The Good News from Pakistan

SIR MICHAEL BARBER

Stanford30 April 2013

The Origins

5

“I am of the opinion that the boldest measures are the

safest”

Lord Nelson on the eve of the Battle of Copenhagen

7

Did the flood make your schools better?

Michael Barber, to the Pakistani officials

The Elements

Elements of the roadmap

Data and targets

District administration

Teacher quality

The enrolment drive

Additional supporting programs

Punjab Education Foundation

Media campaign

Innovation Fund

10

We have pain in every bone in our bodies from working

so hard, but want the Roadmap to continue because... it is nation-

building.

An Executive District Officer (EDO)

The Routines

12

Government is driven by crises and events but it’s

routines that deliver results.Sir Michael Barber, Instruction to Deliver

5 Key Questions for Delivery

1. What are you trying to do? • Clear priorities• Specific, measurable goals

2. How are you trying to do it? 

• Clear, practical plans which are used regularly and updated

3. How, at any given moment, will you know whether you are on track?

• Good, steady, close to real-time data on key indicators

• Monitoring routines (such as stocktake meetings) with all key players involved

4. If you are not on track, what are you going to do about it?

• Agreed actions, followed up, tested in practice and refined if necessary

• Always try something. Never neglect a problem once identified

5. Can we help? • Constant ambition, refusal to give up• Focus on the goals, no distractions• Maintaining the routines• Analysis and problem-solving where

required• Bringing to bear lessons from

elsewhere

The Routines

Reviewing Roadmap Actions

The Team on the Ground

The Stocktake

Absolute Discipline

Leadership Commitment

The Results

A new day is dawning on education in Punjab

More teachers attending than ever before

More schools with better basic facilities

Stronger administration focusing on improving quality

Higher enrolment and student attendance

1818

District administration visits% of schools visited by district administrators

The education system is now being effectively managed

SOURCE: PMIU

Oct.2012

Sep.2012

Aug.2012

Apr. 2012

Mar. 2012

Feb. 2012

Jan. 2012

Dec. 2011

Nov. 2011

Oct.2011

Aug.2011

Nov.2012

Target: 90%

19

Approaching 1,500,000 extra children age 5-16 enrolled in

school since 2011

67%

76%

The biggest challenge remains in rural areas and among girlsEnrolment for 5-9 year-olds

95%

96%

96%

95%

Urban Rural

Male

Female

Northern Districts

93%

92%

Urban Rural

Central Districts

92%

91%

Urban Rural

Southern Districts

SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey December 2012

88% 76%

82%

20

In 2013, our focus will need to be on the South

Rahim Yar KhanDera Ghazi KhanMuzaffargarhBahawalpurPakpattanVehariLodhranKhanewalBhakkarMultanChiniotSahiwalLayyahSheikhupuraBahawalnagarJhangKhushabKasur

Rajanpur

MianwaliOkaraFaisalabadToba Tek SinghSargodhaLahoreHafizabadMandi BahauddinGujranwalaNarowalGujratSialkotRawalpindiAttockJehlumChakwal

Nankana Sahib

Rawalpindi

Gujrat

Jhelum

M.B. DinSialkot

NarowalGujranwalaHafizabad

LahoreFaisalabad

Bahawalnagar

Pakpattan

Okara

SahiwalKhanewalD.G. Khan

Multan

Muzaff-argarh

Lodhran

Vehari

Bahawalpur

Rahimyar Khan

Rajanpur

Layyah

Jhang

SargodhaKhushab

Bhakkar

Mianwali

Chakwal

Attock

ShekhupuraNankana Sahib

Chiniot

T.T. Singh

Kasur

Enrolment of 5-9 year-olds, Percent

Above 90%

85-90% Below 80%

80-84%

SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey December 2012 21

2222

% of students attending school each day

Student attendance has reached a new high, above the 2013 target

86.8

Apr.2012

May 2012

Sep.2012

87.9 88.489.3

Nov.2012

Dec.2012

Oct. 2012

92.1

83.3

Sep. 2011

79.0

Baseline

82.8

85.4

Mar. 2012

86.3

Feb.2012

86.7

Jan.2012

87.3

Dec. 2011

87.1

Nov. 2011

83.2

Oct. 2011

Target trajectory

SOURCE: PMIU

March 2013 target: 90%

23

A further 1,000,000 children attending school everyday since the Roadmap began

2424

32 districts are on or above trajectory1. STUDENT ATTENDANCE

SOURCE: PMIU

Dec 2012 – student attendance vs. trajectoriesDistrict Performance Target Delta

GreenNankana Sahib

Gujrat

Sargodha

Faisalabad

T.T. Singh

Jhang

Rawalpindi

Sheikhupura

Lahore

Okara

Multan

Khanewal

Bahawalpur

Chakwal

Chiniot

Hafizabad

Sahiwal

Kasur

Narowal

Lodhran

Muzaffargarh

Rahimyar Khan

Mianwali

Amber Green

Gujranwala

Layyah

Bhakkar

Rajanpur

Bahawalnagar

Jhelum

Pakpattan

D.G. Khan

Mandi Baha Ud Din

Khushab

Sialkot

Attock

Vehari

92.0

94.5

94.4

94.4

95.1

93.9

93.9

93.6

93.4

94.8

92.5

93.0

92.3

93.8

91.8

91.7

92.3

91.2

89.7

91.7

88.3

88.5

89.7

89.4

88.6

89.1

78.5

94.7

94.4

90.4

85.5

93.7

93.2

92.6

92.4

91.7

86.3

90

90

90

90.9

90

90

90

90

92

89.7

90.4

90.2

91.8

90

90

90.7

90

88.9

90

87.1

87.6

89.4

90

89.3

90

Amber Red

84.3

90

90

86.2

81.4

90

90

90

90

90

On or above trajectory

Significantly off track

Close to trajectory

Made some progress notclose to trajectory

Bahawalpur

Rajanpur

Bahawalnagar

D.G. Khan

Rahimyar Khan

Rawalpindi

Bhakkar

Layyah

Jhelum

Attock

Muzaff-argarh

Khushab

Chakwal

Gujrat

Jhang

M.B . Din

Chiniot

Sahiwal

Lodhran

Vehari

Khanewal

T.TSingh

Okara

Kasur

NarowalSialkot

GujranwalaHafizabad

Sheikhupura

Lahore

Pakpattan

Multan

Faisalabad

NankanaSahib

Sargodha

Mianwali

2525

Availability and functioning of facilities% functioning electricity, drinking water, toilet and boundary walls

Facilities is at a new high, 1.1% short of the 2013 target

Target trajectory

SOURCE: PMIU

Dec.2012

90.9

Nov.2012

85.2

Jan.2012

84.4

Dec.2011

83.5

Nov.2011

81.0

Oct.2011

78.2

Sep.2011

75.1

Baseline

90.4

Oct.2012

89.4

Sept. 2012

89.7

May 2012

87.8

Apr. 2012

87.0

Mar. 2012

86.1

Feb.2012

68.9

March 2013 target: 92%

26

Around 3,000,000 children have benefited from these

additional facilities

2727

Teacher presence% of teachers present at time of inspection

Teacher presence is at a new high, above the 2013 target

Target trajectory

SOURCE: PMIU

90.2

89.2

Oct.2012

87.2

Dec.2012

Sep.2012

Jan. 2012

88.3

Dec. 2011

86.5

Nov. 2011

84.7

Oct. 2011

83.2

Sep. 2011

84.7

Baseline

87.3

88.6

86.0

80.7

May 2012

88.2

Apr. 2012

1.1

87.5

Mar.2012

92.1

91.0

Nov.2012

Feb.2012

March 2013 target: 90%

28

37,000 extra teachers attend school every day

29

… teaching using activities

… asking questions to check learning

… using a lesson plan

Percentage of teachers in sample who were …

The teacher quality pilots had a major impact in one month

+39

OctSept

+31

OctSept

+27

OctSept

NOTE: The above are just three of the twelve indicators used to evaluate and mentor teachers during the pilot

30

In April every child in Punjab will receive new textbooks in line with the 2006 national curriculum

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20122 5 12 18

40

140

Number of children receiving vouchers‘000s

The Roadmap has resulted in a large increase in the number of children from poor families receiving vouchers

The Lessons

The twelve lessons of the Punjab Roadmap

To boldly go The brutal facts Never relent

Lesson 1: Be ambitious

Lesson 2: Set clear goals

Lesson 3: Prepare, plan and get on with it; you can refine it as you go

Lesson 4: Establish routines that work

Lesson 5: The conversation must be honest

Lesson 6: Know what’s really happeningLesson 7: Refine constantly but don’t compromise

Lesson 8: Create momentum

Lesson 9: Persist

Lesson 10: Build a guiding coalition

Lesson 11: Focus on the change that’s needed…Work back from there to the moneyLesson 12: When all else fails in Pakistan, you can always talk about cricket

34

We must lay the groundwork for a new kind of knowledge,

what some have called a ‘science of delivery’, that countries will use to meet

the demands of their people

Jim Yong Kim, President of the World Bank

The Next Steps

36

The visionary leaders in countries such as Pakistan …

want their province or country to succeed and

ultimately to do so without any dependence on aid.