the need for exploration best practice - exploration performance benchmarking value creation from...
TRANSCRIPT
The need for exploration Best practice - Exploration performance benchmarkingValue creation from explorationTesting new play concepts and/or exploration modelsReducing exploration risk by developing and/or applying new techniquesAppropriate Mining Technology for Sub Sahara Geology Formation
EXPLORATION: THE NEED AND THE
ADVANCES IN TECHNOLOGY
Quality – Innovation – Future
Feasibility Studies
….an important instrument for mining
project financing
“Feasibility study" means a comprehensive study of a deposit in which all geological,
engineering, operating, economic and other relevant factors are
considered in sufficient detail that it could reasonably serve as the basis for a
final decision by a financial institution to finance the development of the deposit
for mineral production.*
* Definition taken from NI 43-101 (reporting standard for American SXs)
MINE LIFE CYCLE
To learn more about feasibility studies you have to look in more detail to the mining project cycle.
Source: Modified from VenmynMitigate Risk
CorporatePerformance
ExplorationPerformance
DevelopmentPerformance
MiningPerformance
ProcessingPerformance
MarketingPerformance
LocationUncertainty
MiningComplexity
Social &Environmental
Uncertainty
ConstructionUncertainty
Mining Uncertainty
MetallurgicalUncertainty
Market &Commodity
PricingUncertainty
Financial &Economic
Uncertainty
GeologicalUncertainty
Science &TechnologyUncertainty
Mining is a risky business and each stage is impacted by uncertainties
InvestorUncertainty
Social &Environmental
Uncertainty
Social &Environmental
Uncertainty
Social &Environmental
Uncertainty
Social &Environmental
Uncertainty
Social &Environmental
Uncertainty
PoliticalUncertainty
PoliticalUncertainty
InvestorUncertainty
Pervasive,Largely
UncontrollableRisks
Poorly Defined and somewhatControllable
Risks
Direct Controllable
Risks
Global Financial &Economic Risks
“Risk Categories”
The way to address all the
uncertainties and to minimise the risks
incurred into a mining project is the
dilligent preparation of a Feasibility
Study.
• Covers the technical, the economic and financial feasibility.
• Details the design, including field studies, especially in regard to topographical, geological, geotechnical, hydrogeological.
• Details the unit costs of the materials and the various phases of construction close to reality.
• Allows exploring the various possibilities / strategies of funding the project.
• Includes detailed study of the potential environmental impacts and mitigation plans and the costs the cost to be foreseen in the overall budget.
FEASIBILITY STUDY
RELATION BETWEEN RESOURCE AND RESERVES
KEY TOPICS TO BE ADRESSED WITHIN FEASIBILITY STUDIES
• Geology and Resource
• Mine Design and Mineable Reserve
• Metallurgy and Process Facility
• Tailing disposal
• Infrastructure, power supply, water supply
• Civil and major earthworks
• Power supply
• Water
• Support facilities, maintenance, etc.
• Site access, road vs. fly-in fly-out vs. winter road vs. marine etc.
KEY TOPICS TO BE ADRESSED WITHIN FEASIBILITY STUDIES (2)
• Supply costs and shipping of product and impact on working capital
• Project access and transportation
• Environmental impacts and mitigation
• Labour supply and socio-economic issues
• Political stability and conditions
• Environmental constraints and permitting
• Management capability and experience
• Socio-economic impacts
• Project schedule and execution plan
• Capital and operating cost estimates
• Fatal Flaw Analysis
COST CALCULATION : ACCURACY VS TYPE OF STUDY
Life Cycle of a Mining InvestmentVALUE vs RISK
Life Cycle of a Mining InvestmentVALUE vs RISK
RISK REDUCTION WITH ADDED INFORMATION AND CONFIDENCE
Source: Modified from U.S. Global Investors and Venmyn
Highest Financial Risk Exposure
VA
LU
E A
DD
ITIO
N
DISCOVERY
Pre-FEASIBILITY
BANKABLE FEASIBILITY
EXPLORATION PRE-DEVMINE
CONSTRUCTIONMINE
PRODUCTION
5-10% 70-85%10-20%
Development InvestmentAnalysis
(Reality Sets In)
Production Revaluation
Speculation
COMPLIANCE AND REPORTING
• Codes sets out standards and guidelines for Public Reporting of Mineral Asset Valuations e.g. SAMREC;SAMVAL; Ni43-101; JORC etc.
• The code is applicable to the reporting of all styles of solid mineralization/mineral assets.
• The code is based on best practices of the minerals industry and allows for professional judgment in certain instances.
• The objective of the code is that Mineral Asset Valuations should be performed by appropriately qualified persons and all relevant information is fully disclosed.
• ‘Valuation’ in the code is related to the value or worth of a Mineral Asset as opposed to ‘evaluation’ where the objective is an economic assessment of the economic merit of an Asset.
CONCLUSIONS
• Feasibility study is the key instrument to determine whether or not a project will be viable.
• There are different standards for feasibility studies, but its quality remains paramount.
• The bank decides what is bankable.
• Mineral resource is the key factor.
• No duly proven reserves, no project (modifying factors).
• The level of detail in a feasibility study depends basically on implementation route.
• Capital costs: accuracy of estimate vary between ± 25% and ± 10%.
• The cost of a feasibility study is a very low% of the total investment.
• Greater detail in a FS, greater accuracy in calculating the cost of capital.
• Compliance is paramount as its provides credibility.
The success of a project depends on quality, time and expected cost and subsequently depends on
a professional Feasibility Studyand
the experience of the consultant providing the study ?
Our Services
Geo Engineering & Exploration
Mining Consulting & Engineering
Process Engineering & Plant Engineering
Plant & Product Safety
Exploration Seismic
Measuring systems and products
Training & seminars
Quality – Innovation – Future
Markets we serve
Mining
Oil & Gas
Civil Engineering& Infrastructure
Plant Engineering & Process Engineering
Geology and Borehole Survey – Exploration
Airborne:gravity, magnetics, EM, radiometrics(?)
Ground: gravity, magnetics, EM, MT, GPR, resistivity, seismics
Indicator minerals: garnet, ilmenite, chromite, diopside, olivine(?), diamond
Geochemistry: Ni, Cr
Remote sensing: hyperspectral(?), satellite, aerial photography
Diamond Drill Bit
Long Space (20") Density Detector Ultrasonic Dip SensorRadioactive Source
Geology and Borehole Survey - Services
High-tech core logging DMT CoreScanner
“Full Circumference Mode“
Scanning during rotation of the core
Geology and Borehole Survey - CS3
DMT KAI BATLA ZIMBABWE EXPERIENCE
2012: Geological exploration, Iron Ore
2012-2013: Geological exploration, Manganese and Gold
2014: Geological exploration, Manganese
2014: Due Diligence - Investigation of potential limestone suppliers
2014-2015: Geological exploration, Rare Earth Elements
2014-2015: Due Diligence - Potential Coal Suppliers to
Thank you for your attention
Avinash Bisnath
DMT Kai Batla
Managing Director, Geologist
Mapadi Molepo
DMT Kai Batla
Geologist
www.dmt-group.com