and-shoulders bottom pattern.

Overbought A technical condition in which the price of a security has risen to such a degree that the price becomes overvalued or has reached the upper band of its trading range resulting in a potential pullback in price.

Oversold Opposite of Overbought. A technical condition that occurs when the price of a security has fallen to such a degree that the price becomes undervalued or has reached the lower band of its trading range prompting a potential rally.

Positive/Negative “Outside” Day

When one day’s range (high and low) exceeds the prior day’s range, and the stock (or market) in question closes near its daily peak, this is referred to as a positive “outside” day. A negative “outside” day would be recorded if the stock (or index) finished near its daily low after having a wider range than the prior session. The same rule can be applied on a weekly and monthly basis as well.

Relative Strength

Relative strength is a performance comparison between a sector, group, or stock and the S&P 500 Index over a specified time frame. Our time frame is often a one-, three-, and six-month basis but does vary according to investment orientation.

RRD Rating/Return Divergence is automatically appended to the rating when stock price movement has caused the prevailing rating to differ from that which would be assigned according to the rating system and will be removed when there is no longer a divergence, either through market movement or analyst intervention.

Support An area where increased buying interest is likely to develop during a decline. These points, which can take several forms (minor, major, etc.), often provide downside protection for an issue in a primary uptrend, but only temporary relief to an issue in a primary uptrend, during which time many support levels are often broken.

Top A chart pattern marking a period of distribution following an uptrend. The larger the top, the greater the downside potential follow-ing its completion. It, too, can take many forms.

Triangle Patterns There are three different types of Triangle patterns – Symmetrical, Descending and Ascending. Symmetrical Triangle is considered to be a continuation pattern that often signals a period of consolidation in a trend followed by a resumption of the prior trend. It is formed by the convergence of a descending trend and an ascending trend. An Ascending Triangle is a bullish pattern, which is denot-ed by two trend lines – a flat trend line and an ascending uptrend line. A Descending Triangle is a bearish pattern. It is the opposite of the Ascending Triangle in that there is a flat trend line and a downward sloping downtrend line.

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Analyst certificationEach research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in whole or in part, certifies that withrespect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in this report: (1) all of the views expressed accurately reflect hisor her personal views about those securities or issuers; and (2) no part of his or her compensation was, is, or will be, directlyor indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by that research analyst in the research report.

Statement of RiskStock market returns are difficult to forecast because of fluctuations in the economy, investor psychology, geopoliticalconditions and other important variables.

Required DisclosuresFor a complete set of required disclosures relating to the companies that are the subject of this report, please mail arequest to UBS CIO Wealth Management Research Business Management, 1285 Avenue of the Americas, 20th Floor,Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10019.CIO Wealth Management Research Stock recommendation systemAnalysts provide a relative rating, which is based on the stock’s total return potential against the total estimated returnof the appropriate sector benchmark over the next 12 months.

Industry sector relative stock view systemOutperform (OUT) Expected to outperform the sector benchmark over the next 12 months.Marketperform (MKT) Expected to perform in line with the sector benchmark over the next 12 months.Underperform (UND) Expected to underperform the sector benchmark over the next 12 months.Under reviewUpon special events that require further analysis, the stock rating may be flagged as “Under review” by the analyst.SuspendedAn outperform or underperform rating may be suspended when the stock's performance materially diverges from theperformance of its respective benchmark.RestrictedIssuing of research on a company by WMR can be restricted due to legal, regulatory, contractual or best business practiceobligations which are normally caused by UBS Investment Bank’s involvement in an investment banking transaction inregard to the concerned company.

Sector bellwethers, or stocks that are of high importance or relevance to the sector, that are not placed on either theoutperform or underperform list (i.e., are not expected to either outperform or underperform the sector benchmark) willbe classified as marketperform. Stocks that are rated Marketperform that are not sector bellwethers are not assigneda price target.

High Conviction CallsSector analysts are required to have at least one "high conviction" outperform or underperform call for each sector theycover. Analysts have discretion over the selection of a recommendation as high conviction and the grounds for selection(e.g., greatest upside/downside to price target, most/least compelling investment case, etc.). The basis for each highconviction call is set forth in any research report identifying a recommendation as such.Disclosures (29 September 2014)Abbott Laboratories 6, 8, 11, 13, 14, 15, AbbVie 6, 8, 10, 14, 15, Accenture PLC-CL A 11, 13, 14, Aetna 6, 7, 8, 11,13, 14, 15, 18, 20; American Express 6, 7, 10, 11, 13, 14, 15, 18, Ameriprise Financial 6, 7, 14, 15, 16, 18, 20; ApacheCorporation 6, 8, 11, 13, 14, 15, Apple Inc. 8, 11, 13, 14, 15, 19, Applied Materials Inc. 11, 13, 14, Autodesk Inc. 5, 14,Boeing Co. 6, 11, 13, 14, 16, Celanese Corp. 8, 14, 15, Cisco Systems Inc. 6, 7, 11, 13, 14, 15, 16, 18, Coca-Cola Co.6, 7, 8, 11, 13, 14, 15, 18, Colgate-Palmolive 6, 11, 13, 14, 18, 20; Comcast Corporation 6, 9, 10, 14, 16, 18, 20; EMCCorporation 6, 7, 8, 11, 13, 14, 15, 18, Emerson Electric Co. 6, 8, 14, 15, Express Scripts Inc. 6, 11, 13, 14, 18, 20; FifthThird Bancorp 7, 8, 11, 13, 14, 15, General Electric Co. 3, 4, 7, 8, 11, 13, 14, 15, 16, 18, Google Inc 6, 7, 8, 11, 13, 14, 15,18, 20; Halliburton Co. 11, 13, 14, Invesco Ltd. 2, 7, 8, 10, 11, 13, 14, 15, JPMorgan Chase & Co. 6, 7, 8, 10, 11, 12, 13,14, 15, 18, 19, 20; Kraft Foods Group Inc. 6, 8, 14, 15, LAM Research Corp. 14, Macy's 1, 14, McKesson Corporation 14,Medtronic, Inc. 6, 7, 8, 10, 11, 13, 14, 15, 18, 20; Microsoft Corp. 6, 7, 8, 11, 13, 14, 15, 18, 19, Mondelez International6, 10, 11, 13, 14, 18, 20; Nike Inc. 14, Qualcomm Inc. 7, 11, 13, 14, 15, SanDisk Corp. 14, 17, SBA Communications 14,Schlumberger Ltd. 11, 13, 14, Southern Company 6, 10, 11, 13, 14, 18, 20; Texas Instruments Inc. 11, 13, 14, TravelersCompanies 2, 7, 11, 13, 14, 15, United Technologies Corp. 11, 13, 14, 16, VMware, Inc 11, 13, 14,1. A U.S.-based global equity strategist, a member of his team, or one of their household members has a long commonstock position in Macy's Inc.

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2. UBS AG, its affiliates or subsidiaries beneficially owned 1% or more of a class of this company's common equitysecurities as of last month's end (or the prior month's end if this report is dated less than 10 days after the most recentmonth's end).3. UBS Limited is acting as co-advisor to Banco Santander on its acquisition of General Electric's Nordic Banking Business4. A U.S.-based global equity strategist, a member of his team, or one of their household members has a long commonstock position in General Electric.5. A U.S.-based global equity strategist, a member of his team, or one of their household members has a long commonstock position in Autodesk Inc.6. This company/entity is, or within the past 12 months has been, a client of UBS Securities LLC, and investment bankingservices are being, or have been, provided.7. This company/entity is, or within the past 12 months has been, a client of UBS Securities LLC, and non-investmentbanking securities-related services are being, or have been, provided.8. This company/entity is, or within the past 12 months has been, a client of UBS Securities LLC, and non-securities servicesare being, or have been, provided.9. A U.S.-based global equity strategist, a member of his team, or one of their household members has a long commonstock position in Comcast Corp.10. UBS AG, its affiliates or subsidiaries expect to receive or intend to seek compensation for investment banking servicesfrom this company/entity within the next three months.11. This company/entity is, or within the past 12 months has been, a client of UBS Financial Services Inc, and non-investment banking securities-related services are being, or have been, provided.12. A U.S.-based global equity strategist, a member of his team, or one of their household members has a long commonstock position in JPMorgan Chase & Co.13. Within the past 12 months, UBS Financial Services Inc has received compensation for products and services otherthan investment banking services from this company.14. UBS Securities LLC makes a market in the securities and/or ADRs of this company.15. Within the past 12 months, UBS Securities LLC has received compensation for products and services other thaninvestment banking services from this company/entity.16. The equity analyst covering this company, a member of his or her team, or one of their household members has along common stock position in this company.17. A U.S.-based global equity strategist, a member of his team, or one of their household members has a long commonstock position in SanDisk Corp.18. Within the past 12 months, UBS AG, its affiliates or subsidiaries has received compensation for investment bankingservices from this company/entity.19. UBS AG, its affiliates or subsidiaries held other significant financial interests in this company/entity as of last month'send (or the prior month's end if this report is dated less than 10 working days after the most recent month's end).20. UBS AG, its affiliates or subsidiaries has acted as manager/co-manager in the underwriting or placement of securitiesof this company/entity or one of its affiliates within the past 12 months.

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Disclaimer

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