the power of local renewable energy
DESCRIPTION
Did you know the enormous potential of clean, local energy to meet U.S. electricity needs and juice local economies? But what happens if incumbent utilities successfully quash democratic energy? See 8 proposed rules that can open the doors to more local renewable energy generation and ownership, and fend off the corporate utility monopolies.TRANSCRIPT
T H E P O W E R O F L O C A LH O W T O A D VA N C E D I S T R I B U T E D R E N E W A B L E E N E R G Y
John Farrell Director of Democratic Energy
August 24, 2014
H U G E P O T E N T I A L
I L L I N O I S
143 billion kW-hr
???
I L L I N O I S R O O F T O P S O L A R P O T E N T I A L ?
143 billion kW-hr
17%
I L L I N O I S R O O F T O P S O L A R P O T E N T I A L ?
143 billion kW-hr
???
I L L I N O I S W I N D P O T E N T I A L ?
143 billion kW-hr
517%
143 billion kW-hr
I L L I N O I S W I N D P O T E N T I A L ?
POTENTIAL PERCENT OF POWER FROM LOCAL
RENEWABLES
100% or more 50 to 100% 25 to 50% 10 to 25% 10% or less
M A S S I V E L O C A L P O T E N T I A L
Source: Energy Self-Reliant States
32 states - 100%+
0¢
10¢
20¢
30¢
40¢
50¢
0 MW
3,000 MW
6,000 MW
9,000 MW
12,000 MW
15,000 MW
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Installed MW
Levelized cost
I N S TA L L E D S O L A R C A PA C I T Y & L E V E L I Z E D C O S T ( U . S . )
W E ’ R E G E T T I N G T H E R E , B U T C A N I T G O F U R T H E R ?
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
I N S TA L L E D W I N D A N D S O L A R , G E R M A N Y ( M E G A W AT T S )
G E R M A N Y: C L E A N P O W E R
25% RenewableY E S
Other 53%
Individuals & Farmers 47%
G E R M A N Y: P E O P L E P O W E R E D
O W N E R S H I P O F G E R M A N W I N D A N D S O L A R
3 4 , 0 0 0 M W
# 1 S O L A R U T I L I T Y, I N I O W A ?
79%
Solar 21%
A 4 2 % R E N E W A B L E C O O P E R AT I V E
Biomass 12%
Non-renewable 58%
Customer solar 6%
Utility solar 14%
Hydro 9%
A D VA N TA G E L O C A L
$??? billion in IL energy imports
For 143 billion kWh of electricity
$12 billion in IL energy imports
$12 billion in potential
By turning energy imports into local energy production
Total Economic Impact
Locally Owned Renewable Energy
Not local
0 25 50 75 100
very negative negative neutral positive very positive
L O C A L P O W E R VA L U E(political)
Attitude towards increased use of local wind energy
Not local
0 25 50 75 100
very negative negative neutral positive very positive
-44%
+33%
+77% net approvalLocal
Ownership
L O C A L P O W E R VA L U E(political)
“ G R E E N T E A C O A L I T I O N ”
L O C A L P O W E R VA L U E
A D VA N TA G E I N C U M B E N T ?
1 0 - 1 1 % R O I F O R I N F R A S T R U C T U R E
2 0 T H C E N T U R Y U T I L I T Y
Utility Electricity Sales Going Flat
Utility Power Generation Must Shift
2 1 S T C E N T U R Y U T I L I T Y ?
U T I L I T I E S P R O F I T F R O M O W N I N G R E N E WA B L E S
F R E E D O M T O G E N E R AT E U N D E R F I R E
States facing challenges to distributed generation
Sources: Renewable Energy World, Greentech Media, IREC, Vote Solar and many more
5/21/14
U T I L I T I E S P R O F I T F R O M F I G H T I N G C U S T O M E R -O W N E D R E N E WA B L E S
U T I L I T I E S P R O F I T F R O M O W N I N G C U S T O M E R -S I T E D R E N E WA B L E S
P R O D U C I N G E L E C T R I C I T Y T O M E E T D E M A N DEl
ectr
icity
Dea
mnd
Time of day
1 AM 3 AM 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM
Adapted from David Mills: http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2010/12/02/3081889.htm
W I T H B A S E L O A D
Baseload (coal or nuclear)
Intermediate peaking (e.g. natural gas combined cycle)
Fast peaking (e.g. gas combustion turbine)
P R O D U C I N G E L E C T R I C I T Y T O M E E T D E M A N DEl
ectr
icity
Dea
mnd
Time of day
1 AM 3 AM 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM
Adapted from David Mills: http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2010/12/02/3081889.htm
W I T H B A S E L O A D
Baseload (coal or nuclear)
Intermediate peaking (e.g. natural gas combined cycle)
Fast peaking (e.g. gas combustion turbine)
U T I L I T I E S L O S E M O N E Y I F S O L A R C O M P E T E S W I T H
T H E I R P O W E R P L A N T S
T E C H N I C A L LY FA L S E
H O W U T I L I T I E S F I G H T D E M O C R A T I C E N E R G Y
I N T E R M I T T E N C Y
A T I N Y P R O B L E M
99%
Solar 1%
S P R E A D O U T T O S O LV E
Geographic Dispersion Lowers Solar Backup Costs
$0.00
$0.01
$0.02
$0.03
$0.04
1 location 5 locations 25 locations
$0.001
$0.010
$0.040
$ per kWh
Implications of Wide-Area Geographic Diversity for Short- Term Variability of Solar Power (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory)
S U N I S P R E D I C TA B L E
W E AT H E R I S T O O
W E AT H E R I S T O O
Nov. 10, 2011 BOULDER, Colo.
Advanced Wind Forecasts Save Millions of Dollars for Xcel Energy
S U M M A R Y: I N T E G R AT I O N O F R E N E W A B L E E N E R G Y I S M A N A G E A B L E
C H A N G I N G T H E R U L E S ( 8 O F ‘ E M )
Average'(me'in'one'residence:'''Finance'terms:'
10515'years'
556'years' 556'years'
556'years'
L O C A L E N E R G Y F I N A N C I N G1
10#15%years%
5#6%years% 5#6%years%
L O C A L E N E R G Y F I N A N C I N G1
T I E T O T H E P R O P E R T Y
2
CCA
CCA Current utility
C O M M U N I T Y C H O I C E A G G R E G AT I O N
C O M M U N I T Y C H O I C E2
S TA T E S W I T H C O M M U N I T Y C H O I C E A U T H O R I T Y
G R E E N C O M M U N I T Y C H O I C E
67%
Renewable 33%
AT A L O W E R C O S T
2
L O C A L P O W E R P U R C H A S I N G3
State sets min and maxState sets min, certain cities can exceedNo state standard (local authority)
voluntary min.
B U I L D I N G C O D E A U T H O R I T Y4
State VNM Eligibility
California Multi-tenant properties, local governments
Colorado IOU customers; solar gardens
Connecticut Municipal customers only
Dist. of Columbia All customers
Illinois Utility choice to offer
Maine All customers
Maryland Allowed for agricultural customers, non-profit organizations, and municipal governments or their affiliates
Massachusetts All customers
Minnesota Xcel Energy customers only, awaiting rulemaking, 10/16/13
Rhode Island Local and state governments
Vermont All customers
5V I R T U A L N E T M E T E R I N G
C O L L E C T I V E O W N E R S H I P6
C O L L E C T I V E O W N E R S H I P6
J O B S A C T
F R A N C H I S E
LEVERAGEUtilitiesCities
7
F R A N C H I S E
MONEYUtilitiesCities
7
L O C A L P O W E R
S A N TA F EB O U L D E R
2x Coal
8
P R O P O S E D C I T Y- O W N E D U T I L I T I E S
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