The State of Human Resources The State of Human Resources in the Geosciencesin the Geosciences

Christopher M. KeaneChristopher M. Keane

19 May 200319 May 2003Washington, DCWashington, DC

US Geoscience Student EnrollmentUS Geoscience Student Enrollment Normalization 1Normalization 1

Undergraduate and Graduate Levels, 1955-2001Undergraduate and Graduate Levels, 1955-2001

AGI, 2001

00

50005000

1000010000

1500015000

2000020000

2500025000

3000030000

3500035000

4000040000

19551955 19601960 19651965 19701970 19751975 19801980 19851985 19901990 19951995 20002000

UndergraduateUndergraduate

GraduatesGraduates

US Geoscience Student EnrollmentUS Geoscience Student EnrollmentNormalization 2Normalization 2

Undergraduate and Graduate Levels, 1955-2002Undergraduate and Graduate Levels, 1955-2002

AGI, 2002

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000Year

Stud

ents

Undergraduate

Graduate

Total Degrees in GeoscienceTotal Degrees in GeoscienceNormalization 2Normalization 2

1973-20021973-2002

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000

Year

Deg

rees

BS MS PhD

Female Geoscience Enrollment and Degrees Female Geoscience Enrollment and Degrees

1974-20021974-2002

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002Year

Perc

ent F

emal

e

Enrolled

Graduated

US Geoscience EmploymentUS Geoscience EmploymentAGI Demographic Survey 1986AGI Demographic Survey 1986

Academic7% Government

12%

Petroleum50%

Mining9%

Environmental7%

Retired/Unemployed10%

Other5%

Total Population 120,000

US Geoscience EmploymentUS Geoscience EmploymentNSF National Survey of College Graduates 1993NSF National Survey of College Graduates 1993

Petroleum34%Mining

7%Environment

12%

Government12%

Retired/Unemployed23%

Academic11%

Total Population 125,000

US Geoscience EmploymentUS Geoscience EmploymentAGI Demographic Survey 2000AGI Demographic Survey 2000

Petroleum30%

Mining8%

Environmental14%

Government16%

Academia20%

Unemployed/Retired6%

Other6%

Petroleum Geoscientist DemandPetroleum Geoscientist DemandGeologists, Geophysicists, and EngineersGeologists, Geophysicists, and Engineers

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020Year

Petr

oleu

m G

eosc

ient

ists

(Tho

usan

ds)

New Entries (3% Growth)

Current Workforce

Total Workforce

Demand

????

The Geoscience EconomyThe Geoscience Economy

0.00

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

100.00

120.00

140.00

160.00

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

Year

Bill

ions

of D

olla

rs Oil/GasEnvironmentalAcademic R&DCoalMiningFed R&D

Source: US BEA/NSF

GeoNP vs. GNPGeoNP vs. GNP

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001Year

Bill

ions

of D

olla

rs (G

eo)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

Bill

ions

of D

olla

rs (G

NP)

GeoNP

GNP

Future DirectionsFuture Directions Improving response ratesImproving response rates Looking at economic activity Looking at economic activity

instead of heads?instead of heads? Address issues in Rand reportAddress issues in Rand report

Professional science degreeProfessional science degree Improving certainty for studentsImproving certainty for students