the end of oil as primary source of energy

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PROBLEMATIC The current world oil consumption is 87,915 kBbl/day. The world total proven oil reserves is 1,478,974 million barrels. The current daily production rate is 83,241 kBbl/day (That means we consume more than we produce oops!). For the last 5 years (2005 to 2010), the world consumption has increased by 25%. Someone will ask me what about the reserves? of course, the past 5 years, the reserves have increased by 29% but only 30% is recoverable by current methods and 55% by heavy high tech engineering methods. When is the end of oil as the primary source of energy By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

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Growing consumption of oil raise questions of availability and sustainibility.

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Page 1: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

PROBLEMATIC

The current world oil consumption is 87,915 kBbl/day. The world total proven oil reserves is 1,478,974 million barrels.

The current daily production rate is 83,241 kBbl/day (That means we consume more than we produce oops!).

For the last 5 years (2005 to 2010), the world consumption has increased by 25%.

Someone will ask me what about the reserves? of course, the past 5 years, the reserves have increased by 29% but only 30% is recoverable by current methods and 55% by heavy

high tech engineering methods.

When is the end of oil as the primary source of energy

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 2: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

INTRODUCTION

Energy and persistence conquer all things. Benjamin Franklin (January 17, 1706 [O.S. January 6, 1705[1]] – April 17, 1790) was one of the Founding Fathers of the United States.

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 3: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

OPERATION OVERVIEW

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 4: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

OPERATION OVERVIEW TODAY

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 5: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

TOP 10 PRODUCER IN THE WORLD

• Russia 10450 • Saudi Arabia 9761 • USA 7805 • Iran 4259 • China 4103 • Canada 3367 • Mexico 2953 • United 2848 • Venezuela 2438 • Nigeria 2436

2010

(KBbl/Day)

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 6: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

WORLD’S PRODUCTION

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

1995 2000 2005 2008 2009 2010

Tho

usa

nd

of

bar

ril/

Day

Year

World's Production of Oil 2010 =82000 K Barrel/Day

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 7: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

TOP 10 RESERVE IN THE WORLD

• Saudi 262602 • Venezuela 211170 • Canada 175214 • Iran 137010 • Iraq 115000 • Kuwait 104000 • USA 97800 • Russia 60000 • Libya 46420 • Nigeria 37200

(Mbl) Top 10 Producer (Kbl/Day)

WATCH WHAT HAPPENNING TO THE OUTSIDERS

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

• Russia 10450 • Saudi Arabia 9761 • USA 7805 • Iran 4259 • China 4103 • Canada 3367 • Mexico 2953 • United 2848 • Venezuela 2438 • Nigeria 2436

Page 8: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

84%

16%

World's Oil Reserve 2011

Top 10

Rest of the World

WORLD’S RESERVE

Page 9: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

TOP 10 OIL CONSUMPTION

• United 19 528 • China 9 377 • Japan 4 422 • India 3 338 • Russia 3 041 • Brazil 2 724 • Saudi Arabia 2 664 • Germany 2 483 • South Korea 2 249 • Canada 2 234

59%

41%

World's Oil Consumption 2010

Top 10

Rest of the World

WATCH THEIR FUTURE ACTION (BRIC)

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 10: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

LEVEL OF DEPENDANCE

• Russia • Saudi Arabia • USA • Iran • China • Canada • Mexico • UAE • Venezuela • Nigeria

• Saudi • Venezuela • Canada • Iran • Iraq • Kuwait • USA • Russia • Libya • Nigeria

• United • China • Japan • India • Russia • Brazil • Saudi Arabia • Germany • South Korea • Canada

Top 10 Producer Top 10 Reserve Top 10 Consumer

IN TROUBLE: CHINA, JAPAN, INDIA, BRAZIL, SOUTH KOREA, GERMANY By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 11: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

HOW LONG CAN WE SURVIVE?

Dependence from OIL&GAS Years to survive • USA 62% 10

• CHINA 22% 14

• JAPAN 63% 7

• INDIA 31% 18

• BRAZIL 58% 16

• GERMANY 56% 9

• SOUTH KOREA59% NA

• WORLD 45

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 12: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

OIL FUTURE

We produce only 2.2% of the Daily Reserve and consume 100% of our production

46

44 43

44 45 45

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

-350000

-300000

-250000

-200000

-150000

-100000

-50000

0

50000

100000

150000

1995 2000 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011

bar

ril/

Day

Year

Future World's Oil

New Discovery

Years to survive

The Discovery Rate is about 5% increase average YoY.

OIL FUTURE IS UNCERTAIN, NOT PREDICTABLE

Production

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 13: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

WHEN OIL ENERGY WILL DIE?

Mideast/N.Africa oilfields 6 28 Arctic oilfields 32 100

Other conventional oilfields 6 39 Heavy oil/bitumen 32 68

CO2 enhanced oil recovery 30 80 Oil shales 52 113

Deep/ultra-deep-water oilfields 32 65 Gas to liquids 38 113

Enhanced oil recovery 32 82 Coal to liquids 60 113

Oil fie lds Estim ated Production Costs ($ 2008)

COST OF DOING OIL BUSINESS IS LESS THAN THE OIL PRICE

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 14: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

COMPARISION WITH SUBSTITUTES

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

Page 15: The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

WHAT IS THE NEXT SOURCE OF ENERGY

• HYDRO

• NUCLEAR

• COAL

• WIND

• GAS

• SOLAR

Need HULT MBA to crack it!

By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club