terrorism threat map 2007...transport, maritime and aviation: 5% utilities and telecoms: 5%...
TRANSCRIPT
A T L A N T I CO C E A N
A T L A N T I CO C E A N
S O U T H E R N O C E A N
I N D I A NO C E A N
P A C I F I CO C E A N
A R C T I C O C E A N
P A C I F I CO C E A N
P A C I F I CO C E A N
G u l f o fM e x i c o
N o r w e g i a nS e a
N o r t hS e a
B a r e n t sS e a
K a r aS e a
A r a b i a nS e a
G u l f o fG u i n e a
B a y o f B e n g a l
T a s m a n S e a
S o u t hC h i n a
S e a
S e a o fO k h o t s k
B e r i n gS e a
E a s t S i b e r i a nS e a
L a p t e v S e a
Black Sea
Scot ia Sea
Sea ofJapan
EastChina
Sea
TimorSea
H u d s o nB a y
B a f f i nB a y
D a v i sS t r a i t
B e a u f o r tS e a
C a r i b b e a nS e a
Ca
spia
n Sea
Red Sea
Gul f of A
den The Gul f
Med. Sea
Basque Country
Sinai Peninsula
Gaza
SE Coastal Regions
Niger Delta
Northern Nigeria
Tri Border Area
Kashmir
Ingushetia Chechnya
South Ossetia
Kurdistan
Balochistan
Dagestan
NE States
SE Provinces
East TimorBali
Aceh
MindanaoV E N E Z U E L A
GUYANA
SURINAME
PANAMA
GALAPAGOSISLANDS (ECUADOR)
JAMAICAPUERTO
RICO (US)
AZORES (PORT)
ICELAND
S P A I N
A L G E R I A
S U D A N
S A U D IA R A B I A
E T H I O P I A
M A L I
L I B Y A
E G Y P T
N I G E R
Z A M B I A
K E N Y A
T A N Z A N I A
A N G O L A
S O U T HA F R I C A
N A M I B I A
D E M O C R A T I CR E P U B L I C
O F C O N G O
N I G E R I A
C H A D
I R A Q
I R A N
I N D I A
I N D O N E S I A
A U S T R A L I A
M A L A Y S I A
C H I N A
R U S S I A
K A Z A K H S T A N
M O N G O L I A
F R A N C E
T U R K E Y
BARBADOSST VINCENT
GUADELOUPE
DOMINICA
GRENADA
IRELAND
MADEIRA (PORT)
CAPE VERDE
ST HELENA (UK)
ASCENSION ISLAND (UK)
FALKLANDISLANDS (UK)
HAWAIIANISLANDS (USA)
TONGA
COOKISLANDS
TAHITI
WESTERNSAMOA
AMERICANSAMOA
FRENCHPOLYNESIA
THE CANARIES (SP)
UNITEDKINGDOM
F I N L A N D
SW
ED
EN
NO
RW
AY
P O L A N D
ROMANIA
M O R O C C O
CAMEROON
CONGO
SYRIA
UAE
OMAN
SRILANKA
YEMEN
TURKMENISTAN
UZBEKISTAN
THAILAND
PHILIPPINES
PAPUA NEWGUINEA
NEWZEALAND
J A P A N
A F G H A N I S T A N
P A K I S T A N
B O T S W A N A
Z I M B A B W E
MOZAM
BIQUE
SO
MA
LI A
MAD
AGAS
CAR
G A B O N
CENTRALAFRICAN REPUBLIC
M A U R I T A N I A
U K R A I N E
B E L A R U S
NETHERLANDS
BELGIUM
MELILLA (SP)
CEUTA (SP)GIBRALTAR
GUERNSEYJERSEY
SENEGAL
GAMBIA
SIERRALEONE
GUINEA
BURKINA FASO
GUINEABISSAU
LIBERIA
EQ GUINEA
LESOTHO
RWANDA
UGANDA
BURUNDI
MAURITIUS
REUNION ISLANDS (FR)
COMOROS
SEYCHELLES
MALDIVES
MA
LAW
I
SWAZILAND
CABINDA(ANGOLA)
GHANA
DJIBOUTI
BAHRAIN
QATAR BHUTAN
VIETNAM
SINGAPORE
SOLOMONISLANDS
FIJIVANUATU
PALAU
GUAM
NEWCALEDONIA (FR)
BRUNEI
HONG KONG
TAIWAN
SOUTHKOREA
NORTHKOREA
MACAU
LAOS
CAMBODIA
NEPAL
BANGLADESH
KUWAIT
ERITREA
CÔTED‘IVOIRE
ANDORRA
LIECHTENSTEIN
MONACO
VATICANCITY
DENMARK
LUX
PORT
UG
AL
WES
TERN
SAH
ARA
TUN
ISIA
BEN
IN
TOG
O
SWITZ.
CZECH REPSLOVAKIA
LITHUANIAKALININGRAD(RUSSIA)
LATVIA
ESTONIA
AUSTRIA
SLOVENIA
CROATIA
MOLDOVA
ALBANIA
SERBIA
MALTA
CYPRUS
LEBANON
PALESTINE
ISRAEL
JORDAN
GEORGIA
AZERBAIJANARMENIA
TAJIKISTAN
MYANMAR
KYRGYZSTAN
F.Y.R. MACEDONIA
BULGARIA
GREECE
HUNGARY
BOSNIA
ST LUCIA
ST KITTS& NEVIS
US VIRGIN IS ANTIGUA
BRITISH VIRGIN IS
ANGUILLA
BAHAMAS
BERMUDA (UK)
DOM. REP.
TRINIDAD& TOBAGO
NETHANTILLESARUBA
HAITI
CUBA
HONDURAS
BELIZE
NICARAGUA
COSTARICA
GUATEMALA
EL SALVADOR
PARAGUAY
URUGUAY
FRENCHGUIANA
C O L O M B I A
ECUADOR
P E R U
M E X I C O
B O L I V I A
A L A S K A ( U S )
A R G E N T I N A
B R A Z I L
U N I T E D S T A T E SO F A M E R I C A
C A N A D A
G R E E N L A N D
CH
IL
E
GERMANY
ITALY
Brasilia
Rio de Janeiro
Fortaleza
Asunción
Montevideo
Lima
Quito
Bogotá
Medellin
Caracas
GeorgetownParamaribo
Cayenne
Belém
Salvador
São Paulo
Belmopan
Havana
KingstonSanto
Domingo
PanamaSan José
Ottawa
Toronto
Boston
Burlington
New YorkChicago
Minneapolis
Seattle
Portland
St Louis
Dallas
Atlanta
Baltimore
Houston
Monterrey MiamiNassau
New Orleans
Montréal
VancouverCalgary Winnipeg
Anchorage
San Francisco
Honolulu
Phoenix
Los Angeles
Las Vegas
Denver
San Diego
TegucigalpaSan Salvador
Port-au-Prince
Managua
Washington DC
Detroit
Reykjavik
Lisbon
Stockholm
Berlin
Vienna
Ljubljana
Sarajevo
Tangier
Casablanca
SkopjeTirana
Dakar
Cairo
Luxor
Sharm El-SheikhDahab
Kolkata
Baku
Kabul
Lahore
Islamabad
Kathmandu
BeijingTianjin
Tokyo
Rangoon
Manila
Dhaka
Surabaya
Colombo
Tashkent
NovosibirskOmsk
Tbilisi
Nicosia
Tel Aviv
Conakry
Freetown
MonroviaAccra
Brazzaville
Lusaka
Lilongwe
Harare
Dar-es-Salaam
Gaborone
Cape Town
KigaliBujumbura
Bern
Ankara
Antalya
Marmaris
Warsaw
Vilnius
Kiev
Dublin
Paris
Athens
Bucharest
Madrid Barcelona
Alicante
Malaga
Bilbao
Lyon
Milan
Strasbourg
Marseille
Tripoli
BamakoNiamey
Khartoum Asmera
Riyadh
DhahranAl Khobar
Manama
Alma Ata
Delhi
Wuhan
Vientiane
Bangkok
Ulan Bator
Baghdad
KirkukFaluja
Basra
Tehran
Yerevan
Abu DhabiDubai
Addis Ababa
Yaoundé
Kampala
Windhoek
Antananarivo
Pretoria
Abidjan
Ouagadougou
AlgiersTunis
Oslo
Helsinki
Bratislava
BrusselsFrankfurt
HamburgAmsterdamRotterdam
Copenhagen
Prague
Rome
Rabat
Marrakech
El Aaiun
Moscow
Grozny
Volgograd
St Petersburg
Budapest
Zagreb
Belgrade
Sofia
Istanbul
Nouakchott
Banjul
Lomé
Lagos
N’DjamenaDjibouti
Bangui
Kinshasa
Nairobi
Mombasa
Mogadishu
Sana’a
Mecca
Jeddah
Amman
DamascusJerusalem
Beirut
Kuwait
Muscat
Doha
Mumbai
Chennai
Karachi
Ashkhabad DushanbePyongyang
Seoul
Taipei
Shanghai
Shenyang
Osaka
Hanoi
Phnom Penh
Ho Chi Minh
Kuala Lumpur
Port Moresby
Wellington
Christchurch
Auckland
Sydney
Hobart
Adelaide
Perth
Jakarta
Dili
Darwin
Brisbane
Canberra
Melbourne
Thimphu
Vladivostok
Bishkek
Libreville
Luanda
Maputo
Durban
Johannesburg
Porto-Novo
Port Harcourt
Bissau
Tallinn
Riga
Minsk
Kishinev
LondonBirmingham
ManchesterBelfast
Godthåb
Guatemala
Mexico City
Guadalajara
La Paz
SantiagoBuenos Aires
60º
70º
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10º
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170º160º150º140º130º120º110º100º90º80º70º60º50º40º30º20º10º0º10º20º30º40º50º60º70º80º90º100º110º120º130º140º150º160º170º
50º
40º
30º
20º
10º
0º
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50º
60º
70º
-12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 GMT +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 +11 +12
KEY TO SYMBOLS
Low threat
Guarded threat
Elevated threat
High threat
Severe threat
TERRORISM THREAT CONDITIONS
Kidnap and ransom
Nationalist/separatist
Single interest
Narco/organised crime
Other religious extremists
TERRORIST GROUPS
COUNTRY KIDNAP RISK
Cities at particular risk
High risk regionsKashmir
Far right
Marxist/leftist
Islamic extremist
Terrorism Threat Map 2007
Security forces: 35%Private citizens and property: 17%Government and diplomatic: 15%Religious figures/institutions: 7%Transport, maritime and aviation: 5%Utilities and telecoms: 5%Business: 4%Educational institutions: 3%NGO and media: 2%Tourism: 0.4%Other: 7%
TERRORISM TARGET SELECTION BY INDUSTRYTerrorism target selection by Janusian statistics, 2006*
*Iraq statistics not included
Which organisationsTrack record
Which organisationsThreat
Which organisationsVulnerability
Which organisationsRisk
Which organisationsAims and intent
Which organisationsTarget selection
CapabilitySecurity regime
Physical security
Plans and procedures
Security regime
Aon LimitedCrisis Management
e-mail: [email protected]
© Copyright Aon Limited 2007. All rights reserved.
www.riskadvisory.netwww.janusian.com
TERRORISM THREAT MAP 2007 Terrorism threat is defined as an assessment of the intent, capability and likelihood of terrorists staging attacks. All assessments for the Terrorism Threat Map 2007 draw upon open and privileged intelligence data. Usingthis data, a panel of Janusian analysts have assigned threat levels by scoring each country according to thefollowing threat indicators for 2007:• Known and active groups or networks operating in a given country• Their aims and stated objectives• Their track record of terrorist activity, including target selection • Their operational capabilities to stage attacks • The likely erosion of terrorist capabilities through the current counter-terrorism regime in the given country
AdviceJanusian and Aon recommend that terrorism threat can be mitigated by the following:• Implement a proportionate security risk management scheme to identify and reduce the vulnerabilities to
personnel and business assets based upon an expert risk assessment• Transfer risk though an appropriate insurance policy to reduce the impact of any attack
TERRORISM RISK ASSESSMENT
Terrorism Threat Map
2007
BC1647 – 06.07 FP ref: 3943
Published by Corporate Communications UK
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