the best of both worldsweb.luxresearchinc.com/hubfs/lux_executive_summit/2017/...the best of both...
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The Best of Both Worlds: Using Data and Insight to Drive Your Digital Transformation Kevin See, Ph.D. VP, Digital Products
October 18, 2017
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Agenda
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3 Owning your digital transformation
Case studies: from AI to IoT to Blockchain
Innovation as fuel for digital transformation
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Preparing for your digital transformation requires knowing what technologies are poised to disrupt you
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The rise of AI. When did it first appear on your
company’s radar?
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AI has been researched for more than a century – but a few years ago, it suddenly jumped onto every executive’s radar:
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Maybe we can do better than magazine covers. So what does the data say?
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AI
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Interestingly, the media chatter lines up well with venture capital and corporation acquisitions…
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• Reading Forbes and HBR covers aligns well with tracking trends in VC deals and acquisitions:
AI
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Why is this a problem? Because market leaders start securing position here:
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AI
!
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Even laying on start-up founding dates leaves us lacking
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• The time series here follows a relatively logical progression – founding, investment, acquisition, but the gap between them is short, just a few years. • Moreover, in the case of start-up founding, the data is starting to get pretty noisy.
AI
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Tapping into the power of “hidden data lakes”
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• What we need is something like the blue trace below:
AI
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What is a “hidden data lake”?
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• A data lake is a centralized repository of cleaned-up, easily accessible data for software to analyze.
• The “hidden” foresight aspect is accessible when: 1. The data lake is big enough, and diverse enough. 2. It contains the right data. 3. It is investigated using insightful data science
techniques.
Innovation data lake
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What is a “hidden data lake”?
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• A data lake is a centralized repository of cleaned-up, easily accessible data for software to analyze.
• The “hidden” foresight aspect is accessible when: 1. The data lake is big enough, and diverse enough. 2. It contains the right data. 3. It is investigated using insightful data science
techniques.
Innovation data lake
“Big data may mean more information, but it also means more false information.”
- Nassim Taleb
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Early signals vs. lagging indicators: Most ways of tracking innovation are lagging indicators, giving actionable signal too late
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• Early signals, often 5+ years in advance, enable securing key intellectual property, talent, and market position.
AI
Advance notice via early signal
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Early signals vs. lagging indicators: Most ways of tracking innovation are lagging indicators, giving actionable signal too late
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• Early signals, often 5+ years in advance, enable securing key intellectual property, talent, and market position.
AI
Advance notice via early signal
Imagine how much better-positioned companies would be if they were asking about AI 5-10 years ago.
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Agenda
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1
2
3 Owning your digital transformation
Case studies: from AI to IoT to Blockchain
Innovation as fuel for digital transformation
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Data alone is only the start
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Do you know what’s in your digital toolbox?
Robotics AI Blockchain IoT AR/VR Wearables
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NLP is on the rise
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Launch of Google Translate
Amazon Echo debuts
Overhaul of Google Translate
“Its speech-recognition team swapped out part of their old system for a neural network and encountered, in pretty much one fell swoop, the best quality improvements anyone had seen in 20 years”
Siri debuts
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What is NLP good for? Case studies in how businesses are already using language understanding
• Natural Language Processing (NLP) can be a tremendously useful part of any company’s AI toolkit, helping to: • Understand internal and external documents, such as what companies, people, or
locations are mentioned and in what context (like actions), and even helping with translation
• Generating dialogue, including for virtual “chatbots” that interact with us • Gauging customer sentiment and emotion, such as feedback via social media
channels
: : +
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Building an NLP experiment • We selected 10 technical articles from 10 sources across a range
of Lux coverage areas, including energy and materials • Fed it into available NLP engines and grouped the NLP results
into: • Entities • Actions identified • Taxonomy findings
• Compared this to what the analysts pulled out of the very same articles
• Measured the efficacy of the NLP engine for accuracy vs analyst findings, as well as consistency (variance) from article to article
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Only one NLP solution manages to be both relatively high-accuracy and consistent: Google
6%
25%
35%
49%
51%
58%
68%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
MicrosoftAzure
Cortical.io
Di=ot
IBMAlchemyAPI
NLTK
ThomsonReuters
GoogleCloudPlatform
NLPaccuracyscoreinLuxResearchbenchmarking
10
32
35
28
23
21
74
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
MicrosoftAzure
Cortical.io
Di=ot
IBMAlchemyAPI
NLTK
ThomsonReuters
GoogleCloudPlatform
NLPconsistencyscoreinLuxResearchbenchmarking
* *
*Note: Microsoft’s current NLP implementation was so poor in its lack of granularity that we awarded it only nominal minimal marks accuracy, consistency, and awareness
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Warehouse robotics
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Amazon buys Kiva Robotics for $775 million
Alibaba pledges $15 billion to robotics logistics
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Robots: friend or foe?
AssistingHumanWorkersReplacingHumanWorkers vs.
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Emerging companies fall along a spectrum
Assisting Humans
Replacing Humans
time
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Combining two hot topics: Blockchain and IoT
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What’s so special about blockchain?
Developers are drawn to blockchain technology due to its: • Decentralization – no central authority/owner
• Simultaneous public openness and pseudo-anonymity
• Security and data integrity
• Ability to embed value in the form of token currencies
• Smart contract functionality
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Brighann Cotton & Skuchain take supply chain out of the stone ages
• Brighann Cotton streamlined a shipment of cotton from Texas to Qingdao, China, using blockchain, smart contracts, and IoT.
• Blockchain: Wells Fargo and Commonwealth Bank of Australia were able to digitally develop a letter of credit on behalf of the buyer and seller using Skuchain’s distributed ledger
• IoT: Payment triggered via smart contract integration with an IoT solution for tracking containers.
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Answering key questions around technology
1. What is the technology trend? 2. What is the best technology?
3. How are the technologies evolving? 4. How do we use the technology?
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Agenda
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1
2
3 Owning your digital transformation
Case studies: from AI to IoT to Blockchain
Innovation as fuel for digital transformation
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Once you’ve organized your efforts, Data+Insight is the recipe for success
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Winning teams have the right players • Digital demands dedicated effort
• Head of Digital Transformation Strategy • Director, Digital Innovation Organization • Director, Open Innovation, New Business & Digital Disruption • VP Digital Transformation • Team Lead Digital Workplace Business Services • General Manager, Digital Enterprise Realization • General Manager of IT Innovation • Digital Factory Business Development • Global Head- Digital Innovation Program • Senior Vice President, Project Leader 4.0
New titles/functions Dynamic, align with needs Can build cross functional teams Must be empowered to make change
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Segment the enterprise
• What keeps my business running? • IT • HR • Mfg and Supply Chain • Marketing
• Can digital tools… • Make my people smarter, faster, safer? • Lower costs? • Enhance efficiency?
What do I sell? Equipment Chemicals and materials SaaS Energy …
Can digital tools… Make my product smarter/better? Create new products/services? (in the hands of others) threaten my market?
PRODUCT PROCESS Digital Toolbox
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Develop new tools for our analysts and provide data on which to layer insight
Devote personnel to digital products and add software development capabilities in visualization, AI, and Machine Learning
Taking our own medicine – Lux’s digital transformation
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Consider unique strengths and opportunities for product evolution
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Evolving our product
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Technology + Market Knowledge Siloed innovation data sets
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Combining Data and Insight
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Technology + Market Knowledge Unique, unified innovation data
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What news is impacting my business?
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• State of the art: Un/lightly curated news feeds/alerts
• Examples: RSS feeds, Google alerts
• Weaknesses – hit or miss in terms of relevance, requires sorting through massive volumes for the things most important to you
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What news is impacting my business?
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The Lux Approach • Analyst-curated news with context • State of the art: Un/lightly curated news
feeds/alerts • Examples: RSS feeds, Google alerts
• Weaknesses – hit or miss in terms of relevance, requires sorting through massive volumes for the things most important to you
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What is the patent landscape?
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• State of the art: lists, targeted searches • Examples: Patent search engines, google
patents, patent dumps
• Weaknesses: Huge volume of data, but insight into how it impacts business decisions is lacking
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What is the patent landscape?
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• State of the art: lists, targeted searches • Examples: Patent search engines, google
patents, patent dumps
• Weaknesses: Huge volume of data, but insight into how it impacts business decisions is lacking
• What are key players patenting – and how does it inform their strategy?
The Lux Approach
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What technologies are trending?
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• State of the art: Analyst instinct and industry feedback on technology status
• Examples: Hype cycles, tech roadmaps
• Weaknesses – includes bias and risks missing important trends (e.g. AI and Machine learning)
Source: Gartner, Wikipedia
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What technologies are trending?
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• State of the art: Analyst instinct and industry feedback on technology status
• Examples: Hype cycles, tech roadmaps
• Weaknesses – includes bias and risks missing important trends (e.g. AI and Machine learning)
Launch of Google Translate
Amazon Echo debuts
Siri debuts
NLP
• Quantitative measure of innovation trajectory based off proprietary data-lake
Overhaul of Google Translate
Source: Gartner, Wikipedia
The Lux Approach
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What technologies are trending?....and what do I do about it?
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1. What is the technology trend? 2. What is the best technology?
3. How are the technologies evolving? 4. How do we use the technology?
The Lux Approach
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What technologies are trending?....and what do I do about it?
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1. What is the technology trend? 2. What is the best technology?
3. How are the technologies evolving? 4. How do we use the technology?
The Lux Approach
5. What are key players doing and how are they
positioned?
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Data will drive a revolution in how we do business – but without insight, data is worthless
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Kevin See, Ph.D. VP of Digital Products [email protected]