the art of the lbopages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/invbank/lbo overview.pdf · 1 the art of the lbo...

21
1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III. Putting It All Together IV. How It Happens in Reality

Upload: phamdang

Post on 30-Jan-2018

222 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

1

The Art of the LBO

November 2004

2

Agenda

I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts

II. The Building Blocks

III. Putting It All Together

IV. How It Happens in Reality

Page 2: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

2

I. An Overview of LeveragedBuyoutsWhat Are LBOs?

4

What Is an LBO?

A Leveraged BuyOut is the acquisition of an entire Company or division

n Buyer (the “Sponsor”) raises debt and equity to acquire Target

Borrows majority of purchase price

Contributes proportionately small equity investment

n Buyer grows Company, improves performance

Relies on Company’s free cash flow and asset sales to repay debt

Potentially makes add-on acquisitions

Later sells or IPOs all or a portion of the Company to exit investment

Page 3: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

3

5

What Is An LBO?Typical Leveraged Buyout Structure

EquityInvestment

PurchasePrice

BanksBondholdersBankLoan

High YieldBonds

NewCo (Merged Into

Target)

Target

Acquiror(LBO Firm)

CurrentOwners

6

More Common Than You Think…

Silver Lake $2.0bn

TPG, Bain & GS $1.6bn

Madison Dearborn Partners $1.5bn

KKR $1.5bn

THLee $1.1bn

Bain $1.0bn

Blackstone $700mm

Some prominent LBOs:

Company Sponsor Size

Page 4: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

4

7

Value of LBO Activity: 1997-2003

$39 $43

$81 $86

$60

$85 $86

0

20

40

60

80

100

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Glo

bal

Ann

ounc

ed V

olum

e ($

 Bill

ions

)

Source: GS F&P, Securities Data Co., Buyouts, Thompson Financial Securities Data

8

LBO Analysis – An Important Banker Tool

n M&A valuation

Complements other valuation techniques

n Acquisition financing

LBO

Corporate acquisition

“Staple-on” financing

n Dividend recapitalization

n Straight debt financings

n Complex merger plan analysis

Cash flow impact vs. EPS

Page 5: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

5

II. The Building BlocksHow Are LBOs Financed?

10

The Building BlocksTypes of Acquisition Financing

Bank Debt(Senior)

High Yield Debt(Subordinated)

PrivateEquity

~ 45%

~ 25%

~ 30%

100%

Page 6: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

6

11

How Are LBOs Financed?Hypothetical Example

Revolving Credit Facility - 6 Years $ 0.0

Tranche A Senior Term Loan - 6 Years 150.0

Tranche B Senior Term Loan - 8 Years 200.0

Total Senior Secured Debt 350.0 43.8% 2.9x

Senior Subordinated Notes due 2014 200.0

Total Debt 550.0 68.8% 4.6x

Management Rollover Equity 50.0

Sponsor Cash Equity 200.0

Total Equity 250.0 31.3% —

Total Capitalization $800.0 100.0% 6.7x

LTM EBITDA = $120.0 million.

Cum. Multiple% of of LTM

($ in millions) 12/31/2003 Capitalization EBITDA

12

Ranking in Capital Structure

Cost

Maturity and Amortization

Structure of Coupon or Dividend

Callability and Prepayment

Fees to Underwriters

Ratings

Covenants and Legal Restrictions

Marketing and the Capital-Raising Process

Comparing the Building BlocksHow the Pieces Differ

Investor Base

Page 7: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

7

13

Private EquityTerminology

n Most junior money in the capital structure

n Typically no dividends

n Voting control at all times

n Co-investing with other sponsors

n Raised in the “alternative investment market”

Portion from Sponsor – “put your money where your mouth is”

Pension funds, endowments, investment portfolios, investment banks, commercial banks, “fund of funds ”

Represents 5% to 10% of investors’ portfolios

n Net IRRs to LPs are generally 15-25%

14

Size of the Private Equity MarketUS Fund Raising Activity

$11.6

$18.4$23.2

$34.5

$55.4

$34.6

$63.3

$36.9

$17.0

$24.0

$9.9

0

20

40

60

80

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004YTD

($ B

illio

ns)

Source: Buyouts Magazine

Page 8: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

8

15

Average LBO Equity Contribution

40.6%40.0%39.4%

7.0%

9.7%

13.4%

20.7%

22.0%25.2%26.2%

23.7%22.9%

30.0%

31.6%

35.7%

37.8%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45%

1987 1988 1989 19901991(a)1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Ave

rage

Equ

ity C

ontr

ibut

ion

to

LBO

s (%

)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16%

Histo

rical Sin

gle

B D

efault Rates (%

)

(a) No data for 1991Source: Portfolio Management Data and Standard & Poor’s

16

...But Equity Alone Is Not EnoughUsing Leverage to Turbo-Charge Returns

8.8x

7.2x6.7x

5.3x5.0x 5.2x 5.3x 5.2x

5.8x 5.7x5.3x

4.5x4.0x

3.7x 3.8x 4.0x4.5x

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1987 1988 1989 1990 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004YTD

Ave

rage

Deb

t Mul

tiple

s of

Hig

hly

Leve

rage

d Lo

ans

(a)

1987

— S

econ

d Q

uart

er 2

004

Total Debt/EBITDA

(a) Criteria: Pre-1996: L+250 and higher; 1996 to date: L+225 and higher; Media and Telecom loans excluded; there were too few details in 1991 to form a meaningful sample.

Source: Portfolio Management Data.

Page 9: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

9

17

How Are LBOs Financed?Hypothetical Example

Revolving Credit Facility - 6 Years $ 0.0

Tranche A Senior Term Loan - 6 Years 150.0

Tranche B Senior Term Loan - 8 Years 200.0

Total Senior Secured Debt 350.0 43.8% 2.9x

Senior Subordinated Notes due 2014 200.0

Total Debt 550.0 68.8% 4.6x

Management Rollover Equity 50.0

Sponsor Cash Equity 200.0

Total Equity 250.0 31.3% —

Total Capitalization $800.0 100.0% 6.7x

LTM EBITDA = $120.0 million.

Cum. Multiple% of of LTM

($ in millions) 12/31/2003 Capitalization EBITDA

18

Ranking

Interest Rate

Callability

Maturity

Fees to Underwriters

Ratings

Covenants

Marketing

Process

Leveraged Bank DebtTerminology

Senior secured, most senior debt in the capital structure

Floating, typically LIBOR + 250 bps and higher, quarterly payments

Varies with credit profile, typically 5-8 years, but before more junior debt

Typically prepayable at par

1.75% to 2.25%

Usually BB+ to B+ (rating agencies now rate bank loans)

Maintenance covenants, set out in “Credit Agreement”

Sold via syndication process and confidential offering memorandum (“bank book”)

Diligence, commitment, launch, syndicate, fund

Page 10: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

10

19

Leveraged Bank DebtTerminology

n Revolving Credit Facilities vs. Term Loans

Revolvers allow multiple drawings (like a credit card)

Term Loans are funded at closing

n Pro Rata Facilities

Consist of Revolvers and “A” Term Loans (“Term Loan A”)

Sold to traditional commercial banks

Same LIBOR spread, 5-6 year maturities, even amortization

n Institutional Tranches

Consist of “B”, “C” or “D” Term Loans

Sold to over 100 institutions and funds

Progressively higher spreads, 6-8 year maturities, minimal front-end amortization

20

Leveraged Bank Debt Only a Subset of the Broader Loan Market

$930 BTotal Loan Market

$329 BLeveraged Loan

Market

$73 BSponsored

Loan

Source: Loan Pricing Gold Sheets, Buyouts Magazine, Standard & Poor’s - 2003

Page 11: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

11

21

Leveraged Bank DebtHistorical Growth in the Market

$329

$265

$216

$185

$243$256

$220

$50

$16

$49

$71

0

50

100

150

200

250

$300

350

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

$ b

illio

ns

Source: Portfolio Management Data 1993-2000; Loan Pricing Corporation 2001-2003

22

How Are LBOs Financed?Hypothetical Example

Revolving Credit Facility - 6 Years $ 0.0

Tranche A Senior Term Loan - 6 Years 150.0

Tranche B Senior Term Loan - 8 Years 200.0

Total Senior Secured Debt 350.0 43.8% 2.9x

Senior Subordinated Notes due 2014 200.0

Total Debt 550.0 68.8% 4.6x

Management Rollover Equity 50.0

Sponsor Cash Equity 200.0

Total Equity 250.0 31.3% —

Total Capitalization $800.0 100.0% 6.7x

LTM EBITDA = $120.0 million.

Cum. Multiple% of of LTM

($ in millions) 12/31/2003 Capitalization EBITDA

Page 12: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

12

23

Ranking

Interest Rate

Callability

Maturity

Fees to Underwriters

Ratings

Covenants

Marketing

Process

Usually subordinated and/or unsecured

Fixed, expressed as a coupon, varies with credit quality, semiannual payments

“Bullet” maturity in 10 years

“10NC5” and 35% “Equity Clawback” now standard

2.5% to 3.0%

Usually B+ to CCC+

Incurrence covenants, governed by the “Indenture”

Sold via SEC Prospectus / 144A Offering Circular

Diligence, documentation, roadshow, price, fund

High Yield DebtTerminology

24

Mezzanine FinancingTerminology

n Structure

Rank / Return / Equity / “All-In”

n Investors

“Mezz” buyers in the market

Banks / Other financial institutions

n Issuer’s Perspective

Leverage equity more; push risk / return profile

Fill hole in cap structure

Disclosure / Size

Page 13: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

13

25

LBO Market Activity

n LBO activity continues to be very strong

n Extremely receptive financing markets

Large amount of bank loan refinancings and new CLOs

Substantial cash positions of high yield mutual funds

n Large corporations divesting assets to reduce debt

n Return of the jumbo LBO

n Financial sponsors creating consortiums to cover large equity investments and diversify risk

n Although the LBO market is back, sponsors remain disciplined

$7.05 B $4.75 B $4.3 B

III. Putting It All TogetherThe Analysis

Page 14: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

14

27

The Five Simple Steps of LBO Analysis

n Step #1: Evaluate the Story

Is this a good debt story?

What are the risks?

What is the “real” EBITDA?

n Step #2: Construct Sources & Uses

n Step #3: Run the IRRs

n Step #4: Does the LBO work?

28

Step #1 – Understand the StoryDig a Little Deeper

n Is this a good debt story?

Stability of revenues: Cyclicality? Contracts? Customers? Organic growth?

Margins: Commodity risk? Supplier reliance? Pricing?

Capex: Maintenance vs. discretionary?

Working capital: Seasonality? Overall management?

Management team: Track record? Acquisitions?

n What are potential risks and mitigants?

n Projections

Are they realistic?

How do they compare to historical?

Page 15: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

15

29

Step #1 – Understand the Story EBITDA Revisited

n What is the right time period to use?

n Don’t take EBITDA at face value – look for adjustments

n Common add-backs

“Restructuring” charges

Non-cash compensation

Asset impairments

Sponsor fees

Money-losing businesses

n Are adjustments really non-recurring?

Look at historical financials

Use common sense

30

Step #2 – Construct Sources and Uses

Revolving Credit Facility $ 0.0 Purchase Target Equity $ 250.0

Term Loan A 150.0 Refinance Existing Debt 525.0

Term Loan B 200.0 Transaction Costs 25.0

Total Senior Debt 350.0

Senior Subordinated Notes 200.0

Total Debt 550.0

Management Rollover Equity 50.0

Sponsor Cash Equity 200.0

Total Sources $800.0 Total Uses $800.0

Sources Uses

Page 16: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

16

31

Step #2 – Construct Sources and Uses The Typical “Sources” of Funds

n Bank debt (“Senior” debt)

Start with 2.5x senior leverage

Price term loan @ LIBOR + 3.00%

Use 100% excess cash flow sweep

n Total debt

Start with 4.5x total leverage

Difference between total and bank is high yield debt

Minimum high yield size of $150mm

Price high yield @ 10.00%

n Equity contribution

Minimum 30% contribution

New sponsor cash equity vs. management rollover

32

Step #2 – Construct Sources and UsesThe Typical “Uses” of Funds

n Retire existing debt

Existing covenants will typically prohibit post-LBO debt levels

Don’t forget tender/call premiums

n Pay transaction fees & expenses

Bank debt fees: 1.75% to 2.25%

High yield fees: 2.50% to 3.00%

Don’t forget legal expenses

n Purchase target equity

Make this the “plug” to balance Sources & Uses for now

Page 17: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

17

33

Step #3 – Run the IRRs

n Calculate returns depending on future “exit strategy” in Years 3–5

n Typical exit analysis contemplates outright sale of company

Make base case exit EBITDA multiple = entry multiple

n Deduct net debt in exit year to compute future equity value

n Allocate equity to owners based on ownership

Financial sponsor vs. management

Exercise of warrants if appropriate

34

Step #4 – Does the LBO Work?Ask yourself the following questions:

n Do the senior and total debt multiples “make sense” in the context of the overall purchase price multiple?

n Are the coverage ratios adequate?

EBITDA / Interest Expense > 2.00x

(EBITDA - Capex) / Interest Expense > 1.50x

n How is the bank debt amortizing?

Is the bank debt completely repaid by year 7?

n What are the results after running more realistic and downside cases?

n What are the expected credit ratings?

Page 18: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

18

35

Step #4 – Does the LBO Work?Iterate Until The LBO Works For All Constituencies

Debt Holders:Feasibility

Equity Holders:Attractiveness

36

Step #4 – Does the LBO Work? How Does the Implied Valuation Compare?

n Triangulate with Other Enterprise Valuation Techniques

Deal Comps

Common Stock Comps

Other Recent LBOs

n Can a financial sponsor beat a strategic?

Synergy opportunities

Merger plan analysis

Page 19: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

19

IV. How It Happens In RealityThe Tension between Buyer and Seller

38

The Scenario

n An attractive business is up for auction

n Your client is a large private equity player

n Tomorrow is the final bid deadline

n You believe your client is competing vs. a large corporation and other financial sponsors

n The corporate can pay tomorrow in cash

n The seller wants to know you’re good for the money

n Your client wants guidance from you on:

Maximum leverage

Certainty of funds

Financing conditions

Page 20: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

20

39

What Does the Seller Want?

n Seller generally wants to maximize selling price

n But not all bids are created equal — seller also wants certainty

How long between signing and closing?

Sponsor generally needs to raise the debt in this period

Compare with corporate buyer with available stock/cash

n Mere promise by buyer to raise the debt is insufficient

n Seller wants legal commitment

n Although Sponsor has committed financing, the letters typically have “outs” that weaken the commitment

40

What Can the Buyer Do?

n Buyer must make seller comfortable that the financing risk is minimal by providing committed financing

n Committed financing is usually comprised of a bank commitment and a bridge commitment

The bank commitment typically represents the senior secured portion of the capital structure (i.e., “Bank Debt”)

The bridge commitment typically represents the subordinated portion of the capital structure (i.e., “High Yield”)

n Sponsor typically has access from its own funds but check absolute dollar size of equity needed

Page 21: The Art of the LBOpages.stern.nyu.edu/~eofek/InvBank/LBO Overview.pdf · 1 The Art of the LBO November 2004 2 Agenda I. An Overview of Leveraged Buyouts II. The Building Blocks III

21

41

The Commitment Letters

n The bank and bridge commitments are comprised of four letters

Commitment letter that covers both facilities

Fee letter for the bank facility

Separate fee letter for the bridge facility

Engagement letter for the take-out of the bridge facility