third annual analyst & investor meeting financial presentation

36
Embraer Third Annual Investor Meeting São José dos Campos Nov. 21-22, 2002 Antonio Luis Pizarro Manso CFO

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Page 1: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

EmbraerThird Annual

Investor MeetingSão José dos Campos

Nov. 21-22, 2002

Antonio Luis Pizarro MansoCFO

Page 2: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

ShareholderBase

Page 3: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Embraer Voting Capital

20% European Group

1.45%Brazilian Govt.

18.55%Free Float

60% Controlling Shareholders

20% European GroupDassault Aviation 5.67%Thales 5.67%EADS 5.67%Snecma 2.99%

1.45%Brazilian Govt.

18.55%Free Float

60% Controlling Shareholders PREVI (Pension Fund) 20%SISTEL (Pension Fund) 20%Cia. Bozano 20%

Ordinary Shares: 242,544,448 34.08%

Page 4: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Preferred SharesPreferred Shares : 469,207,776 65.92%

NYSE41.85%

Sistel2.11%

Bozano Holdings, Ltd

5.09% BB - Bco de Investimentos S.A.

0.62%Previ12.97%

Cia Bozano5.11%

BNDESPar11.96% BOVESPA

20.29%

NYSE41.85%

Sistel2.11%

Bozano Holdings, Ltd

5.09% BB - Bco de Investimentos S.A.

0.62%Previ12.97%

Cia Bozano5.11%

BNDESPar11.96% BOVESPA

20.29%

Page 5: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

3rd Quarter 2002Financial Results

US GAAP /BR GAAP

Page 6: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

US$ MillionUS GAAP

Net Sales & Gross Margin

581

743

590823

39,3%39,2%38,2%40,3%

0

300

600

900

2Q01 3Q01 2Q02 3Q0230%

40%

50%

R$ MillionBR GAAP

1918 19761971

1556

49,4%

41,8%44,3%45,3%

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

2T01 3T01 2T02 3T020%

15%

30%

45%

60%

Page 7: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

US GAAP

Sales per Segment3Q02

Revenue Breakdown

ERJ 14027%

ERJ 14556%

Defesa7%Corporativo

3%Peças e Serviços

7%

BR GAAP

Sales per Segment3T02

ERJ 14024%

ERJ 14552%

Defesa9%

Corporativo4%

Peças e Serviços

11%

Page 8: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

BR GAAP

Sales per Market3T02 .

Revenue Breakdown

Europa20%

EUA77%

Brasil3%

US GAAP

Sales per Market3Q02

Europa16%

EUA81%

Brasil3%

Page 9: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

US GAAP

US$ Million

EBIT & Margin

1 1 11 7 5 1 1 9

1 8 7

1 9 , 1 %2 0 , 3 %2 3 , 5 %2 2 , 7 %

0

100

200

300

2Q01 3Q01 2Q02 3Q02

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

628

615386

597

20,0%

31,2%31,1%

31,1%

0

200

400

600

800

2T01 3T01 2T02 3T020%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

BR GAAP

R$ Milhões

Page 10: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

EBITDA & Margin

197

125

186

134

21,6%22,7%

25,0%24,0%

0

100

200

300

2Q01 3Q01 2Q02 3Q0210%

20%

30%

US GAAP

US$ Million

676

429659645

33,6% 33,6%

33,4%34,2%

0

200

400

600

800

2T01 3T01 2T02 3T02

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

BR GAAP

R$ Milhões

Page 11: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Net Income & Margin

40,6

93

55 37

7,0%6,2%7,3%

11,3%

0

50

100

150

2Q01 3Q01 2Q02 3Q020,0%

5,0%

10,0%

15,0%

US GAAP

US$ Million

167

253

338

188

17,6%

17,6%12,8%

9,5%

0

100

200

300

400

2T01 3T01 2T02 3T020%

10%

20%

30%

BR GAAP

R$ Milhões

Page 12: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Net Cash (Debt)

US GAAP

US$ Million

733

(22)

39

360

217

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1000

Dec.31,2000

Dec. 31,2001

Mar. 31,2002

June 30,2002

Sep. 30,2002

1.431

(53)

89

1.023846

(400)

0

400

800

1.200

1.600

2.000

2.400

31 Dez.2000

31 Dez.2001

31 Mar.2002

30 Jun.2002

30 Set.2002

BR GAAP

R$ Milhões

Page 13: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

FinancialFinancial

SupportSupport

For SalesFor Sales

Page 14: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Previous Disclosure

• Financial Guarantees, based on the assumptions of EmbraerManagement, did not represent any potential liability, considering:

• the asset value of the aircraft

• the market value of the aircraft

• the credit ratings of the airline companies

• the market conditions

Page 15: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

New Scenario – Post 9/11

• Decrease in the asset value of the aircraft

• Reduction in the market value of the aircraft

• Deterioration of the credit ratings of the airline companies

• More competitive market conditions

Page 16: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

FinancialFinancial

SupportSupport

For SalesFor Sales

Sales FinancingSales Financing

Page 17: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Sales Financing

• Embraer is strongly commited to its customer needs, including the financial needs

• Embraer does not intend to finance sales of new aircraft on a long-term basis

• Contractual obligations and partnership with customers represent a strong commitment

• Financial support for sales plays a fundamental role in the future growth of the Company

Page 18: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

ERJ Financing MethodsERJ Financing MethodsERJ Financing Methods

• Total aircraft delivered: 587 (through Sep/02)• Total amount exported: US$ 9.635 Billion• Total amount financed by BNDES: US$ 5.088 Billion

Market48%

BNDES52%

Page 19: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Straight Financing

30%

Tax Lease56%

Finance Lease

6%

Operating Lease

8%

Total Aircraft Delivered: 587

ERJ Financing MethodsERJ Financing MethodsERJ Financing Methods

Page 20: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Tax Lease

USLL73%

UK Tax Lease

8%

US Single Investor Lease13%

Polish Tax Lease

4%

French Tax Lease

2%

ERJ Financing MethodsERJ Financing MethodsERJ Financing Methods

Page 21: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Diversification of Financing Sources

Alliance Capital Credit Lyonnais JP Morgan ChaseAmerican State Bank Debis Air Finance MetiLife CapitalAmeritech Credit Corp. DVB MitsuiAttransco Eurojet Natexis BankBanco Portugues do Atlantico Fifty Third Bank Nation CityBank First Finova NIBBank of America Fleet Bank Phillip MorrisBarclays Bank GATX Royal Bank of ScotlandBCI - Banca Commerciale Italiana GECAS South TrustBell Atlantic GEFA Gesellschaft (Deutsch Bank) Standard CharteredBerliner Bank Giro Bank Teachers InsuranceBNP Paribas Hallifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS) The Cit GroupBNY Capital Funding HVB TransamericaCitibank ICX Corp. Travellers Insurance Comerica Integra Wachovia BankCoronation Aircraft Leasing Jefferson Pilot Life WestLBCredit Agricole John Hancock Zions Credit Corp

Page 22: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Amount US$ Million

Source: Salomon Smith Barney – review September 13,2002

762 9851.607

2.688

3.720

6.030

7.9548.543

1.4702.092

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2002(*)

EETC – Annual volume of new issues - 1994 ~ 2002EETC EETC –– Annual volume of new issues Annual volume of new issues -- 1994 ~ 20021994 ~ 2002

(*) Included issue based on floating interest realized by Continental and Northwest.

Page 23: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

FinancialFinancial

SupportSupport

For SalesFor Sales

Asset ManagementAsset Management

Page 24: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

EMBRAER Capital - Structure

ECC Leasing Co. Ltd.(Ireland)Leasing

ECC Insurance & Financial Co. Ltd.(Cayman Islands)Captive Insurance

ECC Investiment Switzerland, AG(Switzerland)

Holding

Embraer Spain Holding Co. SL(Spain)Holding

EMBRAER S.A.(Brazil)

Manufacturer

Page 25: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

ECC Leasing Company

ECC Leasing Co. Ltd.(Ireland)Leasing

ECC Insurance & Financial Co. Ltd.(Cayman Islands)Captive Insurance

ECC Investiment Switzerland, AG(Switzerland)

Holding

Embraer Spain Holding Co. SL(Spain)Holding

EMBRAER S.A.(Brazil)

Manufacturer

Mission:• Manage and remarket a portfolio of aircraft thatEmbraer acquires through trade-ins and exercised put options;• Remarketing service provider for third-parties in connection with sales campaign.

ECC Leasing Co. Ltd.(Ireland)Leasing

• Embraer is NOT allowed to lease NEW aircraft without specific Board approval for such transactions;

• Business sense: any transaction has to

accomplish a set of tests and rules, as follows:• Gross margin test;• Net margin test• Cash flow test; and• Title transfer rule.

Page 26: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

ECC Insurance Company

ECC Leasing Co. Ltd.(Ireland)Leasing

ECC Insurance & Financial Co. Ltd.(Cayman Islands)Captive Insurance

ECC Investiment Switzerland, AG(Switzerland)

Holding

Embraer Spain Holding Co. SL(Spain)Holding

EMBRAER S.A.(Brazil)

Manufacturer

Mission:• Assures the payment of contingent losses that Embraermay face related to Embraer’s financial guarantees;

ECC Insurance & Financial Co. Ltd.(Cayman Islands)Captive Insurance

Insurance Outline:• IRB transaction approval:

• $ 252,5 MM premium payments over the next five

years covering all financial guarantees associated with

deliveries within such period

• Regulated by Cayman Islands Monetary Authority

• Initial Capital in Insurance $ 2,6 MM

• Insurance policy issued associated with aircraft

deliveries up to Sep.02:• $ 185,6 MM premium over 5 years, of which• $ 26,3 MM first premium payment for obligations through Sep. 02.• $3.4 MM in IBNR losses• New declarations and endorsements quarterly (new premiums)

Page 27: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Currently Expected Transactions

• Transfer of existing aircraft portfolio held by EFL to ECC Leasing Co. with a book value of US$43 million.

• Repurchase in 2003 of approx. US$50 million in aircraft –10% of total previously disclosed exposure. Based on the Company’s current estimates, no relevant losses or gains are expected to occur with transactions involving these aircraft.

• Future sales will be increasingly subject to trade-in options.

Page 28: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

FinancialFinancial

SupportSupport

For SalesFor Sales

Working CapitalWorking Capital

Page 29: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

US$ MillionUS GAAP

Accounts Receivables

245

175

738

633

183

0

300

600

900

Dec. 31,2000

Dec. 31,2001

Mar. 31,2002

June 30,2002

Sep. 30,2002

Note: Short & Long term, net of allowance.

1053

387

1558

1770

568

0

400

800

1200

1600

2000

2400

31Dez.2000

31 Dez.2001

31 Mar.2002

30 Jun.2002

30 Set.2002

R$ MillionBR GAAP

Page 30: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

US$ MillionUS GAAP

Inventories

603

1.015 995 992 946

0

400

800

1.200

Dec. 31,2000

Dec. 31,2001

Mar. 31,2002

June 30,2002

Sep. 30,2002

1122

2371 2468

2768

2313

0

700

1400

2100

2800

31 Dez. 2000 31 Dez. 2001 31 Mar. 2002 30 Jun. 2002 30 Set. 2002

R$ MillionBR GAAP

Page 31: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Flexibility incorporated into the production line allowed an increase in efficiency and decrease in production lead time

Lead Time in Months

8,0

6,0 6,05,5

4,9 5,0

3,7

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 9M02

Reduced Production Cycle

Page 32: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

HedgingHedging

StrategyStrategy

Page 33: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Main Assumptions

• Firm backlog of US$9.6 billion

• 97% revenues in US$

• 75% of R&D investments in R$

• 32% of total cash disbursements in R$

Main Objective of the Hedging Strategy

Optimize the Natural Hedge of the Cash Flow

Page 34: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

Bank Debt - US$ 542.9 million

September 30, 2002

Loans Breakdown

Debt MaturityCurrency Breakdown

• Considering Currency Swaps• Average R$ debt cost: 15.5% p.a.• Average US$ debt cost: 5.0% p.a.

• Average Maturity: 4 years

Long Term55%

Short Term45%

Mainly US$ denominated

46%R$ denominated

54%

Page 35: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

FX Exposure – US GAAP figures in US$

Total Cash

Total Debt

Net Amount

R$ US$

June Sep

669.2

144.1

525.1

Total

516.9

292.6

224.3

223.1

388.5

(165.4)

243.2

250.3

(7.1)

892.3

532.6

359.7

760.1

542.9

217.2

Considering the Swaps effective as of June and September 2002

58% of net exposure of Cash in R$ as of June 30.

30% of Net Exposure of Cash in R$ as of September 30.

June Sep June Sep

Page 36: Third Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting   Financial Presentation

InvestorRelations

www.embraer.com.brPhone: 55 12 3927 1216

[email protected]