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The More, the Merrier: An International Analysis of the Frequency of Dividend Payment
by
Stephen P. Ferris Department of Finance
University of Missouri-Columbia Phone: 573-882-9905
Email: [email protected]
Gregory Noronha Milgard School of Business
University of Washington Tacoma Phone: 253-692-5628
Email: [email protected]
Emre Unlu Department of Finance
University of Missouri-Columbia Phone; 573-884-7708
Email: [email protected]
May 2007
We would like to acknowledge comments by Paul Brockman and Raynolde Pereira on an earlier version of this manuscript.
The More, the Merrier: An International Analysis of the Frequency of Dividend Payment
Abstract
The joint contributions of prospect theory and mental accounting imply that investors receive a higher utility when a given level of dividends is paid more frequently, suggesting that dividends should be paid as often as possible. Consequently, we examine the frequency with which dividends are paid around the world and what factors influence the choice of frequency. We find that dividend payment frequency differs internationally. From our multivariate analysis, we determine that non-behavioral factors such as the legal regime as well as the level and standard deviation of operating income exert significant influences on the payment frequency of dividends. Further, we document a positive relationship between payment frequency and the market-to-book ratio which we interpret as evidence that payment frequency has implications for firm value.
Keywords: dividends; payment frequency; prospect theory JEL Codes: G35, C23
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The More, the Merrier: An International Analysis of the Frequency of Dividend Payment
1. Introduction
Although dividend policy is one of the most intensely studied areas of corporate finance,
the issue of how frequently the firm should make dividend payments to its shareholders remains
unexplored. The previous literature in corporate payout policy examines the decision to pay or not
to pay dividends (e.g, Fama and French, 2001; DeAngelo et al. 2004; Baker and Wurgler, 2004a,
b), how much to pay (Rozeff, 1982; Miller and Rock, 1985), or how to pay – repurchases versus
dividends (Stephens and Weisbach, 1998; Jagannathan et. al., 2000). But no study examines how
frequently the firm should pay dividends once the decision to pay has been made.
One might argue that once the level of payout is decided, the frequency of payment is only
of secondary importance and that reporting conventions or other regulatory guidelines might
determine the dividend payment schedule. Such an argument, however, ignores the higher utility
derived by investors from receiving more frequent payments implied by the prospect theory of
Kahneman and Tversky (1979) and Thaler’s (1980) mental accounting. These theoretical
developments jointly imply important predictions regarding the frequency with which investors
prefer to receive dividends. Prospect theory contends that the utility function of investors is
concave over the domain of gains. Thaler (1980) subsequently describes the process of mental
accounting by which investors evaluate their gains separately from their losses, and thereby
increase their overall utility. These arguments suggest that an investor receives a higher level of
utility from a sequence of smaller discrete payments than a single aggregate payment. The
separate valuation by investors of individual gains over a concave utility function influences how a
stream of dividend payments will be valued. More specifically, it suggests that the frequency with
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which dividends are paid will positively effect an investor’s valuation of a total dividend
distribution.
Barberis and Thaler (2003) describe how the concave utility function of prospect theory
allows an investor to receive greater utility from a $2 dividend and an $8 capital gain compared to
a $10 capital gain in spite of an identical dollar increase in shareholder wealth. In the case of the
dividend and capital gain bundle, the investor receives utility from two distinct sources, each of
which is separately evaluated across the investor’s concave utility function. The capital gain,
however, provides only one source of wealth for the investor to evaluate. Barberis and Thaler note
that this differential bundling of the shareholder distribution produces two different levels of
investor utility. The investor that receives the ten dollars bundled as a $2 dividend and a $8 capital
gain experiences a higher level of utility compared to the investor who receives only a $10 capital
gain.
From this example of how investor utility is influenced by the bundling of wealth increases
into discrete gains, we can readily apply prospect theory to assess the utility resulting from a given
payment frequency of dividends. Consider the previous example discussed by Barberis and Thaler
(2003) whereby a firm pays a $2 annual dividend and a $8 capital gain. If the firm elects to pay
that dividend in the form of $0.50 per quarter, the investor now has four individual dividends to
evaluate rather than one. Because of the concavity of his utility function, these four dividends will
provide the investor with a total greater utility than one annual dividend of $2 in spite of their
identical total dollar amount. To the extent that dividends are paid more frequently, investors are
able to code each individual dividend as a separate gain, resulting in a higher level of total utility
than if the dividend was paid at once and viewed as a solitary gain. Hence, the choice of payment
frequency determines the amount of utility an investor receives from a given payout level.
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Barberis and Huang (2001) make the case that if a stock’s recent performance is good, an
investor’s utility increase from the gain leads that investor to become less concerned about future
losses from the stock and, consequently, to view the stock as less risky. Thus, the investor is
willing to discount future cash flows from the stock at a lower rate. To the extent that investors
code more frequent dividends as more frequent gains, a situation which closely parallels the bird-
in-the-hand argument, we should expect stocks paying dividends more frequently to have higher
valuations because investors perceive them to be less risky, other things equal.
Although the theory of Kahneman and Tversky (1979) and the confirming simulations and
modeling of Barberis and Thaler (2003) and Barberis and Huang (2001), imply that a more
frequent payment of dividends increases total investor utility, we nevertheless observe that there is
significant international cross-sectional variability in the frequency of dividend payment. We
examine the issue of dividend payment frequency for a sample of over 6,800 firms distributed
across 32 different countries and find that payment frequencies cluster around three periodicities—
annual, semi-annual, and quarterly. The existence of low payment periodicities such as annual or
semi-annual suggest that there are factors beyond prospect theory and the mental accounting of
investors which influence the frequency of dividend payment.
One such factor might be the legal regime in which the dividend-paying firm is
incorporated and the nature of the legal protections it affords minority shareholders. LaPorta et. al.
(2000), for instance, find that firms in strong investor protection countries pay more dividends than
those incorporated in less favorable regimes. LaPorta et. al. argue that shareholders in these
countries are better able to force cash disgorgement, thus precluding insiders from using a high
percentage of the firm’s earnings for personal benefits. By examining the frequency of dividend
payment across legal regimes, our study investigates whether the level of investor protection also
impacts the speed of managerial disgorgement once the decision to distribute dividends has been
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made. Consequently, this analysis provides insights into how the level of investor protection
shapes yet another dimension of corporate payout policy payment frequency.
Indeed, our empirical results show that there is a pronounced difference in dividend
payment frequency relative to legal regime. We find that shareholders invested in firms
incorporated in common law countries receive their dividends, on average, twice as frequently as
those in civil law countries.
Lintner (1956) establishes in the literature that firms are reluctant to cut dividends for their
shareholders. Subsequent studies (e.g., Ghosh and Woolridge, 1988; Denis et al., 1994) show that
firms are penalized in the marketplace when they do reduce them. Consequently, researchers (e.g.,
Jagannathan, Stephens and Weisbach, 2000) now view dividends as a continuing commitment to
pay, with the firm distributing only permanent cash flows to its shareholders. We contend that the
nature of these permanent cash flows not only determines the ability of the firm to pay dividends,
but influences the frequency with which it elects to pay them. The level of the firm’s permanent
cash flow directly affects its ability to maintain dividends at previous levels. At low levels of
permanent cash flow, it becomes more probable that the firm will be unable to sustain the current
dividend payout. If the firm is also committed to a frequent payout schedule, the incidence of
shareholder disappointment is also likely to increase. This failure of dividends to match expected
payment levels results in reduced investor utility. The frequency of that disappointment is directly
related to the dividend payment frequency. Because firms wish to avoid investor disappointment,
we hypothesize that lower levels of permanent operating cash flow are associated with a reduced
frequency of dividend payment.
Related to this analysis is the relation between dividend payment frequency and the
volatility of operating income. As operating income volatility increases, it becomes more uncertain
whether the firm will be able to meet existing dividend payout levels. The mental accounting
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process of investors will cause them to code the shortfall between the realized and the expected
dividend as a loss, thereby reducing the overall utility of the dividend. With more frequent
dividend payments, the firm increasingly is required to match its operating income against the
benchmark of previous dividends. With higher volatility in operating income, it becomes
increasingly likely that shareholders will be disappointed. Again, since firms attempt to avoid
shareholder disappointment in the design of their dividend policy, we expect that dividend
payment frequency will be inversely related to the volatility of its operating income.
Our empirical results are consistent with the hypothesized effects of operating income on
the frequency of dividend payment. Specifically, we find that the level of a firm’s operating
income is directly related to the frequency of dividend payment. As firms enjoy higher levels of
permanent operating income, they appear more willing to commit to a higher frequency of
dividend payment. Further, we find that that volatility of operating income is inversely related to
the payment frequency of dividends. This suggests that firms consider the variability in income as
they establish the payment frequency of dividends.
Since we contend, in this paper, that the frequency of dividend payment is a decision
variable, it becomes important to establish a relationship between payment frequency and firm
value. We show that, in both a univariate and multivariate setting, a significant positive
relationship exists between payment frequency and a firm’s market-to-book decile. We interpret
this as evidence that, ceteris paribus, a higher dividend payment frequency is a value enhancing
decision.
We organize the remainder of this paper as follows. In section two we provide a discussion
of our data and the process used in sample construction. We provide an initial profile of the
international distribution of dividend payment frequencies, including a separate analysis for
dividend initiators in section three. Section four presents our discussion and empirical analysis of
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the determinants of dividend payment frequency. We conclude with a brief summary and
discussion of our findings in section five.
2. Data and sample construction
The data used in this study are drawn from a variety of sources. We obtain annual financial
and accounting data from the Compustat Global Industrial database, while monthly market return
information is collected from the Compustat Global Issues database. The nature of the legal regime
for our sample countries is obtained from the classification reported in LaPorta et al (2000).
Dividend payment frequency is not a reported variable on the Compustat database, forcing us to
construct it. We estimate dividend payment frequency by counting the number of dividends
distributed to shareholders during the course of a fiscal year.
We begin our analysis by selecting as our sample period the years 1995 through 2005,
which provides a time-series of adequate length and is sufficiently current. We then limit our
sample of countries to those studied by LaPorta et. al. (2000) so that established measures for the
degree of investor protection can be used. This results in a sample of thirty-two countries,
consisting of twenty-one civil law nations and eleven common law nations.1 These countries are
listed in Table 1.
The identification of our sample firms occurs in several steps. We begin by excluding those
firms operating in the regulated industries of financials, utilities, and real estate. We then match
those firms contained on the Compustat Global Industrial database with those appearing on the
Compustat Global Issues database. We further eliminate those firms with missing monthly
dividend per share data during the fiscal year or that change fiscal years, as well as firms missing
1 In a series of papers, LaPorta et. al. (1997, 2000, 2002, 2006) compare common and civil law regimes and their relative attractiveness to investors. The essential differences between these two regimes reside in the level of investor protections for outside or minority shareholders, the voting rights of shareholders, and the quality of the enforcement of existing securities/corporate laws.
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data for other accounting and financial variables used in the empirical analysis. After the
application of all these filters our final sample consists of 35,976 firm-year observations.
3. Sample Characteristics
3.1 Country and industry patterns in the frequency of dividend payment
In Table 1 we present a percentage distribution of the dividend payment frequencies for
firms incorporated in each of our sample countries. In spite of frequency clustering in some
important markets such as the U.S. and the U.K., we observe substantial within-country variation
for much of our sample. Japan, for instance, demonstrates a split between annual (42%) and semi-
annual payers (58%) as do Singapore (59% pay annually; 39% pay semi-annually), Malaysia (55%
and 41%, respectively), and Mexico (67% and 33%, respectively). Canadian payers are even more
fragmented, with 12% paying annually, 11% distributing dividends semi-annually and 71%
following a quarterly pattern. The results in Table 1 show that in spite of the predictions of
prospect theory and mental accounting that frequent dividend payment provides greater investor
utility, there exists substantial payment frequency variation, both within and between countries.
Further, Table 1 suggests that payment frequency is a decision parameter in the overall design of a
firm’s dividend policy.
Figure 1 presents a histogram of the divided payment frequencies for our sample firms.
Unlike the overwhelming popularity of the quarterly dividend payment in the U.S., we find that
only 19.3% of the firms around the world elect to pay dividends at this frequency.2 Indeed, the
most popular global dividend payment frequency is semi-annually, representing 43.2% of our
sample. Over a third of the sample (36%) pays dividends annually. Figure 1 emphasizes that there
2 We find in un-tabulated results that the average annual frequency of dividend payment for U.S. firms ranged from 3.94 in 1970 to a low of 3.77 in 2003, offering strong evidence for the dominant popularity of the quarterly dividend. Further, we find that of the 259 U.S. firms that changed their dividend payment frequency during 1970-2004, 214 (82.9%) changed to a quarterly distribution pattern.
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is an important difference in the frequency of dividend payment between the U.S. and the rest of
the world, with most of the world’s firms paying dividends less frequently than their U.S.
counterparts.
In Table 1 we also estimate the median dividend payment frequency for each of our sample
countries, and compare the dividend payment frequency between common and civil law countries.
As noted previously, LaPorta et. al. (2000) find that shareholders of firms incorporated in countries
with high levels of investor protection are better able to extract dividends from managers. Our
results further complement this finding. We find that the median dividend frequency of firms
located in common law countries is twice that of civil law countries.3 Thus, not only do investors
in high protection countries receive more dividends than their civil law counterparts, their payouts
are distributed more frequently4.
In Table 2 we provide an industry distribution of dividend payment frequency based on the
North American Industry Classification System. The results reveal a remarkable consistency
across industry classifications in a preference for semi-annual dividends. With few exceptions,
most industries distribute their dividends twice annually, followed in popularity by annual
dividends, with quarterly dividends the third most common frequency. Dividends thrice a year, or
more frequently than quarterly, represent only insignificant percentages of industry totals. This
finding of the popularity of less frequent dividend payments suggests that factors beyond mental
accounting by investors are involved in the choice of payment frequency.
3.2 Univariate analysis
Although prospect theory and mental accounting conclude that investors receive higher
utility from a more frequent stream of payments, there are several other factors that might
influence a firm’s choice of payment frequency. Beyond the protections provided to investors
3 Comparable to LaPorta et. al. (2000), we equally-weight all countries in our sample. 4 In unreported results, we find that firms that initiate dividend payment during our sample period follow a payment frequency pattern that generally coincides with the mean payment frequency within their country of incorporation.
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based on their country’s legal regime, the nature of the firm’s permanent income also serves as a
factor in explaining the choice of dividend payment frequency. As noted earlier, we hypothesize
that higher levels of operating income are associated with more frequent dividend payments, while
increased volatility of income reduces dividend payment frequency.
LaPorta et. al. (2000) show that shareholders in common law countries are more successful
in extracting dividends from managers than those of firms incorporated in civil law countries. We
hypothesize that the legal culture operating in common law countries which allows investors to
extract higher dividends, also facilitates their more frequent receipt of these distributions. We
measure the level of investor protection provided to shareholders with two different variables. The
first is a dummy variable that controls for the common or civil law regime as described by
LaPorta et. al. (2000). The second is a dummy variable that assumes a value of one if the anti-
director index constructed by LaPorta et al (1998) is greater than the sample median and zero
otherwise. Since both of these variables capture the ability of shareholders to exercise greater
control over cash distributions made by managers, we hypothesize that higher values will be
positively associated with greater payment frequencies.
We also examine two characteristics of the firm’s operating income since dividends are
generally paid from the firm’s earnings. We use the approach of Stephens and Weisbach (1998) for
estimating a firm’s permanent cash flow in this analysis. One is the rank decile for the firm’s
operating income scaled by the book value of assets averaged over the past four years. Since
Stephens and Weisbach find that firms use relatively permanent cash flows to distribute dividends,
we hypothesize that dividend payment frequency will be greater as mean operating income
increases. The other aspect of operating income is designed to capture its variability and is the rank
decile for the standard deviation of the scaled operating income. We anticipate that dividend
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payment frequency will be inversely related to this variable since it is a measure of uncertainty in
the level of the firm’s earnings.
In panel A of Table 3 we compare the incidence of high dividend payment frequency (i.e.,
payments made quarterly or more often) relative to medium/low dividend payment frequency
(three or less times annually). We find that the high payment frequency firms are almost
exclusively located in common law countries (99.43%), while only about a third of the low
payment frequency firms are incorporated in common law countries (33.91%). We obtain
comparable findings when we dichotomize our sample based on the level of anti-director rights,
though there is a large percentage of firms in civil law countries with high levels of anti-director
rights. The high payment frequency firms also enjoy a significantly higher median operating
income than the low payment frequency firms. We discover, contrary to expectations, that the
high payment frequency firms experience a greater level of operating income volatility than firms
that pay their dividends less frequently. We determine in our subsequent multivariate analysis,
however, that this relation reverses itself after we control for other factors.
Panel B represents a comparison of dividend payment frequency adjusted for the industry
median payment frequency. We industry-adjust the dividend payment frequency in two steps. First
we estimate the median dividend payment frequency across all firms in a given industry for each
country. Then, we calculate the global industry median across the individual country industry
medians. We then net this value from the corresponding firm dividend payment frequency
observed. We apply a similar process to industry-adjust other variables subsequently used in this
study.
We obtain results consistent with those reported in Panel A. Firms paying dividends more
frequently than the industry median are more commonly located in the common law and high anti-
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director rights countries. These high payment frequency firms also enjoy a greater median level of
operating income.
Panels C and D contain our analysis when dividend payment frequency is quarterly, semi-
annual, or annual. In Panel C we observe that the most frequent dividend payers are located in the
common law and high anti-director rights index countries. As the dividend payment frequency
declines, their relative incidence in the common law/anti-director rights index countries
correspondingly declines. These high payment frequency firms also enjoy a greater median level
of operating income. Panel D contains a similar analysis, but uses the industry-adjusted dividend
payment frequency. The results are qualitatively similar to those obtained in Panel C.
We conclude from the analysis presented in Table 3 that firms electing to pay their
dividends most frequently are located in countries with strong investor protections. This means
countries with a common law legal heritage or having a high value for their anti-director rights
index. Further, we find that these more frequent payers enjoy a higher median level of operating
income than those paying dividends less frequently.
4. What are the determinants of dividend payment frequency?
In this section we extend the univariate analysis of section 3 by examining the
simultaneous effect of legal protections available to equity investors, the level of the firm’s
operating income, and the variability of its operating income on dividend payment frequency. In
addition, we introduce a number of control variables into our analysis. We include a measure for
the level of dividends paid in the event that the amount of dividends paid and their frequency are
jointly made decisions in an effort to please investors while managing corporate cash flows: the
rank decile for dividends standardized by earnings. LaPorta et al (2000) use this variable as well.
Fama and French (2001) find that larger firms are more likely to pay dividends. Hence, we include
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firm size as measured by the rank decile for the natural logarithm of the book value of assets. Fama
and French also report that firms with more attractive growth opportunities are less likely to pay
dividends. We measure a firm’s growth opportunities by its percentage growth decile rank in the
annual book value of assets, where asset growth is calculated as the difference between the current
year’s assets and the previous year’s assets scaled by the previous year’s assets. Finally, since firm
profitability affects the cash available from which to pay dividends, we include the firm’s decile
rank of return on assets where the return on assets is calculated as net income scaled by the book
value of assets.
4.1 Estimates from the logistics regressions
In Table 4 we present the results from a set of annual random effects logistic regressions
between dividend payment frequency and a series of independent variables using the Fama-
MacBeth (1973) methodology.5 Because we use country-specific variables as regressors, these
variables are by construction collinear with country fixed effects. Nor can we estimate a firm fixed
effects regression since the nationality of our sample firms is constant. Consequently, we estimate
a set of random effects logistic regressions. We dichotomize dividend payment by creating a
dummy variable that assumes a value of 1 if the dividend payment frequency is quarterly or more
and zero otherwise. Quarterly dividend payment is selected as the benchmark frequency since that
is the highest dividend frequency observed in our sample having a meaningful number of
observations.
We observe in Table 4 that both measures of investor protection, the legal regime and the
anti-directors rights index, are significantly positive. This result confirms the univariate findings
reported in Table 1 that high frequency payers are located more often in countries providing
5 We also estimate the logistic regression between dividend payment frequency and these independent variables using a pooled approach. The results do not significantly differ and our conclusions relative to investor protection, the level of operating income, and its volatility remain unchanged. Hence we do not separately report them for this section or for other analyses which report Fama-MacBeth (1973) coefficients.
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stronger investor protections. Operating income also influences the frequency of dividend
payment. Higher levels of operating income increase the likelihood that the firm will pay dividends
more frequently. Reversing our earlier univariate results, we find that greater variability in
operating income reduces the likelihood that a firm pays dividends quarterly or more frequently.
Higher operating income volatility increases the likelihood that earnings will be inadequate to
satisfy dividend expectations. Further, as most recently noted by Brav et. al. (2005), managers are
reluctant to reduce dividends. Consequently, the presence of greater operating income volatility
will likely decrease a firm’s desire to pay dividends frequently in an attempt to reduce successive
dividend disappointments for investors.
Almost all the control variables are also statistically significant. We find that the level of
dividends paid is significantly positive, indicating that larger dividends tend to be paid more
frequently. Firm size is also significant and positive, suggesting that larger firms pay dividends
more often. We also observe that firms with high growth rates, measured by the asset growth rate
decile, to be inversely related to dividend frequency. Firms with alternative uses for their cash such
as profitable internal investment projects appear to retain their earnings longer by distributing
dividends less frequently. Finally, we note that firm profitability increases the likelihood that a
firm will pay dividends frequently. It may be the case that profitable firms generate sufficient cash
that allows the firm to pay dividends and to pay them frequently.
We conclude from the empirical results that there are common determinants of dividend
payment frequency. We find that the investor protection environment is an important factor in the
frequency choice, suggesting that the greater legal empowerment of shareholders tends to result in
the more frequent disgorgement of cash from the firm through dividends. Further, management is
more likely to pay dividends frequently when its operating income is high, but exhibits lower
volatility.
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4.2 Multinomial logistics estimates
In Table 5 we provide a more detailed analysis of the dividend payment frequency decision
by estimating a series of multinomial logistic regressions. Our empirical examination in this
section allows us to determine what factors influence the decision to pay dividends quarterly, semi-
annually or annually. Because of their extremely limited presence in our sample, we exclude
payment frequencies of thrice a year or more frequently than quarterly. Unlike the results
presented in Tables 4, the multinomial logit regressions in Table 5 allow us to compare the
determinants of dividend payment frequency against each other. Specifically, Table 5 provides an
individual analysis of the determinants of each payment frequency relative to the other payment
frequencies which serve as benchmarks.
Table 5 contains the Fama-MacBeth (1973) coefficients for our multinomial analysis with
unadjusted data. Replication of Table 5 using industry-adjusted data provides quantitatively
identical results and hence is not separately reported. The results for the legal regime are
consistent with shareholders in common law countries receiving dividends more frequently. The
impact of legal regime is most dramatic in the comparisons between annual and quarterly dividend
payments, with all of the estimated coefficients highly statistically significant. That is, when the
quarterly DPF is the benchmark (second column of Table 5) and the annual DPF is compared to it
(last row of Table 5), firms paying annually, on average, are less likely to be situated in common
law countries, have lower operating income that is more volatile, are smaller and have lower
payout, and are less profitable and have higher asset growth.
In general, we observe uniformly significant coefficients for the level and variability of
operating income that are consistent with our hypotheses for these variables. Average operating
income significantly increases the likelihood of more frequent dividend payment, irrespective of
whether we compare annual against quarterly, annual against semi-annual, or semi-annual payment
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against a quarterly payment frequency. The variability of operating income, however, significantly
reduces the likelihood of more frequent dividend payments. This effect holds across all the various
pair-wise frequency comparisons.
The control variables included in the logistic regression are generally statistically
significant and possesses the hypothesized sign. The dividend amount as measured by the
standardized dividend decile is consistently significant and positive, confirming our expectation
that the payment of higher dividends increases the likelihood that dividends will be paid more
frequently. We find that larger firm size also increases the likelihood that a firm will distribute its
dividends to shareholders more frequently. Firm profitability is yet another positive influence on
the likelihood of increased dividend payment frequency. Although the results are not always
significant, we find that our measures of alternative investment opportunities available to the firm
are usually inversely related to the frequent payment of dividends. The asset growth decile reduces
the likelihood that firms pay dividends more frequently. This result is consistent with the inverse
relation between investment opportunities and the dividend payout ratio already established in the
literature. It also supports our conjecture that firms with attractive internal investment projects are
less willing to pay dividends frequently since they have identified other uses for these funds.
4.3 Effect on Valuation
If the dividend payment frequency is a decision variable, it is natural to expect that choice
of frequency be made with a view to enhancing value. LaPorta et al (2002) show that common law
countries have higher valuations, as proxied for by Tobin’s q, than do civil law countries. To test
the hypothesis that higher dividend payment frequency is associated with higher valuations we
perform both univariate and multivariate analyses using the market-to-book ratio as a proxy for
value6. Our results are in Table 6. In panel A, we categorize high dividend frequency (DPF) firms
6 LaPorta et al (2002) also use the market-to-book ratio as a proxy for Tobin’s q.
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in two different ways. We use a HI_DPF dummy which takes value 1 when DPF is quarterly or
higher, and 0 otherwise. We also use a DPF dummy which takes values of 4 for quarterly
frequency, 2 for semi-annual, and 1 for annual. When high HI_DPF is used, high payment
frequency firms are in a significantly higher mean or median market-to-book decile than low
frequency firms. When we use DPF, we once again observe a monotonic and significantly
different order for the mean and median market-to-book decile. Firms with higher dividend
payment frequencies appear more valuable, on average, than those with lower payment
frequencies.
In the random effects multivariate analysis in panel B, we regress a firm’s market-to-book
decile on dividend payment frequency together with several control variables. Whether we use the
HI_DPF dummy, or the DPF dummy, both are consistently positive and significant. Our control
variables for legal regime, size, and asset growth remain significant with the hypothesized signs.
Thus, we conclude that, in a global context, and after controlling for the legal regime, there is a
positive relationship between dividend payment frequency and firm value.
4.4 Robustness tests
In this section we report the results from a series of robustness tests regarding our
multivariate analysis of dividend payment frequency. Specifically, Table 7 contains our findings
resulting from a series of changes in the sample composition.
In the first set of robustness tests, we examine whether our results are due to the effect of a
large capital markets. These excluded markets, U.S. and Japan, are the most heavily capitalized in
the world. By excluding them individually as well as jointly from the sample, we can determine if
our results are driven by the presence of one of these large markets in our sample. We determine
that the effect of legal regime and the nature of the operating income stream on the payment
frequency of dividends is not driven by the inclusion of large outlier markets, and that the positive
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association between payment frequency and value as proxied for by the market-to-book ratio is
unaffected as well. We repeat two sets of regressions. In the first case, based on model 4 in Table 6
where the market-to-book ratio is the dependent variable, we see that the coefficient on DPF
remains positive and significant when large markets are excluded. In the second case, where the
High DPF dummy is the dependent variable and the regression model used is model 7 in table 4,
the independent variables likewise remain significant with the hypothesized sign.
In our second robustness test, we control for any corporate liquidity effects that the East
Asian currency crisis of 1997 might have had on dividend payment frequency. We accomplish this
by eliminating all observations for firms incorporated in Malaysia, Thailand, Philippine Islands,
and Indonesia. We find that this adjustment has no effect on the significance of the selected
coefficients. Deleting all the large markets as well as those affected by the Asian crisis has no
effect on our results either.
5. Conclusions
This study investigates a heretofore unexamined aspect of dividend policy—the frequency
with which a firm elects to pay its dividends to shareholders. The behavioral insights of prospect
theory (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979) and process of mental accounting developed by Thaler
(1980) jointly suggest a dividend payment schedule that emphasizes frequency in an attempt to
increase investor utility. We find, however, a substantial global variation in dividend payment
frequency. Rather than a dominant and highly frequent pattern of dividend payment, we find that
there is a clustering around three payment periodicities —annually, semi-annually and quarterly.
Indeed, the most common frequency for dividend across global capital markets semi-annual, which
is relatively infrequent from a U.S. perspective.
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We conclude from our analysis that there are effects beyond that identified in prospect
theory and mental accounting that influence the frequency with which dividends are paid. We
observe, for instance, that there is an important distinction between legal regimes, with
shareholders in common law countries receiving their dividends twice as frequently as their civil
law counterparts. This result also holds for a sample of dividend initiators.
Beyond the effect of legal regime, we find that the level and standard deviation of the
firm’s operating income exert significant influences on dividend payment frequency. Firms with
higher levels of permanent operating income tend to pay their dividends more frequently. We find,
however, that firms with more variable levels of operating income pay their dividends less
frequently, perhaps in an attempt to reduce investor disappointment when earnings are insufficient
to satisfy dividend expectations.
Since we argue that the dividend payment frequency is a decision variable for firm
management, it becomes necessary to show that the decision is linked to firm value. Our analysis
indicates that there is a positive relationship between payment frequency and value as proxied for
by the firm’s market-to-book ratio. While we demonstrate that this association exists, we
acknowledge that there may be reasons in addition to prospect theory and mental accounting for it.
For instance, dividend payment frequency might be related to the usefulness of dividend signaling
as a way of conveying managerial expectations regarding future firm performance. The dividend
signaling models of Bhattacharya (1979), Hakansson (1982), and Miller and Rock (1985) are
centered on the information content of dividends. In these models, dividends are viewed as
containing information about the firm’s future earnings. If dividends are paid less often, the firm is
correspondingly less able to signal this information to the marketplace and the market has less data
with which to value the firm. Merton (1987) develops a model of capital market equilibrium in
which individuals limit their investment to only those securities of which they are aware.
20
Consequently, firm value is an increasing function of the breadth of investor cognizance. While
focusing on the value implication of information collection and distribution activities of third
parties—securities analysts, Chung and Jo (1996) note, but do not test, that activities of managers
might have a similar effect. It is possible that dividend payment frequency is one such managerial
activity that can affect the degree of investor recognition of a stock and willingness to hold it in a
diversified portfolio. Less frequent dividend payments means fewer dividend announcements and
less overall news about the firm’s earnings and dividend-related activities. To the extent that this
results in less investor cognizance of the firm, investors will require higher rates of return to hold
the shares of unknown or obscure issuers. This suggests that dividend payment frequencies and
changes in those frequencies might influence the level of investor awareness of a security and its
consequent valuation in the marketplace.
21
References
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La Porta, R., F. Lopez-de-Silanes, A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny. 1997. Legal determinants of external capital. Journal of Finance 52, 1131-1150.
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Figure 1 Global distribution of dividend payment frequency
Global Dividend Payment Frequency Histogram
1.2%
19.3%
0.4%
43.2%36.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
1 2 3 4 ≥ 5
Dividend Payment Frequency (DPF)
Sample period is 1995-2005. The sample has 35,976 firm-year observations from 32 countries. Dividend payment frequency (DPF) is defined as the total number of times that a firm pays a dividend during a fiscal year.
Table 1 Global distribution of dividend payment frequencies This table presents the median dividend payment frequency (DPF) for each country for different sub-periods and legal regime between 1995 and 2005. The dividend payment frequency is defined as the total number of times that a firm pays a dividend during the fiscal year. Panel A: Median dividend payment frequencies
Frequency of Dividend Payment Country Number Median DPF Annual Semi-annual Quarterly Other Argentina 10 2 40% 20% 30% 10% Austria 186 1 94% 6% . . Belgium 68 1 99% 1% . . Denmark 404 1 99% 1% . . Finland 272 1 91% 9% . . France 281 1 89% 11% . . Germany 1120 1 97% 3% . . Indonesia 344 1 83% 15% 0% 2% Italy 326 1 96% 4% . . Japan 13791 2 42% 58% . 0% Korea 408 1 92% 8% . 0% Mexico 18 1 67% 33% . . Netherlands 477 1 75% 25% . 0% Norway 212 1 91% 9% . . Philippines 37 1 65% 14% 14% 8% Portugal 55 1 98% 2% . . Spain 302 2 31% 49% 9% 12% Sweden 430 1 99% 1% . . Switzerland 367 1 88% 11% . 1% Taiwan 14 1 100% . . . Turkey 22 1 100% . . . Civil Law Median 1 Australia 1002 2 11% 84% 0% 5% Canada 892 4 12% 11% 71% 6% Hong Kong 383 2 17% 76% 3% 3% India 89 1 67% 26% 2% 4% Ireland 52 2 4% 94% . 2% Malaysia 1542 1 55% 41% 1% 3% New Zealand 75 2 8% 88% . 4% Singapore 825 1 59% 39% 0% 2% Thailand 185 1 61% 38% 1% 1% United Kingdom 4623 2 7% 92% 0% 1% Unites States 7164 4 5% 4% 87% 3% Common Law Median 2 Full Sample 1 Panel B: Test of medians (p-value for z-test) Civil vs. Common Law 0.0037
Table 2 Industry distribution of dividend payment frequencies This table presents the dividend payment frequency distribution for 16 different industries over the 1995-2005 sample period. Industry classifications are based on the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
Dividend Payment Frequency (Percent within industry) NAICS Industry Definition 2-Digit
NAICS Number
1 2 3 4 ≥ 5
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 11 389 48.1 40.9 1.8 9.0 0.3
Mining 21 798 19.9 33.1 1.5 43.5 2.0
Construction 23 1,962 48.9 44.1 0.7 6.2 0.1
Manufacturing 31-33 20,410 35.8 41.2 1.2 21.5 0.4
Wholesale Trade 42 2,952 39.7 45.1 0.9 14.1 0.2
Retail Trade 44-45 2,421 28.5 50.7 1.0 19.3 0.5
Transportation and Warehousing 48-49 1,803 35.0 46.4 1.7 16.6 0.3
Information 51 1,593 31.8 42.6 1.6 23.9 0.1
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 54 1,493 43.1 43.5 1.1 12.1 0.3
Management of Companies and Enterprises 55 21 23.8 76.2 - - 0.0
Administrative and Support and Waste Management 56 642 33.3 51.4 1.2 13.6 0.5
Educational Services 61 143 45.5 42.0 - 11.9 0.7
Health care and Social Assistance 62 156 27.6 43.6 3.2 25.0 0.6
Arts, Entertainment and Recreation 71 277 33.9 59.2 1.8 4.7 0.4
Accommodation and Food Services 72 751 31.0 54.1 0.8 13.7 0.4
Other Services (except Public Administration) 81 165 30.9 41.8 2.4 24.8 0.0
Full sample 35,976 36.0 43.2 1.2 19.3 0.4
Table 3 Determinants of dividend payment frequencies This table presents the univariate analysis results for the relation between dividend payment frequency (DPF) and legal origin, permanent income level, and permanent income volatility. DPF level is defined in 4 alternative ways. In Panel A, firms that pay dividends quarterly or more are classified as high DPF firms. All other firms are classified as low DPF firms. In Panel B, firms that pay above (at or below) the global industry median DPF are classified as high payment frequency (low payment frequency) firms. In Panel C, firms that pay dividends quarterly, semi-annually and annually are classified as high, medium and low DPF firms respectively. In Panel D, if the firm’s DPF is exceeds the global industry median DPF by at least 2 payments per year, it is classified as a high payment frequency firm. If the firm’s DPF exceeds the global industry median by at most 1 payment per year, it is classified as medium. All other firms are classified as low payment frequency firms. The IA_ prefix indicates industry adjustment. COMMON equals one if the country has a common law origin and zero otherwise. HIGH_AD equals one if the country’s antidirector rights index is greater than 3 and zero otherwise. Legal origin and antidirector index are obtained from LaPorta et. al. (2000). AVG_OP_INC_DEC is the rank decile for average scaled operating income, AVG_OP_INC. AVG_OP_INC is defined as the arithmetic mean of the operating income scaled by the book value of assets for years 0, -1, -2 ,-3. STD_OP_INC_DEC is the rank decile for the standard deviation of scaled operating income, STD_OP_INC. STD_OP_INC is the standard deviation of OI/Assets during the years 0, -1, -2, and -3. Rank deciles range from 1 to 10 and are in ascending order of the variable. Sample period is 1995-2005. Panel A: High vs low payment frequencies DPF Level Number COMMON HIGH_AD AVG_OP_INC_DEC STD_OP_INC_DEC DPF ≥ 4 7066 99.43% 99.87% 7.33 6.08 DPF ≤ 3 28910 33.91% 82.69% 5.05 5.36 p-value for difference High – Low <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001
Panel B: High vs low payment frequencies: industry-adjusted DPF Level N COMMON HIGH_AD IA_AVG_OP_INC_DEC IA_STD_OP_INC_DECDPF-DPFGLOBAL IND > 0 21345 62.39% 97.99% 5.91 5.45 DPF-DPFGLOBAL IND ≤ 0 14631 24.02% 68.65% 4.89 5.58 p-value for difference High – Low <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.1792
Panel C: High vs medium vs low payment frequencies DPF Level N COMMON HIGH_AD AVG_OP_INC_DEC STD_OP_INC_DEC DPF = 4 6938 99.49% 99.89% 7.32 6.06 DPF = 2 15526 44.93% 97.07% 5.23 5.15 DPF = 1 12962 18.98% 65.00% 4.77 5.55 p-value for difference High – Medium <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Medium – Low <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 High – Low <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001
Panel D: High vs medium vs low payment frequencies: industry-adjusted DPF Level N COMMON HIGH_AD IA_AVG_OP_INC_DEC IA_STD_OP_INC_DEC2 ≤ DPF-DPFGLOBAL IND ≤ 3 6934 99.51% 99.91% 7.25 5.94 0 < DPF-DPFGLOBAL IND ≤ 1 13861 42.75% 97.08% 5.20 5.14 DPF-DPFGLOBAL IND ≤ 0 14631 24.02% 68.65% 4.89 5.57 p-value for difference High – Medium <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Medium – Low <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 High – Low <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001
Table 4 Random effects logit regression This table presents the Fama-Macbeth (1973) coefficients from a regression between dividend payment frequency and legal origin, permanent income level, permanent income volatility, and selected firm characteristics. The dependent variable equals one if the DPF is paid on a quarterly or on a higher basis and zero otherwise. COMMON equals one if the country has a common law origin and zero otherwise. HIGH_AD equals one if the country’s antidirector rights index is greater than 3 and zero otherwise. Legal origin and antidirector index are drawn from LLSV (2000). AVG_OP_INC_DEC is the rank decile for average scaled operating income, AVG_OP_INC. AVG_OP_INC is defined as the arithmetic mean of the operating income scaled by the book value of assets for years 0, -1, -2 ,-3. STD_OP_INC_DEC is the rank decile for the standard deviation of scaled operating income, STD_OP_INC. STD_OP_INC is the standard deviation of OI/Assets during the years 0, -1, -2, and -3. DIV_TO_EARN_DEC is the rank decile for the payout ratio, DIV_TO_EARN . DIV_TO_EARN is defined as the ratio of total dividends to net income. LOGSIZE_DEC is the rank decile for the natural logarithm of the book value of assets in US dollars. ASSET_GROWTH_DEC is the rank decile for the asset growth, ASSET_GROWTH. ASSET_GROWTH is defined as the difference between the book-value of assets of the current year and that of the last year scaled by the previous year’s assets. ROA_DEC is the rank decile for the return on assets. ROA is defined as the net income scaled by the book value of assets. Rank deciles range from 1 to 10 and are in ascending order of the variable. Country and industry random effects are applied. The superscripts ***, **, and * represent statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. Sample period is 1995-2005.
Independent Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Intercept -6.62*** -6.63*** -5.5*** -4.5*** -6.51*** -6.67*** -10.15*** -9.93*** COMMON 2.85*** 2.95*** 3.17*** HIGH_AD 2.68*** 2.74*** 2.77*** AVG_OP_INC_DEC 0.08*** 0.08*** 0.09*** 0.12*** 0.11** STD_OP_INC_DEC -0.11*** -0.12*** -0.09*** -0.07*** -0.05** DIV_TO_EARN_DEC 0.2*** 0.18*** LOGSIZE_DEC 0.28*** 0.26*** ASSET_GROWTH_DEC -0.03* -0.06 ROA_DEC 0.07*** 0.08**
Table 5 Random effects multinomial logit analysis of dividend payment frequency This table presents the Fama-MacBeth (1973) coefficients for an examination of the relation between dividend payment frequency (DPF) and legal origin, permanent income level, permanent income volatility, and firm characteristics. The dependent variable, DPF, has three levels: quarterly (Q), semi-annual (SA) and annual (A). COMMON equals one if the country has a common law origin and zero otherwise. Legal origin is obtained from LaPorta (2000). AVG_OP_INC_DEC is the rank decile for average scaled operating income, AVG_OP_INC. AVG_OP_INC is defined as the arithmetic mean of the operating income scaled by the book value of assets for years 0, -1, -2 ,-3. STD_OP_INC_DEC is the rank decile for the standard deviation of scaled operating income, STD_OP_INC. STD_OP_INC is the standard deviation of OI/Assets during the years 0, -1, -2, and -3. DIV_TO_EARN_DEC is the rank decile for the payout ratio, DIV_TO_EARN . DIV_TO_EARN is defined as the ratio of total dividends to net income. LOGSIZE_DEC is the rank decile for the natural logarithm of the book value of assets in US dollars. ASSET_GROWTH_DEC is the rank decile for the asset growth, ASSET_GROWTH. ASSET_GROWTH is defined as the difference between the book-value of assets of the current year and that of the last year scaled by the last year’s assets. ROA_DEC is the rank decile for the return on assets. ROA is defined as the net income scaled by the book value of assets. Rank deciles range from 1 to 10 and are in ascending order of the variable. The superscripts ***, **, and * represent statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. Country and industry random effects are applied. Sample period is 1995-2005.
Benchmark DPF Quarterly Semi-annually Annually Estimate Estimate Estimate
Intercept -7.67*** -12.93*** COMMON 1.97*** 4.77*** AVG_OP_INC_DEC 0.09*** 0.20*** STD_OP_INC_DEC -0.04 -0.11*** DIV_TO_EARN_DEC 0.18*** 0.33*** LOGSIZE_DEC 0.19*** 0.48*** ASSET_GROWTH_DEC -0.04 -0.07** Q
uarte
rly D
PF
vers
us b
ench
mar
k D
PF
ROA_DEC 0.01 0.22***
Intercept 5.60*** -6.43*** COMMON -0.94*** 3.82*** AVG_OP_INC_DEC -0.09*** 0.11*** STD_OP_INC_DEC 0.03 -0.07*** DIV_TO_EARN_DEC -0.16*** 0.15*** LOGSIZE_DEC -0.17*** 0.29*** ASSET_GROWTH_DEC 0.04* -0.02 Se
mi-a
nnua
l DPF
ve
rsus
ben
chm
ark
DPF
ROA_DEC 0.00 0.21***
Intercept 12.53*** 6.44*** COMMON -5.29*** -3.80*** AVG_OP_INC_DEC -0.21*** -0.11*** STD_OP_INC_DEC 0.10*** 0.07*** DIV_TO_EARN_DEC -0.31*** -0.15*** LOGSIZE_DEC -0.47*** -0.29*** ASSET_GROWTH_DEC 0.07** 0.02
Ann
ual D
PF v
ersu
s be
nchm
ark
DPF
ROA_DEC -0.21*** -0.22***
Table 6 Relation between DPF and market valuation This table presents the univariate and multivariate analyses results for the relation between dividend payment frequency and firm valuation. Payment frequency is measured in 2 alternative ways. The first measure (HI_DPF) classifies firms into two groups as high-frequency versus low-frequency payers. HI_DPF equals one when the firms pay dividends at a quarterly or a higher frequency, otherwise equals 0. The second measure (DPF) is the actual dividend payment frequency. Due to their dominant presence, only the firms that pay dividends quarterly, semi-annually and annually are examined. Panel A reports univariate analysis results and Panel B reports the results of a multivariate analysis. The dependent variable is M/B_DEC. M/B_DEC is the rank decile for the asset based market-to-book ratio, M/B. Market value of assets is the market value of equity at the end of fiscal year times the number of shares outstanding plus the long term debt. LOGSIZE_DEC is the rank decile for the natural logarithm of the book value of assets in US dollars. COMMON equals one if the country has a common law origin and zero otherwise. HIGH_AD equals one if the country’s antidirector rights index is greater than 3 and zero otherwise. Legal origin and antidirector index are drawn from LLSV (2000). ASSET_GROWTH_DEC is the rank decile for the asset growth, ASSET_GROWTH. ASSET_GROWTH is defined as the difference between the book-value of assets of the current year and that of the last year scaled by the previous year’s assets. Rank deciles range from 1 to 10 and are in ascending order of the variable. Country and industry random effects are applied. The superscripts ***, **, and * represent statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. Sample period is 1995-2005. Panel A: Univariate analysis DPF level Number Mean M/B_DEC Median M/B_DEC High vs. low DPF HI_DPF = 1 7066 7.31 8.00 HI_DPF = 0 28910 5.06 5.00 P value for the difference <0.0001 <0.0001 High vs medium vs low DPF DPF = 4 6938 7.31 8.00 DPF = 2 15526 5.37 5.00 DPF = 1 12962 4.62 4.00 P value for difference High-Medium <0.0001 <0.0001 Medium-Low <0.0001 <0.0001 High-Low <0.0001 <0.0001 Panel B: Multivariate analysis Dependent variable = M/B_DEC (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Intercept 5.95*** 5.38*** 4.43*** 4.11*** 4.39*** 4.08*** LOGSIZE_DEC 0.06** 0.04** 0.06** 0.04** ASSET_GROWTH_DEC 0.18*** 0.18*** 0.18*** 0.18*** COMMON 0.53*** 0.21* HIGH_AD 0.52*** 0.21 HI_DPF 0.21*** 0.13** 0.14** DPF 0.38*** 0.34*** 0.34***
Table 7 Robustness tests for the multivariate analysis of dividend payment frequency This table reports selected Fama-MacBeth (1973) coefficients of model 4 in Panel B of Table 6, where the firm’s market-to-book decile, M/B_DEC, is the dependent variable, and model 7 of Table 4, where the high dividend frequency dummy, HI_DPF, is the dependent variable, using various sub-samples. DPF is the annual dividend payment frequency. COMMON equals one if the country has a common law origin and zero otherwise. Legal origin is obtained from LaPorta (2000). AVG_OP_INC_DEC is the rank decile for average scaled operating income, AVG_OP_INC. AVG_OP_INC is defined as the arithmetic mean of the operating income scaled by the book value of assets for years 0, -1, -2 ,-3. STD_OP_INC_DEC is the rank decile for the standard deviation of scaled operating income, STD_OP_INC. STD_OP_INC is the standard deviation of OI/Assets during the years 0, -1, -2, and -3. Rank deciles range from 1 to 10 and are in ascending order of the variable. Country and industry random effects are implemented. The superscripts ***, **, and * represent statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.
Model 4 of
Table 6 Model 7 of Table 4
Selected Variable Changes to sample
DPF COMMON AVG_OP_INC_DEC STD_OP_INC_DEC Sample contribution related Japanese firms excluded (N =22,185) 0.26*** 2.72*** 0.11*** -0.07***
US firms excluded (N =28,812) 0.56*** 2.12*** 0.34*** -0.06*
Japanese and US firms are excluded (N=15,041 )
0.55*** 1.82*** 0.31*** -0.07***
Malaysian, Thai, Philippine and Indonesian firms are excluded (N = 33,868)
0.29*** 3.92*** 0.11*** -0.08***
All of the above countries are excluded (N =12,913)
0.44*** 2.42*** 0.31*** -0.07***