the fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty
TRANSCRIPT
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THE FOSSIL FUELNON- PROLIFERATION TREATY
An initiative to phase-out fossil fuels and fast-track solutions
4.1
Climate Action Committee
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Greatest Global Threat: Climate ChangeSource: WEF Global Risks Perception Survey 2019-2020Climate Action Committee
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Developed reserves + Paris climate goalsClimate Action Committee
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The Production Gap
Climate Action Committee
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Global systems approach to the fossil fuel industryClimate Action Committee
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Non-proliferation Global disarmament
Peaceful transition
Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation TreatyFacilitating a rapid, coordinated, transparent and equitable transition
away from fossil fuels
See: Peter Newell & Andrew Simms (2020) Towards a fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty, Climate Policy, 20:8, 1043-1054
Climate Action Committee
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Equity in the Global South
Climate Action Committee
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Climate Action Committee
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Cities:
● Play a pivotal role
● Hit hard by climate
disruption
Fossil fuel companies:
● Undercut climate action
● Divert funds
Why cities?
A treaty is important to act on climate emergency
Climate Action Committee
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Climate Action Committee
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Climate Action Committee
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Climate Action Committee
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Learn more and join the campaign at
www.fossilfueltreaty.org
Follow @fossilfueltreaty to share with your networks
Climate Action Committee42308646
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MODELLING A CARBON NEUTRAL REGIONPRELIMINARY RESULTS Morgan BraglewiczSENIOR POLICY AND PLANNING ANALYST
Climate Action Committee
5.2
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2
Metro Vancouver will be a carbon neutral region by 2050, and reduce GHG emissions by 45% by 2030
Climate Action Committee
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3
How do we create a carbon neutral region by 2050?Climate Action Committee
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A Business as Planned scenario models our emissions trajectory based on current policies and plans
A Carbon Neutral Scenario models an aggressive and achievable package of policies to more drastically reduce emissions
4
Objective: to evaluate the greenhouse gas emissions reductions associated with an “aggressive and achievable” policy package
Modelling a Carbon Neutral Region
Climate Action Committee
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5
Business As Planned Scenario*Preliminary results subject to change
Climate Action Committee
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6
Carbon Neutral Scenario*Preliminary results subject to change
2030 target: - 45%
-1,022,000 (total)- 41,000 (incremental)
2030 modelled: - 14%
- 74%3,819,000
Climate Action Committee
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Accelerated ZEV mandate for light duty vehicles: 100% of new passenger vehicles sold are Zero Emissions Vehicles (ZEVs) by 2030, rather than 2040 as currently regulated.
ZEV mandate for medium/heavy duty vehicles: Provincial ZEV sales targets are established for medium and heavy duty vehicles, steadily increasing over time.
Renewable transportation fuels: renewable fuel blends for gasoline and diesel gradually increase to 100% for gasoline by 2050, and 80% for diesel.
Reducing passenger vehicle use: a suite of policies target mode switching and less driving to reduce the amount of kilometers travelled by passenger vehicles.
7
Key Model Policies: On Road Transportation
Climate Action Committee
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8
On Road Transportation Results*Preliminary results subject to change DRAFT
Climate Action Committee
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New buildings requirements: starting in 2025, coordinated region-wide regulations require all new buildings to meet stringent low GHG emission performance standards.
Building benchmarking and performance requirements: starting in 2025, large existing buildings must report their energy use and meet increasingly stringent GHG emission performance requirements through retrofits.
Retrofit code: starting in 2025, a Provincial retrofit code sets stringent low GHG emission performance standards for existing homes and town homes that must be met by 2045.
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Key Model Policies: Buildings
Climate Action Committee
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10
Buildings Results*Preliminary results subject to change
DRAFT
Climate Action Committee
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Industrial energy switching: A suite of regional and provincial regulations, supported by utility incentive programs, require that energy used for boilers, heaters, and industrial processes use increasing amounts of renewable energy.
Cement fuel switching: Regionally supplied biosolids displace some coal use in cement plants.
Large emitter carbon capture: 50,000 tonnes of CO2 is captured in 2030, reaching 200,000 tonnes in 2050.
11
Key Model Policies: Industry
Climate Action Committee
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12
Industry Results*Preliminary results subject to change
DRAFT
Climate Action Committee
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• Finalize the project results and share the final report with Committee
• Use modelling results to inform the development of the initial Climate2050 Roadmaps and Clean Air Plan
• Identify critical near term actions and policy areas that may need moredevelopment
• Enable development of long term policies, action, and technologies toreach regional carbon neutrality by 2050
• Monitor progress towards key GHG targets through annual reporting 13
Next Steps
Climate Action Committee
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14
How can we create a carbon neutral region by 2050?
Climate Action Committee
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Questions
Climate Action Committee
41872472
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Proposed Amendments to Air Quality Fees
Ray RobbENVIRONMENTAL REGULATION & ENFORCEMENT DIVISION MANAGER, PARKS AND ENVIRONMENT
Derek JennejohnLEAD SENIOR ENGINEER, PARKS AND ENVIRONMENT
Climate Action Committee | November 13, 2020
PHASE 2: ENGAGEMENT
5.4
Climate Action Committee
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Protect air quality by:• Developing
• permit requirements• regulatory (bylaw) requirements
• Promoting compliance with (enforcement of)• permit requirements• regulatory requirements
• Responding to air quality complaints
2
Metro Vancouver Air Quality Regulatory Services
Climate Action Committee
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3
Regulatory Costs and Drivers
ComplaintsPermit (Appeal) CostsRegulatory Development Costs Enforcement Costs 0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Complaints
Climate Action Committee
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Regulatory services costs are up
Permit and regulatory fees are down• No change to air contaminant fee rates ($/tonne)
since 2008• Air contaminant discharge quantities (tonnes/year)
are downTax requisitions are up and are forecast to go up even more
4
Regulatory Services Funding
Climate Action Committee
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Phase 1: Public opinion researchSurvey to inform development of a Discussion Paper
Phase 2: EngagementPublic and targeted engagement on proposed amendments in Discussion Paper
5
Process
Climate Action Committee
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6
Public Opinion Polling (Phase One) ResultsWho should fund Metro Vancouver Air Quality Regulatory Services?
63%
23%
5%
9%
Emitter feesshould fund full
cost
Emitter fees andtaxes shouldshare cost
Costs should befunded by taxes
Not sure
17%
2%
<1%
4%
Fees fundmajority
Fees/Taxes50/50
Taxes fundmajority
Not sureClimate Action Committee
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7
Do you support higher fees for more harmful contaminants, and lower fees for less harmful contaminants?
63%
29%
3%
1%
4%
Stronglysupport
Somewhatsupport
SomewhatopposeStronglyoppose
Not sure
92%
4%
Climate Action Committee
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• Fees proposed to significantly increase for somecontaminants
• Fees for odorous air contaminants (previously no fee)• Opportunity for rebate if demonstrate minimal impact
• Two increments proposed: 2022 and 2025• Expected fees less than regulatory costs• Proposed fees far less than societal (health) costs
9
Proposed Amendments to Fees: Key Points
Climate Action Committee
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• Phase 1: Survey (Complete) August to October
• Develop Discussion PaperOctober and November
• Phase 2: Engagement December to March 2021
• Bring draft bylaw to Board Second Quarter 2021
10
Engagement Schedule
Climate Action Committee
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Questions?
11Climate Action Committee
41915693
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Air Aware: Air Quality and Citizen Science
Amy ThaiACTING SENIOR POLICY ANALYST
Ken ReidSUPERINTENDENT, ENVIRONMENTAL SAMPLING AND MONITORING
Climate Action Committee, November 13, 202042110967
5.5
Climate Action Committee
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http://www.metrovancouver.org/services/air-quality/action/air-aware/Pages/default.aspx
Climate Action Committee
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Thank you
Climate Action Committee42311290