thoughts on gcoos deliverables (ops & extremes) dr. cortis cooper fellow [email protected]
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![Page 1: Thoughts on GCOOS Deliverables (Ops & Extremes) Dr. Cortis Cooper Fellow CortCooper@Chevron.com](https://reader030.vdocuments.net/reader030/viewer/2022032704/56649d5d5503460f94a3cedc/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Thoughts on Thoughts on GCOOS GCOOS Deliverables Deliverables (Ops & Extremes)(Ops & Extremes)
Dr.Dr. Cortis CooperCortis Cooper
Fellow [email protected]@Chevron.com
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Offshore Production Offshore Production IncreasingIncreasing
30% U.S. oil production 30% U.S. oil production is offshore & increasingis offshore & increasing
Deepwater Gulf is a Deepwater Gulf is a prolific area prolific area
Deep Water!Deep Water!
2003 Gulf of Mexico Activity (MMS)
WaterDepth (m)
ActiveLeases
Drilling Permits
Active Platforms
0-200 3,417 39,390 3,432
200-1000 920 2,244 34
> 1000 3,286 839 9
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Industry Needs for Ocean DataIndustry Needs for Ocean Data
TowsTows
OperationsOperations
DowntimeDowntimeAnalysisAnalysis
FatigueFatigueStorm Storm DesignDesign
PollutantPollutantFatesFates
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Major Operational & Extremes Major Operational & Extremes in the Gulf of Mexicoin the Gulf of Mexico
Hurricane Andrew
Eddy Triton & the Loop Current
Eddy Triton
Loop Current
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Industry Deepwater Current Industry Deepwater Current MeasurementsMeasurements
MMS mandatedMMS mandated Real-time upper-column Real-time upper-column
profilesprofiles– Down to 1000 mDown to 1000 m– Exploration rigs (2-9 Exploration rigs (2-9
month at site)month at site)– Production rigs (permanent)Production rigs (permanent)
Other current Other current measurementsmeasurements– near-bottomnear-bottom– 1-yr of through-column 1-yr of through-column
All data posted to NDBCAll data posted to NDBC
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Unfiltered Speeds
285 12 19 26 2 9 16 23 30 6 13 20 27 4Jul Aug Sep Oct2004
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
Ra
dia
l Sp
d (
cm/s
,+=
to)
ADCP8km2near
Chevron CODARChevron CODAR
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Measurements of InterestMeasurements of Interest
MeasurementMeasurement Knowledge GapsKnowledge Gaps BeneficiaryBeneficiary
1. Real-time1. Real-time upper-column upper-column (<500 m) current & temp. (<500 m) current & temp. profilesprofiles
Infill present networkInfill present network Fisheries, Algal bloom Fisheries, Algal bloom forecasters, Oil industry (ops, forecasters, Oil industry (ops, oil spill response)oil spill response)
2. Wave buoys to record 2 2. Wave buoys to record 2 Hz wave time seriesHz wave time series
Rogue wave heightsRogue wave heights Oil-industry (design), Marine Oil-industry (design), Marine opsops
3. Coastal tide gauges3. Coastal tide gauges Local storm surgeLocal storm surge FEMA, Insurance, Oil Industry FEMA, Insurance, Oil Industry (refineries, etc.)(refineries, etc.)
4. Real-time4. Real-time air humidity air humidity sensorssensors
Hurricane severity Hurricane severity forecastsforecasts
Coastal residences, Oil Coastal residences, Oil Industry (ops)Industry (ops)
5. Near-bottom current 5. Near-bottom current profilesprofiles
Bottom circulation in Bottom circulation in the Gulfthe Gulf
Pollutant fate, Oil Industry Pollutant fate, Oil Industry (pipeline & riser design)(pipeline & riser design)
6. Real-time6. Real-time Yucatan Strait Yucatan Strait currents/temp. currents/temp.
Key model inputKey model input Modelers, Climatologists, Oil Modelers, Climatologists, Oil Industry (ops)Industry (ops)
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Products of InterestProducts of Interest
ProductsProducts BeneficiaryBeneficiary
1. Improved hurricane 1. Improved hurricane severity severity forecastsforecasts
AllAll
2. Real-time maps of current, 2. Real-time maps of current, wave, wind wave, wind
Fisherman, recreation, Oil Fisherman, recreation, Oil Industry (ops)Industry (ops)
3. Continued altimeter products3. Continued altimeter products ModelersModelers
4. Loop Current nowcast & 4. Loop Current nowcast & forecast (30+ day updated at forecast (30+ day updated at least weekly)least weekly)
Oil Industry (ops), Algal Oil Industry (ops), Algal bloom forecasts, Fisheriesbloom forecasts, Fisheries
5. Gulf-wide current nowcast & 5. Gulf-wide current nowcast & forecast (forcing from wind, forecast (forcing from wind, Loop, etc.)Loop, etc.)
Fisherman, recreation, Oil Fisherman, recreation, Oil Industry (ops)Industry (ops)