the earn-health trial: a randomized controlled trial to · the impact of directly addressing...
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The EARN-Health Trial: A Randomized Controlled Trial to Identify Health Effects of a Financial Savings Program
among Low-Income U.S. Adults
Journal: BMJ Open
Manuscript ID: bmjopen-2015-009366
Article Type: Protocol
Date Submitted by the Author: 10-Jul-2015
Complete List of Authors: Basu, Sanjay; Stanford University, Hamad, Rita; Stanford University, Department of Medicine White, Justin; Stanford University, Department of Medicine
Modrek, Sepideh; Stanford University, Department of Medicine Rehkopf, David; Stanford University, Department of Medicine Cullen, Mark; Stanford University, Department of Medicine
<b>Primary Subject Heading</b>:
Public health
Secondary Subject Heading: Sociology, Public health, Mental health, Health economics
Keywords: SOCIAL MEDICINE, PUBLIC HEALTH, MENTAL HEALTH, HEALTH ECONOMICS
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The EARN-Health Trial: A Randomized Controlled Trial to Identify Health Effects
of a Financial Savings Program among Low-Income U.S. Adults
Sanjay Basu1*, Rita Hamad1, Justin S. White1, Sepideh Modrek1, David H. Rehkopf1,
Mark R. Cullen1
1 Department of Medicine, Stanford University
*to whom correspondence should be addressed:
Stanford University School of Medicine
Medical School Office Building, X322
1265 Welch Road, Mail Code 5411
Stanford, CA 94305-5411
Phone: +001 (415) 881-7030
Fax: +001 (650) 725-6247
Email: [email protected]
Word count: 4,442
Keywords: poverty, debt, savings, health-related quality of life, tobacco use, alcohol use,
mental health, depression
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Abstract
Introduction
A theory within the social epidemiology field is that financial stress related to having
inadequate financial savings may contribute to psychological stress, poor mental health,
and poor health-related behaviors among low-income U.S. adults. Our objective is to test
whether an intervention that encourages financial savings among low-income U.S. adults
improves health behaviors and mental health.
Methods and analysis
A parallel group two-arm controlled superiority trial will be performed in which 700
participants will be randomized to the intervention or a wait list. The intervention arm
will be provided an online individual development account (IDA) for 6 months, during
which participants receive a $5 incentive for every month they save $20 in their account,
and an additional $5 if they save $20 for two consecutive months. Both groups will be
provided links to standard online financial counseling materials. Online surveys in
months 0 (prior to randomization), 6, and 12 (6 months post-intervention) will assess
self-reported health behaviors and mental health among participants in both arms. The
surveys items were tested previously in U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
national health interviews and related health studies, including self-reported overall
health, health-related quality of life, alcohol and tobacco use, depression symptoms,
financial stress, optimism and locus of control, and spending and savings behaviors. Trial
data will be analyzed on an intent-to-treat basis.
Ethics and dissemination
This protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Stanford University
(Protocol ID: 30641). The findings of the trial will be disseminated through peer-
reviewed publication.
Trial registration
http://www.clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT02185612
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Article Summary
Article focus
Our research study will assess whether a program designed to encourage financial
savings among low-income adults in the U.S. reduces unhealthy behaviors of tobacco
smoking and alcohol abuse as well as symptoms of poor mental health including
depression symptoms.
Key messages
Randomized trials to evaluate the health effects of financial savings programs may help
clarify whether health behaviors and outcomes that are challenging to modify through
traditional healthcare services and public health programs may be addressed by
intervening on a key hypothesized social determinant of health: financial stress.
Strengths and limitations of this study
The randomized, controlled nature of our study will assist in better elucidating the causal
pathways from financial savings to health improvement, which are not possible to infer
from observational data alone. Prior observational evidence provides little guidance on
the impact of directly addressing specific factors linking inadequate financial savings to
poor health.
The online nature of the intervention may limit its generalizability among low-income
populations.
While the intervention is focused on encouraging long-term savings, it is likely to
generate only a modest amount of savings over the short time period of the study; hence,
consistent with our hypothesized mechanism of effect, our study assesses the
psychological effects of savings behavior on health rather than the effects of increased
savings on health.
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This trial uses self-reported health metrics; future studies should incorporate objective
assessments if suggestive findings are observed in this initial study.
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Introduction
Extensive epidemiologic research has sought to understand, and identify strategies to
mitigate, the relationship between poverty and poor health [1–8]. One strain of research
on poverty and poor health has investigated the link between financial stress and
psychological stress; financial stress refers to the condition of having inadequate savings
or assets to pay for major expenses [9–14].
One proposed mechanism is that financial stress leads to desperation, anxiety, and
hopelessness, thereby worsening overall mental health and increasing the risk that
individuals will engage in substance abuse to obtain short-term stress relief, given a
fatalistic sense of their long-term quality of life [15,16]. Consistent with this theory,
recent epidemiologic studies have observed that low-income individuals in the United
States are at increased risk of manifesting depression symptoms, initiating tobacco
smoking, or binge drinking alcohol shortly after they experience financial stress
associated with having inadequate savings to pay for their expenses [17–21]. Careful
ethnographic studies among low-income U.S. adults have attributed financial stress and
associated psychological stress to not only unemployment or inadequate income, but also
to difficulties saving income—for example, due to numerous opportunities for low-
income populations to spend earned income immediately and few opportunities to save
earned income (e.g., due to predatory sales and lending institutions) [22–25]. Lack of
long-term savings is thought to contribute to financial stress, psychological stress, and
associated poor health behaviors and poor mental health even among steadily employed
low-income Americans [9,11].
Research in the field of behavioral economics has lent additional insights into
how inadequate savings may contribute to health-related decision-making. Recent
experiments suggest that when individuals have low financial savings or limited assets to
trade for money, they make more errors on cognitive performance tests and privilege
short-term over long-term goals, compared with times when those same individuals
experience high financial savings or assets [26–28]. The leading theory posed to explain
these observations is that having a limited financial “buffer” creates desperation and
focuses attention on immediate goals, to the detriment of having little mental
“bandwidth” left to make good decisions about the long term [28,29]. Hence, having
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inadequate financial savings may pose a tremendous psychological and cognitive burden,
potentially increasing the risk of making poor, short-term-focused health-related
decisions such as those related to substance abuse.
While several studies have investigated the health effects of strategies to increase
income among U.S. adults [30–38], none to our knowledge have investigated the health
effects of encouraging financial savings after income is generated. The existing literature
on the health effects of income-generating interventions in the U.S. has been surprisingly
mixed [39]. Many observational studies have investigated the health effects of tax credits
or income-generating welfare programs affecting low-income U.S. households, and
reported a wide mix of both better and worse health outcomes [32,34–36,40,41]. Several
studies have observed an increase in substance abuse, psychiatric hospitalizations, and
other adverse health outcomes following short-term increases in income among low-
income U.S. adults, contrary to the hypothesis that income generation would mitigate
poverty’s association with poor health [42–47].
An alternative hypothesis we pose to explain these mixed findings is that income
generation alone is not always sufficient to mitigate the adverse effects of poverty on
health, particularly given the factor of financial stress; we hypothesize that interventions
incentivizing the creation of a long-term plan for financial well being as income is
generated, and assisting with the saving of income to create a financial buffer against
financial stress, could help mitigate the relationship between poverty and poor health as
low-income U.S. adults generate income. To test this theory, we have planned a
randomized trial, in which we will randomize low-income U.S. adults who are earning
income to an online financial savings intervention. We will compare health behaviors and
mental health outcomes among individuals who receive the intervention, versus
participants randomized to a wait list necessitated by limited program capacity. The
savings intervention is a type of Individual Development Account, or IDA, which is a
financial intervention designed to overcome several barriers to building financial savings
among low-income U.S. adults. These barriers include financial transaction costs and
cognitive burdens associated with poverty (i.e., the ‘bandwidth’ issues described above)
that inhibit long-term planning [28,48,49]. IDAs are usually temporary savings accounts
in which low-income participants can save part of their income without fees in order to
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build personal savings and often meet a chosen goal such as paying off credit card debt,
and receive incentives to reward their savings behavior [49]. IDAs are typically run by
registered non-profit organizations, and are offered to individuals below a threshold
income level (typically 50% of county median income) [49]. While prior systematic
reviews suggest that IDA participation is associated with reduced financial stress,
increased sense of control, and increased optimism, no study has evaluated their impact
on health behaviors and mental health [49–54]. The rationale for our proposed study is to
address this evidence gap.
Our research will test the hypothesis that an IDA intervention will be superior to
standard financial education in reducing unhealthy behaviors of tobacco smoking and
alcohol abuse as well as depression symptoms. We will test this hypothesis through a
parallel group randomized trial by allocating eligible low-income adults in a 1:1 ratio to a
6-month IDA intervention and 6-month post-IDA follow-up period versus a 12-month
wait list control group receiving usual online financial counseling materials [55]. The
control arm is intended to simulate the resources that individuals in the intervention arm
would have access to in the absence of the IDA intervention. By comparing baseline, 6-
month, and 12-month surveys between the two arms, we aim to identify both immediate
post-intervention and longer-term differences between the groups in self-reported health-
related quality of life, tobacco use, alcohol use, depression symptoms, as well as
hypothesized mediators including financial stress, locus of control, and optimism.
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Methods
A parallel group two-arm controlled superiority trial will be performed.
Study setting
The study is a web-based experiment, taking place entirely through online
activities.
Eligibility criteria
Study participants must be English-speaking U.S. residents ages 18 years and
older who are below 50% of area median income defined by county of mailing address
and household size. For example, as of June 2015, 50% of area median income would be
$41,500 per year for a family of four in Los Angeles, California [56]. Participants must
have some earned income and must have filed taxes in the fiscal year prior to the study to
confirm income-based eligibility. Participants must have access to the Internet via
computer, tablet, or mobile device (e.g., smartphone); have a valid email address; have a
bank or credit union account; and have a valid Social Security Number or individual
taxpayer ID number. Participants cannot be simultaneously enrolled in another IDA
program.
Interventions
The study includes two arms:
The intervention arm will receive a 6-month IDA provided by the Earned Asset
Resource Network (EARN), a 501(c)3 non-profit organization based in San Francisco,
California. The study investigators are unaffiliated financially or personally with EARN.
EARN is among the largest providers of IDAs in the U.S., having provided IDA services
to approximately 5,200 individuals between 2002 and 2015 [57]. EARN runs a free
online service in which users who qualify for the IDA receive a 6-month personal, secure,
encrypted online IDA that links to existing bank or credit union accounts. Figure 1
depicts a hypothetical user account page. Users can electronically deposit money into the
IDA at any interval during the 6-month period. For every $20 a user deposits during a
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calendar month, EARN provides a $5 contribution into the user’s IDA as an incentive to
save. For every $20 a user deposits for two consecutive months, EARN provides an
additional $5 contribution to their IDA, to reward sustained savings habits (i.e., providing
a maximum contribution of $10 per month or $55 throughout the course of intervention).
Users are asked to define a savings goal, such as saving $300 in 6 months to pay for
educational expenses. At the end of month 6, the total savings and incentive contributions
are deposited into the user’s bank account and the intervention ends. Criteria for
discontinuing an individual’s participation are: self-reported participation in another IDA
program, early withdrawal of funds from the IDA program, or evidence of under-reported
income.
The control arm will receive notification that they are on a 12-month wait list to
participate in the IDA, and will be directed to a standard U.S. government website
designed for low-literacy readers, which provides financial counseling information about
how to save income [55]. Criteria for discontinuing an individual’s participation in the
control arm are: self-reported participation in another IDA program, or evidence of
under-reported income.
Adherence to all intervention protocols will be enhanced by automating the
process of enrollment, randomization, notification, participation, and assessment through
a streamlined set of sequentially linked webpages, as detailed below.
Outcomes
Outcomes for both arms of the trial will be assessed at months 0, 6, and 12 to
identify changes from baseline in each of the outcome variables. The outcomes will be
assessed through an online survey, which the individual will be prompted to complete
after signing the online consent form at month 0. Participants will be prompted to
complete the survey through email and telephone reminders from EARN staff; among
intervention arm participants, a reminder will also appear when participants log-in to
their online account in months 6 and 12. All participants will receive a $20 grocery store
gift card for each completed survey, distributed by postal mail to avoid interfering with
the online incentive.
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The complete survey text is provided in the Appendix. The primary outcome
variables included in the survey are self-reported health-related quality of life; physical
and mental health; tobacco and alcohol use; and depression symptoms. Self-reported
health-related quality of life and physical and mental health questions are drawn from the
U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) annual telephone-based
Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Study (BRFSS) [58], which asks participants to
compare their health to other people their age, and list the number of days during the past
month in which their physical or mental health was not good or kept them from
participating in usual activities. Tobacco and alcohol use questions were also adapted
from the BRFSS and include history of smoking, current smoking frequency, and quit
attempts, as well as any alcohol consumption (yes/no), number of drinks consumed
during drinking days, and number of drinking episodes meeting sex-specific criteria for
binge drinking. Depression symptoms were assessed using the Personal Health
Questionnaire Depression Scale (PHQ-8), which includes questions such as degree of
hopelessness in the past two weeks, measured on a Likert scale ranging from “not at all”
to “nearly every day.”
The secondary outcomes of the trial include the hypothesized mediators between
the IDA intervention and health, including self-reported financial stress, locus of control,
and optimism. The financial stress questions are based on prior epidemiologic studies
relating financial stress to tobacco smoking initiation and maintenance [59], and include
questions such as whether the participant has enough money saved to cover expenses for
three months without any earned income (yes/no), and what their strategy is for handling
a financial emergency (where response options include borrowing from a payday lender
or using a credit card). The locus of control and optimism questions were adapted from
the U.S. Health and Retirement Study [60], and include questions about whether
participants feel unable to solve problems in their lives, feel helpless, or feel that good
rather than bad things are more likely to happen to them; participants can respond on a 6-
point Likert scale from “strongly agree” to “strongly disagree.”
Tertiary outcomes in the survey include self-reported weight and height, as
obesity is related to poverty and indebtedness through possible stress and food access and
affordability pathways, but is not expected to change substantially during the short course
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of the trial (i.e., a negative control condition). Additional questions test whether the IDA
produces expected improvements in long-term financial outlooks, as assessed through
questions about the time-course over which the participant plans for future expenses.
Participant timeline
Table 1 provides the schedule for enrollment, intervention, and assessments
throughout the trial. The enrollment, intervention, and assessment processes are
automated through a sequence of streamlined webpages. First, interested participants
arrive on a ‘landing page’ in which they provide their first and last name, email address,
and a password. After creating this password and confirming their email address through
a hyperlink sent to their email, users provide their mailing address, demographic
information (date of birth, sex, race/ethnicity, marital status, education completed,
employment status, household size, and annual household income), and Social Security
or individual tax ID number. They also answer key qualifying information regarding
whether they have a bank account and file taxes, and they upload their 1040 tax form
from the prior tax year to verify income. Participants who do not qualify for the eligibility
criteria are informed of their denial; those who qualify next complete an informed
consent page (reproduced in the Appendix). If they consent to participate, they then
receive the month 0 survey. After the month 0 survey, they are randomized to the
intervention or control arm.
Next, intervention arm participants are shown an information page about how to
use the IDA and are asked to link to their bank account at any U.S. Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation (FDIC)-insured bank or National Credit Union Association
(NCUA)-insured credit union through a secure, encrypted linkage system similar to that
used by employers for direct deposit transactions. Participants without a bank or credit
union account are provided a list of local bank and credit union branches and informed
that they should look for an account with no minimum balance requirements, no monthly
maintenance fees, and FDIC or NCUA insurance; they are able to return to the website
after setting up an account. Participants then see their personalized IDA home page
shown in Figure 1. The control group receives a notice that they are on a 12-month wait
list, is notified to fill out a survey every 6 months throughout the wait list period for a $20
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grocery store gift card as long as they do not participate in another IDA service, and
receives a hyperlink to standard online financial advice [55].
Participants in both arms then receive email and telephone notifications to
complete surveys in months 6 and 12. The intervention arm also receives the survey after
login. The $20 grocery store gift cards are mailed by research staff to participants in the
week following their survey completion. The intervention arm participants will close out
of the intervention and have their incentives deposited to their bank account at month 6.
Per the EARN IDA rules, participants who withdraw from the program before 6 months
only receive their savings but not their incentives, as they are notified during the
enrollment process. Both the saving and incentive earnings over 6 months are deposited
at the 6-month time point into their bank account, but not before. Following the
intervention, participants will be required to be free of any IDA participation, similar to
the control group, for an additional 6 months after completion of the month 12 survey in
order to compare longer-term outcomes between the two groups. Close-out of the study
will occur after completion of all month 12 surveys or non-response by a participant for
one month following the month 12 email and telephone notification. Participants in the
wait-listed group will be informed that they will be offered the intervention promptly
after the 12-month survey. Per EARN’s policy, participants in the intervention group will
not be allowed to re-use an EARN IDA in the future, as the intervention is a 6-month,
one-time activity for all individuals, as is typical of IDAs [49].
Sample size
As there is no prior literature estimating the impact of IDAs on the studied health
outcomes, we powered the study conservatively without a priori information to estimate
the potential effect size. Taking into account three repeated surveys per person and
assuming a typical correlation of 0.5 among the repeated measures, we would need 526
subjects distributed equally between the two arms to detect a small effect size difference
of Cohen’s f = 0.1 (for ANOVA analysis [61]) between the two groups with 80% power
at an alpha error probability of 0.05 (G*Power software version 3.1). Conservatively
assuming 25% attrition, we have aimed for a sample size of N = 700.
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We conducted further sensitivity analyses around this sample size to examine how
differences in effect size would alter power for the design; these are plotted in Figure 2.
These plots demonstrate that the necessary sample size before attrition drops to less than
250 with an effect size of f = 0.15, while at least 90% power would be achieved with our
chosen sample size and assumed attrition rate if the effect size were f = 0.12 or larger. As
also shown in Figure 2, the effect size would have to be at least f = 0.13 to have 80%
power with our chosen sample size if the correlation between repeated measures is as
high as 0.8.
Recruitment
We anticipate that recruitment will require 3 months to achieve the targeted
sample size. Our strategies to achieve adequate participant enrollment during these
months are to advertise the study at local community colleges whose enrollees share the
typical demographics of IDA users; advertise in local newspapers, radio, and online news
services; and recruit from a network of local primary care medical clinics serving low-
income populations in the greater San Francisco Bay Area. Though geographic location
is not an explicit criterion for inclusion or exclusion, many EARN users live in the San
Francisco Bay Area where EARN’s headquarters are located.
Allocation
Computer-generated random numbers will be used to generate the allocation
sequence, with no factors for stratification and no planned restrictions (e.g., blocking).
The online system will be programmed to automatically generate these numbers such that
the sequence will remain concealed until interventions are assigned automatically by the
website. To preserve blinding among all data analysts, staff at EARN will code the
survey response data such that intervention arm will be coded numerically and the
numerical key will be blinded from the research data team including all data analysts.
Unblinding will not be permitted to any data analyst during the trial. EARN staff who are
not involved in data analysis will be unblinded to ensure they can respond to email or
phone queries from participants who have questions about the logistics of using the IDA
page or need assistance entering information to link their online account to their bank
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account. These correspondences will not involve the research data analysts, and a strict
information restriction protocol will prevent EARN staff from disclosing any participant
allocation details to research staff including research data analysts throughout the trial
and post-trial analysis.
Data collection methods
Collection of demographic and survey data will be entirely online, with EARN
staff screening for duplicate accounts to prevent threats to data quality. Participants will
receive gift cards only after submission of each survey, to reduce the likelihood of
missing data or blank surveys. To promote retention and complete follow-up, EARN staff
will call participants who have not completed a survey one week after automated email
notification.
The consistency and validity of the survey measures among low-income U.S.
adults have been published previously as detailed below. For the overall self-rated health
questions, internal consistency is satisfactory (Cronbach’s alpha >0.78) and criterion
validity was moderate to high as assessed by correlations with physical health scales (rho
= 0.86, p<0.0001). Known-groups validity was also significant at an alpha level of 0.05
when comparing self-reported health between people with and without medical diagnoses
indicative of chronic disease [62]. For the tobacco and alcohol survey items, high internal
consistency has been reported (Cronbach’s alpha >0.85) [63], as well as high validity
assessed through comparison of population prevalence comparisons across surveys using
the items versus direct measurement in national surveys (<1% absolute prevalence
difference) [64–68]. The financial stress questions have satisfactory internal consistency
(alpha >0.67) [69] and are significantly associated with confirmed earnings, savings, and
expenditures [70]. The PHQ survey items are used in clinical practice as a screening
instrument for depression, having satisfactory internal consistency and high validity
(Cronbach alpha = 0.82 and goodness-of-fit index of 0.98 on confirmatory factor analysis
of emotional and somatic dimensions of depression symptoms among adults) [71]. The
optimism questions have satisfactory internal consistency (Cronbach alpha >0.78) and
significant predictive and discriminant validity for depression and coping success when
taking account effects of neuroticism, trait anxiety, self-mastery, and self-esteem in a
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sample of adults [72–74]. The locus of control questions have a satisfactory internal
consistency (Cronbach alpha >0.86) and high validity for predicting life satisfaction and
depression symptoms [75–77].
Data management
Data entry is automated from the survey website and saved on a secure, encrypted
server that meets Health Information Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA)
standards. The survey results are coded with a participant ID rather than a name or
identifying information, and the study arm is similarly coded (1/2) to preserve blinding of
data analysts. Data analysts will check for any double data entries/duplicate surveys by
screening participant ID numbers for duplicated surveys at the same time point, keeping
only the survey responses that correspond to the later/completed survey in case an
individual experienced website reloading and survey resetting. Range checks will be
performed on all data values to ensure no errors in the survey codes. The online survey
has been tested to ensure correct capture of entered survey responses.
Statistical methods and data analysis plan
We plan an intent-to-treat analysis using mixed models to compare survey
responses between the two groups, with demographic covariates (age, sex, race/ethnicity,
and income) and individual random effects [78]. For i = 1,…, N subjects with j = 1,…,ni
repeated observations nested within each subject, we will specify a random subject
intercept and random linear time-trend model, nij = xijββββ + zijvi, where x is the vector of
regressors with coefficients ββββ, z is a vector of variables having random effects, and v are
the random effects coefficients. A link function g(·) is specified which converts the
expected value µij of the outcome variable, Y (i.e., µij = E[Yij|vi,xij]), to predictor nij. We
plan to use logit link functions for binary outcomes, ordered logit link functions for
Likert scale outcomes, and identity or log links for continuous outcome variables
depending on data skewness. Robust standard errors will be used to calculate 95%
confidence intervals, and a maximum likelihood procedure will be adopted for model
fitting. Due to the likelihood of higher dropout among the wait-listed participants,
survivorship bias will be tested by comparing baseline demographic characteristics
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between arms. Participants lost to follow-up will be censored at the time of the last
survey they completed and included in the analysis, with missing data handled using
likelihood-based pattern mixture analysis, which has been found superior in detecting and
correcting for bias as compared to the Last Observation Carried Forward method or
multiple imputation with chained equations when missingness is potentially informative
[79–82].
Data monitoring
A data monitoring committee will consist of the principal investigator (Basu), one
co-investigator (Hamad), and a member of the EARN staff. Its role is to ensure fidelity
and accurate collection of data by identifying any reasons for duplicate or erroneous
survey data responses and reporting to the overall group of investigators (co-authors of
this manuscript). The data monitoring committee is independent from the sponsor of the
trial. No interim analyses will be performed, and no trial discontinuation criteria have
been formulated as it is not anticipated that the trial would need to stop prematurely given
minimal risks to participants.
Harms
Adverse events are likely to be restricted to the risk of loss of confidentiality, and
psychological stress from completion of surveys that involve potentially sensitive health
information. To minimize potential harms, loss of confidentiality will be minimized by
using only password-protected encrypted servers for data storage, with personal
information protections detailed further below. To reduce psychological harms, the
principal investigator’s contact information is provided with the consent form, and
contact information for EARN staff is provided with surveys and on the IDA website, to
allow referral of distressed participants to area mental health services or medical
providers if needed. All adverse events will be reported to the Stanford University
Institutional Review Board.
Auditing
No specific auditing has been planned for external supervision of trial conduct.
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Ethics and dissemination
Research ethics approval
This protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Stanford University
(Protocol ID: 30641) and by the Board of Directors of EARN.
Protocol amendments
Protocol modifications including changes to eligibility criteria, outcomes, or analyses will
be reported to the Institutional Review Board of Stanford University and posted on the
clinicaltrials.gov registry.
Consent
Informed consent will be obtained through an online web page that appears before
study enrollment, replicated in the Appendix.
Confidentiality
Personal information about potential and enrolled participants will be collected
during the enrollment process through EARN’s secure, encrypted online system. The
personal information will be held on the secure server and not shared before, during, or
after the trial. The personal information will be used to mail participants their $20 gift
card reward for survey completion, and place telephone calls and email reminders for
surveys. Subsequently, the information will be deleted. Trial data will be maintained after
the trial using only a participant ID, the study arm code, and the de-identified survey
results for months 0, 6, and 12.
Declaration of interests
No financial or other competing interests exist for the investigators in the trial.
Access to data
The study investigators listed as co-authors on this protocol will be the only
persons with direct access to the final trial dataset. Following peer-reviewed publication
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of the results, the de-identified trial data will be made accessible to third parties who sign
a data use agreement in accordance with rules set out by the National Institutes of Health,
and who agree to use the data only for non-commercial academic research purposes, not
to make attempts to identify participants, and not to distribute the data to third parties.
Ancillary and post-trial care
Ancillary and post-trial care are not deemed likely for any participants from this
study. Those participants who suffer psychological harm during the course of the study
will be referred to area medical care services.
Dissemination policy
The investigators plan to communicate trial results in a peer-reviewed publication
and potentially at academic public health conferences. No restrictions on publication
exist. Authorship will follow the International Council of Medical Journal Editors
standards for authorship, and no professional writers will be used [83]. The full protocol
will be accessible via clinicaltrials.gov. Participant-level data and statistical code will be
available upon request for non-commercial academic research purposes.
Contributorship Statement
SB wrote the first draft of the protocol. RH, JW, SM, DR, and MC contributed to revisions of the protocol.
Competing Interest
None.
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76 Pearlin LI, Schooler C. The structure of coping. J Health Soc Behav 1978;19:2–
21.
77 Hampson SE. Personality Processes: Mechanisms by which Personality Traits
‘Get Outside the Skin’. Annu Rev Psychol 2012;63:315–39. doi:10.1146/annurev-
psych-120710-100419
78 McCullagh P, Nelder JA. Generalized linear models. CRC press 1989.
https://books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=h9kFH2_FfBkC&oi=fnd&pg=PR1
6&dq=generalized+linear+models&ots=JhRY7VQNvN&sig=kzIm5DN8mUT4I6XG
TtTcWSZDc6w (accessed 25 Jun2015).
79 Mallinckrodt CH, Clark WS, David SR. Type I error rates from mixed effects
model repeated measures versus fixed effects ANOVA with missing values
imputed via last observation carried forward. Drug Inf J 2001;35:1215–25.
80 Siddiqui O, Ali MW. A comparison of the random-effects pattern mixture
model with last-observation-carried-forward (LOCF) analysis in longitudinal
clinical trials with dropouts. J Biopharm Stat 1998;8:545–63.
81 Hamer RM, Simpson PM. Last observation carried forward versus mixed
models in the analysis of psychiatric clinical trials. Am J Psychiatry
2009;166:639–41.
82 Schafer J. Missing data in longitudinal studies: a review. Nashville: 2005.
83 Editors IC of MJ, others. Uniform requirements for manuscripts submitted to
biomedical journals. Pathology (Phila) 1997;29:441–7.
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Tables and Figures
Table 1: Schedule of enrolment, interventions, and assessments. IDA: individual
development account.
TIMEPOINT
STUDY PERIOD
Enrollment Allocation Post-allocation Close-out
-t1 0 t6 t12 t12
ENROLLMENT:
Eligibility screen X
Informed consent X
Allocation X
INTERVENTIONS:
IDA X X
Wait list control X X X
ASSESSMENTS:
Online survey X X X
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Figure 1: Example of hypothetical user account webpage
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Figure 2: The study was powered to detect a conservative effect size of Cohen’s f = 0.1
with 80% power at an alpha error probability of 0.05. The sample size was calculated
assuming two study arms, three repeated surveys (months 0, 6, and 12) for each
participant, a 25% attrition rate, and a correlation of 0.5 among repeated measures. Here,
we display sensitivity analysis graphs of the pre-attrition minimum sample size needed to
detect the estimated effect size, using G*Power software (version 3.1). The graphs
display minimal sample size required under alternative effect size estimates besides f =
0.1 when (A) increasing the assumed correlation between repeated measures from 0.5 to
0.8 and (B) when attempting to achieve power of 0.9 rather than 0.8.
(A)
(B)
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Authors' contributions:
SB wrote the first draft of the protocol. RH, JW, SM, DR, and MC contributed to
revisions of the protocol.
Funding statement:
This work was supported by the National Institutes of Health through the Stanford Center
for Clinical and Translational Research and Education (SPECTRUM) under award
number UL1 TR001085. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does
not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.
Competing interests statement:
No competing interesting to declare.
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Appendix
Consent form
DESCRIPTION: You are invited to participate in a research study on how participation in the EARN.org savings account program affects your general sense of well-being, as well as symptoms of depression, anxiety, and any tobacco or alcohol use. You will be asked to take three anonymous surveys about these issues, one survey now, one in 6 months, and one in 12 months. If you only complete 1 survey, you will still receive compensation (a $20 gift card to Safeway) for that survey. You may be randomized to participate in a specific EARN.org savings account program or randomized to a 1-year wait list for that specific program. You can decide not to participate in the study and still be placed on the wait list for the program.
TIME INVOLVEMENT: Your participation will take approximately 20 minutes per survey. RISKS AND BENEFITS: The risks associated with this study are potential discomfort when you are asked about health issues. You will not receive any direct benefit from participation. We cannot and do not guarantee or promise that you will receive any benefits from this study.
PAYMENTS: You will receive a $20 gift card to Safeway as payment for your participation for each of 2 surveys. Payments may only be made to U.S. citizens, legal resident aliens, and those who have a work eligible visa. SUBJECT'S RIGHTS: If you have read this form and have decided to participate in this project, please understand your participation is voluntary and you have the right to
withdraw your consent or discontinue participation at any time without penalty or
loss of benefits to which you are otherwise entitled. The alternative is not to participate. You have the right to refuse to answer.
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Sample survey
Note that the exact fonts and formatting of the survey will appear differently online than
in this print form.
This survey helps us understand your health. It is entirely optional. The survey does not record
your name or any other information that could identify you. Your responses will be stored
anonymously on a secure computer. They will not be released to anyone outside of the study or
to the staff at Earn. The study is being conducted by the Stanford University School of Medicine.
Our goal is to better understand your health needs and how Earn services may affect your health.
This helps us to better design programs to help you stay healthy. If you have any questions,
please contact the study organizer: Sanjay Basu, (XXX) XXX-XXXX.
H0) Would you say that in general your health, as compared to other people your age, is-?
Excellent
Very good
Good
Fair
Poor
H1) Please think about your physical health. This includes physical illness and injury. How many
days during the past 30 days was your physical health not good?
H2) Now please think about your emotional health. This includes stress, depression, . How many
days during the past 30 days was your emotional health not good?
H3) During the past 30 days, for about how many days did poor physical or emotional health keep
you from doing your usual activities, such as self-care, work, or recreation?
H4) In planning your savings and spending, which of the following time periods is most important
to you and your household?
the next few months
the next year
the next few years
the next 3–5 years
longer than 5 years
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Please read the statements below and indicate the extent to which you agree with each
statement.
Strongly Disagree
Disagree
Slightly Disagree
Slightly agree
Somewhat agree
Strongly agree
O1) If something can go wrong for me it will.
O2) I’m always optimistic about my future.
O3) In uncertain times, I usually expect the best.
O4) Overall, I expect more good things to happen to me than bad.
O5) I hardly ever expect things to go my way.
O6) I rarely count on good things happening to me.
L1) I often feel helpless in dealing with the problems of life.
L2) Other people determine most of what I can and cannot do.
L3) What happens in my life is often beyond my control.
L4) I have little control over the things that happen to me.
L5) There is really no way I can solve the problems I have
L6) I can do just about anything I really set my mind to.
L7) When I really want to do something, I usually find a way to succeed at it.
L8) Whether or not I am able to get what I want is in my own hands.
L9) What happens to me in the future mostly depends on me.
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L10) I can do the things that I want to do.
A1) During the past 30 days, how many days did you have at least one drink of any alcoholic
beverage? This includes beer, wine, malt beverages, and liquor.
Days in past 30 days
A2) A drink of alcohol is 1 can or bottle of beer, 1 glass of wine, 1 can or bottle of wine cooler, 1 cocktail, or 1 shot of liquor. During the past 30 days, how many days per week or per month did you have at least one drink of any alcoholic beverage?
A3) Considering all types of alcoholic beverages, how many times during the past 30 days did
you have X [Script: X = 5 for men, X = 4 for women] or more drinks on an occasion?
H4) Are you now trying to lose weight?
yes no
H5) About how much do you weigh without shoes? Answer in pounds.
H6) About how tall are you without shoes? Answer in feet and inches.
+
Instructions: Over the last 2 weeks, how often have you been bothered by any of the following
problems?
Not at all
Several days
More than half the days
Nearly every day
M1) Little interest or pleasure in doing things
M2) Feeling down, depressed, or hopeless
M3) Trouble falling asleep or staying asleep, or sleeping too much
M4) Feeling tired or having little energy
M5) Poor appetite or overeating
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M6) Feeling bad about yourself, or that you are a failure, or have let yourself or your family down
M7) Trouble concentrating on things, such as reading the newspaper or watching television
M8) Moving or speaking so slowly that other people could have noticed. Or the opposite – being so fidgety or restless that you have been moving around a lot more than usual.
T0) Have you smoked at least 100 cigarettes in your entire life?
yes no
Script: If NO go to Part 5, else go to “T1”
T1) Do you now smoke cigarettes every day, some days, or not at all?
every day some days not at all
T2) During the past 6 months, have you stopped smoking for one day or longer because you
were trying to quit smoking?
yes no
S1) SPENDING BEHAVIORS (relative to income) Over the past six months, would you say your household has been...
Spending less money than you have had coming in.
Spending more money than you have had coming in.
Spending about the same amount of money that you have had coming in. S2) SAVINGS BEHAVIORS (regularity of savings & amount) Over the past six months, which most accurately describes your household?
We put aside money as savings every paycheck or every month.
We put aside money as savings when we can, but not regularly.
We didn't really put aside money as savings. S3) How much money did your household put aside as savings in an average month?
We did not put aside savings in an average month.
Up to $50
$51 to $100
$101 to $200
More than $200
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S4) SPENDING PLAN Does your household have a monthly spending plan?
Yes, and we mostly stick to it.
Yes, but we don't really stick to it.
No, we do not have a plan. S5)
Does your household currently have enough money saved to cover expenses for three months
without any earned income?
Yes
No
S6)
What is your household's strategy for handling a financial emergency?
I don’t have a strategy.
Borrow from payday lender
Borrow from friends or family
Borrow from another source
Use credit card
Use savings
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1
SPIRIT 2013 Checklist: Recommended items to address in a clinical trial protocol and related documents*
Section/item Item No
Description Addressed on page number
Administrative information
Title 1 Descriptive title identifying the study design, population, interventions, and, if applicable, trial acronym _______1______
Trial registration 2a Trial identifier and registry name. If not yet registered, name of intended registry ________2_____
2b All items from the World Health Organization Trial Registration Data Set ______2_______
Protocol version 3 Date and version identifier ______2_______
Funding 4 Sources and types of financial, material, and other support ______29_______
Roles and
responsibilities
5a Names, affiliations, and roles of protocol contributors ____1, 29_______
5b Name and contact information for the trial sponsor _____29________
5c Role of study sponsor and funders, if any, in study design; collection, management, analysis, and
interpretation of data; writing of the report; and the decision to submit the report for publication, including
whether they will have ultimate authority over any of these activities
____29_________
5d Composition, roles, and responsibilities of the coordinating centre, steering committee, endpoint
adjudication committee, data management team, and other individuals or groups overseeing the trial, if
applicable (see Item 21a for data monitoring committee)
_____16________
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Introduction
Background and
rationale
6a Description of research question and justification for undertaking the trial, including summary of relevant
studies (published and unpublished) examining benefits and harms for each intervention
______5_______
6b Explanation for choice of comparators ______7_______
Objectives 7 Specific objectives or hypotheses ______7_______
Trial design 8 Description of trial design including type of trial (eg, parallel group, crossover, factorial, single group),
allocation ratio, and framework (eg, superiority, equivalence, noninferiority, exploratory)
______8_______
Methods: Participants, interventions, and outcomes
Study setting 9 Description of study settings (eg, community clinic, academic hospital) and list of countries where data will
be collected. Reference to where list of study sites can be obtained
______8_______
Eligibility criteria 10 Inclusion and exclusion criteria for participants. If applicable, eligibility criteria for study centres and
individuals who will perform the interventions (eg, surgeons, psychotherapists)
_____8________
Interventions 11a Interventions for each group with sufficient detail to allow replication, including how and when they will be
administered
______8_______
11b Criteria for discontinuing or modifying allocated interventions for a given trial participant (eg, drug dose
change in response to harms, participant request, or improving/worsening disease)
_____9________
11c Strategies to improve adherence to intervention protocols, and any procedures for monitoring adherence
(eg, drug tablet return, laboratory tests)
_____9________
11d Relevant concomitant care and interventions that are permitted or prohibited during the trial ______9_______
Outcomes 12 Primary, secondary, and other outcomes, including the specific measurement variable (eg, systolic blood
pressure), analysis metric (eg, change from baseline, final value, time to event), method of aggregation (eg,
median, proportion), and time point for each outcome. Explanation of the clinical relevance of chosen
efficacy and harm outcomes is strongly recommended
_____9-10______
Participant timeline 13 Time schedule of enrolment, interventions (including any run-ins and washouts), assessments, and visits for
participants. A schematic diagram is highly recommended (see Figure)
_____11________
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Sample size 14 Estimated number of participants needed to achieve study objectives and how it was determined, including
clinical and statistical assumptions supporting any sample size calculations
_____12________
Recruitment 15 Strategies for achieving adequate participant enrolment to reach target sample size _____13________
Methods: Assignment of interventions (for controlled trials)
Allocation:
Sequence
generation
16a Method of generating the allocation sequence (eg, computer-generated random numbers), and list of any
factors for stratification. To reduce predictability of a random sequence, details of any planned restriction
(eg, blocking) should be provided in a separate document that is unavailable to those who enrol participants
or assign interventions
______13_______
Allocation
concealment
mechanism
16b Mechanism of implementing the allocation sequence (eg, central telephone; sequentially numbered,
opaque, sealed envelopes), describing any steps to conceal the sequence until interventions are assigned
______13_______
Implementation 16c Who will generate the allocation sequence, who will enrol participants, and who will assign participants to
interventions
______13_______
Blinding (masking) 17a Who will be blinded after assignment to interventions (eg, trial participants, care providers, outcome
assessors, data analysts), and how
______13_______
17b If blinded, circumstances under which unblinding is permissible, and procedure for revealing a participant’s
allocated intervention during the trial
_____13________
Methods: Data collection, management, and analysis
Data collection
methods
18a Plans for assessment and collection of outcome, baseline, and other trial data, including any related
processes to promote data quality (eg, duplicate measurements, training of assessors) and a description of
study instruments (eg, questionnaires, laboratory tests) along with their reliability and validity, if known.
Reference to where data collection forms can be found, if not in the protocol
______14_______
18b Plans to promote participant retention and complete follow-up, including list of any outcome data to be
collected for participants who discontinue or deviate from intervention protocols
______14_______
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Data management 19 Plans for data entry, coding, security, and storage, including any related processes to promote data quality
(eg, double data entry; range checks for data values). Reference to where details of data management
procedures can be found, if not in the protocol
________15_____
Statistical methods 20a Statistical methods for analysing primary and secondary outcomes. Reference to where other details of the
statistical analysis plan can be found, if not in the protocol
_______15______
20b Methods for any additional analyses (eg, subgroup and adjusted analyses) ______15_______
20c Definition of analysis population relating to protocol non-adherence (eg, as randomised analysis), and any
statistical methods to handle missing data (eg, multiple imputation)
_______16______
Methods: Monitoring
Data monitoring 21a Composition of data monitoring committee (DMC); summary of its role and reporting structure; statement of
whether it is independent from the sponsor and competing interests; and reference to where further details
about its charter can be found, if not in the protocol. Alternatively, an explanation of why a DMC is not
needed
______16_______
21b Description of any interim analyses and stopping guidelines, including who will have access to these interim
results and make the final decision to terminate the trial
_____16________
Harms 22 Plans for collecting, assessing, reporting, and managing solicited and spontaneously reported adverse
events and other unintended effects of trial interventions or trial conduct
_____16________
Auditing 23 Frequency and procedures for auditing trial conduct, if any, and whether the process will be independent
from investigators and the sponsor
_____16________
Ethics and dissemination
Research ethics
approval
24 Plans for seeking research ethics committee/institutional review board (REC/IRB) approval _____17________
Protocol
amendments
25 Plans for communicating important protocol modifications (eg, changes to eligibility criteria, outcomes,
analyses) to relevant parties (eg, investigators, REC/IRBs, trial participants, trial registries, journals,
regulators)
_____17________
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Consent or assent 26a Who will obtain informed consent or assent from potential trial participants or authorised surrogates, and
how (see Item 32)
______17_______
26b Additional consent provisions for collection and use of participant data and biological specimens in ancillary
studies, if applicable
______17_______
Confidentiality 27 How personal information about potential and enrolled participants will be collected, shared, and maintained
in order to protect confidentiality before, during, and after the trial
______17_______
Declaration of
interests
28 Financial and other competing interests for principal investigators for the overall trial and each study site ______17_______
Access to data 29 Statement of who will have access to the final trial dataset, and disclosure of contractual agreements that
limit such access for investigators
______17_______
Ancillary and post-
trial care
30 Provisions, if any, for ancillary and post-trial care, and for compensation to those who suffer harm from trial
participation
_____18________
Dissemination policy 31a Plans for investigators and sponsor to communicate trial results to participants, healthcare professionals,
the public, and other relevant groups (eg, via publication, reporting in results databases, or other data
sharing arrangements), including any publication restrictions
_____18________
31b Authorship eligibility guidelines and any intended use of professional writers ______18_______
31c Plans, if any, for granting public access to the full protocol, participant-level dataset, and statistical code _____18________
Appendices
Informed consent
materials
32 Model consent form and other related documentation given to participants and authorised surrogates ______30_______
Biological
specimens
33 Plans for collection, laboratory evaluation, and storage of biological specimens for genetic or molecular
analysis in the current trial and for future use in ancillary studies, if applicable
_____N/A_______
_
*It is strongly recommended that this checklist be read in conjunction with the SPIRIT 2013 Explanation & Elaboration for important clarification on the items.
Amendments to the protocol should be tracked and dated. The SPIRIT checklist is copyrighted by the SPIRIT Group under the Creative Commons
“Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported” license.
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The EARN-Health Trial: Protocol for A Randomized Controlled Trial to Identify Health Effects of a Financial
Savings Program among Low-Income U.S. Adults
Journal: BMJ Open
Manuscript ID: bmjopen-2015-009366.R1
Article Type: Protocol
Date Submitted by the Author: 19-Aug-2015
Complete List of Authors: Basu, Sanjay; Stanford University, Hamad, Rita; Stanford University, Department of Medicine White, Justin; Stanford University, Department of Medicine
Modrek, Sepideh; Stanford University, Department of Medicine Rehkopf, David; Stanford University, Department of Medicine Cullen, Mark; Stanford University, Department of Medicine
<b>Primary Subject Heading</b>:
Public health
Secondary Subject Heading: Sociology, Public health, Mental health, Health economics
Keywords: SOCIAL MEDICINE, PUBLIC HEALTH, MENTAL HEALTH, HEALTH ECONOMICS
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The EARN-Health Trial: Protocol for A Randomized Controlled Trial to Identify
Health Effects of a Financial Savings Program among Low-Income U.S. Adults
Sanjay Basu1*, Rita Hamad1, Justin S. White1, Sepideh Modrek1, David H. Rehkopf1,
Mark R. Cullen1
1 Department of Medicine, Stanford University
*to whom correspondence should be addressed:
Stanford University School of Medicine
Medical School Office Building, X322
1265 Welch Road, Mail Code 5411
Stanford, CA 94305-5411
Phone: +001 (415) 881-7030
Fax: +001 (650) 725-6247
Email: [email protected]
Word count: 4,442
Keywords: poverty, debt, savings, health-related quality of life, tobacco use, alcohol use,
mental health, depression
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Abstract
Introduction
A theory within the social epidemiology field is that financial stress related to having
inadequate financial savings may contribute to psychological stress, poor mental health,
and poor health-related behaviors among low-income U.S. adults. Our objective is to test
whether an intervention that encourages financial savings among low-income U.S. adults
improves health behaviors and mental health.
Methods and analysis
A parallel group two-arm controlled superiority trial will be performed in which 700
participants will be randomized to the intervention or a wait list. The intervention arm
will be provided an online individual development account (IDA) for 6 months, during
which participants receive a $5 incentive (£3.2, €4.5) for every month they save $20 in
their account (£12.8, €18), and an additional $5 if they save $20 for two consecutive
months. Both groups will be provided links to standard online financial counseling
materials. Online surveys in months 0 (prior to randomization), 6, and 12 (6 months post-
intervention) will assess self-reported health behaviors and mental health among
participants in both arms. The surveys items were tested previously in U.S. Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention national health interviews and related health studies,
including self-reported overall health, health-related quality of life, alcohol and tobacco
use, depression symptoms, financial stress, optimism and locus of control, and spending
and savings behaviors. Trial data will be analyzed on an intent-to-treat basis.
Ethics and dissemination
This protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Stanford University
(Protocol ID: 30641). The findings of the trial will be disseminated through peer-
reviewed publication.
Trial registration
http://www.clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT02185612
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Article Summary
Strengths and limitations of this study
• Prior observational evidence provides little guidance on the impact of directly
addressing specific factors linking inadequate financial savings to poor health.
• The randomized, controlled nature of our study will assist in better elucidating the
causal pathways from financial savings to health improvement, which are not
possible to infer from observational data alone.
• The online nature of the intervention may limit its generalizability among low-
income populations.
• Our study assesses the psychological effects of savings behavior on health
through the hypothesized mediator of financial stress; the study does not test the
effects of increased wealth or income on health, because the intervention
generates only a modest amount of savings over the short time period of the
study.
• This trial uses self-reported health metrics; future studies should incorporate
objective assessments if suggestive findings are observed in this initial study
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Introduction
Extensive epidemiologic research has sought to understand, and identify strategies to
mitigate, the relationship between poverty and poor health [1–8]. One strain of research
on poverty and poor health has investigated the link between financial stress and
psychological stress; financial stress refers to the condition of having inadequate savings
or assets to pay for major expenses [9–14].
One proposed mechanism is that financial stress leads to desperation, anxiety, and
hopelessness, thereby worsening overall mental health and increasing the risk that
individuals will engage in tobacco smoking to obtain short-term stress relief, given a
fatalistic sense of their long-term quality of life [15,16]. Consistent with this theory,
recent epidemiologic studies have observed that low-income individuals in the United
States are at increased risk of manifesting depression symptoms, initiating tobacco
smoking, or binge drinking alcohol shortly after they experience financial stress
associated with having inadequate savings to pay for their expenses [17–21]. Careful
ethnographic studies among low-income U.S. adults have attributed financial stress and
associated psychological stress to not only unemployment or inadequate income, but also
to difficulties saving income—for example, due to numerous opportunities for low-
income populations to spend earned income immediately and few opportunities to save
earned income (e.g., due to predatory sales and lending institutions) [22–25]. Lack of
long-term savings is thought to contribute to financial stress, psychological stress, and
associated poor health behaviors and poor mental health even among steadily employed
low-income Americans [9,11].
Research in the field of behavioral economics has lent additional insights into
how inadequate savings may contribute to health-related decision-making. Recent
experiments suggest that when individuals have low financial savings or limited assets to
trade for money, they make more errors on cognitive performance tests and privilege
short-term over long-term goals, compared with times when those same individuals
experience high financial savings or assets [26–28]. The leading theory posed to explain
these observations is that having a limited financial “buffer” creates desperation and
focuses attention on immediate goals, to the detriment of having little mental
“bandwidth” left to make good decisions about the long term [28,29]. Hence, having
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inadequate financial savings may pose a tremendous psychological and cognitive burden,
potentially increasing the risk of making poor, short-term-focused health-related
decisions such as those related to tobacco smoking or excessive use of alcohol.
While several studies have investigated the health effects of strategies to increase
income among U.S. adults [30–38], none to our knowledge have investigated the health
effects of encouraging financial savings after income is generated. The existing literature
on the health effects of income-generating interventions in the U.S. has been surprisingly
mixed [39]. Many observational studies have investigated the health effects of tax credits
or income-generating welfare programs affecting low-income U.S. households, and
reported a wide mix of both better and worse health outcomes [32,34–36,40,41]. Several
studies have observed an increase in drug use, psychiatric hospitalizations, and other
adverse health outcomes following short-term increases in income among low-income
U.S. adults, contrary to the hypothesis that income generation would mitigate poverty’s
association with poor health [42–47].
An alternative hypothesis we pose to explain these mixed findings is that income
generation alone is not always sufficient to mitigate the adverse effects of poverty on
health, particularly given the factor of financial stress; we hypothesize that interventions
incentivizing the creation of a long-term plan for financial well being as income is
generated, and assisting with the saving of income to create a financial buffer against
financial stress, could help mitigate the relationship between poverty and poor health as
low-income U.S. adults generate income. To test this theory, we have planned a
randomized trial, in which we will randomize low-income U.S. adults who are earning
income to an online financial savings intervention. We will compare health behaviors and
mental health outcomes among individuals who receive the intervention, versus
participants randomized to a wait list necessitated by limited program capacity. The
savings intervention is a type of Individual Development Account, or IDA, which is a
financial intervention designed to overcome several barriers to building financial savings
among low-income U.S. adults. These barriers include financial transaction costs and
cognitive burdens associated with poverty (i.e., the ‘bandwidth’ issues described above)
that inhibit long-term planning [28,48,49]. IDAs are usually temporary savings accounts
in which low-income participants can save part of their income without fees in order to
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build personal savings and often meet a chosen goal such as paying off credit card debt,
and receive incentives to reward their savings behavior [49]. IDAs are typically run by
registered non-profit organizations, and are offered to individuals below a threshold
income level (typically 50% of county median income) [49].
A small literature has explored the economic impacts of IDAs. A retrospective
uncontrolled analysis based on bank account statements from IDA participants reported
that while savings outcomes vary among participants, no commonly-collected
demographic information (such as low income or participation in public assistance
programs) was significantly predictive of success or failure of participants in IDA
programs [49]. Accompanying IDAs with support services, rather than only having a
standalone web platform for the IDA, was correlated to higher savings. A longitudinal
study using a convenience sample of IDA participants and a matched sample of non-
participants also found that participants improved their credit history and score as
compared with nonparticipants but did not track additional outcomes [50]. A similar
study that followed participants from 14 IDA programs across the United States for two
years after their program participation found that about half of participants continued to
save income after the program, and typically used their savings for home purchases,
microenterprise, or post-secondary education [51]. A subsequent controlled experiment
found similar results with regard to the outcome of homeownership, but also found that
many participants withdrew all funds prior to the completion of the IDA program and did
not continue saving when they lacked immediate incentives and/or a penalty for early
withdrawal [52]. This finding is concordant with the larger literature on financial
incentives for health behavior change. Studies of financial incentives for behavior change
have found that the most effective incentive strategies for changing health behavior
include provision of salient short-term incentives rather than only long-term benefits, and
framing of the incentives in terms of ‘loss aversion’, which means the potential to lose
future benefits [53,54,54]. A systematic review of the use of incentives for health
behavior change reported that incentivized programs are typically superior to un-
incentivized behavior change programs across a broad domain of health behaviors, from
tobacco smoking to physical activity engagement [55].
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Overall, participants in prior IDA studies reported reduced financial stress,
increased sense of control, and increased optimism, but no study to our knowledge has
evaluated the impact of the programs on health behaviors and mental health
[49,50,56,52,51,57]. The rationale for our proposed study is to address this evidence gap.
Our research will test the hypothesis that an IDA intervention will be superior to standard
financial education in reducing unhealthy behaviors of tobacco smoking and excessive
use of alcohol as well as depression symptoms. We will test this hypothesis through a
parallel group randomized trial by allocating eligible low-income adults in a 1:1 ratio to a
6-month IDA intervention and 6-month post-IDA follow-up period versus a 12-month
wait list control group receiving usual online financial counseling materials [58]. The
control arm is intended to simulate the resources that individuals in the intervention arm
would have access to in the absence of the IDA intervention. By comparing baseline, 6-
month, and 12-month surveys between the two arms, we aim to identify both immediate
post-intervention and longer-term differences between the groups in self-reported health-
related quality of life, tobacco use, alcohol use, depression symptoms, as well as
hypothesized mediators including financial stress, locus of control, and optimism.
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Methods
A parallel group two-arm controlled superiority trial will be performed.
Study setting
The study is a web-based experiment, taking place entirely through online
activities.
Eligibility criteria
Study participants must be English-speaking U.S. residents ages 18 years and
older who are below 50% of area median income defined by county of mailing address
and household size. For example, as of June 2015, 50% of area median income would be
$41,500 per year for a family of four in Los Angeles, California (£26,560, €37,350) [59].
Participants must have some earned income and must have filed taxes in the fiscal year
prior to the study to confirm income-based eligibility. Participants must have access to
the Internet via computer, tablet, or mobile device (e.g., smartphone); have a valid email
address; have a bank or credit union account; and have a valid Social Security Number or
individual taxpayer ID number. Participants cannot be simultaneously enrolled in another
IDA program.
Interventions
The study includes two arms:
The intervention arm will receive a 6-month IDA provided by the Earned Asset
Resource Network (EARN), a 501(c)3 non-profit organization based in San Francisco,
California. The study investigators are unaffiliated financially or personally with EARN.
EARN is among the largest providers of IDAs in the U.S., having provided IDA services
to approximately 5,200 individuals between 2002 and 2015 [60]. EARN runs a free
online service in which users who qualify for the IDA receive a 6-month personal, secure,
encrypted online IDA that links to existing bank or credit union accounts. Figure 1
depicts a hypothetical user account page. Users can electronically deposit money into the
IDA at any interval during the 6-month period. For every $20 a user deposits during a
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calendar month (£12.8, €18), EARN provides a $5 contribution into the user’s IDA as an
incentive to save (£3.2, €4.5). For every $20 a user deposits for two consecutive months,
EARN provides an additional $5 contribution to their IDA, to reward sustained savings
habits (i.e., providing a maximum contribution of $10 per month or $55 throughout the
course of intervention). Users are asked to define a savings goal, such as saving $300 in 6
months to pay for educational expenses (£192, €270). At the end of month 6, the total
savings and incentive contributions are deposited into the user’s bank account and the
intervention ends. Criteria for discontinuing an individual’s participation are: self-
reported participation in another IDA program, early withdrawal of funds from the IDA
program, or evidence of under-reported income.
The control arm will receive notification that they are on a 12-month wait list to
participate in the IDA, and will be directed to a standard U.S. government website
designed for low-literacy readers, which provides financial counseling information about
how to save income [58]. Criteria for discontinuing an individual’s participation in the
control arm are: self-reported participation in another IDA program, or evidence of
under-reported income.
Adherence to all intervention protocols will be enhanced by automating the
process of enrollment, randomization, notification, participation, and assessment through
a streamlined set of sequentially linked webpages, as detailed below.
Outcomes
Outcomes for both arms of the trial will be assessed at months 0, 6, and 12 to
identify changes from baseline in each of the outcome variables. The outcomes will be
assessed through an online survey, which the individual will be prompted to complete
after signing the online consent form at month 0. Participants will be prompted to
complete the survey through email and telephone reminders from EARN staff; among
intervention arm participants, a reminder will also appear when participants log-in to
their online account in months 6 and 12. All participants will receive a $20 grocery store
gift card for each completed survey (£12.8, €18), distributed by postal mail to avoid
interfering with the online incentive.
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The complete survey text is provided in the Appendix. The primary outcome
variables included in the survey are self-reported health-related quality of life; physical
and mental health; tobacco and alcohol use; and depression symptoms. Self-reported
health-related quality of life and physical and mental health questions are drawn from the
U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) annual telephone-based
Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Study (BRFSS) [61], which asks participants to
compare their health to other people their age, and list the number of days during the past
month in which their physical or mental health was not good or kept them from
participating in usual activities. Tobacco and alcohol use questions were also adapted
from the BRFSS and include history of smoking, current smoking frequency, and quit
attempts, as well as any alcohol consumption (yes/no), number of drinks consumed
during drinking days, and number of drinking episodes meeting sex-specific criteria for
binge drinking. Depression symptoms were assessed using the Personal Health
Questionnaire Depression Scale (PHQ-8), which includes questions such as degree of
hopelessness in the past two weeks, measured on a Likert scale ranging from “not at all”
to “nearly every day.”
The secondary outcomes of the trial include the hypothesized mediators between
the IDA intervention and health, including self-reported financial stress, locus of control,
and optimism. The financial stress questions are based on prior epidemiologic studies
relating financial stress to tobacco smoking initiation and maintenance [62], and include
questions such as whether the participant has enough money saved to cover expenses for
three months without any earned income (yes/no), and what their strategy is for handling
a financial emergency (where response options include borrowing from a payday lender
or using a credit card). The locus of control and optimism questions were adapted from
the U.S. Health and Retirement Study [63], and include questions about whether
participants feel unable to solve problems in their lives, feel helpless, or feel that good
rather than bad things are more likely to happen to them; participants can respond on a 6-
point Likert scale from “strongly agree” to “strongly disagree.”
Tertiary outcomes in the survey include self-reported weight and height, as
obesity is related to poverty and indebtedness through possible stress and food access and
affordability pathways, but is not expected to change substantially during the short course
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of the trial (i.e., a negative control condition). Additional questions test whether the IDA
produces expected improvements in long-term financial outlooks, as assessed through
questions about the time-course over which the participant plans for future expenses.
Participant timeline
Table 1 provides the schedule for enrollment, intervention, and assessments
throughout the trial. The enrollment, intervention, and assessment processes are
automated through a sequence of streamlined webpages. First, interested participants
arrive on a ‘landing page’ in which they provide their first and last name, email address,
and a password. After creating this password and confirming their email address through
a hyperlink sent to their email, users provide their mailing address, demographic
information (date of birth, sex, race/ethnicity, marital status, education completed,
employment status, household size, and annual household income), and Social Security
or individual tax ID number. They also answer key qualifying information regarding
whether they have a bank account and file taxes, and they upload their 1040 tax form
from the prior tax year to verify income. Participants who do not qualify for the eligibility
criteria are informed of their denial; those who qualify next complete an informed
consent page (reproduced in the Appendix). If they consent to participate, they then
receive the month 0 survey. After the month 0 survey, they are randomized to the
intervention or control arm.
Next, intervention arm participants are shown an information page about how to
use the IDA and are asked to link to their bank account at any U.S. Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation (FDIC)-insured bank or National Credit Union Association
(NCUA)-insured credit union through a secure, encrypted linkage system similar to that
used by employers for direct deposit transactions. Participants without a bank or credit
union account are provided a list of local bank and credit union branches and informed
that they should look for an account with no minimum balance requirements, no monthly
maintenance fees, and FDIC or NCUA insurance; they are able to return to the website
after setting up an account. Participants then see their personalized IDA home page
shown in Figure 1. The control group receives a notice that they are on a 12-month wait
list, is notified to fill out a survey every 6 months throughout the wait list period for a $20
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grocery store gift card (£12.8, €18) as long as they do not participate in another IDA
service, and receives a hyperlink to standard online financial advice [58].
Participants in both arms then receive email and telephone notifications to
complete surveys in months 6 and 12. The intervention arm also receives the survey after
login. The $20 grocery store gift cards are mailed by research staff to participants in the
week following their survey completion. The intervention arm participants will close out
of the intervention and have their incentives deposited to their bank account at month 6.
Per the EARN IDA rules, participants who withdraw from the program before 6 months
only receive their savings but not their incentives, as they are notified during the
enrollment process. Both the saving and incentive earnings over 6 months are deposited
at the 6-month time point into their bank account, but not before. Following the
intervention, participants will be required to be free of any IDA participation, similar to
the control group, for an additional 6 months after completion of the month 12 survey in
order to compare longer-term outcomes between the two groups. Close-out of the study
will occur after completion of all month 12 surveys or non-response by a participant for
one month following the month 12 email and telephone notification. Participants in the
wait-listed group will be informed that they will be offered the intervention promptly
after the 12-month survey. Per EARN’s policy, participants in the intervention group will
not be allowed to re-use an EARN IDA in the future, as the intervention is a 6-month,
one-time activity for all individuals, as is typical of IDAs [49].
Sample size
As there is no prior literature estimating the impact of IDAs on the studied health
outcomes, we powered the study conservatively without a priori information to estimate
the potential effect size. Taking into account three repeated surveys per person and
assuming a typical correlation of 0.5 among the repeated measures, we would need 526
subjects distributed equally between the two arms to detect a small effect size difference
of Cohen’s f = 0.1 (for ANOVA analysis [64]) between the two groups with 80% power
at an alpha error probability of 0.05 (G*Power software version 3.1). Conservatively
assuming 25% attrition, we have aimed for a sample size of N = 700.
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We conducted further sensitivity analyses around this sample size to examine how
differences in effect size would alter power for the design; these are plotted in Figure 2.
These plots demonstrate that the necessary sample size before attrition drops to less than
250 with an effect size of f = 0.15, while at least 90% power would be achieved with our
chosen sample size and assumed attrition rate if the effect size were f = 0.12 or larger. As
also shown in Figure 2, the effect size would have to be at least f = 0.13 to have 80%
power with our chosen sample size if the correlation between repeated measures is as
high as 0.8.
Recruitment
We anticipate that recruitment will require 3 months to achieve the targeted
sample size. Our strategies to achieve adequate participant enrollment during these
months are to advertise the study at local community colleges whose enrollees share the
typical demographics of IDA users; advertise in local newspapers, radio, and online news
services; and recruit from a network of local primary care medical clinics serving low-
income populations in the greater San Francisco Bay Area. Though geographic location
is not an explicit criterion for inclusion or exclusion, many EARN users live in the San
Francisco Bay Area where EARN’s headquarters are located.
Allocation
Computer-generated random numbers will be used to generate the allocation
sequence, with no factors for stratification and no planned restrictions (e.g., blocking).
The online system will be programmed to automatically generate these numbers such that
the sequence will remain concealed until interventions are assigned automatically by the
website. To preserve blinding among all data analysts, staff at EARN will code the
survey response data such that intervention arm will be coded numerically and the
numerical key will be blinded from the research data team including all data analysts.
Unblinding will not be permitted to any data analyst during the trial. EARN staff who are
not involved in data analysis will be unblinded to ensure they can respond to email or
phone queries from participants who have questions about the logistics of using the IDA
page or need assistance entering information to link their online account to their bank
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account. These correspondences will not involve the research data analysts, and a strict
information restriction protocol will prevent EARN staff from disclosing any participant
allocation details to research staff including research data analysts throughout the trial
and post-trial analysis.
Data collection methods
Collection of demographic and survey data will be entirely online, with EARN
staff screening for duplicate accounts to prevent threats to data quality. Participants will
receive gift cards only after submission of each survey, to reduce the likelihood of
missing data or blank surveys. To promote retention and complete follow-up, EARN staff
will call participants who have not completed a survey one week after automated email
notification.
The consistency and validity of the survey measures among low-income U.S.
adults have been published previously as detailed below. For the overall self-rated health
questions, internal consistency is satisfactory (Cronbach’s alpha >0.78) and criterion
validity was moderate to high as assessed by correlations with physical health scales (rho
= 0.86, p<0.0001). Known-groups validity was also significant at an alpha level of 0.05
when comparing self-reported health between people with and without medical diagnoses
indicative of chronic disease [65]. For the tobacco and alcohol survey items, high internal
consistency has been reported (Cronbach’s alpha >0.85) [66], as well as high validity
assessed through comparison of population prevalence comparisons across surveys using
the items versus direct measurement in national surveys (<1% absolute prevalence
difference) [67–71]. The financial stress questions have satisfactory internal consistency
(alpha >0.67) [72] and are significantly associated with confirmed earnings, savings, and
expenditures [73]. The PHQ survey items are used in clinical practice as a screening
instrument for depression, having satisfactory internal consistency and high validity
(Cronbach alpha = 0.82 and goodness-of-fit index of 0.98 on confirmatory factor analysis
of emotional and somatic dimensions of depression symptoms among adults) [74]. The
optimism questions have satisfactory internal consistency (Cronbach alpha >0.78) and
significant predictive and discriminant validity for depression and coping success when
taking account effects of neuroticism, trait anxiety, self-mastery, and self-esteem in a
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sample of adults [75–77]. The locus of control questions have a satisfactory internal
consistency (Cronbach alpha >0.86) and high validity for predicting life satisfaction and
depression symptoms [78–80].
Data management
Data entry is automated from the survey website and saved on a secure, encrypted
server that meets Health Information Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA)
standards. The survey results are coded with a participant ID rather than a name or
identifying information, and the study arm is similarly coded (1/2) to preserve blinding of
data analysts. Data analysts will check for any double data entries/duplicate surveys by
screening participant ID numbers for duplicated surveys at the same time point, keeping
only the survey responses that correspond to the later/completed survey in case an
individual experienced website reloading and survey resetting. Range checks will be
performed on all data values to ensure no errors in the survey codes. The online survey
has been tested to ensure correct capture of entered survey responses.
Statistical methods and data analysis plan
We plan an intent-to-treat analysis using mixed models to compare survey
responses between the two groups, with demographic covariates (age, sex, race/ethnicity,
and income) and individual random effects [81]. For i = 1,…, N subjects with j = 1,…,ni
repeated observations nested within each subject, we will specify a random subject
intercept and random linear time-trend model, nij = xijββββ + zijvi, where x is the vector of
regressors with coefficients ββββ, z is a vector of variables having random effects, and v are
the random effects coefficients. A link function g(·) is specified which converts the
expected value µij of the outcome variable, Y (i.e., µij = E[Yij|vi,xij]), to predictor nij. We
plan to use logit link functions for binary outcomes, ordered logit link functions for
Likert scale outcomes, and identity or log links for continuous outcome variables
depending on data skewness. Robust standard errors will be used to calculate 95%
confidence intervals, and a maximum likelihood procedure will be adopted for model
fitting. Due to the likelihood of higher dropout among the wait-listed participants,
survivorship bias will be tested by comparing baseline demographic characteristics
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between arms. Participants lost to follow-up will be censored at the time of the last
survey they completed and included in the analysis, with missing data handled using
likelihood-based pattern mixture analysis, which has been found superior in detecting and
correcting for bias as compared to the Last Observation Carried Forward method or
multiple imputation with chained equations when missingness is potentially informative
[82–85].
Process evaluation
To assist in interpretation of the quantitative results, participants in both trial arms
will be asked if they are willing to engage in a brief, anonymous telephone interview to
further elicit qualitative responses to the intervention for an additional $10 gift card (£6.4,
€9). Those participants who consent to participate in telephone interviews will be called
by research staff after the quantitative data analysis is complete, and answer open-ended
questions to further understand the linkages between the intervention and self-reported
health outcomes. The conversations will focus on whether the participants received the
incentives and found them to be helpful prompts to engage in savings; whether the
participants were engaging in other savings programs or any health programs that may
have affected their survey responses; how they felt about the program rules and the
duration of the intervention; whether they have suggestions for intervention refinement;
and (in the control group) whether the participants enrolled in alternative savings
programs or read the online material that was provided as an alternative to the IDA
intervention.
Data monitoring
A data monitoring committee will consist of external scientists with expertise on
financial stress and health behavior, including a chairperson (Arjumand Siddiqi,
University of North Carolina Chapel Hill/University of Toronto) and independent trial
steering committee (Aaron Reeves, University of Oxford; Mauricio Avendano-Pabon,
Harvard University/London School of Economics; Adam Coutts, London School of
Hygiene and Tropical Medicine). Its role is to monitor progress, ensure fidelity and
accurate collection of data by identifying any reasons for duplicate or erroneous survey
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data responses and reporting to the overall group of investigators (co-authors of this
manuscript), and monitoring any safety or ethics concerns that arise during the trial. The
data monitoring committee is independent from the sponsor of the trial. No interim
analyses will be performed, and no trial discontinuation criteria have been formulated as
it is not anticipated that the trial would need to stop prematurely given minimal risks to
participants.
Harms
Adverse events are likely to be restricted to the risk of loss of confidentiality, and
psychological stress from completion of surveys that involve potentially sensitive health
information. To minimize potential harms, loss of confidentiality will be minimized by
using only password-protected encrypted servers for data storage, with personal
information protections detailed further below. To reduce psychological harms, the
principal investigator’s contact information is provided with the consent form, and
contact information for EARN staff is provided with surveys and on the IDA website, to
allow referral of distressed participants to area mental health services or medical
providers if needed. All adverse events will be reported to the Stanford University
Institutional Review Board.
Auditing
No specific auditing has been planned for external supervision of trial conduct.
Ethics and dissemination
Research ethics approval
This protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Stanford University
(Protocol ID: 30641) and by the Board of Directors of EARN.
Protocol amendments
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Protocol modifications including changes to eligibility criteria, outcomes, or analyses will
be reported to the Institutional Review Board of Stanford University and posted on the
clinicaltrials.gov registry.
Consent
Informed consent will be obtained through an online web page that appears before
study enrollment, replicated in the Appendix.
Confidentiality
Personal information about potential and enrolled participants will be collected
during the enrollment process through EARN’s secure, encrypted online system. The
personal information will be held on the secure server and not shared before, during, or
after the trial. The personal information will be used to mail participants their $20 gift
card reward for survey completion, and place telephone calls and email reminders for
surveys. Subsequently, the information will be deleted. Trial data will be maintained after
the trial using only a participant ID, the study arm code, and the de-identified survey
results for months 0, 6, and 12.
Declaration of interests
No financial or other competing interests exist for the investigators in the trial.
Access to data
The study investigators listed as co-authors on this protocol will be the only
persons with direct access to the final trial dataset. Following peer-reviewed publication
of the results, the de-identified trial data will be made accessible to third parties who sign
a data use agreement in accordance with rules set out by the National Institutes of Health,
and who agree to use the data only for non-commercial academic research purposes, not
to make attempts to identify participants, and not to distribute the data to third parties.
Ancillary and post-trial care
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Ancillary and post-trial care are not deemed likely for any participants from this
study. Those participants who suffer psychological harm during the course of the study
will be referred to area medical care services.
Dissemination policy
The investigators plan to communicate trial results in a peer-reviewed publication
and potentially at academic public health conferences. No restrictions on publication
exist. Authorship will follow the International Council of Medical Journal Editors
standards for authorship, and no professional writers will be used [86]. The full protocol
will be accessible via clinicaltrials.gov. Participant-level data and statistical code will be
available upon request for non-commercial academic research purposes.
Three additional modes of dissemination will be employed. First, we will present
the results to an annual gathering of participants in EARN IDA programs, to elicit
responses from participants for potential future IDA program refinement and additional
health pathways for potential investigation. Secondly, we will present the results to the
National Coordinating Center for Public Health Services and Systems Research, which is
a consortium of public health departments around the country who are part of a
consortium addressing social and economic determinants of health through their local
communities. Finally, we will present at the Stanford University Center on Longevity’s
annual conference on financial security, which is attended by the major financial
institutions seeking to fund philanthropic ventures that improve both financial security
and quality of life across the life-course.
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of Health-Related Quality of Life for a Population-Based Survey. Public Health Rep
2009;124:103–10.
66 Patel SA, Narayan KMV, Ali MK, et al. Interstate Variation in Modifiable Risk
Factors and Cardiovascular Mortality in the United States. PLoS ONE 2014;9.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0101531
67 Pierannunzi C, Hu SS, Balluz L. A systematic review of publications assessing
reliability and validity of the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS),
2004–2011. BMC Med Res Methodol 2013;13:1–14. doi:10.1186/1471-2288-13-
49
68 Bowlin SJ, Morrill BD, Nafziger AN, et al. Validity of cardiovascular disease
risk factors assessed by telephone survey: the Behavioral Risk Factor Survey. J
Clin Epidemiol 1993;46:561–71.
69 Brownson RC, Jackson-Thompson J, Wilkerson JC, et al. Reliability of
information on chronic disease risk factors collected in the Missouri Behavioral
Risk Factor Surveillance System. Epidemiology 1994;5:545–9.
70 Stein AD, Lederman RI, Shea S. The Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance
System questionnaire: its reliability in a statewide sample. Am J Public Health
1993;83:1768–72.
71 Stein AD, Courval JM, Lederman RI, et al. Reproducibility of responses to
telephone interviews: demographic predictors of discordance in risk factor
status. Am J Epidemiol 1995;141:1097–105.
72 NICHD Early Child Care Research Network. Child Care and Child Development:
Results from the NICHD Study of Early Child Care and Youth Development. Guilford
Press 2005.
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73 Grable JE, Archuleta K, Roy RN. Financial Planning and Counseling Scales.
Springer Science & Business Media 2010.
74 Pressler SJ, Subramanian U, Perkins SM, et al. Measuring depressive
symptoms in heart failure: validity and reliability of the patient health
questionnaire-8. Am J Crit Care Off Publ Am Assoc Crit-Care Nurses 2011;20:146–
52. doi:10.4037/ajcc2010931
75 Scheier MF, Carver CS, Bridges MW. Distinguishing optimism from
neuroticism (and trait anxiety, self-mastery, and self-esteem): a reevaluation of
the Life Orientation Test. J Pers Soc Psychol 1994;67:1063–78.
76 Taylor SE, Kemeny ME, Reed GM, et al. Psychological resources, positive
illusions, and health. Am Psychol 2000;55:99–109.
77 Peterson C. The future of optimism. Am Psychol 2000;55:44–55.
78 Lachman ME, Weaver SL. The sense of control as a moderator of social class
differences in health and well-being. J Pers Soc Psychol 1998;74:763–73.
79 Pearlin LI, Schooler C. The structure of coping. J Health Soc Behav 1978;19:2–
21.
80 Hampson SE. Personality Processes: Mechanisms by which Personality Traits
‘Get Outside the Skin’. Annu Rev Psychol 2012;63:315–39. doi:10.1146/annurev-
psych-120710-100419
81 McCullagh P, Nelder JA. Generalized linear models. CRC press 1989.
https://books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=h9kFH2_FfBkC&oi=fnd&pg=PR1
6&dq=generalized+linear+models&ots=JhRY7VQNvN&sig=kzIm5DN8mUT4I6XG
TtTcWSZDc6w (accessed 25 Jun2015).
82 Mallinckrodt CH, Clark WS, David SR. Type I error rates from mixed effects
model repeated measures versus fixed effects ANOVA with missing values
imputed via last observation carried forward. Drug Inf J 2001;35:1215–25.
83 Siddiqui O, Ali MW. A comparison of the random-effects pattern mixture
model with last-observation-carried-forward (LOCF) analysis in longitudinal
clinical trials with dropouts. J Biopharm Stat 1998;8:545–63.
84 Hamer RM, Simpson PM. Last observation carried forward versus mixed
models in the analysis of psychiatric clinical trials. Am J Psychiatry
2009;166:639–41.
85 Schafer J. Missing data in longitudinal studies: a review. Nashville: 2005.
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86 Editors IC of MJ, others. Uniform requirements for manuscripts submitted to
biomedical journals. Pathology (Phila) 1997;29:441–7.
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Tables and Figures
Table 1: Schedule of enrolment, interventions, and assessments. IDA: individual
development account.
TIMEPOINT
STUDY PERIOD
Enrollment Allocation Post-allocation Close-out
-t1 0 t6 t12 t12
ENROLLMENT:
Eligibility screen X
Informed consent X
Allocation X
INTERVENTIONS:
IDA X X X X
Wait list control X X X X
ASSESSMENTS:
Online survey X X X
Process evaluation interviews X
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Figure 1: Example of hypothetical user account webpage
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Figure 2: The study was powered to detect a conservative effect size of Cohen’s f = 0.1
with 80% power at an alpha error probability of 0.05. The sample size was calculated
assuming two study arms, three repeated surveys (months 0, 6, and 12) for each
participant, a 25% attrition rate, and a correlation of 0.5 among repeated measures. Here,
we display sensitivity analysis graphs of the pre-attrition minimum sample size needed to
detect the estimated effect size, using G*Power software (version 3.1). The graphs
display minimal sample size required under alternative effect size estimates besides f =
0.1 when (A) increasing the assumed correlation between repeated measures from 0.5 to
0.8 and (B) when attempting to achieve power of 0.9 rather than 0.8.
(A)
(B)
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Authors' contributions:
SB, RH, JW, SM, DR, and MC contributed to the conception and design of the protocol.
SB wrote the first draft of the protocol. RH, JW, SM, DR, and MC revised the protocol
critically for important intellectual content. All authors gave final approval of the version
to be published and agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work.
Funding statement:
This work was supported by the National Institutes of Health through the Stanford Center
for Clinical and Translational Research and Education (SPECTRUM) under award
number UL1 TR001085. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does
not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.
Competing interests statement:
No competing interesting to declare.
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Appendix
Consent form
DESCRIPTION: You are invited to participate in a research study on how participation in the EARN.org savings account program affects your general sense of well-being, as well as symptoms of depression, anxiety, and any tobacco or alcohol use. You will be asked to take three anonymous surveys about these issues, one survey now, one in 6 months, and one in 12 months. If you only complete 1 survey, you will still receive compensation (a $20 gift card to Safeway) for that survey. You may be randomized to participate in a specific EARN.org savings account program or randomized to a 1-year wait list for that specific program. You can decide not to participate in the study and still be placed on the wait list for the program.
TIME INVOLVEMENT: Your participation will take approximately 20 minutes per survey. RISKS AND BENEFITS: The risks associated with this study are potential discomfort when you are asked about health issues. You will not receive any direct benefit from participation. We cannot and do not guarantee or promise that you will receive any benefits from this study.
PAYMENTS: You will receive a $20 gift card to Safeway as payment for your participation for each of 2 surveys. Payments may only be made to U.S. citizens, legal resident aliens, and those who have a work eligible visa. SUBJECT'S RIGHTS: If you have read this form and have decided to participate in this project, please understand your participation is voluntary and you have the right to
withdraw your consent or discontinue participation at any time without penalty or
loss of benefits to which you are otherwise entitled. The alternative is not to participate. You have the right to refuse to answer. Typing your name into the text box below will confirm your consent to participate in the study.
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Sample survey
Note that the exact fonts and formatting of the survey will appear differently online than
in this print form.
This survey helps us understand your health. It is entirely optional. The survey does not record
your name or any other information that could identify you. Your responses will be stored
anonymously on a secure computer. They will not be released to anyone outside of the study or
to the staff at Earn. The study is being conducted by the Stanford University School of Medicine.
Our goal is to better understand your health needs and how Earn services may affect your health.
This helps us to better design programs to help you stay healthy. If you have any questions,
please contact the study organizer: Sanjay Basu, (XXX) XXX-XXXX.
H0) Would you say that in general your health, as compared to other people your age, is-?
Excellent
Very good
Good
Fair
Poor
H1) Please think about your physical health. This includes physical illness and injury. How many
days during the past 30 days was your physical health not good?
H2) Now please think about your emotional health. This includes stress, depression, . How many
days during the past 30 days was your emotional health not good?
H3) During the past 30 days, for about how many days did poor physical or emotional health keep
you from doing your usual activities, such as self-care, work, or recreation?
H4) In planning your savings and spending, which of the following time periods is most important
to you and your household?
the next week
the next month
the next 2-6 months
the next year
the next 2-5 years or longer
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Please read the statements below and indicate the extent to which you agree with each
statement.
Strongly Disagree
Disagree
Slightly Disagree
Slightly agree
Somewhat agree
Strongly agree
O1) If something can go wrong for me it will.
O2) I’m always optimistic about my future.
O3) In uncertain times, I usually expect the best.
O4) Overall, I expect more good things to happen to me than bad.
O5) I hardly ever expect things to go my way.
O6) I rarely count on good things happening to me.
L1) I often feel helpless in dealing with the problems of life.
L2) Other people determine most of what I can and cannot do.
L3) What happens in my life is often beyond my control.
L4) I have little control over the things that happen to me.
L5) There is really no way I can solve the problems I have
L6) I can do just about anything I really set my mind to.
L7) When I really want to do something, I usually find a way to succeed at it.
L8) Whether or not I am able to get what I want is in my own hands.
L9) What happens to me in the future mostly depends on me.
L10) I can do the things that I want to do.
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A1) During the past 30 days, how many days did you have at least one drink of any alcoholic
beverage? This includes beer, wine, malt beverages, and liquor.
Days in past 30 days
A2) A drink of alcohol is 1 can or bottle of beer, 1 glass of wine, 1 can or bottle of wine cooler, 1 cocktail, or 1 shot of liquor. During the past 30 days, how many days per week or per month did you have at least one drink of any alcoholic beverage?
A3) Considering all types of alcoholic beverages, how many times during the past 30 days did
you have X [Script: X = 5 for men, X = 4 for women] or more drinks on an occasion?
H4) Are you now trying to lose weight?
yes no
H5) About how much do you weigh without shoes? Answer in pounds.
H6) About how tall are you without shoes? Answer in feet and inches.
+
Instructions: Over the last 2 weeks, how often have you been bothered by any of the following
problems?
Not at all
Several days
More than half the days
Nearly every day
M1) Little interest or pleasure in doing things
M2) Feeling down, depressed, or hopeless
M3) Trouble falling asleep or staying asleep, or sleeping too much
M4) Feeling tired or having little energy
M5) Poor appetite or overeating
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M6) Feeling bad about yourself, or that you are a failure, or have let yourself or your family down
M7) Trouble concentrating on things, such as reading the newspaper or watching television
M8) Moving or speaking so slowly that other people could have noticed. Or the opposite – being so fidgety or restless that you have been moving around a lot more than usual.
T0) Have you smoked at least 100 cigarettes in your entire life?
yes no
Script: If NO go to Part 5, else go to “T1”
T1) Do you now smoke cigarettes every day, some days, or not at all?
every day some days not at all
T2) During the past 6 months, have you stopped smoking for one day or longer because you
were trying to quit smoking?
yes no
S1) SPENDING BEHAVIORS (relative to income) Over the past six months, would you say your household has been...
Spending less money than you have had coming in.
Spending more money than you have had coming in.
Spending about the same amount of money that you have had coming in. S2) SAVINGS BEHAVIORS (regularity of savings & amount) Over the past six months, which most accurately describes your household?
We put aside money as savings every paycheck or every month.
We put aside money as savings when we can, but not regularly.
We didn't really put aside money as savings. S3) How much money did your household put aside as savings in an average month?
We did not put aside savings in an average month.
Up to $50
$51 to $100
$101 to $200
More than $200
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S4) SPENDING PLAN Does your household have a monthly spending plan?
Yes, and we mostly stick to it.
Yes, but we don't really stick to it.
No, we do not have a plan. S5)
Does your household currently have enough money saved to cover expenses for three months
without any earned income?
Yes
No
S6)
What is your household's strategy for handling a financial emergency?
I don’t have a strategy.
Borrow from payday lender
Borrow from friends or family
Borrow from another source
Use credit card
Use savings
S7)
Are you wiling to have a study staff member contact you for a telephone conversation about your
experiences with this study?
Yes
No
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1
SPIRIT 2013 Checklist: Recommended items to address in a clinical trial protocol and related documents*
Section/item Item No
Description Addressed on page number
Administrative information
Title 1 Descriptive title identifying the study design, population, interventions, and, if applicable, trial acronym _______1______
Trial registration 2a Trial identifier and registry name. If not yet registered, name of intended registry ________2_____
2b All items from the World Health Organization Trial Registration Data Set ______2_______
Protocol version 3 Date and version identifier ______2_______
Funding 4 Sources and types of financial, material, and other support ______29_______
Roles and
responsibilities
5a Names, affiliations, and roles of protocol contributors ____1, 29_______
5b Name and contact information for the trial sponsor _____29________
5c Role of study sponsor and funders, if any, in study design; collection, management, analysis, and
interpretation of data; writing of the report; and the decision to submit the report for publication, including
whether they will have ultimate authority over any of these activities
____29_________
5d Composition, roles, and responsibilities of the coordinating centre, steering committee, endpoint
adjudication committee, data management team, and other individuals or groups overseeing the trial, if
applicable (see Item 21a for data monitoring committee)
_____16________
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Introduction
Background and
rationale
6a Description of research question and justification for undertaking the trial, including summary of relevant
studies (published and unpublished) examining benefits and harms for each intervention
______5_______
6b Explanation for choice of comparators ______7_______
Objectives 7 Specific objectives or hypotheses ______7_______
Trial design 8 Description of trial design including type of trial (eg, parallel group, crossover, factorial, single group),
allocation ratio, and framework (eg, superiority, equivalence, noninferiority, exploratory)
______8_______
Methods: Participants, interventions, and outcomes
Study setting 9 Description of study settings (eg, community clinic, academic hospital) and list of countries where data will
be collected. Reference to where list of study sites can be obtained
______8_______
Eligibility criteria 10 Inclusion and exclusion criteria for participants. If applicable, eligibility criteria for study centres and
individuals who will perform the interventions (eg, surgeons, psychotherapists)
_____8________
Interventions 11a Interventions for each group with sufficient detail to allow replication, including how and when they will be
administered
______8_______
11b Criteria for discontinuing or modifying allocated interventions for a given trial participant (eg, drug dose
change in response to harms, participant request, or improving/worsening disease)
_____9________
11c Strategies to improve adherence to intervention protocols, and any procedures for monitoring adherence
(eg, drug tablet return, laboratory tests)
_____9________
11d Relevant concomitant care and interventions that are permitted or prohibited during the trial ______9_______
Outcomes 12 Primary, secondary, and other outcomes, including the specific measurement variable (eg, systolic blood
pressure), analysis metric (eg, change from baseline, final value, time to event), method of aggregation (eg,
median, proportion), and time point for each outcome. Explanation of the clinical relevance of chosen
efficacy and harm outcomes is strongly recommended
_____9-10______
Participant timeline 13 Time schedule of enrolment, interventions (including any run-ins and washouts), assessments, and visits for
participants. A schematic diagram is highly recommended (see Figure)
_____11________
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Sample size 14 Estimated number of participants needed to achieve study objectives and how it was determined, including
clinical and statistical assumptions supporting any sample size calculations
_____12________
Recruitment 15 Strategies for achieving adequate participant enrolment to reach target sample size _____13________
Methods: Assignment of interventions (for controlled trials)
Allocation:
Sequence
generation
16a Method of generating the allocation sequence (eg, computer-generated random numbers), and list of any
factors for stratification. To reduce predictability of a random sequence, details of any planned restriction
(eg, blocking) should be provided in a separate document that is unavailable to those who enrol participants
or assign interventions
______13_______
Allocation
concealment
mechanism
16b Mechanism of implementing the allocation sequence (eg, central telephone; sequentially numbered,
opaque, sealed envelopes), describing any steps to conceal the sequence until interventions are assigned
______13_______
Implementation 16c Who will generate the allocation sequence, who will enrol participants, and who will assign participants to
interventions
______13_______
Blinding (masking) 17a Who will be blinded after assignment to interventions (eg, trial participants, care providers, outcome
assessors, data analysts), and how
______13_______
17b If blinded, circumstances under which unblinding is permissible, and procedure for revealing a participant’s
allocated intervention during the trial
_____13________
Methods: Data collection, management, and analysis
Data collection
methods
18a Plans for assessment and collection of outcome, baseline, and other trial data, including any related
processes to promote data quality (eg, duplicate measurements, training of assessors) and a description of
study instruments (eg, questionnaires, laboratory tests) along with their reliability and validity, if known.
Reference to where data collection forms can be found, if not in the protocol
______14_______
18b Plans to promote participant retention and complete follow-up, including list of any outcome data to be
collected for participants who discontinue or deviate from intervention protocols
______14_______
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Data management 19 Plans for data entry, coding, security, and storage, including any related processes to promote data quality
(eg, double data entry; range checks for data values). Reference to where details of data management
procedures can be found, if not in the protocol
________15_____
Statistical methods 20a Statistical methods for analysing primary and secondary outcomes. Reference to where other details of the
statistical analysis plan can be found, if not in the protocol
_______15______
20b Methods for any additional analyses (eg, subgroup and adjusted analyses) ______15_______
20c Definition of analysis population relating to protocol non-adherence (eg, as randomised analysis), and any
statistical methods to handle missing data (eg, multiple imputation)
_______16______
Methods: Monitoring
Data monitoring 21a Composition of data monitoring committee (DMC); summary of its role and reporting structure; statement of
whether it is independent from the sponsor and competing interests; and reference to where further details
about its charter can be found, if not in the protocol. Alternatively, an explanation of why a DMC is not
needed
______16_______
21b Description of any interim analyses and stopping guidelines, including who will have access to these interim
results and make the final decision to terminate the trial
_____16________
Harms 22 Plans for collecting, assessing, reporting, and managing solicited and spontaneously reported adverse
events and other unintended effects of trial interventions or trial conduct
_____16________
Auditing 23 Frequency and procedures for auditing trial conduct, if any, and whether the process will be independent
from investigators and the sponsor
_____16________
Ethics and dissemination
Research ethics
approval
24 Plans for seeking research ethics committee/institutional review board (REC/IRB) approval _____17________
Protocol
amendments
25 Plans for communicating important protocol modifications (eg, changes to eligibility criteria, outcomes,
analyses) to relevant parties (eg, investigators, REC/IRBs, trial participants, trial registries, journals,
regulators)
_____17________
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5
Consent or assent 26a Who will obtain informed consent or assent from potential trial participants or authorised surrogates, and
how (see Item 32)
______17_______
26b Additional consent provisions for collection and use of participant data and biological specimens in ancillary
studies, if applicable
______17_______
Confidentiality 27 How personal information about potential and enrolled participants will be collected, shared, and maintained
in order to protect confidentiality before, during, and after the trial
______17_______
Declaration of
interests
28 Financial and other competing interests for principal investigators for the overall trial and each study site ______17_______
Access to data 29 Statement of who will have access to the final trial dataset, and disclosure of contractual agreements that
limit such access for investigators
______17_______
Ancillary and post-
trial care
30 Provisions, if any, for ancillary and post-trial care, and for compensation to those who suffer harm from trial
participation
_____18________
Dissemination policy 31a Plans for investigators and sponsor to communicate trial results to participants, healthcare professionals,
the public, and other relevant groups (eg, via publication, reporting in results databases, or other data
sharing arrangements), including any publication restrictions
_____18________
31b Authorship eligibility guidelines and any intended use of professional writers ______18_______
31c Plans, if any, for granting public access to the full protocol, participant-level dataset, and statistical code _____18________
Appendices
Informed consent
materials
32 Model consent form and other related documentation given to participants and authorised surrogates ______30_______
Biological
specimens
33 Plans for collection, laboratory evaluation, and storage of biological specimens for genetic or molecular
analysis in the current trial and for future use in ancillary studies, if applicable
_____N/A_______
_
*It is strongly recommended that this checklist be read in conjunction with the SPIRIT 2013 Explanation & Elaboration for important clarification on the items.
Amendments to the protocol should be tracked and dated. The SPIRIT checklist is copyrighted by the SPIRIT Group under the Creative Commons
“Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported” license.
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