three steps towards global disaster resilience in 2014
TRANSCRIPT
GLOBAL DISASTER RISKS THAT BECOME ECONOMIC LOSSES
GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE
The Paradigm for 2014 That Makes Our Tomorrows Better
STEP 1
TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE
• Step 1: Integrating Today’s Global Knowledge Into Global Books of Knowledge
• Step 2: From Today’s Books of Knowledge to Innovative Capacity Building
• Step 3: From Today’s Paradigm to Tomorrow’s
LACK OF EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE HAS RESULTED IN
DEATHS REACHING HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS
ECONOMIC LOSSES REACHING HUNDREDS OF
BILLIONS
STEP 1Integrating Today’s Global
Knowledge Into Global Books of Knowledge
WHAT DO WE KNOW?
• Floods, hurricanes, tropical storms, typhoons, cyclones, tornadoes, nor'easters, earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, wildfires, and landslides will recur during 2014 and ad infinitum.
GLOBAL NATURAL HAZARDS• FLOODS• SEVERE
WINDSTORMS• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• DROUGHTS• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS• LANDSLIDES• WILDFIRES
GLOBAL DISASTER RISKS THAT BECOME ECONOMIC LOSSES
WHAT DO WE KNOW?
• All natural hazards test the disaster resilience of our governments, our institutions, and our communities.
LIVING WITH NATURAL HAZARDS
DEMANDS ON COMMUNITY
NO DISASTERS:
CAPABILITIES OF COMMUNITY
WHAT DO WE KNOW?
• Some natural hazards will cause a disaster.
LIVING WITH NATURAL HAZARDS
INCREASED DEMANDS ON COMMUNITY
A DISASTER:
INSUFFICIENT CAPABILITIES OF
COMMUNITY
EVERY TIME A DISASTER OCCURS, WE HAVE NEW
KNOWLEDGE TO ADD TO THE “GLOBAL BOOKS OF
KNOWLEDGE”
ICELAND’S HAZARDS
• VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
EUROPE’S HAZARDS
• EARTHQUAKES• FLOODS• DROUGHTS• LANDSLIDES• TSUNAMIS• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS• WILDFIRES
MEDITERRANEAN REGION’S HAZARDS
• EARTHQUAKES• FLOODS• DROUGHTS• LANDSLIDES• TSUNAMIS• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS• WILDFIRES
EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN REGION’S HAZARDS
• EARTHQUAKES• FLOODS• DROUGHTS• LANDSLIDES• TSUNAMIS
EUROPE’S HAZARDS: TURKEY
• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• FLOODS• DROUGHTS• LANDSLIDES
EUROPE’S HAZARDS: IRAN
• FLOODS• EARTHQUAKES• DUST STORMS• LANDSLIDES• DROUGHTS
AFRICA’S HAZARDS: NORTHERN AFRICA
• FLOODS• EARTHQUAKES• DUST STORMS• DROUGHTS
AFRICA’S HAZARDS: SUB-SAHARA
• FLOODS• DROUGHTS• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS• DESERTIFICATION
AFRICA’S HAZARDS: EGYPT
• FLOODS• EARTHQUAKES• DUST STORMS• DROUGHTS• DESERTIFICATION
ASIA’S HAZARDS: JAPAN
• FLOODS• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• TYPHOONS• VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS• LANDSLIDES• DROUGHTS
ASIA’S HAZARDS: INDIA
• FLOODS• EARTHQUAKES• CYCLONES• LANDSLIDES• DROUGHTS
ASIA’S HAZARDS: CHINA
• FLOODS• EARTHQUAKES• TYPHOONS• ERUPTIONS• LANDSLIDES• DROUGHTS• ENVIRONMENTAL
IMPACTS
EUROPE/ASIA’S HAZARDS: RUSSIA
• FLOODS• EARTHQUAKES• WINDSTORMS• VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS• WILDFIRES• LANDSLIDES• DROUGHTS
PACIFIC RING OF FIRE HAZARDS
• SEVERE WINDSTORMS
• FLOODS• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
PACIFIC RING OF FIRE HAZARDS: THE PHILIPPINES
• FLOODS• TYPHOONS• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS• LANDSLIDES
INDIAN OCEAN’S HAZARDS
• SEVERE WINDSTORMS
• FLOODS• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
NORTH AMERICA’S HAZARDS • FLOODS• HURRICANES• EARTHQUAKES• TORNADOES• WILDFIRES• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS• LANDSLIDES
UNITED STATE’S HAZARDS • FLOODS• HURRICANES• EARTHQUAKES• TORNADOES• WILDFIRES• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS• LANDSLIDES
CANADA’S HAZARDS • FLOODS• HURRICANES• EARTHQUAKES• LANDSLIDES• WINTER STORMS
MEXICO’S HAZARDS • FLOODS• HURRICANES• EARTHQUAKES• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS• LANDSLIDES
LATIN AMERICA/CARIBBEAN’S HAZARDS
• HURRICANES• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• FLOODS• LANDSLIDES• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS• ENVIRONMENTAL
IMPACTS
THE CARIBBEAN’S HAZARDS
• HURRICANES• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• FLOODS• LANDSLIDES• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
SOUTH AMERICA’S HAZARDS
• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• FLOODS• LANDSLIDES• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
SOUTH AMERICA’S HAZARDS: PERU
• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• FLOODS• LANDSLIDES• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
SOUTH AMERICA’S HAZARDS: CHILE
• EARTHQUAKES• TSUNAMIS• FLOODS• LANDSLIDES• VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS• WILDFIRES
NEW ZEALAND’S HAZARDS
• EARTHQUAKES• FLOODS• LANDSLIDES
AUSTRALIA’S HAZARDS
• CYCLONES• EARTHQUAKES• FLOODS• WILDFIRES
YOUR COUNTRY
DATA BASES AND INFORMATION
HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
• MONITORING• HAZARD MAPS• INVENTORY• VULNERABILITY• LOCATIONR
RISKACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE
• EDUCATION• PREPAREDNESS• PROTECTION• EARLY WARNING• EM RESPONSE• RECOVERY
POLICIES FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGEARE TOOLS TO FACILITATE A
COUNTRY’S MOVEMENT TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE
POLICY ADOPTION
RISK ASSESSMENT
• VULNERABILITY
• EXPOSURE
• EVENT
POLICY ASSESSMENT
• COST
• BENEFIT
• CONSEQUENCES
THE PROCESS
NATURAL HAZARDS EXPECTED
LOSS
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE: FLOODS
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
And EM HI-ED
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE: FLOODSFlooding occurs when the local river channels, floodplains, wetlands, and water tables are not able to contain, store, or transmit local precipitation and runoff.
BUILDING IN FLOOD PLAIN
FLOODS
INUNDATION
INTERACTION WITH HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
EFFECTS OF WATER ON STRUCTURE & CONTENTS
INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR HEALTH PROBLEMS, DEATH AND
INJURYLOSS FUNCTION OF INFRASTRUCTURE
VULNERABILITY OF NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF RISK
CASE HISTORIES
BOOK OF KNOWLEDE SEVERE WINDSTORMS
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
And EM HI-ED
WIND AND WATER INSIDE BUILDING ENVELOPE
SEVEREWINDSTORMS
UPLIFT OF ROOF SYSTEM
FLYING DEBRIS
UNDERESTIMATING WIND SPEEDS AND STORM SURGE
FLOODING FROM STORM SURGE AND RAIN
QUALITY OF WORKMANSHIP
IGNORING NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF RISK
CASE HISTORIES
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE: EARTHQUAKES
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
And EM HI-ED
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING
EARTHQUAKES
SOIL AMPLIFICATION
PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SURFACE FAULTING & GROUND
FAILURE)
IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN
TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP
LACK OF DETAILING AND CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
INATTENTION TO NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF RISK
CASE HISTORIES
FACTORS THAT EXACERBATE EARTHQUAKE RISK• BUILDINGS UNABLE TO WITHSTAND LATERAL GROUND SHAKING• LIFELINE SYSTEMS UNABLE TO WITHSTAND PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT ASSOCIATED WITH FAULT RUPTURE, LANDSLIDES, AND LIQUEFACTION
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGETSUNAMIS
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
And EM HI-ED
HIGH VELOCITY OF INCOMING WAVES
TSUNAMIS
DISTANCE OF WAVE RUNUP AND RUNOFF
VERTICAL HEIGHT OF WAVE RUNUP
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE OF BUILDINGS
FLOODING
INADEQUATE WARNING SYSTEMS
PROXIMITY TO SOURCE OF TSUNAMI
CAUSES OF RISK
CASE HISTORIES
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGEVOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
And EM HI-ED
PROXIMITY TO LATERAL BLAST
VOLCANICERUPTIONS
IN PATH OF PYROCLASTIC FLOWS
IN PATH OF FLYING DEBRIS (TEPHRA)
IN PATH OF VOLCANIC PLUME AND ASH (AVIATION)
IN PATH OF LAVA FLOWS
IN PATH OF LAHARS
INADEQUATE WARNING ANO EVACUATION
CAUSES OF RISK
CASE HISTORIES
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE: LANDSLIDES
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
And EM HI-ED
BUILDING ON UNSTABLE SLOPES
LANDSLIDES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO FALLS
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO TOPPLES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO SPREADS
SOIL AND ROCK SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS
EXCESSIVE PRECIPITATION OR GROUND SHAKING
BARE, OVERSTEEPENED SLOPES
CAUSES OF RISK
CASE HISTORIES
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGEWILDFIRES
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
And EM HI-ED
LIGHTNING
WILDFIRES
MANMADE FIRES
PROXIMITY OF URBAN-WILDLANDS INTERFACE
WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION
CUTTING FORESTS
DENUDED SLOPES
HOT, DRY WEATHER
CAUSES OF RISK
CASE HISTORIES
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE: DROUGHTS
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
And EM HI-ED
PROLONGED LACK OF PRECIPITATION
DROUGHTS
LOSS OF SOIL MOSTURE
LOSS OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
DEPLETION/POLLUTION OF GROUND WATER
LOSS OF VEGETATION
INSECT INFESTATION
PROGRESSIVE LOSS OF LAND BY DESERTIFICATION
CAUSES OF RISK
CASE HISTORIES
STEP 2From Today’s Books of
Knowledge to Innovative Capacity Building
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