the path to self destruction: recap of venezuela’s struggle · directly on pdvsa, blocking its...

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Feb 2017: 1.65 MMb/d March 2019: 1 MMb/d Quality to United States: Jan 2017: 18.12o API Nov 2018: 16.81o API* *Decline due to decreasing US imports of Hamaca. Since 2014, approximately 3 million Venezuelans have fled the country owing to the failing economy, lack of basic goods (food, water, medical equipment), and jobs. In February, President Nicolás Maduro blocked an international attempt to bring aid into the country. Venezuela requires naphtha to produce Orinoco extra-heavy crude and to upgrade it into diluted crude oil (DCO) export blend. PDVSA is using light Eastern grades to replace US naphtha, but this is a temporary solution as eastern conventional production is declining rapidly. Orinoco Belt February 2017: 600,000 b/d March 2019: 81,000 b/d Eastern conventional oil February 2017: 695,000 b/d March 2019: 130,000 b/d Diluent crisis Temporary solutions 10 January 24 January 28 January 7 March 1 May 7 and 25 March Nicolas Maduro was sworn in for his second term as president, following the fraudulent election. Juan Guaidó was sworn in as interim president, challenging Maduro’s authority. Currently, he is recognized by 50 countries as the legitimate ruler. The United States imposed sanctions directly on PDVSA, blocking its exports of crude and imports of US naphtha. US Special Representative for Venezuela Elliott Abrams announced upcoming sanctions that could target all crude and product flows being shipped in and out. Two blackouts caused by a wildfire near the Guri hydroelectric dam caused countrywide blackouts for a minimum of 10 days. In both blackouts, production plunged below 500,000 b/d, shutting down Orinoco production and closing down the already-troubled Jose terminal. Major events in 2019 Refinery runs February 2017 745,000 b/d March 2019 0 MMb/d February 2017: 760,000 b/d March 2019: 386,000 b/d Western conventional oil Crude exports Humanitarian crisis The path to self destruction: Recap of Venezuela’s struggle 338900755-0519-GC With IHS Markit Crude Oil Markets Short-Term Outlooks, gain access to the most credible insight and developments into Venezuela and across global oil markets. Anticipate and capitalize on critical turning points in the crude oil market. Aruba Panama Curacao St. Lucia Barbados Caracas Trinidad and Tobago St. Vincent and the Grenadines Grenada Colombia Venezuela Capital Legend IHS Markit / 1737176 Juan Guaido calls for a May Day protest to increase the pressure on President Nicolas Maduro aſter a day of violent clashes on the streets of the capital.

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Page 1: The path to self destruction: Recap of Venezuela’s struggle · directly on PDVSA, blocking its exports of crude and imports of US naphtha. US Special Representative for Venezuela

Feb 2017: 1.65 MMb/dMarch 2019: 1 MMb/dQuality to United States:Jan 2017: 18.12o APINov 2018: 16.81o API**Decline due to decreasing US imports of Hamaca.

Since 2014, approximately 3 million Venezuelans have fled the country owing to the failing economy, lack of basic goods (food, water, medical equipment), and jobs. In February, President Nicolás Maduro blocked an international attempt to bring aid into the country.

Venezuela requires naphtha to produce Orinoco extra-heavy crude and to upgrade it into diluted crude oil (DCO) export blend.

PDVSA is using light Eastern grades to replace US naphtha, but this is a temporary solution as eastern conventional production is declining rapidly.

Orinoco BeltFebruary 2017: 600,000 b/dMarch 2019: 81,000 b/d

Eastern conventional oilFebruary 2017: 695,000 b/dMarch 2019: 130,000 b/d

Diluent crisis Temporary solutions

10 January 24 January 28 January 7 March 1 May7 and 25 March

Nicolas Maduro was sworn in for his second term as president, following the fraudulent election.

Juan Guaidó was sworn in as interim president, challenging Maduro’s authority. Currently, he is recognized by 50 countries as the legitimate ruler.

The United States imposed sanctions directly on PDVSA, blocking its exports of crude and imports of US naphtha.

US Special Representative for Venezuela Elliott Abrams announced upcoming sanctions that could target all crude and product flows being shipped in and out.

Two blackouts caused by a wildfire near the Guri hydroelectric dam caused countrywide blackouts for a minimum of 10 days. In both blackouts, production plunged below 500,000 b/d, shutting down Orinoco production and closing down the already-troubled Jose terminal.M

ajor

eve

nts i

n 20

19 Refinery runs

February 2017 745,000 b/d

March 2019 0 MMb/d

February 2017: 760,000 b/dMarch 2019: 386,000 b/d

Western conventional oil

Crude exportsHumanitarian crisis

The path to self destruction: Recap of Venezuela’s struggle

338900755-0519-GC

With IHS Markit Crude Oil Markets Short-Term Outlooks, gain access to the most credible insight and developments into Venezuela and across global oil markets. Anticipate and capitalize on critical turning points in the crude oil market.

Aruba

Panama

Curacao

St. LuciaBarbados

Caracas Trinidad and Tobago

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Grenada

Colombia

Venezuela

CapitalLegend

IHS Markit / 1737176

Juan Guaido calls for a May Day protest to increase the pressure on President Nicolas Maduro a�er a day of violent clashes on the streets of the capital.