the ipcc and the fifth assessment report
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report Jonathan LynnIPCC media workshop, Istanbul9 September 2015
![Page 2: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
• ç
© John Kudelka
![Page 3: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
The role of the IPCC is …“… to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation.”
Principles Governing IPCC Work, paragraph 2Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
![Page 4: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
The role of the IPCC is …“… to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation.”
Principles Governing IPCC Work, paragraph 2Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
![Page 5: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
The role of the IPCC is …“… to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation.”
Principles Governing IPCC Work, paragraph 2Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
![Page 6: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
The role of the IPCC (continued)“IPCC reports should be neutral with respect to policy, although they may need to deal objectively with scientific, technical and socio-economic factors relevant to the application of particular policies.”
Principles Governing IPCC Work, paragraph 2Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
![Page 7: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
The role of the IPCC (continued)“IPCC reports should be neutral with respect to policy, although they may need to deal objectively with scientific, technical and socio-economic factors relevant to the application of particular policies.”
Principles Governing IPCC Work, paragraph 2Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
![Page 8: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
What are IPCC reports used for?
![Page 9: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
What are IPCC reports used for?
![Page 10: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
IPCC structure
• UN supported
• Intergovernmental (195 members)
![Page 11: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
AR5 Synthesis Report
What are the risks?
What can be done?
![Page 12: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
IPCC structure
• UN supported
• Intergovernmental (195 members)
![Page 13: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
IPCC reports
Five assessment reports (1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2013-14)
![Page 14: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
IPCC reports
Five assessment reports (1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2013-14)
1992 supplementary report and 1994 special report
![Page 15: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
IPCC reports
Five assessment reports (1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2013-14)
1992 supplementary report and 1994 special report
Nine special reports (1997, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011, 2012)
![Page 16: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
IPCC reports
Five assessment reports (1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2013-14)
1992 supplementary report and 1994 special report
Nine special reports (1997, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011, 2012)
Guidelines for national GHG inventories, good practice
guidance (1995, 2006, 2013)
![Page 17: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
IPCC reportsFive assessment reports (1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2013-14)
1992 supplementary report and 1994 special report
Nine special reports (1997, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011, 2012)
Guidelines for national GHG inventories, good practice
guidance (1995, 2006, 2013)
Six technical papers (1996-2008)
![Page 18: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
The first four assessment reports
• FAR (1990) – led to UNFCCC
• SAR (1995) – input for Kyoto Protocol
• TAR (2001) – focused attention on impacts of climate change and need for adaptation
• AR4 (2007) – input for decision on 2ºC limit; basis for post Kyoto Protocol agreement
![Page 19: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
2007
AR5 Synthesis Report
![Page 20: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
2007
AR5 Synthesis Report
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and Albert Arnold (Al) Gore Jr. were awarded the Nobel Peace Prize"for their efforts to build up and disseminate greater knowledge about man-made climate change, and to lay the foundations for the measures that are needed to counteract such change".
![Page 21: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Fifth Assessment Report (2013/14)
AR5 Synthesis ReportAR5 Synthesis Report
![Page 22: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Finding your way round the report
![Page 23: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
AR5 statistics•836 authors from 85 countries
•(incl 301 DC/EIT, 179 women, 529 new)
•>30,000 papers cited
•~5,000 pages
•~143,000 comments from > 2000 expert reviewers
![Page 24: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Topics often in the news• Balance of reports
• Selection of authors
• Grey literature
• Review process
• Confidentiality of drafts
• Approval process
• Errors
• www.ipcc.ch
![Page 25: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Writing, Review and Acceptance
![Page 26: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Peer reviewed and internationally available scientific technical and socio-economic literature, manuscripts made available for IPCC review and selected non-peer reviewed literature produced by other relevant institutions including industry
IPCC approves
outline
Governments, organizations
nominate experts
Bureaux select Authors
Scoping
Authors prepare 1st -
order DRAFT
Expert Review
Authors prepare 2nd -
order DRAFT
Government and Expert Review
WG/IPCC accepts/approves report and SPM
Authors prepare FINAL DRAFT
Final distribution and Government Review of SPM
Publication of report
![Page 27: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
![Page 28: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
![Page 29: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
![Page 30: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
![Page 31: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
![Page 32: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
![Page 33: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
![Page 34: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Topics often in the news• Balance of reports
• Selection of authors
• Grey literature
• Review process
• Confidentiality of drafts
• Approval process
• Errors
• www.ipcc.ch
![Page 35: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
![Page 36: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
More on IPCC process• www.ipcc.ch
• > News and Outreach
• >Outreach
• >Materials
• Factsheets
![Page 37: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Future work of the IPCC
- Bigger role for developing countries
- Make reports more accessible
![Page 38: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
What next for the IPCC?
• 42nd Session – October 2015, Dubrovnik tbc- Election of new Bureau
• Meeting on communications – early 2016
• Preparing for the Sixth Assessment Report
![Page 40: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
![Page 41: The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030308/58ee371c1a28ab1e758b45b9/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
IPCC Working Group I, Figure SPM.1aObserved globally averaged combined land and ocean surface temperature anomaly 1850-2012