the future of music and digital content: mobile, social and... paid?

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The Future of Music & Digital Content: Mobile, Connected, Social, Open... and Paid? by Gerd Leonhard www.mediafuturist.com twitter.com/gleonhard

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I had the great pleasure to speak at the Future As Music (FAM) conference in Madrid / Spain, today. This event was organized by AIE (the Artists and Performers Society of Spain) and I was delighted to present alongside one of my favorite colleagues, famed mobilist and mobile content guru Tomi Ahonen. My talk and presentation was on the juicy topic of "The Future of Music & Digital Content: Mobile, Connected, Social, Open... and Paid?" and included comments on: 1) why it makes no sense to disconnect fans from the Internet and expect them to then buy more 'legal' music 2) why the music industry must adapt to the new behaviors of 'the people formerly known as consumers' asap 3) why we have a 'digital toll-booth challenge' (see my column on Spotify) and how we need to structure 'music sales' going forward 4) why music is first an experience and a service, and only then a product (and how the industry can monetize this shift) 5) where the New Generatives will come from 6) why a collective digital music license makes sense - and much more. Here is the slideshow, below (you can download the PDF via slideshare, as well). Enjoy and spread the word!

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Page 1: The Future of Music and Digital Content: Mobile, Social and... PAID?

The Future of Music & Digital Content: Mobile, Connected,

Social, Open... and Paid?by Gerd Leonhard

www.mediafuturist.comtwitter.com/gleonhard

Page 2: The Future of Music and Digital Content: Mobile, Social and... PAID?

We have a problem...

Page 3: The Future of Music and Digital Content: Mobile, Social and... PAID?

Disconnect fans to... sell more Music???

Page 4: The Future of Music and Digital Content: Mobile, Social and... PAID?

Source: Slideshare

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So what are those new behaviors?• Access now comes before ownership• All-you-can-eat and unlimited offers, flat-fees

& bundles are critical to success• ‘Feels Like Free’ is a crucial step to conversion• Paying with attention (i.e. advertising) is ok!• The Users are gaining power, all the time

Welcome to the People formerly known as Consumers!

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Source: istockphoto

The Toll-Booth Challenge: how tomake $$ with Access rather than Copies

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Music is first a Service & an Experience - and only

then (maybe) a Product.

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Like it or not:Connected people ‘consume’ differently

Sharing is the Key Driver

Access trumps Copy

Time to accept, adapt and move forward!

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Source: kk.org

Copies don’t equal $$ anymore

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From Fixed to MobileFrom Physical to Digital

From Top-Down to SocialFrom Consumers to Users

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From Push to Pull

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Soon:

The New Premium

The new Normal

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The irreversible shift in Content & Media

Content

ContentContext

Curation

CommunityInterface

Timeliness

Convenience

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Time to focus on the New Generatives

100%

Content / Copy

5%15%

15%

10% 20%

15%

20%

ContentContextCurationTimelinessEmbodiment / PackagingRelevanceOthers

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Music Commerce 2.0: don’t try to sell what is Ubiquitous - sell what is

Scarce

Page 16: The Future of Music and Digital Content: Mobile, Social and... PAID?

Welcome to another pricing logic

0

25

50

75

100

Was Will be

Price per Song Numbers of Users

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New revenues from new collaborations

TV

Internet Mobile

Telecom

Content

Advertising

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Hybrid Models in many variations

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Personal, digital consumer ‘Piracy’ is simply just Market Failure

Source: CEA.org

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This will not work

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We have been here before

LICENSED!

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A Public License + Build-in Revenues

+ Proportional Distribution

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A new and very lucrative Ecosystem can emerge on-top of the flat-rate

Flat Rates, Bundles, Revenue-Sharing

Live-Concerts, Web-Casts, Virtual Shows...

Mobile Device Applications & Software

High Definition & Premium Media

Community Premium Services

Many other New Generatives

Permission

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We don’t pay to eat all the food... we pay for access

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Why this is good for the Creators

Attention turns automatically into $$

Distribution is available to everyone, by default

Many up-selling options will emerge

Direct market access is included

Marketing costs will be greatly reduced

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Let’s change this film

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The Music Industry needs to switch to

OpenOpen licenses

Open innovationOpen distributionOpen competitionOpen partnershipsOpen technologies

Open data standards

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Not Control and Protection but Engagement and Conversion

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The rising tide floats all boats: Permission, Collaboration and $-Sharing is key

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So why is there still so little revenue from Youtube, Myspace, Facebook...?

•Advertisers are always 2-3 years behind•Lack of permission for premium and legal

content slows adoption•Lack of public license has deterred new

investors, and killed many startus•Mobile broadband and smart mobile

devices are just now starting to take off

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Every large audience can be monetized

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Source: Clay Shirky

Huge opportunities in curation, filtering, meaningful aggregation

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versus

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Free gets you to a place where you can ask to get paid.Quote by Fred Wilson, Union Square Ventures www.avc.com

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Free to paid: examples

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I pay - You pay - 3rd party pays

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Why I have spend $1000+ on iStockphoto

• Good quality images• Finding the right photo is quick and easy• The rights (licenses) are cleared• The price is right (well... mostly)

• I don’t pay just for the content - I pay for ease of use, peace of mind, the interface, service & curation...!

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Content<>Cloud<>$

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New ways to package

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New ways to ‘sell’

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Virtual concerts and venues

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Music Industry

LegislationGovernmentRegulation

BrandsAgencies

AdvertisersMedia

Google China President Kai Fu Lee: “Mutual Interest, rather than Monopoly,

is the key to sustainable growth”

Telecom

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Summary

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My Music 2.0 Book

www.music20thebook.com (Lulu, print)

www.payingwithattention.com (free PDF)

www.musicfutures.com (freee mobile version)

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email me at [email protected]/gleonhard

facebook: gleonhardmore presentations at

www.mediafuturist.com

Thanks for your time