tim midgley, saferworld (uk )
DESCRIPTION
"Measuring for results in conflict, crime and violence affected situations" Regional Review Conference on the Geneva Declaration on Armed Violence and Development Geneva, Switzerland | 8-9 July 2014TRANSCRIPT
8 July 2014
Tim Midgley, Conflict and Security Advisor, Saferworld
Identifying approaches and measuring impacts of programmes focused on transnational organised crime
Transnational organised crime
Aim: to identify and analyse a broad range of approaches and intervention strategies for tackling TOC, and assess challenges for measuring impacts
Approach • identify common, but implicit theories of
change and common assumptions• review evidence of effectiveness• identify appropriate datasets and indicators
'The Business': the money making activities
associated with TOC
Facilitation networks: systems and actors that
actively support TOC networks by leveraging power for criminal gain
Support networks: community support,
social, ethnic and class identities, etc.
Global political and economic system: trading conditions and infrastructure, financial integration, international norms and standards etc.
Social, political and economic vulnerabilities: horizontal inequalities, marginalisation, patronage networks, absence of effective state presence etc.
Image: ClipArtBest.com
Image: ClipArtBest.com
Global political and economic system
Social, political and economic vulnerabilities
Support networks
Facilitation networks
‘The Business’
Theories of Change:
1: Deterrence2: Severing the links between politics, the state and crime3: Managed adaptation of crime4: Cultural change5: Economic transformation6: Global regulation
6 2
3
1
5
4
Datasets and baskets of indicators
Combine measures of
Capacity ‘Objective’
situation Perceptions
Challenges and ways forward
• Under-developed and contradictory evidence base• Law enforcement focus• Lack of comparability across datasets• Extreme adaptability of TOC• Local projects, global impacts
BUT• Evidence base is growing• New approaches and programmes
Implications for development community
• Deepening evidence base (research, M&E, mulit-sectoral innovation etc.)
• Emphasis on local data gathering and analysis capacities
• Holistic security and development strategies informed by understanding of TOC dynamics
• Global indicators• Global considerations built into domestic policies
Thanks for listening!
More information:
saferworld.org.uk/what/post-2015
Contact:
Conflict, Crime and Violence Results Initiative (CCVRI)• Support DFID in identifying and applying best
practices and measuring the results of programmes in conflict affected contexts
• Two work-streams:• Helpdesk function open to advisors across DFID and
staff from other government departments• More detailed pieces of secondary research of
selected topics• Partners: Small Arms Survey (co-ordinators),
Saferworld, CARE International, CDA, Search for Common Ground and Vera Institute for Justice
Illicit financial flows target
Arms, drugs & conflict commodities target