the economy: does more government help or hurt?

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Stephanie Kelton, Ph.D. Chair, Department of Economics University of Missouri, Kansas City KC Public Library, Plaza Branch September 16, 2014

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Slides from the like named public forum presented at the Kansas City Public Library, Plaza Branch, on September 16, 2014

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Stephanie Kelton, Ph.D.Chair, Department of Economics

University of Missouri, Kansas CityKC Public Library, Plaza Branch

September 16, 2014

Page 2: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Be Careful…..

Page 3: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

For Example….

How to Help the Economy

Limit the size of government

Do anything else

Page 4: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?
Page 5: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Lucy Laffer Charlie Brownback

Unshackling the Spirit of Initiative

Page 6: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

The poor won’t work because they have too much money and the rich won’t work because they have too little.”

~John Kenneth Galbraith

Page 7: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Let’s Do It, Art!

Page 8: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

“If you build it, they will come.”

Page 9: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

“We’ve had conversations with people and think it’s nice, but we haven’t seen any rush to hire new

people or build new facilities,” Robinett said. “There’s still the tendency to wait for the demand first. It’s unusual to take the approach to build up

the supply and expect the demand to come.”

~Tom Robinett, VP for Government AffairsOverland Park Chamber of Commerce

Is it Helping?

Page 10: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Better Question: Whom is it Helping?

• Growth in private sector jobs lags national average by a full percentage point

• KS is behind MO, OK and CO• Kansas Legislative Research

Dept. estimates total $4.5 billion decrease in revenue by 2018

• The bottom 20% are paying about $166 more in taxes, while the top 1% are paying $19,786 less

Page 11: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?
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Capitalism is a system that only works when there are enough customers, spending enough money, to keep sales and profits growing

Page 13: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?
Page 14: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

The Great Recession

Hemorrhaging jobs

Page 15: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

How Government Helps A Countercyclical Shock Absorber

Page 16: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

How Government Hurts• When the economy starts to

weaken, unemployment rises and the deficit increases

• The impulse is to fight against it (with austerity) to keep the deficit in check

• But that only makes things worse

• Like turning the wheel in the opposite direction in skid

• You have to turn into the skid to regain balance

Page 17: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Our “Economy” is Measured in Sales

Customer Killers

Plea for Austerity

Page 18: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?
Page 19: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

FOREIGN

Page 20: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Private

Government

(Some of) Our Problems

Page 21: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?
Page 22: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Top 10%

Even a “Recovery” No Longer Improves the Majority

Page 23: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?
Page 24: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Not Enough Jobs, Given Demand

Page 25: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Workers Get Less & Less

Page 26: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?
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Page 28: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

What to Do?

• Federally-funded jobs program modeled on the WPA, CCC, NYA

• Infrastructure• Education (Pell example)• Student Debt• Research & Innovation

Page 29: The Economy: Does More Government Help or Hurt?

Thank You!

@StephanieKelton

Those are just some of things that government can do to help lay a foundation for long-term prosperity.