third quarter 2012 earnings call - exxonmobil3q12 financial results achieved strong results while...
TRANSCRIPT
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings CallNovember 1, 2012
David Rosenthal
Vice President Investor Relations & Secretary
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Cautionary StatementForward-Looking Statements. Outlooks, forecasts, estimates, targets, business plans, and other statements of future events or conditions in this presentation or the subsequent discussion period are forward-looking statements. Actual future results, including financial and operating performance; demand growth and mix; ExxonMobil’s production growth and mix; the amount and mix of capital expenditures; future distributions; resource additions and recoveries; finding and development costs; project plans, timing, costs, and capacities; drilling programs; product sales and mix; and the impact of technology could differ materially due to a number of factors. These include changes in oil or gas prices or other market conditions affecting the oil, gas, and petrochemical industries; reservoir performance; the outcome of exploration; timely completion of development projects; war and other political or security disturbances; changes in law or government regulation and outcomes of litigation; the outcome of commercial negotiations; the actions of competitors and customers; unexpected technological developments; the occurrence and duration of economic recessions; unforeseen technical difficulties; and other factors discussed here and under the heading "Factors Affecting Future Results" in the Investors section of our Web site at exxonmobil.com. Completion of pending acquisitions will depend on the terms and timing of government approvals and satisfaction of other conditions precedent contained in the applicable agreements. See also Item 1A of ExxonMobil’s 2011 Form 10-K. Forward-looking statements are based on management’s knowledge and reasonable expectations on the date hereof, and we assume no duty to update these statements as of any future date.
Frequently Used Terms. References to resources, resource base, discovered resources, recoverable resources and similar terms include quantities of oil and gas that are not yet classified as proved reserves under SEC definitions but that we believe will likely be developed and moved into the proved reserves category in the future. For definitions and more information regarding resources, reserves, return on average capital employed, cash flow from operations and asset sales, and other terms used in this presentation, including information required by SEC Regulation G, see the "Frequently Used Terms" posted on the Investors section of our Web site. The Financial and Operating Review on our Web site also shows ExxonMobil's net interest in specific projects.
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Business Environment
Global economic uncertainty continued in the third quarter with further weakness in Europe and Japan
■ U.S. GDP showed marginal improvement
■ China’s growth rate decline moderated versus prior quarters
■ Higher crude oil and U.S. natural gas prices
■ Stronger industry refining margins
■ Europe and Asia chemical margins showed continued weakness
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3Q12 Financial Results
Achieved strong results while investing for the long term
Earnings 9.6
Earnings Per Share – Diluted (dollars) 2.09
Shareholder Distributions 7.6
CAPEX 9.2
Cash Flow from Ops and Asset Sales* 14.0
Cash 13.3
Debt 12.4Billions of dollars unless specified otherwise
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.Note: cash includes restricted cash of $206M.* Includes $0.6B associated with asset sales.
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3Q12 Sources and Uses of Funds
Superior cash generation provides ability to fund robust projects, return cash to shareholders, and maintain financial flexibility
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.Note: beginning and ending balances include restricted cash of $215M and $206M respectively.
Beginning Cash 18.0
Earnings 9.6
Depreciation 4.0
Working Capital / Other (0.2)
Proceeds Associated with Asset Sales 0.6
Additions to PP&E (8.0)
Shareholder Distributions (7.6)
Additional Financing / Investing (3.1)
Ending Cash 13.3Billions of dollars unless specified otherwise
14.0
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Total Earnings – 3Q12 vs. 3Q11
Earnings decreased by $760M, primarily due to lower gains from asset sales and lower upstream volumes partly offset by higher refining margins
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.
3Q11 U/S D/S Chem C&F 3Q12
10,330 (2,421)1,611 (213) 263 9,570
Millions of Dollars
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Total Earnings – 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
Earnings decreased by $6.3B primarily due to lower gains on asset sales
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.
2Q12 U/S D/S Chem C&F 3Q12
15,910 (2,385)
(3,456)
(659) 160 9,570
Millions of Dollars
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Upstream
Major Projects
Advanced global portfolio of high-quality projects
■ Nigeria Satellites Phase 1 project on track for first oil in 4Q 2012
■ Kearl Initial Development phased start-up activities underway
■ PNG construction and Hides drilling progressing
PNG LNG Plant Site
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Upstream
Gulf of Mexico
Advanced opportunities in the Gulf of Mexico
Deepwater Champion – Hadrian 7
■ Drilled two Hadrian North appraisal wells
■ Active Exploration drilling program
Hummer Shallow
Phobos
Thorn
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Upstream
Black Sea
Established a material acreage position in the northern Black Sea
■ Ukraine
Awarded Skifska Block Tender
Negotiating JOA and PSA
■ Romania
Preparing for 3D seismic acquisition in late 2012
Drilling planned for late 2013 -2014
■ Russia
3D seismic processing underway
Drilling planned for 2014 - 2015
Russia
Georgia
Turkey
Bulgaria
Ukraine
Romania
Neptun
Skifska
400km
DominoDiscovery
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Upstream
Russia – Arctic and West Siberia Exploration
Progressed Strategic Cooperation Agreement with Rosneft
■ Kara Sea exploration activities
Completed Kara Sea 3D seismic acquisition
Completed oceanographic study
Drilling planned for 2014-15
Advancing arctic drilling technology
■ West Siberia exploration Work program under
development Drilling planned to begin in 2013
West SiberiaBasin Boundary
Oil Fields
Gas & Oil Fields
Gas Fields
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Upstream
Unconventional Liquids
Continued focus on high-potential, liquids-rich opportunities
■ United States
Bakken – Signed agreement which will increase position to nearly 600,000 net acres
Woodford Ardmore - Advanced infrastructure projects
■ Western Canada
Signed agreement to acquire 649,000 net acres in the Montneyand Duvernay shales
Bakken Drilling Rigs
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Upstream
Earnings – 3Q12 vs. 3Q11
Earnings decreased $2.4B primarily due to lower gains on asset sales and lower volumes
3Q11 Realization Vol/Mix Other 3Q12
8,394 (130) (700)(1,600)
5,973
Millions of Dollars
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.
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Upstream
Volumes – 3Q12 vs. 3Q11
Volumes decreased 7.5%: liquids -133 kbd, natural gas -1,136 mcfd
3Q11 Entitlements Quotas Divestments Net Growth 3Q12
4,282 (144) 9 (62) (125) 3,960
koebd
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Upstream
Earnings – 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
Earnings decreased $2.4B reflecting lower gains on asset sales and lower volumes, partly offset by stronger realizations
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.
2Q12 Realization Vol/Mix Other 3Q12
8,358 340 (540)(2,180)
5,973
Millions of Dollars
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Upstream
Volumes – 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
Volumes decreased 4.6%: liquids -92 kbd, natural gas -600 mcfd
2Q12 Entitlements Quotas Divestments Net Growth 3Q12
4,152 (39) (1) (1) (151) 3,960
koebd
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Upstream
2012 Volumes
■ Operational performance approximately 1% below outlook
■ Higher prices and divestments impacting volumes
■ Fourth quarter volumes supported by seasonal demand, project startups, and completion of scheduled downtime
Volumes (koebd)
4,000
4,100
4,200
4,300
Est.
3QYT
D A
naly
st M
tg.
$111
Bre
nt
3QYT
D A
ctua
l
Year-to-date volumes below outlook
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Downstream
Earnings – 3Q12 vs. 3Q11
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.
3Q11 Margin Vol/Mix Other 3Q12
Millions of Dollars
1,579
850 (20)
780 3,190
Earnings increased $1.6B due to improved margins, gains on assets sales, and forex
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Downstream
Earnings – 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
Earnings decreased $3.5B due to lower gains on asset sales partly offset by improved refining margins
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.
2Q12 Margin Vol/Mix Other 3Q12
Millions of Dollars
6,646650 300 (4,410)
3,190
20
Chemical
Earnings – 3Q12 vs. 3Q11
Earnings decreased $213M primarily due to weaker margins
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.
3Q11 Margin Vol/Mix Other 3Q12
Millions of Dollars
1,003 (150)(10) (50) 790
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Chemical
Earnings – 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
Earnings decreased $659M due to lower gains on asset sales and weaker margins
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.
2Q12 Margin Vol/Mix Other 3Q12
Millions of Dollars
1,449 (90) 20 (590)
790
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Summary
ExxonMobil’s strong financial and operating performance reflects the value of our integrated business model and competitive advantages
Billions 3Q12
Earnings $9.6
Cash Flow from Ops and Asset Sales* $14.0
Capex $9.2
Shareholder Distributions $7.6
Note: earnings exclude special items, if applicable. See IR supplement for Non-GAAP reconciliations.* Includes $0.6B associated with asset sales.
■ ExxonMobil possesses unique competitive advantages that create long-term shareholder value Balanced portfolio
Disciplined investing
High-impact technologies
Operational excellence
Global integration
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