the battle of britain: misperceptions that led to victory
TRANSCRIPT
The Battle of Britain: Misperceptions that Led to Victory
by
Douglas M. Armour
Thesis
submitted in partial fulfillment of the
requirements of the Degree of
Bachelor of Arts with
Honours in History
Acadia University
April, 2011
©Copyright by Douglas M. Armour, 2011
i
This thesis by Douglas M. Armour
Is accepted in its present form by the
Department of History & Classics
As satisfying thesis requirements for the degree of
Bachelor of Arts with Honours
Approved by the Thesis Supervisor
________________________________ ______________________________
Dr. Paul Doerr Date
Approved by the Head of the Department
________________________________ ______________________________
Dr. Paul Doerr Date
Approved by the Honours Committee
________________________________ ______________________________
Dr. Sonia Hewitt Date
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I, Douglas M. Armour, grant permission to the University Librarian at Acadia University to
reproduce, loan or distribute copies of my thesis in microform, paper or electronic formats on a
non-profit basis. I however, retain the copyright in my thesis.
________________________________
Signature of Author
______________________________
Date
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Acknowledgements
First and foremost, I would like to thank my thesis advisor, Dr. Paul Doerr, for all the support he
has given me while writing my thesis. He has guided me through this long process and put up
with my terrible spelling. Also, I especially thank him for getting some primary sources from
Britain, (you know your thesis advisor is awesome when he crosses an ocean to get sources for
you). Thanks again Paul for all your efforts!
To my parents, thanks for all the loving support and motivation you have given me while writing
my thesis. You have made this thesis possible by first making the writer of it (me) possible and
for raising me to be the person I am. Mom and Dad I love you. To the rest of my family and loved
ones I love you very much.
To Dr. David Duke, thanks for all the guidance you have given me over the years. When I first
came to Acadia you were assigned to be my mentor. The advice you have given me then and
over the years have been extremely valuable. You are now my second reader and still giving me
valuable advice. Thank you for all your guidance; you are a great professor and person, never
change unless it is for the better.
To all the professors I have had while at Acadia, thank you for your hard work and for the
knowledge you have given me over the years. Also, to all the staff that have helped me at
Acadia, thank you.
To God, thank you for literally everything. You have made this thesis possible by making reality
itself. I love you God, you are awesome. For those of you reading who do not share my religious
views, you at least now know I have a religious back ground.
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Table of Contents
Title Page i
Approval Page ii
Permission for Duplication Page iii
Acknowledgement Page iv
Table of Contents v
Abstract Page vi
Chapter One: Historiography............................................................................................................1
Chapter One: Conclusion................................................................................................................31
Chapter Two: The Wrong Battle.....................................................................................................34
Chapter Two: Conclusion................................................................................................................60
Bibliography....................................................................................................................................62
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Abstract
This thesis examines British preparations for the future of aerial warfare in the 1930s
and the subsequent Battle of Britain in 1940. It argues that British planners in the 1930s
prepared for the wrong war that was going to be fought in 1939 and early 1940. It shows that
this mistake in planning was mainly due to poor information and an institutional bias toward
offensive bombers. The thesis then looks at the defensive preparations made by Air Chief
Marshal Hugh Dowding. It argues that though Britain had prepared for the wrong offensive
battle that was fought in 1939 and early 1940, the preparations it made for a defensive battle
gave the RAF a distinct advantage over the Luftwaffe in the Battle of Britain which would follow.
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1
Chapter 1: Historiography
The Battle of Britain is remembered as one of the great battles of World War II. It is also
notable for being the first battle in history fought almost exclusively in the air. The Battle of
Britain is important for many reasons. It was a battle fought for Britain’s very survival, in which
the RAF met the Luftwaffe over the skies of Britain. More importantly if the battle had been lost
it is very imaginable that in all probability Nazi Germany would have won World War 2, making
the world a very different place than it is now. Churchill captured the importance of the battle
when he famously said, “Let us therefore brace ourselves to our duties, and so bear ourselves,
that if the British Empire and its Commonwealth last for a thousand years, men will still say, ‘This
was their finest hour.’”1
The Battle of Britain, like most histories, is too complicated in its many parts and too
large for any human to comprehend atits fullest. From the lowliest airmen to the highest ranking
officers, none know the battle to its fullest. Historians and others, however, can comprehend
some parts of the battle and from these parts are able to draw larger pictures. Looking at these
accounts it is important that one remembers that historians and those who write the past have
subjective limitations. They come from different backgrounds and different times. Also they have
different perspectives, different biases and use different sources. Historians and others end up
giving different accounts of the battle. The Battle of Britain is no exception to this and there are
many varying accounts of the battle that have been written over the years.
1 “The Churchill Centre and Museum at the Churchill War Rooms, London,”
http://www.winstonchurchill.org/learn/speeches/speeches-about-winston-churchill/his-speechs-how-churchill-did-it, (February 8, 2011).
2
This historiography will look at a number of authors who have written on the Battle of
Britain over the years. It will proceed chronologically, starting with early accounts of the battle
and progress to more recent authors. Finally, it will point out some of the recurring themes and
changing views of the authors.
Sir Arthur Harris was the Air Officer Commander-in-Chief of RAF Bomber Command in
1942. After the war, in 1947, he published the book Bomber Offensive. Arthur Harris was born
April 13, 1892 in Cheltenham, England. His father wanted him to join the army, but he did not
join the army right away, “He dearly wanted me to go into the army. I was dead set against it.
And as it was either the army or the colonies, I plumped for darkest Africa.”2 Harris went to
North Rhodesia (modern day Zambia) and fell in love with the country. During World War One,
Harris was compelled to enlist and later in the war found himself joining the Royal Flying Corps
(R.F.C.) This started his career in military aviation, “I certainly had no idea that air warfare would
be my life's work.”3 Harris was promoted in 1942 to Commander-in-Chief of Bomber Command.
During the war Harris supported the bombing of German cities and worked to make bombing
effective. After the war he was heavily criticized for the bombing of German cities and was given
the nick name “Bomber Harris” by the media. Harris died April 5, 1984 at his house in Goring.
The book, Bomber Offensive, is an autobiography of Harris’s experiences during World
War II. In the first two chapters, Harris recalls his experiences before the war and the early years
of the war. Harris explained in Chapter One how, during the interwar years, the three services
had been allowed to degrade, so that when the threat of war returned the RAF found itself
inadequately supplied. He points to the "Ten Year Rule" as being responsible for the
2 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, (New York : Macmillan Co., 1947), p 15.
3 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, p 16.
3
degeneration of the RAF during the inter war period. The "Ten Year Rule” was created, under the
following circumstances:
After the 1914-1918 war the Chiefs of Staff sought political guidance on which to base the establishments and plans of the three services. They were told to base their plans on the assumption that there would be "no major war for ten years." That was a simple and, at the time when it was made, justifiable ruling. But that rule remained in force year after year, and no one had observed the logical conclusion that the progressive plans should thereafter have been based on an amended ruling that there would be no major war within nine years, within eight years, and so on each year, to zero.4
In the first part of the chapter Harris describes how far behind Britain was compared to
Germany, and the urgency that military planners faced preparing for war. While Germany was
preparing for war, “everything we had—and that was little—was in the shopwindow, with
nothing behind it.”5 As for Britain’s French allies, their air force was in even worse condition.
“Their air force was hopelessly deficient in every way, a dire state for which their politicians were
responsible.”6 It was only a few years before the war that preparations started in earnest. “For
some time we could not get across to the people who mattered the urgency of making
preparations for war, but eventually Eden and Simon, in 1935, went to Germany and came back
sufficiently staggered by what they had seen to cause them to ring all the bells.”7 In this chapter
Harris also talks about how he believed that the bomber was going to play a major role in
winning the upcoming war,
But I never had any fear that the enemy would succeed in getting across the Channel, with the equipment then available. I knew we could and would stop him. All past experience of combined operations pointed to the impossibility, at that time, of a cross-Channel invasion on the scale that would be necessary in the face of anything approaching serious opposition. I could therefore see only one possible way of bringing
4 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, pp 12-13.
5 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, p 13.
6 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, p 12.
7 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, p 14.
4
serious pressure to bear on the Boche, and certainly only one way of defeating him; that was by air bombardment.8
Harris then recalls the early years of World War Two. Harris talked about some of the problems
Bomber Command faced during the early years of the war.
Flying Training Command and the Empire Training Scheme provided us with recruits trained up to a certain standard, but very far from being fit for operations; for one thing, none of these men had yet been trained to work together as a bomber crew. This was all right when we had bombers, such as the Battles, Hinds, and Vickers Wellesleys, which usually had only a crew of two, but with the newer types, carrying crews of four, five and six, such training of the men as individuals was wholly inadequate. All the rest had to be done by Bomber Command itself, and there had been no provision for such training in peacetime outside the squadrons themselves which in war could not undertake both training and operations.9
New aircraft and new pilots were both in very high demand. Harris believed that on the eve of
war Britain possessed “a force almost without reserves and without any adequate training
organisation behind it; any sustained campaign in the autumn of 1939 would very quickly have
brought us to the end of our small supply of trained crews.”10 Harris commended the efforts of
Ludlow-Hewitt, the chief of Bomber Command in 1939 who was replaced 1940, for insisting that
pilots be taken from the frontlines to be used as training instructors. Harris thought that, “He
was far and away the most brilliant officer I have ever met in any of the three services... Ludlow-
Hewitt saved the situation—and the war —at his own expense, and did it, as he does all things,
with good grace, and without thinking of himself or what effect it might have on his career.”11
Harris goes on to discuss some of the early targets of Bomber Command. He points out the
importance of Bomber Command attacking the German barges, pointing out that in 1940,
What Hitler wanted was protection from air attack for a seaborne invasion and at that time our fighters could not have been a serious threat to shipping. In those days there were no rockets or bombs on fighters, and the protection he wanted was therefore
8 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, p 15.
9 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, page 34.
10 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, page 34.
11 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, page 35-36.
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against bombers. It was definitely Bomber Command's wholesale destruction of the invasion barges in the Channel ports that convinced the Germans of the futility of attempting to cross the Channel, especially as Fighter Command's victory meant that our bombers could have fighter cover over the Channel if necessary and so could attack by day in addition to their normal operations by night.12
By pointing this out he tried to show the important role that bomber command played in the
early years of World War II.
Harris gives an interesting perspective of the war from the perspective of a high ranking
commander. However it must be remembered that he also gives a biased account. As already
mentioned, Harris was criticised heavily by the media after the war for his actions, which was
most likely taken into account when he wrote his book. Bomber Offensive gives valuable insight
into the commonly unheard actions of Bomber Command before and during the Battle of Britain.
Harris wrote his autobiography in 1947, 2 years after the war. Harris wrote the
book as an autobiography, does not use many sources, and leaves the ones he does use uncited.
Being a firsthand account of a prominent person, this book is a valuable source. His book is also a
valuable source for those writing on the battle of Britain because it shows the mindset of the
offensive part of the RAF that competed for resources with the more defensive Fighter
Command of the RAF. It must also be remember that Harris took a lot of criticism after the war
and he tries to fight off some of this criticism in his autobiography.
Chester Wilmot was one of the earliest prominent writers who wrote on the Battle of
Britain. Wilmot was born on June 21, 1911 at Brighton, Melbourne and died in the famous crash
of the BOAC Comet in 1954. During the years of the Second World War he worked as an
Australian news correspondent and covered many events of the war, such as the German
12
Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, page 43.
6
surrender in 1945.13 After the war he wrote several books on the history of the war. He
published in 1952, The Struggle for Europe, in Great Britain. The early sections of, The Struggle
for Europe, give an account of how Britain was able to survive the Battle of Britain. His writing
has a journalistic style/flow to it, which makes it an interesting and engaging read, but this
journalistic style also had the effect of being breathless in parts. Regardless Wilmot’s book, was
given high reviews and today it is still a highly regarded secondary source. The Daily Telegraph
praised his book as being, “impossible to praise too highly. Becomes at once a classic of
contemporary history.”14 The first two chapters of the book talk about the importance of Britain
standing alone against Germany and how Britain was able to survive alone against the seemingly
unstoppable German Army.
In the first chapter he emphasizes how Britain stood against Germany alone, which is
reflected in the title for chapter one “If Necessary, Alone.” He highlights the importance of
Britain not being knocked out of the war early and called Hitler’s inability to take Britain out of
the war his “first great failure.”15 He continued on to say how
It was Britain's refusal to yield or even to compromise that had driven Hitler into the fateful course of invading Russia. It was Britain's defiance that had roused and nourished the spirit of resistance in Occupied Europe and had compelled Hitler, when he turned to the East, to leave one quarter of. his strength in the West guarding his conquests and keeping the subject peoples in subjection. If he had been able to conquer or neutralise Britain, Hitler would have had no cause to fear a 'Second Front', for there would not have been at the western gates of his empire the base from which the forces of freedom would one day set forth to break down the walls of his Festung Europa.16
13
“Australian War Memorial,” http://www.awm.gov.au/people/343.asp, (January 28, 2011). 14
“Amazon.com,” http://www.amazon.com/Struggle-Europe-Wordsworth-Collection/dp/1853266779, (January 28, 2011). 15
Chester Wilmot, The Struggle for Europe, (London : Collins, 1974), p18.
16Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 18.
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Wilmot also champions Britain’s heroic defiance in this chapter. He commented on how the
British had a “strange capacity for seeing victory in defeat”17 and how historically, “Time and
again in the past four hundred years England had fought to prevent the domination of Europe by
a single power. Hitler was now faced with the same British stubbornness that had baulked Philip
of Spain, Louis XIV, Napoleon and Kaiser Wilhelm II.”18 He also, in this chapter talks about
Hitler’s reluctant decision to launch an invasion of the British Isles. Wilmot argued that Hitler
thought that, "invasion should be undertaken only as a last resort to force Britain to sue for
peace."19 Wilmot thinks this was because Hitler thought that invasion of the British Isles would
be a difficult undertaking and because he wanted the German people and British people to be
allies. In this chapter Wilmot showed that the need for air superiority, and subsequently a battle
to remove Britain’s air power was needed because of the difficulties of invading Britain. The
main problem with an invasion of Britain was with Britain’s large navy. The Germans thought
that if they had tried a landing even with their superior numbers, “the enemy will still be able to
penetrate with resolute naval forces so as to place himself between the first wave already
landed, and the succeeding transports.”20 Wilmot argued that Germany’s solution to this
problem was to gain air superiority, “The conclusions which Raeder reported to Hitler on July
11th were that no invasion fleet could put to sea until the Luftwaffe had destroyed the R.A.F.
and had driven all British naval forces from the Channel.”21 So, Goering was tasked with the
destruction of the RAF to gain the air superiority needed to bring Britain to her knees.
Wilmot, in his second Chapter, “David and Goliath,” explains how the lonely and
outnumbered RAF was able to stand against Germany. In this chapter he argues that the key to
17
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 24. 18
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 24. 19
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 26. 20
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 29. 21
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, page 26.
8
Britain’s success was in its preparation, most notably in the area of scientific research. He gives
much credit to, as he put it, “a small band of enlightened and progressive men who through the
years of public complacency and political neglect had worked to give the country a scientific
system of air defence.”22 He also singled out the commander of Fighter Command, Hugh
Dowding, as being very important in the scientific organisation of the RAF. Wilmot gave radar
technology a great amount of attention. Wilmot said that with radar “It was a battle of chance
and force against science and skill. There was no shortage of courage on the German part,
though their pilots lacked the zest of the British, but their confidence was undermined by the
knowledge that in comparison with their opponents they were blind, deaf and dumb.”23 Wilmot
argued that radar had a great impact on Britain’s ability to hold off the Luftwaffe.
Another area that Wilmot identifies as contributing to British victory was Germany’s
poor preparation for an air battle against Britain. He notes that the Luftwaffe was not designed
to fight this kind of air battle against Britain, as the Luftwaffe was primarily intended to provide
close support for ground units. However, in the Battle of Britain the Luftwaffe would be fighting
the kind of battle that the British had prepared for. He points out the Stukas as an example of
this, saying that, “Goering decided to withdraw his 300 remaining Stukas from the battle. Thus,
by the mere threat of their intervention the Spitfires and Hurricanes were able to keep on the
ground nearly a quarter of the German bomber strength.”24 He also, points out that Goering’s
decision to switch from attacking the airfields to attacking London was a huge mistake. He cited
Goering as declaring in August of 1940: "It is doubtful whether there is any point in continuing
the attacks on radar stations, since not one of those attacked has so far been put out of
22
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, page 35. 23
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, page 44. 24
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 45.
9
action."25 Another fault in German preparation that Wilmot pointed out was their lack of
appreciation for British radar. He argued that “their scientists, fondly believing themselves to be
the best in the world, scoffed at the suggestion that the British might have discovered some
secret which had eluded them.”26 These are the areas in German preparation for the battle
which Wilmot picked out as being Germany`s downfall in the Battle of Britain.
Wilmot published his book in 1952, just 7 years after the end of the war. This makes
Wilmot an early post-war historian. Like many other early post-war historians, Wilmot did not
have direct access to many Allied military documents which would be released later. For German
sources, Wilmot was able to rely on German records which were released after the war as part
of Germany’s unconditional surrender. For material on the Allied side, Wilmot relied heavily on
his own personal “interrogations of the principal commanders and staff officers concerned”27
with the events. Also, being a correspondent for the B.B.C., he was an eye-witness to many
major events of the war. Most of his bibliography is full of sources written during or shortly after
the war. Being such an early post-war historian, Wilmot has the advantage of access to firsthand
accounts, and the people involved in the battles themselves, but he obviously did not have
access to official documents.
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster published the book The Narrow Margin: The Battle of
Britain and the Rise of Air Power 1930-40 in 1961. The book gives an overview of the Battle of
Britain showing how close the battle was and how narrowly it was won. The authors present the
25
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, pp 43-44. 26
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 44. 27
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 724.
10
battle “in the form of a complete operational day-to-day diary.”28 The book is broken into three
distinct parts.
The first part of the book examines German and British preparations for the battle.
Wood and Dempster show how Germany evaded the restrictions of the Treaty of Versailles, and
built up their air force. They also cover the organisation of the Luftwaffe and how it was to
operate. After looking at German preparations they examine the deterioration of the British air
force and how Marshal of the Royal Air Force Hugh Montague Trenchard came “to rescue the
young service”29 in the 1920’s. Then the book looks at the rebuilding of the RAF and the
production of aircraft. The authors then inspect Germany’s intelligence capability, pointing out
its many weakness and shortcomings. They also looked at British intelligence and found it was
not much better than Germany’s. However they point out the success of some British electronic
countermeasures. They also stress the importance of the scientific development of radar and its
implementation. Next they note the importance of the observer corps and radio. Finally they
explain how the entire defence system worked as whole and the advantage it gave to Britain.
The second part of their book focuses on the start of the war and aerial combat in
France. The authors claim that the French air force was an utter failure. They recall the early
defeats and losses the RAF suffered. Then they examine the preparations to defend Britain and
stress the importance of the RAF in fending off an invasion. Finally they point out the importance
of the time the RAF was given to prepare, while Germany tried to convince Britain to surrender
and decide what to do.
28
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The narrow margin : the Battle of Britain and the rise of air power 1930-40, (Westport, Conn. : Greenwood Press, 1975, c1961), p 13. 29
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The narrow margin, p 65.
11
In the third part of their book, the authors give an almost day-by-day account of the
battle. They highlight a date, like September 30th, and then say what happened that day.
“Crossing the coast at Dungeness the two raids were met in force. Split and harried, neither
reached London.”30 They divided the battle into 5 distinct phases. The first phase lasted from July
10th to August 7th when Luftwaffe attacks were light and unfocused. The second phase lasted
from August 8th to August 23rd when there was a noticeable increase in Luftwaffe attacks. The
third phase lasted from August 24th to September 6th when the Luftwaffe, preparing for
Adlerangriff, tried to destroy the RAF by attacking “aircraft industry and the ground organization
of the air”31 The fourth phase lasted from September 7th to September 30th, when the Luftwaffe
changed targets to attack cities. The fifth phase lasted from October 1st to October 31st, during
which the Luftwaffe focussed more on night bombing and highflying fighters with bombs. The
authors finish the book by concluding that “In the final analysis the outcome was dependent on
political systems and personalities.”32
Wood and Dempster published the book in 1961, 16 years after the war. For primary
sources they used mainly interviews with those who took part in the battle and some pamphlets.
They have very few official government documents as sources. They used sources that were
both written in French and English. For secondary sources they used mainly books and articles.
Wood and Dempster are still part of an earlier group of historians that presents the battle in a
recollective, patriotic way.
Telford Taylor published the book “The Breaking Wave: The Second World War in the
Summer of 1940,” in 1967. Taylor was interested in looking at the Battle of Britain the German
30
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The narrow margin, p 368. 31
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The narrow margin, p 300. 32
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The narrow margin, p 409.
12
perspective, saying that the “German side of the story is the more interesting strategically and
significant historically.”33
Taylor starts his book by looking at the choices Germany faced in the summer of 1940,
after the fall of France. He identifies potential strategies Germany could have used, and explains
the difficulties Germany faced in employing them. After the fall of France and the conquest of
much of Europe, all that stood against Germany was Britain. Taylor argues that the German
leadership knew that the conquest of Britain would be a difficult undertaking, and so hoped that
Britain would see “reason” and just surrender. Taylor shows that the German leadership was
overconfident that they could “conclude a victor's peace with Britain.”34 However, after it
became clear that Britain would not surrender, Germany had to choose between several
strategic courses of action. Taylor identifies three main strategies Germany could have pursued.
Germany could have attempted to negotiate peace with Britain, or could have tried for a direct
speedy conquest of Britain. Finally, Germany could have dug in for a longer war and expanded
the conflict to other areas of the world. In arraying these strategic choices Taylor points out that
the German leadership had to be careful of the interest of their allies and the interest of neutral
powers. Taylor then argues that after a poor attempt at making peace, Germany then moved to
planning for invasion, but when it came to creating a plan to invade Britain, the German
leadership was uncertain and disorganized. This can be attributed the difficulties of invasion and
to Hitler’s lack of involvement in guiding the planning process. When it came time to decide on
an invasion plan Hitler was, as Taylor described it, on “vacation” while relaxing in France. Taylor
explains that without Hitler, who was “the ‘motor’ of the high command now, at the critical
33
Telford Taylor, The breaking wave : the Second World War in the summer of 1940, (New York : Simon and Schuster, c1967), page 14. 34
Telford Taylor, The breaking wave, p 34.
13
juncture, the engine was idling.”35 The German “Army, Navy, and Luftwaffe commands each
went about its individual tasks, while the Fuehrer relaxed and basked in the warm glow of the
victory in France.”36 The plan that was constructed involved the prerequisite of the Luftwaffe
acquiring air superiority. With such a rudimentary plan to defeat Britain, Hitler’s gaze slowly
turned east to the USSR.
After examining the situation Germany was faced with in 1940, Taylor then looks at the
events and decisions made during the Battle of Britain. He compares the Luftwaffe with the RAF
and concludes they were fairly even, with the exception of German “shortcomings in weapons
and leadership.”37 He notes that Germany had never intended to fight Britain and so did not
have an air force that was designed to fight against Britain. Throughout this section Taylor points
out numerous mistakes made by the German leadership from underestimating the British, to
Goering’s unprofessional conduct, to overconfidence in their success. He argues that
“Handicapped as the Luftwaffe was by its built-up limitations, its leaders failed again and again
to make the most of what they had.”38 Taylor follows the battle almost week by week explaining
the reasons behind German decisions that led to changes in plans and tactics.
In the final section of his book, Taylor looks at the planning of Operation Sea Lion. He
first looks at the point of Operation Sea Lion, questioning whether it was an invasion plan for the
conquest or Britain or just merely “nothing more than a political bluff.”39 He argues that Hitler
thought of Sea Lion as a true plan for the invasion of Britain, but only if a number of
prerequisites could first be met, the major being victory over the RAF. Taylor then looks at some
of the problems of Sea Lion. One of the major problems was that Hitler was almost completely
35
Telford Taylor, The breaking wave, p 53. 36
Telford Taylor, The breaking wave, p 58. 37
Telford Taylor, The breaking wave, page 79. 38
Telford Taylor, The breaking wave, page 184. 39
Telford Taylor, The breaking wave, page 200.
14
uninvolved in the plan of Sea Lion. This led to poor communication and lack of cooperation
between the three services. The army was overly excited about the operation, the navy was
timid about the entire operation and the air force was only interested with its “private war in the
air”40 and almost completely uninterested in the actual invasion part of the operation. Taylor
also looks at the individual problems the three services faced in Sea Lion, such as getting enough
transport ships. Taylor concludes that Sea Lion ultimately failed because Hitler was not willing to
take the risk of a failed invasion of Britain, “No matter how skillfully planned and diligently
prepared, invasion was bound to be a risky undertaking, with great and perhaps decisively
favourable consequences in the event of success, and serious but not immediately fatal
consequences in the event of failure.”41 The only way for Germany to remove this risk was to
defeat the RAF. “Sea Lion, no matter how well prepared, would have faced substantial risk of
failure unless England had first been really beaten flat by the Luftwaffe.”42 Taylor shows that
with the Luftwaffe being unable to vanquish the RAF, Operation Sea Lion was continually
postponed and finally abandoned with the invasion of the USSR in 1941.
Taylor wrote his book in 1967, 22 years after the war. He wrote around the same time as
Edward Bishop, to be discussed below. However, having more of a focus on the German side of
the battle Taylor uses a large amount of primary German sources. Taylor is writing in a time
when various records on German Army headquarters were opened and became available to
historians. For sources, unlike Bishop, Taylor uses both a large number of primary and secondary
sources. Writing in 1967, Taylor gives a more scholarly account of the battle than earlier writers.
This is the time when scholars of the battle started transitioning from a patriotic recollection
style to a more professional model.
40
Telford Taylor, The breaking wave, page 286. 41
Telford Taylor, The breaking wave, p 290. 42
Telford Taylor, The breaking wave, p 286.
15
Edward Bishop wrote a book on the Battle of Britain called Their Finest Hour for
Ballantine Books. It was first published in Britain in 1968. It was for a series of about 154 books
that covered all aspects of World War II. Bishop’s book was meant for the general public and
gives a standard early post-war historical account of the battle. These books were cheap with
most of them selling for only a few dollars and as a result became wide-spread and very
popular.43 In his book he gives an overview of the battle, with an emphasis on the areas of the
battle in which Britain and Germany performed well and poorly.
The short introduction of the book was not written by Bishop, but by Barrie Pitt, the
Editor in Chief of the series. It gives an introduction to Bishop’s account of the Battle of Britain
and highlighted the importance of the battle. Pitt trumpets the heroic resistance of Britain
against Germany. In doing so he points out that both the US and USSR were unwilling to stand
up to Germany at this time. He introduced Bishop’s account by saying that as “Edward Bishop so
graphically describes, the Battle of Britain appeared to us here as an affair of high gallantry of
laughing youth going gaily to battle, and white vapour trails high in a clear blue sky.”44 He also,
commends Bishop’s book for showing that “Wars have always been decided more by the quality
of weapons and equipment than popular feeling has allowed, and the more industrialised the
world has become, the greater the factor played by technical skill in comparison with the ancient
virtues of bravery and strength.”45
Bishop gives a fairly standard account of the battle. He pays special attention to the uses
of technology. He starts his account of the battle with the fall of France and Germany’s swift
conquest of Europe. Bishop looks at Germany’s decision to invade Britain. He argues that Hitler
43
“Stone & Stone: Second World War Books,” http://stonebooks.com/archives/970911.shtml (January 28, 2011). 44
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour : the story of the Battle of Britain, 1940, (New York : Ballantine Books, 1968), p 6-7. 45
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, p 7.
16
knew that Britain would not give up easily and that Hitler “...privately doubt*ed+ the successful
outcome of his public peace overtures in June 1940.”46 Bishop then argues that Hitler “retained
his misgivings about the wisdom of attacking Britain but temporarily permitted the recent
performance record of Hermann Goering's Luftwaffe to overlay it.”47 And with that Bishop says
that Germany started preparation for the battle.
Looking at the British side and their decision to remain in the war after the fall of France,
Bishop recognizes Winston Churchill as playing a large role in this decision. He thought that for
Churchill, “surrender was never a word to be found in his vocabulary - although in his wisdom he
respected the pessimistic opinion of outside observers and the reasons for it.”48 He continued on
quoting other famous speeches of Churchill to support this point.
Next Bishop looked at development of the RAF before the start of the war. He points out
that “In 1936, when the Luftwaffe was preparing its new Do 17, He 111, Ju 87 and Me 109
modern monoplane aircraft, tested a year later in the Spanish Civil War, London was guarded by
biplanes.” He continues on arguing that if not
for the personal ingenuity, private philanthropy, public spiritedness and sheer merchant adventure of a number of individuals and aircraft companies, the Royal Air Force would not have been equipped with any machines as fairly competitive with their Luftwaffe counter-parts as the Spitfire and Hurricane fighters.49
Bishop describes the creation of the modern RAF and its fighters in the following terms, “the
evolution of the Spitfire and the Hurricane derived as much from a string of romantic incidents
and plucky gestures as from defence planning. It was an odd story.”50 He thinks the story of the
modern RAF starts with the “biennial international race for seaplanes” in 1931. Britain won the
46
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, p 12. 47
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, p 12. 48
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, p 22. 49
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, p 26. 50
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, p 26.
17
race for a third time due to the support of Lady Houston, a wealthy English philanthropist, and
then ordered “two separate prototype fighters to specifications relating to the Schneider
experience.51 It was a race against time. The plane that won the 1931 Schneider Trophy had
come from the drawing board of RJ Mitchell.”52 Mitchell, who was a dying man, then quickly
designed two planes; one that met the government’s requirement and another that met his and
the Supermarine Company's vision. Bishop thinks that with the creation of these two fighters,
Britain was now ready and able to match whatever plane the German Luftwaffe could throw at
Britain.
These new fighter planes alone were not enough to win the battle. Bishop also highlights
the crucial importance that radar played. Bishop points out that though radar was very
important for its ability to find approaching enemy planes, it was first developed as “a far-
fetched suggestion that raiding bombers might be disintegrated by a science fiction type of
death ray.”53 Radar never became the feared death ray some were hoping for, but fortunately it
was turned into a very important part of Britain’s defence. In this area he singles out Hugh
Dowding as playing a huge role in the development of the RAF’s defences. Though Dowding was
very important for the RAF’s defence, he had uneasy relations with the Air Ministry and could
have been retired at any time or “as British service people say, a bowler hat was permanently
suspended over his head.”54 Bishop observed that during the pre-war period Dowding had to
work hard to create every bit of the RAF’s defence. “There was scarcely a detail in his new
defence system over which Dowding was not obliged to struggle, including a request for
concrete runways to make grass airfields serviceable in all weathers.”55 The British government
51
Schneider Trophy, was a coveted prize for a biennial international race of seaplanes. 52
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, p 26. 53
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, p 34. 54
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, P 30. 55
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, p 30.
18
in the 1930’s simply did not want to spend much money on defence. Dowding’s most important
contribution to the RAF’s defence was in modernising it. Bishop praised him for being,
“technologically ahead of his time *able+, 'to apply science thoughtfully to operational
requirements.”56 Bishop also briefly recognizes Lord Beaverbrook’s contribution to increasing
aircraft production.
Aside from looking at what the British did right to win the Battle of Britain, Bishop also
looks at what the Germans did wrong to lose the Battle of Britain. He identified poor German
planning as being a key point. He brings up instances of disastrous miscommunication on the
German side. “Shortly after the launch, Eagle Day57 was hastily cancelled, but the change of
orders failed to reach all units briefed to attack.”58 Bishop mentions Goering’s insistence on
limiting the potential of fighters by adopting different tactics, “Alarmed by bomber losses, and
the falling morale among bomber crews, Goering insisted that Me 109 pilots must stick close to
their charges, a particularly awkward and restricting assignment...”59 Bishop also points out that
the Luftwaffe was overconfident, saying “At the end of the day when the RAF was wondering
how long it could hold out if the Luftwaffe were to concentrate its full resources against the
radar stations and fighter airfields, Luftwaffe staff and aircrew were congratulating themselves
on a battle already almost won. They simply erased the attacked targets from their maps and
claimed some sixty fighters destroyed.”60 In actuality the Luftwaffe destroyed far fewer aircraft
than reported by their crews, and Bishop points this out as being a recurring theme in the
Luftwaffe’s operational history. They also constantly underestimated the RAF’s numbers,
believing that the RAF was down to its last plane. Goering boasted “that he would drive the RAF
56
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, page 34. 57
Eagle Day was Germany’s plan to knock out Britain’s Air force in a few large air battles. 58
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, page 56. 59
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, page 92. 60
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, page 55.
19
out of the skies of south-east England within a matter of days.”61 He also points out the
Luftwaffe’s constant change of targets, from the radar stations, to the fighter airfields and then
to the cities as being particularly disastrous. “Abandoning each new tactic at the moment when
it was on the point of succeeding, the Luftwaffe had gained little, lost twenty-five per cent of its
operational strength and devalued its reputation.”62
Bishop wrote his book in 1968, 23 years after the war. Being a book short book (160
pages) and meant for general audience, it does not have an extensive bibliography being only
one page in length. For sources Bishop relies mainly on secondary sources, these secondary
sources being books that other earlier historians wrote. Though he is writing at the same time as
Telford Taylor, his account of the battle is still very much like the old patriotic recollection style.
Robert Wright published the book Dowding and the Battle of Britain in 1969. Wright was
Dowding’s personal assistant during the battle and an “old and trusted friend”63 of Dowding.
Dowding chose him as the author who would express his views. Later historians have been a bit
critical of his work; John Ray thought,
The book, however, was often less than accurate, and was critical only of those Wright considered to be Dowding's enemies. Its pages certainly reflected the C-in-C's subdued anger at the treatment he had received over his final four years in the RAF. Unfortunately others still believe the charges, and have used them in their own writings, so that they are widely held to be accurate.64
Wright wrote the book in collaboration with Dowding and it focuses on Dowding’s career in the
RAF.
61
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, page 75. 62
Edward Bishop, Their finest hour, page 137. 63
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, (London : Military Book Society, 1969), page 10. 64
John Philip Ray, The battle of Britain : new perspectives : behind the scenes of the great air war, (New York, NY : Distributed in the USA by Sterling Pub. Co., c1994), page 8-9.
20
Wright tries to present Dowding’s views, which Dowding kept quiet, and which he chose
to express after some many years. Not surprisingly Wright is very biased toward Dowdings views,
always trying to portray him as a great leader. The book, as Wright puts it,
is not a history of the Battle of Britain. That factual story has been dealt with already, in detail, by many historians. This is the story of what happened to one of the men who took part in that battle, and it is intended that it should be placed alongside the many other personal accounts that have been written by or about other participants in it.65
Wright starts by giving a biography of some of Dowdings early life, education and military career.
Wright then looks at Dowding’s work before the war. He points out that Dowding saw
the potential of radar and pushed its implementation. He shows the part Dowding played in
creating a system of air defence. Also, he points out Dowdings early struggles in trying to bring
about this system. Wright follows Dowding’s role during the war. It looks at the early part of the
war, when the RAF was fighting in France. He points outs Dowding’s dislike of politicians and the
troubles they bring. He recalls some of his early struggles, like how Dowding had to appear
before the Cabinet and tried pleading with them to stop sending more planes to France (some in
the British government wanted to sent more fighters to aid in the losing battle to defend France,
but Dowding argued this would weaken the fighter defence of Britain). Also, he comments on
the struggles and problems he had in keeping his forces up to strength during this time.
Wright comments on his style of command, commending Dowding on his foresight. He
comments on his style of giving his Group Commanders a free hand, quoting Dowding as saying,
“I suppose, it could be said that I gave them too much rope.”66 He comments on Dowding’s
character saying he liked to keep to himself on some matters and defends him against the claim
that he thought he was always right.
65
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 17. 66
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 147.
21
Wright defends Dowding against some of the criticisms which was raised against him,
such as Dowding allowing too much flexibility to Group Commanders67 and the Big Wing
Controversy.68 He explains the conflict between No 12 and No 11 Groups,69 and more precisely
between Leigh-Mallory and Park. Wright claims that “Dowding felt that he had to keep the
whole matter to himself until he could reach a firm decision about it.”70 He explains that
Dowding thought that the “whole business of intense discussion about whether we should use
three, four or five squadron wings was so simple and inconsequential that it really hardly
deserved a long statement being made.”71 However, he came to realise later that others did not
share this view. Wright highlights the meeting of 17 October 1940 as being the turning point for
the decision to get rid of Dowding and Park. Dowding suspected fiendish political interventions
played a large part in his dismissal. Wright explains that Dowding was not hurt by the fact that
he was dismissed, but hurt by the manner in which he was dismissed after having just won the
battle. The way he was dismissed was very hurtful to Dowding “because of the firm assurances
of only four months before that he would be given plenty of notice when it came time for him to
go.”72 Wright finally comments on how after the war Dowding was not given the honour he
deserved and how Dowding himself allowed for this to happen unopposed. Wright finished his
book by paying tribute to Dowdings achievements.
Wright published the book in 1969 only 24 years after the battle. Wright’s biggest and
most important sources in writing this book were Dowding and his writings. The book is almost
67
Dowding gave a lot of flexibility to his group Commanders to choose tactics. He was criticized for giving too much independent flexibility to group Commanders in this regard. 68
A disagreement in the RAF over whether to us large formation of fighter or small formations. 69
Air Vice-Marshal Keith Park who was the head of No 11 group was in conflict with Air Vice-Marshal Trafford Leigh-Mallory who was the head of No 12 group. The conflict was mainly over Park not asking No 12 group for help, but also included other elements such as a disagreement over the employment of Big Wing formations. 70
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 209. 71
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 210. 72
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 243.
22
biographical in style and the book itself is meant to clear up the controversy surrounding
Dowding. In addition to Dowding and his own work, Wright used some secondary sources. As
already mentioned, this book was meant to defend Dowding and give his perspective on the
battle. The book, being a biography of one the most senior leaders in the RAF in the Battle of
Britain, is an important source for those writing on the battle and has been used by many other
writers.
John Terraine published the book A Time for Courage: The Royal Air Force in the
European War, 1939-1945 in 1985. In his book Terraine examines the contribution of the RAF to
the war effort in Europe throughout World War II. Terraine tries to argue “that in the war in
Europe between 1939 and 1945 the RAF was, in effect, "the vanguard", holding for much of the
time the place of honour on the right of the line...”73 Terraine’s book is divided into 4 parts, each
part looking at what the RAF did in different periods of the war.
In part one Terraine looks at the RAF’s preparations for war in the prewar era. He notes
the important role that Trenchard played in shaping the RAF. He comments on how the RAF was
different from the other services in character, being much newer. Also, he follows the trend of
disarmament in prewar Britain. Terraine then traces Britain’s path to rearmament and notes the
number of people who were important in making the RAF what it was. He also notes the
importance that was placed on the bomber and keeping the RAF “independently of land or sea
requirements.”74
In part two of his book, Terraine looks at the role that the RAF played in the early phases
of the war. He starts by pointing out the preparations and early lessons that the RAF underwent
73
John Terraine, A time for courage : the Royal Air Force in the European War, 1939-1945, (New York, N.Y : Macmillan, c1985), p xi. 74
John Terraine, A time for courage : the Royal Air Force in the European War, p 92.
23
during the time of the “phoney war”. Terraine follows with and the role that the RAF played in
Norway. He then looked at how strong the Allies were compared to Germany, but shows that
this picture was misleading. Terraine described the disasters of the Battle of France and the role
that the RAF played during this time. He notes Dowding’s protest against planes being sent
across the Channel. He also talks about the role the RAF played in the evacuation of Dunkirk. He
finishes by describing the fall of France and compares the British and French Air Forces to that of
Germany.
In part three, Terraine looks at the role the RAF played after the fall of France. He
focuses largely on the Battle of Britain, explaining the events of the battle and giving information
on it. Also, he gives much attention to Dowding and the role that he played. He also notes other
important people like Air Vice-Marshal Keith Park and Lord Beaverbrook and the roles they
played. Terraine follows the start and development of the Big Wing controversy. He notes the
importance of the change in German strategy to attacking cities and Germany’s eventual
abandonment of the possibility of invasion. He follows the “downfall” of Dowding over night
defence and the meeting of October 17.75 He also notes the poor treatment of Dowding during
his dismissal. In this section Terrain also looks at the role of Coastal Command, following all the
demands placed on Coastal Command and its fight against the U-boats.
In part four of the book Terraine covers at the RAF on the offensive. He looks at the
many areas and campaigns in which the RAF was involved. He follows the RAF in the Middle East,
Italy, Africa, the Atlantic, France, Germany and other European countries. For each area Terraine
briefly gives an overview of the conflict and the role that the RAF played. He also follows major
changes and developments, such as the arrival of America and the USAAF. He concludes that the
75
A meeting that took place on October 17 where Dowding and Park were unsuspectingly ganged up on by their opponents and criticised for not adopting Big Wing tactics.
24
RAF played a much larger role in World War Two than they are given credit for. Terraine finishes
by commending the RAF for having played such an important role throughout the war and
arguing that “none deserving more honour, than the right of the line.”76
John Terraine published his book in 1985, 40 years after the war. He uses a large number
of both secondary and primary sources. Most of his sources are secondary, but he still uses some
primary sources. It is not surprising that he uses so many secondary sources as he is trying to
give a broad overview of the role the RAF played throughout the war and secondary sources are
more suited for such a goal. Almost all his sources are English, which again is not surprising as
Terraine’s focus is mainly the RAF. Being a later historian his book is much more professional
then the earlier patriotic writers who mainly wrote before the 1970’s.
Harvey D. Tress published the book, British Strategic Bombing Policy Through 1940, in
1989. The goal of the book was to trace “British governmental thought, policy, and action
regarding strategic bombing from World War I to the end of 1940...”77 In doing so he looks at the
development of “strategic bombing” between 1918 and 1940. His book gives valuable insight
into pre-war polices that helped shaped the RAF.
Tress starts his study, by first establishing that “strategic bombing” during World War
Two was not very effective. After establishing the ineffectiveness of “strategic bombing,” he
explores why it was that the policy makers chose to pursue such an ineffective policy in the first
place? Tress points out that the air-force commonly argued that strategic bombing would break
German morale. He then goes on to argue that policy makers during the bombing campaigns
76
John Terraine, A time for courage : the Royal Air Force in the European War, p 686. 77
Harvey B. Tress, British strategic bombing policy through 1940 : politics, attitudes, and the formation of a lasting pattern, (Ont. : E. Mellen Press, c1989), p i.
25
“knew that the appearances existed there without the realities.” 78 He concluded that “morale
theories did not motivate the swing toward area bombing, [and that] hidden factors must have
contributed.”79 Tress singles out Trenchard as having played a large role in the early influence
and establishment of the morale theory. Early on he collected people around him in the air-force
who agreed with his views, and these people would later, in the 1930’s, be in places of influence
in the RAF. The morale bombing theory was largely adopted as a way of preserving the
independence of the RAF. In the 1920’s, there was a fear and resentment that the only
independent air force in the world would be “eaten alive”80 by the older services. Tress
concluded that, “The top air marshals of 1940, most of whom Trenchard had selected and
indoctrinated in the 1920s, naturally had an ego stake in the value of their life's work, feelings of
institutional loyalty, and a career stake in their service’s independence.”81 Tress continues and
points out during the war how Air Marshals resisted “all uses of air power other than strategic
bombing—without visible military justification or explanatory near-term hopes.”82 He also points
out how strategic bombing was used politically to show other countries, like the US, the
Dominions, Spain, USSR and Japan, that Britain was not lost and still resisting Germany. In this
way strategic bombing became an important propaganda tool. Tress study shows that strategic
bombing was fairly ineffective and that many policy makers were aware of this, but continued to
pursue it nevertheless for other reasons.
Tress wrote his book in 1989, 44 years after the war. For sources, Tress used a mix of
primary and secondary sources. For primary sources he uses public records, government
publications, newspapers, periodicals and others. Writing 44 years after the war, Tress had
78
Harvey B. Tress, British strategic bombing policy through 1940, p 24. 79
Harvey B. Tress, British strategic bombing policy through 1940, p 27. 80
Harvey B. Tress, British strategic bombing policy through 1940, p 56. 81
Harvey B. Tress, British strategic bombing policy through 1940, p 74. 82
Harvey B. Tress, British strategic bombing policy through 1940, p 100.
26
access to declassified Allied war documents that many of the early post-war historians like
Wilmot, did not. Also, being a later writer he had access to a large amount of secondary sources
such as books, biographies, articles and essays. Having access to these materials gave Tress a
greater perspective on the larger historical debates. Tress is part of the newer “school” of
historians that have a more professional approach and methodology.
John Ray published the book The Battle of Britain: New Perspectives in 1994. Ray wrote
the book as an extension of his doctoral thesis which he started at the University of Kent. As the
subtitle, New Perspectives, suggests Ray tries to give a new perspective on the Battle of Britain.
He does not try to give a new perspective of the entire battle, but focuses on giving a new
perspective on Dowding’s treatment and position in the RAF.
In the introduction, Ray explains that Dowding did not get the honour and recognition
that he deserved for playing such a large role in the Battle of Britain until much later. He
introduces other authors views on the subject and questions whether Dowding’s removal from
the position of Air Chief Marshal and lack of recognition was because of the scheming by Sholto
Douglas (Air Vice-Marshal), Trafford Leigh-Mallory (commander of No 12 group) and politicians.
Ray starts his first chapter by looking at Dowding’s position in the RAF before the war in the
1930’s. He looks at why Dowding was chosen as Commander-in-Chief and concludes that
Dowding was chosen for three reasons. First he was the only person with an adequate
knowledge of fighter defence before 1930. The second reason was “a series of emergencies and
accidents had occurred which made change either undesirable or impracticable.” Finally, he had
political backing from Lord Beaverbrook and Churchill.
Ray continues on and looks at the Luftwaffe. He highlights, like many other historians
before him, the weakness of the Luftwaffe. He points out the unpreparedness of the Luftwaffe
27
to attack Britain, flaws in its command and other problems the Luftwaffe suffered. Ray thought
that, “In many respects they had lost the Battle of Britain even before it began, and any
assessment of the strategy, tactics and leadership of Fighter Command is incomplete unless this
point is taken into account.”83 He also looked at the events of the battle from the RAF’s
perspective, pointing out strengths and weakness of the RAF and Luftwaffe. He also looked at
the political workings of the RAF and who backed Dowding.
Ray then looked at the start and progression of the Big Wing Controversy from August
19th to September 7th and from September 7th to October 16th. He shows how the differing
opinions of the best defensive tactics between Park and Leigh-Mallory started and grew. He
points out how the ambiguity of authority between different group areas, especially No. 12
Group and No. 11 Group’s area was a problem that grew and could have been fixed by Dowding
early on. Ray continues on and traces the discussion between those who supported the Big Wing
Formation and those who did not. He looks at the reasoning and motivations of both sides. He
also looked at the personal character of Park and Leigh-Mallory, pointing out that Leigh-Mallory
was not as pompous and as bad a commander as other authors have portrayed him. Finally he
shows how the Big Wing Controversy (disagreement over whether to us large formation of
fighter or small formations) started to reflect badly on Dowding, showing his lack of leadership.
However, Ray is careful to point out that it was not just the Big Wing Controversy which led to
Dowding’s dismissal. He points out that Dowdings poor handling of night air defence also played
a large role in discrediting his leadership abilities. His unwillingness to be cooperative was
another reason.
Ray showed how all these criticisms of Dowding came together and led to his removal,
which was poorly handled. He showed that the meeting of 17 October 1940, where Dowding and 83
John Philip Ray, The battle of Britain, p 47.
28
Park were ganged up on by their opponents was important. However, he argues that it was not
an evil plot. “Douglas and Leigh-Mallory succeeded Dowding and Park was not the end result of
their scheming, and events of the time lack the elements of evil imputed by some writers.”84 He
also argues that one of the main reasons Dowding was replaced was because politicians wanted
the RAF to become more offensive, a stance to which Dowding was not suited. Ray concludes
that “Dowding's treatment, therefore, was not the 'base intrigue' of a vendetta, or a plot
engineered by conspirators. It was rather the result of a plan designed by politicians and Service
leaders for the RAF, and inevitable as a different role was sought for Fighter Command in the
war.”85 Ray ends his book by putting the Battle of Britain and the role Dowding and others
played into perspective.
Ray published his book in 1994, 49 years after the war. In his book he focuses mainly on
the controversy of Dowding’s dismissal and treatment. Being fairly modern, Ray had the
advantage of having access to many sources and the views of other authors. Having a large base
of secondary sources that take sides in this controversy gave Ray the ability to clearly criticise
both sides of the controversy. He uses a large number of both primary and secondary sources.
Though the book is fairly modern, John Ray had the chance to interview many former RAF
members with firsthand experience, which he thanked in his acknowledgements. His work is also
therefore, part of the more “modern school” of professional historians.
Richard Overy published the book The Battle of Britain in 2001. In his book Overy wanted
to show “where 'The Battle' now stands in history.”86 In doing so he tries to uncover some of the
common myths held about the Battle of Britain.
84
John Philip Ray, The battle of Britain, page 169. 85
John Philip Ray, The battle of Britain, page 169. 86
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain : the myth and the reality, (New York : W.W. Norton, 2001), Page xiii.
29
In chapter one of his book, Overy examines some of the myths of the battle. The first
myth that he looks at is that Britain stood firmly united and determined against Germany. Overy
points out various groups and people in Britain that were not fully committed to united
resistance. “They included Basil Liddell Hart, the military strategist; 'RAB' Butler at the Foreign
Office; the pacifist socialist Charles Roden Buxton; and an unlikely coupling of British fascists and
communists, temporarily bound together by the German-Soviet Pact of August 1939.”87 He
argues that there were a number of groups not committed to resistance. For example, “'Many
workers say about Hitler,' ran a report in mid-June, ' "He won't hurt us: it's the bosses he's after:
we'll probably be better off when he comes.””88 He concludes that Britain was more divided than
is popularly portrayed. Another myth that he looks at is that the battle prevented the invasion of
Britain. He argues that Hitler was not keen on invading Britain. Instead he argues that “Hitler
hoped for a political settlement first and foremost.”89 Overy argues that one reason that Hitler
did not want to invade Britain was because he had a kind of admiration for the British people. He
also argues that Hitler also did not want to invade Britain because of the lack of feasibility of a
German invasion.
Next in his book, Overy compares the organisation of the RAF and the Luftwaffe. For the
RAF, Overy identifies “key to *their+ success was aircraft production.”90 He addresses the
common myth that Spitfires were the main planes that won the battle. He explains that “The
great bulk of Fighter Command was composed of Hurricanes.”91 Another myth he looks at is that
there was a great deficiency of trained pilots available saying, “Yet this deficiency can be wildly
87
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, P 11. 88
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, P 13. 89
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, P 18. 90
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, p 33. 91
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, p 35.
30
exaggerated.”92 He reviews some of the numbers of available pilots and points out that “If
Fighter Command were the 'few', German fighter pilots were fewer.”93 For the German Air
Force, Overy points out that one of their weaknesses was the short range of the Messerschmitt
Me 109. He also pointed out that “they had no way of tracking where the enemy was, and there
was no way of controlling the whole fighter force from the ground once it was airborne.”94 He
also addresses some of the other deficiencies of the Luftwaffe.
Overy points out the problem of setting a date for when the battle of Britain started as
there is no clear day that signalled the start. He also identifies what factors tipped the close
battle in Britain’s favour. Most of these factors agree with accounts given by earlier authors. One
of those factors was Germany over-estimating their success, and thinking that they had almost
destroyed the RAF. Another thing that tipped the battle which Overy identifies was Hitler’s
decision to change tactics. Overy points out that normally this change in tactics is explained as
follows. “Hitler was said to be so incensed by violation of the German capital that he suspended
the attack on the RAF in order to unleash annihilating retaliatory blows against London.”95 Overy
however, argues that this portrayal is inaccurate, and says that the change in tactics was because
“German Air Force commanders assumed from the intelligence they were fed that Fighter
Command was a spent force. Their instructions were now to bring the rest of the country
progressively under attack, starting with industrial, military and transport targets in and around
major urban centres in preparation for the invasion.”96 He also points out that bombing at this
time could be very inaccurate, which explains the perception of a terror campaign. He argues
92
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, p 37. 93
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, p 39. 94
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, p 49. 95
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, p 78. 96
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, p 79.
31
that Germany did not formally adopt a terror campaign, but did undertake “gradual
abandonment of any pretence that civilians and civilian morale would not become targets.”97
In the last chapter of his book Overy argues that the Battle of Britain was fought with
two different mind sets. The Germans constantly underestimated the British, and the British
constantly overestimated the Germans. This underestimation and “German misperception
encouraged first complacency, then strategic misjudgement. The shift of targets from air bases
to industry and communications was taken because it was assumed that Fighter Command was
virtually eliminated.”98 He argues that
The British fought the air battle as if it were a last-ditch struggle against an overwhelming enemy; the German side fought against a force persistently misrepresented as technically and tactically inept, short of aircraft, pilots and bases. This psychological contrast put the German Air Force at a perpetual disadvantage.99
Overy thinks that these 2 differing mind sets played a critical role in influencing how both side
conducted the battle. Overy concludes by saying that the Battle of Britain was an important
battle, arguing that it saved Britain from conquest and kept Britain in the war.
Overy wrote his book in 2001, 56 years after the war. Like Tress, Overy had access to
declassified Allied war documents and is aware of the historical debates surrounding the battle.
Unlike Tress however, for sources Overy uses mostly primary sources and a few articles. Also,
unlike Tress he uses some German sources. Overy is being a more modern writer is part of the
more “modern school” that examined the battle in a more professional way.
97
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, p 98. 98
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, page 114. 99
Richard Overy, The Battle of Britain, page 116.
32
Conclusion
This historiography has looked at a number of historians who published histories of the
Battle of Britain. These authors have provided some of the many varying accounts of the battle.
In these accounts one notices that there is much overlap of material covered. However, these
authors do end up giving new views and perspectives on the battle.
The authors looked at in this historiography can be divided into two groups, earlier
authors, before the 1970s, and later authors, who came after the 1970s. Looking at the
presentation style of the earlier and later authors one can see some differences. The earlier
authors present their accounts in a more narrative fashion, giving in some cases a day by day
account of the battle. The later authors focus more on what happened during a phase of the
battle and the motivations behind some of the important events.
Looking at the different kind of sources used by the authors one can see there is a
difference between earlier and later authors. For sources, most of the earlier authors who came
before the 70s used firsthand accounts of the battle, unofficial records and some official records.
Later authors who came after the 70s mainly used lots of secondary sources, lots of official
government documents that were released later and some firsthand accounts of those still alive.
They used more reliable primary sources and focus on dispelling myths of the battle.
The sources available to the authors and the times they wrote also shaped how they
presented their accounts. The earlier authors, having few secondary sources and being some of
the first to write on the battle, try to establish what happened during the battle. While later
authors having access to secondary accounts of the earlier authors and official records, try to re-
examine the battle and resolve some of the controversies and myths brought up by the earlier
authors.
33
In the interest of self-reflection, it is important to note that this historiography itself is
not perfect. Reflecting on it, one can see some biases and limitations of it. Looking at the authors
chosen, it is clear to see that most of the authors are from a British background. It is also not a
complete account of everyone who has ever written on the battle. Though not perfect, this
historiography does give a general overview of the authors and the main kinds of authors who
have written on the Battle of Britain.
To locate this thesis in the above historiography, I would place it with the later group of
historians. I wrote this thesis in 2011, 66 years after the war. Like many of the later historians I
had access to declassified Allied war documents and to a large number of secondary sources.
Also, like the more “modern school” I tried to write this thesis in a more professional way and try
to give a new perspective on the battle.
34
Chapter 2: The Wrong Battle
Planning for the future can be a very tricky thing, especially in a military conflict. It is all
too often that one finds the future they had planned for is not the future that must be faced. An
old military proverb, attributed to Publilius Syrus, states that “It is a bad plan that cannot be
changed.” Fortunately, for the British, their plans could be changed, for the air battle they fought
in 1940 bore little resemblance to the battle they had planned for in 1938 and earlier. The
standard story of the Battle of Britain focuses on Britain’s heroic defiance and how well Air Chief
Marshal Hugh Dowding had been prepared. Though Britain was prepared, it was prepared for
the wrong offensive war. RAF planners in 1938 and earlier planned for the wrong type of air war
that was going to be fought in 1940 over France. However, this would turn out to their
advantage later in 1940 when they finally fought the defensive battle for which they had been
preparing. Though Britain did not face the offensive battle they were planning for in 1939 and
early 1940, the fear and preparations that came with the defensive battle they expected gave
them a distinct advantage over the Luftwaffe in the summer and fall of 1940.
Looking at plans made before the war reveals very quickly beliefs that were held by
those making the plans. For, it is a belief which creates the framework for making a plan. From a
plan, particular courses of actions are adopted and advanced. However, beliefs being what they
are, can turn out to be true or false. When the beliefs are true, which they rarely are, the plan is
successful. However, when the beliefs are false, success is no longer guaranteed and a new plan
may be needed. Also, when the beliefs upon which a plan is based turn out to be false, the
courses of actions that were adopted in the original plan need to be modified as well to fit a new
plan. This is why it is important to make sure plans are grounded on firm assumptions and that
they can be changed if needed.
35
British plans, and the beliefs within which they were framed, can clearly be seen in AIR
14/381 written April 1938, and which remained secret under the Fifty-Year Rule until 1989. It
clearly shows the perceived fears, abilities and limitations which British planners held and upon
which their plans were based. One belief which sticks out plainly in the document is the
confidence that bombers had the ability to deliver a swift “knockout blow.” The very first line of
the summary for the document starts by stating this as follows:
In the event of war between Great Britain and Germany it is highly probable that the enemy will attempt: to achieve a quick decision by a ‘knock-out’ blow against this country. We have reason to believe that Germany will be ruthless and indiscriminate in her endeavour to paralyse and destroy our national effort and morale, and unless immediate steps are taken to reduce the intensity of attacks it is conceivable that the enemy may achieve her object.100
This argument aligned nicely with the offensive bomber philosophy that Hugh Trenchard
preached. Trenchard was the first Marshal of the Royal Air Force and he is often called the
Father of the Royal Air Force.101 Trenchard believed strongly in the ability of an independent
bomber force to achieve decisive military results. It was this very belief, in the interwar period,
which helped keep the young RAF from being “eaten alive”102 by the established services.
Trenchard saw that a powerful air force could be moulded into a deterrent against future wars. It was he who provided the entire basis on which the Air Force was to develop and on which it was eventually to be tested in the Battle of Britain. His plan covered every aspect of development—the provision of aircraft, air and ground crew training, staff training and the organization for control.103
100
AIR 14/381, “Appreciation of the Employment of the British Air Striking Force against the German Air Striking Force and it’s Ancillary Industries and Reserves in the Event of a Major War Between Great Britain and Germany in 1939,” April 1938, p A1. 101
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The Narrow Margin, p 65. 102
Harvey B. Tress, British Strategic Bombing Policy Through 1940, p 56. 103
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The Narrow Margin, p 66.
36
Trenchard handpicked and indoctrinated many of the top air marshals with this doctrine of an
offensive independent bomber force, as other authors such as Harvey B. Tress have
suggested.104
This belief in a “knock-out” blow was prevalent outside military circles, as well. In 1932,
British politician Stanley Baldwin, senior member of the National Government and leader of the
Conservative Party, warned about a dreaded future war in which unstoppable bombers would
bring about the end of civilization. In a famous speech to the British House of Commons entitled
“A Fear For the Future”, Baldwin articulated the belief that modern bombers had devastating
power:
... I think it is well also for the man in the street to realize that there is no power on earth that can protect him from being bombed, whatever people may tell him. The bomber will always get through, and it is very easy to understand that if you realize the area of space... The only defence is in offence, which means that you have got to kill more women and children more quickly than the enemy if you want to save yourselves.105
Though Baldwin gave this speech as a protest against war and rearmament, British planners in
1938 found themselves already past the point of no return, where avoiding war was no longer an
option. How to fight this future war, which Baldwin had dreaded, was now their main concern.
The planners who wrote AIR 14/381 feared a “knock-out” blow probably much like the
kind of “knock-out” blow that Trenchard and Baldwin had imagined in the early 1930s. They had
imagined large formations of bombers dropping bombs on major cities, destroying a nation’s
ability to make war and lowering the morale of a nation’s population the point where they
surrendered. Other authors, such as Harvey Tress have suggested that this theory of morale
104
Harvey B. Tress, British Strategic Bombing Policy Through 1940, p 48. 105 “The bomber will always get through,” Airminded: Airpower and British society, 1908-1941(mostly), 10
November 2007, http://airminded.org/2007/11/10/the-bomber-will-always-get-through/
37
bombing had become less prominent by the late 1930s. In British strategic bombing policy
through 1940, Tress argues that by the late 1930s “the air marshals had cooled on the morale
dimension of the Trenchard doctrine.”106 However, the writers of AIR 14/381 still clearly had this
in mind and clearly state it. “Germany will be ruthless and indiscriminate in her endeavour to
paralyse and destroy our national effort and morale, and unless immediate steps are taken to
reduce the intensity of attacks it is conceivable that the enemy may achieve her object.”107
It now fell upon the writers of AIR 14/381 to develop a strategy to counter this
devastating threat. As noted above, it was thought that the best defence was in offence. In AIR
14/381 it was pointed out that “The Chiefs of Staff in their report on planning for war with
Germany (C.O.S. 549) have come to the conclusion that attacks on the enemy's air striking force
and its maintenance organisation may turn out to be the most effective air counter-offensive at
the outset of such a war...” With this in mind it was up to British planners to devise an effective
plan for a counter-offensive. It was the goal of those who wrote AIR 14/381 to outline the
objectives of such a plan. It was their task to decide objectives for a counter-offensive which
would, “reduce the intensity of German air attacks against this country in the shortest possible
time and to the greatest possible extent by air action against the enemy's air striking force and
its maintenance organisation.”108
The planners who wrote AIR 14/381 believed counter-attack to be the best course of
action and therefore considered three possible targets. In deciding what targets were available,
they knew that “The Intelligence Branch at the Air Ministry have already made a very full and
comprehensive survey (appendix 5 to W. 1.) of the various courses of action open to us...”109
106
Harvey B. Tress, British strategic bombing policy through 1940, p 74. 107
AIR 14/381, p A1. 108
AIR 14/381, p A1. 109
AIR 14/381, p A1-2.
38
From this they drew three possible targets to consider namely: operational units (including
personnel), air frame and aero engine factories, and aircraft reserves. It was believed that
crippling one of these three targets would have the effect of reducing the intensity of German air
attacks. In deciding which of the three targets was best, several factors were taken into account.
The factors which the study’s authors chose to take into account all reinforced their belief that a
quick counter offensive to negate a German “knock-out” blow was the best plan.
One primary factor that was taken into consideration was time. Great importance was
placed on this factor by those who wrote AIR 14/381.
Our aim is ‘to reduce the intensity of air attacks against this country in the shortest possible time ........’ Time, therefore, is of the utmost importance, so that in selecting our course of action we must at all times be guided by this over-riding consideration; the course finally adopted must be the one which is most likely to be productive of immediate results.110
This high emphasis that was placed on time by the writers owes much to the fear of a “knock-
out” blow. In order to negate a “knock-out” blow, which the name suggest is a quick debilitating
attack, it would have been necessary to take counter measures which also would have a quick
effect.
Another factor which was taken into consideration was the neutrality of Belgium and the
Netherlands. Both Belgium and the Netherlands had declared neutrality unless attacked in any
future great European conflict. Because it was tactically advantageous from an aerial perspective
for Germany to maintain this neutrality, the assumption by British planners was that both
Belgium and the Netherlands would remain neutral in the war. The effect of a neutral Holland
and Belgium was that of creating an, “’air barrier’ between England and Germany.” This “air
barrier” had mainly negative repercussions for Britain. It had the effect of limiting British attacks
110
AIR 14/381, p 2.
39
to two narrow “bottle-necks.” The first lay between Luxemburg and Switzerland on Germany’s
Eastern front, and another longer route north above the Netherlands, both of which would be
heavily defended by the Germans. The effect this had on Germany was that it too would also
have to use the same routes. Attacking via the northern route was not much of a problem for
Germany because attacking from the direction of the North Sea allowed the Luftwaffe to strike
all over Eastern England, and gave Germany greater opportunities to have the element of
surprise.
Taking this into account, the planners thought that German air attacks were more likely
to have the element of surprise, while British attacks would not. Also, it was thought that a large
majority of the air attacks would come from the North Sea route because attacking from the
route between Luxemburg and Switzerland almost certainly sacrificed the element of surprise,
and would meet with heavy opposition from advance British bases and from Britain’s allies. This
point indirectly suggests that strategically a long war was in Germany’s favour, according to the
document. This in turn would lead one to the conclusion that a quick counter offensive was the
best plan.
The writers of AIR 14/381 also point out that British bombers attacking from bases in
South England, in order to attack Germany, would have to fly a distance of at least 1,000 miles.
This was a great distance for most British bombers to fly and meant that, “...the whole of our
light mediums – or approximately 51 % by bomb load of our potential force -will be practically
useless in any plan unless they can operate from advanced bases on the continent.”111 In
contrast it was believed that Germany, attacking from bases in northern Germany, would not be
affected much by “the detour round the North of Holland [which] will make very little difference
in range” and it was believed that the majority of German bombers had this range. It was 111
AIR 14/381, p 4.
40
assumed for these reasons that Belgium and Holland would remain neutral because from an
aerial perspective it was tactically advantageous for Germany to respect and keep them neutral.
Another factor which the writers of AIR 14/381 took into account was the ability of
Britain’s air striking force. They estimated that by January 1, 1939 that Britain would be able to,
carry out an average of 84 sorties per week or one Squadron sortie per day. During the next seven days this will be reduced to approximately 63 individual or 5 Squadron Sorties during this period. Thereafter we can only expect our bombers of being capable of carrying out an average of four Squadron sorties per week.112
These estimates show plainly that the RAF would be able to launch large attacks very early, but
the longer they attacked the less effective their strikes would become. Again, these findings
reinforce a plan where the first quick bomber offensive is critical and favours working to prevent
a “knock-out” blow, where time was of great importance.
Another factor considered was German defences. Britain, like Germany, had poor
intelligence on the abilities of their enemy. Derek Wood and Derek Dempster noted in their The
Narrow Margin that,
Before 1940 there was little to choose between British and German air intelligence. Extraordinary blunders were made on both sides. Britain relied on agents of the various military intelligence sections, on the Foreign Office, the service intelligence departments and attaches and on ordinary British people from many walks of life who kept their eyes and ears open.113
The writers of AIR 14/381 even admit that most of what is known about German air defences
was based on conjecture. But from what they could gather, they were led to believe that when it
came to aircraft defence Germany was, “very much advanced in this art.”114 It was also thought
that Germany would be able to concentrate 500 fighters in western Germany which would
match the number of attacking British bombers. From this it was concluded that,
112
AIR 14/381, p 8. 113
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The Narrow Margin, p 117. 114
AIR 14/381, p 8.
41
Our raiders, therefore, must be prepared to meet with the heaviest opposition, both from enemy fighters and anti-aircraft fire from the ground; and this combined with the long distances over enemy territory which they will be compelled to fly, is certain to result in heavy casualties and in a proportionate reduction in our intensity of effort.115
Taking this into account also supported the plan for a quick counter offensive. For their
conclusions would suggest that a sustained air offensive was doomed to failure. It would also
favour picking a target that was not far behind enemy lines.
The writer of AIR 14/381 estimated that Germany had 1332 bombers and dive bombers
available in 1938.116 They thought that this number would increase to 1750 bombers by January,
1939, which would give Germany “numerical superiority of nearly, 1000 bomber aircraft, with a
corresponding superiority in bomb load.”117 Also, by January of 1939 they estimated that
Germany would have around 700 fighters most of them being, “either Messerschmidt 109 or 110
aircraft - aircraft of exceptionally high performance and high rate of climb.”118 As already
mentioned this would give Germany around 500 fighters to defend Germany’s Western front,
assuming that the other 200 fighters would be placed at other fronts. To overcome this, the
authors of AIR 14/381 suggested that large formations should be used to minimize casualties,
which again supported the quick bomber offensive plan. “...the more numerous the number of
raids at any one particular time the greater will be dispersal of the enemy fighters, and the
smaller the number of casualties inflicted by them on our bomber force.”119
After looking at the factors that needed to be taken into account, the writers of AIR
14/381 considered what would be the likely result of attacking each of the three selected targets
and then gave final conclusion. In considering the likely outcome of an attack on one of the three
115
AIR 14/381, p 8. 116
AIR 14/381, p 9. 117
AIR 14/381, p 10. 118
AIR 14/381, p 10. 119
AIR 14/381, p 11.
42
targets, the writers again show their institutional bias. They favoured the target that would
support a large, quick counter offensive.
The first target that came under consideration was operational units (including
personnel). The writers of AIR 14/381 believed that German bombers, at the outbreak of war,
would be moved from the peace-time bases to advanced landing grounds. But they note that
they had been unable find or determine where these advanced landing grounds would be
located. They conclude that German bombers could still attack from their peace-time bases and
given this information, “attacks against operational units can only be directed against them at
their permanent bases.” But they also stress that continuous reconnaissance would be needed
to find out where the German bomber force was located.
With regards to personnel, they thought that by January 1939, Germany’s, “first line
strength will be fully up to establishment and that this personnel will be highly trained.”120 They
also thought that Germany had a large number of potential reserves. However, they thought
that these reserves had little training. They also thought that this consideration would apply to
the skilled support personnel that were needed on the ground. They concluded from this that,
the infliction of heavy casualties on personnel of, regular first line units is likely to have a serious effect on the potential effort of the German Air Striking Force, and will probably result in a reduction in the scale of their attacks on this country until their reservists are adequately trained.121
However, it is noted that this would be difficult as personnel would be fleeing and would have
bomb proof shelters. “successful results will be in a large measure be due to the element of luck
rather than to good judgement” It is also significant to note that the writers of AIR 14/381 took
the time to mention that attacks on personnel were not likely to break the morale of German
120
AIR 14/381, p 12. 121
AIR 14/381, p 12.
43
personnel. This again shows that British planners had the effects of morale bombing and
Trenchard’s doctrine still in mind. However, they rejected the idea that morale of service
personnel could be broken.
The next target they consider in the document is air frame reserves and aero-engine
reserves. They note that “The whole situation with regard to these reserves is obscure, as very
little information is available as to either their strength or location.”122 They make known that
officially Germany has stated that it will have airframe reserves of 100% with 1/3 being held by
operational units. They conclude with such little information about airframe reserves it will be
hard to make them a successful target.
The final target they consider is air frame and aero-engine factories. They argue that
aero-engine factories are fewer in number and more centralised than airframe factories. From
this it was concluded that, “results are therefore likely to prove more successful and more
immediate than those directed against airframe factories.”123
After considering the likely outcomes of attacking one of the three targets (operational
units including personnel, reserves and factories), the writers of AIR 14/381 gave their final
conclusions on what targets were best. They concluded that attacking airframes and aero-engine
reserves would be poor targets because “We are uncertain as to both the quantities which are
held and also as to where they are stored...”124 Also, they thought that any losses to reserves
would be quickly replaced by factory output. In attacking factories they thought that, “successful
attempts against either the airframe or aero-engine factories as a whole would interfere with
the production of aircraft, but the results would not become effective for at least two or three
122
AIR 14/381, p 14. 123
AIR 14/381, p 18. 124
AIR 14/381, p 19.
44
weeks.”125 So, though they thought they would be successful in the long run, in the short run
Germany would still be able to launch attacks against Britain. With attacking reserves and
factories unlikely to negate a swift German “knock-out” blow, the writers were left with the
option of operational units (including personnel). They concluded that attacks against
operational units “if successful, will result in an immediate reduction in their operational
efficiency.”126 The drawback of this plan being that reserves in the long run would be able to
replace units, but there would be a loss in efficiency as they adjust. Fearing the quick “knock-
out” blow, it was concluded that, “Therefore, if we are to achieve an immediate reduction in the
intensity of enemy air attack our best course is to attack, at the outset, the operational units
themselves.”127
It is very interesting to note the layout of the document. It is only after the writers of AIR
14/381 have presented their conclusion, and before they give their final recommendation, that
they chose to reveal what they think Germany’s war aims will be in the coming war. In this
section they state that the German Luftwaffe has two options for attack. The German air force
could make, “indiscriminate attacks' against this country with even greater intensity with a view
to achieving the desired "knock out" blow before our resources are fully developed”128 or the
Germans could attack the RAF directly, neutralizing it, which they suggest in the short run would
help in the “achievement of our immediate aim, as it would involve an immediate reduction in
the weight of (their) air attack against our vital "national" targets.”129 This odd placement of
Germany’s war aims at the end of the document, which most would assume would have been
one of their first points they covered, is not likely formatting error or a personal quirk. The entire
125
AIR 14/381, p 20. 126
AIR 14/381, p 19. 127
AIR 14/381, p 20. 128
AIR 14/381, p 21. 129
AIR 14/381, p 21.
45
presentation is based on the belief that Germany was able to deliver a “knock-out” blow.
Choosing to present Germany’s plans at the end of the document has the effect of justifying
belief by the presentation. This is a problem because it was this belief which the plans were
based on. So, by placing it at the end like this, it reinforced their entire argument without them
having to show that the belief which their argument was based on was true or even likely.
In their summary the writers of AIR 14/381 gave their final recommendation. There they
listed a number of important points. Time is of the “utmost importance”130 and a plan that takes
this into account should be the one that is adopted. It is strategically advantageous for Germany
to respect the neutrality of Belgium and Holland. Germany’s air striking force will greatly
outnumber that of Britain’s. In morale and equipment Germany is equal to Britain. If the
proposed plan is put into action in the first week of war, “we shall probably not have more than
37 bomber squadrons at our disposal owing to the limited range of our light medium bomber
aircraft.”131 Little is known about German aircraft reserves and they would not make a good
target. Attacking factories would have a disastrous effect on the enemy, but would take time
before the effects could be felt. The final conclusion of the summary was that the best plan was
to target operational units, but plans should be flexible, able as necessary to be switched to
another target, preferably factories.
The writers of AIR 14/381 clearly favoured Trenchard’s offensive bomber doctrine. In
creating a plan, the belief that a large quick counter offensive to stop Germany’s large quick
“knock-out” blow was central. This fear dominated the minds of the writers of AIR 14/381. The
planners took into consideration factors which supported this belief and concluded a plan which
also supported this belief. It is hard to tell to what extent the plans were a product of inductively
130
AIR 14/381, p 21. 131
AIR 14/381, p 22.
46
producing a plan which would fit their belief in the offensive bomber, and how much of their
plan was deductively producing a plan with the conclusion that a large, quick offensive bomber
attack was needed to stop a German “knock-out” blow. It is clear that the idea of the larger
quick bomber offensive was not a new idea and it had been around since the early 1930’s. It is
also clear to see that this idea was uppermost in the minds of the planners.
Creating plans for a future war is an extremely difficult task. As Bernard Brodie, a
military strategist and one of the authors of the strategy of nuclear deterrence during the Cold
War wrote, it is difficult to plan for a war. “First, since great changes occur from one war to the
next, military planners are obliged to make far-reaching decisions on issues concerning which
there is little or no directly applicable experience.”132 It is not surprising that the writers of AIR
14/381 given the nature of their task would get some things wrong. The institutional bias that
the writers of AIR 14/381 had, for the offensive bomber, led them to jump to conclusions that
supported this bias. In their defence, they lacked reliable intelligence on the capabilities of the
enemy they were evaluating. It is understandable, with such little to work with, that they would
rely on pre-established belief to give them guidance in creating a plan. Many of the predictions
and assumptions which they made in their plans turned out to be false.
The first and biggest mistaken assumption the writers of AIR 14/381 made was that
Germany was going to try to take Britain out of the war with a “knock-out” blow. This idea, as
already mentioned, had its origins with Trenchard. During the inter-war period the independent
existence of the RAF was defended on the grounds that an air force could independently win a
war or at least turn the tides of a war through offensive bombing. In 1938, the planners of AIR
132 Bernard Brodie, Strategy as a science, in Thomas G. Mahnken and Joseph A. Maiolo, Strategic Studies: A
Reader, (New York: Routledge, 2008), p 11.
47
14/381 were now fearing that Germany’s air force had this ability to deliver a “knock-out” blow.
This belief in the ability of an air force being able to affect a war independent of the other
services led the writers of AIR 14/381 to regard the prevention of the German air force from
achieving this to be their primary concern. Their fear led them to overlook and neglect other
possible uses of an air force. This fear of a “knock-out” blow turned out to be mistaken for two
reasons: one, Germany never had the intention of knocking Britain out of the war in this way,
and two, Germany was not able to deliver a “knock-out” blow even if it had wanted to do so.
Germany never intended to knock Britain out of the war with an offensive bomber
attack early in the war. Even if Germany did not have the ability to deliver a “knock-out” blow,
the German air force was not built with this in mind. Even with the poor intelligence available,
the writers of AIR 14/381 should have at least had the suspicion that the German air force was
designed for a tactical support role of ground forces. Though the Luftwaffe became an
independent branch in 1935, it had a strong doctrine of working together with the Army, which
had its roots as far back as the 1920s. Colonel General Hans von Seeckt, German Army
commander from 1920 to 1926, greatly influenced this doctrine. He thought that, “The air force
was an essentially offensive force with two primary missions: the first, to attack the enemy air
force and achieve air superiority; the second, to wage an interdiction campaign against the
enemy army by attacking rail centers, depots and military bases.”133 The Luftwaffe did not even
develop any 4 engine bombers for long ranged attacks and never did for the duration of the war.
Also, Germany did not want or intend to fight Britain in the early 1930s. As John Ray
points out, in his The Battle of Britain, “Before 1938 the Germans had barely considered the
133 James S. Corum, The Luftwaffe's Army Support Doctrine, 1918-1941, The Journal of Military History,
Vol. 59, No. 1, Jan., 1995. p 57.
48
possibility of war with Britain. They believed that the British Government, although suspicious of
Hitler's actions, would not intervene against his policy in Central and Eastern Europe. The
Fuhrer's powers of diplomacy would avert war.” So, before 1938 a cross channel air battle with
Britain was not even considered.
The other main reason Germany never intended to try a “knock-out” blow was because
Germany lacked the capacity. Germany’s air force in 1939 was about as large as the writers of
AIR 14/381 had predicted. In 1938 they calculated that Germany had about 1332 bombers; the
Germans actually had about 1,482 bombers and dive-bombers.134 They also predicted that
Germany’s bomber force would increase to 1750 bombers by 1939.135 In 1939 Germany actually
had about 1, 620 bombers and dive-bombers.136 However the main problem was, as already
mentioned, that the Luftwaffe was not built for a strategic bombing task. “Ernst Udet, head of
the Luftwaffe's technical department, opposed the development of the Heinkel He 177 heavy
bomber because he foresaw no use for it, and claimed that the Luftwaffe General Staff agreed
with him. There might be war with Czechoslovakia or Poland, he argued, but Hitler ‘will never let
us in for a conflict which might take us beyond the confines of the Continent’.”137 The need for a
heavy bomber in this kind of battle, that Germany was about to fight, was important. “As the
experience of World War II was to demonstrate, effective strategic bombing, in the then state of
the art, required adequate forces of heavy bombers and long-range fighters. The Luftwaffe
embarked on the Battle of Britain with neither.”138 Only Britain and the United States, of the
great powers, actively tried to construct an air force capable of strategic bombing. Also, the
amount of damage that could be done to morale and industry was greatly overestimated.
134
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The narrow margin, p 478. 135
AIR 14/381, page 10. 136
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The narrow margin, p 478. 137
John Philip Ray, The battle of Britain, p 34. 138
Teleford Taylor, The breaking wave, p 82.
49
Throughout the war it was shown that morale was not greatly affected by bombing and industry
was much harder to degrade by bombing than first thought.139
The plans made by the writers of AIR 14/381 were not put into action. For mostly
political reasons, “The French had been much afraid, before the war, that the English would
proceed at once to the strategic bombing of German industries and leave the air support of the
French army to the French; this was naturally an alarming prospect, the French air force being
what it was, but they were reassured, and promised everything we could give them.”140 The
French were correct to fear this, for that is what Britain had indeed planned. However, the
British agreed to aid the French. This agreement made all of the targets which had been
proposed in AIR 14/381 off limit. Arthur Travers Harris, the future Commander-in-Chief (C-in-C)
of Bomber Command recalled that, when he was still command of No. 5 Group, “In the earliest
stages of the war we were not allowed to bomb anything on land, and our only possible targets
were therefore warships, which we could attack only by day.”141 The only thing that the Bomber
Command did in the early part of the war was drop propaganda pamphlets.
The writers of AIR 14/381 made a number of other predictions that turned out to be
false. The belief that time was crucial turned out to be false. The war started with the Phony
War, a period of several months of near-inactivity in which the RAF did not do very much beside
drop pamphlets. This idea that Germany would try for a quick bomber offensive was therefore
proven to be false.
139 M. Kirby and R. Capey, “The Area Bombing of Germany in World War II: An Operational Research
Perspective,” The Journal of the Operational Research Society, Vol. 48, No. 7, (Jul., 1997) p 663.
140 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, p 41.
141 Arthur Travers Harris, Bomber Offensive, p 36.
50
The assumption that Belgium and Holland the Netherlands would remain neutral
because it was advantageous for Germany tactically in the air, turned out to be false. The writers
were too focused on the German air force and the fear of a bomber offensive to take into
account that there might be other reasons for Belgium and Holland to get involved in the war
such as a German invasion. However, in their defence the German invasion of these countries
was a surprise to most.
Yet another mistaken assumption was that the Luftwaffe had only two options for
attack. This again was because the writers of AIR 14/381 were too focused on air combat and the
Luftwaffe in their plans and thought that the German air force had the same doctrine as the RAF
did. They did not take into account that the Luftwaffe would be closely supporting the army.
As for picking targets, it is hard to say which target would have been best early in the
war. The plans of those who wrote AIR 14/381 were never put into action. Their assessment that
time was of the most importance turned out to be wrong, with the long Phony War, so the plan
to attack operational units for this reason may also have been a mistake, but that is only
speculation. However, through much of the rest of the war the RAF preferred strategic bombing
of factories, which was their second choice, over operational units.
As already mentioned, beliefs can turn out to be false. And many of the beliefs which
created the framework for British plans in 1938 as seen in AIR 14/381 turned out to be false. The
British, like their counterparts on the other side of the channel, had poor intelligence and this,
combined with institutional bias toward offensive bombers, led the planners to make many
mistakes. Also, fears of bomber attack, after having captured the imagination like an ominous
shadow, was over-exaggerated and made to be more serious than it really was. The Luftwaffe
51
did not have the ability to deliver the devastating power which was feared that it would have in
1939.
The Luftwaffe did not intend to and was not able to deliver the feared “knock-out” blow
at the start of the war in 1939. However, the Luftwaffe became a very dangerous threat to
Britain with the fall of France in 1940. Though this fear of a devastating “knock-out” blow was
false, the fear of it gave Britain an advantage over the Luftwaffe.
After the fall of France, Britain was in a bad situation. It had lost all of its continental
allies and did not have the ability to defeat Germany on the continent alone. In the evacuation
from Dunkirk, Britain had lost most of the equipment for its ground forces. “Twenty-five tanks
came back from France; 25 out of 704. Of the 400,000 men in the B.E.F. some 360,000 were
saved, but only at the cost of sacrificing all their arms and equipment, except those weapons
they carried home on their shoulders.”142 The Royal Navy had taken some losses too. “More than
half the destroyers in home waters had been put out of action; 16 of them sunk and 42 damaged
in less than two months, chiefly by the Luftwaffe.”143 It was conceded that the Navy would need
air cover if it was going to repel an amphibious invasion. With both the Army and the Navy in
such bad shape, the defence of Britain fell to the RAF, which had also suffered heavy losses in
France.
After defeating France, Germany looked to invade Britain. The plan to invade Britain was
called Operation Sea Lion. The German high command, after evaluating the situation, concluded
that for an invasion to be successful the RAF would need to be put out of action. With this in
mind, they made the destruction of the RAF their top priority as a pre-requisite for their main
objective. Before any invasion of Britain could be undertaken, the German army and navy
142
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 33. 143
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 33.
52
realized and freely admitted that the RAF had to be vanquished. Goering boasted that his
Luftwaffe could achieve this and so the other services waited, “relying on the Luftwaffe to
establish the conditions which might make Sea Lion a worth-while venture.”144 With this in mind
the Luftwaffe set out to destroy the RAF in the skies over Britain. However, in pursuing this goal,
“Goering and his entourage consistently overestimated their own and underestimated the
British strength.”145
This, however, was not the only course of action open to Germany in 1940 as Teleford
Taylor noted in his book, The Breaking Wave. Taylor points out that Germany had several
options available to it in 1940 besides trying for an aerial “knock-out” blow against Britain.
Instead of an air campaign, Germany could have negotiated a compromise peace treaty, though
this would have required Germany to give up most of her conquests. Germany could have
adopted a passive military posture and worked on building up its economy. Germany could have
tried for a speedy conquest of Britain. Another, option was to expand the conflict to other areas.
Yet another option was a prolonged blockade. For a while it even looked like Germany might try
one of the approaches mentioned above. As Taylor noted, “The mechanized units would be
strengthened, but the principal purpose would be to augment the Luftwaffe and the U-boat arm
of the Navy. All of this indicated a future strategy based on a prolonged blockade of Britain,
rather than a quick knockout blow.”146 Any one of these plans could have been adopted as a plan
for subduing Britain. However, after considering the outcome and consequence of each of these
plans, it was decided that an air campaign against Britain with the goal of eliminating the RAF as
a prerequisite to invasion was the best plan.
144
Teleford Taylor, The breaking wave, p 72. 145
Teleford Taylor, The breaking wave, p 24. 146
Teleford Taylor, The breaking wave, p 50.
53
Now that Germany had decided to defeat the RAF, Britain could finally fight the battle
that resembled what they had been preparing for in 1938. The RAF was not prepared for the
kind of air battle the Luftwaffe had unleashed in 1940 over France. However, now the battle was
going to be fought over Britain with the intention of taking Britain out of the war. The tides of
planning had changed. This is the kind of defensive battle the RAF Fighter Command had been
preparing for in 1938 and not the kind of battle the Luftwaffe was prepared for. As Chester
Wilmot put it, the “RAF had prepared to fight the Battle of Britain long before the war began, but
the Germans had not.”147 The battle was now going to be fought closer to the kind of battle
some British planners had imagined in 1938.
In looking at the preparations that were employed for the Battle of Britain, the account
of Air Chief Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding in his, Battle of Britain: Despatch, is very useful.
Dowding finished writing this despatch on August 20, 1941, which he notes as being an odd time
to write a despatch for the battle. Though this was after his removal as commander of RAF
Fighter Command, he tries to give a straight forward and unbiased account of the battle. He is
fully aware that this will be viewed by historians some day and says, “I have endeavoured,
therefore, to write a report which will, I hope, be of Historical interest, and which will, in any
case, contain the results of more than four years’ experience of the Fighter Command in peace
and war.”148 This account gives an extensive over view of preparations for and the events of the
Battle of Britain.
In creating a defence for Britain Dowding’s efforts were extremely important. He, like
other planners, feared a “knock-out” blow, which is what biographer Robert Wright indirectly
states, “Great Britain becoming involved two days later, it was the start, for Dowding, of the
147
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 55. 148
Air Chif Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding, Battle of Britain Despatch, p 4.
54
testing time. By then everybody, civilian and service alike, the unknowing and the expert, had
very strongly in mind the expectation of devastating attacks from the air.”149 However, unlike
other planners, Dowding did not believe that an offense was the only defence and oversaw the
creation of a defensive system for Britain.
Dowding helped create a defensive network that was able to fend off a German air
attack. He was not keen on the offensive bomber doctrine that Trenchard preached. Dowding
instead believed strongly in defence of the base. This break with established doctrine may have
been in part due to him falling into disfavour with Trenchard during World War One.
“...Trenchard, it was reported, began to feel uneasy about Dowding's 'being obsessed by the fear
of further casualties'. He referred to Dowding as a 'dismal Jimmy', and stated that he proposed
to replace him.”150 Though Dowding broke with the Trenchard’s doctrine that offense was the
only defence available against air attacks, he still feared that Germany was going to directly
attack Britain with bombers as believed by other planners in 1938. This led him and others who
shared this fear to create and develop a defence system that could protect Britain. Dowding
pushed this forward and “Dowding was the overall operational commander of all the means that
were available for the defence of the country in the air.”151
The key part in Dowding’s system was fighters. At the start of the war, Dowding had 39
squadrons available and estimated that he would need “52 squadrons to hold the line of battle
at home.”152 By June 22, 1940 Dowding had around 814 fighters available.153 However, the RAF
was still built on the idea that bombers were more important and even up “until the last
declining year of peace at least two new bomber squadrons were formed for every new
149
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 80. 150
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 36. 151
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 83. 152
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 37. 153
Derek Wood and Derek Dempster, The narrow margin, p 463.
55
squadron of fighters.”154 Also, there was a need to send fighters over to defend France at the
outbreak of a war. It became clear to Dowding that this would put a strain on the number of
fighters need to defend Britain.
His first concern was with home defence, but it became clear to him right at the outset that there would be 'heavy demands from overseas for fighters both to satisfy initial requirements and to replace casualties, and these demands would conflict with the even more vital demands of the air defence of the Home Country.155
Before the war started, Dowding tried to convince the Air Ministry to set down a policy that
would insure that a there would be no conflict between these two competing interests, but was
unsuccessful in his attempts.
Things became even more difficult for Dowding in 1940 with the situation in France.
With the fear of a “knock-out” blow at the start of the war most fighter squadrons were
stationed at home in Britain. However, when it became clear that the Luftwaffe did not intend
this, there was a move to rush some of the fighters that had been intended for the defence of
Britain to aid France. This was a move which Dowding vigorously opposed. In April of 1940 there
were six fighter squadrons in France, and four more were sent when the fighting started.156
“Then on the 13th May, 32 pilots and aircraft were sent—say the equivalent of 2 squadrons.”157
Soon after, much to Dowding’s opposition, 8 half squadrons were sent. Dowding was very
concerned over the drain of aircraft to France and their wastage rates. This was especially
alarming because at this time he still believed that these aircraft were going to be needed to
defend Britain from a future “knock-out” blow. Dowding recalls, “All this time, it must be
remembered, the attack on this Country had not begun; with a few accidental exceptions, no
154
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 78. 155
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 82. 156
Air Chif Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding, Battle of Britain Despatch, p 7. 157
Air Chif Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding, Battle of Britain Despatch, p 7.
56
bomb had been dropped on our soil. I was responsible for the Air Defence of Great Britain, and I
saw my resources slipping away like sand in an hour-glass.”158
Dowding continued to fight the decision to send more fighters to France. The need to
rush aircraft across the Channel to aid France at the last minute again reflects that planners in
1939 were still afraid that Britain was going to be the target of air attacks. For, if it was known
that the Luftwaffe did not intend to attack Britain at the outbreak of war, it is reasonable to
think that even more fighters would have been sent over to France at the start of the war.
However, the situation in France eventually became so desperate that it looked like sending any
more fighters over would be a lost cause. That is when Churchill declared on May 19th that “" No
more squadrons of fighters will leave for France.”159 With this concern taken care of, Dowding
could now prepare his fighters squadrons for the air battle, which they had been preparing for in
the late 1930’s.
Another crucial part of Dowding’s defence was radar. This secret weapon gave a
tremendous advantage to British defenders in the skies over Britain. As Baldwin had so
alarmingly stated in 1932, “The bomber will always get through, and it is very easy to
understand that if you realize the area of space.”160 Radar solved the problem. Radar allowed the
defenders to see incoming enemy attacks, track their movements and concentrate their fighters.
The chain of radar stations, which Britain had started construction on in 1936, allowed for vital
early warning. Dowding knew the importance of radar and its limitations better than most, for
he was the one who overlooked the development of radar through the late 1930’s. Dowding
said, “the system operated effectively, and it is not too much to say that the warnings which it
gave could have been obtained by no other means and constituted a vital factor in the Air
158
Air Chif Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding, Battle of Britain Despatch, p 8. 159
Chester Wilmot, The Struggle for Europe, p 39. 160
“The bomber will always get through.”
57
Defence of Great Britain.”161 This is an advantage that Britain did not have in the skies over
France, but now had in the skies over Britain. Many writers have given radar much credit in
helping to achieve victory. Chester Wilmot wrote, “It was a battle of chance and force against
science and skill. There was no shortage of courage on the German part, though their pilots
lacked the zest of the British, but their confidence was undermined by the knowledge that in
comparison with their opponents they were blind, deaf and dumb.”162
As impressive as radar was, it was not perfect. Another important part of the Dowding’s
system of defence was the Royal Observer Corps. It was still needed on the ground to track the
progress of enemies as they passed overland. They provided valuable information about targets
that were overland so that fighters could intercept them. Though they had their limitations, such
as cloudy weather and the fact that they frequently gave inaccurate information, Dowding noted
that, “...their work throughout was quite invaluable. Without it the Air Raid Warning system
could not have been operated, and Inland Interceptions would rarely have been made.”163
Anti-aircraft guns were another important part of this defensive system. Like other parts
of the military, anti-aircraft guns had been neglected during the interwar years. However, with
the looming fear of a German air attack, anti-aircraft guns again became important. “With the
awakening to the threat that was posed, it was finally decided, in June, 1938, to do something
about it. The inquiries after the Munich crisis later in that year revealed that precious little had
been done; and it was not until 1 April 1939, that the Army got around to forming Anti-Aircraft
Command.”164 The original placements of these guns needed to be changed after plans made in
1938 became outdated and Germany gained control over most of Western Europe. “The fall of
161
Air Chif Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding, Battle of Britain Despatch, p 10. 162
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 44. 163
Air Chif Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding, Battle of Britain Despatch, p 10. 164
Robert Wright, Dowding and the Battle of Britain, p 83.
58
Belgium and France had increased the danger to the South and West of England, and had
necessitated a considerable modification of the original arrangements when bombing attacks
could start only from German soil.”165 Though an important part of the defence system, anti-
aircraft guns had their limitation. They had a limited range and there was a shortage of guns at
the start of the war.
Another part of the defence network were barrage balloons. These balloons were
deployed to protect vital British industry and important buildings that might be targeted by low-
flying German bombers. The steel cables attached to the balloons were a danger to low-flying
aircraft. Though they were used extensively by the British, balloons were largely ineffective at
destroying enemy aircraft. However, it was believed by military planners that they did deter low
altitude bombing and it was concluded, “that the heavy cost of their installation and
maintenance, and their drain on man-power, were on the whole justified.”166
All the parts of this defence system were connected to form a united defence system
that was highly organized. Fighter Command was divided into groups which were responsible for
their own sector and had their own Air Vice-Marshals. These groups were directed by
headquarters, which was located in Bentley Priory. The groups were given considerable room for
independent action.167 The information was passed through the system to where it was needed
to go. “All Radio Location plots came to a " Filter Room " table at Command Headquarters (next
door to the room in which the Operations Table was situated), and, after surplus information
had been eliminated, tracks were passed by direct telephone line simultaneously to my
Operations Table and to those of Groups and Sectors concerned.”168 This system allowed for
165
Air Chif Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding, Battle of Britain Despatch, p 8. 166
Air Chif Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding, Battle of Britain Despatch, p 9. 167
This later led to controversy. 168
Air Chif Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding, Battle of Britain Despatch, p 11.
59
British Fighters to intercept enemy aircraft in a timely manner and allow Britain to conserve its
valuable resources.
New technology played a big role in connecting this system together and making it work
smoothly. The system was connected by a number of technological innovations: “They invented
one electronic gadget which enabled British radar stations to tell friend from foe; another
device, appropriately called ' Pip-Squeak,' by which fighters automatically reported their position
to a control station on the ground; and finally, a Very High Frequency radio-telephone which
provided clear, direct speech between pilot and ground-controller.”169 These were just some of
the technological advances which aided this system. Technology made a big difference in
constructing such a complicated system of defence as many have noted. Dowding himself
commented on all of these advances saying, “Radio was making advances all the time, and radar
was a tremendous leap forward. All these things were coming on at the right time, and many
people and their good work were made immediately available for putting into effect, in the
system we were devising, some quite revolutionary things.”
Also, the fear of Germany gave Britain a distinct psychological advantage over Germany.
For in facing an opponent perceived to be as dangerous as the Luftwaffe, not an effort could be
spared in countering it. British planners constantly overestimated the strength of the Luftwaffe.
In contrast the Luftwaffe constantly underestimated the strength of the RAF. This fear of
Germany, as already noted, was not a new fear in 1940. As John Ray notes, “Although the RAF
had fought magnificently over France, especially at Dunkirk, there was trepidation regarding the
power of the Luftwaffe even before the air battle over Britain began.”170 Britain had feared and
had been preparing for a German aerial attack long before Germany had conquered France and
169
Chester Wilmot, The struggle for Europe, p 36. 170
John Philip Ray, The battle of Britain, p 33.
60
most of Europe. However, the fall of France and other European countries to the Germans
certainly would have increased this fear, which was already established.
Conclusion
In conclusion the offensive battle that British planners expected to fight with the
outbreak of war in 1939 did not happen. It was expected, as seen in AIR 14/381, that Britain
would be fighting a war in which Germany, at the outbreak, was going to try and knock Britain
out of the war with the feared “knock-out” blow. This belief in a “knock-out” blow, however, was
poorly founded and a by-product of poor intelligence and institutional bias. The RAF was kept
alive during the interwar period on Trenchard’s doctrine of offensive bombing. In creating plans,
the writers of AIR 14/381, having little intelligence on the Luftwaffe, assumed that the Luftwaffe
had the same doctrine of a “knock-out” blow as Britain and so created a plan that reflected this
fear.
British planners had expected that when fighting broke out in 1939, there would be
massive German air attacks on Britain. Instead there was the long phony war which saw very
little fighting over the skies of Britain. When the real air fighting started in 1940 over France, it
was not the battle RAF planners had been preparing for in 1938 and earlier. The Luftwaffe did
not strike at Britain as expected, but instead worked in coordination with the army, for which
purpose it had been built to defeat France. With France defeated, Germany’s sights then turned
on Britain and the Luftwaffe was given the task of defeating the RAF in the skies over Britain. The
Luftwaffe was not built for an air-battle against Britain, while this was exactly what the RAF had
been preparing for in 1938 and earlier. Britain had been preparing for this kind of battle long
before Germany had even started widely thinking about war with Britain. These preparations
61
were made through the late 1930s and largely influenced by the efforts of Hugh Dowding.
Dowding did not believe that defence was the only offence. He pushed forward and oversaw the
development of a defensive system. Britain created an elaborate and complicated air-defence
system which gave them a huge advantage over the Luftwaffe in the skies over Britain. The
defence system which Dowding and others helped create gave Britain the advantage they
needed to win the Battle of Britain.
In summary, British planners in 1938 and earlier prepared for the wrong battle they
thought was going to be fought in 1939 with the outbreak of war because of lack of intelligence
and an institutional bias. The battle that was fought in 1940 over France was nothing like the
battle for which they had prepared. However, once France was defeated, the Luftwaffe turned
to Britain and engaged the RAF in the skies over Britain. This was the battle that Britain was
ready for, and its preparations gave the RAF a huge advantage over the Luftwaffe. It was in this
way that German misperceptions led to victory for Britain over the Luftwaffe in the Battle of
Britain.
62
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Air Chif Marshal Sir Hugh C. T. Dowding, Battle of Britain Despatch, August 20, 1941.
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