The need to look ahead

“For future success in almost any area, we have to incorporate future effects into our current decision policy making.” (Commissioner Potočnik)

Preparedness

Knowledge base for Forward-Looking Information and

Assessment (FLIS)Development of a platform to support long-term

decision making

Relationship to system neighbours

Information about the future itself

Drivers and trends

Indicators

Scenarios

Use of forward looking information

Practice of studying the future

Methods and tools

Networking, capacity building and governance

Networking, capacity, governance:

EIONET

EIONET partnership:• EEA• European Topic

Centres (ETCs)• National Focal Points

(NFPs)• National Reference

Centres (NRCs)• NRC-FLIS

Structure demonstrating how NFPs, NRCs and ETCs interact with EEA

Thank you!

Global megatrends

Use of forward-looking info:

Assessments – exampleEnvironmental trends and perspectives in the Western Balkans:

future production and consumption pattern

Framework of analyses

Evaluation of forward-looking indicators:

Methods and tools:Further information

EEA EnviroWindows - methods http://scenarios.ew.eea.europa.eu/fol939663

On line Catalogue of models http://scenarios.ew.eea.europa.eu/fol079729/online-model-inventory

GEMET - GEneral Multilingual Environmental Thesaurus

http://www.eionet.europa.eu/gemet/

EEA glossary http://glossary.eea.europa.eu/