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Document of
The World Bank
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Report No: RES13265
RESTRUCTURING PAPER
ON A
PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING
OF THE
EGYPT NATIONAL RAILWAYS RESTRUCTURING PROJECT
LOAN 7656-EG AND LOAN 7982-EG
MARCH 17, 2009
TO THE
ARAB REPUBLIC OF EGYPT
JUNE 12, 2014
Sustainable Development Department Middle East and North Africa Region
This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.
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ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
AC Air Conditioned Trains CPAR Country Procurement Assessment Review DA Designated Account EGP Egyptian Pound ENR Egyptian National Railways ENRRP Egypt National Railways Restructuring Project ETCS European Train Control System FM Financial Management GoE Government of Egypt IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development IP Implementation Progress LA Loan Agreement MoT Ministry of Transport PA Project Agreement PDO Project Development Objective PMU Project Management Unit PSO Public Service Obligation SBD Standard Bidding Documents SBU Strategic Business Unit
Regional Vice President: Inger Andersen Country Director: Hartwig Schafer
Sector Manager: Patricia Veevers-Carter Task Team Leader: Olivier Le Ber
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EGYPT, ARAB REPUBLIC OF
EGYPT NATIONAL RAILWAYS RESTRUCTURING PROJECT
CONTENTS
Pages A. SUMMARY…………………………………………………………………………………………......5 B. PROJECT STATUS……………………………………………………………………….…………….6 C. PROPOSED CHANGES………………………………………………………………………………...7 ANNEX 1: RESULTS FRAMEWORK ..................................................................................................... 11 ANNEX 2: OPERATIONAL RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK (ORAF) ........................................ 17
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DATA SHEET
Egypt, Arab Republic of Egypt National Railways Restructuring Project (P101103)
MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA
MNSTI .
Report No: RES13265 .
Basic Information
Project ID: P101103 Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan
Regional Vice President: Inger Andersen Original EA Category: Partial Assessment (B)
Country Director: Hartwig Schafer Current EA Category: Partial Assessment (B)
Sector Director: Junaid Kamal Ahmad Original Approval Date: 17-Mar-2009
Sector Manager: Patricia Veevers-Carter Current Closing Date: 31-Mar-2017
Team Leader: Olivier P. Le Ber .
Borrower: Arab Republic of Egypt
Responsible Agency:
Egyptian National Railways (ENR) .
Restructuring Type
Form Type: Full Restructuring Paper Decision Authority: Board Approval
Restructuring Level:
Level 1 Explanation of Approval Authority:
This is a level one restructuring and the approval authority is Board.
.
Financing ( as of 08-May-2014 )
Key Dates
Project Ln/Cr/TF Status Approval Date
Signing Date Effectiveness Date
Original Closing Date
Revised Closing Date
P101103 IBRD-76560 Effective 17-Mar-2009 02-Aug-2009 24-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2015
P101103 IBRD-79820 Effective 14-Dec-2010 23-Sep-2011 28-Mar-2012 31-Mar-2017 31-Mar-2017
Disbursements (in Millions)
Project Ln/Cr/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled
Disbursed
Undisbursed
% Disbursed
P101103 IBRD-76560 Effective USD 270.00 270.00 0.00 41.46 228.54 15
P101103 IBRD-79820 Effective USD 330.00 330.00 0.00 0.82 329.18 0 .
Policy Waivers
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Does the project depart from the CAS in content or in other significant respects?
Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Does the project require any policy waiver(s)? Yes [ ] No [ X ] .
A. Summary of Proposed Changes
The following changes are proposed under the Level I restructuring: (i) amend the project development objective (PDO); (ii) revise the original project components; (iii) revise the Results Framework; (iv) reallocate the project savings of up to US$35 million among categories of expenditures and introduce an additional disbursement category; (v) add the procurement of consulting services; (vi) extend the closing date of the project from March 31, 2017 to January 31, 2019; and (vii) revise the disbursement estimates. The proposed restructuring will allow for completion of all activities financed under the project and will help the project achieve the PDO. There are no changes in the financial management arrangements and environmental and social safeguards of the project. The Government of Egypt (GoE) agreed on the need to introduce the above proposed changes through a project restructuring.
Change in Implementing Agency Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Change in Project's Development Objectives Yes [ X ] No [ ]
Change in Results Framework Yes [ X ] No [ ]
Change in Safeguard Policies Triggered Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Change of EA category Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Other Changes to Safeguards Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Change in Legal Covenants Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Change in Loan Closing Date(s) Yes [ X ] No [ ]
Cancellations Proposed Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Change to Financing Plan Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Change in Disbursement Arrangements Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Reallocation between Disbursement Categories Yes [ X ] No [ ]
Change in Disbursement Estimates Yes [ X ] No [ ]
Change to Components and Cost Yes [ X ] No [ ]
Change in Institutional Arrangements Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Change in Financial Management Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Change in Procurement Yes [ X ] No [ ]
Change in Implementation Schedule Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Other Change(s) Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Appraisal Summary Change in Economic and Financial Analysis Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Appraisal Summary Change in Technical Analysis Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Appraisal Summary Change in Social Analysis Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Appraisal Summary Change in Environmental Analysis Yes [ ] No [ X ]
Appraisal Summary Change in Risk Assessment Yes [ X ] No [ ] .
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B. Project Status
The project was approved on March 17, 2009, signed on August 2, 2009 and became effective on June 24, 2010. An Additional Financing was approved on December 14, 2010, signed on September 23, 2011 and became effective on March 28, 2012. The project closing date is March 31, 2017. The total loan funds amount to US$600 million (Original loan amount of US$270 million - Loan 7656-EG, and Additional Financing amount of US$330 million – Loan 7982-EG). As of May 8, 2014, the project disbursed a total amount of US$42.3 million, representing about 7 percent of total loan amount. Regarding project implementation, despite some progress, the overall implementation continues to be slow. The project is currently rated moderately satisfactory for progress towards achieving the PDO and moderately unsatisfactory for implementation progress (IP). The implementation of Components 1, Signaling Modernization on Cairo-Alexandria and Beni Suef-Asyut Lines, and Component 2, Track Renewal Works along the Cairo-Aswan Line, is progressing slowly, and is still afflicted by the delays caused, inter alia, by the events affecting the country since 2011. More specifically, under Component 1, the contract for signaling modernization of the Cairo-Alexandria line was recently signed, and the procurement of the signaling modernization of the Beni Suef-Asyut line is progressing well now albeit with some delays. The delays in the implementation of the track renewal works under Component 2 were due to the decision by the contractor to build a sleeper factory in Egypt instead of purchasing sleepers from the local market, as local sleepers would not meet the technical standards of the contract. This investment will prove to be a good resource in the medium and long term in view of the large track rehabilitation program envisioned by ENR. This, however, has resulted in a delay of at least ten months in the implementation of the track renewal contract. With regards to the implementation of Component 3, Modernization of Management and Operating Practices, the progress was made in carrying out the ENR transformation plan. Yet, the financial and operational performance of the ENR is a matter of concern as a result of the delayed payment of public service obligations (PSOs) and deterioration in services. The recurrence of strikes and track blockages, whether by ENR employees or the public, continued to cause interruption to operation and service. Of most serious concern is the deteriorating safety record over the past year, with fatalities increasing drastically following major railway accidents. Thus, achievement of the original PDO is jeopardized by the declining financial and operational performance of the ENR. During an implementation support mission carried out in April 2013, the Bank organized a high-level workshop at the Ministry of Transport (MoT) which identified several areas of importance to improve ENR’s governance and accountability for a successful railways restructuring, and proposed activities to be considered for Bank’s financing (resorting to savings under the project). All these activities will ultimately focus on improving safety of operations through the modernization of assets and greater accountability and governance. The mid-term review carried out in December 2013 concluded that the project is likely to achieve its revised objectives by the revised closing date of January 31, 2019 subject to the approval of this restructuring. .
Development Objectives/Results
Project Development Objectives
Original PDO
The objective of the project is to assist the Borrower in improving the reliability, efficiency and safety of the railways' services through signaling and track renewal investments by the Project Implementing Entity and the modernization of its management and operating practices in order to enhance the railways' sector responsiveness to economic and social needs and to strengthen the financial viability of the Project
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Implementing Entity.
C. Change in Project's Development Objectives
Explanation
The new PDO removes the objective “to enhance the railways’ sector responsiveness to economic and social needs and to strengthen the financial viability of the Project Implementing Entity” because this objective is no longer achievable under the current circumstances in the country. ENR adopted a financial recovery plan at the onset of the project and was on track to improve its financial sustainability, but after the revolution, the Government has dramatically reduced its contribution to the PSO and wages were significantly increased without the possibility of raising fares. These events were beyond the control of the railways and financial sustainability is no longer achievable during the life of the project.
Proposed New PDO
The objective of the project is to improve the reliability, efficiency and safety of the railways’ services on targeted sections of the rail network.
Change in Results Framework
Explanation:
The results framework will be revised to reflect the proposed change in the PDO. Two PDO-level indicators will be dropped. New indicators will be added to better measure the impact of the project activities and proposed restructuring. Following the reallocation of funds and the extension of the project closing date, selected target values will also be revised. There are no World Bank Core Sector Indicators for the railways sector. The specific changes are detailed in the Annex. .
Financing
Change in Loan Closing Date(s)
Explanation:
The Closing Date of the project will be extended from March 31, 2017 to January 31, 2019 to complete all the activities financed under the project (ongoing signaling contracts and new project activities funded following the reallocation) and to achieve the revised PDO. More specifically, the original Loan 7656-EG will be extended from September 30, 2015 to January 31, 2019 and the Additional Financing (Loan 7982-EG) will be extended from March 31, 2017 to January 31, 2019.
Ln/Cr/TF
Status Original Closing Date
Current Closing Date
Proposed Closing Date
Previous Closing Date(s)
IBRD-76560
Effective 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2015 31-Jan-2019 30-Sep-2015
IBRD-79820
Effective 31-Mar-2017 31-Mar-2017 31-Jan-2019 31-Mar-2017
Reallocations
Explanation:
Since new studies under Components 1 and 3 for the design of a new signaling system and improving the safety of ENR operations are proposed to be added, a new disbursement category (“Consultants’ Services”) will be introduced under Loan 7656-EG and US$9 million will be reallocated to this new category. In addition, the amount of US$26 million will be reallocated from category 1 (“Goods”) to category 2 (“Works”) to finance the additional track-renewal works under Component 2. The percentage of expenditures to be financed will remain 100 percent of eligible expenditures in line with Egypt's
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financing parameters. The proceeds under Loan 7982-EG will remain unchanged.
Ln/Cr/TF Currency Current Category of Expenditure
Allocation Disbursement % (Type Total)
Current Proposed Current Proposed
IBRD-76560 USD GO.PTS. A.1 & A.2 197,000,000.00 162,000,000.00 100.00 100.00
CW, PT. B 60,000,000.00 86,000,000.00 100.00 100.00
PREMIA FOR CAPS/COLLARS
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
UNALLOCATED 12,325,000.00 12,325,000.00 0.00 0.00
FRONT END FEE 675,000.00 675,000.00 0.00 0.00
Consulting services 0.00 9,000,000.00 0.00 100.00
Total: 270,000,000.00 270,000,000.00
IBRD-79820 USD GO, WKS under Part A 329,175,000.00 329,175,000.00 100.00 100.00
PREMIA FOR CAPS/COLLARS
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
FRONT END FEE 825,000.00 825,000.00 0.00 0.00
Total: 330,000,000.00 330,000,000.00
Disbursement Estimates
Change in Disbursement Estimates
Explanation:
The revised disbursement estimates are based on the expected implementation of the contracts and are in line with the revised closing date.
Fiscal Year Current (USD) Proposed (USD)
2011 6,864,303.73 6,864,303.73
2012 10,135,696.27 0.00
2013 60,000,000.00 3,410,662.84
2014 88,000,000.00 49,818,734.57
2015 180,000,000.00 155,000,000.00
2016 160,000,000.00 160,000,000.00
2017 95,000,000.00 130,000,000.00
2018 0.00 55,000,000.00
2019 0.00 39,906,298.86
Total 600,000,000.00 600,000,000.00 .
Components
Change to Components and Cost
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Explanation:
1. Component 1-1: Signaling Modernization Cairo (Arab El Raml)-Alexandria line The supported activities under this component will be expanded to support additional activities focusing on improving the safety of ENR’s operations by using the budget savings in the amount of US$35 million which resulted from the signing of the contract for the modernization of the signaling system on the Cairo-Alexandria line. These additional activities, in the amount of US$7.5 million, will include: (i) studies to prepare the next phase of the modernization of the signaling system (in particular ETCS level 1) (US$6 million), and (ii) studies for the signaling system and automatic train protection on the remaining ENR secondary lines (US$1.5 million). 2. Component 2: Track Renewal This component is expanded to finance the renewal works for about 60 km of additional tracks on the Cairo-Aswan line in the amount of US$26 million, using the budget savings under Component 1-1. 3. Component 3: Modernization of Management and Operating Practices In addition to financing activities directed toward developing and cementing changes in managerial and staff practices that reflect the operational and financial restructuring of ENR (which were 100% financed by ENR), this component will now finance with IBRD funds additional activities aimed at improving the safety of ENR’s operations through the modernization of assets and greater accountability and governance. These additional activities in the amount of US$1.5 million, using the budget savings under Component 1, will include studies to support the restructuring of ENR and improve the safety of its operations such as the elaboration of a new railway law, the preparation of a Safety Management System for ENR operations, the formulation of an infrastructure pricing methodology and the development of the structure of the PSO Contract between the State and ENR for loss-making passenger services. 4. Component 1-2: Signaling Modernization Beni Suef Asyut line No changes.
Current Component Name
Proposed Component Name
Current Cost (US$M)
Proposed Cost (US$M)
Action
Component 1-1: Signaling Modernization – Cairo (Arab El Raml) to Alexandria
202.00 174.50 Revised
Component 2: Renewal of 200 km of track
Renewal of track 80.00 106.00 Revised
Component 3: Modernization of Management and Operating Practices
12.00 13.50 Revised
Component 1-2: Signaling Modernization - Beni Suef to Asyut
337.00 337.00 No Change
Contingencies and front end fees 14.00 14.00 No Change
Total1: 645.00 645.00
1 Including Government counterpart funds of US$45 million
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.
Other Change(s)
Change in Procurement
Explanation:
The procurement of consulting services will be added to select consulting firms and individual consultants that will undertake the new studies which were introduced in the project. The selection methods will include: (i) Quality and Cost based Selection (QCBS), (ii) Selection based on Consultants’ Qualifications, (iii) Single-Source Selection (SSS), and (iv) Selection of Individual Consultants. An updated Procurement Plan for the project, prepared by the implementing agency, was received by the Bank in December 2013 and found to be acceptable. This plan will be subsequently updated annually or as needed to reflect the latest project requirements. .
Change(s) in Appraisal Summary
Appraisal Summary Change in Risk Assessment
Explanation:
The overall implementation risk rating will be updated from moderate to substantial, in view of the political and economic situation and its impact on railway safety and project sustainability.
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ANNEX 1: RESULTS FRAMEWORK
Egypt, Arab Republic: Egypt National Railways Restructuring Project (P101103) Stage: Restructuring
Results
Core sector indicators are considered: Yes Results reporting level: Project Level .
Project Development Objective Indicators
Status Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Actual(Current) End Target
Revised Availability ratio of the useful fleet (%): long distance passenger
Percentage Value 49.50 75.00 80.00
Date 17-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment Availability ratio of the useful fleet (%), defined as the number of daily available locomotives divided by the total number of assigned locomotives for each SBU, averaged on a yearly basis
FY12/13 Target values are yearly and not cumulative.
Revised Availability ratio of the useful fleet (%): short distance passenger
Percentage Value 74.50 74.00 80.00
Date 17-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment Availability ratio of the useful fleet (%), defined as
FY12/13 result Target values are yearly and not cumulative.
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the number of daily available locomotives divided by the total number of assigned locomotives for each SBU, averaged on a yearly basis
Revised Availability ratio of the useful fleet (%): freight
Percentage Value 15.30 49.00 77.00
Date 17-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment Availability ratio of the useful fleet (%), defined as the number of daily available locomotives divided by the total number of assigned locomotives for each SBU, averaged on a yearly basis
FY12/13 result Target values are yearly and not cumulative.
Revised Kilometrage per available locomotive: long distance passenger
Kilometers Value 143,000.00 184,000.00 176,000.00
Date 17-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment Total number of km run by all locos during a year divided by the average
FY12/13 result Target values are yearly and not cumulative.
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number of yearly available locos
Revised Kilometrage per available locomotive: short distance passenger
Kilometers Value 68,000.00 71,000.00 97,000.00
Date 17-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment Total number of km run by all locos during a year divided by the average number of yearly available locos
FY12/13 result Target values are yearly and not cumulative.
Revised Kilometrage per available locomotive: freight
Kilometers Value 75,000.00 87,000.00 85,000.00
Date 17-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment Total number of km run by all locos during a year divided by the average number of yearly available locos
FY12/13 result Target values are yearly and not cumulative.
Revised Long distance passenger traffic on Cairo-Alexandria: total annual passenger-km in air conditioned (AC) trains (million)
Number Value 855.00 1267.00 1907.00
Date 17-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment FY12/13 result Target values are yearly and not cumulative.
Revised Long distance passenger traffic on Cairo-Alexandria: total
Number Value 1323.00 1078.00 2503.00
Date 17-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
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annual passenger-km in non-AC long distance trains (million)
Comment FY12/13 result Target values are yearly and not cumulative.
Revised Long distance passenger traffic on Beni Suef - Asyut: total annual passenger-km in AC trains (million)
Number Value 2245.00 2397.00 3204.00
Date 17-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment FY12/13 Target values are yearly and not cumulative.
Revised Long distance passenger traffic on Beni Suef - Asyut: Total annual passenger-km in non-AC long distance trains (million)
Number Value 4239.00 3817.00 4944.00
Date 17-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment FY12/13 result Target values are yearly and not cumulative.
Revised Average number of fatalities due to railway accidents on the ENR network measured as the total annual number of victims on ENR network per one million passenger-km
Number Value 0.60 1.18 0.30
Date 30-Jun-2008 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment
Marked for Deletion
PSO compensation for ENR measured in total annual amount of PSO paid by the Government to ENR [expressed in EGP million].
Text Value 357 818 800
Date 30-Jun-2008 30-Jun-2013 31-Mar-2017
Comment FY12/13 result
Marked for Deletion
Freight traffic carried by ENR Number Value 2020.00 1170.00 3918.00
Date 30-Jun-2013 31-Mar-2017
Comment Total annual net-ton-km of freight traffic (million)
FY12/13 result
Intermediate Results Indicators
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Status Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Actual(Current) End Target
Revised Punctuality of AC trains on the line Cairo-Alexandria
Number Value 0.29 0.57 0.07
Date 30-Jun-2008 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment Total number of AC trains arriving 15 minutes late to final destination during one year divided by the total number of AC trains operated in the same period of time.
Revised Punctuality of AC trains on the line Beni Suef - Asyut
Number Value 0.42 0.70 0.09
Date 30-Jun-2009 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment Total number of AC trains arriving 15 minutes late to final destination during one year divided by the total number of AC trains operated in the same period of time.
New Installation of a modernized signaling system on Cairo-
Yes/No Value No No Yes
Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
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Alexandria line completed and operating 24/7
Comment
New Completion of studies to prepare the next phase of the modernization of the signaling system (ETCS level 1)
Yes/No Value No No Yes
Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment
New Installation of a modernized signaling system on Beni Suef-Asyut line completed and operating 24/7
Yes/No Value No No Yes
Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment
New Number of kilometers of renewed tracks along the Cairo-Aswan and Benha-Port Said lines
Kilometers Value 0.00 80.00 260.00
Date 30-Jun-2008 31-Dec-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment
Revised Maintenance costs on sections where tracks are renewed: annual total cost of track infrastructure maintenance on sections renewed under the project (EGP million)
Number Value 2.77 3.29 0.54
Date 30-Jun-2008 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment FY12/13 result
Revised Average management training time: ratio between the number of staff-days allocated for training during a year and the average number of management staff at ENR
Number Value 2.90 17.00 12.00
Date 30-Jun-2008 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment In 2008/2009 FY12/13 result Current annual value already exceeds the end target
New Completion of studies to support the restructuring of ENR
Yes/No Value No No Yes
Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Jun-2013 31-Jan-2019
Comment
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ANNEX 2: OPERATIONAL RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK (ORAF)
Egypt, Arab Republic: Egypt National Railways Restructuring Project (P101103) Stage: Restructuring
Project Stakeholder Risks
Stakeholder Risk Rating Moderate
Risk Description: Risk Management:
The railway sector plays a significant role in the Egyptian economy and is an essential mode of transport for low-income Egyptians. ENR, a public entity reporting to the MoT, is a predominantly passenger railway. The GoE remains committed to improve ENR’s performance by giving priority to improving safety and quality assurance, developing human resources, enhancing operational reliability, and modernizing assets and introducing new technologies.
The Bank will continue and reinforce the ongoing dialog with key stakeholders in Egypt. The project support to the ongoing reforms has been appreciated by the counterparts. The Bank assistance to critical investments and the overall strengthening of ENR performance will reinforce the existing dialog on strategic ENR objectives, safety improvements, and on complex technical matters and modern management practices.
Resp: Status: Stage: Recurrent: Due Date: Frequency:
Client In Progress Implementation Yearly
Implementing Agency (IA) Risks (including Fiduciary Risks)
Capacity Rating Moderate
Risk Description: Risk Management:
Implementation capacity within ENR is weak, although improving slowly under the company's transformation and modernization plan. Among other reasons, this is due to outdated internal procedures and lack of experience working with International Financial Institutions. The company's frequent change of management is very disruptive and undermines efforts put towards the transformation and modernization plans.
As a consequence of the ongoing transformation plan, a number of measures have been undertaken within the Project to mitigate the capacity risks: - the reorganization of ENR along business units, initiatives to strengthen capacity of staff, the introduction of new practices with the assistance of experienced international railway specialists are enhancing ENR capacity across the board; - a high level steering committee involving the ministries of Transport, International Cooperation, and Finance, oversees the implementation of the Project; - a PMU is fully staffed and operating; - throughout direct practice and training provided by the Bank, ENR is becoming more familiar with safeguard and fiduciary requirements, particularly procurement.
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Construction supervision consultants support ENR with respect to contract progress certification.
Resp: Status: Stage: Recurrent: Due Date: Frequency:
Both In Progress Implementation Yearly
Governance Rating Low
Risk Description: Risk Management:
No risk foreseen beyond above capacity section
Resp: Status: Stage: Recurrent: Due Date: Frequency:
Project Risks
Design Rating Low
Risk Description: Risk Management:
The preparation of the technical specifications and bidding documents for signaling modernization requires deep technical skills and good knowledge of state-of-the-art solutions.
The technical specifications and bidding documents for the ENRRP signaling investment have been prepared by an independent international consultant. Moreover, ENR, with the assistance of the same consulting firm, has already prepared similar technical documents for the Beni Suef - Asyut operation. During execution of works, the Project Manager hired by ENR for each construction contract in accordance with Bank rules will supervise the quality of works.
Resp: Status: Stage: Recurrent: Due Date: Frequency:
Both Completed Implementation Continuous
Social and Environmental Rating Moderate
Risk Description: Risk Management:
Environmental impacts are expected mostly during construction phase and include high noise levels, increased levels of local air pollutants, and detours around
All project investments are on existing rail right-of-way. Railway corridor has no sensitive environmental habitats. ENR has prepared an Environmental Management Plan (EMP) to address environmental
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level crossings. and social impacts. It has confirmed that the impacts of investments are manageable. Agreed mitigation measures for periods during and after construction are detailed in an EMP and in an Institutional Capacity Building Plan. An Environmental consultant was selected by ENR to assist with the implementation of the EMP. The consultant is helping to establish an Environmental Affairs Directorate within the ENR structure to help sustain managing the environmental and social aspects during the operation phase of the project.
Resp: Status: Stage: Recurrent: Due Date: Frequency:
Client In Progress Implementation Yearly
Program and Donor Rating Low
Risk Description: Risk Management:
No risk foreseen
Resp: Status: Stage: Recurrent: Due Date: Frequency:
Delivery Monitoring and Sustainability Rating Substantial
Risk Description: Risk Management:
Taking into account weak capacity of the ENR, project indicators are complex and difficult to assess. While the project design permits the implementation of the project as a stand-alone operation, the full benefits of the project can only materialize if ENR implements its reform program on modernizing the company.
In light of the implementation of the modernization and strengthening plan, ENR is periodically collecting indicators reflecting its overall performance. The project performance indicators were thoroughly discussed and agreed upon with ENR and the definition and methods for estimating these indicators were harmonized with existing ENR procedures and methods. The Italian Management team and the Bank team are spending considerable amount of time in building the capacity of the ENR's monitoring team. The modernization of ENR remains an important Government priority. The ongoing initiatives present an important and well thought through roadmap for ENR’s modernization. The Bank team will continue the regular monitoring of the progress of the modernization of ENR during its missions.
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The financial and operational performance of ENR is a matter of concern as a result of the delayed payments of PSOs by the Government and deterioration in services. The recurrence of strikes and track blockages, whether by ENR employees or the public, continued to cause interruption to operation and service.
The current economic situation in Egypt does not allow the achievement of the financial viability of ENR during the life of the project. Following the proposed restructuring, the project will finance new studies on a range of topics (including a new railway law to modernize the governance of ENR, sustainable infrastructure financing, PSO contracts). However, this risk cannot be fully mitigated by the project.
Resp: Status: Stage: Recurrent: Due Date: Frequency:
Client In Progress Implementation Yearly
Other (Optional) Rating Substantial
Risk Description: Risk Management:
Railway Safety: As a result of ENR's undermined financial position, lack of funds for timely maintenance (both for rolling stock and infrastructure) and essential capital investments threatens the safety of ENR's operations.
ENR and the Bank agreed on the importance of making railway safety a priority for the company. While the company is developing the Short and Medium-Term Financial Recovery Plan, the expenditures should be prioritized by putting those that ensure safety of operations in the first place.
Resp: Status: Stage: Recurrent: Due Date: Frequency:
Client In Progress Implementation Quarterly
Other (Optional) Rating
Risk Description: Risk Management:
Resp: Status: Stage: Recurrent: Due Date: Frequency:
Overall Risk
Overall Implementation Risk: Rating Substantial
Risk Description:
The overall risk is rated substantial, in view of the political and economic situation and its impact on railway safety and project sustainability.
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