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THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY KEY FINDINGS FROM A MINNESOTA STATEWIDE SURVEY OF 500 REGISTERED VOTERS CONDUCTED JUNE 15-17, 2020

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Page 1: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTAJUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY

KEY FINDINGS FROM A MINNESOTA STATEWIDE SURVEY OF 500 REGISTERED VOTERS CONDUCTED JUNE 15-17, 2020

Page 2: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

RESEARCH METHDOLOGYMeeting Street Research is pleased to present Center of the American Experiment with the results of a baseline survey conducted among registered voters in Minnesota.

Interviews were completed June 15-17, 2020 among 500 registered voters with a mix of cell phone (40%) and landline interviewing (60%).

The margin of error for a sample size of N=500 is ±4.38%.

2THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE POLL |

Page 3: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 3

53%

32%

11%3%

A Great Deal Of Confidence A Fair Amount Of ConfidenceNot Too Much Confidence No Confidence At All

“Thinking about the police in your own community, how much confidence, if any, do you have in the police in your

community to act in the best interest of the public?”

Minnesotans are largely confident that the police in their community are acting in the public’s interest and make them feel mostly safe.

85%

12%

2%

Mostly Safe Mostly Anxious Don't Know

“And, how would you describe your feelings about the police in your community? Would you say they make you

feel mostly safe or mostly anxious?”

Confident85%

Page 4: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 4

58%

86% 90% 90%97%

42%

13% 10% 10%3%

Minneapolis - St.Paul Twin Cities Suburbs Northeast South West/Northwest

Total Confidence Total Not Confident

Confidence In Police To Act In Public’s Interest By Region

+16 +73 +80 +80 +94

55% 87% 86% 92% 94% % Who Say They Feel Safe

Majorities in every region of the state have confidence in their police and say the police make them feel mostly safe, this is noticeably lower in the Twin Cities.

Page 5: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 5

29%

55%

9%5%

Very Likely Somewhat Likely Not That Likely Not Likely At All Don’t Know/Refused

Likely85%

“How likely is it that we are going to see real police reform and policy changes as a result of the death of George Floyd? Do you think it is very likely, somewhat likely, not that likely or not likely at all likely?”

Most expect reforms and policy changes to occur as a result of Floyd’s death.

Page 6: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 6

27%20%

68%

76%

5% 3%

Minneapolis Police Department Your Police DepartmentSupport Oppose Don't Know

“As you may have seen, read, or heard, a majority of members on the Minneapolis City Council have come out in support of a

plan to defund and disband the Minneapolis Police Department. Is that a plan you would SUPPORT or OPPOSE?”

There is strong opposition to defunding and disbanding the police.

“And, would you SUPPORT or OPPOSE a plan to defund and disband your local community police department?”

-41 -56

14% Strongly

54% Strongly

11% Strongly

67% Strongly

Page 7: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7

Support Oppose

Minneapolis – St. Paul 56% 38%

Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68%

Northeast 16% 78%

South 24% 69%

West/Northwest 14% 81%

Defunding & Disbanding The Minneapolis Police Department

Defunding & Disbanding Your Police Department

Outside of the Twin Cities, most voters oppose defunding and disbanding the police department in Minneapolis and in their community.

Support Oppose

51% 41%

18% 78%

6% 90%

18% 77%

11% 87%

Page 8: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 8

12% 15%9% 11%

4%

72% 71%77%

66%

82%

12% 10% 10% 13% 13%

Overall Twin Cities Suburbs Northeast South West/Northwest

More Likely Less Likely No Difference

“And, if the City of Minneapolis did away with their police department, how would that impact your likelihood to want to travel to Minneapolis to eat out or attend an athletic event or other gathering? Would that make you more likely or less likely to travel to Minneapolis?”

(Asked Only Among Non-Minneapolis Voters)

Nearly three-in-four say they would be less likely to travel to Minneapolis if the police department is disbanded.

-60 -56 -68 -55 -78

Page 9: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 9

51%

4%

26%17%

21%

78%

2% 1%

Protests & Demonstrations Burning & Looting

Fully Justified Partially Justified Not At All Justified Don't Know

“Do you think the protests and demonstrations in Minneapolis were fully justified, partially justified

or not at all justified?”

Most Minnesota voters believe the protests were justified, while most don’t believe the burning and looting were.

Do you think the burning and looting of buildings and businesses in Minneapolis were fully justified,

partially justified or not at all justified?

Justified77%

Justified21%

Page 10: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 10

26%

49%

29%

12% 14%19%

73%

51%

71%

86% 85%78%

1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1%

Overall Minneapolis -St. Paul

Twin Cities Suburbs Northeast South West/Northwest

Total Worried Total Not Worried Don't Know

“How worried were you about your own personal safety during the riots, protests, and demonstrations? Were you very worried, somewhat worried, not that worried or not at all worried?”

Most Minnesotans were not concerned about their own personal safety during the demonstrations, though opinions in the Twin Cities are noticeably different.

6%Very

Worried

-47 -2 -42 -74 -71 -59

Page 11: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 11

65%

91%

66%

42%32%

7%

28%

55%

3% 2% 4% 4%

Overall Republicans Independents Democrats

Yes No Don't Know

“After the third straight night of protests, the Governor of Minnesota deployed the National Guard to the streets of Minneapolis. Do you think the National Guard should have been deployed sooner and in greater numbers?”

By a two-to-one margin, voters statewide think the National Guard should have been deployed sooner and in greater numbers.

+33 +84 +38 -13

Page 12: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 12

Voters are split between having the state pay part of the damages or not paying for anything at all.

“More than 500 shops and restaurants in Minneapolis and St. Paul have reported damage when protests turned violent over the death of George Floyd. Experts estimate the costs of the damage could exceed 500 million dollars. Should the state of

Minnesota use taxpayer dollars...”

39%

8%

5%

39%

7%

To Pay For Part Of The Damages, With The Rest Covered By The City, The Federal Government, And Private Donors

To Loan The Twin Cities The Money To Pay For The Damages

To Pay For All Of The Damages To The Twin Cities

To Not Use Minnesota Taxpayer Dollars At All

Don’t Know

Minneapolis – St. Paul

Twin Cities

SuburbsNortheast South West/

Northwest

46% 47% 25% 38% 26%

10% 7% 13% 8% 2%

10% 6% 0% 7% 4%

21% 32% 48% 40% 65%

11% 7% 12% 5% 3%

Page 13: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast

THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 13

34%

20%

20%

13%

10%

6%

6%

4%

3%

3%

5%

5%

DisgustedAngry

SadHopeful

SatisfiedHappy

AnxiousRelieved

SafeFearful

None Of TheseSomething Else

Minnesotans are mostly disgusted, angry or sad about the pulling down of the Christopher Columbus statue.

“And, as you may have seen, a group of protestors and rioters pulled down a statue of Christopher Columbus outside the Minneapolis State Capitol without any legal consequence. Knowing this, does that make you feel…”

Voters were able to choose more than one option, which is why all the

responses total more than 100%.

Page 14: THINKING MINNESOTA JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY · THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 POLL | 7 Support Oppose Minneapolis –St. Paul 56% 38% Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68% Northeast