the mood of america 2003 peter d. hart a time of uncertainty
TRANSCRIPT
The Mood Of America
2003
The Mood Of America
2003
Peter D. Hart
A Time of UncertaintyA Time of Uncertainty
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
The Changing Mood Of America
62%
36%
43%44%
42%
62%
70%
43%47%45%
52%
40%
22%
47%
42%42%
43%42%
31%
20%
15%
36%39% 39%
Jan '01 Apr'01
June'01
Dec'01
Jan '02 June'02
July'02
Sept'02
Oct'02
Dec'02
Jan '03 Apr'03
U.S. headed in right direction U.S. off on wrong track
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
Concern About Our Institutions
9%
10%
12%
15%
22%
24%
25%
27%
60%
82%
I have a great deal/quite a bit of confidence in this institution:
The militarySmall business
(The Penthouse)
News mediaReligious leadersPharmaceuticals
Accountants
(The Basement)
Financial industryLarge corporations
Auto dealersStock brokers
(The Gutter)
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
Bush Approval Ratings: Overall, Foreign Policy, and Economy
54%
62%
67%
82%
57%
71%
70%
51%
57%53%
81%
62%
52% 49%44%
63%
49%47%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
Mar '01 Jan '02 Jul '02 Dec '02 Jan '03 Apr '03
Overall Foreign policy Economy
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
2004 — An Eon AwayIf President Bush runs for reelection in 2004, do you think you will probably vote for for President Bush or a Democratic candidate?
BushGephardt
BushLieberman
51%32%
50%35%
41%
25%
34%
Vote forBush
Other/NS
Vote forDemocraticcandidate
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
2004 — An Eon Away
41%
25%
34%
If President Bush runs for reelection in 2004, do you think you will probably vote for for President Bush or a Democratic candidate?
Vote forBush
Vote forDemocraticcandidate
Other/NS
24%
52%
24%
Vote forBush
Vote forDemocraticcandidate
Other/NS
Today
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
38%
2%
3%
3%
4%
4%
13%
14%
19%
2004 — The Democrats
If the 2004 Democratic Primary for president were held today, for which of the following candidates would you vote?
Joe Lieberman
Richard Gephardt
John Kerry
John Edwards
Carol Moseley Braun
Bob Graham
Howard Dean
Al Sharpton
Undecided
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
The Bush Profile
On ProbationGeorge W. Bush
Compassionate
Foreign policy challenges
Right domestic policies
Economic policies
49/31
41/32
36/31
33/37
Now Then
56/22
-
-
39/25
Honor Roll
Honesty
Personal popularity
Dealing w/terrorism
Strong leadership
George W. Bush
60/23
56/32
64/28
56/23
Now Then
50/24
62/23
76/19
73/10
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
President Bush: Like Father, Like Son?
Approval Rating
Dow Jones Avg.
Unemployment
Economy
Foreign Policy
Strong Leader
Compassionate
81% positive
2943.30, +11.5%
6.5%
44% approval
83% approval
67%
27%
1981
71% positive
8402.36, -2%
5.8%
49% approval
70% approval
56% (Jan ’03)
49% (Jan ’03)
2003
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
Divided On The IssuesPrefer President/GOPs to set U.S. policy on this issuePrefer Democrats in Congress to set U.S. policy on this issue
39%
38%
41%
46%
52%
71%
51%
46%
45%
42%
38%
19%
Education, health, environment
Rx drugs for seniors
Social Security
Economy
Tax policy
War on terrorism
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
How would you rate the condition of the national economythese days?
The Economy
2%
10%
4%
48%36% Fairly Good
Fairly Bad
Not sure Very GoodVery Bad
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
Support For Bush Tax Cuts
49%
43%DO NOT
pass tax cut: federal
budget in deficit, costs of war are unknown
Pass tax cut: needed to stimulate economic
growth
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
50% 49%
6%
Patriotic Proud
Joyful
Group One
29%
23%
10%
Worried
Anxious
Dis-appointed
Group Two
Two Views Of The War
28%
17%
Hopeful
45%
Group 1
Group 2
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
Positive View Of The War
76% support taking military action to remove Hussein.
Majorities say U.S. successful in minimizing civilian casualties, removing Hussein, making U.S. secure.
73% believe U.S. didn’t underestimate Iraqi military.
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
Worried View Of The War
71% see most challenges in Iraq ahead of us.
34% say U.S. standing in world has declined; 32% say it has increased.
Majorities do not support U.S. military action against North Korea, Syria, Iran.
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
The Environment: Too Much/Too Little
44%40%
30%
68%
58%
51%
Jan/M
arch 1
992
Apr-0
0
Mar-
03
U.S. Government is doing too much/about the right amount in protecting the environmentU.S. Government is doing too little in protecting the environment
14% of Americans say theyare active participants inthe environmental movement
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
Bush on the Environment
Job on protectingthe environment
Environmental protection is being...
9%
35%
Strengthened Weakened
44% 43%
Good job Poor Job
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
Environmental Concerns
A great deal of concern A fair amount of concern
Pollution of rivers, lakes
Pollution of drinking water
Toxic waste soil contamination
Water supply maintenance
air pollution
Damage to ozone layer
Loss of tropical rainforests
Plant/animal extinction
Global warming
Acid rain
85%
82%
82%
78%
78%
67%
65%
65%
58%
48%
Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart
Enviro Rules For The Future
1. Appreciate the times
2. All environmental problems not equally
supported
3. Put the issues in human terms
4. Tap into values
5. Develop more win/win strategies
The Mood Of America
2003
The Mood Of America
2003
Peter D. Hart
A Time of UncertaintyA Time of Uncertainty