The Kingdom of Sustainable Energy:

A New Energy Sector

بسم هللا الرحمن الرحيم

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April 17 , 2010 ۳ ھـ ۱٤۳۱جمادى األولى

والمتجددةالذرية عبداهللا للطاقة الملك مدينة هـ١٤٣١جمادى األولى ٣في ٣٥/األمر الملكي رقم أ

“King Abdullah City for Atomic and Renewable Energy” Royal Decree No. A/35 3/5/1431 A.H.

Established by Royal Order April 17, 2010, the Mission is to be:

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…The driving force for making atomic and renewable energy an integral part of a national

sustainable energy mix, creating and leveraging the competitive advantages of

relevant technologies for the social and economic development of the

Kingdom of Saudi Arabia…

“

”

K∙A∙CARE Mandate

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إختصاصات المدینة

المقر الدائم للمدینة

K.A.CARE City

االستثمار واألعمال

Investment & Business

العالقات الدولیة

International Relations

التنفیذ

Execution

التشریعات واالستراتیجیات

Policies & Strategies التنظیم

Regulatory

القوى البشریة

Human Capacity

األبحاث والتطویر واالبتكار

R&D & Innovation

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Key K.A.CARE Objectives

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• CREATE a sustainable economic sector for Saudi Arabia anchored by local alternative energy demand market

• CONTRIBUTE to job creation, GDP growth, environmental footprint reduction and sustainable development

• MAINTAIN highest levels of safety, security and transparency

قیادة بناء قطاع طاقة ذریة إقتصاديومتجددة

اإلستدامةیملك مقومات

خلق الفرص الوظیفیة

البصمة البیئیة االیجابیة

تكریس ثقافة األمانوبناء والشفافیة

• SUGGEST alternative energy mix

Execution of K.A.CARE Mandate

Sustainable and efficient energy future for KSA

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• DEVELOP & LEAD execution plans

• PLAN for and BUILD physical city

Building the Optimum New Energy Mix

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Maximizing Return

Oil Saved

Economic Sector Sustainability

How Much Can We Do ?

Demand Growth Demand Pattern Technology Characteristics

How Much Should We Do ?

Economics Sustainability Technology maturity

Target Solar Capacity by 2032

41 GW

Maximizing solar deployment Return

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۲۰۳۲الطاقة الشمسیة بحلول عام استھدافات

Target Solar Capacity by 2032

Maximizing solar deployment return

16 GW

25 GW

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Solar PV الكھروضوئیة

Solar CSP الحراریة

Solar Energy Deployment Roadmap

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0 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 16

0 0 2

3 6

7 10 11

13 14 16

17 19

20 22

25 25

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Solar CSP

Solar PV

Parameters Affecting Energy Mix Development

Value chain development

Economics of

hydrocarbons saved

Electricity and desalination

demand patterns

Technology choices

Regulatory and physical

infrastructure requirements

Human capacity

development

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Energy Mix

Annual Electricity Demand Pattern in KSA

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Week Number (July 2009 – August 2010)

Seasonal change in peak load exceeds 40%

GW

Day-Night Load Variation for Saudi Arabia

Uniform day-to-night variation year round

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Night

Day

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Capacity Identification Using Technology – Load Matching Approach

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Technology Installed Capacity Estimation 2032

Source: ECRA, SEC, Team Analysis

Proposed Energy Mix 2032

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Load-Specific Technology Component of the Proposed Energy Mix by 2032

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• PV will meet total day time demand year round

• NUCLEAR + GEOTHERMAL + WASTE-TO-ENERGY will meet base-load demand up to night time demand during winter

• CSP with storage will meet maximum demand difference between PV and base-load technologies

• HYDROCARBONS will meet the rest of the demand

The Energy Mix and the Grid

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Saudi Electric Power Industry

•IPPs •SEC

Generation

•SEC

Transmission •SEC

Distribution

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Saudi Electric Power Industry

•IPPs •SEC

Generation

•NG-SA

Transmission •SEC

Distribution

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Saudi Electric Power Industry

• IPPs • SEC • Generation

Company(s)

Generation

• NG-SA

Transmission • Distribution

Company(s)

Distribution

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Sustainable Energy

Sustainable Energy

Factors Driving Present Industry to a New Energy Sector

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• K.A.CARE’ leadership in renewable and nuclear energy deployments.

• Unbundling vertically integrated electric

power industry. • Potential resources availability. • Technology evolving in accelerating the

deployment of sustainable energy.

• Significant variation of seasonal electric demand.

• Economic feasibility of exporting low-carbon electricity.

Regional Connection

Global Connection

Wholesale Electricity Market

Current Assessment

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a grid code for Sustainable energy integration.

in such technology from planning and operating perspectives.

. may

counter off some of the cost.

for renewable energy integration.

in such technology from planning and operating perspectives.

is proportional to uncertainty.

is proportional to cost.

Transition to a New Saudi Energy Sector

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Year

s to

mon

ths

Mon

ths t

o da

ys

Feed

back

(lea

rnin

g)

Year

s to

Mon

ths

Days

to h

ours

Year

s M

onth

s

Feed

back

(lea

rnin

g)

K.A.CARE is Integral to the New Energy Sector and the Grid is a Critical Control System

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• Solar, Wind, Geothermal, Waste-to-Energy Sources.

• RRMM and SEPC.

• Distribution level, i.e., ≤ 33 kV

• Smart-Grid • DSM/efficiency • DG.

• Transmission level, i.e., > 33 kV.

• Conventional Fossil-Fueled Sources.

• Nuclear Power Sources.

• SAARA • SEPC

Nuclear Energy Control Center

National Control Center

Renewable Energy Control

Center

Distribution Control Center

Fully connected

Partially connected

≥ 2030

Regional Connection

Global Connection

Wholesale Electricity Market

Dedicated RE Control Centers, examples…

• Red Eléctrica Control Centre of Renewable Energies (Cecre), June, 2006.

• First Solar, global operations center in Mesa, Arizona, October 2012.

• Saudi Arabia Renewable Energy Control Center (SA-RECC), .

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http://www.ree.es/ingles/operacion/cecre.asp

http://www.examiner.com/article/first-solar-launches-global-operations-center-mesa-az

SA-RECC

Independent Energy-Mix Control Center

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Short-Term Accelerate the RE

deployment

Policy w.r.t. emissions

Minimize the intermittent impact

Centralized forecasting center

Knowledge transfer

Long-Term

Electricity Trade

Trust-worthy entity

Economic growth

Job creation

…etc.

EMCC

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Studying the Impact of Introducing the Sustainable Energy on the Saudi

Arabian Grid

HIGH LEVEL OBJECTIVES

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Identify main barriers to

integration of Sustainable

Energy in the KSA grid

Anticipate impact of Sustainable Energy

Minimize cost of solutions to maintain the reliability &

integrity of the system

Project’s Content Technical grid code

and standards

Planning of T&G

Operation of T&G

Grid hosting capacity for Sustainable

Energy

Barriers and mitigation measures

Nuclear high level system implications

Project Themes

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ILLUSTRATIVE Challenges for Sustainable Energy Integration

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Years ahead

KSA national objective

• Increased usage of existing grid and generation flexibility • Local, Regional, System network investments • Additional Network Code Requirements • Modified Operating Practices • International Trade of Electricity

Solutions to maintain /

improve system reliability &

minimize system cost

% of Sustainable penetration

level

Power System Hosting Capacity

Planned Mitigation measures

Additional Mitigation measures

Project MAIN Results

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Technical requirements

Connection cost Generic model

Optimal Sequence for REN plan Roll Out & HL NPP implications

Dissemination, Workshops and Site visits

Reliable Grid Structure

(Adequacy & Security)

Assess grid Hosting capacity for Sustainable

energy

Impact on Grid Operation

Impact on Conventional

Gen Operation

Connection Requirement Studies Main Barriers and Mitigation solutions

The Kingdom of Sustainable Energy

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مملكة الطاقة المستدامة

Thank You …..

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.....شكرا جزیال