this time, it’s personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned...

12
MARCH 2019 This Time, It’s Personal: Four distinct benefits of a retirement managed account

Upload: others

Post on 08-Jul-2020

5 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

MARCH 2019

This Time, It’s Personal:Four distinct benefits of a retirement managed account

Page 2: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

2 MANAGED ACCOUNT | MARCH 2019

A WHITE PAPER

This Time, It ’s PersonalFour distinct benefits of a retirement managed account

Defined contribution plans have become a mainstay in the workplace retirement savings landscape, with target date funds as the qualified default investment alternative (QDIA) of choice. This growth has occurred, in part, due to the Pension Protection Act of 2006, which laid out four QDIA options for defined contribution plans: target date funds, balanced risk funds, managed accounts and capital preservation funds. Target date funds are the chosen QDIA for 85% of plans,1 and their approach to investing has many advantages, including low fees and a simplified investment

strategy. However, research suggests that the potential long-term benefits of more personalized strategies such as retirement managed accounts (RMAs) may outweigh the advantages of target date funds in some situations.

This paper presents new insights showing that the personalized portfolio approach of RMAs adds value to retirement accounts, and that the key is to look beyond performance.

1 Callan Institute, “2018 Defined Contribution Trends,” 2018.

Influence investor behavior

Encourage increased saving

rates

Provide personalized

and appropriate diversification

Help provide lifetime income

1 2 3 4

RMAs have four distinct benefits

Page 3: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

MANAGED ACCOUNT | MARCH 2019 3

In this paper, we will refer to three categories of savers: target date fund savers, RMA savers and do-it-yourself savers. We define each group as follows:

Target date fund savers: For the purposes of this paper, target date fund savers are defined as individuals that hold 90% or more of their retirement plan account savings in a target date fund. They choose a single target date fund that most closely matches the year in which they plan to retire. For example, if a 35-year-old in 2019 wants to retire at age 67, she would choose a 2050 fund. Using a mix of funds, each target date fund will automatically adjust to a more conservative mix as its investors near retirement. The asset mix and glide path of a target date fund are designed to be part of the only investment an investor holds.

The 90% benchmark is critical: When a saver selects an additional investment outside their target date fund, their asset allocation based on their retirement age is thrown off. Performance also suffers. However, few savers act accordingly: Only about one in four people who hold target date funds meet the 90% benchmark.*

RMA savers: This category includes people who are enrolled in workplace retirement plan managed account programs. RMAs differ significantly from other default investment options like target date funds or balanced funds in that they select funds for each participant based on personalized retirement strategies. For an investment solution to be considered an RMA, it must meet all four of the following criteria:

• Participant-level 3(38) fiduciary protection

• Periodic, automatic updates of participant investments

• An interactive online user experience

• Dedicated investment adviser representative call center support

Do-it-yourself savers: For the purposes of this paper, do-it-yourself savers are defined as those that hold 10% to 100% of their workplace retirement plan assets outside a target date fund. In other words, these individuals have allocated their investments away from their target date fund qualified default investment alternative.

* Financial Engines, “Not so simple: Why target-date funds are widely misused by retirement investors,” March 2016.

Three types of savers

2 Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A., “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk,” Econometrica, 47 (4): 263–291, 1979.

3 Bloomberg. This chart illustrates the value of a $10,000 investment in the S&P 500® made on December 31, 2009 through December 31, 2018, assuming the investment remained invested the whole time (first bar) and then assuming the investor missed the market’s 10, 20 and 50 best days, respectively. FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future results.

Let’s take a closer look at each of these benefits

1. RMAs influence investor behavior.

Studies have shown that the pain of losing $100 is approximately twice as great as the pleasure of winning the same amount.2 This emotional imbalance often causes investors to stray from their plans, whether out of excitement about the prospect of temporary gains or fear of future losses. Many investors get stuck in a cycle of euphoria and depression that leads them to buy when they should sell and sell when they should buy.

As a result of such behavioral biases, many individual investors may miss out on the market’s best days. For example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during that same time period.3

Optimism

Excitement

Thrill

Euphoria

Anxiety

Denial

Fear

Desperation

Panic

Capitulation

DespondencyDepression

Hope

Relief

Optimism

Maximumrisk

Maximumopportunity

Sell Buy

Sell Buy

What we should do ... What we do ...

Investors’ behavioral journey

FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY.

Page 4: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

4 MANAGED ACCOUNT | MARCH 2019

(Initial investment of $10,000)

Number of days

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

0 10 20 50

4 Empower Institute, “Road to Retirement Success,” 2018.

Source: Bloomberg. This chart illustrates the value of a $10,000 investment in the S&P 500® made on December 31, 2009, through December 31, 2018, assuming the investment remained invested the whole time (first bar) and then assuming the investor missed the market’s 10, 20 and 50 best days, respectively. FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future results.

Missing the market’s best days

RMAs attempt to mitigate investors’ emotional conflict by putting more of the decision-making in the hands of investment professionals. This may equate to a higher income replacement rate in retirement.

Researchers have identified a number of behavioral biases such as loss aversion, inertia and anchoring.4 RMAs mitigate some of these behavioral biases by shifting an investor to a personalized portfolio investment strategy. Empower Retirement call center data provide evidence of such mitigation of behavioral biases as employees with RMAs call in far less during market drops than employees without RMAs.

Page 5: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

MANAGED ACCOUNT | MARCH 2019 5

5 Blanchett, David, Ph.D., CFA, CFP®; Bruns, Daniel; and Voris, Nathan, “The Impact of Default Investment Decision on Participant Deferral Rates: Managed Accounts vs Target-Date Funds,” October 2017.

6 As of November 17, 2018. Analysis of over 17,000 plans and 2.6 million Empower participants for which Empower is the deferral recordkeeper.

7 Cosmano, Brian, Empower Institute, “Made to Measure: Evaluating the impact of a retirement managed account,” August 2018.

8 As February 2018. Analysis of over 3.5 million Empower participants for which Empower is the deferral recordkeeper.

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

2/20

/15

3/20

/15

4/20

/15

5/20

/15

6/20

/15

7/20

/15

8/20

/15

9/20

/15

10/2

0/15

11/2

0/15

12/2

0/15

1/20

/16

2/20

/16

3/20

/16

4/20

/16

5/20

/16

6/20

/16

7/20

/16

8/20

/16

9/20

/16

10/2

0/16

11/2

0/16

12/2

0/16

1/20

/17

2/20

/17

3/20

/17

4/20

/17

5/20

/17

6/20

/17

7/20

/17

8/20

/17

9/20

/17

10/2

0/17

11/2

0/17

12/2

0/17

1/20

/18

2/20

/18

3/20

/18

4/20

/18

5/20

/18

6/20

/18

7/20

/18

8/20

/18

9/20

/18

10/2

0/18

11/2

0/18

12/2

0/18

PPT calls

MTR calls

2. RMAs encourage increased savings rates.

Studies also show that RMA savers save more, and more regularly, than do-it-yourself savers.5 According to Empower participant data, RMA savers save an average of 7.5% compared with 7.2% for other savers.6 This means their saving rate is 4% higher. Compounded over 20 years, this can make quite a difference in outcomes. Enhanced participant communications associated with RMA products are likely the driver of higher contribution rates. These enhanced communications and engagement strategies typically include recurring reports on personal progress toward goals and call center representatives who can explain to savers the benefits of increased savings rates.7 While target date funds offer an investment solution, they do not provide additional support.

3. RMAs provide personalized and appropriate diversification.

Diversification matters because it allows investors to balance risk and reward in their investment portfolios. Assets are spread around so exposure to any one fund or asset class is limited, thus potentially decreasing volatility in a portfolio.

Evidence from Empower participants suggests that RMA savers’ accounts are more diversified than the accounts of do-it-yourself savers.8 While RMA savers have assets in an average of nine asset classes and 11 funds, do-it- yourself savers are invested in an average of four asset classes and four funds. In addition, RMA savers have funds that are chosen for them by professionals based on personalized data.

Impact of market events on call volume

Non-RMA savers RMA savers RMA savers calling for annual review

Num

ber

of c

alls

“Flash crash”

China/Commodities crash

Brexit

U.S. election

Crypto currency selloff/inflation concerns

Rising interest

ratesEconomic deceleration

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

2/20

/15

3/20

/15

4/20

/15

5/20

/15

6/20

/15

7/20

/15

8/20

/15

9/20

/15

10/2

0/15

11/2

0/15

12/2

0/15

1/20

/16

2/20

/16

3/20

/16

4/20

/16

5/20

/16

6/20

/16

7/20

/16

8/20

/16

9/20

/16

10/2

0/16

11/2

0/16

12/2

0/16

1/20

/17

2/20

/17

3/20

/17

4/20

/17

5/20

/17

6/20

/17

7/20

/17

8/20

/17

9/20

/17

10/2

0/17

11/2

0/17

12/2

0/17

1/20

/18

2/20

/18

3/20

/18

4/20

/18

5/20

/18

6/20

/18

7/20

/18

8/20

/18

9/20

/18

10/2

0/18

11/2

0/18

12/2

0/18

Source: Empower Retirement participant call center data

Page 6: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

6 MANAGED ACCOUNT | MARCH 2019

2.00%

4.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

RMA savers

Non-RMA savers

11

Avg. # of funds

Avg. # of asset classes

9

4 4

In comparison, target date funds are composed of many different asset classes, but this diversification is not personalized based on individual circumstances. Instead, target date funds offer a one-size-fits-all glide path. In addition, three out of four target date fund savers invest 10% to 99% of their savings outside their target date funds, throwing off the intended diversification advantages of their funds.9

The personalized and appropriate diversification of RMA savers’ assets makes them less dependent on the performance of any specific class. Consequently, RMA savers are better equipped to ride out market declines that adversely impact some asset classes more than others.

One way to demonstrate the effect of diversification is to look at the range of possible returns. RMA savers typically see a smaller range in outcomes.

9 Financial Engines, “Not so simple: Why target-date funds are widely misused by retirement investors,” March 2016.

Source: As of February 2018. Analysis of over 3.5 million Empower participants for which Empower is the deferral recordkeeper.

Asset class diversification

Page 7: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

MANAGED ACCOUNT | MARCH 2019 7

The above chart compares the results of top RMA savers with those of the top do-it-yourself and target date fund savers (the 90th percentile) as well as the results of bottom RMA savers with those of the bottom do-it-yourself and target date fund savers (the 10th percentile) over a seven-year period. The discrepancy in results is dramatic: RMA savers saw 168% more consistent returns than do-it- yourself savers and 42% more consistent returns than target date fund savers.10 While the top do-it-yourself and target date fund savers outperformed the top RMA savers, it’s important to look at the range and the bottom numbers.

The bottom do-it-yourself savers had a median annualized return of 1.92% compared with 5.05% for RMA savers. RMA savers don’t experience the low lows that the do-it-yourself and (to a lesser extent) target date fund savers are susceptible to, largely due to behavioral biases that result in reactionary decision-making among the latter two groups. This consideration is especially important because there is no way to predict which employees will be in the 90th percentile of do-it-yourself savers and which will be in the lowest percentile.

Range of returns 4/1/2011 to 3/31/2018 (net of fees)

RMA savers

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

Target date fund savers Do-it-yourself savers

9.07%

5.05%

9.82%

4.10%

11.84%

1.92%

10 Advised Assets Group, LLC (AAG), Internal Rate of Return (IROR) All Segments Study, 2017. The participant return distribution included in this study is used to illustrate the difference between those participants within the 90th percentile and the 10th percentile to preserve statistical integrity of the data reported. Data sourced from a managed account provider and individuals had to be in the category the whole time period.

Source: Advised Assets Group, LLC (AAG), Internal Rate of Return (IROR) All Segments Study, 2017. The participant return distribution included in this study is used to illustrate the difference between those participants within the 90th percentile and the 10th percentile to preserve statistical integrity of the data reported. Data sourced from a managed account provider and individuals had to be in the category the whole time period.

Page 8: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

8 MANAGED ACCOUNT | MARCH 2019

4. RMAs help provide lifetime income.

The whole point of saving for retirement is to ensure your money lasts through retirement. One last way to assess RMAs is to see if they help meet this objective.

To test the effectiveness of RMAs at providing lifetime income, we can look at hypothetical account balances, Empower participant data and industry data. The chart above illustrates the impact RMAs can have on retirement outcomes, particularly for engaged employees, defined here as workers who have provided additional information about themselves or their families and their retirement goals beyond the six to eight data points automatically provided through a payroll file.11

11 The illustration is based on average household income and average contribution rates for hypothetical target date fund savers. Income for hypothetical engaged and unengaged RMA savers is based on research from the following white paper: Cosmano, Brian, Empower Institute, “Made to Measure: Evaluating the impact of a retirement managed account,” August 2018.

Hypothetical account balance comparison

As the chart on the next page shows, an engaged employee with an RMA can expect 16% more income at retirement than a target date fund saver.11 Even an unengaged employee with an RMA can expect 5% more income at retirement.

Crucially, more income translates into longer-lasting savings. While target date fund savers can expect to deplete their savings by age 78, engaged employees with RMAs have a better chance of maintaining income through retirement. RMAs achieve their best outcomes when employees are engaged with them.

Target date fund saver RMA engaged saver RMA unengaged saver

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000Age 65 Age 78 Age 79 Age 98

About $450K difference

25 31 37 43 49 55 61 67 73 79 85 91 97

Source: The illustration is based on average household income and average contribution rates for hypothetical target date fund savers. Income for hypothetical engaged and unengaged RMA savers is based on research from the following white paper: Cosmano, Brian, Empower Institute, “Made to Measure: Evaluating the impact of a retirement managed account,” August 2018.

Page 9: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

MANAGED ACCOUNT | MARCH 2019 9

How did each of these four benefits impact the lifetime income for each saver?

Relative and combined impact of each RMA benefit

Target date fund saver

60%

80%

100%

120%

RMA unengaged saver

RMA engaged saver

Lifetime income

Personalized strategy

Savings rates

Mitigating negative behavior

5%16%

The chart shows the individual and combined impact of each benefit to potential income relative to a target date fund.12 The benefit for an unengaged RMA saver is an additional 5% more income while the benefit for an engaged RMA saver is

16%. For a retiree who generated $50,000 in annual income, this equates to an additional $8,000 per year in retirement and potentially $200,000 more over a 25-year retirement.

12 The illustration is based on average household income and average contribution rates for hypothetical target date fund savers. Income for hypothetical engaged and unengaged RMA savers is based on research from the following white paper: Cosmano, Brian, Empower Institute, “Made to Measure: Evaluating the impact of a retirement managed account,” August 2018.

Source: The illustration is based on average household income and average contribution rates for hypothetical target date fund savers. Income for hypothetical engaged and unengaged RMA savers is based on research from the following white paper: Cosmano, Brian, Empower Institute, “Made to Measure: Evaluating the impact of a retirement managed account,” August 2018.

Page 10: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

10 MANAGED ACCOUNT | MARCH 2019

Best practices in selecting an RMA provider.

There are many types of personalized investment and RMA options. Some only provide asset allocations, a few are offered through limited channels and still others act like an RMA but don’t meet all the requirements (such as 3(38) fiduciary protection).

Given the variation in products, it’s easy to understand why benchmarking an RMA requires careful consideration. Remember, managed accounts must offer:

• Participant-level 3(38) fiduciary protection.

• Periodic, automatic updates of participant investments.

• An interactive online user experience.

• Dedicated investment adviser representative call center support.

But RMAs may offer these benefits in different ways and to varying degrees. Given the different RMA options, how then do you choose the right one? While historical performance is important, we believe the true measurement of RMA value lies in the four advantages we’ve discussed. RMAs:

1. Influence investor behavior by calming investor sentiment.

2. Encourage increased saving rates.

3. Provide personalized and appropriate diversification.

4. Help provide lifetime income.

The chart below provides a framework that can help you properly define and evaluate various RMAs using key differentiators.

Personalization

Investment personalizationStrategies are individualized using multiple data points, not just date of birth.

Financial planning features

Savings rate adviceCommunication and engagement strategies result in higher savings rates for enrollees.

Roth vs. pretax advice Optimal contribution types are suggested for each employee.

Dynamic withdrawal adviceRecommended withdrawal amounts are updated to reflect life expectancy and market movements.

Allocations to lifetime income solutionsIf a plan offers in-plan guaranteed income products, 1:1 advice can help educate employees and support utilization.

Tax-efficient withdrawal strategiesThe proper order of withdrawal helps maximize after-tax benefits and minimize liabilities.

Influence investor behavior by calming investor sentiment

Personalized support to help mitigate negative behaviorConsultations help employees avoid making poorly timed decisions based on their emotions.

Framework to define and evaluate RMAs

Page 11: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during

11 MANAGED ACCOUNT | MARCH 2019

For General Informational Use Only - May Not Be Used for Guidance Purposes

The Empower Institute is brought to you by Empower Retirement and critically examines investment theories, retirement strategies and assumptions. It suggests theories and changes for achieving better outcomes for employers, institutions, financial advisors and individual investors.

The research, views and opinions contained in these materials are intended to be educational, may not be suitable for all investors, and are not tax, legal, accounting or investment advice. Readers are advised to seek their own tax, legal, accounting and investment advice from competent professionals. Information contained herein is believed to be accurate; however, it may be impacted by changes in the tax, legal, regulatory or investing environment. There is no guarantee that participation in any of the advisory services will result in a profit or that the account will outperform a self-managed portfolio invested without assistance.

Great-West Financial®, Empower Retirement and Great-West Investments™ are the marketing names of Great-West Life & Annuity Insurance Company, Corporate Headquarters: Greenwood Village, CO; Great-West Life & Annuity Insurance Company of New York, Home Office: New York, NY, and their subsidiaries and affiliates, including registered investment advisers Advised Assets Group, LLC and Great-West Capital Management, LLC. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit and do not protect against loss in declining markets.

Securities distributed through GWFS Equities, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC and a subsidiary of Great-West Life & Annuity Insurance Company.

This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only and is not intended to provide investment, legal or tax advice.

Case studies are shown for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation. Results shown are not meant to be representative of actual investment results. Past performance is not a guarantee of, and may not be indicative of, future results.

The charts, graphs and screen prints in this presentation are for ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY.

Unless otherwise noted: Not a Deposit | Not FDIC Insured | Not Bank Guaranteed | Funds May Lose Value| Not Insured by Any Federal Government Agency

The trademarks, logos, service marks and design elements used are owned by GWL&A or used with permission.

All rights reserved. ©2019 Great-West Life & Annuity Insurance Company.

RO762110-0319 ERMKT-BRO-24487-1902

Page 12: This Time, It’s Personal · example, staying invested over the past nine years would have earned an investor $10,508 more than if they had missed the market’s 10 best days during