the outlook for telehealth and csp early movers
TRANSCRIPT
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
IIC Singapore – TRPC Forum Smart Health, IoT and the Empowerment of Patients
24 November 2015
Sherrie Huang
Research Programme Head, Asia Pacific [email protected]
The Outlook For Telehealth And
CSP Early Movers
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Changes:
• Governments and healthcare stakeholders are introducing value-based models:
Evidence/Performance-based; New way to reimburse healthcare providers.
Goals:
• Manage the rising cost of healthcare provision
• Address the increasing prevalence of chronic disease
• Provide better-quality services to patients.
Ageing populations
↑ Chronic diseases
↑Pressure
on healthcare resources
2
The healthcare sector is being forced to change, leading to
new opportunities underpinned by telehealth applications
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Figure: Converging telehealth application groups
3
Telehealth solutions will play an
important role to address the
challenges:
• Assisted living solutions can address
some of the needs of an ageing
population.
• Remote patient monitoring (RPM) and
telemedicine facilitate remote
monitoring or provide non-urgent
medical advice to relieve the burden on
traditional resources.
• Wellness platforms (health apps,
wearables) monitor consumer health.
The four application groups are slowly converging to provide
health monitoring and disease prevention to solve the issues
Source: Analysys Mason
Disease and
Health
Management
REMOTE PATIENT
MONITORING TELEMEDICINE
WELLNESS
ASSISTED
LIVING
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Survey results: Good penetration levels of apps + ~60% of people
pay for their own healthcare insurance Strong potential
Figure: Respondents with medical insurance, and insurance
payment bearers [Source: Analysys Mason, 2015]
Figure: Respondents who use healthcare or fitness apps, by
country [Source: Analysys Mason, 2015]
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
South Korea Malaysia Indonesia
Pe
rcen
tage
of
resp
on
de
nts
Fitness (steps, heart rate) Nutrition (diet, calories)
Wellness (sleep, posture) Medical reference
Medical condition management Use some fitness/health app
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Indonesia Malaysia South Korea
Pe
rce
nta
ge
of
resp
on
de
nts
Yes, I pay Yes, family pays
No, I pay when needed Yes, employer pays
Yes, someone else pays No, healthcare is free
No, for another reason Unsure
4
Q: “Do you have private healthcare
cover/insurance?”; n = 3000.
Q: “If you use health or fitness apps on your mobile phone,
what do those apps track? (select all that apply)”; n = 3000
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Figure: Telehealth market KPIs, worldwide, 2020, and
selected growth rates, 2013–2020
5
Telehealth connections and revenue
will grow during the forecast period but
will not be a large market in 2020.
• Assisted living, Remote patient monitoring
(RPM) and telemedicine often require
different technologies and adopt different
business models.
• RPM and assisted living may generate
connectivity revenue but most of the value is
found higher up the value chain.
• Standalone telemedicine services generate
revenue through subscription and ‘visit’ fees.
• Few holistic services are available.
Note: We do not provide forecasts for the size of the wellness
market. We will track the market and progress in corporate
wellness plans, and may size the market in the future.
Forecast: The telehealth market will grow significantly from a
very small base, but the overall opportunity will be small
15M 30%
Assisted living (personal emergency response systems
(PERS) and mobile PERS (mPERS))
Remote Patient Monitoring (RPM)
Telemedicine
Subscribers
13M
Connections
50%
Mobile share
17M 1.3bn
Subscribers Subscriber service
revenue (USD)
Mobile share
3.4bn Service
revenue (USD)
6.8bn Connectivity and application (USD)
CAGR 22%
CAGR 50%
CAGR 36%
Source: Analysys Mason
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Figure: Distribution of initiatives [Source: Analysys Mason DERI Tracker]
Mobile health
Mobile financial services
Mobile education
Smart homes
Mobile commerce and advertising
Cloud-based services
Mobile agriculture
Mobile identity and security
Venture capital – accelerator
Key:
18%
20%
8%
2%
15%
24%
4% 9%
APAC:116
initiatives
Cloud-based
services
Mobile financial
services
Mobile health
Mobile commerce
and advertising
Digital Economy Readiness Index (DERI): Mobile healthcare is
one of the key focuses of the CSP initiatives in Asia-Pacific
Asia–Pacific
6
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Figure: CSP roles in the telehealth market value chain
7
Telehealth represents an interesting long-
term opportunity for CSPs willing to commit
resources over the long term.
• CSPs need to address national market
requirements with regard to policy and demand.
• Telehealth services are complex:
• Address disparate stakeholders
• Require different technologies
• Synergies are not always clear.
• The role of the CSP in the value chain is unclear.
• Moving up the value chain will be challenging.
• Telehealth will remain a small opportunity for
CSPs during the next 5 years.
CSPs entering the telehealth market must be prepared to
make significant investment and take a long-term view
Enabler
Platform
Healthcare
provider
Source: Analysys Mason
Connectivity
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Lack of scale
Funding and reimbursement
Regulation
Figure: Barriers to adoption and growth in the telehealth market
8
CSPs may identify some
near-term opportunities in
connectivity provision…
…but these will be low
value and subject to
intense competition.
These issues will only be
resolved in the long term.
The telehealth market has persistent barriers to entry, which
will only be resolved in the long term
Source: Analysys Mason
Long lead times for medical device certification
Stringent data protection laws
Lack of clarity on new delivery models
Funding mechanisms for new delivery models not
always in place
Insufficient proof points in the market
Fragmented demand-side dynamics in healthcare
Lack of interoperability and standards between
health IT solutions
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Case study 1: The M2M end-to-end patient monitoring
solution of a leading CSP in Malaysia
Server and
3G gateway
hardware
Connectivity
Management
Platform
Bluetooth
enabled patient
device
Patient
monitoring
application
Mobile M2M
service for
connectivity
‘Off the shelf’ end-to-end patient monitoring solution
9
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Case study 2: The mobile healthcare service of a India leading
CSP addresses the unserved need and brings differentiation
Figure: Number of initiatives and average readiness score, by
vertical [Source: Analysys Mason, DERI]
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 1 2 3 4
Ave
rag
e r
ea
din
ess s
co
re
Number of initiatives
Mobile Commerce and Advertising
Mobile Education
Mobile Health
Mobile Fincancial Services Cloud-based
Services
10
• mHealth SMS alert packs Low
income: Make health information readily
available to the large segments of the
population in India which do not have
access to the Internet.
• Mediphone Mid-high income:
Exclusive to Airtel mobile subscribers.
The service is powered by a clinical
decision support solution from Medibank
Health Solutions, and is staffed by
accredited nurses and doctors.
Mobile Health service of a
leading CSP (India)
Mediphone brings the much
needed differentiation
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015 11
Key Takeaways
Health industry is being forced to change:
Ageing populations and the prevalence of chronic diseases are putting increasing pressure on healthcare resources.
Mobile health has good potential in Asia Pacific:
Consumer survey shows high app penetration and high incentive for health monitoring and management.
Telehealth is estimated to have strong growth globally:
But it’s complexed and it will remain a small opportunity for CSPs during the next 5 years.
Healthcare is the #3 market that APAC CSPs invest in:
Challenges: No significant returns in the near term; ; Positioning; Difficulty to move up the value chain; high investment and risk…
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Research from Analysys Mason
12
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The Outlook For Telehealth And CSP Early Movers
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
Contact details
13
Sherrie Huang
Research Programme Head
Asia Pacific
[email protected] Boston
Tel: +1 202 331 3080
Fax: +1 202 331 3083
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