the transparency of gas flows and security of supply
TRANSCRIPT
MYKHAILO GONCHAR
NOMOS Center
Ukraine
Vienna, March 08
Transparency of Gas Flows
and Security of Supply
Surplus of pipeline capacities from Russia is a
challenge for stability of gas supply to the EU & ECT
Directions of export Capacities, bcma
Ukrainian mainstream 142
Belorussian direction 35
Blue Stream 16
North Stream + Finland 55+7
South Stream 63
Total: existing/future 255 / 318
Gazprom gas
export to the EU –
138 bcm in 2012
(only <113 bcm
physically)
Contracted gas
volumes (LTC)
for 2020-2025
~158 bcm/year
CASE: FUTURE GAS SUPPLY TO LITHUANIA
IS UNDER RISK OF AN INTERRUPTION
Possible interruption
According to order dated November 2012
Kaliningrad interconnector has to be built
Scheme of the Energy Transparency Regime for Gas (ETR-G) based
on physical on-line data interchange as an Early Warning Mechanism
on-line
verification
Producer
(RU)
Transmitters
EaP countries
(UA, BY, MD)
Consumer
(EU)
1. WORKING PRESSURE
2. OUTCOMING VOLUMES (DAYLY)
3. INCOMING VOLUMES (DAYLY)
Thank you for
your attention!
NOMOS/Strategy XXI
www.nomos.com.ua
geostrategy.org.ua
Annex 1.
REACTION FROM THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION
ON ENERGY TRANSPARENCY REGIME PROPOSED BY
UKRAINIAN THINK TANK