time trends of mb : pb ratios among new untreated leprosy ... · mb:pb time trends vs origin year...

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“Specialized Centres” Symposium 19 th September 2013 Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy patients at a Referral hospital in North India Pavan Mukherjee Premal Das SundarRao PSS 1

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Page 1: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

“Specialized Centres” Symposium

19th September 2013

Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy patients

at a Referral hospital in North India Pavan Mukherjee

Premal Das

SundarRao PSS

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Page 2: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

BACKGROUND • Multibacillary (MB) leprosy

– the major source of infection

– early detection becomes critical for NLEP.

• Thrust on NCDR and early reporting

• Disability rates and MB ratios still high in hospitals – Stigma?

– Referrals/ specialized centre?

– Integrated facilities?

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Page 3: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

METHODOLOGY

• Study conducted at The Leprosy Mission Hospital, Naini - North India

• One of 14 TLMTI hospitals

• Have computerized EMR and detailed statistical records of a few decades

• Retrospective data extracted from the medical records and Annual Statistical Reports

•137 years old •150 bedded •2600 new Leprosy registrations •20,000 leprosy OP visits

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Page 4: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

MB:PB among New Untreated cases at The Leprosy Mission, Naini

411 306 299 258 228 230 250 311 364 394 363 373

1498

1222 1114

755 724 611 802

972

1215 1171 1040

1270

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

MB

PB

TOTAL 1909 1528 1413 1013 952 841 1052 1283 1579 1565 1403 1643

PB % 22 20 21 25 24 27 24 24 23 25 26 23

MB % 78 80 79 75 76 73 76 76 77 75 74 77

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Page 5: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin

Year

Allahabad

Uttar Pradesh

(Other than Allahabad) Other States

(Other than Uttar Pradesh)

Total MB PB % MB Total MB PB % MB Total MB PB % MB

2005 336 232 104 69 432 332 100 77 184 160 24 87

2006 278 198 80 71 397 286 111 72 166 127 39 77

2007 357 256 101 72 502 397 105 79 195 159 36 82

2008 287 249 38 87 696 482 214 69 300 241 59 80

2009 425 296 129 70 766 603 163 79 322 260 62 81

2010 377 259 118 69 740 565 175 76 400 307 93 77

2011 340 237 103 70 732 530 202 72 315 257 58 82

2012 379 278 101 73 822 634 188 77 406 325 81 80

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Page 6: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

2012 – Newly Diagnosed by origin

• Previous table demonstrates that the MB %age of 70 - 80 is consistent irrespective of the patient coming from nearby (50km) or neighbouring districts/states (700-1000km)

• 76% of patients come from outside the district

379 24%

822 51%

406 25%

Allahabad

Rest of UP

Outside UP

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Page 7: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

Infiltration, Highly positive, MB

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Page 8: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

Smear status of New UNTREATED Cases = 1607

• Data of New Registrations of 2012

• Patients who were newly diagnosed

• No previous Treatment

• 77% (1234) are MB

• 32% are smear positive

• 19% (300) have a BI exceeding 4+

PB 373

23%

Negative MB 723

45%

BI > 4+ 300

19%

BI less

than 4+ 211 13%

PB

Negative MB

BI > 4+

BI less than 4+

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Page 9: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

Percentage of New Cases Male:Female:Children

71.3 69.1

66.2 69.9 69.9

67.1 65 65.2

24.2 27

31.4 26.6 26.2 27.0

29.4 28.8

4.6 3.9 2.3 3.4 4.0 5.8 5.6 6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Male

Female

Children

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Page 10: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

VARIATIONS Government (NLEP) 2012-2013

• MB - 49.9%

• Female – 37.7%

• Child – 9.9%

• Deformity Rate – 3.5%

REFERRAL Hospital - 2012

• MB - 77.3%

• Female – 30.9%

• Child – 6.0%

• Deformity Rate – 24.1%

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Page 11: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

MB patients, undiagnosed and without patches are not uncommon

Nodules – in Leprosy (5.33+)

In the year 2012 in a single hospital

• 1607 newly diagnosed

• 511 were smear positive

• We are hopeful that the WHO MDT (Novartis) Blister Packs, would be available for these patients, in the near future

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Page 12: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

CONCLUSIONS/ RECOMMENDATIONS

• No change in MB %age or decline in number of cases

• More interventions to promote early detection of MB cases

• Suggest a similar study at the community level to distinguish epidemiological and operational factors

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Page 13: Time Trends of MB : PB ratios among New Untreated Leprosy ... · MB:PB Time Trends Vs Origin Year Allahabad Uttar Pradesh (Other than Allahabad) Other States (Other than Uttar Pradesh)

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The Leprosy Mission

The patients for being supportive

and staff for their commitment to leprosy care

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