the new resilient city
TRANSCRIPT
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REBUILD BY DESIGN
The New Resilient City:Infrastructure Meets Community Fabric
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2Source: Dan Nguyen/SIRR Report
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Outer borough impacts…beach
Source: Getty
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5Source: Irene Plagianos/DNA info
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6Source: Suzanne DeChillo/The New York Times
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Outer Borough Impacts…buildings
Source: CGC76/Flickr
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Outer borough impacts…beach
Source: Mario Alias/Flickr Source: MTA
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11Source: 2012 CBS Interactive
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Outer borough impacts…beach
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There were lots of people helping other people
Source: CAAAV
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14CONFIDENTIAL
100-Year Floodplain: V Zone (FEMA 2013 PWMs)
100-Year Floodplain: A Zone (FEMA 2013 PWMs)
500-Year Floodplain (FEMA 2013 PWMs)
100-YEAR FLOODPLAIN*
1983 FIRMs
2013 PWMs
Change (%)
Residents 218,000 398,000 82%
Jobs 214,000 271,000 27%
Buildings 36,000 68,000 89%
Floor Area (SF)
377M 534M 42%
* Numbers are rounded for clarity
FEMA June 2013 Flood Maps
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Flood Maps in 2020s and 2050s
100-YEAR FLOODPLAIN*
2013 PWMs
2050s Projected
Change (%)
Residents 398,000 801,000 101%
Jobs 271,000 430,000 59%
Buildings 68,000 114,000 68%
Floor Area (SF)
534M 855M 60%
* Numbers are rounded for clarity
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Source: UCAR/ NCAR, NOAA
Sandy eclipsed the previous record, set in 1960, by almost 40%
Note:
Among top 10 high water marks at the Battery since 1900, all are post-1950
Top Ten High-Water Events at the Battery, 1900-2012
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Likelihood of Damage (%) (Return Period, 50 = 1/50 years)
Cost and Likelihood of Future Storms
Source: Swiss Re model
1/60
~$90B
~$35B
~$19B1/50
1/70
Likelihood of a $19B storm (like Sandy) will grow 17% by the 2020s and 40% by the 2050s
Likely loss of 1/70-year storm (like Sandy) will grow to $35B by the 2020s and $90B by the 2050s (in current dollars)
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REBUILD BY DESIGN 18
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DRAFT
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Dutch River Delta
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NYC: 68,000 buildings in the 100-year floodplain40% impractical or infeasible to elevate
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REBUILD BY DESIGN 23
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24CONFIDENTIAL
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REBUILD BY DESIGN 25
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Credit: Photos of Old America, 1999
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Credit: Photos of Old America, 1999
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28CONFIDENTIAL
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DRAFT
29San Antonio Riverwalk
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Neighborhood Retail and Services
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31CONFIDENTIAL
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32CONFIDENTIAL
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33 33REBUILD BY DESIGN|
HR&A Advisors, Inc. | Cooper, Robertson & Partners
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34CONFIDENTIAL
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Blending and Layering Resiliency
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The Resiliency Firm of Choice
BLENDING RESILIENCY INTO DESIGN
RedundancyHardening
Habitat Restoration
Water Quality
Waterfront AccessOpen Space
Retreat
AccommodationBiodiversity
Climate Adaptation
Outdoor Recreation
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The Resiliency Firm of Choice
BLENDING RESILIENCY INTO DESIGN
AccommodationHardening
Habitat RestorationWater Quality
Waterfront AccessOpen Space
Resiliency is not the sole driver…Resiliency Sustainability
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The Resiliency Firm of Choice
LAYERS OF RESILIENCY
THREAT
3) Buildings
2) Infrastructure
1) Coastal
PROTECTING ASSETS
REDUCING RISK
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The Resiliency Firm of Choice
THREAT
2) Infrastructure
PROTECTING ASSETS
REDUCING RISK
PROTECTIVE LAYERS WITHIN INFRASTRUCTURE
1) Ingress prevention
2) Compartmentalization and Water Removal
3) Critical Facilities Protection
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Large-Scale Coastal Protection
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Coney Island, NYConey Island Beach
Nourishment
1992 1995
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Parks and the Public Realm
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Building Adaptation
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Arverne-by-the-SeaRaised site and flood
protection
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BUILDING and STREET ADAPTATIONPrograms to assist when investment costs more than the
buildings
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BUILDING and STREET ADAPTATIONPolicy levers to reduce carbon and provide local benefits
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Special Initiative for Rebuilding and Resiliency
BUILDING and STREET ADAPTATIONArea-wide strategies
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Community-Based Adaptation Services
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Proposal: establish long-term local hubs integrating recovery assistance (like Build It Back), agency services (like building permits) and facilitation of long-term planning for resilience.
Communities devastated by Sandy continue to suffer from isolation from discussions about recovery and resilience.
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Innovation and Resilience through Regional Design
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PROCESS / TALENT / FUNDING
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Priorities for Creating a Livable and Resilient New York City
Mobilize Existing Resources and Diverse Expertise.
Strengthen Local Capacities.
Invest In Flexible And Adaptive Infrastructure.
Lead With Policies That Sustain Resilience.
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mas.org/urbanplanning/resilience/
#AllHandsonDeck
@MASNYC