the role of nuclear in addressing climate change
TRANSCRIPT
Daniel Kammen
Energy and Resources Group (Chair)
Goldman School of Public Policy
Department of Nuclear Engineering
Director, Renewable and Appropriate Energy Laboratory
University of California, Berkeley
Former Science Envoy, United States Department of State
Payne Institute: The Role of Nuclear in Addressing Climate Change, August 27, 2021
The Role of Nuclear in Addressing Climate Change
2
NDC Commitments
to the Paris Accords
Needed Innovations
Paris, 2015:
2 degree
objective
IPCC, 2018:
1.5 degree
objective
The Needed Decarbonization Race, > 3%/year
“Recalibrating climate prospects”
Lovins, Ürge-Vorsatz, Mundaca, Kammen & Glassman
Environ. Res. Lett. 14, 120201 (2019)
doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab55ab
• Storage almost exclusively moves solar to the night
• Geothermal only remaining substantial baseload
SWITCH Model Results: A Decarbonized Grid
-50
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193111821019311182101931118210171 918210171 91821018210171 918210171 918210171 9171 91821018210171 919311182101821019311WEC
CElectricityDispa
tchin2050(GW)
HourofDay(PST)
Nuclear Geothermal Biopower Coal
CoalCCS Gas(baseload) GasCCS Gas(intermediate)
Gas(peaker) Storage(discharging) Hydro(non-pumped) Solar
Wind Storage(charging) Demand
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
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Stock and Flow of Nuclear Power Plants
http://rael.berkeley.edu
The demography of discrimination
Now cheaper to build renewables than to operate fossil fuel power plants
Iron-Chromium Flow Battery + PV in the
California Energy / Storage Market
EnerVault Iron-Chromium Technology 1 MW-hr capacity at 250 kW (4 hour duration)Turlock, CA
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2014: Storage capacity mandate (for 2020) launched, CA AB 2514
2020: CA meets 1.2 GW (2%) mandate
2021: Moss Landing storage facility will exceed entire 2020 mandate
California sets new clean energy records
Introduction: Net Zero Emissions Targets
Major industrial economies set the net zero emissions targets in the past two years.
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Extra Slides
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Solve Climate by 2030: Can We?Energy economics say we can
California’s
market price for
carbon
emissions
$20/tCO2
http://rael.berkeley.edu
Solve Climate by 2030: Can We?Energy economics say we can
A Social Cost of
Carbon:
> $50/tCO2
http://rael.berkeley.edu
The social cost of carbon now in use in the USA
Introduction: Net Zero Emissions Targets