the ghg-transpord project

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DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23 rd September 2011 1 The GHG-TransPoRD project Alessandra Moizo - TRT Trasporti e Territorio DEMOCRITOS Final conference Genoa – 23 rd September 2011

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The GHG-TransPoRD project. DEMOCRITOS Final conference Genoa – 23 rd September 2011. Alessandra Moizo - TRT Trasporti e Territorio. Content. GHG- TransPoRD overview GHG- TransPoRD objectives Research concept Some results On going steps Contacts. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 1

The GHG-TransPoRD project

Alessandra Moizo - TRT Trasporti e Territorio

DEMOCRITOS Final conference Genoa – 23rd September 2011

Page 2: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 2

– GHG-TransPoRD overview

– GHG-TransPoRD objectives

– Research concept

– Some results

– On going steps

– Contacts

Content

Page 3: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 3

GHG-TransPoRD: Overview

GHG-TransPoRD: reducing greenhouse gas emissions of transport beyond 2020

GHG-TransPoRD goals are:– To support the EU in defining a feasible research and policy

strategy for GHG reductions of transport that fits and contributes to the overall GHG reduction targets of the EU.

– To propose GHG reduction targets for transport as a whole as well as for each transport mode.

GHG-TransPoRD started in October 2009.Final report is expected for month 27 (December 2011).

Page 4: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 4

GHG-TransPoRD: Objectives

– Identification of promising and feasible measures (i.e. technology pathways and policies).

– Techno-economic analysis of details of promising measures to estimate effectiveness of GHG reductions as well as technical feasibility and economic cost and affordability.

– Formulation of scenarios consisting of both selected technology pathways and transport policies that would achieve GHG reduction targets for 2020 and 2050.

– Linking the promising scenarios with a suggestion for an EU research strategy.

Page 5: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 5

GHG-TransPoRD: Research concept

– Backcasting from policies/measures to an R&D strategy and GHG reduction targets of transport considering also the current R&D strategy

– Synchronised consideration of transport policies and technologies.

– A mix of qualitative/quantitative desk research with modelling to assess the impacts of analysed measures

– Use of global/European models as well as urban model

– A communication strategy to take into account the research strategies developed in other transport related projects as well as to communicate with stakeholders

Page 6: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 6

R&D - GHG emissions reduction

R&D - Other R&D activities (safety, comfort,

etc.)

R&D - Air pollutant emissions reduction

sOther GHG

emission reduction

technologies

Conventional engines (€5-6bn)

Biofuels (ca. €0.4bn)

Electric vehicles

(€1.4-1.7bn)

Fuel cells (€0.5-0.6bn)

~€32bn

~€13.5bn

€10-11bn

Source: GHG-TransPoRD D1

Total R&D (32 bn€/year) R&D for GHG reductions(10-11 bn€/year)

GHG-TransPoRD: Some results (WP1)WP1: Analysis of present R&D efforts for reducing transport-related GHG emissions and the European innovation system transport

Page 7: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 7

GHG-TransPoRD: Some results (WP2)

Mode [%-relative reduction to reference]

2020 2050

Road Technical cars -40 to -45% -60 to -68%Technical trucks -30 to -36% -57 to -63%Urban measures -43% -70%National policies -40% -70%

Rail Technology non-urban traffic -10% -42%Technology urban traffic -8% -55%

Air Technology & policy -15% -41%Shipping Technology & policy -5% -20 to -25%Biofuels Technology -16% n.a.

WP2: Ranking of measures to reduce GHG emissions of transport: reduction potentials and feasibility qualification

Page 8: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 8

GHG-TransPoRD: Some results (WP3)

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000[R

etai

l pri

ce in

cl. T

ax in

€20

05]

Retail Prices per Technology Cluster in 2020/2050

2020

2050

WP3: Cost assessment of GHG mitigation measures of transport

Page 9: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 9

Abatement Cost Curve of GHG-TransPoRD

2020€2005/t CO2

Mt CO2saved

Road carUrban measuresNational policiesAir

Page 10: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 10

GHG-TransPoRD: On going steps

- 26th - 27th September 2011 Workshop in Brussels to present the modelling approach to assess scenarios and GHG reduction measures and the draft GHG reduction scenarios defined by GHG-TransPoRD with a time horizon until 2050

- Applying the models, simulation of three target based scenario:

1.60% CO2 emissions reduction by technologies

2.60% CO2 emissions reduction by technologies and policies

3.80% CO2 emissions reduction by technologies and policies

- Assessing scenarios based upon a set of indicators covering a wide range of aspects (economic, environmental, etc.)

- Final conference (to be defined)

Page 11: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 11

Contact:Dr. Wolfgang Schade (project coordinator)Fraunhofer-ISIInstitute for Systems and Innovation ResearchBreslauerstrasse 48, 76139 Karlsruhe, Germany– Phone: +49 721 6809 353– Email: [email protected]– http://www.ghg-transpord.eu

Davide FiorelloTRT Trasporti e [email protected]@trt.it

GHG-TransPoRD – For more information

Page 12: The GHG-TransPoRD project

DEMOCRITOS Final conference – Genoa, 23rd September 2011 12

Thank you for your attention!

Alessandra MoizoTRT Trasporti e Territorio