the transportation system in 2050: looking back at our achievement
DESCRIPTION
Shannon Page's presentation from the NERI Winter Lights Thought Leadership Forum held on 16th June 2011 in Dunedin, New Zealand.TRANSCRIPT
The transportation system in 2050: looking back at our achievement
Dr. Shannon Page
Lecturer in Energy Management
Department of Environmental Management
NERI Winter Lights Forum 16th June, Otago Museum
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Fossil Fuel
2050
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
• Energy required decreased but ...• Increased activity...quality of life improved
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
• Energy required decreased but ...• Increased activity...quality of life improved
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
• Energy required decreased but ...• Increased activity...quality of life improved • Because....
– Electricity based systems more efficient
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
• Energy required decreased but ...• Increased activity...quality of life improved • Because....
– Electricity based systems more efficient– More efficient modes i.e. Car train/bus
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
• Energy required decreased but ...• Increased activity...quality of life improved • Because....
– Electricity based systems more efficient– More efficient modes i.e. Car train/bus– Urban from changed reduced travel distances
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like
Household
2011 DriverPassengerWalkPublic TransportBikeMotorbikeOther
The 2050 system: what’s it like
Household
2011
Household
2050
DriverPassengerWalkPublic TransportBikeMotorbikeOther
DriverPassengerWalkPublic TransportBikeMotorbikeOther
The 2050 system: what’s it like
2011
Freight RoadRailSea
The 2050 system: what’s it like
2011
Freight
2050 Freight
RoadRailSeaTram
RoadRailSea
The 2050 system: what’s it like
2011
2050
Urban form
Urban form
The 2050 system: what’s it like
2011
2050
Urban form
Urban form
The 2050 system: what’s it like
• All still accessible by a vehicle
• All still accessible by a vehicle• Not one size fits all – City dependant
The 2050 system: what’s it like
• All still accessible by a vehicle• Not one size fits all – City dependant• Location changes – residences & activities
The 2050 system: what’s it like
• All still accessible by a vehicle• Not one size fits all – City dependant• Location changes – residences & activities• Location changes – production & processing
The 2050 system: what’s it like
• All still accessible by a vehicle• Not one size fits all – City dependant• Location changes – residences & activities• Location changes – production & processing
2011
The 2050 system: what’s it like
• All still accessible by a vehicle• Not one size fits all – City dependant• Location changes – residences & activities• Location changes – production & processing
2011 2050
The 2050 system: what’s it like
The 2050 system: how we got there
The 2050 system: how we got there
Didn’t wait for “just around the corner” technology
The 2050 system: how we got there
Used systems/technology that worked in 2011
The 2050 system: how we got there
• Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality
The 2050 system: how we got there
• Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality
• We took control – lead the way
The 2050 system: how we got there
• Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality
• We took control – lead the way• Became an example to other countries on
solving the problem
The 2050 system: how we got there• It is not about mobility• It is not about transport
The 2050 system: how we got there• It is not about mobility• It is not about transport
• It was about us as Kiwis
The 2050 system: how we got there• It is not about mobility• It is not about transport
• It was about us as Kiwis– Being able to access the actives we want
The 2050 system: how we got there• It is not about mobility• It is not about transport
• It was about us as Kiwis– Being able to access the actives we want– Goods that we make/need getting to market
The 2050 system: how we got there• It is not about mobility• It is not about transport
• It was about us as Kiwis– Being able to access the actives we want– Goods that we make/need getting to market
The 2050 system: how we got there
• We stopped “encouraging” people to bike/walk and to take public transport
The 2050 system: how we got there
• We stopped “encouraging” people to bike/walk and to take public transport
Instead....• Aggressively pursued an infrastructure
where low/zero energy access was the least cost option
• No more time spent contemplating the roll of fossil fuels in the future
• Only steps towards a fossil free future were taken
The 2050 system: how we got there
Lignite Coal Diesel
CO2
“Take full account of CO2“
“Transitional measure”
• No new roads
The 2050 system: how we got there
• No new roads• Drastic change in funding:
– roads redevelopment
The 2050 system: how we got there
• No new roads• Drastic change in funding:
– roads redevelopment• City streets progressively pedestrianised
The 2050 system: how we got there
• Although some felt that a more measured approach was necessary i.e. the wealth of fossil fuels should be considered....
The 2050 system: how we got there
• Although some felt that a more measured approach was necessary i.e. the wealth of fossil fuels should be considered....
• Given the urgency of the situation, ALL efforts were put into reducing fossil fuel use
The 2050 system: how we got there
