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The Emerging International Consensus on Bioeconomy Benefits
DOEBioeconomy2017
12July2017
Gerard J. Ostheimer, Ph.D.Global Lead for Sustainable Bioenergy
Sustainable Energy for All
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BiofuelsPolicyEcosystemfrom2008to2015
TradeGroups
EnforcedBiofuelMandate
BiofuelDemand
PublicSupport
NationalGovernment
NGOs&OilCompanies
• Demandwasalmostentirelypolicydriven.• Producersandtradegroupsweretheprimarypolicyadvocates.• TheinternationalREpolicyenvironmentwastypicallyhostiletobiofuelsfromNGOinput.
• InternationalTechnicalAgencieswereNOT connectedtonationalpolicydevelopment.
InternationalTechnicalAgencies
GBEPIndicatorsofSustainableBioenergyProductionandUse• Consensusreachedin2011• Appliedinnumerouscountriessince• Learningthatitishardtogettheneededdata
TheInternationalEnergyAgency(IEA)hasspokenstronglyinfavorofLowCarbonFuelsforyears...
©OECD/IEA2015
• Globalbiofuelsupplytogrowfrom2.5EJtodayto32EJin2050• Biofuelsshareintotaltransportfuelincreasesfrom2%today,to27%in2050• Diesel/kerosene-typebiofuelsareparticularlyimportanttodecarbonise heavytransport• Large-scaledeploymentofadvancedbiofuelsisvitaltomeettheroadmaptargets
IEAROADMAP(2011)
T
SustainableEnergyforAll– Leadingtheefforttosustainable,lowcarbonfuture.
TheUNSecretaryGeneralandtheWorldBankPresidentcreatedSE4Allin2012for:
Ban-Ki MoonSecretaryGeneral
United Nations
Jim Yong KimPresident
World Bank
In2015theSE4forAllmissionwasincorporatedintotheSustainableDevelopmentGoalsasSDG7:
“Ensureaccesstoaffordable,reliable,sustainableandmodernenergyforall”.
017DOEBioeconomy2017 11July2017
IRENAexpectsbiomasstocontribute60%todoublingtheuseofrenewables.
SustainableBioenergyisneededtosubstituteforfossilfueluseintheHEAT,POWERandTRANSPORTATIONsectors.
Ø IRENA’s2014Remap2030expectsbiomasstocontribute60%todoublingtheuseofrenewables
MISSIONINNOVATIONInParisatCOP2120countriescommittedtoreinvigorateglobaleffortsincleanenergyinnovation;
GOALS• Developandscalebreakthroughtechnologiesthatpromisesubstantialcostreductions.• Doublepubliccleanenergyresearchanddevelopmentinvestmentoverfiveyears.
INNOVATIONCHALLENGES• Callstoactiontoaccelerateresearch,development,anddemonstration(RD&D)in7technologyareas.• Strikingly,oneofthe7istheSustainableBiofuelsInnovationChallenge thatseekstodevelopwaysto
produce,atscale,widelyaffordable,advancedbiofuelsfortransportationandindustrialapplications.
BreakthroughEnergyCoalitionLaunchesUS$1BillionCleanEnergyFundDecember12,2016The BreakthroughEnergyCoalition(BEC)—agroupofentrepreneurs,businessleaders,andinstitutionalinvestorscommittedtohelpbringpromisingnewzero-emissionsenergytechnologiestomarket—hasannouncedacommitmenttoinvestmorethanUS$1billioninafundcalled BreakthroughEnergyVentures(BEV).
MISSIONINNOVATIONlaunchedin2015duringCOP21inParis
Ø TheGovernmentofBrazil,includingBNDES,seekstopromotebiomass-derivedfuelsandchemicalsbyhelpingmatureandemergingmarketsdeveloptheircellulosicresources.
Ø TheBiofuturePlatformisausefulnewgovernment-to-government dialog(asopposedtoapublic-privatepartnership)
Ø SEforAll>below50arepartners andcoordinateeffortsbetweenthepublicandprivatesector.
Ø ItissignificantthatcountrieslikeBrazil,ChinaandIndiawilladvocate forLowCarbonFuels.
BIOFUTUREPLATFORM LAUNCHEDATCOP22(2016)
TwentycountrieslaunchedtheBiofuturePlatformtohelp- GrowtheGlobalBioeconomy&- Decarbonizetransportandindustry
throughadvancedlowcarbonfuelssolutions.
TheBiomassSustainabilityspacehasgrownquitedensesince2008.
NewBioeconomyPolicyEcosystem
TradeGroups
EnforcedBiofuelMandate
BiofuelDemand
PublicSupport
NationalGovernment
OilCompanies&NGOs
Govt-to-GovtDialog
BetterpoliciesandR&Dcanfacilitatesupply,BUT• Howtogrowdemandnotdependentongovernmentmandates?• Howtotrulyunleashmarketforcestodriveinnovation?
InternationalTechnicalAgencies
??
N
SustainableBioenergyAccelerator:PartneringforGrowth
TheAcceleratorisanot-for-profit,voluntaryassociationthatsupportsSEforAllandthru• Knowledgeenhancementandinformationsharing;• Policyandsustainabilitysupport;and• Deploymentsupport.
TheGroupfostersPublic-PrivatePartnershipsthatwillencouragethesustainableproductionanduseof• Biopower fromAgricultureResiduesandMunicipalSolidWaste;
• On-farmbioenergyforincreasedAgriculturalProductivity;and
• LowCarbonFuelsforAviationandRoadTransport.
Novozymes created and has sponsored the Sustainable Bioenergy Accelerator to meet the goals of SEforALL.
Co-Chairs:
017DOEBioeconomy2017 11July2017
Below50-
08June2017
+PUBLIC PRIVATE
MARKETS
INVESTMENT
below50fuels Lessthan½CO2emissionsoffossilfuels
017DOEBioeconomy2017 11July2017
GrowingtheGlobalMarketfortheWorld’sMostSustainableFuels
• Convert the global momentum on climate action into national level policies, i.e. link Low Carbon Fuels to the NDCs
• Create cross-sectoral B2B opportunities in new & mature markets throughout the supply chain
• Host regional dialogues in key markets to engage with investors and financiers to address investment barriers
• Create demand for below50 fuels by recruiting corporate fuel buyers
Movement Action
below50– EnablingtheuptakeofLowCarbonFuels
017DOEBioeconomy2017 11July2017
DirectCorporateFuel-Buyingcouldaugmentdemandandfosterinvestmentinthebioeconomy
TradeGroups
EnforcedBiofuelMandate
BiofuelDemand
PublicSupport
NationalGovernment
OilCompanies&NGOs
Govt-to-GovtDialog
• Companiesarede-carbonizingtheiroperations.• Airlineshavebeenleadingtheway.Canwetranslatetheirworktoroadfreight?
InternationalTechnicalAgencies
CompanyFleets
Bioenergy for Sustainable DevelopmentThreeGlobalagenciesarecallingonnationsto useBioenergytoachievetheUNSustainableDevelopmentGoals(SDGs).
Bioenergytypicallyenhancesregionalenergyaccessandreducesrelianceonfossilfuels,anditcan
• Vitalizetheforestryandagriculturesectors;• Contributetoourglobalclimatechangemitigationgoals• Supportotherimportantsocialandenvironmentalobjectives.
Threekeyconcernsare• Foodsecurity;• Risksthatlanduseandlandusechangefrombioenergyexpansionmayincrease
carbonemissionsorreducebiodiversity;and• Becomingcost-competitivewithfossilfuels.
Bioenergyneednotcompetewithfoodsecurityduetothepotentialto• Increaseagriculturalyields;• Convertofpastureland;and• Restoredegradedlandscapes.
RatioofActualtoPotentialYieldforMaize(Year2000)
Source:GlobalAgro-EcologicalZones
Increasingagyieldswillboostbiomassandstarchproduction
Pastureland(3.4billionha)
Cropland(1.5billionha)
AgriculturalLand(BillionHectares)
0
%Dietaryprotein
20
40
60
80
100
00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.0
%HarvestedCrops
20
40
60
80
1001.4billionhaprime&good
1.5billionhamarginal&very
Couldpossiblygrowsomeenergycropsadaptedtosalineordesertconditions
70millionhamoreforfood
by2050(FAO)Couldbemoresuitableforenergycropsthanfoodcrops
Pasturelandcanbecoverted intocroplandforFoodandFuels
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DegradedlandcanbeconvertedintocroplandforFoodandFuels
below, bescience, bebetter, beinnovation
below50.org
GerardJ.Ostheimer,Ph.D.SEforAllSustainableBioenergyPartnershipGlobalLeadandSecretariatGEOE@novozymes.com
below50SeniorAdvisor