THE PEOPLES’ TOOLKIT: CSG/MHello, everyone: I am delighted to be here today!

My name: John Sutcliffe-Braithwaite, My agenda: • THE BIG QUESTION: What is Complexity in the Real World?

– It is how we join up any & all local initiatives meaningfully and usefully

• Introduction to CSG/M (fuller exposition in the Presented Paper)– It can be seen as a ubiquitous Societal experimental methodology

• We will try to get across:– its universality– It is meaningless without ‘life’ & its systems– It is a necessary integration layer for Policy & CRW

• (I will try to resist delving into the technologies)

• My Aim: TO SHARE OUR WORK WIDELY.

THE PEOPLES’ TOOLKIT: CSG/M• The argument: ‘CRW’ is a fundamental phenomenon that

requires a fundamental solution –as yet undefined:– it comprises intertwined Society/Complexity/ICT: we have not defined

what this means. Society & complexity is obvious at the everyday level – but its scientific basis & how it is computed is a new quest

• Policy choreographs solutions in this complex world:– CSG/M is a toolkit to support this; it’s hypothesis is that Meta-

Modelling is how we work as humans; it is the basis of human complexity & involves all of Society: us, everyone, everywhere

• The toolkit is a generic ICT overlay on all existing systems; over the FI; it is: an evolutionary set of complex ecologies; in-vivo: processing ‘life’; it’s basis is novel systems-science– It will introduce & build a new computational paradigm of human

purpose i.e. Intertwined ‘Society/complexity/Meta-modelling’. Policy, Governance, and Democracy are at its core. People will do CSG/M from the bottom-up, Computable Society

THE PEOPLES’ TOOLKIT: CSG/M(Computational Socio-Geonomics/Metaloger)

A socio-engineering solution to CRW

We all continuously build & implement itEveryone, everyday, everywhere, everything Policy leads the pack: complexity in the real world

CSG/M exploits Complexity Theory of Society: structure/perturbation/morphogenesis & its real-world

manifestation called ‘change’

problem

behaviours

PURPOSE

ACTION

EVENTS

OUTCOMES

DECISION

Rich Picture: THE COMPLEX REAL WORLD OF PROBLEM-SOLVING

DECISION SYSTEM 1

DECISION SYSTEM(S) n

EVENTS

problems

PURPOSES

behaviours

groups

forecasting

value & supply chains global

Check1

cash

£££

ICT

data

EVALUATION

ICT

DECISION

ACTION

other information

other decision making systems

unknowns

+ models

continuous change

we are all part of a web of meta-models

The manager and Business Process Engineer design the operational processes.

The manager has to reach decisions within a context of many overlapping models spanning: industry, specialism, national, regulatory, international - as well as stakeholder values.

Organisation behaviour is not easily included in 'processes' because it is subjective and irrational. Yet it is a crucial part - ordinary people can see it, and that it is sometimes a defective part -engendering work-arounds

The management process is dynamic within a real-time envelope consisting of many systems interacting across discontinuous and asynchronous interfaces as well as a purpose driven one

Models are a set of pictures of life of which the management 'culture' is one part of a jigsaw of decision models (which is the metaphor behind the icon for 'model' in the diagram). The modelling partakes of all the vagaries of human activities, behaviours and organisational dimensions; these dimensions can also be meta-modelled.

BPE as an overlay on an organisation's life to change the way it does things, by modelling and changing the 'process'. The picture shows process models as a set of interlocking pieces of a jigsaw puzzle: get them all in place and the full picture is clear. BPE engineers these processes to improve them.

The complexity and sophistication of meta-models lies in their dealing with all the dynamics of real-life, defined in such terms as asynchronicity, discontinuity, multiple patterns of significance, and meaning - in short all the vagaries of real management life.

THE PEOPLES’ TOOLKIT: CSG/M(Computational Socio-eonomics/Metaloger) An engineering solution to CRW

CSG/M exploits Complexity Theory of Society: structure/perturbation/morphogenesis & its real-world

manifestation called ‘change’

Ubiquitous Complex Event Processing (U-CEP) brings CSG/M into a comparable world to that of Quantum

phenomena – but this is definitely futurist….

Crisis management Global sustainability fairness cooperation governance

Integration conflict resolution innovation progress well-being happiness

Food, water, survival, habitat, resource depletion

Evolution & progress: Survival of the fittest v. fitness for purpose ?

Cells, chemistry, reproduction

N A T U R A L W O R L D

CHAOTIC

ENTROPICPARTIALLY ORDERED

L I F E

E N E R G Y

M A T T E R

G A I A

M E A N I N G

arePERTURBATIONS

Q U A N T A

Organisations/ processes

Human & computer systems

Knowledge/ informationTechnology artefactsArtificial societiesI o T P S

O R G A N I S A T I O N S

H U M A N – C O G N I T I V E S P E C I E S

F U T U R E I N T E R N E T

L I V I N G L A B S

M E T A L O G E R L A B S

U – C E P

L I V I N G E A R T H E C O L O G Y

Knowledge accelerator dynamics

Eventful life is a constant enactment of human volition & meaning

F u t u r e I C T

S M A R T S O C I E T Y

P E O P L E

it generates the CAS called ‘society’

“Yes, we compute our World” & can change it for the better

Ultimate destiny –outside our scope

D E S T I N Y

S C I E N C E

Computational socio-geonomics simulated Society, Culture & cognitive computing

Symbiosis of thought, values, purpose, decision & action

(Meta) information Meta-modelling, Meta FoR’smeta-values MES/HES

Meta-FoRs are the strange attractors of human volitional computation

events

events

events

events

events

events

COMPLEXITY THEORY: INFORMATION-PROCESS-STRUCTURE-PERTURBATION-MORPHOGENESIS

FInES

THE PEOPLES’ TOOLKIT: CSG/M is Engineered CRW

We all ‘do complexity’, a kind-of Darwinian model

We all ‘do systems’, multi-level, Meta-models

We all do ‘SOCIETY’ - the greatest ERM System

But what is it fundamentally? - The evolving CAS of society

CSG/M takes systems thinking to new limits – computable society

Computing in-vivo human purpose, will & wilfulness

CSG/M Engineers are socio-technical Meta-modellersSociety’s complex systems available to all are the new social mediaMetaloger tapestries retain in perpetuity the aetiology of all ‘life’ SOCIONOME enactments index its dynamic DBWe each weave our own tapestry: life uniquely computed together.

We will all be part of COMPUTABLE SOCIETY’

SOCIONOME

METALOGER

PROPERTIES OF SOCIAL SYSTEMS

LIFE

“purposeful goal seeking

(selfish)”

• fundamental sciences• rigorous formalism• evolutionary aspects

Governance

• framework platform of processable MetaFORs• layers of abstraction• emergent/CASS

METALOGER ENVIRONMENTSΣ (social systems in organisations)

Real World Social SystemsCulturalIndividual & group behaviour

Evolutionary ModelSpecies, Life, Resources

Engagement

Computer Sciences

Social Sciences

Simulation

V.OSS

THE SCIENCE: Computational socio-geonomicsThe platform for World Society Modeller (S-GAIA), a FuturIcT federation

S-GAIA – THE ULTIMATE ERM PLATFORM

Complex events

Domain of computational socio-geonomics

Simulation

THE PEOPLES’ TOOLKIT: CSG/M is Engineered CRW

We will all ‘engineer CSG/M’ – the societal internetCSG/Metaloger controls designed societal behaviours, mimicking genomics, enabling in-vivo computational society Metaloger-labs are working socio-technology: ‘how we do things’, in our mind, our systems, & life

‘Policy’ choreographs global Metaloger-tapestries of evolving society

Bottom-up people’s perturbation is the new game Traditional societal control has given way to democracy and modern Communications – typefied by twittering in Tariha Square

The vacuum of society still has to be filled

‘Controlling’ models of Society have to be re-fashioned to build the new paradigm of people ‘engaged, enabled and empowered’

THE METALOGER PARADIGM SHIFT

Schmookler

paradigm-shift vers 1

basic research exploitationparadigm changeSchumpeter

People Power

IDEAS information & cognition management models practical applications

PEOPLE behaviour/social sciences management practice ventures/sponsors/stakeholders

TECHNOLOGY systems theory Metaloger/virtual reality specific products

(CAS2;s)

To the great sweep of change that is simplistically categorised as a technology -push and market-pull, can be added 'people-power' somewhat contentiously. There is a wide concern at blind technology leading the world towards the brink , and one of the answers is to give people the means to voice concerns in a way that makes them effective; there is an even wider issue, one of purpose and involvement generally in the march of progress. The interest in more effective democratic processes is widely pursued - from the western model, to that of China, from the model of involvement on the factory floor in Volvo or Japan, to the delivery of low technology to the Third World. We envisage a different way of re-capturing the organic wholeness of earlier societies:

JSB Thesis 2000, metamorphosed into S-GAIA

meanings*!??

belonging participation communication motivation concerncommitmentnorms

chaos change patterns ambiguities fear of the void

intention leadership creativity management

needs realism beliefs/ideology challenges risks faith

time constraints events conditions competitors survival

messages metaphors form/content symbols baggage potency hidden-meaning multiple agendas legitimising

examination strategies actions appraisal innovation continuous change

actors*&£"!?

gate-keeper$%&?@!

re-interpretation

affirmation

SOCIAL FRAME OF REFERENCE

socialising

environmentcontext

Rich Picture THE SOCIAL-GROUP (CAS)2 PARADIGM

performance

SOCIAL FRAME OF REFERENCE

Leader:Forward, everyone!

adaptation

counter-cultures

authoritypower/politicsalliances/ alliegancesconflictnegotiation

The 'people' within the social-dramaturgical model give life to it; they enact a theatrical performance, cf the Theatre of War. They follow scripted dynamic processes, involving many audiences, whom they strive to please

the group is about existence, surviving, managing its world (and moving on). A focus is living with, handling, and managing change.

activity is purposeful, to build group meaning and identity. Professor Winston suggests language is the equivalence of 'grooming' for human groups to establish cohesion. Groups which lose this cohesion fall apart, however rationalised as due to external circumstances; the way to destroy individuals and groups is to isolate them.

People function by a complex marshalling of their personal resources, to accomplish goals, and survive obstacles. The group sustains this effort, feelings find expression and we become potent, ie 'motivated and empowered'. Fundamentally this is nurturing.

virtual networks need 'virtual' leadership for modern flexible organisations in which anyone can take the lead according to the priority of activities and the nature of each member (or specialist's) contribution, cf. Belbin's roles. Shakleton exhibited the inspirational leadership described by Goleman/Boyatzis/McKee, ref E20 "Primal Leadership", and enabled each person to exert their maximum contribution to success - survival - of the group

Engineering the Socio-technology of complex Society

The paradigm of Computable Society will involve huge ubiquitous societal involvement

Multiple Societal ecologies is a global scale effort; Policy has a pivotal role in this major societal change programme

CSG/M will counter fragmented approaches to complexity in the real world

The EU is likely to lead CSG/M – eventually and it represents a major opportunity to support world sustainability

There are >1000 societal EU initiatives; led by FuturICT. There is a global crisis; BAU is not an option. CSG/M is the right toolkit to support an integrated

approach to Complexity in the Real World.

Taguchi: quality is inversely proportional to the ∑total of loss to mankind

Complexity scienceEmergenceEvolutionary patterns

ICT/computer scienceInfrastructuresInternet scienceLiving dataMeta-modeling/abstractionsSpecies Agents ecologies

Emergent properties of societyComplexity science/EmergenceEcology & Evolutionary patternsMathematics/Statistical PhysicsSocial sciences & Socio-cyberneticsPsychology & CognitionSocial meta-theory

FuturICT: the universal emergence toolsetICT/computer science/InfrastructuresInternet scienceLiving data/reverse engineeringMeta-modelling/abstractionsSpecies Agents ecologiesMetaloger InstantiationsLiving engagement technologies Media/avatars/soft robotics

space

“Everyone part of the Model”Models/tools/methods/processesSimulation environments & trialsUniversal semantics of ‘life’Society/people engagementCultural bridges & understandingComputational socionomicsWorld ecology

EMERGENCE SIMULATION: living laboratory•Crisis/risk management monitoring/prediction/mitigation•Innovation, creativity, problem solving tool•Emergent Internet/wikipedia/social web sites•Ubiquitous organisation systems•New institutions•World resources/logistics/ownership bank•Thinking/problem solving/decision taking/action patterns•Values/purpose/management & Governance laboratory•Universal simulation tool-set: everyone connected

Society/peopleinstitutions: government/global bodies“Internet”Voluntary sectorBusiness/industry/servicesPersonal providersOrganisations/professionsAcademia/FET/research coordinatorsAlternative worlds: global knowledgeMetaloger Web Supervisory Body

Substitutes for engagementMeaning v manipulationEducation/trainingContribution & rewardFalse prophetsCollective social dynamics

Collective social dynamicsSocial unrest/conflictGreed/selfishnessSocial pathologyWorld orders

Economic collapseResource scarcity/destructionDemographic imbalanceglobalisation

Peoples alienationUnworkable systemsInformation overloadUnderstanding difficultiesPower & Politics of protest

ManagementValidation & verificationFutures anticipation & causalitySustainabilityFairness & initiativeCreativity & synergyInnovation risk & reliability

We are the experimentFirst cure ourselvesBelief & passionHumility not hubris

Surveillance/privacyBig BrotherMisuseSocial engineeringAvailability /control

Kondratiev shift 6: complexity science, emergence & ICT facilitate a new social order: Virtual model Society(VmS)

S-GAIA “securing a better world” – opportunity space

Implementing new technologiesHarnessing scientific researchMoving the social goalpostsPartnering with people to change the worldSharing the fruits of industrial progressGoverning a sustainable world

meta-jousting – not wars