this report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of...

26

Upload: phamhanh

Post on 23-Mar-2018

217 views

Category:

Documents


2 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado
Page 2: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

This report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado. If you would like more

detailed information about the communities listed in this report, please go to our website, www.scan.org. Under the regional data tab are numerous

documents and reports. The consultants and staff on this project include:

Donna K. Graves, Information Services

Laura Lewis Marchino, Region 9 Economic Development District

Cindy Coleman, cover design

Photo Assistance from the Four Corners Film Office

Page 3: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 1 Regional Overview

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update

TABLE OF CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION....................................................................................................................................................................... 1

REGION 9 OVERVIEW .............................................................................................................................................................. 2

ARCHULETA COUNTY .............................................................................................................................................................. 8

DOLORES COUNTY ................................................................................................................................................................ 10

LA PLATA COUNTY ................................................................................................................................................................ 12

MONTEZUMA COUNTY ......................................................................................................................................................... 14

SAN JUAN COUNTY ............................................................................................................................................................... 16

NATIVE AMERICAN TRIBES.................................................................................................................................................... 18

TOP EMPLOYERS ................................................................................................................................................................... 20

GLOSSARY OF KEY TERMS ..................................................................................................................................................... 21

USEFUL CONTACTS................................................................................................................................................................ 23

INTRODUCTION The Region 9 Economic Development District of Southwest Colorado, Inc. began in 1989, with a mission of being a

regional leader, working cooperatively with the private and public sectors to enhance economic conditions, and

improving the region’s economic prosperity. Region 9 covers the counties of Archuleta, Dolores, La Plata, Montezuma

and San Juan as well as the Ute Mountain Ute and Southern Ute Indian Tribes. The Tribes are the only two in Colorado.

They are major economic forces with their diversified tribal enterprises, and provide employment for tribal members as

well as others within the regional community.

Region 9 is a central point for regional socio-economic data to provide citizens and policymakers access to reliable,

unbiased, and timely information. Additional information and a variety of regional data reports can be found on-line at

www.scan.org.

The Region 9 geographic area encompasses 6,584 square miles in the southwest corner of the state, comprising 6.3% of

the total land area in Colorado (104,247 sq. miles). Of the total, 45% are public lands, 38% are private lands and 17%

are tribal lands. Geographically the area is located between the southwestern edge of the Rocky Mountains and the

eastern edge of the Colorado Plateau. Due to the geographic isolation between communities, people in the region

often commute long distances to take advantage of better employment opportunities; shopping, or lower real estate

prices.

This 2015 Report provides a snapshot of demographic and economic information for the region as a whole, and for each

of the individual counties and tribes. Unfortunately, the release of economic information is always about two years

behind the current year, so 2013 is the benchmark year for this report. New to this edition will be a look at

employment and income trends.

Notes on Sources - The Demography Section - Colorado Division of Local Government (CDLG) provided employment and

Total Personal Income (TPI) income estimates using 2013 data from the Colorado Department of Labor (ES202) and

information from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). That data was provided in the framework of the North

American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Unemployment data is drawn from the Colorado Department of

Labor and Employment – Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Program. These data are not seasonally adjusted.

Per Capita Income (PCI) is supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Links to data sources, as well as a Glossary are

included to provide a better understanding of key terms and concepts used in this report.

Page 4: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 2 Regional Overview

REGION 9 OVERVIEW Regional Vision – We strive to encourage economic development that preserves our small-town and traditional heritage,

takes care of our natural resources, and provides opportunities for our children to stay in Southwest Colorado.

Population Trends – A look at the annual average population change for each county gives an idea of growth trends in

Region 9 from 1970 to 2013. The long term declines seen in Dolores and San Juan Counties are due to declines of

mining in those areas, resulting in job and population losses. The population within the five counties of Region 9 grew

at a rate of about 37% from 1990 to 2000, and about 15% between 2000 and 2010 with most of the growth seen in

Archuleta County.

Much of this growth can be attributed to what is being

termed "amenity migration". Some people move here for

economic reasons, such as the availability of jobs. Others cite

quality of life issues, such as clean air and water, and outdoor

recreation opportunities.

Many of these newcomers are retirees or 2nd

home-owners that bring along their pensions and other retirement

benefits. This "new" money impacts the local economy positively as it is spent on new homes and goods and services.

Population declines throughout the region were common during

the recession as people followed jobs. Most of the communities in

the region are starting to see slow growth again as the economy

stabilizes.

Region 9 is forecast to grow at a

higher percentage rate than the

state as a whole.

Housing - Vacancy rates for housing units vary across the region from 13% in Montezuma County, 17% in La Plata

County, 40% in both Archuleta and Dolores Counties, up to 55% in San Juan County. Many of these “vacant” units are

used or intended for use only in certain seasons or for weekends or other occasional use throughout the year. Interval

ownership units, sometimes called shared-ownership or time-sharing condominiums, also are included here.

1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010

Archuleta 3.4% 4.6% 8.5% 2.2%

Dolores 0.1% -0.9% 2.3% 1.3%

La Plata 4.2% 1.9% 3.6% 1.7%

Montezuma 2.7% 1.4% 2.7% 0.8%

San Juan 0.0% -1.1% -2.5% 2.5%

Region 9 3.3% 1.8% 3.7% 1.5%

Source: Colorado State Demography Office

Average Annual % Change

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Region 9 98,018 110,029 123,813 136,498 148,831

Avg. Ann. % Change 2.3% 2.4% 2.0% 1.7%

Colorado 5,439,290 5,924,692 6,429,532 6,915,379 7,352,327

Avg. Ann. % Change 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.2%

Regional Population Forecast

Ann. Avg %

2010 2013 Change 2010-13

Archuleta 12,060 12,168 0.3%

Dolores 2,060 2,012 -0.8%

La Plata 51,411 53,446 1.3%

Montezuma 25,532 25,650 0.2%

San Juan 709 687 -1.0%

Region 9 91,772 93,963 0.8%

State Demographers Office

Page 5: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 3 Regional Overview

Employment Trends – An employment “sector” combines jobs into categories that are alike, and allows us to

measure the relative strength of that industry in the local economy. Using trend analysis we can see how those

industries have grown or declined within a specific timeframe. We selected 2001 to 2013 to illustrate these trends

because employment data was provided in the framework of the North American Industry Classification System

(NAICS).

This chart demonstrates steady job growth until 2007 (2% - 4% per year), when jobs in many sectors began to decline.

Employment reached a regional low of 50,202 jobs in 2010, but appears to be recovering based on 2013 numbers.

Region 9 Employment Trends 2001-2013

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Year

# o

f Jo

bs

Government

Services

Real Estate

Finance & Insurance

Information

Retail Trade

Wholesale Trade

Transportation & Warehousing

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities

Mining

Agriculture

54,26252,080

46,314

In 2013, regional unemployment rates

(7.9%) were higher than the state (7.8%)

and nation (7.4%). However, when we

compare these rates to those of 2010 and

2011 we see a positive trend of substantial

decreases in unemployment rates in all

counties.

Area

Labor

Force Employed Unemployed

Unemployment

Rate

Archuleta 6,120 5,638 482 7.9%

Dolores 1,081 999 82 7.6%

La Plata 30,148 28,486 1,662 5.5%

Montezuma 12,900 11,925 975 7.6%

San Juan 532 494 38 7.1%

Colorado 2,746,210 2,531,096 215,114 7.8%

Labor Force Statistics 2013

Page 6: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 4 Regional Overview

Region 9 employment is affected, both adversely and positively, by the national and international economies in a

variety of sectors, according to Dr. Robert Sonora (Professor of Economics at Fort Lewis College in Durango). The most

obvious is in the energy sector, where natural gas prices have been relatively volatile over the past decade.

Despite continued historically low national mortgage rates, kept in check by increasing national mortgage competition

and low bond rates, mean and median in-town residential housing prices fell -15.61% and -13.71% respectively, from

2006-2010 in many of the Region 9 communities – impacting the construction industry as well as wholesale and retail

trade. This is attributed to what we are calling the Great Recession.

Rising unemployment and falling per capita incomes also resulted in higher than normal foreclosures in the region. In

the 4th

quarter of 2010, Archuleta County had a foreclosure rate of 68% of occupied housing units, followed by San Juan

(37%), Dolores (36%), Montezuma (21%), and La Plata (21%). It is important to note, however, that counties with small

populations are prone to very volatile foreclosure rates as a small rise or fall in the total number of foreclosures can

significantly change the foreclosure rate in terms of a percentage. Foreclosures in rural resort counties also often

reflect 2nd

homes or time shares.

Also, international travel and passenger fares - a measure of foreign visitors - fell about 20% during the Great Recession,

but have been recovering over the past year or so. Given Region 9’s natural beauty; popular tourism attractions such as

Mesa Verde National Park, Durango Mountain Resort, and the Durango & Silverton Narrow Gauge Railroad, the area is

able to attract tourists from around the nation and world. However, while enplanements were up consistently each

year since 2007, visits to Mesa Verde and the Railroad have varied, implying either fewer visitors to the region or

tourists are not visiting these attractions as they have less disposable income. These impacts were felt by service

industries (particularly accommodation and food services) as well as retail trade merchants.

The regional economy is susceptible to volatile global market forces. Political uncertainty and changing weather

patterns have led to a decline in global food supplies, which has been pushing agricultural prices upwards. We should

see global demand for agricultural goods rise and with it a commensurate rise in prices, particularly in developing

countries, according to Dr. Sonora. One effect this could have is strengthening regional agricultural sectors, a trend that

we are already seeing in each of our counties, with the exception of San Juan County whose mountainous terrain is not

particularly suited to crop production.

Considering these data, the employment picture for the region is generally improving, albeit slowly. Post recession, the

region’s economic conditions have stabilized and economic confidence is currently good, as evidenced by a 2% increase

in the number of jobs since 2010.

These trends underscore the need for economic diversification and cooperation across the region. In rural

communities, survival can depend on neighboring communities collaborating to define an area large enough to provide

jobs and cost- effective goods and services. The National Association of Development Organizations (NADO) has

observed that:

“It is becoming increasingly apparent that regional economic prosperity is linked to an area’s ability to prevent,

withstand, and quickly recover from major disruptions (i.e., ‘shocks’) to its underlying economic base. Resilience,

the ability to anticipate risk, limit impact and ‘bounce back’ in the face of difficult economic challenges is often a

key differentiator in determining the long-term economic viability of a particular location.”

The region’s economic priorities in Colorado’s economic development include: the expansion of broadband /fiber optics

infrastructure; the improvement of community amenities necessary to attract, retain and grow business; being business

friendly; diversifying the economy; and encouraging the retention and growth of area businesses. More information is

available at www.advancecolorado.com/blueprint.

Page 7: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 5 Regional Overview

Income Trends – Total Personal Income (TPI) is another important tool to understand our local economy. Total

personal income is divided into four main components.

Transfer payments consist primarily of retirement and disability benefit payments, medical payments (i.e.

Medicare and Medicaid), income maintenance benefits, unemployment insurance, veteran’s benefits and

payments to nonprofit institutions.

Dividend income is income that is paid in cash or other assets to stockholders by corporations in the U.S. or

abroad. Interest income consists of monies received from money market mutual funds and interest from other

sources. Rental income consists of income from the rental of real property, the net income of owner -

occupants of non-farm dwellings, and the royalties received from patents, copyrights, and from the rights to

natural resources.

Residency adjustments are made when a person receives income for work performed and paid for from outside

their place of residency, (i.e. commuters). Negative numbers mean that more people were coming into the

county for work than were commuting out.

Earned income is derived by place of work, including farm and non-farm earnings (minus social security

contributions).

This chart allows us to see how the components of Total Personal Income have changed over the long term. Generally,

we see a trend of decreasing employment income, and increasing income from dividends, interest and rent. Transfer

payments seem to be shrinking, though this trend might see a reversal as baby boomers retire and start receiving

retirement benefits.

Region 9 - Total Personal Income Trends 1970 - 2013

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2013

Transfer Payments

Dividends,Interest & Rent

Residency Adjustment

Earned Income

Page 8: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 6 Regional Overview

Income comes from a variety of sources. For example, payments

to retirees (60+) accounted for about $653 million (17%) of the

estimated TPI in the region in 2013.

The five counties in southwest

Colorado vary in their composition.

Most income is job based

(employment), though significant

amounts of income enter our

economy from other sources, such

as transfer payments and dividends,

interest and rents.

Per Capita Income (PCI) – All income in a region is added together

(TPI), and then divided by the number of residents. PCI in most of our

counties, with the exception of La Plata, are still not on a par with state

and national incomes.

Employment Sectors – In 2013 the service

sector provided the highest percentage of jobs

(40%) and job income (32%) in the region. These

services jobs include highly paid professionals as

well as lower paying unskilled labor.

Government sector jobs are also important in

the regional economy, providing 18% of jobs and

22% of job income.

Employment Residency Div., Int Transfer Total 60+

Income Adjustment & Rent Payments ($000) Share

Archuleta 51% 3% 33% 13% 409,220$ 22%

Dolores 44% 19% 25% 15% 59,420$ 19%

La Plata 68% 0% 6% 6% 2,534,129$ 15%

Montezuma 52% 11% 24% 12% 893,922$ 17%

San Juan 46% 11% 33% 10% 23,460$ 20%

Region 9 62% 3% 26% 8% 3,920,151$ 17%

2013 Total Personal Income

% of

Total

Employment Earnings 2,443,845$ 62%

Residency Adjustment 118,087$ 3%

Dividends, Interest & Rent 1,031,052$ 26%

Transfer Payments 327,167$ 8%

Estimated TPI 3,920,151$ 100%

Region 9

2013 Total Personal Income ($000)

PCI 2013 % of USA

USA 44,765$ 100%

Colorado 46,897$ 105%

Archuleta 35,263$ 79%

Dolores 32,107$ 72%

La Plata 46,633$ 104%

Montezuma 36,524$ 82%

San Juan 34,922$ 78%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Per Capita Income Comparison

Region 9 # of % of Income % of

2013 Total Employment Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc.

Agriculture 2,278 4% 16,396$ 1%

Mining & Utilities 1,297 2% 222,459$ 9%

Construction 5,054 10% 276,597$ 11%

Manufacturing 1,231 2% 51,163$ 2%

Transportation & Warehousing 963 2% 74,032$ 3%

Trade 6,712 13% 131,326$ 5%

Information 662 1% 163,000$ 7%

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 3,496 7% 190,332$ 8%

Services 20,772 40% 790,974$ 32%

Government 9,615 18% 527,566$ 22%

Total 52,080 100% 2,443,845$ 100%

Page 9: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 7 Regional Overview

Base Analysis – Base analysis distinguishes

which industries are responsible for overall

growth and change. Base industries produce

exports or derive their sales or income directly

from outside sources, or indirectly by providing

supplies to export industries. These activities

bring in outside dollars to circulate within the

local economy. These are the industries that

benefit communities the most. See the Glossary

for a more complete explanation of base

analysis.

For example, to provide a more accurate picture of the agricultural sector we can link agricultural production to other

segments of the economy that directly and indirectly support agriculture. This cluster of industries is known as

agribusiness, and includes services such as processing food products, trucking, storage, sales of farm equipment and

supplies; as well as impacts on credit institutions and commodity brokers. Tourism is another good example because it

generates jobs in a range of industries including accommodations, food services, admissions, transportation and

shopping. Regional services include hospitals, airports or regional construction industries that build highways or other

infrastructure. Another base industry is created by households that spend money earned elsewhere. For example, a

retiree whose income comes from outside of the county is supporting many traditional local resident services jobs.

Some jobs cannot be directly assigned to these categories, but do support the base industries, these are designated as

indirect unassigned jobs.

Agriculture related services and forestry remain significant sources of employment for certain parts of the region,

especially Dolores and Montezuma Counties, yet provide relatively little employment income. The Archuleta, La Plata

and San Juan County economies are based primarily on tourism.

Retail Sales – Retail trade sectors are another measure of economic health. Analyses have been prepared by Region 9

in 2006, and again in 2012, that measure how each community’s retail sales compare to other towns of similar size

across the state. Silverton, Pagosa Springs, Durango and Cortez compared positively to other communities their size.

These reports provide information on whether there is a sales surplus, demonstrating which communities are drawing

in shoppers from outside the region; or leakages, identifying what goods are being purchased outside the region. An

update to these reports is planned for 2015, when data becomes available from the Colorado Department of Revenue.

Region 9 # of % of Income % of

2013 Base Industries Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc.

Agribusiness 3,131 8% 54,785$ 4%

Mining 1,121 3% 182,579$ 13%

Manufacturing 574 2% 18,777$ 1%

Government 3,044 8% 160,640$ 11%

Regional Services 6,033 16% 268,821$ 19%

Tourism 8,767 23% 234,032$ 16%

Households 9,673 26% 271,748$ 19%

Indirect Unassigned 5,507 15% 243,607$ 17%

Total 37,850 100% 1,434,989$ 100%

2013 Archuleta Dolores La Plata Montezuma San Juan Region 9

Agribusiness 9% 25% 7% 10% 0% 8%

Mining 1% 0% 4% 3% 0% 3%

Manufacturing 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2%

Government 3% 5% 10% 6% 3% 8%

Regional Services 9% 17% 16% 19% 7% 16%

Tourism 29% 5% 26% 14% 47% 23%

Households 32% 39% 19% 37% 35% 26%

Indirect Unassigned 15% 9% 17% 9% 6% 15%

Total # jobs 4,562 847 22,844 9,275 322 37,850

Region 9 - Percentage of Jobs in Base Industries

Page 10: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 8 Archuleta County

ARCHULETA COUNTY

Population – From 1990 to 2000, the population of Archuleta County grew by 8.5% annually, and was ranked 5th

of 64

Colorado counties (14th

nationwide) for rate of growth. Since 2010, the estimated rate of growth has slowed down to

about 0.3% annually.

The majority of the county's population is concentrated within the

Town of Pagosa Springs and its surrounding subdivisions. These

population figures do not reflect the large number of seasonal

visitors, many of whom own 2nd

homes in the area.

The population is expected to grow

at a rate comparable to the rest of

the region through 2035.

Economic Trends – Archuleta County developed as a result of a unique combination of natural resources and natural

attributes (i.e. geothermal hot springs located in Pagosa Springs). Initially these resources were "traditional west"

commodities such as timber, cattle and minerals. In 1970, manufacturing (primarily wood products) provided 30% of

the county's total work income and generated $7.4 million in earnings. Over the next 20 years manufacturing wages

decreased. The decline of the timber industry in the late 1970's played a large role in this decrease. The 1980's were a

time of relative stability in terms of population and economy, reflecting the "flat" state and national economies.

Primarily, people moving in for quality of life issues or "amenity migration" drove population growth in the 1990s, and

2nd

home ownership became an economic driver. Since that time, Archuleta County has been in transition from a

traditional rural community to a more urban environment in which tourism is the number one industry. The

designation of the Chimney Rock Archeological Area as a National Monument in 2012 is expected to increase the

number of visitors to the area, based on patterns seen at other National Monument sites throughout the west.

Employment and Income – This

table includes wage earners as well

as proprietors (owners). About 63%

of total employment is by wage

earners, while 37% is through

proprietors.

In 2013, county unemployment rates

(7.9%) were higher than the state

(7.8%) and nation (7.4%). The

estimated civilian labor force was

6,120 in 2013. This is down from

6,215 in 2012 (-1.5%).

The service sector employs about

43% of workers in the county, and

represents 36% of the earnings. The

service sector is composed of many

types of jobs, and very different

wage scales. These include highly

paid professionals, as well as entry

level wage earners.

Archuleta 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Population 12,526 13,851 16,029 18,476 20,789

Avg. Ann. % Change 2.0% 3.0% 2.9% 2.4%

Population Forecasts

Archuleta County # of % of Income % of Avg. annual

2013 Service Sectors Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc. wage

Professional,Scientific,Technical 614 24% 21,881$ 29% 35,637$

Education,Health,Social Assistance 414 16% 12,468$ 17% 30,116$

Arts,Entertainment,Recreation 155 6% 2,126$ 3% 13,716$

Accomodation,Food Service 761 30% 19,087$ 26% 25,081$

Other Services 570 23% 18,931$ 25% 33,212$

Total 2,514 100% 74,493$ 100% 29,631$

Ann. Avg %

2010 2013 Change 2010-13

Archuleta 12,060 12,168 0.3%

Pagosa Springs 1,722 1,732 0.2%

Unincorporated 10,338 10,436 0.3%

Archuleta County # of % of Income % of Avg. ann.

2013 Total Employment Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc. wage

Agriculture 336 6% 39$ *

Mining & Utilities 80 1% 5,676$ 3% 70,950$

Construction 666 11% 23,138$ 11% 34,742$

Manufacturing 109 2% 3,148$ 2% 28,881$

Transportation & Warehousing 40 1% 1,415$ 1% 35,375$

Wholesale & Retail Trade 750 13% 36,616$ 18% 48,821$

Information 78 1% 2,740$ 1% 35,128$

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 509 9% 20,126$ 10% 39,540$

Services 2,514 43% 74,492$ 36% 29,631$

Government 751 13% 40,069$ 19% 53,354$

Total 5,833 100% 207,459$ 100%

*Agricultural income reflects net losses from livestock and crop production.

Page 11: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 9 Archuleta County

The U.S. Census Bureau estimates that in 2011 there were 1,496 wage and salary workers commuting out of the county

for work, primarily to La Plata County (13%) and San Juan County, New Mexico (3%). In contrast, 917 people were

commuting in for work, primarily from La Plata County (6.5%) and Rio Grande County on the east side of Wolf Creek

Pass (2.0%). These estimates only reflect those jobs covered by unemployment insurance.

Base Analysis – Base analysis distinguishes which industries

are responsible for overall growth and change. Base industries

produce exports or derive their sales or income directly from

outside sources, or indirectly by providing supplies to export

industries. These activities bring in outside dollars to circulate

within the local economy. In Archuleta the largest base

employment industries are tourism and households that spend

money earned elsewhere (i.e. 2nd

home owners and retirees).

Total Personal Income (TPI) –TPI is the sum of all income paid

to residents of Archuleta County from various sources. Retirees

brought in $91.7 million (22%) of TPI through transfer payments

and dividends, interest and rent.

Per Capita Income (PCI) – Archuleta County PCI is 79% of the National PCI

and 75% of Colorado’s PCI.

Livable Wages – In 2013 a minimum of $11.67/hr provided a livable wage in Pagosa Springs, if you were a single

person renting a one-bedroom apartment. A full report is available at www.scan.org under regional data.

Education – According to the 2013 one-year District performance report, Archuleta County 50 JT is accredited with an

improvement plan. Performance indicator ratings are approaching academic achievement, academic growth and

academic growth gaps, and meets postsecondary and workforce readiness. View full District report at

http://www.schoolview.org/performance.asp.

Housing – According to the State Demographer’s office, in 2013 there were 8,863 total housing units. Of these, 60%

were occupied and 40% were vacant. The vacancy rate probably reflects the high number of 2nd

homes in the area.

Enterprise Zones – All of Archuleta County is a designated Enterprise Zone, with the exception of the Southern Ute

Reservation lands, which have been excluded following the wishes of the Southern Ute Tribal government. Archuleta

County lost Enhanced Enterprise Zone status based on employment and income criteria in 2015.

More detailed information regarding Archuleta County can be accessed at www.scan.org under regional data.

Archuleta # of % of Income % of

2013 Base Industries Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc.

Agribusiness 418 9% 2,422$ 2%

Mining 39 1% 1,596$ 1%

Manufacturing 35 1% 989$ 1%

Government 123 3% 6,271$ 5%

Regional Services 432 9% 15,413$ 12%

Tourism 1,339 29% 35,152$ 28%

Households 1,480 32% 39,394$ 31%

Indirect Unassigned 696 15% 25,872$ 20%

Total 4,562 100% 127,109$ 100%

% of

Total

Employment Earnings 207,459$ 51%

Residency Adjustment 11,410$ 3%

Dividends, Interest & Rent 135,891$ 33%

Transfer Payments 54,460$ 13%

Estimated TPI 409,220$ 100%

2013 Total Personal Income ($000)

Archuleta

PCI 2013 % of USA

USA 44,765$ 100%

Colorado 46,897$ 105%

Archuleta 35,263$ 79%

Per Capita Income 2013

Page 12: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 10 Dolores County

DOLORES COUNTY

Population – From 1990 to 2000, the population of Dolores County grew by 2.3% annually. The population is

dispersed within two topographically distinct areas. Dove Creek, the county seat, is primarily within an agricultural area

located on the west-side of the county. From 2000 to 2010 Dove Creek averaged 0.5% annual growth. Since 2010, the

estimated rate of growth has declined to about -0.8% annually.

Rico, located on the east-side of the county, averaged 2.9%

annual growth from 2000 to 2010. Since 2010, the estimated rate

of growth has declined to about -0.6% annually. Unincorporated

areas, particularly around Cahone, have also seen declines.

County-wide, slow to moderate growth is forecast for

the next several decades.

Economic Trends – Historically the agricultural sector provided the greatest number of jobs in Dolores County, and was

built upon the production of dry land crops. Production crops still focus on wheat, pinto beans, alfalfa and the relative

newcomers sunflowers and safflowers. The latter two crops were a direct result of the Oil Crush Plant built in Dove

Creek in 2008, but the plant is no longer operating. Most recently, the expansion of Kinder-Morgan helium facilities are

expected to add to the population and economic base of the area. Historically, the mountainous (eastern) part of

Dolores County (the Rico area) supplied a number of small saw mills and was the site of gold, silver, copper, lead, zinc

and molybdenum mining in the Rico area. Access to scenic public lands in the county provide recreational

opportunities, however, the tourist base is served primarily by businesses outside of the county. The Rico area does

contain geothermal resources, which are currently being explored for potential uses.

Employment and Income – About

67% of total employment is by wage

earners, while 33% is through

proprietors. Dolores County generally

follows statewide and national trends

with regard to unemployment rates.

In 2013, county rates (7.9%) were

higher than the state (7.8%) and

nation (7.4%). The estimated civilian

labor force was 1,081 in 2013.

The service sector employs

about 18% of workers in the

county, and represents 16% of

the earnings. The service sector

is composed of many types of

jobs, and very different wage

scales. These include highly paid

professionals, as well as entry

level wage earners.

Dolores 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Population 2,085 2,263 2,481 2,702 2,947

Avg. Ann. % Change 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 1.8%

Population Forecasts

Dolores County # of % of Income % of Avg. annual

2013 Service Sectors Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc. wage

Professional,Scientific,Technical 40 26% 731$ 17% 18,275$

Education,Health,Social Assistance 8 5% 485$ 12% 60,625$

Arts,Entertainment,Recreation 3 2% 3$ 0% 1,000$

Accomodation,Food Service 46 30% 1,765$ 42% 38,370$

Other Services 54 36% 1,228$ 29% 22,741$

Total 151 100% 4,212$ 100% 27,894$

Ann. Avg %

2010 2013 Change 2010-13

Dolores 2,060 2,012 -0.8%

Dove Creek 734 716 -0.8%

Rico 264 259 -0.6%

Unincorporated 1,062 1,037 -0.8%

Dolores County # of % of Income % of Avg ann.

2013 Total Employment Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc. wage

Agriculture 187 23% 1,916$ 7% *

Mining & Utilities 10 1% 839$ 3% 83,900$

Construction 144 18% 6,245$ 24% 43,368$

Manufacturing 7 1% 363$ 1% 51,857$

Transportation & Warehousing 16 2% 749$ 3% 46,813$

Wholesale & Retail Trade 74 9% 3,015$ 12% 40,743$

Information 1 0% 85$ 0% 85,000$

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 15 2% 422$ 2% 28,133$

Services 150 18% 4,212$ 16% 28,080$

Government 213 26% 8,112$ 31% 38,085$

Total 817 100% 25,958$ 100%

*Agricultural income reflects net losses from livestock and crop production.

Page 13: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 11 Dolores County

The U.S. Census Bureau estimates that in 2011 there were 383 wage and salary workers commuting out of the county

for work, primarily to Montezuma County (21%) and San Juan County, UT (5%). In contrast 175 people were commuting

in for work, primarily from San Juan County, NM (30%) and San Miguel County (3%). These estimates only reflect those

jobs covered by unemployment insurance.

Base Analysis – Base analysis distinguishes which industries are

responsible for overall growth and change. Base industries

produce exports or derive their sales or income directly from

outside sources, or indirectly by providing supplies to export

industries. These activities bring in outside dollars to circulate

within the local economy. In Dolores the largest base employment

industries are agribusiness and households (such as retirees) that

spend money earned elsewhere.

Total Personal Income (TPI) – TPI is the sum of all income paid

to residents of Dolores County from various sources. Retirees

brought in more than $11.3 million (19%) of TPI through transfer

payments and dividends, interest and rent.

Per Capita Income (PCI) – Dolores County PCI is 72% of the National PCI and

68% of Colorado’s PCI.

Livable Wages – In 2013 a minimum of $12.11/hr provided a livable wage in Dove Creek, and $12.11/hr in Rico, if you

were a single person renting a one-bedroom apartment. A full report is available at www.scan.org under regional data.

Education – According to the 2013 one-year District performance reports Dolores County RE No. 2 is accredited with

improvement plan. Performance indicator ratings are approaching academic growth and academic growth gaps; meets

postsecondary and workforce readiness, but does not meet academic achievement ratings. View full District report at

http://www.schoolview.org/performance.asp.

Housing – According to the State Demographer’s office, in 2013 there were 1,469 total housing units. Of these 60%

were occupied and 40% were vacant.

Enterprise Zones – All of Dolores County is a designated Enterprise Zone, and is currently listed as an Enhanced

Enterprise Zone based on employment and income criteria through 2016. The Enterprise Zone boundaries are due to

be re- evaluated by 2016 as well.

More detailed information regarding Dolores County can be accessed at www.scan.org under regional data.

Dolores # of % of Income % of

2013 Base Industries Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc.

Agribusiness 209 25% 3,211$ 18%

Mining 4 0% 490$ 3%

Manufacturing 7 1% 254$ 1%

Government 39 5% 1,499$ 8%

Regional Services 141 17% 5,419$ 30%

Tourism 46 5% 1,513$ 8%

Households 328 39% 4,198$ 23%

Indirect Unassigned 73 9% 1,591$ 9%

Total 847 100% 18,175$ 100%

% of

Total

Employment Earnings 25,958$ 44%

Residency Adjustment 9,814$ 17%

Dividends, Interest & Rent 14,999$ 25%

Transfer Payments 8,649$ 15%

Estimated TPI 59,420$ 100%

Dolores

2013 Total Personal Income ($000)

PCI 2013 % of USA

USA 44,765$ 100%

Colorado 46,897$ 105%

Dolores 32,107$ 72%

Per Capita Income 2013

Page 14: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 12 La Plata County

LA PLATA COUNTY

Population – Between 2000 and 2010, La Plata County grew from 43,941 to 51,335 people (17%) with most of the

growth occurring in Bayfield and Durango. Ignacio saw slower growth, as did unincorporated areas of the county.

These population figures, however, do not reflect the large number of seasonal visitors, many of whom own 2nd

homes

in the county.

In 2013 the population was estimated to be 53,446, a 1.3%

increase from 2010.

The population is expected to grow at a moderate

rate through 2035.

Economic Trends – Historically, La Plata County developed as a result of "traditional west" commodities such as

minerals, cattle and timber. Since the 1970's La Plata County has been in transition from a traditional rural county to a

more urban environment in which tourism is the number one industry. People moving in for quality of life issues or

"amenity migration" drove population growth in the 1990's, a trend still seen today. Because of its location within the

larger region, Durango is now a tourist crossroads and regional trade center, as well as being the county seat.

Bayfield has served as a supply town and social center for area farmers and ranchers, and more recently as a bedroom

community for Durango. Ignacio is a crossroads for the oil and gas industry, and serves as a supply center for the

surrounding Indian reservation. The Southern Ute Indian Tribal headquarters is located just north of Ignacio and

provides administration and numerous services to tribal members. More information is provided on page 21.

Employment and Income – This

table includes wage earners as well

as proprietors (owners). About 80%

of total employment is by wage

earners, while 20% is through

proprietors. La Plata County

generally follows statewide and

national trends with regard to

unemployment rates. In 2013,

county rates (5.5%) were lower than

the state (7.8%) and nation (7.4%).

The estimated civilian labor force

was 30,148 in 2013.

The service sector employs about

41% of workers in the county, and

represents 33% of the earnings. The

service sector is composed of many

types of jobs, and very different

wage scales. Many of the service

jobs in La Plata County are technical,

educational or in health services.

La Plata 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Population 55,920 63,480 71,627 78,487 85,261

Avg. Ann. % Change 2.6% 2.3% 1.9% 1.7%

Population Forecasts

La Plata County # of % of Income % of Avg. annual

2013 Service Sectors Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc. wage

Professional, Scientific, Technical 3,278 24% 176,221$ 31% 53,759$

Education, Health, Social Assistance 3,943 29% 219,270$ 39% 55,610$

Arts, Entertainment, Recreation 1,167 9% 28,014$ 5% 24,005$

Accomodation, Food Service 3,321 25% 80,917$ 14% 24,365$

Other Services 1,693 13% 61,466$ 11% 30,812$

Total 13,402 100% 565,888$ 100% 42,224$

Ann. Avg %

2010 2013 Change 2010-13

La Plata 51,441 53,446 1.3%

Bayfield 2,357 2,493 1.9%

Durango 16,901 17,689 1.5%

Ignacio 699 711 0.6%

Unincorporated 31,484 32,553 1.1%

La Plata County # of % of Income % of Avg ann.

2013 Total Employment Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc. wage

Agriculture 957 3% 5,515$ 0.3% *

Mining & Utilities 871 3% 186,485$ 11% 214,104$

Construction 3,407 10% 205,692$ 12% 60,373$

Manufacturing 721 2% 30,563$ 2% 42,390$

Transportation & Warehousing 695 2% 60,900$ 4% 87,626$

Wholesale & Retail Trade 4,115 13% 156,668$ 9% 38,072$

Information 489 1% 25,191$ 1% 51,515$

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 2,416 7% 152,591$ 9% 63,159$

Services 13,400 41% 565,888$ 33% 42,230$

Government 5,722 17% 340,842$ 20% 59,567$

Total 32,793 100% 1,730,335$ 100%

*Agricultural income reflects net losses from livestock and crop production.

Page 15: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 13 La Plata County

The U.S. Census Bureau estimates that in 2011 there were 4,622 wage and salary workers commuting out of the county

for work, primarily to San Juan County, NM (5%), and to Montezuma County (2%). In contrast, 6,429 people were

commuting in for work, primarily from San Juan County, NM (5%) and Montezuma County (4%). These estimates only

reflect those jobs covered by unemployment insurance.

Base Analysis – Base analysis distinguishes which industries

are responsible for overall growth and change. Base industries

produce exports or derive their sales or income directly from

outside sources, or indirectly by providing supplies to export

industries. These activities bring in outside dollars to circulate

within the local economy. In La Plata the largest base

employment industry is tourism.

Total Personal Income (TPI) – TPI is the sum of all income

paid to residents of La Plata County from various sources.

Retirees brought in $390.5 million (15%) of TPI through transfer

payments and dividends, interest and rent. A negative residency

adjustment means that more people are commuting into the

county for employment than are commuting out.

Per Capita Income (PCI) – La Plata County PCI is 104% of the National PCI

and 99% of Colorado’s PCI.

Livable Wages – In 2013 a minimum of $11.96/hr provided a livable wage in Bayfield, $12.10/hr in Durango, and

$12.68/hr in Ignacio, if you were a single person renting a one-bedroom apartment. A full report is available at

www.scan.org under regional data.

Education – According to the 2013 one-year District performance reports Bayfield 10 JT- R is accredited, meets

academic growth and academic achievement, is approaching academic growth gaps, and exceeds postsecondary and

workforce readiness. Durango 9R is accredited, meets academic growth, academic achievement and postsecondary and

workforce readiness, and is approaching academic growth gaps. Ignacio 11 JT is accredited with priority improvement

plan. It is approaching academic achievement, academic growth, academic growth gaps, and postsecondary and

workforce readiness. View full reports on all three districts at http://www.schoolview.org/performance.asp.

Housing – According to the State Demographer’s office, in 2013 there were 26,455 total housing units. Of these, 83%

were occupied and 17% were vacant.

Enterprise Zones – Agricultural parcels, as well as some census tracts, within the county have been designated as

Enterprise Zones. The Southern Ute Reservation lands have been excluded following the wishes of the Southern Ute

Tribal government. The Enterprise Zone boundaries are due to be re- evaluated by 2016.

More detailed information regarding La Plata County can be accessed at www.scan.org under regional data.

La Plata # of % of Income % of

2013 Base Industries Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc.

Agribusiness 1,572 7% 33,947$ 3%

Mining 846 4% 163,257$ 16%

Manufacturing 257 1% 8,526$ 1%

Government 2,355 10% 122,270$ 12%

Regional Services 3,651 16% 186,444$ 19%

Tourism 5,918 26% 165,552$ 17%

Households 4,340 19% 126,355$ 13%

Indirect Unassigned 3,905 17% 184,404$ 19%

Total 22,844 100% 990,755$ 100%

% of

Total

Employment Earnings 1,730,335$ 68%

Residency Adjustment (6,539)$ 0%

Dividends, Interest & Rent 654,288$ 26%

Transfer Payments 156,045$ 6%

Estimated TPI 2,534,129$ 100%

La Plata

2013 Total Personal Income ($000)

PCI 2013 % of USA

USA 44,765$ 100%

Colorado 46,897$ 105%

La Plata 46,633$ 104%

Per Capita Income 2013

Page 16: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 14 Montezuma County

MONTEZUMA COUNTY

Population – Between 2000 and 2010, Montezuma County grew from 23,830 to 25,535 people (7.2%) with most of the

growth occurring in Mancos.

Unincorporated areas of the county include the Ute Mountain Ute

Indian Tribe, headquartered in Towaoc, which is located 12 miles

southwest of Cortez. More information about the Ute Mountain

Ute Tribe is provided on page 21 of this report. Just across the

borders of Utah, New Mexico and Arizona is the Navajo Nation.

These two tribes have significant cultural and economic impacts

on Montezuma County.

In 2013 the Montezuma population is estimated to

be 25,650, a 0.2% increase from 2010. The

population is expected to grow at a moderate rate

through 2035.

Economic Trends – Historically, Montezuma County developed as a result of providing mining towns in the San Juan

Mountains with supplies. The extensive timber resources in the Dolores area were harvested to supply mine timbers

and building lumber. The Town of Mancos built up around cattle raised to feed the mining communities. The lower

elevations of the Montezuma Valley supplied agricultural products, with the City of Cortez developing as a center due to

the creation of the Montezuma Valley Irrigation Company. By the turn of the 20th century the mining boom had played

out and the remaining settlers turned to subsistence agriculture and the export of agricultural and timber products. In

the 1980’s, the construction of McPhee Reservoir (the Dolores Project) and its extensive irrigation systems allowed

increased agricultural production and enhanced recreational opportunities for locals and tourists. Most recently, the

expansion of Kinder-Morgan natural gas facilities is adding to the population and economic base of the area.

Employment and Income – About

78% of total employment is by wage

earners, while 22% is through

proprietors. In 2013, county rates

(7.6%) were lower than state (7.8%)

and higher than national (7.4%). The

estimated labor force was 12,900 in

2013.

The service sector employs about

37% of workers in the county, and

represents 30% of the earnings.

Many of the service jobs in

Montezuma County support

education, health and social

assistance.

SDO Estimate Ann. Avg %

2010 2013 Change 2010-13

Montezuma 25,532 25,650 0.2%

Cortez 8,481 8,551 0.3%

Dolores 936 939 0.1%

Mancos 1,336 1,361 0.6%

Unincorporated 14,779 14,799 0.0%

State Demographers Office (SDO)

Montezuma 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Population 26,785 29,707 32,927 36,080 39,069

Avg. Ann. % Change 2.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.6%

Population Forecasts

Montezuma County # of % of Income % of Avg. annual

2013 Service Sectors Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc. wage

Professional,Scientific,Technical 854 19% 27,412$ 19% 32,098$

Education,Health,Social Assistance 1,800 40% 66,044$ 46% 36,691$

Arts,Entertainment,Recreation 138 3% 1,531$ 1% 11,094$

Accomodation,Food Service 1,029 23% 21,709$ 15% 21,097$

Other Services 715 16% 25,752$ 18% 36,017$

Total 4,536 100% 142,448$ 100% 31,404$

Montezuma County # of % of Income % of Avg ann.

2013 Total Employment Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc. wage

Agriculture 798 6% 8,926$ 2% *

Mining & Utilities 336 3% 29,459$ 6% 87,676$

Construction 809 7% 40,682$ 9% 50,287$

Manufacturing 387 3% 16,796$ 4% 43,401$

Transportation & Warehousing 212 2% 10,964$ 2% 51,717$

Wholesale & Retail Trade 1,719 14% 64,808$ 14% 37,701$

Information 94 1% 3,470$ 0.7% 36,915$

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 540 4% 16,963$ 4% 31,413$

Services 4,536 37% 142,448$ 30% 31,404$

Government 2,851 23% 134,678$ 29% 47,239$

Total 12,282 100% 469,194$ 100%

*Agricultural income reflects net losses from livestock and crop production

Page 17: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 15 Montezuma County

The U.S. Census Bureau estimates that in 2011 there were 3,485 wage and salary workers commuting out of the county

for work, with the greatest number of workers going to La Plata County (10%) and San Juan County, NM (5%). There

were 2,457 people commuting in to the county for work – primarily from San Juan County, NM (7%) and La Plata County

(5%). These estimates only reflect those jobs covered by unemployment insurance.

Base Analysis – Base analysis distinguishes which industries

are responsible for overall growth and change. Base industries

produce exports or derive their sales or income directly from

outside sources, or indirectly by providing supplies to export

industries. These activities bring in outside dollars to circulate

within the local economy. In Montezuma the largest base

employment industry are households that spend money

earned elsewhere. Montezuma County has the highest

percentage of Regional Services jobs (i.e. construction) of

anywhere in the region.

Total Personal Income (TPI) – TPI is the sum of all income

paid to residents of Montezuma County from various sources.

Retirees brought in $109.6 million (16%) of TPI through transfer

payments and dividends, interest and rent.

Per Capita Income (PCI) – Montezuma County PCI is 82% of National PCI

and 78% of Colorado’s PCI.

Livable Wages – In 2013 a minimum of $10.66/hr provided a livable wage in Cortez, $11.52/hr in Dolores, and

$11.40/hr in Mancos, if you were a single person renting a one-bedroom apartment. A full report is available at

www.scan.org under regional data.

Education – According to the 2013 one-year District performance reports Cortez RE-1 is accredited with a priority

improvement plan. It is approaching academic growth, academic growth gaps, and postsecondary and workforce

readiness. It does not meet academic achievement standards. Mancos RE-6 is accredited, meets academic

achievement, is approaching academic growth and academic growth gaps, and exceeds postsecondary and workforce

readiness. Dolores RE-4A is accredited, meets academic achievement, is approaching academic growth and academic

growth gaps, and meets postsecondary and workforce readiness. View full reports on all three districts at

http://www.schoolview.org/performance.asp.

Housing – According to the State Demographer’s office in 2013 there were 12,133 total housing units. Of these, 87%

were occupied and 13% were vacant. This is the lowest vacancy rate of all counties in the region.

Enterprise Zones – All of Montezuma County has been designated as an Enterprise Zone with the exception of the Ute

Mountain Sacred Area, following the wishes of the Ute Mountain Ute Tribal government. The Enterprise Zone

boundaries are due to be re- evaluated for 2016.

More detailed information regarding Montezuma County can be accessed at www.scan.org under regional data.

Montezuma # of % of Income % of

2013 Base Industries Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc.

Agribusiness 932 10% 15,199$ 1%

Mining 232 3% 17,236$ 1%

Manufacturing 268 3% 8,773$ 0%

Government 516 6% 29,976$ 2%

Regional Services 1,785 19% 60,951$ 5%

Tourism 1,314 14% 28,339$ 12%

Households 3,413 37% 99,534$ 14%

Indirect Unassigned 815 9% 31,475$ 9%

Total 9,275 100% 291,483$ 44%

% of

Total

Employment Earnings 469,194$ 52%

Residency Adjustment 100,933$ 11%

Dividends, Interest & Rent 218,121$ 24%

Transfer Payments 105,674$ 12%

Estimated TPI 893,922$ 100%

Montezuma

2013 Total Personal Income ($000)

PCI 2013 % of USA

USA 44,765$ 100%

Colorado 46,897$ 105%

Montezuma 36,524$ 82%

Per Capita Income 2013

Page 18: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 16 San Juan County

SAN JUAN COUNTY

Population – In 2000 the county's resident population was 558, though it has grown by 25% over the last decade.

There has also been an influx of seasonal residents, many of whom have purchased 2nd

homes in the area in order to

enjoy the rural amenities of life in the high country.

This phenomenon, known as "amenity migration", has produced

wide ranging economic impacts on the community. However,

seasonal residents are not included in population figures. In 2013

the population was estimated to be 687, this is a -1.0% decrease

from 2010.

The resident population is expected to maintain

through 2035.

Economic Trends – The discovery of gold in the county by Charles Baker in 1860 was followed by a late breaking gold

rush in the 1870's. After the signing of the Brunot Treaty with the Ute Indians in 1874, the Town of Silverton was

established and it remains the only community in San Juan County. The Denver and Rio Grande Railroad reached

Silverton from Durango in 1882. With the dedication of the "Million Dollar Highway" in July of 1924 the transportation

of gold, silver, lead, copper and zinc moved from the narrow gauge train to Highway 550 which connects Silverton to

Montrose and to Durango. Beginning in the late 1950's the rail line began instead to carry tourists up from Durango to

enjoy the spectacular scenery. At the present time San Juan County has become almost entirely dependent upon

tourism, primarily during the summer months when the Durango & Silverton Narrow Gauge Railroad is running.

However, winter tourism is growing since the opening of the Silverton Mountain Ski Area, which is also the largest

employer in the county.

Employment and Income – About

81% of total employment is by wage

earners, while 19% is through

proprietors. However, due to the

small population, some economic

data is not disclosed.

In 2013, county unemployment rates

(7.1%) were higher than the state

(7.8%) and nation (7.4%). The

estimated labor force was 532 in

2013, although this is not seasonally

adjusted.

The service sector employs about

54% of workers in the county, and

represents 42% of the earnings.

Many of the service jobs in San Juan

County support tourism, in

accommodation (lodging) and food

services.

San Juan 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Population 702 728 749 753 765

Avg. Ann. % Change 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.3%

Population Forecasts

San Juan County # of % of Income % of Avg ann.

2013 Total Employment Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc. wage

Agriculture 0 0% -$ 0%

Mining & Utilities 0 0% -$ 0% -$

Construction 28 8% 840$ 8% 30,000$

Manufacturing 7 2% 293$ 3% 41,857$

Transportation & Warehousing 0 0% 4$ 0%

Wholesale & Retail Trade 54 15% 1,696$ 16% 31,407$

Information 0 0% 37$ 0%

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 16 5% 230$ 2% 14,375$

Services 172 48% 3,934$ 36% 22,872$

Government 78 22% 3,865$ 35% 49,551$

Total 355 100% 10,899$ 100%

Ann. Avg %

2010 2013 Change 2010-13

San Juan 709 687 -1.0%

Silverton 646 626 -1.0%

Unincorporated 63 61 -1.1%

San Juan County # of % of Income % of Avg. annual

2013 Service Sectors Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc. wage

Professional,Scientific,Technical 29 17% 459$ 12% 15,828$

Education,Health,Social Assistance 14 8% 427$ 11% 30,500$

Arts,Entertainment,Recreation 30 17% 1,145$ 29% 38,167$

Accomodation,Food Service 85 49% 1,533$ 39% 18,035$

Other Services 14 8% 370$ 9% 26,429$

Total 172 100% 3,934$ 100% 22,872$

Page 19: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 17 San Juan County

The U.S. Census Bureau estimates that in 2011 there were 201 wage and salary workers commuting out of the county

for work – with the greatest number of workers going to San Miguel County (17%). There were also 181 people

commuting in to the county for work, primarily from Montrose County (34%). These estimates only reflect those jobs

covered by unemployment insurance.

Base Analysis – Base analysis distinguishes which industries are

basic in the economy, and are responsible for overall growth and

change. Base industries produce exports or derive their sales or

income directly from outside sources, or indirectly by providing

supplies to export industries. These activities bring in outside

dollars to circulate within the local economy. In San Juan the

largest base employment industries are tourism, and households

that spend money earned elsewhere. While there are no jobs

related to agribusiness in San Juan County, there are individuals

that receive agricultural income from elsewhere.

Total Personal Income (TPI) – TPI is the sum of all income

paid to residents of San Juan County from various sources.

Retirees (60+) brought in $4.7 million (20%) of TPI through

transfer payments and dividends, interest and rent.

Per Capita Income (PCI) – San Juan County PCI is 78% of National PCI and

74% of Colorado’s PCI.

Livable Wages – In 2013 a minimum of $12.55/hr provided a livable wage in Silverton if you were a single person

renting a one-bedroom apartment. A full report is available at www.scan.org under regional data.

Education – According to the 2013 one-year District performance reports Silverton 1 is accredited, is approaching

academic achievement and meets postsecondary and workforce readiness. View a full district report at

http://www.schoolview.org/performance.asp.

Housing – According to the State Demographer’s office in 2013 there were 765 total housing units. Of these, 45% were

occupied and 55% were vacant.

Enterprise Zones – All of San Juan County has been designated as an Enterprise Zone, and an Enhanced Enterprise

Zone through 2016. The Enterprise Zone boundaries are due to be re- evaluated for 2016.

More detailed information regarding San Juan County can be accessed at www.scan.org, under regional data.

San Juan # of % of Income % of

2013 Base Industries Jobs Jobs ($000) Inc.

Agribusiness 0 0% 6$ 0%

Mining 0 0% -$ 0%

Manufacturing 7 2% 235$ 3%

Government 11 3% 624$ 8%

Regional Services 24 7% 594$ 8%

Tourism 150 47% 3,476$ 47%

Households 112 35% 2,267$ 30%

Indirect Unassigned 18 6% 265$ 4%

Total 322 100% 7,467$ 100%

% of

Total

Employment Earnings 10,899$ 46%

Residency Adjustment 2,469$ 11%

Dividends, Interest & Rent 7,753$ 33%

Transfer Payments 2,339$ 10%

Estimated TPI 23,460$ 100%

2013 Total Personal Income ($000)

San Juan

PCI 2013 % of USA

USA 44,765$ 100%

Colorado 46,897$ 105%

San Juan 34,922$ 78%

Per Capita Income 2013

Page 20: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 18 Indian Tribes

NATIVE AMERICAN TRIBES

The planning and management area of Region 9 includes two Indian reservations (the only two in Colorado), including

the Ute Mountain Ute Indian and the Southern Ute Indian Tribes.

Ute Mountain Ute Indian Tribe The Ute Mountain Ute Tribe’s land is located in southwest Colorado and eastern Utah, and covers 553,008 acres. The

land is held in trust by the United States Government. The Tribal enrollment in 2013 was 2,112 members, with the

majority (about 70% of the members living on the reservation in Towaoc, CO (Montezuma County), and in White Mesa,

UT (San Juan County). The tribal census shows the largest percentage of the members are in their early twenties and

younger.

The Ute Mountain Ute Tribe is a major contributor to the regional economy. In 2013, the Tribe was one of the largest

employers in the Montezuma County with ~1,200 jobs in all aspects of tribal government and the various Enterprises.

The Tribe prepared a Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy Plan in 2013, which sets guidelines for current

and future economic development.

The Ute Mountain Ute Tribe’s Farm & Ranch Enterprise is an irrigated agricultural project designed for 7,634 acres of

Ute Mountain Reservation land. The purpose of the project is to operate a market-oriented agricultural enterprise that

maximizes successful commercial ventures in addition to providing skilled, year-round employment. Crops produced by

Farm & Ranch include: sweet corn, field corn, wheat, alfalfa hay, cattle, and sunflowers. In 2014, Farm & Ranch had a

grand opening of their new corn mill which will produce corn meal that will be sold regionally.

Weeminuche Construction Authority is a commercial construction enterprise owned and operated by the Ute Mountain

Ute Tribe. Since 1985, the Weeminuche Construction Authority has provided comprehensive construction services to a

wide range of clients including federal, state, and local municipalities, agriculture concerns, and building & heavy

construction. Projects include oil & gas field construction, residential & commercial buildings, heavy construction, road

building, canals & water systems, sand & gravel, and municipal improvements. In 2013, Weeminuche Construction

became an LLC. This will allow the construction company to bid and receive off-reservation jobs.

The Ute Mountain Casino opened in September of 1992, creating hundreds of new jobs for the tribe and others in the

Four Corners area. Approximately 75% of the casino employees are Native Americans, and 40% are tribal members. The

Sleeping Ute RV Park opened in April 1994 and is located within a short talking distance to the casino. The 84-site park

hosts full-service recreation vehicle sites, as well as tent and tipi areas.

Travelers from all over the world visit the Ute Mountain Tribal Park. The Ute Mountain Tribal Park (Mancos Canyon

area), which has been designated as a national historic district, is a special district of designated land use on the

reservation. The district includes approximately 125,000 acres located south of Mesa Verde National Park and along

both sides of the Mancos River Canyon. The Tribal Park is bigger than Mesa Verde and holds a different significance

because the ruins are not bothered as much. This area holds the ruins of dwellings and kivas of the Ancestral Puebloans

who inhabited the area around AD 400-1100. The Tribal Park has a non-profit foundation for ruins stabilization, with

support of the Ute Mountain Ute Tribe and the Colorado Commission of Indian Affairs.

More information regarding the Ute Mountain Ute Indian Tribe can be found at their website,

www.utemountainutetribe.com.

Page 21: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 19 Indian Tribes

Southern Ute Indian Tribe

The Southern Ute Tribal enrollment is 1,500, with the majority (about 80%) of the members living on the reservation.

The reservation land base includes 750,000 acres, seven major rivers, and the Navajo State Park. Tribal headquarters

are located adjacent to the Town of Ignacio, in La Plata County.

The Ute people are among the oldest residents of Colorado, inhabiting the mountains and vast areas of Colorado, Utah,

Wyoming, Eastern Nevada, Northern New Mexico and Arizona. Prior to acquiring the horse, the Utes lived off the land

establishing a unique relationship with the ecosystem. They would travel and camp in familiar sites and use well

established routes such as the Ute Trail that can still be seen in the forests of the Grand Mesa, and the forerunner of the

scenic highway traversing through South Park, and Cascade, Colorado.

The Southern Ute Cultural Center and Museum tells the story of the Southern Ute Tribe from the earliest times to the

present day. Arranged as a circulating, self-guided tour, visitors start at the Circle of Life Theater for an introductory

360 degree experience, journey past Rock Art and a full-size teepee, past glorious ceremonial dress, through a replica

house and schoolroom, and out via a rodeo experience to an exhibit that shows how the Southern Ute live today.

Over the past 25 years, the Southern Ute Indian Tribe has become a major player in the local, state, and national

economy. The Tribe is aggressively creating and operating new businesses both on and on-Reservation in the areas of

oil and gas production, natural gas gathering, real estate development, housing construction, sand and gravel products,

media, and gaming.

The Tribe was the largest employer in La Plata County in 2014, with about 1,245 employed in Tribal administration and

various commercial enterprises. The Sky Ute Lodge and Casino opened in 2008, employing over 400 staff members. In

addition to providing an entertainment and conference venue for the Four Corners region, the Casino supports many

area non-profits through various fund raisers throughout the year.

The Southern Ute Growth Fund was started in 1999 and has investments around the world. The Growth Fund reports a

multi – billion dollar portfolio. In summary, Tribal activity, including gaming, generates millions of dollars per year in La

Plata County, in direct and indirect economic activity.

These diverse resources enable the tribe to offer a variety of amenities to their members as well as non-tribal members

in the community. The SunUte Community Center offers a 5,000 sq.ft. fitness center, swimming pool with 75 ft. lap

lanes, gymnasium with two high school regulation sized basketball/volleyball courts and rock climbing wall,

softball/baseball fields, archery range, and play park.

The Tribal Employment Rights Ordinance (TERO) is a Tribally-adopted law that aims to promote the employment of

Indians on or near the Reservation, to provide a preference in contracting for businesses owned by Indians, and to

prevent discrimination against Indians in the employment practices of employers conducting business within the

jurisdiction of the Tribe.

More information regarding the Southern Ute Indian Tribe can be found at their website, www.southernute-nsn.gov.

Page 22: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 20 Top Employers

TOP EMPLOYERS

Top employers were ranked based on the numbers of jobs within each county. These numbers were collected from

each employer if available, estimated based on information collected from past years, or provided by state agencies.

Employers include local governments as well as private employers. In the less populated counties, only employers with

ten or more employees were included in these tables.

Archuleta County 2014 # of Jobs

Archuleta County School Dist. 50 JT 216

Archuleta County 155

Upper San Juan Hospital District 148

City Market 115

Pagosa Resort and Spa 82

Wyndham Pagosa 82

Visiting Angels of the Southwest 75

Pine Ridge Extented Care Center 62

Parelli Natural Horsemanship 59

Mastercare Inc. 50Dolores County 2014 # of Jobs

Salsbury Industries Inc. 96

Dolores County 47

Dolores School Dist. RE2J 49

Dunton Hot Springs 25

Community Health Clinic 24

Dove Creek Implement Inc. 15

Dove Creek Suprette 14

Montezuma County 2014 # of Jobs

Ute Mountain Indian Tribe - Casino & other 450

Montezuma Cortez School District RE1 377

Walmart 338

Ute Mountain Ute Tribe Administration 325

Southwest Memorial Hospital 300

Montezuma County 210

City of Cortez 130

National Park Service 130

Dolores School District RE 4A 111

Western Excelsior 95San Juan County 2014 # of Jobs

Core Mountain Enterprises LLC 40

San Juan County 26

Handlebars 26

Town of Silverton 22

Brown Bear Café 22

Silverton School District 12

Pickle Barrel 10

La Plata County 2014 # of Jobs

Mercy Regional Medical Center 1,200

Southern Ute Indian Tribe - Administration 845

Durango School District 9R 632

Mercury Payment Systems 630

Fort Lewis College 570

Durango Mountain Resort 479

Southern Ute Indian Tribe - Casino, Museum 400

La Plata County 401

Crossfire 322

BP America 221

Page 23: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

_________________________________________________________________________________________________

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 21 Glossary

GLOSSARY OF KEY TERMS

Economic Base Analysis is a tool to describe economic activity by the source of revenue, whether the money generated

by sales comes from outside the local economy, or from within the local economy. This type of analysis is designed to

define those economic activities that drive or sustain the local economy. Base Analysis distinguishes which industries

and factors are responsible for overall growth and change. There are two types of regional industries:

Base industries produce exports or derive their sales or income directly from outside sources, or indirectly by providing

supplies to export industries. These activities bring in outside dollars to circulate within the local economy. These

industries include agriculture, mining, manufacturing, national and regional services, state and federal government jobs,

and tourism. Another base industry is created by households that spend money earned elsewhere. For example, a

retiree whose income comes from outside of the county is supporting many traditional local resident services jobs;

however, since their income is basic (from outside the local economy), the local resident service jobs are also

considered basic.

Local resident services provide services to residents and also re-circulate dollars within the local economy. Resident

services include industries that take care of the local community, such as health services, education, and employment at

the local grocery store. Residential industries are industries because they create jobs . . . which, in turn, create demands

for worker housing and services.

Outside money enters the local economy through a variety of sources, circulates through the local area, and then leaves

the local economy when we purchase goods or services from outside the area, or pay federal and state taxes.

A common confusion with this type of analysis is that it focuses on the source of revenue as opposed to specific

industries. Tourism is considered a direct base economic activity because the visitors are bringing their money from the

outside economy and spending it in the local economy.

Looking at restaurants for example, when the person buying a meal is

from outside the area (a tourist), it is a direct base economic activity

and when the person is a resident using money earned in the local

economy, it is a local resident service activity. So restaurants are

both direct based and a local resident service.

The office of the Colorado State Demographer performs various

statistical estimates, including actual surveys of businesses (calling

the restaurant and asking them for estimates of how much of their

sales are to residents versus tourists) to provide a percentage in

various sectors of how much of their activity is direct or local resident

based.

Amenity Migration is another source of direct base revenue in terms

of money coming from the outside economy to buy real estate and

construct homes in the local economy. The term comes from the fact

that people migrate to southwest Colorado because of the amenities,

i.e. quality of life and environment. Some of these people are second

home owners and some are telecommuters, meaning that they work

for companies or clients using phone, internet, faxes, etc.

Page 24: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

_________________________________________________________________________________________________

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 22 Glossary

Population - Census data is collected every 10 years (i.e. 2000,2010) and is considered an actual count of people within

a region or county. The years in between are estimates made by the State Demographer. Projections are made using

an assumed growth rate to predict future growth.

http://www.colorado.gov/cs/Satellite/DOLA-Main/CBON/1251590805419

Total Personal Income is another important tool to understand our local economy. Total personal income (TPI) is

divided into four main components. These numbers come from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).

1. Employment earnings are derived from wage and salary employment as well as from business proprietor’s

income.

2. Dividends, Interest & Rent - Dividend income is cash and other assets paid to stockholders who are residents of

the area. Interest income consists of monies received by local residents from money market mutual funds and

other sources. Rental income consists of the rental of real property, royalties received from patents,

copyrights, and from the rights to natural resources paid to local residents.

3. Transfer payments consist primarily of retirement and disability benefit payments, medical payments (i.e.

Medicare and Medicaid), income maintenance benefits, unemployment insurance, veteran’s benefits and

payments to local residents.

4. Residency adjustments are made when a person is paid for work performed from outside their place of

residency, i.e. commuters. Negative numbers indicate that more people are commuting into the county for

employment than are commuting out for employment.

When we divide Total Personal Income (TPI) by the number of people in each county we get an estimate of Per Capita

Income (PCI). This allows us to compare the per capita income between counties in our region, the state and the

nation.

http://www.bea.gov/regional/index.htm

Total Employment - Includes estimated employment from wages, salaries and proprietors income.

Employment by Sector - Employment (jobs) generates most of the earnings in our region, so it is important to look at

the types and numbers of jobs in each of our counties. An employment "sector" groups jobs into industries that are

alike. This information allows us to see how many people are employed in each sector, comparing the "strength" of that

industry in each of our counties.

Employment Income by Sector - When we look at employment income by sector we can see which of the sectors pay

the most, and which pay the least. Please note that there are some limitations with using BEA data to establish

agricultural income.

Unemployment - Labor force statistics allow us to see how many people are in the workforce, and how many are

unemployed. We can use this information to compare unemployment rates at county, state, and national levels.

http://www.colmigateway.com/gsipub/index.asp

Enterprise Zones – This program provides state income tax credits and other incentives for private enterprise to

expand, or new businesses to locate within a state EZ area. Learn more about tax credits in Enterprise Zones at

www.advancecolorado.com/ez.

Page 25: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

_________________________________________________________________________________________________

Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 23 Useful Contacts

USEFUL CONTACTS

For business and relocation assistance contact Region 9, one of the community economic development organizations,

or a Chamber of Commerce listed below. If your business needs technical assistance, the Southwest Colorado Small

Business Development Center at Fort Lewis College offers numerous services.

Economic Development Organizations

Southwest Colorado

Small Business Development Center

1000 Rim Dr.

Durango, CO 81301

Phone (970) 247-7009

FAX (970) 247-7205

sbdcfortlewis.org

Pagosa Springs Community Development Corp.

PO Box 1859

Pagosa Springs, CO 81147

Phone (970) 264-2360

www.pagosaspringscdc.org

[email protected]

San Juan Development Association

P.O. Box 565

Silverton, CO 81433

Phone (970) 387-5654

Fax (970) 387-0282

www.silvertoncolorado.com

Dolores County Development Corp.

P.O. Box 860

Dove Creek, CO 81328

www.dolorescounty.org

Montezuma Community Economic

Development Association

PO Box 968

Cortez, CO 81321

Phone (970) 560-5581

montezumaceda.org

[email protected]

La Plata Economic Development Alliance

1150 A. Main Ave.

Durango, CO 81301

Phone (970) 259-1700

yesLPC.com

Region 9 Economic Development District

259A Girard St

Durango, CO 81303

Phone (970) 247-9621

FAX (970) 247-9513

www.scan.org

Ute Mountain Ute Indian Tribe

P.O. Box JJ

Towaoc, CO 81334

Phone (970) 565-3751

Fax (970) 565-7412

www.utemountainutetribe.com

Page 26: This report provides an economic snapshot of the five ... report provides an economic snapshot of the five counties, ten municipalities and two Indian Tribes in southwest Colorado

_________________________________________________________________________________________________ Region 9 Report – 2015 Update 24 Useful Contacts

Chambers of Commerce and Tourism Offices

Durango Area Tourism Office

P.O. Box 2321

802 Main Avenue

Durango, CO 81302

Phone (970) 247-3500

www.durango.org

Cortez Chamber of Commerce

31 West Main

Cortez, CO 81321

Phone (970) 565-3414

www.cortezchamber.com

[email protected]

Bayfield Chamber of Commerce

P.O. Box 7

Bayfield, CO 81122

Phone (970) 884-7372

www.bayfieldchamber.org

Durango Chamber

P.O. Box 2587

Durango, CO 81302

Phone (970) 247-0312

Fax (970) 385-7884

www.durangobusiness.org

[email protected]

Mancos Valley Chamber

101 E. Bauer

Mancos, CO 81328

Phone (970) 533-7434

Fax (970) 533-7727

www.mancoscolorado.com

Dolores Chamber

P.O. Box 602

Dolores, CO 81323

Phone (970) 882-4018

Fax (970) 882-2224

www.doloreschamber.com

[email protected]

Pagosa Chamber of Commerce

105 Hot Springs Blvd.

Pagosa Springs, CO 81147

Phone (970) 264-2360

Fax (970) 264-4625

www.pagosachamber.com

[email protected]

Ignacio Chamber of Commerce

PO Box 1223

Ignacio, CO 81137

Phone (970) 565-0344

http://ignaciochamber.org

Dove Creek Chamber of Commerce

PO Box 111

Dove Creek, CO 81324

Phone (970) 882-4018

www.dovecreekchamber.org

Silverton Chamber of Commerce

PO Box 565

Silverton, CO 81433

Phone (970) 387-5654

www.silvertoncolorado.com

[email protected]

Vallecito Chamber of Commerce

18071 CR 501

Bayfield, CO 81122

Phone (970) 247-1573

www.vallecitolakechamber.com

[email protected]

Mesa Verde Country

928 E. Main St

Cortez, CO 81321

Phone (970) 565-8227

www.mesaverdecountry.com

[email protected]