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Page 1: THEMATIC SERIES CLIMATE CHANGE › sites › default › files › publication › ... · 2018-03-26 · GHG emissions through 2050. The modeling identii es potential economic

ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK

ADB PUBLICATIONS CATALOG 2016

CLIMATE CHANGETHEMATIC SERIES

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1 Featured Titles

2 Clean Energy

5 Climate Adaptation

8 Climate Financing

9 Climate Policies and Capacity

11 Disaster Risk Management

12 Natural Resource Management

13 Sustainable Transport

13 Asian Development Bank Institute

15 Title Index

16 Commercial Distributors

About Us

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) is an international development fi nance institution owned by 67

members, 48 of which are from Asia and the Pacifi c. Headquartered in Manila, Philippines, our vision is an

Asia and the Pacifi c region free of poverty.

Knowledge creation and sharing are integral to ADB’s work. Every year, we publish a wide range of studies,

statistical reports, working papers, books, briefs, and awareness-raising materials. All our publications

are available for digital download. Hard copies are available at ADB headquarters, from commercial

distributors, booksellers, and—in cases where there is an agreement—from copublishers. Turn to the back

of this catalog for more details, or visit our website: adb.org/publications

Contents

© 2016 Asian Development Bank

Publication Stock No. ARM168349

Asian Development Bank: 6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City, 1550 Metro Manila, Philippines

www.adb.org

Printed on recycled paper

HOW TO OBTAIN HARD COPIES

 MAILFill out the order form on our website: www.adb.org/publications/ordering

 BUYContact one of our commercial distributors, listed on page 16.

 BORROWObtain copies from our depository libraries, now in over 20 countries: www.adb.org/publications/depositories

TERMS OF USE

ADB publications are meant to be disseminated, read, and built upon to create new knowledge on development work. For information on the terms of use of ADB publications, including copyright, permissions, and attribution, visit http://www.adb.org/terms-use#openaccess

Note: In this publication “$” refers to US dollars.

ARM168349 Climate Change Catalog COVER_UPDATE.indd Spread 2 of 2 - Pages(ii, i) 12/13/2017 2:20:17 PM

Global Network of Distributors

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 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications 1

Featured Titles

Asian Water development outlook 2016 Strengthening Water Security in Asia and the Pacii c

The Asian Water Development Outlook charts progress in water security in Asia and the Pacii c over the past 5 years. This 2016 edition of the report uses the latest available data to assess water security in i ve key dimensions: household access to piped potable water and improved sanitation, economic water security, providing better urban water services to build more livable cities, restoring healthy rivers and ecosystems, and resilience to water disasters. The region shows a positive trend in strengthening water security since the 2013 edition of the report, when 38 out of 49 countries were assessed as water-insecure. In 2016, that number dropped to 29 out of 48 countries.

134 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2016ISBN 978-92-9257-543-4

$25.00

southeast Asia and the economics of global Climate stabilization

This study focuses on i ve countries of Southeast Asia that collectively account for 90% of regional greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) in recent years—Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Viet Nam. It applies two global dynamic economy–energy–environment models under an array of scenarios that refl ect potential regimes for regulating global GHG emissions through 2050. The modeling identii es potential economic costs of climate inaction for the region, how the countries can most ei ciently achieve GHG emission mitigation, and the consequences of mitigation. This study analyzes climate-related policies and identii es how further action can be taken to ensure low-carbon growth.

188 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9257-304-1

$29.00

ASIAN WATER DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK 2016STRENGTHENING WATER SECURITY IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC

ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK

AS AN DEVELOPMENT BANK

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p pu t on n r as s f om 0 24 b l n n 20 0 to 0 29 i on in 050 and n t e r st f So t e st A ia r m 0 9 i on to 0 52 i i n o h r as how t on GDP g ow h wi h nd ne a s ea h ng ou h y $5 t l on a d ou h a t s a s ea h ng

MOST DOWNLOADED

 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications 1

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2 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications

Clean Energy

handbook for Rooftop solar development in Asia

Drawing on ADB’s experience installing a rooftop solar photovoltaic system at its headquarters, this publication hopes to demystify the process of developing solar photovoltaic projects in urban

areas. The handbook provides detailed descriptions and guidance for all stages of development, including initial prefeasibility assessment, design, i nancing, procurement, and operations and maintenance. ADB hopes this handbook will encourage the spread of solar photovoltaic systems in cities throughout developing Asia and the Pacii c.

150 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9254-847-6

$27.00

HANDBOOK FOR ROOFTOP SOLAR DEVELOPMENT IN ASIA

AS AN DEVE OPMENT BANK

Business Models to Realize the Potential of Renewable energy and energy effi ciency in the greater Mekong subregion

This report outlines business models relevant to pursuing the renewable energy and energy ei ciency targets

adopted by i ve Greater Mekong Subregion countries: Cambodia, the Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Myanmar, Thailand, and Viet Nam. Business models for investments in renewable energy and energy ei ciency provide policy makers and investors with alternative business methods for the deployment of new technologies, or for the application of well-established technologies and practices in new settings.

48 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9254-827-8

$20.00

BUSINESS ModELS To REaLIZE THE PoTENTIaL oF RENEWaBLE ENERGY aNd ENERGY EFFICIENCY IN THE GREaTER MEKoNG SUBREGIoN

Improving energy effi ciency and Reducing emissions through Intelligent Railway station Buildings

Buildings in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) consume 21% of the total energy produced in the country. This study analyzes

and proposes feasible energy-saving and emission-reducing solutions for domestic railway stations in the PRC. The use of intelligent building controls support reduction of energy consumption, minimization or elimination of energy wastes, and cost savings. Strong institutional mechanisms and railway building management methods and policies also promote technological innovation. Moreover, these are necessary to balance the interests of multiple parties to be able to achieve energy ei ciency in railway station buildings in the PRC.

106 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9257-004-0

$24.00

MOST DOWNLOADED

energy effi ciency developments and Potential energy savings in the greater Mekong subregion

This report details energy ei ciency targets and developments in i ve countries in the Greater Mekong

Subregion (GMS): Cambodia, the Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Myanmar, Thailand, and Viet Nam. The GMS countries envisage substantial energy ei ciency savings over the next 15 to 20 years, with overall energy ei ciency savings amounting to almost 60 million tons of oil equivalent annually by 2030. GMS countries project that their energy needs will double or triple over the next 15 years and greater energy ei ciency of ers a win–win public–private sector partnership for reducing unsustainable reliance on high-carbon fuels.

104 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9254-829-2

$24.00

ENERGY EFFICIENCY

DEVELOPMENTS AND

POTENTIAL ENERGY SAVINGS

IN THE GREATER MEKONG

SUBREGION

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 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications 3

Knowledge and PowerLessons from ADB Energy Projects

ADB has provided its developing members with over $28 billion in loans and grants for energy-related projects from 2008 to 2014. This publication features 15 recent noteworthy projects as

case stories (contexts, solutions, results, and lessons) that were implemented in Bangladesh, Bhutan, the People’s Republic of China, India, Indonesia, the Federated States of Micronesia, , the Philippines, and Uzbekistan in the areas of energy ei ciency, solar energy, geothermal, waste-to-energy, advanced coal technology, and electricity interconnection. It is a must-read for policy makers, project managers, and development partners in the world of energy.

134 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9254-985-5

$25.00

   

KNOWLEDGE AND POWER: LESSONS FROM ADB ENERGY PROJECTS

Clean Energy

Monitoring, Reporting, and Verifi cation Manual for Clean development Mechanism Projects

This manual is intended to assist clean development mechanism project developers in understanding and managing the monitoring, reporting, and verii cation

requirements and process of their projects with the help of real examples and practical tips. It also aspires to be of help for projects participating in other existing and emerging market mechanisms. These may include bilateral mechanisms; voluntary carbon markets; regional, national, and subnational carbon markets; and any of the cooperative approaches and new market mechanism for the post-2020 carbon markets consequent to the Paris Agreement adopted at COP21 in December 2015.

116 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2016ISBN 978-92-9257-399-7

$24.00

AS AN DEV LOPMENT BANK

MONITORING, REPORTING,

AND VERIFICATION MANUAL

FOR CLEAN DEVELOPMENT MECHANISM PROJECTS

Fossil Fuel subsidies in AsiaTrends, Impacts, and Reforms: Integrative Report

The unsustainable budgetary cost of selling oil, gas, and coal at low prices has propelled energy subsidy reform

in developing Asian economies. This report measures the size of associated subsidies on these fossil fuels including direct transfers, tax exemptions, subsidized credit, and losses of state enterprises in India, Indonesia, and Thailand. An analysis of complex interactions between economic, social, energy, and environmental issues shows that the initial rise in energy prices due to a reduction or removal of the subsidies will trigger a shift to alternative fuels, make investment in clean energy attractive, increase energy supply, and cut greenhouse gas emissions.

76 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2016ISBN 978-92-9257-298-3

$22.00

AS AN DEVE OPMENT BANK

FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIES IN ASIATrENDS, IMPACTS, AND rEFOrMSINTEGRATIVE REPORT

MOST DOWNLOADED

Fossil Fuel subsidies in IndonesiaTrends, Impacts, and Reforms52 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9257-151-1$20.00

Fossil Fuel subsidies in ThailandTrends, Impacts, and Reforms54 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9257-153-5$20.00

A IAN D VE OPMENT BANK

FOS

IN TTrEN

S AN DEVE OPME T ANK

FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIES IN INDONESIATrENDS, IMPACTS, AND rEFOrMS

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4 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications

Clean Energy

RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENTS AND POTENTIAL IN THE GREATER MEKONG SUBREGION

Renewable energy developments and Potential in the greater Mekong subregion

This report focuses on renewable energy developments, including incentives for private sector investment in clean energy, and potential in i ve countries

in the Greater Mekong Subregion: Cambodia, the Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Myanmar, Thailand, and Viet Nam. It assesses the potential of solar, wind, biomass, and biogas as sources of renewable energy. Technical considerations include the degree and intensity of solar irradiation, average wind speeds, backup capacity of grid systems, availability and quality of agricultural land for biofuel crops, and animal manure concentrations for biogas digester systems.

168 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9254-831-5

$28.00

MOST DOWNLOADED

sustainable energy Access PlanningA Framework

Sustainable energy access planning, unlike traditional energy planning, gives primary importance to the energy demand of both poor and nonpoor households, the need to make cleaner energy

services more af ordable to the poor, the costs of both supply-side and demand-side access options, and the sustainability of technology and resource options. This report presents a framework for sustainable energy access planning that planners and policy makers can use to design cost-ef ective clean energy supply systems that both poor and nonpoor can sustainably access to meet at least the minimum amount of energy for their basic needs.

92 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9254-965-7

$23.00

AS AN DEVE OPMENT BANK

SUSTAINABLE ENErGY ACCESS PLANNINGA FRAMEWORK

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Roadmap for Carbon Capture and storage demonstration and deployment in the People’s Republic of China

Carbon capture and storage is an essential low-carbon option for the PRC. It is

currently the only near-commercial system of technologies that of ers medium- to long-term opportunities to make cuts in carbon dioxide emissions from industrial processes and power plants based on fossil fuels, while enabling the continued utilization of coal in a low-carbon way. This report assesses the potential, barriers, and challenges in developing carbon capture and storage in the PRC.

80 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9257-042-2

$22.00

RoadMAP FOR CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGEDEMONSTRATION AND DEPLOYMENT IN THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA

NOVEMBER 20 5

AS AN EVE OPMENT BANK

Prospects for Carbon Capture and storage in southeast Asia

This report focuses on an assessment of the carbon capture and storage (CCS) potential in Thailand, Viet Nam, and specii c regions of Indonesia and the Philippines. It contains inventories of

carbon dioxide emission sources; estimates of overall storage potential; likely source–sink match options for potential CCS projects; and an analysis of existing policy, legal, and regulatory frameworks with a view toward supporting future CCS operations. The report also presents a comparative i nancial analysis of candidate CCS projects; highlights possible incentive schemes for i nancing CCS; and provides an actionable road map for pilot, demonstration, and commercial CCS projects.

166 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-92-9254-290-0

$28.00

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 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications 5

Clean Energy

Climate Change and Rural Communities in the greater Mekong subregionA Framework for Assessing Vulnerability and Adaptation Options

This report presents the methodology and lessons

learned from the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) Core Environment Program. The study yielded a framework and methodology for assessing climate vulnerability and adaptation options for rural communities in the GMS. It was conducted in biodiversity conservation corridors in the Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Thailand, and Viet Nam during 2011–2012. The report introduces the framework, describes how it was applied, presents major results, and makes recommendations for future improvement.

50 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-534-5

$20.00

Climate Change and Rural Communities in the Greater Mekong SubregionA ame k Assess V e a a A a a s

CEP Knowledge Se ies # 1

Unlocking Indonesia’s geothermal Potential

This report was produced jointly by ADB and the World Bank and is based on a series of technical assistance activities conducted during 2013-2014. The study documents key issues that have constrained the development of Indonesia’s

geothermal power development sector, including tendering processes, i nancial considerations, permitting, and interagency coordination. The report then makes a set of comprehensive recommendations to unlock the potential of the sector.

170 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9254-901-5

$28.00Copublished with the World Bank

UNLOCKINGINDONESIA'SGEOTHERMALPOTENTIAL

sustainable energy for AllTracking Progress in Asia and the Pacii c

The Sustainable Energy for All (SE4All) initiative is the global ef ort rallying action toward a transformation in the energy sector by 2030. With targets to increase energy use, expand energy ei ciency, and ensure

energy access for all, SE4All’s priorities are tied closely to the challenges of energy sustainability, security, and widespread energy poverty in developing Asia and the Pacii c. This report summarizes the initial activities of the SE4All Regional Hub, and contextualizes the challenges in Asia and the Pacii c with the global ef orts to reach the 2030 targets.

68 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9257-111-5

$21.00

SI N D VELO MENT BANK

SUSTAINABLE ENERGY FOR ALLTRACKING PROGRESS IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC A SUMMARY REPORT

MOST DOWNLOADED

Climate Adaptation

Assessing the Costs of Climate Change and Adaptation in south Asia

This book synthesizes the results of country and sector studies on the economic costs and benei ts of unilateral and regional actions on

climate change in ADB’s six South Asia developing members, namely Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, the Maldives, Nepal, and Sri Lanka. The study takes into account the dif erent scenarios and impacts projected across vulnerable sectors and estimates the total economic loss throughout the 21st century and amount of funding required for adaptation measures to avert such potential losses. It is envisioned to strengthen decision-making capacities and improve understanding of the economics of climate change for the countries in South Asia.

128 pages, 6 x 9, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-510-9

$22.00

Assessing the Costsof Climate Change

and Adaptationin South Asia

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6 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications

green growth, Resources, and ResilienceEnvironmental Sustainability in Asia and the Pacii c

This report describes an evolving policy landscape characterized by a changing economic reality, rising demand for resources,

increasingly apparent impacts of environmental and climate change, and increased risk and uncertainty. It provides insights into resource use trends and outlines key actions, including reforming economic incentives and promoting more inclusive and adaptive governance approaches, that governments can pursue to help bring economic growth strategies in closer alignment with the objective of sustainable development.

156 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2012ISBN 978-92-1-120635-7

$27.00Copublished with the United Nations Economic and

Social Commission for Asia and the Pacifi c and the United Nations Environment Programme

Environmental Sustainabi ityin Asia and the Paciic

Green Growth,Resources

and Resilience

Costs of Adaptation to Rising Coastal Water levels for the People’s Republic of China, Japan, and the Republic of Korea

This publication explores the potential costs for coastal adaptation from 2010 until 2050 in East Asia due to climate-induced sea-level

rise and possibly more intense tropical cyclones. The results are estimates of possible adaptation needs, which illustrate the possible magnitude of adapting to the future impacts of climate change on three important coastal countries: the People’s Republic of China, Japan, and the Republic of Korea.

64 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-92-9254-067-8

$21.00

Cost of Adaptation to Rising

Coastal Water Levels

for the People’s Republ c of ChinaJapan and the Republic of Korea

Robert N chol s Susan Hanson and ochen Hickel

economic Analysis of Climate-Proofi ng Investment Projects

Climate change represents an increasing threat to the continued development of the people, preservation of ecosystems, and economic growth of Asia and the Pacii c. A key step in ADB’s climate

risk management framework is the technical and economic valuation of climate-prooi ng measures to reduce risks resulting from climate change to investment projects in Asia and the Pacii c. This report describes the conduct of the cost–benei t analysis of climate prooi ng investment projects to present decision makers with the best possible information on the economic ei ciency of alternative designs of investment projects.

92 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9257-077-4

$23.00

AS AN DEV LOPMENT B NK

ECONOMIC ANALYSISOF CLIMATE-PROOFING INVESTMENT PROJECTS

Climate Adaptation

Climate Risk and Adaptation in the electric Power sector

This report aims to highlight and raise awareness on the exposure and vulnerability of the energy sector to climate change. It also identii es adaptation options available

to each source of energy generation as well as for the distribution and end use of electrical energy.

82 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2012ISBN 978-92-9092-730-3

$22.00

Climate Risk and Adaptation in the

Electric Power Sector

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 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications 7

Increasing Climate Change Resilience of Urban Water InfrastructureBased on a Case Study from Wuhan City, People’s Republic of China

This guidebook bridges the gap between the theoretical

analyses of climate change impact on the urban water sector and the planning decisions that municipal authorities and utility managers need to make to increase the sector’s climate change resilience. It answers questions that city planners and managers globally ask regarding the ef ects of climate change, particularly on services and utilities, and what we can do to prepare for these.

72 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-92-9254-118-7

$21.00

Increas ng Climate Change Resilience

of Urban Water InfrastructureBa ed on a ase S udy f om Wuh n i y P op e s epub c f Ch na

GUIDEBOOK

guidelines for Climate Proofi ng Investment in the energy sector

This publication provides a step-by-step approach to help project teams assess and incorporate climate change adaptation measures into energy investment projects. While the focus of the guidelines is at the project

level, an improved understanding of climate change impacts should also be used to incorporate climate change considerations into energy planning and policy at the country level.

110 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-92-9254-109-5

$24.00

Guidelines for Climate Proofing Investment in

the Energy Sector

Climate Adaptation

Investing in ResilienceEnsuring a Disaster-Resistant Future

This report focuses on the steps required to ensure that investment in disaster resilience happens and that it occurs as an integral, systematic part of development. At-risk

communities in Asia and the Pacii c can apply a wide range of policy, capacity, and investment instruments and mechanisms to ensure that disaster risk is properly assessed, disaster risk is reduced, and residual risk is well managed. Yet, real progress in strengthening resilience has been slow to date and natural hazards continue to cause signii cant loss of life, damage, and disruption in the region, undermining inclusive, sustainable development.

188 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-92-9092-949-9

$29.00

Ensuring a Disaster-Resistant Future

Investing in Resilience

Technologies to support Climate Change Adaptation in developing Asia

Asia and the Pacii c is expected to be hit hard by the impacts of climate change. ADB developing members are among the most

vulnerable, with 7 of the top 10 vulnerable countries being in the region. This publication seeks to address these concerns by showcasing a number of useful technologies that can be used to address the impact of climate change across six sectors: agriculture, coastal resources, human health, transportation, water resources, and disaster risk management.

204 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-803-2

$30.00

AS AN DEVE OPMENT BANK

TECHNOLOGIES TO SUPPORT CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION IN DEVELOPING ASIA

MOST DOWNLOADED

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8 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications

strengthening Carbon Financing for grassland Management in the People’s Republic of ChinaMitigation Options in Grassland-Based Animal Husbandry

The majority of the People’s Republic of China’s 3.9

million square kilometers of grasslands are degraded and contribute to the emission of greenhouse gases. Restoring degraded grasslands and increasing the ei ciency of forage utilization are key strategies for addressing sustainable grassland management. To balance carbon sequestration and livestock production objectives, changes in grazing and livestock management are required. This publication summarizes potential technical measures to increase carbon sequestration and reduce the intensity of greenhouse gas emissions from grassland-based animal husbandry.

34 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-387-7

$19.00

Strengthening Carbon F nancingfor Grassland Management in the

People’s Republic of ChinaMitigation Options in Grassland Based

Animal Husbandry

strengthening Carbon Financing for grassland Management in the People’s Republic of ChinaIncentive Mechanisms and Implications

Financial incentives are required to improve

environmental management of grasslands and reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the grassland sector of the People’s Republic of China. This publication summarizes the legal and policy framework for incentive programs, assesses the impact of three main incentive programs on soil carbon stocks, and analyzes the implications of these existing incentive mechanisms for the development of grassland carbon i nance projects for domestic carbon markets.

54 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-385-3

$20.00

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Climate Financing

Building gender into Climate FinanceADB Experience with the Climate Investment Funds

Helping women become more resilient to the impact of climate change, acknowledging their key role and encouraging them to participate in

responding to the challenges of climate change, and ensuring that they benei t from climate change i nancing investments are priorities for ADB as part of its commitment to gender equality and the empowerment of women. This publication coni rms the shared commitment of ADB and the Climate Investment Funds (CIF) to mainstreaming gender equality in climate change and showcases how this priority is being integrated into the design of ADB’s CIF projects.

52 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2016$20.00

BuilDinG GenDeR inTO CliMATe FinAnCe ADB eXPeRienCe WiTH THe CliMATe inVeSTMenT FunDS

AdB and the Climate Investment FundsClimate Change Innovation and Action in Asia and the Pacii c

Since the inception of the Climate Investment Funds (CIF), ADB has participated in the preparation of 16 investment plans in 14

countries. Under these plans, ADB is administering $1.6 billion in funding for 37 projects across the region. This document presents ADB’s experience in the development of CIF programs and highlights some of the innovative transformations anticipated or already achieved by ADB projects using CIF funding.

76 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-548-2

$22.00

AS AN D VELO MENT BANK

ADB AND THE CLIMATE INVESTMENT FUNDSCLIMATE CHANGE INNOVATION AND ACTION IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC

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 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications 9

Addressing Climate Change and Migration in Asia and the Pacifi c

Climate change will increase the frequency of extreme weather events, making more geographic places inhospitable to human habitation and secure livelihoods. This report presents a detailed picture of

the potential impacts of climate change on migration in Asia and the Pacii c. It draws upon a wealth of research to provide policy makers with informed analysis of an emerging phenomenon requiring urgent attention by governments and the international community. The report also suggests that climate-induced migration should be seen not only as a threat to human well-being but also as a potential tool to promote human adaptation to climate change.

92 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2012ISBN 978-92-9092-610-8

$23.00

Final Report

AddressingClimate Change and Migration in Asia and the Paciic

economics of Climate Change in east Asia

This regional study includes the People’s Republic of China, Japan, the Republic of Korea, and Mongolia and examines how strategies for adapting to climate change up to 2050 can be combined with measures to reduce

greenhouse gas emissions in East Asia. The study estimates costs for sector-specii c mitigation options and the total abatement potential for 2020 and 2030. Long-term strategies for addressing the impacts of climate change in East Asia are explored with a focus on the linkages between adaptation and mitigation, taking account uncertainty about key climate variables.

218 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-92-9254-288-7

$31.00

Economics of

Climate Change

in East AsiaM chael Westphal

Gordon Hughes

Jörn Brömme hö ster

Ed tors)

Climate Change, Food security, and socioeconomic livelihood in Pacifi c Islands

This report assesses the impact of climate change on agriculture and i sheries in three Pacii c island countries—Fiji, Papua New

Guinea, and Solomon Islands—including the impacts on agricultural production, economic returns for major crops, and food security. Alternative adaption policies are examined to provide policy options that reduce the impact of climate change on food security. The overall intention is to provide a clear message for development practitioners and policy makers about how to cope with the threats and understand the opportunities surrounding climate change.

366 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9257-115-3

$41.00Copublished with the International Food Policy

Research Institute

CLIMATE CHANGE, FOOD SECURITY, AND SOCIOECONOMIC LIVELIHOOD IN PACIFIC ISLANDS

strengthening Carbon Financing for grassland Management in the People’s Republic of ChinaPotential Carbon Markets

Carbon emissions trading markets are one of the main policy mechanisms of the

People’s Republic of China (PRC) to encourage the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Grasslands cover 40% of the PRC’s land area, and these contain large amounts of carbon. Restoration and sustainable management of these grasslands have large greenhouse gas mitigation potential. This publication assesses the potential of carbon market mechanisms to support the achievement of grassland policy objectives. It also reviews the state of national policy regarding climate change mitigation, particularly carbon markets, and outlines opportunities and challenges in producing carbon of sets from grasslands.

34 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-375-4

$19.00

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Climate Financing

Climate Policies and Capacity

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10 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications

Climate Policies and Capacity

green City development Tool Kit

The term “Green City” has many dif erent meanings to dif erent people. There is no universal solution that can be applied to every city. Adaptable, responsive, and innovative solutions that dif er from one place to another

enable Green Cities to emerge in various forms and enable us to recognize the variation and dynamism of cities. This tool kit is a reference for ADB staf , consultants, and city leaders that introduces key concepts of Green City development and identii es crosscutting issues that help in designing urban programs to support city development in a green and sustainable manner.

134 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9257-012-5

$25.00

AS AN DEV LOPM NT BANK

GREEN CITYDEVELOPMENT TOOL KIT

MOST DOWNLOADED

greeen solutions for livable Cities

GrEEEn Solutions for Livable Cities is the result of a 2-year innovative, exploratory, and refl ective study of cities as unique urban spaces that support life, work, and play. It responds to major issues that af ect the quality of life

of urban residents. This publication of ers practical ways on how urban managers, urban practitioners, businesspeople, and citizens can engage to make cities more livable by building on their distinctive physical, social, cultural, and economic characteristics. It of ers integrated urban development solutions that can translate global development commitments into urban-level actions to achieve livable cities.

256 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2016ISBN 978-92-9257-350-8

$34.00

S AN D VELO MENT BANK

GREEEN SoLUTIONS

FOR LIVABLE CITIES

MOST DOWNLOADED

economics of Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in south AsiaOptions and Costs

ADB developing members in South Asia have been faced with the major challenge of sustaining rapid economic growth while reducing the overall intensity of energy

use and increasing energy ei ciency. This report synthesizes the results of national studies on options and costs of reducing harmful greenhouse gas emissions in Bangladesh, Bhutan, the Maldives, Nepal, and Sri Lanka and examines the economics of cleaner technologies that promote low-carbon development and climate change mitigation.

158 pages, 6 x 9, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-92-9092-143-1

$24.00

F n n ed nd r A B Au r l a o th s a

De e o me t a t e s p F c i y

Economics of Reduc ng

Greenhouse Gas Emissions

in South AsiaOptions and Costs

green Cities

Asia shares a vision of making all its cities livable one day. Essential to meeting the challenges of climate change and pollution are reducing energy demand in cities as well as the environmental impacts of energy production and consumption, and addressing the pollution of watersheds

and the air. This book concludes that more ei cient and ef ective management of the urbanization process, city form and design, urban density, transport systems, and logistics systems can help achieve this vision.

426 pages, 6 x 9, softbound, 2012ISBN 978-92-9092-896-6

$35.00

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 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications 11

guidelines for Climate Proofi ng Investment in Agriculture, Rural development, and Food security

This publication aims to present a step-by-step methodological approach to assist project teams assess and

incorporate climate change adaptation measures into investment projects in agriculture, rural development, and food security. While the focus of the publication is at the project level, an improved understanding of climate change impacts should also be used to incorporate climate change considerations into agriculture planning and policy at the country level.

104 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2012ISBN 978-92-9092-997-0

$24.00

Guidel nes for Climate Proofing Investment in Agriculture,

Rural Development,and Food Security

Training Manual to support Country-driven gender and Climate ChangePolicies, Strategies, and Program Development

This publication aims to provide trainers, practitioners, and policy makers of environment and gender

mainstreaming agencies an understanding of key concepts and approaches to gender-responsive mitigation measures, strategies, and policies. It covers key concepts on gender and climate change and concludes with step-by-step guidelines for policy and decision makers to mainstream gender into climate policies and projects, with practical tools and exercises to support training on gender and climate change.

78 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2016ISBN 978-92-9257-254-9

$22.00

TRAINING MANUAL TO SUPPORT

COUNTRY-DRIVEN GENDER AND CLIMATE CHANGE Po ic es S rateg es and P ogram D velopment

Flood Risk Management in the People’s Republic of ChinaLearning to Live with Flood Risk

This publication presents a shift in the People’s Republic of China from fl ood control depending on structural measures to integrated fl ood

management using both structural and nonstructural measures. The core of the new concept of integrated fl ood management is fl ood risk management. Flood risk management is based on an analysis of fl ood hazard, exposure to fl ood hazard, and vulnerability of people and property to danger. It is recommended that people learn to live with fl ood risks, gaining and promoting a clear understanding of fl ood risks, quantifying and modifying the fl ood hazard, regulating exposure to the hazard, and reducing their vulnerability to danger.

78 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2012ISBN 978-92-9092-530-9

$22.00

Flood Risk Management in the People’s Republic of China

Learning to L ve w th F ood Risk

Yoshi ki Kobayashi and John W Por er

Climate Policies and Capacity

The economics of Climate Change in the Pacifi c

The Pacii c is highly vulnerable to the predicted ef ects of climate change, including higher sea levels, storm surges and cyclones, erratic rainfall patterns, and temperature fl uctuations. This study

identii es the ef ects and quantii es the costs of these adverse outcomes to Pacii c island economies particularly in agriculture, i sheries, tourism, coral reefs, and human health. It also presents policy recommendations and action steps for countries in the Pacii c to mitigate these impacts by mainstreaming climate change in their development plans and climate-prooi ng their programs and infrastructure in order to achieve poverty eradication and sustainable development.

100 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-92-9254-318-1

$23.00

THE ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE

IN THE PACIFIC

Disaster Risk Management

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12 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications

Water-Related disasters and disaster Risk Management in the People’s Republic of China

In the People’s Republic of China (PRC), the incidence of natural disasters—particularly water-related

disasters—are on the rise, resulting in an increased exposure to and vulnerability of the population to disasters. Coupled with anticipated increases in the frequency and intensity of weather-related events due to climate change, the PRC’s population is at heightened risk. This review focuses on water-related disasters, including identii cation of underlying causes, current management and policies to reduce risk, and opportunities for strengthening integrated disaster risk management in the PRC.

62 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-92-9257-149-8

$20.00

AS AN DEV LOPMENT BANK

WATER RELATED DISASTErS

AND DISASTEr rISK MANAGEMENT

IN THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA

Reducing disaster Risk by Managing Urban land UseGuidance Notes for Planners

This document provides guidance for urban planners on how to utilize land use management-related tools they have at their disposal—

land use planning, development control instruments, greeni eld development, and urban redevelopment—to reduce disaster risk and contribute to strengthening urban resilience and sustainable urban development. The guidance provided in the document is further illustrated through case studies showing examples where urban land use management-related tools have been adopted to reduce disaster risk.

100 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2016ISBN 978-92-9257-475-8

$23.00

AS AN DEVE OPMENT BANK

REDUCING DISASTER RISK BY MANAGING URBAN LAND USE

Guidance Notes for Planners

Making grasslands sustainable in MongoliaAdapting to Climate and Environmental Change

Climate change threatens grassland ecosystems and herders’ livelihoods in Mongolia. Herders depend on pasture and water resources for their livestock, and are thus among the most vulnerable groups to climate change impacts. Although climate change impacts on grassland ecosystems are measurable, current institutional capacity and i nancial resources limit implementation of adaptation practices. This publication reviews grassland management and traditional nomadic pastoralism in the local Mongolian context and identii es potential adaptation strategies and practices.

72 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-92-9254-314-3

$21.00

M king Gr l n u t in bl in M ng li

A pting t Clim t n Envir nm nt l Ch ng

M T V M TA V M T

Disaster Risk Management

Making Grasslands Sustainable in MongoliaAssessment of Key Elements in the Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions for Grassland and Livestock Management Development72 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-417-1$21.00

Making Grasslands Sustainable in MongoliaHerders’ Livelihoods and Climate Change44 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-373-0$20.00

Making Grasslands Sustainable in MongoliaInternational Experiences with Payments for Environmental Services in Grazing Lands and Other Rangelands64 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-415-7$20.00

Natural Resource Management

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Sustainable in MongoliaIn ernat ona Exper ences w th Payments for Env ronmenta Serv ces n Graz ng Lands and Other Range ands

M T V M T

A V M T

12 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications

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 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications 13

Natural Resource Management

Urban Transport strategy to Combat Climate Change in the People’s Republic of China

This publication examines the problems and issues of urban transport in relation to climate change in the People’s Republic of China. It reviews international and

local best practices for addressing such challenges. It also identii es policies, strategies, and measures to reduce CO2 emissions from the transport sector and recommends applicable options for implementation in the country.

74 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2012ISBN 978-92-9092-572-9

$22.00

Urban Transport

Climate ChangeStrategy to

Combatin the Peop e s Repub ic of Ch na

Thinking about Water diff erentlyManaging the Water–Food–Energy Nexus

The water–food–energy nexus is emerging as a critical issue in Asia and the Pacii c. Solutions must be found to assure water security, thereby eliminating the immediate—

and increasing—risk to food security, energy security, and economic growth and stability. This publication is the result of a scoping study initiated by ADB to better understand the issues associated with the water–food–energy nexus in Asia and the Pacii c. It provides high-level guidance on the choices available to address the region’s water security issues.

46 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-92-9254-252-8

$20.00

Climate Proofi ng AdB’s Investments in the Transport sectorInitial Experiences

By improving connectivity and making the movement of goods and people more af ordable, transport contributes to economic growth, ei ciency, and

competitiveness while providing poor people with access to economic opportunities and services. Various components of the transport infrastructure are exposed and vulnerable to climate change. ADB has put in place a systematic framework guiding the conduct of climate risk and vulnerability assessments of investment projects. Ongoing initiatives will address some of the key challenges encountered when conducting climate risk and vulnerability assessments, including access to readily available climate change information.

118 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2014ISBN 978-92-9254-855-1

$24.00

CLIMATE PROOFING

ADB INVESTMENT

IN THE TRANSPORT SECTORINITIAL EXPERIENCE

AS AN DEVE OPMENT BANK

Sustainable Transport Asian Development Bank Institute

Climate Change in Asia and the Pacifi cHow Can Countries Adapt?

This book compiler policies and best practices on climate change adaptation, focusing on the structural and nonstructural measures applied in Asia and the Pacii c to adapt to climate change. The book focuses on

water resources, agriculture, and natural resources management—the most vital sectors for the region—from environmental, social, and economic perspectives. Although the book targets Asia and the Pacii c, key i ndings are relevant to other regions, such as Africa and Latin America.

388 pages, 6 x 9, hardbound, 2012ISBN 978-81-321-0894-8

$67.00Copublished with SAGE Publishing

For order information, visit us.sagepub.com

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14 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications

Managing the Transition to a low-Carbon economyPerspectives, Policies, and Practices from Asia

This study recognizes low-carbon green growth as an imperative—not an option—for developing Asia. Asia has already started moving toward low-carbon green growth. Many emerging economies

have started using sustainable development to bring competitiveness to their industries and serve growing green technology markets. This book aims to share the experiences of developed Asian economies and the lessons they have learned. It assesses the low-carbon and green policies and practices adopted by developed Asian countries, identii es gaps, and examines new opportunities for low-carbon green growth.

440 pages, 6 x 9, softbound, 2015ISBN 978-4-89974-057-5

$39.00For order information, visit www.brookings.edu

disaster Risk Management in Asia and the Pacifi c

This book focused on disaster risk management to study the key trends in the region in terms of disaster incidence, sources of vulnerability, and social and economic challenges. The chapters are written by nine independent

internationally based authors. The analysis presented benei ts from their varied backgrounds in medicine, architecture, economics, engineering, planning, social studies, development studies, and political science. Throughout the book, relevant examples drawn from the region are included to “earth” the project in the harsh realities of risk and disaster impact.

340 pages, 6 x 9, hardbound, 2014ISBN 978-1-13878-502-1

$168.00Copublished with Routledge

For order information, visit www.routledge.com

low-Carbon green growth in AsiaPolicies and Practices

Asia is at a crossroads. It is the world’s most populous region, has a rising share of global greenhouse gas emissions, and is the region most vulnerable to climate risks. Developing Asia is in

critical need of low-carbon green growth. This book reviews low-carbon policy initiatives taken by Asian countries at the national, sectoral, and local levels. The goal of this study is to share with developing nations the experiences of advanced Asian economies and the lessons they have learned, while widening and deepening actions in both.

264 pages, 7.5 x 9.25, softbound, 2013ISBN 978-4-89974-037-3

$34.00For order information, visit www.brookings.edu

Low Carbon Green

Growth in Asia

Po icies and Practices

Asian Development Bank Institute

The environments of the Poor in south AsiaSimultaneously Reducing Poverty, Protecting the Environment, and Adapting to Climate Change

This book contains a multitude of studies of the environment–poverty relationship, such as those in

the drylands of Rajasthan and Odisha, the Sunderban Delta, the Nepalese uplands, the Sri Lankan and Bangladeshi coastlands, and the urban slums of India and Bangladesh. Floods, landslides, droughts, degradation of natural resources, and urban pollution exert a greater infl uence on the people in these areas than on those living in other geographical regions of South Asia.

380 pages, 6 x 9, hardbound, 2015ISBN 978-0-19945-363-4

$59.95Copublished with Oxford University Press

For order information, visit global.oup.com

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 For more information on ADB publications, visit www.adb.org/publications 15

Title Index

A

ADB and the Climate Investment Funds: Climate Change Innovation and Action in Asia and the Paciic ..............................8

Addressing Climate Change and Migration in Asia and the Paciic ....................................................................................................9

Asian Water Development Outlook 2016: Strengthening Water Security in Asia and the Paciic ............................................................1

Assessing the Costs of Climate Change and Adaptation in South Asia .............................................................................................. 5

B

Building Gender into Climate Finance: ADB Experience with the Climate Investment Funds ..................................................8

Business Models to Realize the Potential of Renewable Energy and Energy Eiciency in the Greater Mekong Subregion ........2

C

Climate Change and Rural Communities in the Greater Mekong Subregion: A Framework for Assessing Vulnerability and Adaptation Options ................................................................................ 5

Climate Change in Asia and the Paciic: How Can Countries Adapt?..........................................................................................................13

Climate Change, Food Security, and Socioeconomic Livelihood in Paciic Islands .................................................................9

Climate Prooing ADB’s Investments in the Transport Sector: Initial Experiences ...................................................................................13

Climate Risk and Adaptation in the Electric Power Sector ..........6Costs of Adaptation to Rising Coastal Water Levels for

the People’s Republic of China, Japan, and the Republic of Korea ........................................................................................................6

D

Disaster Risk Management in Asia and the Paciic ........................ 14

E

Economic Analysis of Climate-Prooing Investment Projects ....6Economics of Climate Change in East Asia ........................................9The Economics of Climate Change in the Paciic ........................... 11Economics of Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions in

South Asia: Options and Costs .........................................................10Energy Eiciency Developments and Potential Energy Savings

in the Greater Mekong Subregion .....................................................2The Environments of the Poor in South Asia: Simultaneously

Reducing Poverty, Protecting the Environment, and Adapting to Climate Change ................................................................................. 14

F

Flood Risk Management in the People’s Republic of China: Learning to Live with Flood Risk ........................................................ 11

Fossil Fuel Subsidies in Asia: Trends, Impacts, and Reforms: Integrative Report .................................................................................... 3

Fossil Fuel Subsidies in Indonesia: Trends, Impacts, and Reforms ............................................................................................... 3

Fossil Fuel Subsidies in Thailand: Trends, Impacts, and Reforms ............................................................................................... 3

G

GrEEEn Solutions for Livable Cities .....................................................10Green Cities ...................................................................................................10Green City Development Tool Kit ........................................................10Green Growth, Resources, and Resilience: Environmental

Sustainability in Asia and the Paciic ................................................6Guidelines for Climate Prooing Investment in Agriculture,

Rural Development, and Food Security ......................................... 11Guidelines for Climate Prooing Investment in the Energy

Sector ............................................................................................................7

H

Handbook for Rooftop Solar Development in Asia ........................2

I

Improving Energy Eiciency and Reducing Emissions through Intelligent Railway Station Buildings ...............................2

Increasing Climate Change Resilience of Urban Water Infrastructure: Based on a Case Study from Wuhan City, People’s Republic of China ...................................................................7

Investing in Resilience: Ensuring a Disaster-Resistant Future .....7

K

Knowledge and Power: Lessons from ADB Energy Projects ....... 3

L

Low-Carbon Green Growth in Asia: Policies and Practices ....... 14

M

Making Grasslands Sustainable in Mongolia: Adapting to Climate and Environmental Change ......................................... 12

Making Grasslands Sustainable in Mongolia: Assessment of Key Elements in the Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions for Grassland and Livestock Management Development ..... 12

Making Grasslands Sustainable in Mongolia: Herders’ Livelihoods and Climate Change ..................................................... 12

Making Grasslands Sustainable in Mongolia: International Experiences with Payments for Environmental Services in Grazing Lands and Other Rangelands ...................................... 12

Managing the Transition to a Low-Carbon Economy: Perspectives, Policies, and Practices from Asia .......................... 14

Monitoring, Reporting, and Veriication Manual for Clean Development Mechanism Projects .................................................. 3

P

Prospects for Carbon Capture and Storage in Southeast Asia ...4

R

Reducing Disaster Risk by Managing Urban Land Use: Guidance Notes for Planners ............................................................ 12

Renewable Energy Developments and Potential in the Greater Mekong Subregion ...................................................................................4

Roadmap for Carbon Capture and Storage Demonstration and Deployment in the People’s Republic of China ...................4

S

Southeast Asia and the Economics of Global Climate Stabilization ................................................................................................1

Strengthening Carbon Financing for Grassland Management in the People’s Republic of China: Incentive Mechanisms and Implications .......................................................................................8

Strengthening Carbon Financing for Grassland Management in the People’s Republic of China: Mitigation Options in Grassland-Based Animal Husbandry ...............................................8

Strengthening Carbon Financing for Grassland Management in the People’s Republic of China: Potential Carbon Markets .........................................................................................................9

Sustainable Energy Access Planning: A Framework ........................4Sustainable Energy for All: Tracking Progress in Asia

and the Paciic .......................................................................................... 5

T

Technologies to Support Climate Change Adaptation in Developing Asia ..................................................................................7

Thinking about Water Diferently: Managing the Water–Food–Energy Nexus ...................................13

Training Manual to Support Country-Driven Gender and Climate Change: Policies, Strategies, and Program Development ............................................................................................ 11

U

Unlocking Indonesia’s Geothermal Potential ..................................... 5Urban Transport Strategy to Combat Climate Change

in the People’s Republic of China......................................................13

W

Water-Related Disasters and Disaster Risk Management in the People’s Republic of China..................................................... 12

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Asian Water Development Outlook 2016 Strengthening Water Security in Asia and the Pacifi c

The Asian Water Development Outlook charts progress in water security in Asia and the Pacifi c over the past 5 years. This 2016 edition of the report uses the latest available data to assess water security in fi ve key dimensions: household access to piped potable water and improved sanitation, economic water security, providing better urban water services to build more livable cities, restoring healthy rivers and ecosystems, and resilience to water disasters. The region shows a positive trend in strengthening water security since the 2013 edition of the report, when 38 out of 49 countries were assessed as water-insecure. In 2016, that number dropped to 29 out of 48 countries.

 134 pages, 8.5 x 11, softbound, 2016ISBN 978-92-9257-543-4

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Southeast Asia and the Economics of Global Climate Stabilization

This study focuses on fi ve countries of Southeast Asia that collectively account for 90% of regional greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) in recent years—Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Viet Nam. It applies two global dynamic economy–energy–environment models under an array of scenarios that refl ect potential regimes for regulating global GHG emissions through 2050. The modeling identifi es potential economic costs of climate inaction for the region, how the countries can most effi ciently achieve GHG emission mitigation, and the consequences of mitigation. This study analyzes climate-related policies and identifi es how further action can be taken to ensure low-carbon growth.

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ASIAN WATER DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK 2016STRENGTHENING WATER SECURITY IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC

ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK

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SOUTHEAST ASIA AND

THE ECONOMICS OF GLOBAL

CLIMATE STABILIZATION

36 Southeast Asia and the Economics of Global Climate Stabilization

3.7 Harmonized Assumptions for Business-as-Usual Scenario

The BAU scenario was calibrated to (i) replicate the base year characteristics of the DA5, (ii)  replicate credible projections of the main socioeconomic drivers in these countries, and (iii) harmonize assumptions across the ICES and WITCH models to facilitate comparative analysis.

For the non-DA5 economies, this calibration procedure is based on a “medium population—medium economic growth—fast convergence between regions” scenario that was constructed following the methodology developed in the Ampere project (Kriegler et al. 2014). Population reflects

the medium-population scenario of the United Nations 2010 Medium Term Projection (UNDESA 2011). In the case of the DA5 countries, growth rates for GDP and macrosectoral composition of value added for the ICES model have been derived from Asian Development Bank (ADB) estimates (ADB 2011b) and validated through personal communication with local experts. In both ICES and WITCH, these GDP trends are replicated through modifications of total, factor-specific, or sector-specific productivity parameters.

Emissions of GHGs as output of the models are driven by the entire set of behavioral parameters governing supply and demand. ICES is different from WITCH both in the energy nest and in terms of trade representation, which means that emissions can be closely, but not fully, synchronized. As a result, ICES and WITCH are harmonized fully in terms of population and GDP and partially in

Inputs Calibration Outputs

Base yearparameters

HarmonizedBAU

Economic effects

Co-benefits

Scenarios

CO2 trade

Emissionstargets

Energy efficiencyresponses

Land useICES

Energy

WITCH

CO2 price

CO2 price

Land use

Energy

CO2 trade

Economic effects

Co-benefits

Figure 7:�Integrated Modeling Framework

BAU = business as usual, CO2 = carbon dioxide, ICES = Intertemporal Computable Equilibrium System, WITCH = World Induced Technical Change Hybrid.Source: ADB Study Team.

Methodology 37

Figure 8:�World Business-as-Usual Population, Gross Domestic Product, and Carbon Dioxide Emissions

CO2 = carbon dioxide, GDP = gross domestic product, FFI = fossil fuel industrial, ICES = Intertemporal Computable Equilibrium System, MER = market exchange rate, WITCH = World Induced Technical Change Hybrid.Note: Excludes land use, land-use change, and forestry.Source: ADB Study Team.

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

9,500

Pe

op

le (

mil

lio

n)

Population

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Va

lue

in c

on

sta

nt

20

05

$ (

tril

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n)

GDP MER

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

CO

2 (g

iga

ton

s)

CO2 Emissions (FFI)

World, ICES World, WITCH

Year Year Year

Figure 9:�Indonesia and Southeast Asia Business-as-Usual Population, Gross Domestic Product, and Carbon Dioxide Emissions

CO2 = carbon dioxide, GDP = gross domestic product, FFI = fossil fuel industrial, GDP = gross domestic product, ICES = Intertemporal Computable Equilibrium System, MER = market exchange rate, SEA = Southeast Asia, WITCH = World Induced Technical Change Hybrid. Source: ADB Study Team.

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

Pe

op

le (

mil

lio

n)

Population

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Va

lue

in c

on

sta

nt

20

05

$ (

tril

lio

n)

GDP MER

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

CO

2 (g

iga

ton

s)

CO2

Emissions (FFI)

Indonesia, ICES Indonesia, WITCH SEA, ICES SEA, WITCH

Year Year Year

terms of emissions (Figure 8). In the BAU, both models project a world population reaching roughly 9.3  billion, and a GDP of $170 trillion by 2050.3 Emissions from fossil fuel-intensive industries (i.e., excluding land-use emissions) are roughly comparable, steadily increasing, and expected to reach between 67 gigatons and 73 gigatons of CO2 equivalent by mid-century.

3 Statistics presented in this section are for Southeast Asia, as defined in WITCH, which includes countries additional to the DA5, such as Cambodia, the Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Myanmar, Papua New Guinea, and the Pacific islands.

ICES and WITCH are also well harmonized regarding growth trends for population and GDP of Indonesia and the rest of Southeast Asia (Figure 9). Indonesia’s population increases from 0.24 billion in 2010 to 0.29 billion in 2050; and in the rest of Southeast Asia, from 0.39 billion to 0.52 billion. Both areas show strong GDP growth, with Indonesia’s reaching roughly $5 trillion and Southeast Asia’s reaching

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1 Featured Titles

2 Clean Energy

5 Climate Adaptation

8 Climate Financing

9 Climate Policies and Capacity

11 Disaster Risk Management

12 Natural Resource Management

13 Sustainable Transport

13 Asian Development Bank Institute

15 Title Index

16 Commercial Distributors

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A little bit of research can help.