Texas Demographic

Characteristics and Trends and

the Golden Crescent Region

Bronte Club of

Victoria

October 3, 2012

Victoria, Texas

Growing States, 2000-2010

2000

Population*

2010

Population*

Numerical

Change

2000-2010

Percent

Change

2000-2010

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7%

Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6%

California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0%

Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6%

Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3%

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5%

Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6%

Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and 2010.

2 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count.

65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth

of the Hispanic population

Percent Change

Due to

Year* Population

Numerical

Change

Percent

Change

Natural

Increase

Net

Migration

1950 7,711,194 -- -- -- --

1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 24.2 93.91 6.09

1970 11,196,730 1,617,053 16.9 86.74 13.26

1980 14,229,191 3,032,461 27.1 41.58 58.42

1990 16,986,510 2,757,319 19.9 65.85 34.15

2000 20,851,820 3,865,310 22.8 49.65 50.35

2009 24,782,302 3,930,484 18.8 54.04 45.33

2010 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6

2011 25,674,681 529,120 2.1 54.79 44.99

* All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year. Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as

estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio.

Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.

Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2011

3

Percent of Migrants to Texas between 2000 and 2009 by Race and Ethnicity

44%

24% 33%

28%

50% 40%

23% 8% 15%

5% 18% 12%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Net domesticmigration

Internationalmigration

Total

Other

Black

Hispanic

White

67% of all

migrants

4 Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international

migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1,

2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau

(848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants)

52% of all migrants were

international

Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010

NH White 53%

NH Black 11%

NH Other

4%

Hispanic or Latino

32%

2000

NH White 45%

NH Black 11%

NH Other

6%

Hispanic or Latino

38%

2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census count

Percent of Migrants to Texas between 2000 and 2009 by Race and Ethnicity

44%

24% 33%

28%

50% 40%

23% 8% 15%

5% 18% 12%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Net domesticmigration

Internationalmigration

Total

Other

Black

Hispanic

White

67% of all

migrants

6 Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international

migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1,

2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau

(848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants)

52% of all migrants were

international

Population Change Select Texas Counties, 2010-2011

7

County 2010

Census

July 1, 2010

Estimate

July 1, 2011

Estimate

Population Change

2010-2011 Natural Increase

Net Migration

International Migration

Domestic Migration

Calhoun

21,381

21,357

21,442 85 74 11 49 -38

DeWitt

20,097

20,096

20,255 159 29 131 15 116

Goliad

7,210

7,232

7,243 11 8 3 1 2

Gonzales

19,807

19,850

19,904 54 102 -48 67 -115

Jackson

14,075

14,074

14,032 -42 72 -113 1 -114

Lavaca

19,263

19,267

19,347 80 -20 101 41 60

Victoria

86,793

86,846

87,545 699 628 79 144 -65

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Vintage 2011

8

9

Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Un

der

1 y

ear

4 y

ears

8 y

ears

12

yea

rs

16

yea

rs

20

yea

rs

24

yea

rs

28

yea

rs

32

yea

rs

36

yea

rs

40

yea

rs

44

yea

rs

48

yea

rs

52

yea

rs

56

yea

rs

60

yea

rs

64

yea

rs

68

yea

rs

72

yea

rs

76

yea

rs

80

yea

rs

84

yea

rs

88

yea

rs

92

yea

rs

96

yea

rs

10

0 t

o 1

04

…

Po

pu

lati

on

Age

White (non-Hispanic)

Hispanic

10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000

Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 years

90 years

95 years

100 to 104 years

Male White, Non-Hispanic Male Hispanic Male Black, Non-Hispanic Male Asian, Non-Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic

Female White, Non-Hispanic Female Hispanic Female Black, Non-Hispanic Female Asian, Non-Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic

11

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Total Population by County, 2010

12 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Census Counts

Legend

co48_d00

'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpop10

82 - 10,000

10,001 - 50,000

50,001 - 100,001

100,001 - 500,001

500,001 - 1,000,000

1,000,001 - 4,100,000

Percent Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2000-2010

13

Population increase for

Texas was 20.6%

during this period

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts

Water

'PROJECTIONS X$'.pctch0010

-20%-0%

1%-10%

10.1-25%

25.1%-50%

50.1%-82%

Physicians per 1,000 Population 2010

'PROJECTIONS X$'.difphys

-3 to -0.5

-0.49 to -.001

0

.001 to .5

.51-2.1

Legend

tl_2010_48_tract10

Mean travel time

15 mins or less

16-25 mins

21-25 mins

26-40 mins

41-105 mins

Mean Travel Time

to Work, Texas

Census Tracts,

2006-2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community

Survey, 5-Year Sample, 2006-2010

Bee

Harris

Matagorda

Nueces

DeWitt

Lavaca

Goliad

Fayette

Wharton

Calhoun

Victoria

Gonzales

Bastrop

Brazoria

Colorado

Austin

Refugio

Jackson

Fort Bend

Lee

Waller

Karnes

Travis

Caldwell

Aransas

San Patricio

Washington

Kleberg

Montgomery

Guadalupe

Hays

Wilson

Grimes

Live Oak

Jim Wells

Burleson

National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA,METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, iPC

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community

Survey, 5-Year Sample, 2006-2010

Percent Labor Force

Employed in

Professional, Scientific,

Management

Occupations, Texas

Census Tracts, 2006-

2010

Bee

Harris

Matagorda

Nueces

DeWitt

Lavaca

Goliad

Fayette

Wharton

Calhoun

Victoria

Gonzales

Bastrop

Brazoria

Colorado

Austin

Refugio

Jackson

Fort Bend

Lee

Waller

Karnes

Travis

Caldwell

Aransas

San Patricio

Washington

Kleberg

Montgomery

Guadalupe

Hays

Wilson

Grimes

Live Oak

Jim Wells

Burleson

National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA,METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, iPC

Legend

tl_2010_48_county10

tl_2010_48_county10

tl_2010_48_tract10

OcMgmtBusSciArts

0-15%

16-30%

31-40%

41-50%

51-60%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community

Survey, 5-Year Sample, 2006-2010

Percent Households

Receiving SNAPP

Benefits, Texas Census

Tracts, 2006-2010 Legend

tl_2010_48_tract10

SNAPPct

0-5%

6-10%

11-15%

16-25%

26-30%

Bee

Harris

Matagorda

Nueces

DeWitt

Lavaca

Goliad

Fayette

Wharton

Calhoun

Victoria

Gonzales

Bastrop

Brazoria

Colorado

Austin

Refugio

Jackson

Fort Bend

Lee

Waller

Karnes

Travis

Caldwell

Aransas

San Patricio

Washington

Kleberg

Montgomery

Guadalupe

Hays

Wilson

Grimes

Live Oak

Jim Wells

Burleson

National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA,METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, iPC

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community

Survey, 5-Year Sample, 2006-2010

Percent of the Labor

Force Unemployed,

Texas Census Tracts,

2006-2010 Legend

tl_2010_48_tract10

UnemployedPCT

0-3%

3.1-7.5%

7.6-12.5%

12.6-17.5%

17.6-45%

NatGeo_World_Map

Bee

Harris

Matagorda

Nueces

DeWitt

Lavaca

Goliad

Fayette

Wharton

Calhoun

Victoria

Gonzales

Bastrop

Brazoria

Colorado

Austin

Refugio

Jackson

Fort Bend

Lee

Waller

Karnes

Travis

Caldwell

Aransas

San Patricio

Washington

Kleberg

Montgomery

Guadalupe

Hays

Wilson

Grimes

Live Oak

Jim Wells

Burleson

National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA,METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, iPC

Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections

Year

Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040

18

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

10

20

12

20

14

20

16

20

18

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

20

36

20

38

20

40

Anglo

Black

Hispanic

Other

Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 2000-2007 Migration Scenario 19

Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2000-2040

2040 Population

P_40

36 - 1000

1001 - 10000

10001 - 50000

50001 - 100000

100001 - 500000

500001 - 1000000

1000001 - 8000000

Projected population by county, Texas, 2040

Texas State Data Center, vintage 2008 population projections. Migration scenario 2 (2000-2007).

Demographics and Destiny

21

Contact

Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530

Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.us

Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us

Lloyd Potter, Ph.D., M.P.H.

22