the development of ccs pipeline network : two stage...

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1 Darmawan Prasodjo, PhD Chairman of the Board, Petronomist.com President Commissioner, Ametis Energi Nusantara Ekonom Energi, DPP PDI-Perjuangan Pertamina Energy Outlook 2015 [email protected]

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1

Darmawan Prasodjo, PhD Chairman of the Board, Petronomist.com

President Commissioner, Ametis Energi Nusantara

Ekonom Energi, DPP PDI-Perjuangan

Pertamina Energy Outlook 2015

[email protected]

2 BB 7562BC1C

3

The Number of Motor Vehicles

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Juta

Sepeda Motor

Truk

Bis

Mobil Penumpang

4

Who are we? (in term of oil and gas power)

5

Outline

Climate Change and Its Policy Implications

Biofuel as a Solution

Masalah Tata Kelola

Conclusion

6

Surface Temperature Increase

8

Emission and Emission Per Capita

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Em

issi

on

pe

r ca

pit

a (

ton

s p

er

cap

ita

)

Em

issi

on

(g

iga

ton

s/ye

ar)

Emission and Emission Per Capita

Annual Emission

Emission Per Capita

9

Renewable Energy

10

The Challenge of Renewable Energy: Cost

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Em

issi

on

g/K

WH

Co

st C

en

ts/K

WH

Cost and Emission of Different Energy Sources

Cost

Emission

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Coal Consumption in the US and China

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Renewable Energy In China

13

Environmental Treaties

Kyoto Protocol – 1997

Washington Declaration – 2007

33rd G8 Summit, Germany – 2007

Vienna Climate Change Talks, Vienna – 2007

UN Climate Change Conference, Bali– 2007

UN Climate Change Conference, Poland – 2008

UN Secretary General Summit on CC – 2009

UN Climate Change Conference, Copenhagen - 2009

UN Climate Change Conference, Cancun - 2010

Durban, South Africa – 2011

UN Climate Change Conference, Warsaw 2013

14

Indonesian Policy Implication?

What kind of Climate Change Policy Indonesia

should formulate?

Answer: Serving its national interest

15

Outline

Climate Change and Its Policy Implications

Biofuel as a Solution

Masalah Tata Kelola

Conclusion

16

Energy Security

Foreign v.s Domestic

Abundant Cheap

17

Foreign Based v.s Domestic Based

Import Low energy security Domestic High energy security

18

Biofuel Products

Bioethanol Gasoline

Substitute

Bio-oil or Pure

Plantation Oil

Kerosene & Fuel Oil

Substitute

Biodiesel Diesel Fuel Substitute

18 Copyright © 2013 Ametis Institute

19

Biofuels Production (1,000 BPD) Source: EIA

21 Copyright © 2013 Ametis Institute p21

Palm Oil Utilization: 2012

Source: USDA, Recalculated

22 Copyright © 2013 Ametis Institute p22

Biodiesel Yield per Hectare from Selected Crops

Source: Lester Brown: Plan B 2.0 Rescuing a Planet under Stress and a Civilization in Trouble, 2006; P.34

23 Copyright © 2013 Ametis Institute p23

Why Palm Oil?

Abundance

Generate most fuel yield among potential feed stocks

Expected production cost of Palm Oil decreases the most

24

Climate Change and Energy Policy

To serve our own national interest

To improve energy security

To accelerate growth, to create jobs, eradicate poverty

To take care the environment

25

Outline

Climate Change and Its Policy Implications

Biofuel as a Solution

Masalah Tata Kelola

Conclusion

26

Tiga Aspek Dalam Tata Kelola

Policy

Regulatory

Business

27

Outline

Climate Change Challenge and Its Implications

Biofuel as a Solution

Masalah Tata Kelolaution

Conclusion

28

KESIMPULAN

Lihat Kembali Kebijakan Climate Change (Redifine):

To serve our own national interest

Biofuel Development:

To improve energy security

Biofuel Development:

To accelerate growth, to create jobs, eradicate poverty

Biofuel Development:

To take care the environment

29

Thank You

Darmawan Prasodjo, PhD

[email protected]