the international centre for earth simulation developmental workshop november 2011 in the wmo...
TRANSCRIPT
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The International Centre forEarth Simulation
Developmental WorkshopNovember 2011
In the WMO headquarters in Geneva.
Closing Plenary Presentation:
Meta-Simulation of the Whole-Earth System:Meta-Simulation of the Whole-Earth System:A Conceptual IntroductionA Conceptual Introduction
Presented by:
David Wasdell
Director of the Apollo-Gaia Project
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GaiaGaia
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GEO GEO SPHERESPHERE
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GEO GEO SPHERESPHERE
BIO BIO SPHERESPHERE
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GEO GEO SPHERESPHERE
BIO BIO SPHERESPHERE
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Population
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Billions
160,000B.C.
100,000B.C.
10,000B.C.
7,000B.C.
6,000B.C.
5,000B.C.
4,000B.C.
3,000B.C.
2,000B.C.
1,000B.C.
1A.D.
1,000A.D.
2,000A.D.
World Population
8
9
Population Growth Throughout History
7
2,150A.D.
2006 – 6.5 Billion
1945 – 2.3 Billion
2050 – 9.1 Billion
1492 – 500 Million1776 – 1 Billion
First Modern HumansFirst Modern Humans
Source: United Nations
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Population
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Food
Population
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Food
Energy
Population
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Food
Energy
Population
Water
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Food
Energy
Population
Water Health
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water Health
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
ClimateDebt
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
Consumption
Debt
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ConsumptionMilitarism
Debt
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
Consumption
VestedInterests
Militarism
Debt
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
Consumption
VestedInterests
Militarism
Debt
Media
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
VestedInterests
Militarism
Debt
Media
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Media
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Media
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
PoliticalProcess
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
PoliticalProcess
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
PoliticalProcess
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)
DaoismDaoism(past)(past)
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
PoliticalProcess
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
UnconsciousUnconsciousDrivesDrives
TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)
DaoismDaoism(past)(past)
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ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
PoliticalProcess
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
UnconsciousUnconsciousDrivesDrives
EmergentEmergentPsychosisPsychosis
TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)
DaoismDaoism(past)(past)
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““Failure is not an option”Failure is not an option”Gene Kranz
Apollo 13: Mission Controller