terra seismic bulletin #4 : last saturday’s japanese m7.8 quake was predicted
TRANSCRIPT
Countries/Regions: Canada, USA, Mexico, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Panama, Cuba, Dominican
Republic, Puerto Rico, Haiti, Panama, Ecuador, Colombia, Peru, Chile, Venezuela, Argentina, Bolivia, Albania, Italy, Greece,
Romania, Cyprus, Algeria, Turkey, Iran, Pakistan, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Myanmar, Thailand, China, Indonesia, Taiwan,
Philippines, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand and Japan
[email protected], www.terraseismic.com
TERRA SEISMIC
EARTHQUAKE SHORT-TERM RISK ASSESSMENT
BULLETIN © #4
Latest Selected Alerts & Realizations, May 2015
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Latest example from JAPAN
Date Time, UTC
Region, Country Latitude Longitude M M
Trend Waiting
period, days
Terra Alert 05.03.2015 13:14 Izu Islands, Japan Region 31.60N±2.0 140.20E±2.0 M6.5 + 1-40
Real Quake 05.10.2015 21:25 Izu Islands, Japan Region 31.20N 142.17E M5.9 7 days
Real Quake 05.30.2015 1:27 189km WNW of Chichi-shima, Japan 27.91N 140.46E M7.8 26 days
Real Quake 05.30.2015 18:49 Izu Islands, Japan Region 30.78N 143.42E M6.2 26 days
M7.8 quake’s epicenter was located ~180km from alerted area.
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Another example from Japan
Terra Alert 05.28.2015 13:01 Near S. Coast of Honshu, Japan 36N±2.0 139.6E±2.0 M5.2 1-30
Real Quake 05.28.2015 22:11 60km SE of Hasaki, Japan 35.32N 141.26E M4.9 0 day
Real Quake 05.29.2015 16:06 Eastern Honshu, Japan 36.22N 139.83E M4.8 1 day
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Latest example from Ecuador
Terra Alert 05.10.2015 21:45 Near Coast of Colombia/Ecuador 3N±2.0 78W±2.0 M5.5 1-30
Real Quake 05.30.2015 6:26 Near Coast of Ecuador 1.2N 79.43W M5.4 19 days
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Latest example from Taiwan
Terra Alert 05.17.2015 21:07 Taiwan 24.5N±2.0 120.5E±2.0 M5.5 + 1-30
Real Quake 05.25.2015 8:45 Taiwan 22.94N 120.91E M4.7 7 days
Real Quake 05.26.2015 0:56 Taiwan Region 24.12N 122.69E M4.9 8 days
Real Quake 05.28.2015 7:57 Taiwan Region 24.14N 122.48E M4.8 9 days
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Latest example from Peru
Date Time, UTC
Region, Country Latitude Longitude M M
Trend Waiting
period, days
Terra Alert 05.10.2015 20:58 Near Coast of Central/Southern Peru 15.50N±2.0 76.50W±2.0 M6.0 + 1-30
Real Quake 05.14.2015 18:33 Near Coast of Central Peru 14.16N 75.57W M4.9 3 days
Waiting more stronger quake in this area
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Another example from Japan
Date Time, UTC
Region, Country Latitude Longitude M M
Trend Waiting
period, days
Terra Alert 04.28.2015 13:17 Near East Coast of Honshu/Eastern
Honshu, Japan 38.5N±2.0 142E±2.0 M6 + 1-30
Real Quake 05.12.2015 21:12 Near East Coast of Honshu, Japan 38.95N 141.99E M6.8 14 days
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Latest example from Venezuela
Terra Alert 04.24.2015 08:02 Venezuela 8.20N±2.0 72W±2.0 M5.2 + 1-30
Real Quake 05.09.2015 14:31 Venezuela 11.46N 72.07W M4.9 15 days
According to USGS, there were TEN quakes with M>4.9 for this area of Venezuela for last 10 years, or one event
per annum. Probability to forecast such event by chance is 1/12 or 8,3%.
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Latest example from Peru
Date Time, UTC
Region, Country Latitude Longitude M M
Trend Waiting
period, days
Terra Alert 04.22.2015 22:48 Off Coast of Northern Peru 8.5S±2.0 80.50W±2.0 M6.2 + 1-30
Real Quake 04.26.2015 23:35 Near Coast of Northern Peru 8.34S 79.88W M5.6 4 days
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Latest example from Japan
Date Time, UTC
Region, Country Latitude Longitude M M
Trend Waiting
period, days
Terra Alert 04.18.2015 20:42 Ryukyu Islands, Japan 25N±2.0 129E±2.0 M6 + 1-30
Real Quake 04.29.2015 00:29 Ryukyu Islands, Japan 25.96N 128.47E M5.0 10 days
Real Quake 04.29.2015 0:28 Ryukyu Islands, Japan 26N 128.50E M4.9 10 days
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Latest example from Greece
Terra’s forecast circle
(dangerous area)
Realized epicenter
Date Time, UTC
Region, Country Latitude Longitude M M
Trend Waiting
period, days
Terra Alert 04.08.2015 20:53 Dodecanese Islands, Greece 35.2N±2.0 27.90E±2.0 M5.2 + 1-30
Real Quake 04.16.2015 18:07 52km E of Palaikastron, Greece 35.03N 26.81E M6.0 7 days
www.terraseismic.com – unique, up to 30 days short-term global earthquake forecasts: Latest example from Indonesia
Date Time, UTC
Region, Country Latitude Longitude M M
Trend Waiting
period, days Terra Alert 04.12.2015 17:33 Southern Sumatra, Indonesia 4.5S±2.0 102.5E±2.0 M6.0 + 1-40 Real Quake 04.13.2015 10:29 Southern Sumatra, Indonesia 5.71S 104.47E M4.6 1 day Real Quake 04.20.2015 09:05 Southern Sumatra, Indonesia 5.52S 102.66E M5.7 7 days
Terra’s forecast circle
(dangerous area)
Realized epicenter