the ec scientific support to energy security
DESCRIPTION
The EC scientific support to energy security. Marcelo Masera Head of Unit "Energy Security" Institute for Energy and Transport Joint Research Centre. ENERGY SECURITY. SMART ELECTRICITY SYSTEMS & INTER-OPERABILITY. SECURITY OF SUPPLY. Data. Models & Simulation. Assessment. Experiments. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
The EC scientific support to energy security
Marcelo MaseraHead of Unit "Energy Security"Institute for Energy and TransportJoint Research Centre
ENERGY SECURITY
SMART ELECTRICITY SYSTEMS & INTER-OPERABILITY
SECURITYOFSUPPLY
DataData
Models &SimulationModels &Simulation
AssessmentAssessment
ExperimentsExperimentsRepresent
realityStudy the techno-economic systems Appraise the impacts
(risk, economic)Analyse keytechnologies European dimension
Smart Grids Projects in EUCost benefit analysis of
Smart Meters and Smart Grids
Smart Grids Projects in EUCost benefit analysis of
Smart Meters and Smart Grids
EU Grid simulatorReal-time simulatorInteroperability lab
EU Grid simulatorReal-time simulatorInteroperability lab
Security: technical, economic, social and
political factors
Security: technical, economic, social and
political factors
International (ANL)Industry (ENTSOE, EURELECTRIC)
R&D
International (ANL)Industry (ENTSOE, EURELECTRIC)
R&D
SMART ELECTRICITY SYSTEMS & INTER-OPERABILITY
SMART GRID INVENTORY
2012 JRC Inventory of Smart Grids in Europe: 281 Smart Grid projects in EU27 € 1.8 billion overall investment
By far the most investment comes from organisations in EU15 countries. EU12 countries2 are lagging behind, with consistently low investment over the years.
Effects
Smart Grid project overall
assessment
KPIs
Economic appraisal(monetised impacts)
Qualitative analysis(non-monetised impacts)
Costs
Benefits
Externalitiescharacterisation
MeritDeployment
(contribution to policy goals)Societal
Cost-Benefit
Analysis
COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF SMART GRID PROJECTS
Lab Functions and capabilities
9
SECURITYOF SUPPLY
Models and Simulation of Gas Networks
Disruptions scenarios(Regulation 994/2010)
Models and Simulation of Gas Networks
Disruptions scenarios(Regulation 994/2010)
Unconventional gas/oil resources Shale gas Techno-economic study
(DG ENV/ENER/CLIMA initiative)
Unconventional gas/oil resources Shale gas Techno-economic study
(DG ENV/ENER/CLIMA initiative)
Offshore safety
(Directive June 2013)
Offshore safety
(Directive June 2013)
OFFSHORE SAFETY
Offshore oil & gas most important European indigenous source of HC
11% oil; 26% gas needsEU + Norway: > 30% of demand
Global trenddeep water offshore oil production from 2% (2001) to 12% (2015)
Demanding conditionsDeeper waters, frontier conditions (HP/HT) harsh / sensitive environments
Opportunity for innovative production technologies & systems
UNCONVENTIONAL HYDROCARBONS
ContentsReview of Regional and Global Resource EstimatesReview of TechnologiesLand and Market AccessImpact on the European and the Global Energy Systems
MethodologyAssess Evidence - evidence based policy and practiceEnergy Modelling
ContentsTechnological ReviewAdvantages & disadvantages
MethodologyLiterature reviewContact with technology developers
GAS INFRASTRUCTURE
Global view - One node per country - Supply/demand balance check - One day time step
Detailed network view - Disruption consequence analysis - Pressure calculations- GIS visualisation
Detailed network view - Dynamic simulation- Pressure calculations- Disruption analysis
Detailed network view - Probabilistic disruption analysis- Identification of critical links - Network development effectiveness analysis
System data: GIS network topology, physical capacity, flows, reversibility, failure ratesSystem knowledge: hazards, failure modes, failure propagation, consequence evaluationMarket data: contractual capacity, price/demand elasticity, competition effects
BALTIC ENERGY SECURITY RESEARCH PLATFORM
Discussed and proposed during conference “Energy Security, Outlook and Perspectives in the Baltic Sea Region” held in Vilnius, 15-16 November 2012
Participants leading researchers, systemoperators, government representatives, regulators and analysts
BALTIC ENERGY SECURITY RESEARCH PLATFORM /2
Developments:
Preliminary meeting of representatives of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia in April 2013
Expected to be officially launched during the Lithuania‘s Presidency of the European Union
Progress in discussions towards political commitment and academic-research representation from Baltic Region countries
Thank you for your attention!
ENERGY SECURITY
SMART ELECTRICITY SYSTEMS & INTER-OPERABILITY
SECURITYOFSUPPLY